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United Parcel Service, Inc. Class BUnited Parcel Service, Inc. Class BUnited Parcel Service, Inc. Class B

United Parcel Service, Inc. Class B

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UPSCL trade ideas

UPS BACK TO 120 BY 2026 See new posts WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT TRADING MAG 7 STOCKS ON NYSE Trading the "Magnificent 7" stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla—on the NYSE offers high potential but comes with unique challenges. These tech giants drive market trends, boasting massive market caps and innovation-driven growth. Their volatility, fueled by earnings reports, product launches, and macroeconomic shifts, creates opportunities for traders. Focus on technical analysis (RSI, moving averages) and stay updated on news like regulatory changes or AI advancements impacting their sectors. Diversify within the group to hedge risks, and use stop-loss orders to manage volatility. Trade smart, stay informed! #Mag7 #NYSE #StockTrading WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT WHY ADOBE CAN REACH WITH SOME TECHNICAL REASONS 510 BY 2026 Browsed tradingview.com Show All (4) Why Adobe (ADBE) Could Hit $510 by 2026: Technical Breakdown Adobe's trading at ~$365 today, but bullish setups scream upside. Here's why $510 (40% gain) is in play:Bullish Triangle Breakout: ADBE's consolidated in a multi-year ascending triangle since 2020. A recent close above $370 resistance (near 50-day MA ~$383) signals breakout, targeting $510 (measured move from base at $330 low). RSI Rebound: At 42 (neutral, not oversold), RSI is coiling for momentum shift. Weekly RSI >50 could trigger buy signals, aligning with AI-driven catalysts like Firefly integrations. MACD Crossover Potential: MACD histogram narrowing (-5.26) hints at bullish crossover by Q4 2025. Paired with 200-day MA (~$420) as next support, this flips sentiment to "Strong Buy" per TradingView. Analyst Backing: Consensus targets $465–$496 short-term, but long-term forecasts (e.g., LongForecast) eye $577 EOY 2026 on 11% revenue growth to $23B+. Volatility ahead, but AI tailwinds make this a no-brainer long. What's your PT? #ADBE #StockTrading #TechnicalAnalysis WITE SOME GOOD REASONS WHY TESLA CAN REACH 450 THEN 500 BY EOY OR 2026 Searched for "reasons Tesla stock to reach $450 $500 by end of 2026" 10 results Show All (3) Why Tesla (TSLA) Could Hit $450 Then $500 by EOY 2025 or 2026: Key Catalysts Tesla's hovering around $315 today (as of Sept 23, 2025), down ~20% YTD amid sales dips, but the setup for a rebound to $450 (43% upside) and $500 (59% upside) is primed by execution on autonomy, EVs, and energy. Here's the bull case, blending fundamentals and forecasts:Robotaxi & FSD Rollout Momentum: Tesla's Cybercab unveil in Oct 2025 could catalyze a surge, with unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) v13 hitting highways by year-end. ARK Invest's base case eyes $4,600 by 2026 (driven 60%+ by autonomy), but even conservative models like CoinCodex forecast $453 avg in 2026, with highs to $664 on ride-hailing revenue potentially adding $10T market value. 2 sources Piper Sandler just hiked their PT, calling TSLA the "top idea" for AV investing. EV Delivery Rebound & Affordable Models: Post-2025 sales weakness (1.8M deliveries est.), expect 2.3M+ in 2026 with Model 2 launch (~$25K EV) ramping production to 3M+ annually. This counters China/EU headwinds, recaptures 20%+ US market share, and boosts EPS to $0.49 next quarter—fueling a $450 breakout per LongForecast's Q3 2026 path. 2 sources Morningstar sees a 2026 revival echoing 2016's Model 3 surge. Energy Storage Boom: Megapack deployments exploding (Q2 2025: 9.4 GWh), with 50%+ YoY growth projected through 2026, diversifying revenue to 15%+ of total. This hedges EV volatility, pushing margins to 20%+ and supporting $500 on 11% revenue growth to $130B. Optimus Humanoid Robot Sales: External sales kick off late 2025/early 2026, targeting $20K/unit with factory pilots scaling to millions. This could add $1T+ valuation long-term, per ARK, but even modest adoption lifts sentiment to $500 by EOY 2026. 2 sources Analyst consensus (51 firms) averages $391 short-term, but bulls like Fubon ($1,000) and CoinPriceForecast ($526 EOY 2026) back the push. 2 sources Risks like Musk drama or tariffs loom, but flawless execution flips this to moonshot territory. Long TSLA? #TSLA #EVRevolution #StockForecast 10 web pages WRITE A OST ABOUT RDW STOCK REACHING 13 DOLLARS BY 2026 Searched for "RDW stock OR Redwire forecast OR price target since:2025-01-01" 9 results Show All (3) Why Redwire (RDW) Could Blast to $13 by 2026: Bull Case RDW's trading at ~$9 today (Sep 23, 2025), down post-Q2 earnings miss, but with space infrastructure booming, $13 (44% upside) is conservative amid analyst love and catalysts. Here's the setup:Analyst Consensus Screams Upside: 8 firms rate "Buy" with avg PT $16.56–$18.64 (83–107% gain short-term), max $28—easily clearing $13 by EOY 2026 on execution. Even bears like BofA's $10 see room for rebound; H.C. Wainwright holds $22 Buy post-acquisition. 4 sources Zacks ABR 1.00 (Strong Buy) backs $26 avg. NASA & Defense Contract Pipeline: $25M NASA IDIQ award (Aug '25) for space tech, plus prime for Skimsat and Honeywell quantum collab—fuels 20%+ YoY revenue to $550M+ in 2026. Artemis funding stability hedges risks, per Roth MKM Buy. Edge Autonomy UAS integration adds drone revenue, targeting $100M backlog growth. Acquisition Synergies & Margin Expansion: Q2's Transformative Acquisition (e.g., Hammerhead integration) boosts EPS from -$1.41 to break-even by Q4 '25, with 132M Q3 revenue est. up 15%. Analysts eye 25% margins by 2026 on in-space manufacturing scale. 2 sources Space Economy Tailwinds: $1T market by 2040; RDW's solar arrays, 3D printing IP position it for 30% sector growth. CoinCodex forecasts $8.41 avg '26 low-end, but bulls like Canaccord ($17.50) see $13 as floor on 11% EPS ramp. 2 sources Volatility from govt reliance, but flawless delivery flips this to orbit. Long RDW? #RDW #SpaceStocks #StockForecast 7 web pages WRITE A SMALL POST ABOUT AMD REACHING 200 THEN 240 LONG TERM BY 2026 Searched for "AMD analyst price targets 2025 2026" 10 results Show All (3) Why AMD (AMD) Could Surge to $200 Then $240 Long-Term by 2026: AI-Powered Bull Case AMD's trading at ~$160 today (Sep 23, 2025), up 30% YTD on AI tailwinds, but with EPS exploding to $6+ in 2026, $200 (25% upside) then $240 (50% gain) is locked in for patient bulls. Here's the roadmap:AI Datacenter Dominance: MI355X GPUs ramping Q4 '25, capturing 20%+ market share from Nvidia via cost-efficient accelerators (40% better tokens/$). Oracle's Zettascale cluster + Meta/Microsoft deals project $40B+ revenue in '26 (21% YoY), per analysts—fueling $200 breakout as datacenter hits 50% of sales. 2 sources EPS Acceleration & Valuation Pop: Consensus EPS jumps 54% to $6.01 in 2026 (from $3.90 '25), trading at 27x forward P/E—undervalued vs. peers at 0.49 PEG. At 33x (Nasdaq-100 avg), that's $199 EOY '26; bulls like Truist eye $213 short-term, scaling to $242 on 35% growth. 3 sources Gaming/Quantum Rebound: Ryzen AI CPUs + IBM quantum collab revive gaming (15% YoY) and edge AI, adding $10B+ revenue. MI400 launch '26 cements leadership, per CoinPriceForecast's $242 avg. 2 sources Analyst Consensus Backs It: 34 firms avg $188 PT (high $230), with LongForecast hitting $296 mid-'26 on momentum. Export risks loom, but flawless execution = moon. 2 sources Long AMD for the AI decade? #AMD #AIStocks #StockForecast 6 web pages DO THE SAME WITH CHIPOTLE 50 DOLLARS Why Chipotle (CMG) Could Climb to $50 by 2026: Tasty Bull Case Chipotle’s trading at ~$43 today (Sep 23, 2025), down slightly YTD, but with strong fundamentals and operational wins, $50 (16% upside) by EOY 2026 is achievable long-term. Here’s the recipe:Revenue & Same-Store Growth: Q2 '25 comps +11.1% and $3.8B revenue (15% YoY) signal robust demand. Analysts project 13% YoY growth to $12.5B in '26, driven by 300+ new stores and digital orders (30%+ of sales). This supports $1.75 EPS, pushing P/E to 28x for a $50 target. Operational Efficiency: Chipotlanes (drive-thru) now in 60% of new locations, boosting margins to 28%+. Automation in prep (e.g., Autocado) cuts costs 5%, per management, fueling EPS growth to $2.10 by '26, aligning with $50 at 24x forward P/E. Analyst Optimism: 27 firms avg $50.24 PT (high $62), with BMO Capital’s $56 Buy rating citing loyalty program strength (35M+ members). CoinPriceForecast sees $53 mid-'26, clearing $50 on 10% comps. Consumer Resilience: Despite inflation, CMG’s premium positioning (health-focused, customizable menu) retains Gen Z/Millennial traffic, hedging macro risks. LongForecast eyes $54 by Q3 '26. Price wars or labor costs could bite, but Chipotle’s growth engine is sizzling. Long CMG? #Chipotle #StockForecast #FastCasual WRITE A POST ABOUT LUNAR STOCK INUTIVE MACHINES BACK TO 20 DOLLARS BY 2026 Searched for "LUNR stock forecast 2026 revenue growth" 10 results Show All (3) Why Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Could Rocket Back to $20 by 2026: Lunar Bull Case LUNR's trading at ~$9.71 today (Sep 23, 2025), down from its $24.95 peak amid mission hiccups, but with NASA contracts stacking and revenue exploding, $20 (106% upside) is in orbit by EOY 2026. Here's the launch sequence:NASA Contract Avalanche: Fresh $2.5M NextSTEP award (Jan '25) for lunar logistics, plus $4.82B Near Space Network (NSN) for comms/nav through 2029 (extendable to 2034). IM-3 mission in '26 delivers South Pole payloads ($116.9M CLPS), scaling DTE services to $200M+ annually. 5 sources LTV award mid-'25 adds mobility revenue, hedging risks. Revenue Hypergrowth: From $217M in '25 to $700M+ in '26 (222% YoY) on dual missions, relay sats, and NSN backlog. EPS flips to $0.03 avg (from -$0.22), trading at 20x forward P/E—undervalued vs. space peers at 30x. 2 sources Analyst Moonshot Targets: Consensus $15.44 short-term (6 firms, Moderate Buy), but bulls like Canaccord ($26, up from $17.50) and Intellectia ($24.94 Dec '26) eye $20+ on Artemis tailwinds. Highs to $31.88 clear it easy. 5 sources Artemis & Market Boom: $1T space economy by 2040; LUNR's Nova-C landers + Khon sats position it for 20-30% YoY growth, per Reddit bulls modeling $500M+ revenue at 20x P/S = $100 PT (conservative slice: $20). Mission delays or funding cuts loom, but flawless IM-3 execution = liftoff. Long LUNR to the Moon? #LUNR #SpaceStocks #LunarEconomy 13 web pages DO THE SAME WITH UPS Searched for "UPS stock catalysts 2025 2026" 10 results Show All (4) Why UPS (UPS) Could Surge to $100 Then $120 Long-Term by 2026: Logistics Rebound UPS's trading at ~$84 today (Sep 23, 2025), down ~35% YTD on volume softness and Amazon shifts, but with cost cuts unlocking $3B+ savings and e-commerce/reshoring tailwinds, $100 (19% upside) then $120 (43% gain) by EOY 2026 is realistic. Here's the bull thesis:Efficiency Overhaul & Amazon Pivot: Cutting Amazon volumes >50% by mid-2026 frees capacity for higher-margin SMB/premium parcels, boosting domestic margins to 12%+. Network of the Future automation (164 closures, 20K job cuts) delivers $3.5B annual savings by '26, per management—driving $100 on EPS ramp to $7.38 (13% YoY). 3 sources Revenue & Margin Expansion: Guidance eyes $108-114B revenue in '26 (above $102B est.), with 1% YoY growth accelerating to 4% in '27 on healthcare logistics (Andlauer acquisition) and nearshoring demand in LatAm/Europe. Operating margins hit 13%+, undervalued at 14x forward P/E vs. 5-yr avg 16.5x—pushing to $120 per Goldman Sachs catalysts. 4 sources EPS Acceleration: Consensus $7.38 EPS in '26 (up 13% from $6.51 '25), with highs to $8.00 on freight recovery and digital investments. At 16x (historical norm), that's $118+; CoinPriceForecast aligns at $114 EOY '26. 2 sources Analyst Consensus Fuels It: 29 firms avg $104 PT (24% upside, high $145), with "Buy" ratings from Goldman/Raymond James citing mid-'26 profitability inflection. Zacks sees 26% to $112
NYSE:UPSLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
UPS: Package Heading Up to Deliver Gains :-)Trading Thesis The core idea is a long-term position trade based on the price gravitating back to its "high trading zones," which are defined by the red trend lines. The strategy is to scale into a long position here at these levels and hold until the price returns to a key resistance zone(marked with red arrow). When the price "skips" these heavy trading zones(red lines/resistance), it often has a tendency to return to them. The trading idea is based on this "magnetic" effect. The entry points (green arrows) are placed to capture a move back up to these high trading zones (the red arrow exit), which is a key part of the overall thesis. Trading Plan Entry Strategy (Scaled-in): First Leg Entry: Enter the first part of the long position at the price level of the first green arrow. This is the initial entry point, betting on a bounce from a key support area. Second Leg Entry: If the price continues to decline and reaches the second green arrow, add to the existing long position. This is a dollar-cost averaging approach, lowering the overall cost basis and preparing for a potential reversal. This level is considered a stronger support zone, and the entry at this point is designed to capitalize on a deeper discount. Exit Strategy: Exit: Exit the entire position at the price level of the red arrow. This area represents a significant resistance level that the price has previously failed to break through. It is the target for profit-taking, as the price is expected to "gravitate and hover" in this zone before potentially facing rejection.
NYSE:UPSLong
by GoldenTraderz_2025
Pessimistically Optimistic!- NYSE:UPS stock has been a dog in the last 3 years. - However, worst appears to be behind us. - Fundamentally, | Year | Bear EPS | Base EPS | Bull EPS | | -------- | ---------------- | ---------------- | ------------------| | 2025. | ~$6.90 (~3%) | ~$7.20 (+7% ) | $7.70 (~15% ) | | 2026 | ~$7.10 (+3%) | ~$7.70 (+7%) | ~$8.85 (+15%) | | 2027. | ~$7.30 (+3%) | ~$8.25 (+7%) | ~10.18 (+15%) | - NYSE:UPS isn't a growth story but a value play. Currently, it is trading at a valuation of bear case and forward p/e of 10. - However, I am betting on stabilization and upward revision of multiple. In that case, a fair forward p/e would be 12-15x | Year | Bear Case Price | Base Case Price | Bull Case Price | | -------- | ------------------ | -------------------------- | -------------------- | | 2025 | $6.90× 10-12 → $69-83| $7.20× 15-18 → $108-130| $7.70× 20-25 → $154-193| | 2026 | $7.10× 10-12 → $71-85| $7.70× 15-18 → $116-139 | $8.85× 20-25 → $177-221 | | 2027 | $7.30× 10-12 → $73-88 | $8.25× 15-18 → $124-149 | $10.18×20-25 → $204-255 |
NYSE:UPSLong
by bigbull037
betting that $82 is $UPS' bottomStrengths and Weaknesses • UPS strengths • Global reach with deep cross-border expertise • Strong B2B relationships and contract logistics capabilities • Reliable on-time performance and premium services (e.g., UPS Express Critical) • UPS challenges • Higher unit costs in dense urban last-mile compared to DSP model • Shrinking share of consumer-ecommerce volumes during labor negotiations • Amazon strengths • Seamless integration between e-commerce platform and delivery network • Dynamic capacity scaling via DSPs and micro-fulfillment centers • Ability to absorb lower margins to drive Prime retention • Amazon weaknesses • Limited third-party client focus beyond its own marketplace • Regulatory scrutiny on preferential treatment and marketplace leverage Strategic Pathways for UPS to Compete 1. Double down on niche, high-margin segments • Healthcare and life-sciences cold chain logistics • Industrial supply-chain services with SLAs 2. Forge partnerships for urban last-mile • Collaborate with local courier networks for cost-effective deliveries • Launch hybrid models combining UPS hubs with third-party micro-fulfillers 3. Accelerate digital transformation • Enhance real-time visibility platforms and customer APIs • Deploy advanced analytics for predictive capacity planning 4. Expand value-added services • Offer fulfillment-as-a-service for DTC brands • Integrate financial, insurance, and returns management solutions
NYSE:UPSLong
by KhanhC.Hoang
UPS Support & Resistance Lines for September Month 2025This chart highlights September’s monthly support and resistance bands for UPS, built as “guardrails” around the month's price action. The outer bands mark the expected extremes, while the inner (half-step) lines act as intermediate pivot zones where price often pauses, flips, or accelerates. Think of them as a pre-mapped playbook for the month: upper band = supply, lower band = demand, with the midlines guiding targets and risk. How I trade it 30-minute for 2–3 day swings Setup: I wait for a 30-min close into a band (upper or lower) plus a clear reaction (wick rejection, momentum fade, or structure break). Entry: Fade the move back toward the nearest midline when the reaction confirms; or ride a continuation if price accepts above/below a band and retests it from the other side. Targets: First target is the nearest half-step line, second is the opposite half-step, final is the far band if momentum persists. Risk: Stop goes just outside the band (for fades) or just back inside the band (for breakouts). If the 30-min closes back through my line, I’m out—no questions asked. Management: Scale out at each line; move stops to break-even after TP1. 1–3 hour for weekly swings Bias: I align 1h/2h/3h trend with where price sits relative to the monthly bands. Acceptance above a midline favors continuation to the next line; rejection at a band favors a mean-revert path. Entry: Use a retest of the broken line on 1–3h candles for confirmation (close-through → retest → resume). Targets: Next line on the map; let winners run to the next higher-timeframe band if structure holds. Risk: Stop beyond the reclaimed line; I tighten weekly as soon as we tag the first target zone. Playbook cues Rejection at outer band → look for fades back to midline. Acceptance and hold beyond a band → trade continuation into the next zone. Stalls at half-step → take partials or tighten stops; these levels often “decide” the next leg. Use the bands to plan entries, exits, and invalidations before the move. No predictions—just rules around predefined levels for September.
NYSE:UPS
by OnePunchMan91
UPS - HTF Swing LongEntering previous demand and key level on UPS. Ideally a drop to 70-76 where we have a bit of confluence in terms of the HTF POC(most traded level). The negative 1 to 1 and Macro 0.618 retracement from ATL. Couple of ways to approach it. Either look for a reaction/setup between 70-76 IF given. Or look for a reclaim of the previous HTF low at 82. HTF upside targets would be 106ish which is the previous high and also the global VAH. Major target would be around 140 +-5 which is the ATH VAH and where anchored VWAP currently sits.
NYSE:UPSLong
by ShogunDK
9/9/25 - $ups - LT buy, but not yet for me9/9/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:UPS LT buy, but not yet for me - reading the last Q's transcript and a few conclusions - this is a serious turnaround. typically that's not my jam. - the amzn issue still not lapped, front and center highlights the crux of problems that need to be solved - consumer/ parcels/ tariffs... still relevant overhang investment wise - we're entering tax loss sell off season - this is either going to become "obvious" in the 70s if the market does a dunk tank in the coming weeks, or just pull a UNH... reversion, stall. that's where i'm targeting below $75 but *if/when and **why we get there. it has to be mkt related pullback - 7% dividend yield probably not at risk, but again, i'm looking at fcf and we're about 6-7% on my figures. that's fine, but not enough - could be something in a yield strategy for me into ye (rolling ITM covered calls e.g. the nov $80 strike for 8 and change caught my eye. - usually these types of names can be canaries too, on tariff, consumer behavior etc. so that's why they're now front and center on my watchlist - i'd not fault you for owning it here, maybe a good LT entry. just not my style at the moment. have a massive cash balance. i'm patient. - a pew to the dome and i'd not be surprised to see mkt dump after fed cuts rates. just seen it too many times. then they come back to the table and light us up and we pay the bankers one more time into YE. - so i'm in observation mode. scouting. position sizes comfy. V
NYSE:UPS
by VROCKSTAR
UPS: From Delivering Packages to Delivering ValueAs you probably know by now, my strategy consists of finding cheap, deep-value, beaten-up, underdog stocks. This is the strategy I've been using for the last 5 years and that allows me to consistently outperform the S&P 500 by 2x to 3x every year. This does not guarantee that all my analyses are correct. But if I'm correct 6 or 7 times out of 10, then I'm a rich man! Now back to UPS! Over the last 3 years, the stock lost 64% of its value. But... did sales or income decline by the same account? Did margins decline? Did the company decrease its fleet by 60%? The answer to all these questions is NO, and this is why I think the stock is undervalued. Yeah, the tariff war and Amazon's slowing of the UPS agreement hurt sales, but these are transient. Overview UPS stock is down 64% since its ATH in 2022. P/S ratio is at 0.8, the lowest since 2009. P/E ratio is at 12.6, the lowest in the history of the stock The P/B ratio is at 4.58, the lowest since 2006. Dividend yield is at 7.8%. The CEO recently bought $1 million worth of UPS stock. This data gives us some clues. The stock is obviously underpriced, despite the fact that UPS is still one of the market leaders and the sales are stable. Financial performance Revenue: TTM $90.69 billion (+1.3% YoY); Revenue is improving, but still 10% down since the $100 billion in 2022. Profitability: Operating margin 9.4% (TTM), net margin 6.4%; EPS is now at $7.70, which is a similar level to what it was in 2020 and 2021, when the stock price was at $120. However, now the stock price is at $85. Balance Sheet: Debt $26 billion, debt-to-equity 1.45x, which is totally fine. Growth prospects UPS is cutting costs and jobs, targeting $3.5 billion in savings by 2026 via automation/AI (5-7% annual cost reduction). E-commerce will sustain long-term growth. The company is innovating with AI-improved routes, self-driving trucks, and drones. Technical Analysis The stock price is right above the $85 resistance level, which has been a support/resistance level since 2005. My target Considering the prospects, estimates, etc, I can see UPS going to $110 to $130 range in mid-2026, providing an upside of 30% to 40%. This level also aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 level. If the stock continues to drop, I will simply average down. I don't think it can drop much more from here, and it will definitely not go bankrupt. I'm gonna invest approximately 1% of my wealth into this stock. Remember, I'm just sharing my journey and this is not financial advice! 😎
NYSE:UPSLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
UPS Here’s the latest on **United Parcel Service (UPS)** stock: ## Stock market information for United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) * United Parcel Service, Inc. is a equity in the USA market. * The price is 88.82 USD currently with a change of 2.66 USD (0.03%) from the previous close. * The latest open price was 86.47 USD and the intraday volume is 10230694. * The intraday high is 89.295 USD and the intraday low is 86.3 USD. * The latest trade time is Saturday, August 23, 03:58:32 +0400. --- ## UPS Stock — Key Overview ### Company Snapshot **United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)** is a global leader in package delivery and supply chain management. Originally founded in 1907 as the American Messenger Company, it has evolved to become one of the largest logistics providers worldwide ( ). UPS operates through three main segments: * U.S. Domestic Package * International Package * Supply Chain & Freight services ( ). On the stock front, UPS Class B shares (ticker: UPS) are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Class A shares carry greater voting power (10 votes each) but are **not publicly traded** and are primarily held by employees and retirees ( ). --- ### Performance & Valuation * On **August 22, 2025**, UPS closed at **\$88.82**, up about **+3.10%**, though it still underperformed peers like FedEx (+5.11%) ( ). * The stock remains approximately **39% below** its 52-week high of about **\$145** ( ). * Financially, in 2024 UPS posted **\$91 billion** in revenue (flat year-over-year) and net earnings of **\$5.78 billion** (down \~14%) ( ). * Valuation-wise, analysts maintain an average recommendation of **“Buy”**, with a **12-month target price** of around **\$112.11**, suggesting \~26% upside ( ). According to **Bernstein** (as of January 2025): * Target increased to **\$179**, citing improving cost visibility and expected margin expansion to \~12% by 2026 (up from below 10% in 2024) ( ). * **Wolfe Research** also upgraded UPS to Buy, setting a target of **\$147**, based on anticipated margin improvements ( ). --- ## Recent Highlights & Challenges ### Earnings Miss & Guidance Concerns * In **Q2 2025**, UPS missed expectations with **adjusted EPS of \$1.55** (vs. \$1.56 forecast), while revenue came in at **\$21.2 billion**—slightly above estimates but down \~2.8% year-over-year ( ). * The company **did not issue full-year guidance**, citing uncertainty from low U.S. consumer sentiment and macroeconomic pressures, including tariffs and weak demand in the small-package segment ( ). * As a result, UPS shares plunged over **10% in a single trading session** ( ). ### Insider Buying as a Confidence Signal * Following the Q2 downturn, CEO **Carol Tomé** and Chairman **William Johnson** **personally purchased shares** at prices around \~\$85–86, signaling continued belief in UPS’s long-term potential ( ). * The shares were acquired despite the stock being down \~30% year-to-date, continuing a multi-year decline that included significant drops in 2022, 2023, and 2024 ( ). --- ## Summary Table | Category | Highlights | | ---------------------- | ------------------------------------------------------ | | **Current Price** | \~\$88.82 (as of Aug 22, 2025) | | **52-Week High Gap** | \~39% below peak of \~\$145 | | **Revenue & Earnings** | \$91B revenue, \~\$5.8B earnings in 2024 | | **Analyst Sentiment** | “Buy”; targets range from \$112 to as high as \$179 | | **Q2 2025 Results** | Missed EPS, revenue slight beat—but no guidance issued | | **Insider Buying** | CEO & Chair purchased shares after earnings miss | --- ## Final Thoughts UPS is navigating through a challenging period, marked by weak consumer sentiment and soft demand in key delivery segments. While near-term results have disappointed and guidance is lacking, management’s recent insider buying is a bullish signal that they believe in a turnaround. Analysts remain optimistic, projecting meaningful upside over the next 12–18 months if margin improvements materialize.
NYSE:UPSLong
by CEOhedgefund
UPS Momentum Trade: Buy $88C → Target 100%+ Return by Friday # 🚚 UPS Weekly Options Setup (8/18 – 8/22) 🔥 **Institutional Flow Signals a Bullish Week** 🔥 All major AI reports (xAI, DeepSeek, Google, Anthropic) are calling **MODERATE BULLISH**, backed by: * 📊 **Call/Put Ratio = 3.47** → Strong institutional bias * 📉 **VIX < 22** → Premiums favorable for long calls * ⚠️ **RSI Bearish** → Risk of reversal, so keep stops tight --- ## 🎯 Trade Setup * **Instrument**: UPS * **Direction**: CALL (LONG) * **Strike**: \$88.00 * **Expiry**: 2025-08-22 * **Entry**: \$0.92 * **Stop Loss**: \$0.46 (-50%) * **Target**: \$1.38 – \$1.84 (+50% to +100%) * **Confidence**: 65% * **Timing**: Enter at open → Exit by Thursday (avoid gamma burn!) --- ## 📈 Breakeven @ Expiry 👉 \$88.92 (Strike + Premium) UPS must close above **\$88.92 by 8/22** for profit at expiry. But plan is **exit early** on IV move → don’t hold into Friday risk! --- ## 🧠 Key Risks * Macro shock headlines 📰 * RSI weakness → possible fakeouts ⚠️ * Volatility spike → premium whipsaw 🎢 --- # ⚡ UPS 88C WEEKLY PLAY ⚡ 🎯 In: \$0.92 → Out: \$1.38–\$1.84 🛑 Stop: \$0.46 📅 Exp: 8/22 📈 Flow > RSI → Betting with the whales 🐋
NYSE:UPSLong
by quantsignals
Warren Buffet and UPSHello I am the Cafe Trader. There have been some wild days, and it's not over. Amidst all the stormy seas, and the major successes, I wanted to bring to your attention a stock that I think is becoming of great value. UPS has been getting beat down for over three years, why? Beatdown - Trump Tariffs contributing to China slowdown. (35% of deliveries comes from China). - Guidance downgraded due to uncertainties with the macroglobal scale, "spooking investors". - UPS cutback dealings with amazon to increase profitablity (but also reducing volume and revenue.) Just to name a few... If such bad news, why buy? Fundamentally their business model is strong, and the dividend is PAYING. Dividends and Warren Buffett. Buffett is still known to use a model by his mentor, Benjamin Graham. (if you don't know, take a little youtube shallow dive). This has been used to build a large portion of how buffet evaluates a stock. Using his formula, the Maximum intrinsic value of UPS is $69.87 As of writing this article, UPS sits roughly 21% higher than that number. If we get close, even the fundamentalists may have a hard time passing this up. Dividends At 1.68 Dividend a quarter, that put's UPS at almost 7.91% yield! So my thought process is; even if you lose 8% from Graham's buy price, you make up on the dividend in a year. (although I would be surprised if it touched that golden zone). TLDR LONG TERM Aggressive buy: $88 (we are below that right now) Great Price: $75.50 - 80.50 Graham's STEAL: $71 or Below. NOTE: Graham took other things about a stock into consideration as we, as you should as an investor. This article is meant to assist your own DD. -Since this is charted on a weekly chart I have charted a probable 4-6 month swing. (almost 50% gain). -It really does depend on where this bounces, we have already broke through some major levels. -I have a feeling UPS drivers might be cashing out their 401k and panic selling. That's all for UPS! I hope you enjoyed the article, thank you for your time. If you enjoyed please consider a follow and a boost! @thecafetrader
NYSE:UPSLong
by thecafetrader
4
Positioning UPS Long Amid Global Logistics Tailwinds Current Price: $103.56 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $106.00 - T2 = $108.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $101.00 - S2 = $99.50 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS). **Key Insights:** United Parcel Service Inc. is in a prime position to benefit from ongoing bullish sentiment in the broader equity markets. As global trade momentum gains strength, the logistics sector—particularly UPS—stands to capture value from increasing international shipping demand and rising domestic delivery requirements. The company’s strong fundamentals, coupled with bullish technical price action, present an attractive long-term growth opportunity. UPS’s recent consolidation below a key resistance level is indicative of potentially higher breakout levels next week, provided broader economic resilience persists. Upside catalysts include favorable earnings forecasts and resolution of international trade deals, both of which may attract institutional investors toward logistics stocks like UPS. Additionally, the company could benefit from sector rotations into large-cap value plays amid market diversifications away from technology-heavy equities. **Recent Performance:** The stock has been consolidating near its current price level of $103.56, after experiencing a moderate recovery from earlier lows near the $100 range. This steady upward trend indicates gradual confidence among traders as UPS maintains its leadership position within logistics and freight services. With resistance levels at $105, subsequent breakout potential could lead to higher prices in the forthcoming sessions. **Expert Analysis:** Analysts remain optimistic about UPS’s capability to capitalize on emerging trends, including reaccelerating global trade and increased e-commerce penetration. Technical studies reveal upside divergence in recurring price movements and volume accumulation, suggesting an imminent rally back to its previous highs. Expert sentiment suggests that regular upward price action could position UPS as a prominent logistics equity benefitting from broader economic activity and capital inflows into its sector. **News Impact:** UPS’s role in enhancing international logistics networks places it as a top contender for benefiting from trade agreement developments between the U.S. and EU. Also, the upcoming earnings season is critical, as positive reports across the S&P 500 would likely drive sentiment and support upward progression in its stock price. UPS’s exposure across e-commerce and freight delivery ensures robust prospects amid current global volatility, further providing potential tailwinds to its long opportunities. **Trading Recommendation:** Given its technical consolidation near $103.56 and key resistance levels above, traders should position long with a first target at $106.00 and a second target at $108.00. Stops at $101.00 and $99.50 ensure risk management while allowing room for volatility. With positive fundamental drivers, UPS represents a high-conviction opportunity amidst macroeconomic strength and evolving logistics demand.
NYSE:UPSLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
UPS is currently in the Wyckoff Accumulation Phase### **Wyckoff Phase: Accumulation** 1. **Prior Downtrend:** The weekly chart (left) clearly shows a prolonged and significant downtrend through 2024 and into early 2025. This fulfills the "Markdown" phase that precedes accumulation. 2. **Stopping Action and Base Formation:** The daily chart (right) shows that the steep decline halted around March-April 2025. The price then rallied automatically and has since been consolidating sideways. This sideways trading range, following a major downtrend, is the hallmark of the Accumulation phase, where "smart money" may be absorbing shares and building a cause for a future rally. 3. **Confirming Indicators:** The "Neutral" rating from the technicals gauge confirms the current lack of a strong trend. Furthermore, the positive performance in the last week (+1.45%) and month (+3.62%) shows that selling pressure has subsided and short-term demand is emerging, which is consistent with the early stages of accumulation. ### **Suggested Option Strategy: Poor Man's Covered Call (PMCC)** Given the analysis that UPS is building a base in an Accumulation phase (implying a neutral to bullish long-term outlook), a **Poor Man's Covered Call (PMCC)**, also known as a long call diagonal debit spread, is a suitable strategy. This strategy allows you to establish a bullish position with less capital than buying 100 shares, while potentially generating income during the expected consolidation period. **How it Works:** This is an advanced strategy and should be approached with a full understanding of the risks. 1. **Buy a Long-Term, In-the-Money (ITM) Call:** Instead of buying 100 shares of UPS, you buy a single call option with a long time until expiration (e.g., 6-12 months). Choosing an in-the-money strike (a strike price below the current stock price) makes the option behave more like the stock. 2. **Sell a Short-Term, Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Call:** Against your long call, you sell a call option with a near-term expiration (e.g., 30-45 days) and a strike price that is above the current stock price. **Goal of the Strategy:** The objective is for the short-term call you sold to decrease in value faster than your long-term call due to time decay (theta). Ideally, the short call expires worthless, and you keep the premium. You can then repeat the process by selling another short-term call, continuously reducing the net cost of your long-term bullish position while you wait for the stock to potentially begin its "Markup" or uptrend phase. *** *Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Options trading involves significant risk and is not suitable for all investors. You should consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.*
NYSE:UPSLong
by KhanhC.Hoang