GC | Week 49 | 1hr chartT.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Gold TRY per gram Futures
No trades
Trade ideas
Gold Context: December Open & Holiday Inventory CheckCOMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
Traders. Here is the context update as we transition into the new month.
Market Context (Holiday Drift): The auction drifted higher on thin volume during the Thanksgiving and Black Friday shortened sessions. This extension was largely driven by a lack of sellers rather than aggressive buying, leaving us with a "thin" structure.
Structure & Inventory: We have significant inventory resting back at 4200 – 4170, sitting just above the Previous Week High (PWH).
Current Action: Price is holding the holiday extension.
The Problem: The move up lacks heavy volume support. We have "unfinished business" below at the breakout zone.
Plan & Execution: Monday marks the start of fresh December flows. I am not interested in chasing this extension at these highs.
Stance: Flat / Patient.
The Test: I want to see Gold rotate back to test the inventory at 4200 – 4170 first.
Decision: We need to verify if buyers will defend this zone (turning old resistance into support) before committing to a new directional bias.
Talk to you for the next update.
Gold Update 02DEC2025: Multiple Options Are PossibleThe price has been stuck in the range as expected for wave 4
Let’s navigate this chaos and build viable paths on the chart
Option 1: Ending Diagonal wave 5 — pink marks
This option is based on the idea that wave 4 looks disproportionately large compared to wave 2
It could already be over after the first large move down to the $3,900 area
The current ascending zigzag may be shaping an Ending Diagonal in wave 5 to retest the former top around $4,400
Option 2: Triangle — orange marks
I left this path on the chart last time for visualization and it still could play out
Waves A and B could be completed with waves C, D, E ahead
Option 3: Large sideways consolidation (range, box) — white marks
This scenario implies a flat correction within the established $4,400–$3,900 range
Which path do you think the price will take?
Share your thoughts in the comments below
GC UpdateSilver looks topped out, and gold moving down as well. I think I'll wait for indicators this time, lol.
I exited out of the trade a bit early last week because ES1! had an open gap that I knew would fill, and I wasn't sure if gold would go down with the stock market.
With silver going parabolic, and gold following the same direction, I think this might be a difficult trade to track, but I'll give it a go, lol.
1H Rally-Base-Rally Long Setup | Weekly & Daily AlignedMarket structure remains bullish across the higher timeframes with the Weekly, Daily, and 1H all trending upward. I’m focusing on the most recently created valid 1H Rally-Base-Rally demand zone for a potential long entry.
This zone is high quality because it:
✅ Removed opposing supply zones
✅ Broke a valid trendline on departure
✅ Shows strong impulsive buying pressure
✅ Is the most recent institutional demand on the 1H
Plan is to wait for price to return into this zone for continuation with the higher-timeframe trend. As always, patience and risk management first no chasing price.
GOLD in a windup. Targets $4800AS we progress ever closer to the quite historic level of $5k for #GOLD
We note that Gold has been quite predictable and routinely has delivered +20% powerful moves since 2024.
The price action currently suggests we are about have another pop very soon.
Will it be enough to tag the $5K level
odds suggest that it definitely on the table.
The #HVF pattern points to $4800 and with some over performance we are right on that doorstep.
Gold Context: Reclaiming 4227 & Follow-Through FlowsFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
Traders. Pre-US Open update on the developing structure.
Market Context (Reclaiming Value):
Gold has successfully rotated back above 4227, reclaiming Friday's trading range.
• The Flow: We observed initial short covering that found genuine follow-through. This indicates that the market is not just covering shorts but finding acceptance at these higher prices.
• Structural Shift: By trading back inside Friday's range, the auction has negated the immediate bearish pressure seen at the lows.
Structure & Outlook:
• The Pivot (4227): This level is now our key reference. As long as Gold facilitates trade above 4227, the bias remains constructive (Long).
• The Target: The immediate destination for this rotation is 4250.
• Condition: We need to see the US Open maintain this bid and not fall back below the 4227 shelf.
Plan & Execution:
• Bias: Long / Constructive.
• Invalidation: A failure to hold 4227 would put the auction back into a weak position.
Talk to you for the next update.
Gold Context: Failed Breakdown & Structure ResilienceCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Traders. Update on the opening flows of the week.
Market Context (The Defense): Yesterday, the auction probed slightly below Friday's low, but failed to find acceptance or continuation.
The Reaction: Instead of triggering a broader liquidation break, we saw immediate short covering.
Key Observation: The market barely tested Thursday's low. This inability to extend lower and "repair" the structure indicates a lack of aggressive selling interest.
Structure & Outlook: I do not view this price action as a sign of weakness. On the contrary, the rejection of lower prices suggests responsive buying is present.
The Expectation: We are looking for this initial short covering to transition into New Money (OTF) buying.
The Confirmation: If "New Money" steps in above the current balance, it validates the resilience we saw yesterday and should drive the auction higher.
Plan & Execution:
Bias: Constructive / Looking for upside rotation.
Focus: Monitoring the transition from mechanical short covering to genuine initiative buying.
Talk to you for the next update.
GC | Week 50 | 1hr chart T.A explained -
BackSide (BS)
FrontSide (FS)
Inverse BS (Inv.BS)
Inverse FS (Inv.FS)
BS & FS levels are expected support when dashed lines, tested when dotted and resistance when solid lines.
The inverse is true for the Inv. BS Inv. FS levels, they are resistance as dashed lines, tested as dotted and support as solid lines.
Monthly timeframe is color pink
weekly grey
daily is red
4hr is orange
1hr is yellow
15min is blue
5min is green if they are shown.
strength favors the higher timeframe.
2x dotted levels are origin levels where trends have or will originate. When trends break, price will target the origin of the trend. its math, when the trend breaks, the vertex breaks too so the higher timeframe level/trend that breaks, the more volatility there could be as strength in the orders flow in to fuel the move.
Gold Outlook – Key Levels I’m WatchingThese are the zones I’m currently expecting on gold. If price continues to move lower, those are the areas I’ll be watching for potential long entries. I’m noticing relatively high volume in the lower region, which suggests the market feels comfortable operating within those levels.
However, in the upper zones, volume drops significantly, indicating we are outside the fair value area. In these regions, you don’t need heavy market buy volume to move the price, which implies volatility is likely to increase once price returns there.
Gold Value Rotation & Lack of ConvictionFOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 COMEX:GC1!
Traders. Context update for the remainder of the week.
Market Context (The Rotation):
The auction has rotated back into yesterday's Value Area and POC (Point of Control).
• The Driver: This move was primarily driven by mechanical short covering rather than initiative buying.
• The Problem: There is no evidence of "new money" (OTF) entering the market to sustain a directional trend. The auction is simply balancing.
Structure & Inventory:
• Balancing: Price is chopping between the GEX levels (Gamma levels), finding acceptance around the 4244 POC.
• Momentum: Stalled. The market is waiting for a catalyst from the Dollar (DXY), which is currently consolidating at lows.
• Behavior: Every breakout attempt is failing to find follow-through, confirming a mean-reversion environment.
Plan & Execution:
Given the lack of conviction, I am not looking for trend trades this week.
• Stance: Range Bound / Two-Way Trade.
• Tactics: Fade the edges of the balance. Expect price to remain tethered to the POC until new information enters the market.
Talk to you for the next update.
Balancing Range & The 4190 PivotCOMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGCG2026 FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Traders. Update on the current auction structure.
Market Context (No New Money): We have yet to see any "New Money" or Initiative Buying enter the market. Yesterday developed as another Balance Day, capped by some late-session liquidation.
The Reality: The auction remains range-bound between 4,290 (High) and 4,190 (Low). Without a fresh catalyst, price is simply rotating within this established bracket.
Structure & Key Levels:
Bullish Scenario: If Gold can hold acceptance above Yesterday's Low, the rotation favors a re-test of the upper distribution around 4,260 – 4,270 later this week.
Bearish Scenario: The line in the sand is 4,190. A breakdown and acceptance below this level changes the context significantly, likely dragging the auction down to repair the November Balance Area (~4,100).
Plan:
Stance: Neutral / Range Trading.
Execution: Fading the extremes of the 4290-4190 range until we see a breakout with volume confirmation.
Talk to you for the next update.
Symmetrical Triangle🟦 Symmetrical Triangle Behavior
It represents a volatility contraction and indecision.
It usually follows a strong prior move — and in this case, the run-up before November 27–28.
Because the run-up was bullish, statistically the probability leans slightly toward a bullish breakout, but breakouts must be confirmed, not predicted.🚨 What Matters Most
🧾 Levels to Watch (approximate)
These need validating as price evolves, but based on your drawing:
Breakout Zone (Bullish): ~4,260–4,270
Breakdown Zone (Bearish): ~4,190–4,200
📉 If It Breaks Down
Targets could be measured using the height of the triangle:
Rough move target: 40–60 points from breakout/breakdown.
Gold (GC1!) Forecast: The Squeeze & Release Path via DSRTL MatriCategory: Trend Analysis / Chart Patterns
Symbol: GC1! (Gold Futures)
In this analysis, we use the DSRTL-ML (Dynamic Support & Resistance) engine to map the current structural context for Gold. The indicator is tagging the state as “TESTING RES – Bias: Neutral”, highlighting a consolidation phase right underneath a major resistance band. Structurally, this is a spot where static friction meets dynamic momentum.
1. The Current Structure: Compression Phase
The Matrix currently sits at S2 | D3 (Testing Resistance).
- The Ceiling (Static R): Price is capped by a high-volume resistance node (orange zone: ~4.24K–4.31K), acting as a lid on price action.
- The Floor (Dynamic S): At the same time, the rising DSRTL trend line (dynamic support) is pushing the lows higher inside the channel.
Taken together, this can be viewed as an early ascending-triangle–style squeeze: price is consolidating between a flat static lid and a rising dynamic floor, while DSRTL keeps the official bias neutral and labels the state as a resistance test.
2. Path of Least Resistance
The dashboard shows a positive Net Delta of +8.36K, suggesting that buyers have been active right below the resistance band.
- Projected Path: In the absence of a clear break, price can continue to oscillate within this narrowing pocket between static resistance and the rising channel.
- Breakout Vector: The combination of constructive volume flow and an upward-sloping dynamic channel creates a supportive backdrop if an upside break occurs, even though DSRTL itself still prints a Neutral bias here.
3. Scenario & Structural Objectives
- Trigger: A confirmed close above the top of the Static R band (~4.31K) would move the Matrix out of its S2 “testing” state toward an S1-type breakout environment.
- Next Structural Area: Above that level, the next area of interest becomes the upper rail of the DSRTL dynamic channel (pink line), where the system could start migrating toward its higher “extension” states.
Invalidation:
If price breaks and closes below the rising pink dynamic support, the bullish squeeze thesis is invalidated. In that case, the Matrix would likely rotate toward Neutral/Bearish or Bearish-Pullback configurations, depending on how price interacts with the underlying static support band.
Disclaimer: This forecast is based on structural scenarios derived from the DSRTL-ML engine and is provided strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.






















