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my view on the DXY for the next trading week 18 Aug / 22 Aug This coming week I expect the DXY Index to text the 98.200 /98.300 resistance and lower to the 97.100 level of support, this is a strong support HOWEVER a close below that will call the next support 96.450 A break of 98.600 will more ikely resume uptrebd to 99.600 - 100.000 Keep always an eye to the DATA released throught the week and enter your tradng positions ALWAYS at support or resistance - this week I will be REACTIVE rather than predictive
TVC:DXYShort
by SalvoVaccaro
DXY Outlook: A Final Dip Before a Major Rip?This is a multi-timeframe analysis of the US Dollar Index (DXY), combining technical structure with the current fundamental landscape. The thesis presents a short-term bearish view for the coming week, followed by a significant mid-term rally, which ultimately may be part of a larger long-term corrective structure. Analysis Breakdown 1. Short-Term View (Weekly Outlook): Bearish 📉 Technical: On the daily chart, the DXY continues to consolidate within a large symmetrical triangle after a strong bullish impulse. While currently holding the 0.382 Fibonacci support, we could see one final push downwards this week. The target for this dip would be the stronger confluence zone located at the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns perfectly with a key Daily Demand Block. This move would serve to hunt liquidity resting below the triangle's support line before the true direction is revealed. Fundamental: With a relatively quiet economic calendar early in the week, markets may position themselves ahead of future inflation data. This could provide the window for this final corrective leg down. 2. Mid-Term View (1-3 Month Outlook): Very Bullish 📈 Technical: This is the core of our thesis. We anticipate a strong rejection from the aforementioned 0.50 Fibo / Demand Zone. A confirmed bounce from this area, followed by a decisive daily candle close above the triangle's upper trendline, would signal the end of the consolidation and the resumption of the primary bullish trend. The initial target would be the previous high, with potential to extend further. Fundamental: This bullish rally would be fundamentally driven by a persistent "higher for longer" interest rate narrative from the Federal Reserve. Any incoming data showing sticky inflation or continued economic strength in the US would act as a major catalyst, forcing the market to price out rate cuts and re-price a strong dollar. 3. Long-Term View (6M+ Outlook): Bearish 📉 Technical: Zooming out, the entire bullish structure we are seeing in 2025 can be interpreted as a large corrective wave within the multi-decade macro downtrend that began post-1985. The anticipated mid-term rally, while significant, would likely find its ultimate peak at a major historical resistance level before the larger structural downtrend resumes. Fundamental: Long-term headwinds for the dollar remain, including rising US national debt and geopolitical de-dollarization trends. Furthermore, eventual success in curbing inflation would lead to the rate cuts that the current administration is advocating for to boost trade competitiveness, aligning with this long-term bearish view. Strategic Plan The immediate strategy is one of patience. Short-Term: Look for signs of weakness to confirm the dip towards the primary support zone. Mid-Term: The A++ setup is to wait for a confirmed bullish reversal from the key Demand Zone. A long position would be considered only after a clear breakout of the triangle pattern, targeting the yearly highs. This bullish scenario remains the primary thesis as long as the key demand zone holds.
TVC:DXY
by YVS_
DXY Locked & Loaded: Robber's Gameplan for Profit Pullout💸💼 "DXY Market Heist Blueprint – The Thief's Bullish Escape Plan" 💼💸 Rob the Market, Not the Rules – Trade Smart, Trade Sharp, Trade Thief Style™ 🌍 Hey Money Makers, Risk Takers & Market Robbers! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🙌 Let’s break into the DXY vault and swipe those profits with precision. 💼💸 🧠💡This Thief Trading Style™ Master Plan is a high-stakes operation backed by technical setups, macro-fundamentals, and robbery-level insights. Follow the blueprint laid out on the chart. Our target? The High-Risk Yellow ATR Zone – where the real treasure is buried. 💼 ENTRY: "The Vault Is Open – Grab the Bullish Bags!" Enter long as price approaches key pullback levels within a 15–30 min timeframe. Use the most recent candle wick’s swing low/high for sniper-style DCA entries. 🔑 Layer multiple limit orders like a thief stacking getaway bags (aka the DCA / Layering Method). Be patient and precise. 🛑 STOP LOSS: "Don’t Get Caught by the Market Police" 📍 Place SL just below the nearest 4H swing low (example: 97.300) depending on your strategy (scalping/swing). ⚖️ Your SL should reflect your risk appetite, lot size, and how many limit orders you’re running. Thieves don’t risk it all on one job. 🎭 🎯 TARGET: 101.800 (or Escape Before the Sirens) Once the target zone nears, decide whether to collect full loot or exit before resistance hits. We trade smart, not greedy. 🧠💰 📈 Why This Heist Makes Sense: Market Conditions Breakdown Bullish momentum supported by macro drivers and intermarket forces COT report and sentiment leaning in favor of USD Dollar Index structure showing signs of reversal + trend confirmation Consolidation trap zones hinting at institutional accumulation 💡 This is not just a blind entry—it's a well-researched and time-tested plan. Check the chart details and refer to: 🔗 Fundamentals | COT Reports | Sentiment Score | Quantitative Outlook 🚨 NEWS & POSITION MANAGEMENT ALERT Before jumping in, beware of high-impact news! 🗞️ To keep your trades safe and stress-free: Avoid opening new positions during major news releases Use trailing SLs to protect gains Monitor volatility triggers (economic calendar is your best friend!) 🏴‍☠️💥 BOOST THE ROBBERY – Hit That Like/Boost Button The more you boost, the stronger the heist crew becomes! 💪🚀 Help fellow traders steal opportunities with the Thief Trading Style™ – calculated, bold, and sharp. 🔥 Let's continue to outsmart the markets and make each trade count. Stay tuned for the next heist update – fresh trades, deeper insights, and bigger bags. 🤑💼 🔔 Disclaimer: This plan is not financial advice. Use it for educational and entertainment purposes. Always conduct your own analysis and manage risk accordingly. 📌 Markets shift quickly. Stay adaptable, informed, and always ready to pivot.
TVC:DXYLong
by The-Thief
DXY (Daily)🔎 Chart Context • Instrument: DXY (US Dollar Index) • Timeframe: 1D (Daily) • Broker: Capital.com • Date: 15 August 2025 This chart tracks the relative strength of the US Dollar against a basket of major currencies. It is also strongly correlated inversely with risk assets (BTC, SOL, equities, gold). 📊 Key Observations 1. Macro Structure • DXY peaked at 109.879 and 109.506 (late 2024 highs). • Since then, the index has been in a steady downtrend, forming consistent lower highs: 107.235 → 104.256 → 101.513 → 98.959. • Current price trades around 97.805–98.268, well below prior supports, confirming bearish pressure. 2. Support & Demand Zones • 97.527 – 96.663: Current support range being tested repeatedly. • 95.000: Stronger demand zone, marked as the next probable retest. • 93.000: A deeper liquidity level, identified as a potential long-term downside target. 3. Resistance Zones • 98.959 – 99.804: Previous breakdown area and strong supply. • Any bullish bounce will likely stall in this zone unless momentum shifts drastically. 4. Liquidity Behavior • DXY is compressing within the 97.5–99 band. • Multiple sweeps of 97.527–96.663 suggest buyers are weakening. • Next liquidity magnet lies at 95.000, with potential extension to 93.000. 5. Projected Path • The chart projection suggests further downside movement toward 95.000, followed by a temporary relief rally, then continuation toward 93.000. • This aligns with a macro bearish USD outlook. 📈 Bullish Case (Low Probability, Countertrend) • If DXY holds 97.527–96.663 strongly and forms a higher low: • First target: 98.959 (minor resistance) • Second target: 99.804 (supply zone) • Sustained break above 101.513 would change trend bias to bullish. • However, this requires a major macro catalyst (e.g., Fed tightening or risk-off flows). 📉 Bearish Case (Higher Probability, Dominant Scenario) • Downtrend structure intact with clear lower highs. • Current weakness signals continuation: • Next stop: 95.000 liquidity zone. • Final target: 93.000 if bearish momentum persists. • This aligns with weakening dollar demand and capital rotation into risk assets (crypto, equities, commodities). ⚡ Trading Plan • Short Bias (Preferred Play): • Enter on relief rallies into 98.959–99.804 supply zone. • Target 1: 95.000 • Target 2: 93.000 • Stop-loss: Above 101.513 • Long Setup (Countertrend, Risky): • Enter at 95.000 demand zone (scalp long). • TP1: 98.959 • Stop: Below 93.000
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Ikeyhan
DXY4H**Analytical Trading Perspectives for the Upcoming Week** In this series of analyses, we have reviewed short-term trading perspectives and market outlooks. As can be seen, in each analysis there is a key support or resistance zone near the current price of the asset. The market’s reaction or breakout at these levels will determine the next price movement toward the specified targets. **Important Note:** The purpose of these trading perspectives is to highlight the key levels ahead of price action and the market’s possible reactions to them. These analyses are by no means trading signals.
TVC:DXY
by esmaeilesmaeilzade_fx
BEARISH MONTHLY PULLBACK ON XYDXY is bullish until we break and close below the invalidation of bullish bias. So if I have a bullish bias -I note April as True Year Open. I will buy below the TYO, hence the bearish monthly pullback. Confluences that support my bearish Bias: Current quarter is bearish and the draw on liquidity is towards the SSL around 30th June 2025 lows. The previous week closed bearish so this coming week our initial draw on liquidity is bearish towards the green line. This may proceed towards the 30th June lows and into the inverse monthly FVG sitting above a fair value area and a bullish monthly order block marked in thick green line.
TVC:DXYShort
by Syndyk8
DXY consolidating near key supportThe DXY is consolidating near key support, as Fed policy, inflation prints, and global trade moves dominate. A break below 97.10 risks deeper declines, while stability or positive data could prompt a technical rebound toward 98.65 –98.90. Fundamentals point to ongoing softness barring a surprise risk-off event, with yield dynamics and capital flows dictating the dollar’s path. Fundamental Analysis: Fed Policy: The market is pricing a ~89% chance of a 25bps cut at the September FOMC, with some banks forecasting up to four cuts by year end. This has capped dollar upside, as US yields drift lower. Inflation: Core PCE stands at 2.8% YoY, above the Fed’s target, but the most recent CPI & PPI data was mixed. Headline inflation surprised on the high side, but rates markets still bet on easing as growth softens. Macroeconomic Data: Labor data (including NFP, jobless claims) and ISM services trends have been underwhelming, fueling a tug-of-war between those expecting the Fed to cut sooner and those betting on sticky inflation. Global Politics & Trade: New tariffs as of August on over 60 nations and 18.6% effective average US tariff rate, the highest since the 1930s, have muddied safe-haven flows supporting the dollar at times, but now viewed more as a global growth risk that could hurt USD as well. Capital Flows: Despite volatility, the dollar remains underpinned by structural demand reserve currency role, deep markets, global capital safety. However, persistent US policy uncertainty around trade and the US Fed means foreign flows are choppier than usual. Central Bank Trends: Some major peers such as ECB, BoE are also expected to ease or are facing economic softness, limiting the DXY’s downside. However, the US policy shift is perceived as more aggressive for now. Technical Analysis & Key Levels Pivot: 98.00 – 98.20 Immediate Support: 97.25 and 96.45 Major Support: 97.10, a close below here increases risk of further decline. Immediate Resistance: 98.65, then 98.80. A break above here is needed for a bullish reversal. Major Resistance: 99.40 and 100.00, these are bullish targets if the USD stages a structural rebound. If support holds and macro data surprises to the upside, a rebound to 98.65 – 98.80 could materialise. Analysis by Terence Hove, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
TVC:DXYShort
by WiseLeoTrading
DXY: Dollar’s ready, but the starter pistol’s still silentDXY is holding in the 97.50–97.60 support zone, an area where buyers have stepped in multiple times. Current market structure suggests possible liquidity accumulation before an upside move. The key tactical trigger is a breakout and close above 98.76, opening the path to 100.28, then 101.84 where historical selling pressure has emerged. The long-term target, if all levels break in sequence, is 104.40. While price remains below 98.76, buyers have no confirmed advantage and any rally remains speculative. Fundamentally , the dollar lacks unconditional support: US macro data is mixed and Fed policy remains uncertain. However, safe-haven demand and cautious risk positioning by large players create a backdrop for a potential upward correction. Tactical plan: watch 97.50–97.60, a confirmed break above 98.76 activates a move towards 100.28 → 101.84 → 104.40. Failure to break cancels the idea until a fresh impulse emerges. The dollar right now is like a boxer before stepping into the ring - warmed up, focused, but waiting for the bell.
TVC:DXYLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Bearish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 98.40 1st Support: 97.76 1st Resistance: 99.28 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYShort
by ICmarkets
DXY Is Still Bearish; Final Leg Of The Wedge Pattern?DXY Is Still Bearish, but it can be trading in final leg of ending diagonal a.k.a. wedge pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective. US Dollar Index – DXY made only a three-wave rise from the lows, which indicates for a correction within downtrend. So recovery can basically still be a fourth wave rally, just a bit deeper one that can still belong to an ending diagonal a.k.a. wedge pattern. Final wave “v” of 5 can be still missing, so be aware of a continuation lower within a new three-wave abc decline, especially if breaks below the lower side of the corrective channel near 97.70 level.
TVC:DXYShort
by ew-forecast
8
US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis:The DXY is currently moving sideways in the short term, awaiting today's economic data, while maintaining a bearish bias in the long term. It has recently retested the 97.90 level as a nearby resistance area. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the index resumes its decline and breaks below the 97.60 support level with confirmation, it may move toward testing the 97.20 area, which could act as a potential rebound zone. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If bullish momentum emerges and the price breaks above 97.90 with stability, the index may head toward the 98.13 level, followed by a retest of 98.50.
TVC:DXYShort
by Fadi_radar