DX.F trade ideas
WILL THE BEARS CONTINUE TO BREAK THE BULLS' BACKS ???DXY ANALYSIS (Weekly Timeframe) (Chart 2)
Looking at higher times, weekly and monthly. We see that price created a long-term bullish support. We have seen the first several touches of the support line between the 28th of April 2011 and the 29th of August 2011, a total of 10 touches. We have also seen the second touches on the trendline between the 6th of January 2021 and 7nth of May 2021, about 12 touches. We are currently witnessing the third touches on the trendline. Price has already touched once the trendline on the 30th of June 2025. We are still expecting more touches and a breakthrough into the trendline. Should bulls remain weak, we will see price retest and breakaway from the trendline.
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DXY Daily TF Consolidation Pending a Major BreakoutPrice has been ranging between a daily resistance and demand zone since the beginning of August. Another bounce in the demand zone this week will take price back to the resistance zone and if the resistance zone continues to hold then we short back to demand.
However, should resistance break, then the next target will be in daily supply. CPI should give us a better indication of should we get a break of this consolidation.
Personally I am leaning towards a bullish dollar for the short-term foreseeable future.
DXY ready to resume downtrend!97.94 Level on DXY is a high liquidity zone as in the falling market there is bounce off to 97.937. Price grabbed liquidity and started to drop again to the major direction of the trend. As it is a long term down trend and price just rejected from a high liquidity zone, it is a high probability price may continue to drop to this support level as multiple timeframe trend is bearish.
US Dollar: Still Bearish-Neutral, But Is The Correction Ending?Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Sept 8-12th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: USD Dollar
The USD is still grinding sideways, but it did sweep the low of the consolidation Friday on bad NFP numbers. Worth mentioning is it finally made contact with a significant demand zone as well. As bearish-neutral as the DXY has looked over the past several weeks, there is potential here that if has finally found support for higher prices.
As long as the market maintains the protected low, we are still in correction territory. The potential for a move higher remains.
React and do not predict.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY)...one of the most important tools for a tradeHello TradingView community! Joseph here, just wanted to share some nuggets on the Dollar Index and how it has helped me in my personal trading and profitability in the markets.
In the video I go over
1. The significance of the USD in the markets
2. How using the USD index is necessary for correlation (multi-asset even)
3. How to use the USD index to help better time your own trades in the markets
So sit back, grab your notebook and take some notes because this information WILL help give you an immediate higher chance of success if applied!! Thanks for watching please boost/comment/follow my page for more trading nuggets!
Cheers!
Dollar Index (DXY) – Watching Both Sides LiquidityOn the daily timeframe, we can clearly identify liquidity resting on both sides of the chart:
Relative equal lows acting as sell-side liquidity.
Low-resistance highs representing buy-side liquidity.
From my perspective, the main draw on liquidity remains the sell-side lows. However, before targeting that area, price may first reach higher to grab the buy-side liquidity. Once this liquidity is collected, I expect a potential shift in momentum and a move to the downside.
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Pre-FOMC Crossfire US DOLLAR INDEXPre-FOMC Dollar War Map
The weekly chart just printed a fourth straight lower high—
a slow grind down while Friday’s close stayed red.
Liquidity is stacked behind us, perfect fuel if the desks want to run stops before the Fed.
Order flow shows massive resting bids around 96.962, the last structural block.
If that line cracks, expect the move to be fast and brutal.
Cross-markets are whispering the opposite:
equities, metals, and crypto are coiled to run if the dollar slips.
The headlines will call it a surprise.
It isn’t. The map was drawn weeks ago.
Focus on levels, not noise.
Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
DXY – Potential Bullish Bias: Daily Fakeout & H4 ReversalThe Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal.
On the Daily timeframe, price has swept below support and is now indicating a potential fakeout. This often signals trapped sellers and can provide fuel for a bullish recovery if price reclaims above the broken level.
On the H4 timeframe, I see a V-shape continuation pattern forming. Price has also made multiple retests in the same zone, showing strong buying interest. This confluence strengthens the bullish bias.
For execution, I will wait for a clear reversal signal on H4 (such as a strong bullish engulfing candle or momentum break) before confirming the entry. If the reversal holds, the next upside targets could align with the Fib extension levels (1.618, 2.618, and 3.618).
Risk management remains key – if price fails to hold the fakeout level, then the bearish trend may still continue.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trade call. Analysis shared here is for educational purposes only. Please manage your own risk accordingly.
Dollar Bloodbath = Risk On Assets Rally?Dollar Fundamentals:
The dollar posted modest gains on Friday due to higher T-note yields, which have strengthened the dollar’s interest rate differentials.
The University of Michigan US Sep consumer sentiment index fell more than expected to a 4-month low causing the weakening of the dollar.
Limiting the upside in the dollar are the increased expectations for Fed easing through year-end. The dollar is also being undercut by concerns over Fed independence, which could prompt foreign investors to dump dollar assets as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, and by Stephen Miran’s intention to be a Fed Governor.
What Can We Expect Going Forward?
- Due To High Resistance Over Multiple Weeks, There Will Be Massive Levels Volatility, Aiming To Trap The Retail Traders
- Next Week Wednesday Will Determine How Volatile Dollar Will Be. Anything More Than A .25 Basis Point Decline Will Cause Turmoil For Dollar.
- This Will Lead Risk-On Assets (e.g. GBPUSD, EURUSD, AUDUSD) Rallying Up Into Premium Arrays
Prices To Keep An Eye On:
- 99.078 (Last Line Of Defence)
- 96.377 Major Sellside Liquidity
- Medium-Term Draw To 95.716 - 94.313 HTF Array
GBPUSD
Fundamentals :
UK gross domestic product remained unchanged in July after growing 0.4% in June, the Office for National Statistics said, as manufacturing output, which makes up 9% of the economy, dropped by 1.3% on the month.
The BoE is widely expected to keep its benchmark Bank Rate unchanged on September 18, after a split decision to lower the rate to 4% in August.
What To Expect Going Into Next Week?
- Increased Volatility
- Trigger HTF Stop Losses
- Unusually High Levels Of Manipulation
Price Points To Keep A Eye On:
- 1.35950 Buyside Liquidity
- 1.36760 - 1.37036 Longer Term Premium Array
- 1.34458 Mean Threshold (Last Line Of Defence)
WILL THE BEARS CONTINUE TO BREAK THE BULLS' BACKS ???DXY ANALYSIS (Daily Timeframe).
On the 1st of July 2025 price began printing a sideways correction, wherein minute wave (a) terminated on the 1st of August 2025. Price is currently printing a minute wave (b) before a minute wave (c) to complete minor wave 4. Minute wave (c) may not take out the 100.257 levels due to the strength of the Bears.
Looking at higher times, weekly and monthly. We see that price created a long term bullish support. We have seen the first several touches of the support line between the 28th of April 2011 and the 29th of August 2011, a total of 10 touches. We have also seen the second touches on the trendline between the 6th of January 2021 and 7nth of May 2021, about 12 touches. We are currently witnessing the third touches on the trendline. Price has already touched once the trendline on the 30th of June 2025. We are still expecting more touches and a breakthrough into the trendline. Should bulls remain weak, we will see price retest and breakaway from the trendline.
#SabaliCapital
#TechnicalAnnalysis
#DXY
Brief Analysis of US DXYDXY is trading around 97.70, while trending within a descending channel formation, and holding above 97.60 (Fib support 0.236), with resistance seen near 97.80–98.00 zone.
The RSI is rising and holding near 46, showing mild recovery momentum but not yet strong enough for a breakout.
However, prices have taken a support at the middle Bollinger band, which might lift the dollar a little higher.
Price action suggests consolidation inside the descending channel; intraday bias stays neutral-to-bullish above 97.60.
PPI data stronger than expected could lift DXY toward 98.35–98.50, while weaker data may pressure it back toward 97.30.
The 10Y auction outcome will also guide direction — higher yields can support the dollar, while softer demand may weigh on it.
Dollar index downtrend continuationOn the daily timeframe, we could observed a downtrend movement impact of the NFP news.
The market then, made a healthy retracement.
When will this retracement end?
Lets zoom-in in a lower timeframe.
This chart is m30. We could observed a complete H&S pattern hint for down movement is about to start.
I believed it can go further down but lets aim as what H&S pattern suggest,
Distance from 'Head' to 'Neckline'= Distance from 'Neckline' to 'Target'.
This is analysis is for my future reference.
If you want to follow, make sure calculate your own risk & reward.
This analysis will have corelation with other currencies:-
USDXXX : Down trend
XXXUSD : Up trend
Good Luck