Get started
Dollar IndexDollar IndexDollar Index

Dollar Index

No trades
See on Supercharts
OverviewNewsIdeasMindsSeasonals

Trade ideas

DXY — Triple Compression: CPI Meets a 3rd Weekly & 4th Daily Ins The U.S. Dollar Index is locking in tight — 3rd consecutive weekly inside bar, and a 4th possible daily inside bar — as U.S. inflation holds firm and Japan’s core inflation uptick adds fuel. Context We’re locked in structural compression: three weeks of internal price action, and today presents a 4th daily inside bar formation. Weekly key range: low 97.561 and high 99.197. Price is stuck in the mid-zone, patiently waiting. For bias confirmation: Break of Tuesday’s 21 Oct daily candle low at 98.143 or high at 98.613 will signal directional bias. Macro queue: Big data hits next week (inflation prints, central-bank focus). Volatility is coiled. Technical Weekly frame: Still inside the bearish range (97.561 – 99.197). Daily frame: Bias leans bullish until the range breaks — think “bullish inside bar pending expansion”. In symmetrical measures: Risk of overbought cognition; if today’s low holds and Monday fails to trade through it, we may see a higher low setup. Execution: Wait for clean breakout of the inside bar structure; use volume confirmation; avoid getting sucked into a false squeeze. Fundamentals U.S. inflation: The Consumer Price Index for September is published today (24 Oct) after delay due to shutdown. Bureau of Labor Statistics +2 The Financial Express +2 Japan inflation: September core inflation rose to 2.9% YoY, moving above the Bank of Japan target and adding pressure to the JPY‐rate story. Trading Economics +2 Bloomberg +2 Impact mechanism: Sticky inflation → reduces odds of immediate rate cuts → supports USD strength; yet structural squeeze in DXY means the market is holding its breath for breakout. Plan & Mindset Plan: Hold off trading until Monday’s price action gives clarity through breakout of the inside-bar structure. Then map cross-assets (EURUSD, GBPUSD) accordingly. Mindset Structure rules story. Don’t fight a tight coil. Today you “wait with purpose.” If price breaks, act decisively; if it breaks wrong, adapt quickly. - Like waiting for the popcorn — you don’t eat the kernels while still heating.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY and EURUSD Consolidate Near Key Breakout LevelsOn the 4-hour chart, both DXY and EURUSD are consolidating near key levels, with DXY leaning bullish and EURUSD leaning bearish. DXY Outlook A breakout above 99.15 could redirect gains toward 99.50, setting up another test before confirming a move higher toward 100.20 (July 2023-September 2024 resistance), then 101 and 103. On the downside, a hold below 98.80 could extend the consolidation between 98.60 and 98.40. EURUSD Outlook A breakout below 1.1600–1.1560 could extend the decline toward 1.1520, with deeper losses possible toward 1.1480 and 1.1380. From the upside, holding above 1.1620 may allow a rebound toward 1.1680 and 1.1730, before targeting yearly highs if momentum builds further. Razan Hilal, CMT
TVC:DXY
by FOREX.com
DOLLAR INDEX The Dollar Index (DXY) is a measure of the value of the US dollar relative to a basket of major foreign currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. It provides an overall indication of the dollar’s strength or weakness in the global foreign exchange market. How the Dollar Index Works The index is weighted based on trade volumes between the US and these countries, with the euro having the largest weight (~57.6%). A rising Dollar Index means the US dollar is strengthening against the basket currencies; a falling index indicates dollar weakness. Impact of Interest Rates and Bond Yields on the Dollar Index Interest Rates: Higher US interest rates generally attract foreign capital because they offer better returns on dollar-denominated assets, increasing demand for the US dollar and pushing the Dollar Index higher. Conversely, lower rates can weaken the dollar. Bond Yields: US Treasury yields are closely linked to interest rates. Rising bond yields attract yield-seeking investors from around the world, boosting demand for the dollar. Higher yields improve the dollar’s appeal relative to other currencies, often driving the Dollar Index up. Rate Differentials: The key driver is the differential between US interest rates/bond yields and those of other major economies. If US rates or yields rise more than those abroad, the dollar tends to strengthen. The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for October 28-29, 2025. The key federal funds rate decision will be announced on October 29, typically at 2:00 PM Eastern Time, followed by a press conference led by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Regarding the Dollar Index (DXY), FOMC rate decisions have significant effects: If the Fed cuts rates, as widely expected at this meeting due to a weakening labor market and inflation concerns, the US dollar tends to weaken against the basket of major currencies, putting downward pressure on the Dollar Index. A dovish tone from the Fed, signaling further rate cuts ahead, typically extends dollar weakness. Conversely, if the Fed surprises with a pause or hawkish stance, the dollar could strengthen, supporting an increase in the Dollar Index. Market consensus currently leans toward a 25 basis point cut, implying a likely bearish impact on the Dollar Index near the announcement. Summary The Dollar Index gauges the overall value of the US dollar versus a currency basket. Rising US interest rates and bond yields increase demand for US dollar assets, pushing the Dollar Index higher. International rate differentials are key to understanding dollar strength or weakness in global forex markets. This interrelationship influences trade, capital flows, and monetary policy impacts across economies.. trade direction based on structure. the last analysis on dollar /gold inverse reaction was a complete reaction on Friday 17th at 97.999 and we have seen gold sell off on the dollar buy floor . the next anticipation will be on 96.361 floor which will come along FOMC rate outcome ,if the rate decision and outlook becomes positive ,technical correction might continue for the yellow metal before rally. the us-china tension is cooling off ,technically slowing central banks demand for the yellow metal. GOODLUCK #XAUUSD #GOLD #DOLLAR #DXY
TVC:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
DXY Daily Outlook — Bullish Order Flow Toward Equal HighsHello traders 👋 On the DXY daily chart, we can clearly see that price showed a strong bullish reaction after grabbing liquidity below 96.37, initiating a bullish order flow that, in my view, is still in progress. The equal highs above the current price act as a potential draw on liquidity and serve as my first bullish target. However, keep an eye on the trendline liquidity forming below the current price — there’s a possibility that price may sweep this liquidity before continuing higher. Overall, my bias remains bullish for now. 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌 🔎 DYOR 💡Wait for the update!
PEPPERSTONE:USDXLong
by VahidTradingCR
1
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D28| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D31| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
DXY long-term ideaThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is declining as investors anticipate a softer U.S. monetary policy and shifting global capital flows. Recent economic data—such as slower job growth, moderating inflation, and weaker consumer spending—has increased expectations that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates or at least pause further hikes. Lower rates reduce the dollar’s yield advantage, making it less attractive to global investors. At the same time, improving economic conditions abroad, particularly in Europe and emerging markets, are boosting demand for other currencies, putting additional downward pressure on the DXY. Furthermore, rising risk appetite in global markets often leads investors to move away from the dollar’s safe-haven status toward higher-yielding or riskier assets. In short, the DXY is falling because markets are pricing in a weaker Fed stance, softer U.S. data, and stronger foreign currencies.
TVC:DXYShort
by limitless911
Bullish reversal?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the major resistance. Pivot: 98.55 1st Support: 98 1st Resistance: 99.53 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
DXY Rejection from Premium Zone | USD Weakness AheadHello Billionaires!! The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of exhaustion after tapping into the FVG + Order Block within the premium zone. We’ve also confirmed a Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside — signaling a potential short-term reversal. 📊 Analysis Breakdown: FVG & OB confluence near 98.90 🧠 MSS indicates bearish intent ⚡ Targeting buying zone around 98.30 area 🩸 This scenario supports USD weakness, aligning with potential bullish moves in EURUSD, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD. 💡 Trade Plan: DXY → Short bias below OB USDJPY → Short setup favored EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD → Look for long setups Smart Money likely engineered liquidity above before pushing price lower to rebalance inefficiency.
TVC:DXYShort
by AliyanFX
1
DXY: 3mo timeline channel, BULLISH Interest rates (relative to global peers) in the US remain relatively high. Global peers dropping rates at a much quicker pace when compared to the FED. US GDP growth continues at a fast pace thanks to expanding margins through efficiency thanks to AI. I believe we'll also begin to see small to mid caps perform as well as large caps currently are in the next year or so. Continued drop in commodity prices like oil From a technical perspective, on the 3mo timeline, the 50 sma is about to cross above the 200 sma. Current price is also bouncing off bothe the 50 and 200 sma. I believe the DXY is clearly bottoming in a multi decade long channel. As much tension as there is in the world today, we are still grinding forward. Nothing is perfect, but the sentiment shows clear promise in future growth which would help accelerate DXY value relative to the rest of the worlds currency. This doesn't mean stocks must come down. We can have both. ...But I'm an optimist. All the best.
TVC:DXYLong
by HassiOnTheMoon
General Market OutlookHello, I want to talk about markets in general before the week start. The Federal Reserve is trying to navigate with limited data. Recently, after Governor Waller used ADP data without authorization, the Fed lost access to ADP’s high-frequency employment data as well. CPI and core CPI both came in at 3%, slightly below market expectations but in line with Cleveland Fed and Bloomberg models. With inflation not overheating, there is little reason for the Fed to delay rate cuts in its remaining two meetings this year, though these cuts are likely already priced in. The real focus will be on what FED will do in 2026. This week brings meetings from the Fed, ECB, BOJ, and BOC, while the Trump–Xi talks will take center stage. For me, the most important event will be the US–China negotiations. China holds a structural advantage: its exports have remained resilient despite US tariffs, supported by rising trade with South America, Africa, the EU, and South Asia. Meanwhile, the US remains heavily dependent on China for rare earths, a situation unlikely to change soon. However, China’s top priority remains its economy, which should keep the door open for compromise and negotiations. Also, keep an eye on the shutdown situation and upcoming earnings reports. US bond yield is falling, now a battle around 4% is ongoing for 10-y yield. If it bounced from 3.85% trendline dollar might try to recover, but so far I don't see any reason for a dollar jump, rather the tight range between the trendline from 2011 and 100 resistance likely to continue. EURUSD is trying to recover with slighlty bullish trend but this trend could turn into flag formation easily if dollar index to make a move towards 100. I expect EURUSD to continue recover with strong data from EU and weaker data from US. If shutdown extends further, both stock market and dollar might turn bearish. There’s nothing new to add for USDJPY beyond the previous analysis. If the base case scenario unfolds, it will support the dollar index retesting its trendline in the coming weeks. Nasdaq is still trending high with insane amount of AI investments and better than expected earnings. High valuations, shutdown and China fears are not in the spotlight yet. As long as Nasdaq trend channel continues, no reason to back out bullishness, but careful if it break because corrections often came very hard. Crypto market is yet to recover after the massive sudden crash. Bitcoin is less effected, but still has a problem. If 114k regained, maybe signs of recovery will be more clear. But the danger is not over yet. My base case for gold to hold above 4000 and recover towards 4250. 4160 is a key resistance this week. I expect gold is getting to a long term peak, likely to hit before the year end but still has some way to go. I will write about Silver's long term cycle in a couple of days so stay tuned for that.
TVC:DXY
by orancapital
US Dollar Index Tests Range Resistance as Momentum Firm Post-FedThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined horizontal range, bounded by resistance near 100.30 and support around 96.42. Price is currently hovering near the upper half of this range, suggesting renewed bullish momentum in the short term. The 50-day SMA (98.17) is trending upward and recently acted as dynamic support, while the 200-day SMA (100.53) remains above price, serving as a longer-term resistance barrier. A sustained move above the 100.30 zone would be required to shift the broader structure toward a more constructive outlook. The MACD shows a mild bullish crossover above the signal line, indicating strengthening momentum, while the RSI (61) remains in neutral-to-bullish territory — suggesting there is room for further upside before overbought conditions emerge. Overall, the index remains range-bound but shows short-term bullish undertones as it approaches key resistance. Traders may watch for price action confirmation near the upper boundary to gauge the next directional move. – MW
TVC:DXY
by FOREX.com
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot, which is a pullback support and oculd bounce to the swing high resistance/ Pivot: 98.97 1st Support: 98.62 1st Resistance: 99.43 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by IC Markets
DXY Breakout Beyond 98.6 — Fed Cuts 25bps, New Structural Terrai🧭 Context The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has pushed above 98.6 for the first time , powered by heavy institutional volume and a fresh wave of macro catalysts. The Federal Reserve delivered a 25 bps rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range to 4.75 – 5.00 % — its first reduction since the easing cycle began in September. Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that further cuts will depend on data trajectory, particularly inflation and employment stability. Bond markets reacted swiftly: 10-year Treasury yield: dipped from 4.18 % → 4.05 %. S&P 500 futures: modestly higher (+0.3 %) as lower yields eased risk pressure. Gold (XAU/USD): steady near $2 435 as traders weighed dollar strength against yield softness. 📊 Technical Frame If close > 98.80: confirms bullish structural regime — fresh momentum across USD pairs. If re-enter < 98.60: false break → likely liquidity retest. Volume expansion validates the move Cross-asset implication: risk pairs (EUR/USD, XAU/USD, BTC/USD) now operate on new structural geometry. 🗓 Fundamental Pulse ✅ Today: FOMC Rate Decision (-25 bps) 🕓 Powell Presser: cautious tone, data-dependent policy 📅 Tomorrow: U.S. GDP (Q3 advance) + Unemployment Claims 📅 Friday: Core PCE — key Fed inflation gauge Each print will shape the next confirmation wave of this breakout. 💭 Mindset News creates noise. Structure creates order. Volume shows intent, but confirmation proves it. The disciplined trader waits for structure to speak before taking action. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
CAPITALCOM:DXYLong
by CORE5DAN
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W44 | D27| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by JCFRGNT
1