US Dollar:  Looking For Higher Prices This WeekWelcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 20-24th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:  USD Dollar
The USD had a bearish week overall, but Friday's bullish close may hint towards the bias for this week.  Potentially, we may see some continuation to the upside over the next couple of days.
Look at how price pulled back into the Daily Demand.  This is a great place for the retracement to end ... and the new bullish leg to begin.
Wait for confirmations... like the failure of the -FVG.  Then buys become valid.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
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Trade ideas
Dollar Index (DXY): New Bullish Wave Confirmed?! 
Here a quick follow-up for my recent idea for Dollar Index.
The price retested a recently broken major horizontal structure cluster
and even went below that with a bearish trap.
A rising trend line was respected as a strong vertical support
and we see a bullish continuation now.
I think that we can expect a rise at least to 99.3 level now.
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DOLLAR INDEX- WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS We're looking at the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the weekly timeframe, and what’s happening here can be broken down step-by-step:
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🔍 1. Overall Structure
The chart shows a major downtrend that started after the last high around 110.176.
Since then, price has made a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish momentum.
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🧭 2. Current Price Action (Recent Weeks)
Current price: 98.816
Recent low: 96.218
You can see a base forming between 96.2 – 99.0, which looks like a potential accumulation zone.
Price has bounced off that 96.2 support, showing buyers are defending that level.
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📊 3. What It Means
The long red candles earlier show strong bearish control (USD weakening).
But now, the smaller green candles and wicks indicate loss of bearish momentum — sellers are no longer as aggressive.
This often hints that institutions might be building long positions for a potential correction or reversal.
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🧩 4. Key Technical Levels
Support Zone: 96.00 – 97.00 → where buyers stepped in.
Resistance Zone: 100.00 – 101.50 → the next test area for price.
If price breaks above 99.50–100.00 and holds, that confirms bullish continuation toward 101 – 103.
But if it rejects again near 99.50 and drops below 97.00, expect further bearish continuation toward 95.00 or even 93.50.
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💡 5. Institutional Insight
Given the prolonged drop:
Smart money could be accumulating USD longs around the 96 – 98 range.
They typically buy when retail traders still expect further decline — so this could be an early reversal phase.
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🧭 6. Summary
Direction	Status	Key Levels	Signal
Long-Term Trend	Bearish	110 → 96	Still dominant
Medium-Term	Accumulation	96 – 99	Possible reversal forming
Short-Term	Bullish Attempt	99 – 101	Needs breakout to confirm
🟦 Institutional Buy Zone (96.0 – 98.0)
This blue region represents institutional accumulation.
Large players (smart money) began building long positions here after a long decline.
The repeated rejection wicks around 96.2–97.5 indicate strong buying interest and liquidity absorption.
This zone acts as a major support area — any retest into it could trigger renewed bullish reactions.
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🟥 Institutional Sell Zone (100.0 – 101.5)
The red zone marks institutional distribution or short positioning.
Historically, price rallies into this area have been met with strong rejection, suggesting liquidity grabs before downside continuation.
This zone now serves as a major resistance level, where sellers may re-enter.
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⚖️ Interpretation
The current price (98.8) sits between these two zones — meaning DXY is at a decision point.
A break above 100.0–101.5 would confirm bullish strength, targeting 103–105.
But a rejection near 99–100 and fall below 97.0 would signal bearish continuation back toward 95.0–94.0.
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🔍 Trading Insight
As long as DXY holds above 96.0–97.0, expect possible accumulation or reversal structure.
Institutions tend to use this stage to trap retail sellers, then push the market higher toward the sell zone.
4th Quarter Madness In a world where there's a government shut down, technology is changing at a rapid pace, finances are changing at a rapid pace, I see short term bullishness for DXY. This daily chart outlines the year 2025 in quarters and as we sit in the 4th quarter, I see a reason to believe we will be bullish targeting the consolidation high sitting at 100.250 then the high found in Q2 which sits at 102 institutional level. 
DXY AnalysisOn the weekly chart, the price has formed a new trading range. We mark it out and move down to the daily timeframe.
After the correction, the price reacted from an inefficiency zone, showing buyer interest.
At the moment, I’m considering two bullish scenarios:
1️⃣ An impulsive breakout of the daily FVG zone followed by an expansion of the current range.
2️⃣ A reaction from the FVG zone, then a sweep of Friday’s low, after which the price could resume its upward movement.
I see the second scenario as more likely, as it would allow the market to collect liquidity before continuing higher.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 97.71
1st Support: 96.64
1st Resistance: 99.98
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
DXY - TRADING WEEK 20 - 24 OCTOBER 2025This week i expect the DXY to pullback to the 98.800/98.900 level of resistance and consequencially selloff to the 97.700 - 97.600 level of support closing the gap created two weeks ago, I don't exclude a lower test in the 97.000 area, this will be up to the strenght of the USD coming out from data at the start of the week.
The test of 97.700 - 97.600 could provide excellent trading setup and entries for GOLD, EUR USD, USD CHF and related USD  pairs.
I expect the index to rally up and achieve the 99.600 and 100.200 level of resistance.
Please like/comment/share this idea - i will follow up through the week.
Wishing you all a great trading week!
DXY: Sellers Take ControlHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
The US Dollar Index (DXY) formed a sideways range on the daily timeframe at the end of June. The seller’s initiative is now active, with a target at 96.767.
Before that, there was a buyer initiative, and we can see that at the end of it, there was a manipulation around the 98.640 level. 
A buyer attack occurred on high volume, but the sellers absorbed the buyer’s attack candle and pushed the price downward on October 15.
The price may return to retest either 98.65 - 98.35 area. However, the main movement on the Dollar Index remains downward. 
Wishing you profitable trades!
DXY: Last Dip Before Lift-Off?Previous roadmap  played out well — time to refresh the view.
 Global (1W)  
  
  TVC:DXY  remains in an uptrend. Since 2008 we’ve built a textbook five-wave impulse.
Since 2022/2023 that impulse has been in correction — base read: a single zigzag (SimpleZ).
 Base case:  correction completes → trend resumes with new highs ahead.
 Alternatives 
Flat: push toward 114–115, then a deep pullback.
Double zigzag (W–X–Y): bounce first, then one more leg down.
 Local (12H) 
  
Finishing ABC where C likely prints an ending diagonal → expecting the down leg to terminate and a rising phase to begin (either corrective or impulsive).
 Price Action 
Imbalances below may still get tapped; we’re below a key level, but the core scenario is dollar strength ahead.
  
  
What’s your take? Which path do you favor — Base (new highs), Flat (114–115 then pullback), or W–X–Y (one more leg lower)?
DXY Free Signal! Sell!
 Hello,Traders!
DXY  Price is expected to retest the horizontal supply area early next week as liquidity builds up below Friday’s close. Smart Money may engineer a short-term rally into this zone before resuming the bearish move toward 98.38.
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Stop Loss: 98.71
Take Profit: 98.38
Entry: 98.58
Time Frame: 3H
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 Sell!
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DXY SHORT FROM SUPPLY AREA|
 ✅DXY  Price is retracing toward the supply level, where a reaction is likely once the imbalance gets filled. A rejection from this zone could confirm the retest before continuation lower toward the 98.30 target area. Time Frame 2H.
 SHORT🔥
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Dollar index - Macro Bearish divergenceA lot of information in the above 6-month chart of the dollar index, could discuss for hours.. some highlights:
1) The bearish divergence currently printing shall confirm by July 2023 should 100 level collapse. It is the only time in history a bearish divergence of this strength has printed on the 6-month chart.
2) IF it confirms, the index will target the lower side of the channel around 60-70 level.
3) Notice the trend of the index, lower highs lower lows. It is remarkable how many are bullish on the dollar, in the macro sense.
4) Both the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ made considerable gains in the 10-year period that followed a rejection from the upper side of the channel. Many ‘experts’ now talk about the coming lost decade. Gold is the only option, they say. Is that what you see in this chart?! Not what I’m seeing.. 
Will return in July to see how this candle prints, however with 1.3 months to go it is not looking good for the dollar.
Ww
DXY UpdateDXY — The Volume Cap: Where Momentum Meets Memory
Every market has memory — and in the Dollar Index, it’s sitting right at 97.4.
That’s the current Volume Cap — a zone where heavy participation once stopped price cold, leaving unfinished business behind.
Price loves to revisit these caps, testing whether the imbalance still holds or finally gives way.
⚙️ Context (4H | Friday Recap)
Friday delivered heavy volume and clean directional flow — a textbook session.
DXY continues to rotate within the 97.048–99.198 range, holding a short-term bullish tone inside a larger consolidation.
📊 Technical Map
• Structure: Long-term bearish range inside a broader consolidation phase.
• Momentum: Still bullish, but showing early fatigue.
• Volume Cap: The 97.4 level remains unfilled, acting like a magnet for potential retests — the true battleground between continuation and correction.
🌐 Fundamental Pulse
After a month of running hot, the dollar finally cooled.
Retail Sales and Industrial Production softened, yields eased, and traders started whispering “rate cuts” again.
The Fed’s cautious tone keeps volatility contained ahead of next week’s Core PCE inflation data.
🧭 Trade Plan (If/Then)
If DXY runs through 97.4, watch for a bearish Volume Cap flip — potential downside toward nearby support.
If Monday’s price action drives higher, expect bullish momentum rotation back toward the 97.0 retest region.
DXY Continuing the bullish trend?DXY Weekly Outlook
The dollar has been bullish over the past few weeks, continuing to break structure to the upside. I expect this momentum to carry on a bit further, but as price approaches a strong supply zone, we could see some short-term downside.
This potential pullback would likely cause a temporary push-up for EU and GU before the dollar resumes its bullish move overall.
I don’t trade the dollar directly, but I use it as confluence for my main pairs — and right now, it aligns perfectly with my EU and GU outlooks.
Key Levels:
Possible bullish reaction around 99.600
Potential bearish reaction around 100.000 (psychological level)
Bullish continuation setup?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivo,t which s a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracemnt and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 99.10
1st Support: 98.40
1st Resistance: 100.38
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.






















