US100 Price Update – Clean & Clear ExplanationUS100 is moving within a broad ascending channel, defined by a long-term diagonal support line that has guided the market’s bullish momentum since late November. Multiple interaction points along this trendline show it has historically acted as a reliable dynamic support zone.
Several shaded horizontal regions highlight key supply and demand zones. These zones reflect areas of repeated institutional activity where price has previously paused, consolidated, or reversed. The upper shaded region represents a resistance cluster where bullish momentum has struggled to sustain continuation, resulting in repeated rejections and wicks to the upside.
The most recent price movement shows the index pushing upward into this resistance band once again, followed by signs of exhaustion. A projected schematic drawn on the chart suggests a potential final liquidity grab—where price may sweep the highs near resistance before reversing. The marked red zone indicates the anticipated rejection area, implying traders may be monitoring this region for a potential bearish shift.
Below, two targets are outlined:
1st Target: Positioned near a mid-range demand zone, aligning with a previous consolidation block. This zone represents the first probable area where price may stabilize or react after a breakdown from the trendline.
2nd Target: A deeper level aligned with a broader structural demand zone. This region marks a significant liquidity pool and a potential magnet for price if bearish momentum continues.
The downward arrow illustrates the conceptual path of a scenario where the ascending trendline is broken decisively, potentially triggering a momentum-driven decline toward these target levels. This depiction emphasizes the importance of trendline integrity and the reaction at the overhead supply zone.
Overall, the chart presents a clean confluence-based structure combining trendline dynamics, supply-demand mapping, and liquidity behaviour—offering a well-organized visualization of a possible medium-term market reversal scenario within a prevailing upward trend.
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USNAS100 Consolidation Positive Holds Strong range momentumUS100 shows price action moving within a rising channel after recovering from previous lows. The market is currently trading near 25,686, approaching a key resistance zone around 25,800 – 26,205. This area has been marked as the upper boundary where price may face rejection or potentially break out.
Technically US Stocks closed out the trading week with slight gains on Friday as the latest flurry of economic data kept elevated expectation for federal reserve interest rate cut next week intact,
Remember if Price could hold above support and continue upward along the upper channel, targeting the major resistance at 26,205 Price may dip back into the support zone before attempting another move upward.
You may find more details in the chart,
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
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US100: Nasdaq 100 Maintains Bullish Structure Into Fed WeekUS100: Nasdaq 100 Maintains Bullish Structure Into Fed Week
US100 remains in a bullish structure for now. The price has broken out of the triangle pattern, signaling an increase in bullish momentum.
With market optimism still high regarding a potential FED rate cut, the probability of further upside remains elevated.
However, with the FOMC meeting approaching, volatility is expected to rise significantly. This makes short-term targets more reasonable, as market behavior can shift quickly once speculation around the news intensifies.
Short-Term Targets:
🎯 25,930
🎯 26,080
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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USNAS100 | Momentum Builds Above Key PivotUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
USNAS100 is showing signs of stability above the pivot line at 25730.
As long as the price holds above this level, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 25880 and 25980, with potential extension toward 26200.
However, a 1H or 4H candle close below 25730 will activate bearish momentum, opening the way toward 25570 and 25430, with deeper downside possible into 25210 if selling pressure increases.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 25730
Resistance: 25880 · 25980 · 26200
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25210
Nasdaq - The final blow-off top!⚰️Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) can rally a final +25%:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just this month, we witnessed quite some volatility on the Nasdaq with a correction of about -10%. However, bulls immediately stepped in and clearly pushed price higher. Since there is still bullish pressure, a final blow-off top rally in the near future is quite likely.
📝Levels to watch:
$25,000 and $30,000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ100 Strong Bullish Momentum — Clean Entry & Exit Blueprint⚡ THIEF STRATEGY ALERT: Golden Cross Breakout Setup
📈 TRADE PLAN OVERVIEW
Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100 Index)
Timeframe: Day/Swing Trade
Market Bias: 🟢 BULLISH (Moving Average Breakout + MACD Golden Cross Confirmed)
Strategy Type: Layered Entry Approach (Multi-Level Limit Orders)
🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY - "THIEF LAYERING METHOD"
Multiple Limit Order Entry Points (Build Position Gradually):
📍 Layer 1: 25,400 (First Entry)
📍 Layer 2: 25,500 (Second Entry)
📍 Layer 3: 25,600 (Third Entry)
💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layer levels based on your capital allocation & risk tolerance. This pyramiding approach reduces average entry cost and limits downside risk.
Why This Method? The layered entry reduces emotional trading, averages down your entry price, and ensures you're not all-in on one level.
🛑 STOP LOSS - "THIEF OG PROTECTION"
Suggested SL Level: 25,200
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. Adjust your stop loss based on:
Your personal risk tolerance
Account size & position sizing
Technical support levels on your timeframe
🔴 Remember: Risk management is YOUR responsibility. Set stops that protect YOUR capital.
🎁 PROFIT TARGET - "POLICE BARRICADE RESISTANCE"
Primary Target: 26,100
📊 Technical Confluence:
SUPERTREND ATR Line = Strong Dynamic Resistance
Overbought Zone Alert = Potential Reversal Risk
Resistance Trap = Take profits before reversal occurs
⚠️ CRITICAL NOTE: Partial profit-taking recommended. Don't be greedy at target levels—accumulate gains gradually:
🟢 Take 30-40% profit at 26,100
🟢 Move SL to breakeven, trail remaining position
🟢 Exit second half on additional resistance or SUPERTREND reversal
💰 YOUR DECISION: Profit targets are YOUR choice. Trade at your own risk and manage your exit strategy.
🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (Risk/Opportunity Indicators)
1. SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - USD Strong Correlation (0.95)
Key Point: Leads or confirms NAS100 moves
Watch For: If SPY breaks below key support, NAS100 pullback likely
Action: Use SPY strength to confirm NASDAQ100 breakout validity
2. QQQ (NASDAQ 100 ETF) - Perfect Mirror (1.0 Correlation)
Key Point: Direct tracker of your asset
Watch For: Volume spikes, divergence patterns
Action: Cross-reference QQQ volume with NAS100—lack of volume = weak breakout
3. DXY (US Dollar Index) - Inverse Correlation (-0.75)
Key Point: Strong dollar = tech selloff risk
Watch For: DXY rejection at key levels
Action: If DXY rallies hard, NAS100 bullish bias weakens—be cautious
4. TLT (20-Year Treasury ETF) - Indirect Inverse (-0.60)
Key Point: Rising rates pressure growth stocks (NASDAQ)
Watch For: TLT breakdown = rate hike concerns = tech pressure
Action: Monitor TLT support; if breaks, expect NAS100 resistance
5. GLD (Gold ETF) - Risk-On Indicator (0.40)
Key Point: Flight-to-safety alternative
Watch For: Sharp gold strength = risk-off environment forming
Action: Gold spike with NAS100 move down = sell signal confirmation
6. VIX (Volatility Index) - Fear Gauge (-0.80)
Key Point: Rising VIX kills bullish momentum
Watch For: VIX above 20 = caution on long positions
Action: If VIX spikes during entry, wait for stabilization before scaling in
✅ CHECKLIST BEFORE ENTRY
Moving Average crossover confirmed (golden cross visible)
MACD histogram turned positive
Price closed above key moving average
Volume supporting the move
Correlated pairs (QQQ/SPY) confirming bullish setup
DXY not in strong uptrend (tech-unfriendly)
VIX stable or declining
🎯 TRADE MANAGEMENT RULES (THIEF OG STYLE)
Scale In: Use limit orders—don't chase price
Protect Profits: Move stop to breakeven after first target hit
Trail Stops: Let winners run while protecting gains
Take Partials: Secure profits incrementally—greed kills traders
Monitor Correlations: Watch correlated pairs for early warning signals
Respect Risk: NEVER risk more than 2% per trade
⚠️ RISK DISCLAIMER
This is an Educational Guide Only for trading strategy examples.
🔴 NOT Financial Advice: I am not a financial advisor, and this does NOT constitute investment advice.
🔴 Your Responsibility: All entry, exit, and stop-loss decisions are YOUR choice and YOUR responsibility.
🔴 Past Performance ≠ Future Results: Market conditions change; strategies may fail.
🔴 Risk Capital Only: Trade only with money you can afford to lose completely.
Trade at your own risk. Always do your own research (DYOR).
💪 THIEF OG'S MINDSET
Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's),
Success in trading isn't about following someone else's exact setup—it's about understanding the WHY behind each decision, adapting to YOUR risk tolerance, and executing with DISCIPLINE.
This guide provides the framework. You provide the execution. Make your profits, protect your capital, and trade smart. 🎯
Now go earn those tendies, OG's! 💰📈
Last Updated: December 2025
Strategy Type: Day/Swing Trade | Timeframe: 4H-Daily
Break and retestnice little break and retest before open, and if it goes good and staable set sl closer, close off some size and ride the wave.
ps.
Iv been gone from trading for a while, iv spent 9 years learning, I got profitable after 3 years. I got so good that everytime i deposited i consistanly won, 1k, 600, 5k and so on. but one day i stopped and lost interest, but now im back and ready to take on 2026 with a iron bid. Follow for the come back of the kid who made it out of the garage.
NASDAQ formed its 1st 4H Golden Cross in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) completed last Friday its first 4H Golden Cross formation in more than 7 months (since May 01). This is taking place while the index is inside a Channel Up, making a V-shaped recovery from the November 21 Low.
The last time all the above conditions were fulfilled was exactly during the May Golden Cross. With the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) as its Support, the index eventually hit its previous All Time High (ATH).
As we've entered the Fed week, we can finally see this move to the ATH Resistance, so our short-term Target on Nasdaq remains 26200.
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Anchor Candle MethodAnchor Candle Method: How To Read A Whole Move From One Bar
Many traders drown in lines, zones, patterns. One simple technique helps simplify the picture: working around a single “anchor candle", the reference candle of the pulse.
The idea is simple: the market often builds further movement around one dominant candle. If you mark up its levels correctly, a ready-made framework appears for reading the trend, pullbacks and false breakouts.
What is an anchor candle
Anchor candle is a wide range candle that starts or refreshes an impulse. It does at least one of these:
Breaks an important high or low
Starts a strong move after a tight range
Flips local structure from “choppy” to “trending”
Typical traits:
Range clearly larger than nearby candles
Close near one edge of the range (top in an up impulse, bottom in a down impulse)
Comes after compression, range or slow grind
You do not need a perfect definition in points or percent. Anchor candle is mostly a visual tool. The goal is to find the candle around which the rest of the move “organizes” itself.
How to find it on the chart
Step-by-step routine for one instrument and timeframe:
Mark the current short-term trend on higher timeframe (for example 1H if you trade 5–15M).
Drop to the working timeframe.
Find the last strong impulse in the direction of that trend.
Inside this impulse look for the widest candle that clearly stands out.
Check that it did something “important”: broke a range, cleared a local high/low, or started the leg.
If nothing stands out, skip. The method works best on clean impulses, not on flat, overlapping price.
Key levels inside one anchor candle
Once the candle is chosen, mark four levels:
High of the candle
Low of the candle
50% of the range (midline)
Close of the candle
Each level has a function.
High
For a bullish anchor, the high acts like a “ceiling” where late buyers often get trapped. When price trades above and then falls back inside, it often marks a failed breakout or liquidity grab.
Low
For a bullish anchor, the low works as structural invalidation. Deep close under the low tells that the original impulse was absorbed.
Midline (50%)
Midline splits “control”. For a bullish anchor:
Holding above 50% keeps control with buyers
Consistent closes below 50% shows that sellers start to dominate inside the same candle
Close
Close shows which side won the battle inside that bar. If later price keeps reacting near that close, it confirms that the market “remembers” this candle.
Basic trading scenarios around a bullish anchor
Assume an uptrend and a bullish anchor candle.
1. Trend continuation from the upper half
Pattern:
After the anchor candle, price pulls back into its upper half
Pullback holds above the midline
Volume or volatility dries up on the pullback, then fresh buying appears
Idea: buyers defend control above 50%. Entries often come:
On rejection from the midline
On break of a small local high inside the upper half
Stops usually go under the low of the anchor or under the last local swing inside it, depending on risk tolerance.
2. Failed breakout and reversal from the high
Pattern:
Price trades above the high of the anchor
Quickly falls back inside the range
Subsequent candles close inside or below the midline
This often reveals exhausted buyers. For counter-trend or early reversal trades, traders:
Wait for a clear close back inside the candle
Use the high of the anchor as invalidation for short setups
3. Full loss of control below the low
When price not only enters the lower half, but closes below the low and stays there, the market sends a clear message: the impulse is broken.
Traders use this in two ways:
Exit remaining longs that depended on this impulse
Start to plan shorts on retests of the low from below, now as resistance
Bearish anchor: same logic upside-down
For a bearish anchor candle in a downtrend:
Low becomes “trap” level for late sellers
High becomes invalidation
Upper half of the candle is “shorting zone”
Close and midline still help to judge who controls the bar
The structure is mirrored, the reading logic stays the same.
Practical routine you can repeat every day
A compact checklist many traders follow:
Define higher-timeframe bias
On working timeframe, find the latest clear impulse in that direction
Pick the anchor candle that represents this impulse
Mark high, low, midline, close
Note where price trades relative to these levels
Decide: trend continuation, failed breakout, or broken structure
This method does not remove uncertainty. It just compresses market noise into a small set of reference points.
Common mistakes with anchor candles
Choosing every bigger-than-average candle as anchor, even inside messy ranges
Ignoring higher timeframe bias and trading every signal both ways
Forcing trades on each touch of an anchor level without context
Keeping the same anchor for days when the market already formed a new impulse
Anchor candles age. Fresh impulses usually provide better structure than old ones.
A note about indicators
Many traders prefer to mark such candles and levels by hand, others rely on indicators that highlight wide range bars and draw levels automatically. Manual reading trains the eye, while automated tools often save time when many charts and timeframes are under review at once.
USNAS100 | Bearish Bias Dominates Below Key LevelsUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
USNAS100 edged higher ahead of the JOLTS job openings report, the final major labor indicator before the Federal Reserve decides on interest rates tomorrow.
Markets are pricing an 89% probability of a 25 bps rate cut, suggesting strong expectations for policy easing.
USNAS100 holds a bearish bias for today, with momentum remaining weak as long as the price stays below 25730.
A 1H close below 25570 will confirm continuation of the bearish trend toward 25430, with deeper downside possible.
However, if the market closes a 1H candle above 25840, bullish momentum will return, opening the way toward 25985 and 26170.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 25690
Support: 25570 · 25430 · 25210
Resistance: 25830 · 25980 · 26170
NASDAQ Santa Rally already underway.Nasdaq (NDX) has made a strong V-shaped recovery on its 1D MA100, as projected on our previous analysis and is extending the uptrend above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
The rally may need a relief pull-back towards its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but technically, the seasonal end-of-the-year 'Santa Rally' is already underway.
V-shaped recovery and Inverse Head and Shoulders patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extensions. That is currently at 26600.
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USNAS100 | Watching 25740 After Resistance ReactionUSNAS100 – Technical Overview
USNAS100 has already reached the 25730 resistance highlighted in the previous analysis.
For today, the index is expected to trade with bearish momentum while below 25740, with price likely to test 25570.
A 1H close below 25570 is required to confirm continuation of the bearish trend toward 25430.
However, if the market closes a 1H candle above 25740, bullish momentum will return, opening the way toward 25980 and higher resistance levels.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 25740
Resistance: 25880 · 25985 · 26170
Support: 25570 · 25470 · 25330
previous idea:
US NAS 100DO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
NDX100 Analysis🔹 Rejection seen from the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zone
🔹 Previous uptrend support line now acting as resistance
🔹 RSI showing early signs of exhaustion near key 60–70 zone
All these confluences hint at a possible pause or reversal unless we get a strong breakout with volume confirmation.
NASDAQDO YOU KNOW WHATS BEHIND THIS OR OTHER IDEAS?? in bio..
Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
nas100 1h🔹 Overall Outlook and Potential Price Movements
In the charts above, we have outlined the overall outlook and possible price movement paths.
As shown, each analysis highlights a key support or resistance zone near the current market price. The market’s reaction to these zones — whether a breakout or rejection — will likely determine the next direction of the price toward the specified levels.
⚠️ Important Note:
The purpose of these trading perspectives is to identify key upcoming price levels and assess potential market reactions. The provided analyses are not trading signals in any way.
✅ Recommendation for Use:
To make effective use of these analyses, it is advised to manually draw the marked zones on your chart. Then, on the 5-minute time frame, monitor the candlestick behavior and look for valid entry triggers before making any trading decisions.
US 100 Index – Potential Crunch Time for the Santa Rally!The US 100 has edged 0.2% lower to start this pivotal week as traders adjust positioning ahead of the final Federal Reserve meeting of 2025. This is a meeting at which the US central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates by 25bps and with markets pricing around a 90% chance of this happening it could be argued that anything else would be a major shock to the financial system.
Putting that to one side, there could also be challenges for traders to navigate even if the Fed does cut rates as expected, and this is where assessing the price action once the decision is released at 1900 GMT on Wednesday could be crucial.
The US 100 has rallied strongly from its November 21st low at 23834 up to current levels around 25650 at time of writing (0700 GMT). This 1800-point rally coincided with Fed policymakers talking more positively regarding their views on the potential for a further ‘near term’ rate cut, so it could be argued that this is now already priced into US stock indices.
More specifically, the US 100 is up around 21.5% year to date and consideration may need to be given to how motivated investors may be to add to their directional exposure versus locking in gains on what has been a strong 2025 performance.
With this as the backdrop moving into the next 36 hours of trading, assessing the current technical trend, alongside identifying potential key support and resistance levels could help to determine whether a Santa rally or a nasty case of ‘bah humbug’ volatility is more likely moving into the final 3 weeks of 2025.
US 100 Index Technical Update: Stalling Against 25772 Resistance?
The US 100 index has staged an impressive 8.4% recovery from the 23834 November 21st low, yet the latest phase of strength may be stalling against potential resistance at 25772. This level, equal to the November 5th session high, has repeatedly capped attempts at fresh price strength throughout November and early December, as the chart below illustrates.
While much will depend on future price activity, traders may now view the 25772 resistance as something of a pivotal level. A successful close above 25772 might be required to open the way for further price strength. However, if 25772 continues to cap prices on a closing basis, the latest upside momentum may be seen as slowing with scope for downside weakness to emerge.
What Next if 25772 Is Broken on a Closing Basis?:
With resistance at 25772 potentially pivotal to future price activity, closing breaks above this level may now be required to sustain a push toward higher levels. Such moves, while not guaranteeing continued upside, could encourage further attempts to extend the latest strength.
Successful closes above 25772 could open the possibility of moves towards 26277, which is the October 30th upside extreme, and if this level were to also be broken, on further toward 27208, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci extension.
What Next if the 25772 Resistance Continues to Hold?:
With the 25772 resistance still intact on a closing basis, it is notable that the new week has once again seen selling pressure emerge around this level. The concern now for the bulls is that the longer 25772 continues to cap price strength, the greater the risk that downside momentum could begin to materialise.
If price weakness does emerge, trader focus may then shift to support offered by the rising Bollinger mid‑average, which currently stands at 25151. A closing break below 25151 could then raise risks of a deeper retracement of the November/December strength, with potential to test 25067, which is the 38.2% retracement, possibly even 24596, a level equal to the 61.8% retracement.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Tech bubble burst?The Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern is a classic reversal formation, typically found after a mature uptrend. It represents a gradual loss of buying pressure and a transition toward a potential downward move.
The H&S pattern often signals the exhaustion of bullish momentum, a shift in control toward sellers, and the possible beginning of a deeper reversal (sell-off).






















