NAS100 trade ideas
US100 - New Highs are coming!Market Context
The US100 is trading within a strong bullish structure after bouncing from a well-defined support zone. Price has been respecting key levels on the way up, forming fair value gaps (FVGs) that act as stepping stones for continuation. The overall picture points to a market that is building momentum for a potential liquidity grab higher.
Support Zone & Initial Rally
The chart shows a strong support zone at the lows, which provided the foundation for the current bullish impulse. Once price tapped into this area, buyers stepped in aggressively, leaving behind multiple bullish imbalances on the way up. This confirms that institutional interest is present at these levels.
Fair Value Gaps & Structural Strength
On the rally, price created overlapping FVGs, including a bullish fair value gap and an inversion fair value gap (IFVG). Importantly, candles never closed below the primary FVG โ reinforcing its validity as strong demand. This means that even if price retraces, these areas will be closely watched for re-entries.
Liquidity Grab & Next Move
Above current price action lies a clear buy-side liquidity (BSL) level. The market is likely to target this zone, either directly from current levels or after a retest into the stacked FVGs. A liquidity sweep above the highs would be the natural continuation of the bullish structure, unlocking the potential for new short-term highs.
Final Thoughts
The US100 is showing a textbook bullish setup: strong support, healthy retracements, and unmitigated FVGs acting as demand. As long as the lower support holds, the expectation remains for a run into the BSL above.
If this analysis brought value, drop a like โ and let me know: are you waiting for the retest, or do you think the market runs the highs straight away?
Understanding Consolidation & Trading itWhat Consolidation Is
Consolidation is a market phase where price moves sideways within a defined range, showing indecision or balance between buyers (bulls) and sellers (bears).
Characterized by low volatility, overlapping candles, and no clear trend direction.
Often occurs after strong moves (as the market pauses) or before breakouts (accumulation/distribution).
Impact on Bulls & Bears
Bulls: View consolidation near highs as accumulation (buyers building positions before a breakout upward).
Bears: View consolidation near lows as distribution (sellers unloading before a breakdown).
Both sides place stop orders outside the range โ creating liquidity pools that smart money hunts.
How Traders Can Take Advantage
Range Trading โ Buy near support of the range, sell near resistance, until breakout occurs.
Liquidity Strategy โ Wait for fakeouts beyond consolidation, then trade in the opposite direction (stop hunt setup).
Consolidation Across Timeframes
Lower Timeframes (1mโ15m):
Looks like noise but is often where scalpers range trade.
Breakouts can give small but quick moves.
Mid Timeframes (1Hโ4H):
Shows clear accumulation/distribution phases.
Useful for intraday & swing traders.
Higher Timeframes (DailyโWeekly):
Represents major market indecision.
Breakouts from these zones often fuel massive trend moves.
โ
Summary:
Consolidation = sideways range = balance of bulls & bears.
Inside range โ fade the extremes.
Outside range โ trade support & resistance or liquidity sweep.
On different timeframes โ the same consolidation can be noise on 5M, but a critical accumulation on the Daily chart.
NASDAQ to 26,000 before year end - September, 2025No doubt this idea will be controversial as a majority of ideas published on the platform call for a bearish outlook.
Earlier this year paper hands were flushed out of the market on tariff scares. They couldnโt exit the market fast enough, some didnโt actually know why they were selling as emotions were in full control.
Today those same traders and investors sit in cash as they wait for an opportunity to buy in. Others betting heavily against the trend for Armageddon. All the while the market grinds upwards and onwards.
Two very simple questions everyone must ask when entering or betting against the market:
1. What is the trend?
2. Support and resistance, which is it?
You cannot maintain a bearish bias should you answer both of those questions positively. Thatโs emotion. Do you find yourself scanning lower timeframes to look for bias confirmation? You'd be in majority then. Notice how many published ideas you see operating in the 15 and 30 minute charts with 2 to 3 month forecasts? Always makes me smile, but it will not change the facts of the chart.
The Trend
Higher lows are evident on the daily chart below, marked out in black. The trend is your friend until the end.
Support & resistance
Look left. On the daily chart we can see multiple support tests with confirmation on past resistance. If the levels do not at first appear, zoom out using a higher timeframe. A majority will zoom in instead to confirm bias, thatโs a red flag.
The Put / Call ratio
Retail traders are aggressive in their attempts to โshortโ this market. Nowhere is that more evident than the Put/Call ratio. Anytime you see dumb money move the put call ratio to 90 and above, the market rips. Just recently short sellers moved the ratio beyond this level. The chart below provides a comparison with the NDX to show what happens next. The rally that follows will typically last up to 2 months on average after this signal.
Why 26000?
The market entered price discovery after the previous all time high breakout of 22k. The forecast area was previously published, see linked ideas. The same conditions that allowed those forecasts now repeat. In addition the Fibonacci extensions; the NDX repeatably rallies to the 1.618 extension after each and every emotional flush out. Itโs a gift horse of an opportunity.
Previous years:
Conclusion
Markets climb walls of worry, and this moment is no different. The loudest voices today call for collapse, but the charts, price action, and sentiment data are telling another story entirely. Higher lows, confirmed support, extreme put/call ratios, and Fibonacci extensions all align with one clear outcome: continuation.
A move to 26,000 on the NASDAQ before year-end is not a wild stretch of imagination, but the logical conclusion of repeating market behaviour. Every emotional flush out has historically created the runway for price discovery to the 1.618 extension, and this time is no different.
If youโre betting against the trend, youโre not fighting the market, youโre fighting math, structure, and history. The bears may dominate headlines but that just News. The market is not listening to fear. Itโs grinding higher, and the destination is 26,000.
Ww
NAS100 (Nasdaq) Key Levels and Probable Draw on LiquidityA clear bullish market structure driven by an aggressive upward displacement.
This energetic move to the upside has created several price inefficiencies, or gaps, which are areas where price delivery was one sided.
Currently, price is consolidating in a premium range, above the equilibrium of the recent impulse leg.
The logical draw on liquidity, or the ultimate target for this bullish momentum, is the distinct old high labeled as the "d cisd level" (Daily change in the state of delivery).
The market is likely reaching for this level to clear out any resting buy side orders.
โ
Before reaching that ultimate target, a retracement is a high probability event.
Price may pull back to rebalance the inefficiency at the "4h cisd level", which should now act as a significant support area.
This would represent a move back into a relative discount, offering a more favorable entry for buyers aiming for the highs.
Should this level fail, a deeper retracement into the larger green zone labeled "OTE" would signify an optimal entry point within the overall bullish leg.
The narrative remains bullish as long as these key lower levels of support are respected.
The alternative path would likely have led to chasing price in a premium, resulting in a poor risk to reward entry. PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:MNQ1!
NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for Inflation Index?!The index is above EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is in its long-term ascending channel. If the drawn upward trend line is maintained, we can expect Nasdaq to reach its previous ATH. In case of its valid breakdown, its downward path will be smoothed to the specified demand zone, where it can be bought with appropriate risk-reward.
U.S. equities closed lower on Friday after a volatile session, capping off a turbulent week in negative territory. Initially, weaker-than-expected employment data fueled optimism that the Federal Reserve would move toward further rate cuts. However, growing fears of an economic recession quickly overshadowed that optimism and pushed the indexes into the red.
Following the labor market report, expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fedโs September meeting are now virtually certain. The main question, however, is how fast subsequent cuts might unfold. Some analysts have even floated the possibility of a surprise 50-basis-point cut on September 17. Fed Chair Jerome Powell, speaking at the Jackson Hole symposium, stressed that risks stemming from labor market weakness may now outweigh inflation risksโa factor that could justify a shift in the central bankโs policy approach.
Nick Timiraos, a prominent Wall Street Journal reporter closely tracking Fed policy, noted that the sharp slowdown in job growth over the summer has likely cemented the Fedโs decision to cut rates by 25 basis points in the upcoming meeting.
Still, he made no explicit mention of a 50-basis-point move. While markets have raised the probability of that scenario to 14%, Timiraos believes the main focus remains on a more moderate reduction. He also observed that the latest jobs report has deepened uncertainty over the pace and scope of cuts beyond Septemberโa challenge that policymakers and markets will grapple with in the months ahead.
Barclays Bank now projects the Fed will lower rates three times in 2025โeach time by 25 basis points in September, October, and December. This is an upward revision from its earlier forecast of just two cuts in September and December.
President Donald Trump once again lashed out at Fed policy in a post on his social media platform, writing: โJerome Powell should have cut rates long ago. But as usual, he has acted too late.โ
Meanwhile, mounting concerns over ballooning fiscal deficitsโnot only in the U.S. but also in countries like Japan, France, and the U.K.โhave placed added pressure on long-dated bonds. The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury briefly climbed to a one-and-a-half-month high last week. At the same time, the Treasury Department plans to issue new three-year, ten-year, and thirty-year securities next week, an event that could further fuel volatility in the bond market.
The coming week will be light in terms of data volume, yet the few scheduled releases will carry significant weight as inflation once again takes center stage. On Wednesday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) for August will be published. Forecasts suggest both the headline and core readings will show sharp declines compared to July.
On Thursday, the European Central Bank (ECB) will hold its policy meeting, where markets currently expect the deposit rate to remain unchanged at 2.15%. Shortly afterward, traders will turn their attention to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August, along with weekly jobless claims dataโclosely monitored for signs of potential weakness in the U.S. labor market.
Finally, on Friday, the preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released. This survey has been a particularly important gauge of inflation expectations this year, offering deeper insights into how U.S. households perceive price trends.
The PPI, which reflects changes in goods prices at the factory gate, often provides more forward-looking signals than the CPI. As shown in Julyโs data, any unexpected surge in Augustโs numbers could temper investorsโ optimism about the pace of rate cuts. For now, the impact of tariffs on goods prices appears limited, while the Fedโs main concern remains the risk of renewed inflationary pressures in the services sector. According to the Cleveland Fedโs Nowcast model, headline inflation rose 0.1% in August to reach an annualized rate of 2.8%, while core inflation held steady at 3.1%.
Nasdaq Eyes 24,240 ATH as PPI LoomsUSNAS100 โ Overview
The Nasdaq 100 maintained bullish momentum, retesting support at 23,695 before pushing higher again.
Technical Outlook:
๐ As long as price trades above the 23,870 pivot, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward a new ATH at 24,090 โ 24,240.
๐ If the PPI release comes in hotter than expected, it may weigh on the index. A confirmed stabilization below 23,860 would open the way for a pullback toward 23,690.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 23,870
Resistance: 24,090 โ 24,240
Support: 23,695 โ 23,510
Bias: Bullish above 23,870; bearish correction only if price stabilizes below 23,860, with deeper downside toward 23,690
USNASDEQ 100 Futures are Price consolidation High Top US100 futures are higher on Wednesday, extending gains after a cooler-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report. The data eased inflation concerns, supporting risk sentiment. Oracle (ORCL) shares are surging, up more than 30% in pre-market trading following strong earnings and upbeat guidance.
The index remains bullish in structure. Price is expected to test the support area near 23,200. As long as the index holds above this level, momentum favours a move higher toward 24,200 in the next leg up.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
NASDAQ WILL FALL TO 22400 end even moreSo the economy in the US is weakening with every DATA released daily...this is not an easy situation for the FED to cut rates... the dollar is rising, although it should have fallen with anticipation that the FED cuts rates, gold is falling, oil prices are skyrocketing, US10Ys is on the rise...
Just to make sure you get me right, I am not mixing Nasdaq with economy, BUT, do not forget about FED and about MONEY which is borrowed with high rate in the hope of rate cut...now imagine what would happen if the next DATA, namely PCE and PCI come hotter, and i am pretty sure it will...all that borrowed "expensive" (with current rates) money will be dumped out of window...and that money sits ALSO in stock market, crypto, Gold etc...
Trading is not always about higher highs or technical trendlines; it is also about geopolitics, the economy, and monetary policy...
By the way, the current uptrend, which started from 22980 on Friday the 22nd of August, is broken today...another indicator for the upcoming bearish explosion
NASDAQ If this trend-line holds, it targets 29500.Nasdaq (NDX) has it's long-term bullish trend intact as it has mainly held its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support. If it manages to hold the 1W MA20 (red trend-line) also, then it can extend the uptrend for even longer as the similarities overall with the 2020 fractal are noticeable.
As you can see, the March - April 2025 correction in particular, is very similar with the March 2020 COVID crash. Both sharp declines (-25% and -30% respectively), found Support just before hitting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The 2020 fractal managed to rebound and reached its 2.0 Fibonacci extension and even extended the uptrend to the 2.5 Fib, all while the 1W MA20 remained intact (1W candles closed above it).
Even their 1W RSI sequences are identical and even on the price action that preceded the Megaphones. As a result, we remain bullish long-term as long as the 1W MA20 holds, targeting 29500 (Fib 2.0 extension).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ
๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐
ZGM | NASDAQ SNIPER ZONES FOR LONGTERM BASED ON SNR Nasdaq Trade !
NASDAQ H4 BREAKOUT THE SELL TRENDLINE FIRST , AND BOX OF RBS CALLED (RESISTANCE BECOME SUPPORT) HAVE A X SETUP
X SETUP EXPLAINED !
The Sell TL Broke And Nasdaq Have A Buy TL Thats Means Its The XSetup
X SETUP + QM SETUP + SUPPORT
FOLLOW US FOR MORE KNOWLEDGE AND TRADE IDEAS
US100 Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US100 keep trading in
A strong uptrend and
The index is now trying
To breakout the key
Horizontal level of 23,940
So IF the breakout is
Confirmed we will be
Expecting a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NAS100 Trend Analysis: From Higher Highs to a Potential Shift๐ NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Analysis ๐
Someone recently asked me to cover the NAS100 ๐ค as price action can look a little confusing right now. On the 4H chart โฐ, weโve been trending strongly ๐ข๐ throughout the week. However, as we head into the end of the week ๐
, things are starting to shift.
Zooming into the 30M timeframe ๐, price action is showing early signs of weakness โ ๏ธ. Weโve had a high, then a higher high โฌ๏ธ, and now a lower high ๐ฝ โ instead of a continuation of higher highs.
In the video, we take a deep dive ๐ฅ into market structure ๐๏ธ, price action ๐ก, and the trend ๐, highlighting what to watch out for as institutions and big players wind up or unwind positions ๐ผ into the weekโs close.
๐ฌ Your thoughts and comments are welcome!
โ ๏ธ This is educational only and not financial advice. ๐
USD100 BULLISH CONTINUATION IDEA ๐ Bullish Continuation Idea
๐น Technical Analysis
Trend Bias: All higher timeframes confirm a bullish continuation trend.
Key Structure: On the H4 timeframe, price formed a higher low (HL) at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, supporting the bullish bias.
Profit Target: First TP at the -27% Fibonacci extension (24,000 โ 24,070 zone).
Liquidity Targets: Markets typically hunt liquidity (daily highs/lows, swing points, equal highs/lows). The prior swing high on the daily provides additional confluence for this target.
Lower Timeframe Structure: H1 shows bullish HH/HL structure. Price fully mitigated the recent H1 Fair Value Gap (FVG) and swept the recent data low, possibly offering a strong entry zone for continuation upwards.
๐น Fundamental Analysis
While N100 often moves independently of news, key events can act as catalysts:
Wednesday 09/10/2025 โ Core PPI (Low-Moderate Impact):
If PPI prints lower as expected, this should fuel bullish momentum.
No major rallies or crashes expected, but could provide continuation fuel.
Thursday 09/11/2025 โ CPI Y/Y (High-Moderate Impact):
Historically, N100 reacts inversely to bullish CPI prints.
Based on past CPI releases (08/12/25, 07/15/25, 06/11/25, 02/12/24), expect a possible short-term dip before resuming the trend.
Best opportunities may come after NY open liquidity grabs.
โ ๏ธ Risk Disclaimer
This is not financial advice โ just my personal analysis. If we all knew exactly where the market was going, weโd all be millionaires. Trade cautiously and always prioritize risk management.
Happy Trading โค๏ธ
NAS100 H4 | bullish momentum to extendNAS100 has reacted off the buy entry at 23,720.82, which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 23,572.15, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 24,065.29, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (โCompanyโ, โweโ) by a third-party provider (โTFA Global Pte Ltdโ). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NAS100 โ Liquidity Sweep & Short Setup (1H + 15M Scaling)After an aggressive bullish run, NAS100 swept last weekโs high and immediately shifted structure (ChoCH).
This confirms external liquidity has been taken and market sentiment is turning bearish.
๐ Trade Narrative
1. Liquidity Sweep โ Last weekโs high taken.
2. ChoCH โ Order flow shifted bearish after sweep.
3. POIs in Play:
1H Supply Zone โ First entry short (early exposure, confirmation).
15M Refined POI โ Sell limit placed (precision scaling inside the 1H zone).
4. Target โ Previous Dayโs Low (PDL) as the next liquidity pool.
๐ Execution Plan
Entry 1: Short from 1H POI โ
Entry 2: Sell limit at refined 15M POI โ
Stop Loss: Above 1H supply sweep candle.
Take Profit: Previous Dayโs Low (PDL).
Risk Management: Total risk capped at 1% across both entries.
๐ง Institutional Logic
Scaling entries across HTF + LTF zones provides:
Higher TF confirmation โ
Lower TF precision โ
Blended entry for better RR โ
โ๏ธ Bias: Bearish
Targeting PDL unless price structure shifts bullish again.