Trade ideas
NAS100 UPDATE - BULLS or TRAP?Dear Friends in Trading,
JOLT's Event Today - Be Safe!
Keynote:
Strong demand or strong correction?
Can price stabilize above 23550 to respect structure?
Untouched liquidity between 22900 - 22600.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
US100 – London Session OutlookTrading Focus
The marked zones on the chart highlight areas where I look for small but quick intraday moves. There are two potential sell zones and two potential buy zones. If a zone breaks, I look for continuation trades on a retest of that same level.
This approach allows me to capture short, tactical opportunities with clear risk levels, while adapting quickly if price breaks structure.
Macro Update – Manufacturing Still Under Pressure
Yesterday, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was released. The August figure came in at 48.7%, a slight improvement from July’s 48.0%, yet still below the 50% threshold that signals expansion. This indicates that U.S. manufacturing remains in contraction for the sixth consecutive month, though the slower pace points to some early signs of stabilization. New orders climbed back above 50%, suggesting demand may be recovering, but production and employment both weakened, and prices remained elevated, underscoring persistent cost pressures. Overall, the sector is still under strain, showing only tentative signs of recovery.
Market Sentiment
Overall, market sentiment is cautious. The rebound in new orders provides a hint of optimism, but weak production, soft labor data, and sticky input costs keep investors on edge. Traders remain defensive, seeking confirmation before committing risk in what is still a fragile backdrop.
What’s Next – JOLTS Job Openings
Today, all eyes are on the JOLTS Job Openings report, a key gauge of U.S. labor market strength.
A higher reading signals tight labor conditions, keeping wage and inflation pressures high and limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates.
A weaker reading suggests cooling demand for workers, supporting the case for easing.
This release has the potential to move markets quickly, adding another layer of volatility.
key levels for the nqIf the nq breaks 23362 we have enough information to wait for a shakeout and then enter. if it breaks 23210.7 we got to wait for a retracement and then a shakeout to sell. But, be aware that for sales the target should be more aggressive which means to cover on 23k, and just in case, we can leave a small portion of the position open but cover more than 70% because it might be the macro shakeout.
US 100 Buy-Stop, 4H/1D Close Above ResistanceUS 100 has closed above Resistance on 4 Hour and Daily Timeframe.
It is in Bullish Trend on Daily Timeframe. The trend is very likely to continue based on Technicals.
Moreover, it is likely that Federal Reserve will lower the interest rates in the Unied States. If that happens, financial markets will continue the upward trajectory. That however, is a long-term projection. Our trade setup here is just 1:1 but we can see more such trades in the future.
US100 Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 made a sharp
Move up and made a
Retest of the horizontal
Resistance of 23,375
From where we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Correction and a move down
Sell!
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Explaining Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levelsThis video is designed to help teach you why I use the Fibonacci Defense levels as components of price action and how I use Fibonacci retracement/extension levels (related to previous market trends).
Remember, the three components of price action are TIME, PRICE, & ENERGY.
If you don't understand how price is structured before attempting to use Fibonacci concepts, it's almost like trying to throw darts blindfolded.
You must break down the previous trends in order to try to understand what is happening with current price trends (expansion/contraction/phases).
Watch this video and I hope it helps all of you understand what the markets are doing and how to use Fibonacci Retracement/Extension levels more efficiently.
All types of technical analysis are validation tools - not guarantees. The only thing we get out of technical analysis is a way to validate or invalidate our expectations. A or B. Nothing else.
Get some.
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NAS100 Long Setup | Demand Zone ReactionPrice action on NAS100 has pulled back into a key demand zone after sweeping liquidity below short-term support ($$$). This area also aligns with previous imbalance fills, suggesting buyers may look to defend it once again.
📊 Technical Outlook
Price swept liquidity under prior support and tapped into demand.
Long idea is valid with risk defined below demand zone.
If buyers hold this zone, upside continuation is likely toward the 23,500–23,700 region.
🌐 Market Sentiment
Seasonality Risk: September is historically the weakest month for U.S. equities, often marked by heightened volatility.
Investor Sentiment: Surveys show mixed outlook — Fear & Greed Index remains in “Greed” (64), while AAII still reports more bears than bulls.
Macro Headlines: Fed uncertainty, tariff rulings, and over-reliance on tech remain short-term risks.
⚖️ Summary
Technically, NAS100 is sitting in a prime buy zone — liquidity grab + demand reaction setup. However, fundamentals still suggest caution, as September volatility could trigger deeper sweeps before a meaningful rally.
👉 For me, it’s a buy from demand with controlled risk. If bulls defend, we could see momentum shift back upward.
💬 What do you think — will bulls hold this level, or will September’s volatility push NAS100 even lower?
NASDAQ Index Analysis (US100 / NASDAQ)At today’s market open, the NASDAQ index started to decline and is currently heading to test the key support level at 23,000.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below 23,000 and holds, it is likely to move lower towards the next support level at 22,700.
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the price rebounds and breaks above 23,260, holding above it may support further upside toward 23,350.
NASDAQ Eyes 23,565 Pivot as PCE Report LoomsNASDAQ – Update
The Nasdaq slipped on Friday as traders turned cautious ahead of the highly anticipated PCE inflation report, the Fed’s preferred gauge that could heavily influence the September rate decision. The release, expected before the bell, will likely set the near-term trend.
Technical Outlook:
The index reversed from resistance, showing signs of pressure ahead of the data.
A 1H close below 23,565 will confirm bearish continuation toward 23,435 → 23,295 → 23,170, especially if PCE comes in hotter than expected.
If the report is softer, bullish momentum may resume, targeting the ATH at 23,870, with extended resistance at 24,090.
Key Levels:
Support: 23,565, 23,435 – 23,295 – 23,170
Resistance: 23,690 – 23,870 – 24,090
📌 Bias: Neutral ahead of the PCE release. Expect high volatility and wait for confirmation at the pivot level before positioning.















