US30: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 45,228.37 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Trade ideas
Dow Jones Under Pressure as Bond Yields SurgeUS30 – Dow Jones Update
The Dow Jones erased 250 points as September began with soaring bond yields, dragging stocks lower after the long weekend. Nasdaq was the session’s biggest loser despite showing pre-market strength.
Technical Outlook:
The index reached our support target at 44,950, exactly as projected yesterday.
For now, price is expected to consolidate within the 45,285 – 45,110 zone before the next move.
🔼 A confirmed 4H close above 45,285 would support a bullish continuation toward 45,460 → 45,680.
🔻 Conversely, sustained trade below 45,110 would re-open the bearish path toward 44,950 → 44,720.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 45,285
Support: 45,110 – 44,950 – 44,720
Resistance: 45,460 – 45,680 – 45,860
Dow Jones eyes new highs with NFP in sharp focusThe Dow was trading flat ahead of the release of the NFP data. A goldilocks report - one that is not too weak or too strong - is the best outcome for stocks as this will cement expectations for a September rate cut. A significantly weaker report will raise recession worries while a very strong number could weigh on rate cut bets, and pressure risk assets at least initially anyway.
The price action on the DOW has been near perfect after a retest of the 45K broken resistance from above giving way for a big bounce this week. With a couple of short-term resistance levels such as 45470 and 45315 taken out, these will now be the initial support levels to watch moving forward. The next upside target is liquidity resting above the all time high of 45,763.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Us30 sell Trade Setup Observed
Entry: Around 45,609 (current price zone).
Stop Loss (SL): 45,659 (≈ 50 points above entry).
Take Profit (TP): Significantly lower, around 45,300 (green zone).
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.12 → This is a good ratio (favorable reward relative to risk).
Position Size: Qty 2.
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📊 Price Action
1. Strong Upward Impulse: Prior to your trade, the market had a strong bullish rally (large green candles).
2. Consolidation Phase: After the rally, price is ranging in a tight band (sideways movement), marked by small alternating candles.
3.Manipulation is over and distribution si about to start
Dow Jones Overextended: Watching for an Institutional Unwind 📊 Dow Jones (US30) remains bullish 🟢, but in my view, it’s looking overextended 📈. Price has traded into a key level 🎯 where we could see a potential pullback, especially as we approach the end of the week 📅, when institutions and big money 💼 may begin unwinding positions.
👀 The play here is to watch for the high of the week/day ⏫ and look for a counter-trend reversal 🔄 that could drive price lower into the weekly close 📉.
⚠️ Keep in mind: Monday’s opening often creates a stop run 🛑 possibly offering a deeper pullback, giving us a double dose of liquidity grabs 💧. This sets the stage for a fairly deep retracement, which could present an opportunity to counter trend short if conditions align 🧩.
📌 My focus is on a break below the current range 🔓 as a trigger for potential entry.
⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice 📚
US30 Bullish Setup: From Pullback to Measured Moves📊 The US30 (Dow Jones) is trending bullish on the 4-hour chart ⏰. We’ve just seen a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️, and I’ve taken a long position 📈. In the video 🎥, I break down how I set my targets 🎯 using the Fibonacci retracement 🔢 — first identifying the equilibrium pullback, then projecting measured moves above for profit targets 🚀. (Not financial advice ⚠️)
Will US30 Reach A New Record High After Today's NFP?Fundamental approach:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) rose this week amid cooling US labor signals that reinforced expectations for a Sep Fed rate cut, while upbeat ISM services activity tempered growth concerns.
- ADP private payrolls slowed and jobless claims ticked higher, bolstering bets for easier policy ahead of today's NFP release. This kept risk appetite supported through Thu record-setting close in broader indices.
- The ISM Services PMI accelerated to 52.0 in Aug, with stronger business activity and new orders, but continued employment contraction, a mix consistent with disinflationary growth that equity markets favored. Salesforce (CRM) underperformed on a cautious revenue outlook even as rate-cut hopes lifted cyclicals within the Dow complex.
- Looking ahead, the index could extend gains if payrolls and earnings metrics cool without signaling a hard landing, as this may cement Fed easing later this month. Today's jobs report and subsequent Fed communications could be key catalysts for rate expectations and index momentum.
Technical approach:
- US30 bounced up from retesting the ascending channel's lower bounce, confluence with the support at 45000, and EMA21.
- If US30 breaches the resistance at around 45700, the index may accelerate to retest the confluencing area of several Fibo Extension levels at around 46680-46900.
- On the contrary, closing below 45000 may prompt a further correction to retest EMA78.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
DowJones Key Trading Levels ahead of US Employment DataKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45766
Resistance Level 2: 45920
Resistance Level 3: 46080
Support Level 1: 45050
Support Level 2: 44900
Support Level 3: 44730
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 UPDATE: Pre-Post Potential 4 NFPDear Friends in Trading,
1) NFP Today - Be safe.
2) TIP - Post NFP Mondays: (Applies to all instruments - Forex, Indices & Metals)
-----"ASIA + LONDON SESSION's PRICE ACTION IS BIG AND OPEN MOST OF THE TIME"-----
Keynote:
MARKET STRUCTURE = TREND = INTACT
I have highlighted a few possible support and resistance levels,
and potential targets.
Let me know if anything is unclear?
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
DOW/US30 - BEST STRATEGY OF THE YEAR - LETS GOTeam, carefully plan for tonight on NON FARM PAYROLL
HERE IS THE DATA
Weekly jobless claims increase 8,000 to 237,000
Continuing claims fall 4,000 to 1.940 million
Private payrolls increase 54,000 in August
Trade deficit widens 32.5% to $78.3 billion in July
Last month, the same day, market drop for two days over 1000 points.
PLEASE CAREFULLY structure this - DO SMALL VOLUME FOR THIS ONLY
Short now at 45645-45655 - I think the market look EXHAUSTED
STOP LOSS tight at 45680 or give more room at 45720
Target 1 at 45525-45500 - take 60%-70% partial and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 45425-45380
OR WAIT FOR THIS ZONE TO KILL THE MARKET - 45800-45900 - stop loss at 46050
Target 1 - 45650 -45620
Target 2 - 45550-45520
LETS GO
Dow Jones Index Wave Analysis – 4 September 2025- Dow Jones Index reversed from key support level 45000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 45765.00
Dow Jones Index recently reversed from the support area between the key support level 45000.00 (former strong resistance, which has been reversing the price from the end of 2024), 20-day moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from August.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous short-term correction ii.
Given the strong daily uptrend, Dow Jones Index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 45765.00 (which reversed the Index in August).
Dow Jones (DJI) – 1H Technical OutlookDow Jones (DJI) – 1H Technical Outlook
Bias: Bearish while below 45,450.
Key Resistance: 45,350 – 45,450 (failure to break above keeps sellers in control).
Immediate Supports:
45,100
44,980 – 44,860
Major support at 44,700
📉 Primary Scenario:
If price remains capped below 45,450, a downward move towards 44,700 is likely after a minor corrective bounce.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A breakout and sustained close above 45,500 would invalidate the bearish view and open the door for a rally towards 45,800 – 46,000.
US30 UpdateNext move on the way, focus on proper risk management & stay disciplined. Wishing you successful trades...!
Confluences And Key Reason:
1. Price creates bullish channel.
2. Market price break bullish channel toward downside.
3. Fresh supply + order flow still in pending.
4. If this supply is valid than we see price further move downside.
This is not a financial advice take it with your own risk. In this case confirmation is very important. If price give confirmation than we open our trades. Let's see how it will work.
US30 Pullback Toward 44,600 Within Ongoing UptrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around the 44,600 zone. Dow Jones (US30) is trading in an uptrend, with price currently correcting toward this key support/resistance level.
Structure: The broader bias remains bullish, but price is pulling back after recent highs.
Key level in focus: 44,600 — a significant area where buyers may look to step in and continue the upward trend.
Fundamentals: Market sentiment remains broadly supportive for equities, with risk appetite steady as investors weigh U.S. economic data and central bank policy outlook.
Trade safe,
Joe.
Dow Jones buy to 46000Fundamentals
- Fed rate cut this September and November, supporting equities growth. Lower interest rates means lower borrowing cost.
- Bond yields down due to government debt to high. Lower yields reduce the discount rate on future earnings, make stocks more attractive than bonds
- Tech giants Google and Apple lifting the indexes performance recently
Technical (Price Action)
- Support level at 44809.3 refined to 44748.9 30 min support
US30 – 1H | Testing Rejection Block & LTF Confirmation
Dow Jones is reacting from a rejection block with lower-timeframe confirmation showing. Market structure shift suggests possible retrace setups.
**Bullish Scenario:**
* Hold above 44,950–45,000 zone (OB & FVG support)
* LTF confirmation aligns with rejection block
* Upside targets: 45,320 swing high → 45,520 strong high
**Bearish Scenario:**
* Lose 44,950 and break below 44,900 P1D Low
* Continuation toward 44,700 breaker block → 44,680 strong low
* Deep downside if OB rejection fails
**Key Levels:**
* Resistance: 45,320 / 45,520 / 45,600
* Support: 44,950 / 44,900 / 44,700 / 44,680
💬 Will US30 hold rejection block for upside push, or break lower into the breaker block?