DJ30 trade ideas
Dow Jones support levels to watchThe Dow was the star of the show yesterday. After chopping sideways for a few days above the 45,000 mark – a crucial resistance level taken out back in late August – we’ve finally got that breakout everyone was waiting for. Thursday's push through the resistance around 45,760 is a strong signal that the bulls are still in charge. As long as we hold above that level on any retest, the uptrend looks very healthy. If we slip back below, yes, things could get a bit messy, but honestly, the broader structure still screams bullish. The 45,000 level remains the real line in the sand – lose that and the tone changes, but for now, I’d be surprised if we don’t see higher highs from here.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
DowJones consolidation after US CPI data Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45800
Resistance Level 2: 46000
Resistance Level 3: 46200
Support Level 1: 45190
Support Level 2: 44960
Support Level 3: 44720
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US30 SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
US30 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 45,509.9
Target Level: 43,969.8
Stop Loss: 46,527.7
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
SUPPORT and RESISTANCE_RUN ON BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY_SELLThe market has Created a new high at 45,790, the market may start to trade to the sell side during London expecting 45,201 to be taken. There is also news on 9.11 and 9.12 that may take out new high created at 45,790, then trade to the sell side to 45,201 level.
SHORT TERM DOW - REVERSE (H & S ) PATTERN FORMATION🔹 Pattern Observed
The chart shows a reverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) attempt.
Left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are marked clearly.
But note: written that “8 out of 10 times H&S fails”, which is important — H&S is powerful, but also prone to false breakouts. AND FALSE BREAKOUT ITSELF IS VERY STONG SETUP!5
🔹 Short-Term Technical View
Structure:
Price attempted to form an inverse H&S, but neckline is not yet broken decisively.
Instead of breakout, Dow is showing weakness near the right shoulder.
Bearish Bias Active:
Failure of the reversal pattern often triggers sharp declines (trapped longs exit).
Breakdown projection is already plotted on your chart.
Target Zone:
Immediate downside target highlighted = 41,125.
That’s consistent with measuring the depth from head to neckline and projecting downward.
Invalidation:
If price reclaims and sustains above the neckline (~45,000–45,200 zone), the bearish view weakens.
🔹 Short-Term Trading Implication
Bias: Bearish as long as below neckline.
Target: 41,125 (short-term).
Stops: Above neckline (45,000+).
R:R: If entered near 44,600–44,800, reward to risk is favorable (2.5:1+).
✅ Conclusion
The Dow shows a failed inverse H&S, which typically results in downside continuation. Short-term target is 41,125, with risk managed above 45,000.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is provided purely for educational and informational purposes only. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, index, or derivative. Trading carries significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Please do your own due diligence or consult with a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Can the DJIA Maintain Its Momentum? A Strategic Long Setup📈 DJIA Money-Making Plan: Thief Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 🕵️♂️
🚀 Swing/Day Trade Setup for Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD
Join the "Thief OG" crew with this bullish plan to navigate the market with precision! Using a layered limit order strategy, this setup targets smart entries and calculated exits while keeping risk management first. Let’s dive into the plan! 💥
📊 Trade Plan Overview
Asset: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) CFD 💰
Direction: Bullish 🐂
Current Price (Sep 10, 2025): 45,711 🟢 (+0.43% from previous close)
Strategy: Thief Layered Limit Order Strategy 🕵️♂️
Place multiple buy limit orders at key levels to "steal" entries during pullbacks.
Suggested Entry Levels: $45,400, $45,500, $45,600, $45,700 (or customize based on your analysis).
Note: You can add more layers or adjust levels to suit your risk appetite. Flexibility is key! 🔧
Stop Loss (SL): $45,100 (Thief OG’s starting point).
Important: Adjust your SL based on your strategy and risk tolerance. This is a suggestion, not a rule! ⚠️
Target Price (TP): $46,600 (Escape before the "police barricade"!).
Note: Set your own TP based on your goals. Take profits at your discretion—don’t follow blindly! 💸
Risk Disclaimer: Dear Traders (Thief OG’s), this plan is a guide, not a guarantee. Always trade at your own risk and adjust SL/TP to your strategy. Protect your capital! 🛡️
🧠 Why This Plan? Thief Strategy + Market Insights
The "Thief" strategy uses layered limit orders to capitalize on pullbacks in a bullish trend, backed by solid market data. Here’s why this setup shines:
Thief Technical Strategy 🕵️♂️:
Layered Entries: Multiple buy limit orders ($45,400–$45,700) allow you to scale into the trade during dips, maximizing entry precision.
Risk Management: Suggested SL at $45,100 protects against unexpected reversals. Customize to your comfort level.
Profit Potential: Target $46,600 aligns with resistance levels and recent momentum. Exit strategically to lock in gains.
Fundamental & Macro Score: 7/10 (Solid Foundation) 🟢
Earnings Growth: Expected 7-10% for 2025, driven by strong corporate balance sheets.
Sector Strength: 10/11 S&P sectors up YTD, with tech and industrials leading.
Macro Environment:
Cooling inflation (CPI ~3.1% YoY).
Fed rate cuts expected, supporting growth.
Mild headwinds from tariffs and global trade risks.
Resilient labor market (unemployment 4.3%) and consumer spending fuel upside.
Trader Sentiment Outlook 😊:
Retail: 51% Bullish 🟢 | 34% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Optimism driven by dip-buying in tech and industrials.
Institutional: 45% Bullish 🟢 | 40% Bearish 🔴 | 15% Neutral ⚪
Cautious positivity, focusing on corporate fundamentals amid policy uncertainties.
Overall Mood: Mildly positive, but stay alert for volatility from trade talks or inflation data.
Fear & Greed Index: 51 (Neutral) ⚖️
Balanced emotions: Not too scared, not too greedy.
Steady momentum, but watch for volatility spikes with upcoming data (e.g., inflation reports).
Market Outlook: Bullish 🚀
Bullish trend intact with no recession signals.
Expect modest single-digit % gains, led by earnings.
Stay cautious of pullbacks from policy news, but avoid shorting for now.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch (in USD)
S&P 500 CFD ( SP:SPX ): Tracks broader market trends, often moves in tandem with DJIA.
NASDAQ 100 CFD ( NASDAQ:NDX ): Tech-heavy index, great for confirming bullish momentum.
FX:USDJPY : Currency pair sensitive to U.S. economic data and Fed policy.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): Safe-haven asset; monitor for risk-off moves if sentiment shifts.
📝 Final Notes
This DJIA setup combines the tactical "Thief" layered entry strategy with robust market data to guide your trades. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and adapt the plan to your style. Let’s make smart moves together! 💪
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#TradingView #DJIA #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ThiefStrategy #Bullish #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketAnalysis
US30 Strategy: Sideways Range, Liquidity Run, and Entry Zones📊 Dow Jones (US30) Update 📊
The Dow Jones (US30) is currently bullish 🟢📈 and pushing higher on the 4H timeframe ⏰. We can see a value area forming 🏦, with price ranging sideways 🔄 and building liquidity above and below the range 💧.
My plan is to watch for a potential liquidity run above the range 🚀, followed by a deep pullback 🔽 that could present a high-probability entry opportunity 🎯.
⚠️ This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. 📚
US30 – Fresh Record High with Bulls Targeting Higher LevelsUS30 – Overview
The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded a new all-time high (ATH) at 46,520, extending its rally as markets continue to digest supportive macro drivers.
Optimism around Federal Reserve rate-cut expectations, along with strong corporate earnings and upbeat U.S. economic data, keeps investor sentiment constructive.
Focus now turns to upcoming Fed commentary and economic releases, which could provide the next catalyst for fresh highs or a short-term pullback.
Bullish Scenario
Price remains in a strong bullish trend as long as it trades above the 46,470 pivot zone.
Targets: 46,620 → 46,760.
A confirmed 1H close above 46,620 would signal continuation toward higher extensions if momentum strengthens further.
Bearish Scenario
To shift momentum lower, price would need to close at least a 1H candle below 46,400.
Targets: 46,300 → 46,120 on sustained selling pressure.
Further weakness could follow if Fed officials adopt a more hawkish tone or if key data surprises to the upside, reducing rate-cut bets.
Pivot: 46,470
Resistance: 46,620 – 46,760
Support: 46,400 – 46,300 – 46,120
US 30 Index – Preparing for the End of Q3Historically, September is usually a poor month for US stock indices but, so far at least, this year it’s different. The US 30 index, which opened the month at 45609, is up around 850 points, trading close to new all time highs of 46465 recorded yesterday (time of writing 0800 BST). That’s a monthly gain of 1.8%.
Some of the reasons for this positive performance lie in last Wednesday’s 25bps (0.25%) interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed), which included in the accompanying statement the potential for another 2 more 25bps cuts into the end of the year, if the incoming US labour market data suggests it is necessary, and the incoming inflation data is subdued enough to permit it. Two potential sticking points when considering whether this move high can continue.
Looking forward on the scheduled events front, traders receive updates on the health of the US economy in the form of the September Manufacturing and Service activity PMI surveys today at 1445 BST. Any reading above 50 = economic expansion, while below 50 = economic contraction. The focus may be the Services print which has been the main driver of US growth in 2025, with traders comparing Septembers performance against expectations (53) and the strong August print (54.5).
Fed Chairman Powell is also due to speak today on the economic outlook at an event in Warwick at 1735 BST. This could hold the attention of traders later in the day and is an important risk event to be negotiated.
Then, on Friday, the US PCE index is released at 1330 BST. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge and with traders extremely sensitive to the direction of US inflation and its potential knock-on implications for the viability of future Fed interest rate cuts, this update could create extra volatility for the US 30 index into the weekend.
One final consideration for could be the upcoming end of the third quarter on Tuesday September 30th. Q3 has seen the US 30 index gain an impressive 5.2% from opening levels at 44073 on July 1st to 46420 this morning, leading to the question, Could investors decide to lock in these gains over the next 7 trading days or are they happy to hold positions, preparing for a further rally into the end of 2025?
Technical Update: Uptrend Bias Remains In Force
It’s difficult to ignore an asset that consistently posts new all-time highs, which is the case for the US 30 index. As the chart below shows, Monday registered another new upside extreme of 46465.
It could be argued this pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows materialising since the 36440 April 7th downside extreme reflects positive investor sentiment. Traders currently appear happy to pay a higher price each time a sell-off is seen, with this buying support then able to close above resistance marked by the previous high.
This is of course no guarantee that this price action will extend further over coming sessions, but it could mean that assessing what may be the potential support and resistance levels to monitor in the week ahead could be helpful in case an increase in volatility materialises.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having encountered selling pressure at the 46465 new all-time high on Monday, this level could mark the first resistance focus for the coming week. A closing break above 46465 might well be interpreted by traders as opening scope to maintain the uptrend pattern to higher levels.
Such moves could then see tests of 46986, which is equal to the 100% Fibonacci extension level, and if this gives way, even potentially towards 47674, which is the higher 138.2% extension.
Possible Support Levels:
During the latest phase of the US 30 index advance, it has been the rising Bollinger mid-average that acted as support to price setbacks, limiting declines and enabling the move to resume upside strength. Therefore, with the average currently standing at 45779, this level could well mark the first support focus.
Closing breaks below 45779, if seen, could lead to the possibility of further price declines, opening potential to test the next support at 45262, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of August to September 2025 price strength (see chart above).
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US30 TREND ANALYSISIn US30 there is a clear uptrend important areas are marked as always one is 50 percent area and the other one is 75 percent area .Once the market comeback for retest we will shift to smaller timeframe and look for trendshift after observing everything. When the market again comeback for the retest on smaller timeframe we will look for buy side trade.
important areas
50 percent zone(46245.3)
75 percent zone(46134.3)
bigger timeframe (30 minutes)
smaller timeframe(5 minutes)
US30 Short
Entry 46216.29
SL 46386.27
TP 45962.07
This is a short setup on US30:
The idea is to short at the rejection from the resistance zone / trendline.
Stop loss is placed safely above recent highs (46,386).
Target is near the previous support zone (46,091 → 45,962).
RSI momentum also supports bearish bias after rejection from overbought territory.
Fundamentally, the asset is currently overvalued against the Treasury Bond.
⚠️ Risk Note: US30 is highly volatile. Manage position sizing carefully.
US30 NY Open | VWAP + Range Breakout Signal → Confirmed EntryWHAT THIS SHOWS
This idea highlights early pre-signals and confirmed breakout entries when price sweeps the previous day’s high or low (PDH/PDL) and aligns with VWAP and short-term range levels. Focus is on US30 around NY Open, when volume and liquidity are at peak levels.
HOW TO USE (NY OPEN FLOW)
1. Ahead of NY Open, mark PDH/PDL and watch how price builds a short-term range.
2. Best setups occur after liquidity is swept (PDH/PDL taken). Look for a pre-signal (early warning), then confirmation when a bar closes above/below the range and VWAP in the direction of trend.
3. Apply filters: SMA trend filter to stay aligned with bias; session filter to focus on London/NY hours.
4. Manage risk with stops beyond range edges or confirmation candle; partials at key intraday levels.
SETTINGS TIPS
Range Lookback → shorter for fast intraday charts, longer for higher TF.
SMA length → adapt to fit your bias framework.
Session filter → on for London/NY, off for continuous monitoring.
NOTES
Educational demonstration only. No financial advice.
For advanced versions with extra confirmations and filters → see my profile signature.
US30 Day-trading Day 001Here we see price has been falling since the beginning of the day.
We can enter a short position on the
fib level ( .75 / .625 )
It all depends on your risk reward ratio.
Here price may also reverse only by targeting liquidity seen almost at the daily high.
Patience is key.
Lets wait for NY session where we may be able to have a clear confirmation of today's session.