NAS100 I Potential break of 25,217 Resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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NSDQ100 oversold rally reaching resistance at 25285Equities:
Risk appetite improved again, with the S&P 500 +0.91% marking a third straight gain, and futures pointing higher this morning (+0.31%). The move was reinforced by a drop in yields, with the 10yr Treasury down to 4.00%, a four-week low.
Drivers of the Rally:
Dovish Fed momentum: Markets leaned further into December rate-cut expectations after softer US data. Bloomberg headlines that Kevin Hassett is now the frontrunner for Fed Chair added to the dovish tilt.
Geopolitics: European equities tracked higher (STOXX 600 +0.91%), supported by reports of progress in Ukraine peace talks.
US Data – All Dovish:
Consumer Confidence (Nov): 88.7, below every estimate and the lowest since April’s turmoil.
ADP private payroll proxy: Averaged –13.5k over the latest four weeks, signalling labour softness.
September revisions:
Retail Sales +0.2% (vs +0.4% expected).
PPI +0.3% (in line), but still consistent with cooling demand.
Stocks in Focus:
Nvidia –2.59% underperformed as Google’s Gemini 3 launch signalled intensifying AI competition.
Geopolitics:
Bloomberg reported the US sent negotiators to meet Putin in Moscow next week to discuss a Ukraine peace proposal, adding to the constructive tone in Europe.
Trading Takeaway
Rates: Further downside bias in yields if today’s data stays soft; the 4.00% level on the 10yr is key support.
Equities: Momentum remains positive, but tech leadership is wobbling—watch for rotation into cyclicals, financials, and Europe.
FX: Dovish Fed expectations should pressure USD on the margins.
Geopolitics: Peace-talk headlines may continue to support European assets and risk sentiment.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 25285
Resistance Level 2: 25466
Resistance Level 3: 25390
Support Level 1: 24750
Support Level 2: 24600
Support Level 3: 24450
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LOOKING TO SHORT NASNAS100 1D - For those of you who like to trade this CFD, I am wanting to see price continue trading us lower as the Dollar weakens over the course of the next month or so.
We will however see some temporary strength whether it be for the next week or two. However my overall bias for this market is to see it trade us lower longer term.
We have been delivered with multiple breaks in structure to the downside suggesting bearish momentum, its now a case of waiting for the opportunity to play into our hands before we take part.
As soon as price gives us the structure we need, the penetration of areas of interest this is when we can begin looking to take part, until then we stay patient, as always.
NAS100 GasStationSupport levels from pivot points and multiple moving averages create a technical base that reduces downside risk in the short term.
Volume remains steady, which confirms the reliability of the ongoing trend.
These combined technical factors typically precede price appreciation in the Nasdaq 100 , suggesting the index will likely continue to Declineshortly based on trend-following and momentum-based trading strategies with limited immediate overbought risk.
Nasdaq (sell)**Disclaimer (Smart Money Concepts Analysis)**
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and represents only the analyst’s personal perspective. All marked levels, scenarios, and the two potential entry points are provided strictly for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice, investment guidance, or a buy/sell signal.
Any trade you choose to take is entirely your own decision and must be executed with proper risk management and full personal responsibility. Market conditions may shift at any time and may invalidate the outlined scenarios.
This analysis is not a substitute for professional financial or investment advice. It is recommended to:
* Always use a **stop-loss**
* Follow a **clear risk management plan**
* Verify setups with your own analysis
* Be aware that the market can move unpredictably
By using this analysis, you acknowledge that all trading decisions and outcomes are solely your responsibility.
Nasdaq 100 Ahead of the HolidaysNasdaq 100 Ahead of the Holidays
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 has rebounded from its roughly 2.5-month low recorded on 21 November. At that point, bearish sentiment was driven by fears of an “AI bubble”, expectations of higher interest rates, and other news-related pressures.
The recovery from that level was strong — in less than a week the index gained around 5.3%, signalling robust demand. This not only offsets last week’s concerns but also injects optimism into the near-term outlook.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Examining recent price action in the Nasdaq 100, we can outline an ascending channel in which:
→ the median line acted as support until mid-November;
→ support at the lower boundary helped form the 21 November low.
From the perspective of buying pressure:
→ The November dip appears to be an intermediate correction within a broader emerging uptrend.
→ The brief move below the psychological 24k level (where the notable September and October lows lie) resembles a Liquidity Grab pattern, suggesting so-called Smart Money may have used sellers’ liquidity to build long positions — a sign of bullish intent.
From the perspective of selling pressure:
→ the market remains within a corrective structure (highlighted in red);
→ today, the Nasdaq 100 is trading near 25,265, a level that acted as resistance on 17–20 November.
It is possible that trading near the channel’s median line will encourage a balance between buying and selling forces — just as market participants head off to celebrate Thanksgiving.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq Eyes Resistance: Pullback Before Year-End Highs?The Nasdaq posted another strong 2% rally yesterday, even after New York’s opening session swept liquidity by hunting early long positions before reversing higher. This behavior suggests that smart money continues to accumulate positions on dips. Currently, price is pressing into a key resistance zone, which has historically triggered short-term pullbacks. For today, a reasonable scenario would be a final tap into this resistance, followed by a retracement toward the Previous Day’s High (PDH)—a level that may now act as fresh support for bullish continuation.
From a fundamental perspective, investors remain optimistic as the market increasingly prices in the likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which historically boosts tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq. Additionally, overall risk sentiment has improved, supported by strong corporate earnings and stabilizing inflation trends. If momentum continues, the Nasdaq could be setting up for a push toward new highs into year-end.
US100 Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US100 has swept internal liquidity and is now approaching the horizontal supply but hasn’t retested it yet. If the retest confirms distribution, SMC flow favors a drop toward the next sell-side liquidity zone.
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Stop Loss: 25,288
Take Profit: 24,756
Entry: 25,076
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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NAS100 H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Key ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is showing rejection from the sell zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. The market remains below the descending trendline, supporting a bearish continuation bias.
Sell Entry: 24,926.07
Overlap resistance
78.6% Fibonacci confluence
Stop Loss: 25,314.56
Positioned above pullback resistance
Take Profit: 24,447.49
Pullback support zone
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NASDAQ – Bullish Triangle Breakout LoadingI’m currently seeing a bullish ascending triangle forming on the Nasdaq indicating a strong accumulation phase before a potential breakout to the upside price has already started to bounce upward from this compression zone suggesting that buyers are taking control and preparing for a clean bullish continuation
If the breakout confirms, my target is around 27750$ aligns with
The projected target of the ascending triangle
A strong technical resistance zone
A logical extension given the current bullish structure
As long as price stays above the triangle support the bullish scenario remains the primary expectation
NAS100How to become successful in forex and stock trading: 1.Master fundamentals and technical analysis. 2,Build and follow a solid trading plan. 3.Apply strict risk management (1–2% rule). 4.Stay disciplined—control fear and greed. 5.Record and analyze every trade. 6.Focus on high-quality setups only. 7.Diversify across assets and markets. 8.Keep evolving—study, adapt, and grow daily.
NQ1) Daily Bias: Buy
reason:
a) D1- above green line (bottom)
b) H4- above green line (top)
c) H1- above green line (top)
2) Setup: EW + ICT
reason:
a) D1- Correction Wave ( Wave C)
b) H4- Impulsive Wave ( Wave 5)
c) H1- Impulsive Wave ( Wave 5)
3) Confirmation entry:
a) H4/H1-trendline & above green line
b) H4/H1-fvg
c) Momentum Candle
4) Minimum Risk : Reward= 1:2
Potential bullish bounce?NAS100 is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support and could could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 24,743.72
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 24,332.99
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 25,790.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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NAS long idea for market open 25/11/2025Currently in a range between H1 polarity/M1 polarity at the top, mirrored to H1/M1 polarity at the bottom.
H4 range trend just below polarity, price comes down to M1 polarity, taps the H4 range trend, absorbs previous H4 low, back up to fail the top of the range and onto the H4 range trend above






















