NIO trade ideas
$Nio correction aheadAfter a strong rally, NYSE:NIO has now reached the 0.786 Fib level (measured from the September 2024 high to the April 2025 low).
I believe a correction here is both logical and healthy. NYSE:NIO could retest the $5.92 area, which has historically been an important level—acting as support in 2018 and resistance in 2024. This is also the 0.618 Fib level which is considered a crucial level.
During the recent rally, NYSE:NIO surged past this level with strong volume. I expect some profit-taking and a potential revisit of the sub-$6 range. I have outlined three possible scenarios:
Green → the most optimistic outlook
Orange → the most realistic outlook
Red → a more cautious, yet still optimistic scenario
Since NYSE:NIO currently has relatively low institutional ownership, I expect the stock to remain quite volatile. This makes the orange scenario, in my view, the most realistic. In addition, September is approaching—a month that is historically weak for stock performance.
On September 2nd, NYSE:NIO will present its earnings. Recent optimism, driven by stronger-than-expected delivery numbers and an upgraded valuation from J.P. Morgan Chase, has caused the stock to soar. However, with earnings coming up, we could see a classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” reaction.
Despite expecting a near-term correction, I remain bullish on NYSE:NIO over the long run. The company continues to expand its lineup, deliveries are improving, and institutional sentiment is slowly turning more positive. In my opinion, pullbacks into strong support zones like $5.92 offer opportunities for accumulation rather than reasons for panic.
This is my first published idea, and I would greatly appreciate your feedback. I wrote the original text myself and used ChatGPT to refine it for better readability, since English is not my first language.
NIO Trendline Break PossibleGood evening traders,
After NIO's rapid growth Pre-Covid, the company has failed to make a comeback. In my opinion this was due to its rapid growth and impulse move back in 2020. My rule with impulse moves is the market will tend to retrace 100% of its initial move.
Following the fall of NIO for the past several years, it has clearly been bouncing from a descending trendline and so far it has touched 4 times. I expect NIO to continue to drop, the $3.00'ish price seems to be a good price to enter with a possibility of it reach the $1.00 area. I'm expecting a breakout soon followed by a retracement back to the trendline and bounce up until is reaches the $27 dollar area. This is just the technical aspect of this analysis. Hope this helps some of you with your investments.
Don't forget to like and follow for more trading ideas & trading opportunities. Happy Trading!
NioNYSE:NIO – NIO Inc. | Daily Chart Technical Analysis
NIO ( NYSE:NIO ) just broke out of a critical resistance zone with a +14.44% move on strong volume, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 Key Technical Highlights:
Breakout: Price has surged above the key supply zone around $5.90–$6.15, confirming a breakout from the descending channel (dotted white line).
Volume Spike: Significant volume confirms institutional interest and adds credibility to the breakout.
Moving Averages: Price is now trading well above both the 50-day and 200-day MAs, a shift in trend structure.
Support Levels: Strong base formed between $4.17 and $4.83 — could act as demand on any retest.
Next Target: $7.03 resistance is the next major level to watch. Above that, the chart opens up toward the $9.50–$11 range (highlighted zone).
📊 Current Price: $6.34
NIO is attempting a trend reversal after prolonged bearish pressure. Continuation depends on holding above the breakout zone with sustained volume.
#NIO #Stocks #EV #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #Trading #Charting #NIOstock
From Fast Charging to Fast Swapping: The Innovation Driving NioSince the last time I wrote about Nio, on July 17, exactly 40 days have passed, and the stock has risen by 55% (yesterday's close).
The results are impressive, with the cars increasingly spreading across Northern Europe.
But the real innovative concept is not the car itself, but the battery and the Battery Swap.
Why is the Battery Swap innovative?
The Battery Swap is innovative because it addresses one of the main limitations of electric vehicles: charging time and battery lifespan.
In fact, it introduces a new market concept that solves several problems:
1. Drastic reduction in “charging” time
Swapping the battery takes only a few minutes, comparable to a traditional fuel refill.
It avoids the long waits of standard or fast charging.
2. Extended vehicle lifespan
Batteries can be replaced with more advanced models without changing the vehicle.
This eliminates the problem of battery degradation over time, one of the main concerns for customers.
3. Flexible business model
Possibility of a battery subscription, reducing the initial cost of the vehicle.
Creation of a network of swap stations that can generate recurring revenue.
4. Sustainability and recycling
Used batteries can be replaced and sent for regeneration or recycling.
This reduces environmental impact compared to full vehicle replacements.
5. Competitive advantage
This technology differentiates Nio from other electric vehicle manufacturers and can drive mass adoption in markets where fast charging is still limited.
And now I leave you with a question:
Do you think the know-how behind Battery Swap applies only to the automotive market?
It seems we are in a 3rd Elliot's Wave in a Primary Cicle. It could reach 7.50$. This is not a financial advice.
NIO overboughthi traders
NIO has seen a strong breakout recently, moving sharply higher and now testing the $6.35 resistance level. This rally has been accompanied by a spike in volume, which shows strong momentum behind the move.
However, if you feel like you missed out on this run, don’t FOMO into buying here. The RSI is overbought across multiple timeframes (4h, daily, and weekly), which suggests the stock is due for a cooldown.
The best strategy in these setups is to wait for a healthy pullback. The highlighted buy zone around the $5.20–$5.50 range could offer a better risk/reward entry if price retraces. A bounce from that zone could then lead to another leg higher, with a potential target near $7.58.
In summary:
✅ Strong breakout on high volume.
⚠️ RSI overbought across 4h, daily, and weekly.
🕰 Best to wait for a pullback into the buy zone rather than chase.
$NIO You're updated roadmap for $NIOcopy & paste from twitter & stocktwits:
We have to see how it develops, but expecting to see an expanded flat with a 5 wave impulse to complete this sideways correction that started April 15, 2024 before we make the final move down to complete the macro structure and unfortunately filling gaps below....cont
The TVC:HSI & NYSE:BABA appear like they will make new lows over the next 24 mo. paying closer attention when new lows are made on TVC:HSI and around 12k. I thought we found the bottom going into March/April last year but wrong as this developed into a corrective flat for NYSE:NIO
lastly the volume profile isn't capturing the correct data - if we view only $66.99 to the current low, there is a massive volume gap at the ~0.382 fib correcting wave W (the 5-3-5 structure) at $11.02 which is the highest tgt for this bounce & HSI finishing correction from 2007
This set up is just about 10/10I posted about this in the Minds feed on TradingView last week
Trade active: Entered Monday August 11th 2025.
Last Time I played this pattern on NIO was back in September of last year and you can see to the left on my chart that it produced a 30% upside breakout from the move. If I remember correctly the volume and the move was probably news driven.
Now you can see this time there is something that makes this trade more powerful and interest me more.
We are above the Daily 200 Ema consolidating after making a new overall low on price this year. This typically a market maker algorithm that is used to shake out a ton of impatient paper hand investors.
The next day after I bought this I was down 10% on my shares and at the bottom of the flag. Shows you just can’t time the market every time obviously, but to me this was a great time to add options. I did some $5 calls expiring I think next Month. They are now up about 50%.
Price on August 14th swept the flag and tapped the 200Ema and price of course was sent to the top of the flag where we sit now. That luckily brought me back to break even on my shares and up 50% on my Call Options.
At this point Im patiently waiting to see if this trade idea works. I mean it’s NIO, the Chinese car company, that none of us have ever seen in person and with Trump in office people are scared of investing and or trading Chinese stocks. I see this as opportunity. All trades are dangerous but if you really look at NIO it’s a really easy stock to trade and it does respect a lot of Technical Analysis.
Trade Idea:
Entries: Enter now! Feel the FOMO! (Just kidding)
-Enter only if you wish to gamble this amazing set up
-If your a break out trader then wait for the Flag to get closed over & retested.
-Being a little early on consolidation like this is fine if your patient on waiting for the break up or the invalidation from the break down.
-The way the Daily candle closed yesterday August 18th kind of indicates you might be able to grab it in the middle or towards the bottom of the flag pattern.
Stop Loss:
-Im playing Soft stops on this. This just means I am waiting to close my position only if price closes under $4.21 on the Daily time frame. At that point I know my idea has been invalidated and I can walk away with a loss and be onto the next one
-Stop Loss for someone looking to use hard stops you can play this right under $4.20
-If your dont want to play stop loss then I dont think owning NIO down here at these numbers are a bad investment at all. This company makes some cool stuff and they are backed by the Chinese Government. Also look at what happens when this stock hits sub $3 range it gets accumulated and sent right back to $5 every time.
Profits:
- I like targeting atleast 1:2 risk to reward on anything in a down trend like this.
- However we did sweep out a new low on price this year. We have more buyers this time so this move can be much bigger than the 30% move from last year. We are also above the 200ema this time on the consolidation so you could be less inclined to take earlier profits.
-$5.50 is swing high one and or the first place you can look to shave some off, this is a place we could reject.
-$6.07 is the next swing high and another place you can pay yourself a little bit. This puts you at 1:2 RR ratio
-At this point its definitely smart to move your stop loss to breakeven so you dont have to manage this much more
-Final TP range would be a large stretch between $7-$9 which if Im still holding shares and options then this is where Ill look to to empty the rest out. That will be nearly a 80% move up if we can make it that far (Would need some sort of news and intense buying pressure to send us there) Very unlikely of hitting so don't wait around on that. If it doesn't get there quickly then we will definitely have out pull back when the rally drys up.
Anyways there’s probably a crap ton of reading errors in here, I just woke up at 4am from my cat begging for more food and said I should type this up and expose this idea since I am in love with it.
Ask me questions if you got them & I’ll try to help.
Final Note:
Follow your plan trim your profits and don't let other people online change your price targets. People get in plays like this then go to YouTube to see some idiot that says “NIO TO $25 BY 2026!!!” Then you don't sell and get stuck with it at $3 in 2026 and tie your money up for no reason when you could of just taken your money and moved to the next one. I did this same crap in 2020 when I first got into trading and got sucked into the “meme stock” pumps that were happening after the stimulus checks hit everyone’s accounts. Now I just use past data on charts to help guide my decisions on take profit and trust me its much better than going for the YouTube guys lottery dream conspiracy’s. Who the hell knows? Maybe it can go to higher numbers, but unless you had a plan of action to hold to those numbers then it’s not your destiny to hold for returns like that on a stock like this.
You’ll be more mad to give the profit back you made then you will be feeling FOMO of price moving higher after you sold. Just go with the flow, there’s 9000 ticker symbols in the stock market and plenty of other opportunities. There’s also Forex, Futures and Crypto that all trade as well. The opportunity is everywhere, just play it smart!
On the Edge of BreakoutDear NIO investors,
It looks like we’ve finally broken out of the long downtrend that’s held since the peak (check the massive channel on the log scale). The breakout may have happened this morning, eyeing a flag pattern continuation toward 6.5–6.7.
This is not financial advice, trade at your own risk.
NYSE:NIO
NIO Inc. – Multi-Timeframe Technical & Risk AnalysisState 1 – Metric Table & Technical Setup
On the Weekly timeframe, NIO has been in a prolonged downtrend since its 2021 peak, with multiple lower highs and heavy volume in selling zones. The most recent structure shows accumulation around the $3.02–$4.10 support range, followed by a bullish breakout toward the $4.80 area.
Market Cap: 9.4B (Mid Cap)
Volume: 30.64M (healthy liquidity)
Float: ~1.96B shares (large float, slower moves compared to small caps)
Momentum: Sideways-to-low momentum, but improving from the support base
Estimated Target: $5.49 (near resistance) → $7.71 (mid-term target)
Overall Signal: "Light Up" – Very Bullish based on current momentum shift metrics
State 2 – Manage Risk Plan
Two entry approaches based on risk tolerance:
Conservative Entry: $3.54–$3.60 zone (high-probability re-entry if market retests support)
Stop Loss: $3.00 (risk ~0.54)
Target Range: $7–$10 (potential 2–3× R/R)
Current Price Entry: $4.50–$4.85 zone
Stop Loss: $4.54 (very tight risk, but can be stopped out on volatility)
Alternate Wide Stop: $3.54 (only for swing with wider room)
Upside Potential: $7.71 → $9.00–$10.00 if macro sentiment improves
💡 Risk-Reward Summary: If entering at current levels, keep size small unless using the lower entry zone. Breakout toward $5.50 could confirm a higher low structure and open the path toward $7+.
Disclaimer
This is an educational technical analysis based on ALGTP® indicators and chart patterns. It is not financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose. Always conduct your own research and consider market conditions before making any investment decisions.
NIO Setting Up for a Big Move!🚨 NIO ALERT 🚨
Looks like a buy & fly setup is loading! 📈💥
📊 Technicals aligning beautifully with macro cycle support.
🔥 Volume picking up. The structure looks explosive.
📍 A clean breakout could send this EV beast soaring!
I'm watching closely for confirmation...
This could get FAST. ⚡
Nio - Best caseHere my best term scenario on Nio
We may have bottomed out as we have started to see bullish price action but tread with caution. once we have candle closure on weekly above that weekly breaker block i am looking ath this level to be our launchpad higher with the best case; is that we reach our long term target between 25-37
NIO - Start of a major Breakout? | Ew analysisPersonally, I see only two realistic scenarios for NIO: either the major correction has already concluded, or we are very close to its completion. The scenario presented here appears the most compelling, as it allows for the possibility of a significant bullish impulse beginning to unfold toward the end of Q4 2025—potentially fueled by improved profitability prospects and the company's continued push toward long-term operational efficiency.