Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.
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Market insights
RVNL (NSE) 1D- falling trendline breakout + early continuationPrice Action
The stock has been in a sustained downtrend marked by a clearly defined falling trendline. After an extended corrective phase, price formed a stable base near the ₹300–₹305 zone, indicating exhaustion of selling pressure.
Recently, the stock has decisively broken above the falling trendline and reclaimed the key horizontal level near ₹345–₹346, signaling a potential trend reversal. The breakout candle is strong and followed by consolidation above the breakout zone, which suggests acceptance of higher prices rather than a false breakout.
The projected price path on the chart reflects a classic breakout–pullback–continuation structure, where minor retracements are expected before the next leg higher.
Key Levels
Support Zones:
₹346.05 – ₹345.70 – Immediate breakout support; must hold to sustain bullish momentum.
₹323.90 – ₹327.50 – Major demand zone and retest support; structurally important.
₹302.00 – ₹301.40 – Long-term base support; breakdown below this would invalidate the bullish setup.
Resistance Zones / Upside Targets:
₹368.15 – First resistance; near-term target after consolidation.
₹390.30 – Intermediate resistance; likely to see profit booking.
₹412.45 – Strong resistance zone; breakout here strengthens trend continuation.
₹434.55 – ₹438.45 – Major upside target; represents a full trend reversal objective.
Volume Analysis
Volume behavior supports the bullish case:
Volume expanded notably during the breakout above the falling trendline.
Prior to the breakout, volume had been contracting, which is typical during base formation.
Recent green volume bars suggest renewed accumulation by stronger participants.
Sustained volume expansion above ₹346 would confirm continuation strength, while low volume pullbacks would be considered healthy.
Trend & Momentum
Short-term Trend:
Bullish — price is holding above the falling trendline and key horizontal breakout level.
Medium-term Trend:
Turning bullish — the long downtrend is potentially transitioning into a new uptrend.
Momentum:
Improving — momentum indicators (price structure and breakout behavior) favor upside.
A close below ₹323.90 would weaken momentum, while holding above ₹345 keeps momentum positive.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Case:
If the stock sustains above ₹345–₹346, the next leg higher may unfold toward:
₹368.15
₹390.30
₹412.45
₹434.55–₹438.45 (extended target)
Minor pullbacks toward ₹346 or ₹327 can be considered structural retests rather than weakness.
Bearish Case:
Failure to hold ₹345 followed by a breakdown below ₹323.90 would signal a failed breakout.
A decisive close below ₹302 would completely invalidate the reversal structure and reopen downside risk.
Overall Bias:
The chart shows a high-probability bullish reversal setup characterized by:
a prolonged downtrend,
a well-defined base near ₹300,
a clean falling trendline breakout, and
improving volume and momentum.
As long as the price holds above ₹323–₹327, the overall bias remains bullish, with upside potential toward ₹412 and ₹438 in the coming weeks.
⚠️ Disclaimer : This chart analysis is for educational purposes only.
Regulatory Note : We are an independent development team and are not registered with any financial authority. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
RVNL Long setupLogic: RVNL has started uptrend, followed by a demand zone on the daily.
The zone lines around 50% of the previous week bullish candle which may be considered a good retracement level.
The demand zone zone formed may act as a netter retracement level and a long opportunity.
A equivalent better demand zone lies on 25 min time frame right above the daily which can act as a turning point of prices.
Keep strict Stop loss and target of 1: 3
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd for 7th Nov #RVNL Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd for 7th Nov #RVNL
Resistance 320 Watching above 320 for upside momentum.
Support area 315 Below 320 gnoring upside momentum for intraday
Watching below 314 for downside movement...
Above 320 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,
V Trade Point
RVNL Long Trades Setup📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
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RVNL-The Railway Growth EngineIn FY 2019, just before Covid, RVNL was trading at a premium of roughly 10 times, giving about ₹3.50 per share to Its Equity shareholder . Its sales figures jumped massively from ₹10,000 crore to ₹19,000 crore. However, when we look at EPS, it only increased from about ₹3.5 to ₹6 till F.Y 2024.
By August 2024, when the stock started to decline, the premium had reached nearly 80. This is simply an observation based on the available data, nothing in-depth.
Now, looking at the technicals, the stock has cut the 24-month moving average. At this stage, it seems to be a “wait and watch” situation. We can only observe at what price RVNL bounces back and starts its time correction.
This is purely an observation based on publicly available data.
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd view for Intraday 16th May #RVNL Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd view for Intraday 16th May #RVNL
Resistance 380 Watching above 380 for upside momentum.
Support area 370 Below 375 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Watching below 369 for downside movement...
Above 375 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,
V Trade Point
Long Term - Railway Fundamental PickRailway stocks are currently trading near their 52-week low because of the market decline. Here are some solid fundamental picks to consider adding to your portfolio for the long term.
📊 Script: RVNL
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 335
🎯 PE 🏆 - 56.1
📊 Script: RAILTEL
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 281
🎯 PE 🏆 - 32.4
📊 Script: IRCON
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 144
🎯 PE 🏆 - 17.7
📊 Script: IRFC
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 122
🎯 PE 🏆 - 24.5
📊 Script: TITAGARH
⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 748
🎯 PE 🏆 - 34.6
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Rail Vikas Nik Ltd view for Intraday 4th Dec #RVNL Rail Vikas Nik Ltd view for Intraday 4th Dec #RVNL
Resistance 450. Watching above 451 for upside movement...
Support area 430 Below 445 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Support 430 Watching below 429 for downside movement...
Resistance area 450
Above 435 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,
V Trade Point
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd view for Intraday 7th Nov #RVNL Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd view for Intraday 7th Nov #RVNL
Resistance 470-471. Watching above 473 for upside movement...
Support area 465. Below 465 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Support 465 .Watching below 465 for downside movement...
Resistance area 470
Above 470 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,
V Trade Point3
Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd for Intraday 31st October #RVNL ResistancRail Vikas Nigam Ltd for Intraday 31st October #RVNL
Resistance 470. Watching above 471for upside movement...
Support area 460. Below 455 ignoring upside momentum for intraday
Support 460.Watching below 459 for downside movement...
Resistance area 470
Above 456 ignoring downside move for intraday
Charts for Educational purposes only.
Please follow strict stop loss and risk reward if you follow the level.
Thanks,
V Trade Point






















