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Understanding Ichimoku Cloud In Trading🔹 1. Introduction What is Ichimoku Cloud? Ichimoku Kinko Hyo translates to “one‑glance equilibrium chart.” It is a rules‑based charting framework that maps trend, momentum, support/resistance, and forward projections in a single overlay so traders can make decisions quickly and objectively. What makes Ichimoku different? All‑in‑one system: Measures trend, momentum, and structure without adding separate indicators. Forward projection: The Cloud and Kumo twists project future support/resistance zones rather than only reacting to past price. Equilibrium logic: Midpoint calculations emphasize market balance over raw averages, often reacting more cleanly to range boundaries and trend pullbacks. Visual speed: Color/position relationships produce a high‑signal, low‑clutter read—hence “one glance.” 🔹 2. History Ichimoku was developed by Goichi Hosoda , a Japanese journalist who published under the pen name Ichimoku Sanjin. Between the 1930s and the 1960s, Hosoda and a team of assistants tested price and time relationships by hand, iterating toward a framework that could summarize market balance quickly without sacrificing structure. His work combined price, time, and wave ideas into a practical template that traders could learn and apply on paper charts. The well‑known numbers—9, 26, and 52—come from the historical Japanese trading calendar, which used a six‑day trading week. More importantly, they create a short‑medium‑long cadence that preserves the internal geometry of the system, helping Tenkan/Kijun interactions line up with Cloud behavior and Chikou confirmations across many market regimes. Ichimoku remains relevant because it projects future structure, scales across timeframes, and adapts well to liquid markets from equities and futures to forex and crypto. Even in a high‑frequency world, traders still respond to visible structure, and the Cloud makes that structure explicit ahead of time. 🔹 3. Benefits Ichimoku reads trend, momentum, and structure in one glance. Trend shows in where price sits relative to the Cloud and in the ordering/slope of the spans (Span A over Span B and rising is healthy). Momentum appears in the Tenkan–Kijun relationship—their distance and angle—and in how quickly price reclaims Tenkan after a pullback. Structure is revealed by flat Kijun and flat Span B “magnet” levels that price gravitates to, plus Cloud thickness, which hints at how much “effort” the market needs to break through. Because states and invalidations are predefined, visuals become rules you can trade: a close back inside the Cloud flags rising risk; Chikou clearing past highs removes nearby resistance; and entries are higher quality when Tenkan and Kijun align with a supportive, rising forward Cloud (often after a Kumo twist). The method scales cleanly from intraday to weekly and across assets. Many traders set bias with the higher-timeframe Cloud—only looking for longs when price is above a rising Kumo—then drop a timeframe to time entries as Tenkan/Kijun cross or as price retests Kijun from above. 🔹 4. Components Tenkan‑sen (Conversion Line): midpoint of the last 9 periods In a healthy trend, price frequently “breathes” around Tenkan—pulling back to it, briefly piercing it, then resuming in the trend direction. The slope of Tenkan reflects the pace of the move: a rising, well‑angled Tenkan suggests persistent buying pressure, while a flattening Tenkan signals short‑term balance. Tenkan often acts as dynamic support/resistance; repeated successful retests are a sign of momentum continuity, and repeated failures warn of loss of impulse. Tenkan = (Highest High(9) + Lowest Low(9)) / 2 Kijun‑sen (Base Line): midpoint of the last 26 periods Where Tenkan tracks impulse, Kijun represents the balance point of the dominant swing. Price tends to revert to Kijun after expansions, making it both a magnet and a filter. A rising Kijun with price holding above it confirms trend maturity; a flat Kijun often marks the range midline and a probable retest level. Many traders trail partial risk below Kijun in uptrends (or above it in downtrends) because losing Kijun typically precedes deeper mean reversion. Kijun = (Highest High(26) + Lowest Low(26)) / 2 Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): average of Tenkan and Kijun, plotted 26 periods forward Span A represents one boundary of the Kumo and reflects the average of the Tenkan and Kijun lines, making it more responsive to recent price action and a dynamic indicator of short-term trend direction. Span A = (Tenkan + Kijun) / 2 → shifted +26 Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): midpoint of the last 52 periods, plotted 26 periods forward Span B forms the opposite edge of the Cloud and is calculated from a 52-period high-low average, creating a flatter, more stable line that often acts as strong support or resistance due to its representation of longer-term equilibrium. Span B = (Highest High(52) + Lowest Low(52)) / 2 → shifted +26 Kumo (Cloud): the filled region between Span A and Span B; thickness visualizes volatility/“equilibrium buffer.” The shaded area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on the Ichimoku chart. This "cloud" represents areas of support and resistance, with its thickness indicating market volatility and the strength of the equilibrium zone. A thicker Kumo suggests greater uncertainty and stronger price buffers, while a thinner Kumo indicates weaker support/resistance levels and reduced volatility. Chikou Span (Lagging Line): current close plotted 26 periods back; confirms alignment between current price and past price structure. Chikou plots the current close 26 periods back. When Chikou is above prior price and above the Cloud, the path ahead is typically “clear,” confirming bullish conditions. When it collides with past highs, lows, or Cloud edges, those features often act as retroactive obstacles; trades pressed directly into them carry lower odds and may require reduced size or patience for a cleaner setup. Chikou’s value is in context: it keeps you from buying breakouts that immediately smash into last month’s resistance or shorting into well‑defined support. Alignment of Chikou with price and the forward Cloud turns a visual impression into a rule. 🔹 5. Interpretation How to rate signal quality? Tenkan–Kijun cross (TK cross). A bullish TK cross occurs when Tenkan rises above Kijun; a bearish cross is the reverse. Crosses above the Cloud are strongest (trend‑aligned), inside the Cloud are neutral (higher noise), and below the Cloud are weakest for longs (and strongest for shorts). Cross quality improves when the forward Cloud agrees (Span A over Span B for bullish) and when Chikou has clear space. Chikou confirmation of breakouts. A breakout through a level is more trustworthy when Chikou is through and beyond the corresponding historical barrier. If Chikou is pinned beneath old highs while price breaks out, expect retests or false starts. Cloud breakouts and edge‑to‑edge logic. Breaks into or out of the Kumo carry more weight when the Cloud is turning (twist forming) and sloping in the trade direction. After a confirmed entry, price often traverses from one Cloud boundary to the other—especially when Span B is flat and acts like a target. Kumo as future balance point. The forward Cloud is a projected equilibrium. Flat spans, especially Span B, frequently attract price; thick areas behave as buffers, thin spots as gates. Reading these shapes ahead of time lets you plan scenarios rather than react. Multi‑timeframe alignment. Expectancy improves when the higher‑timeframe Cloud sets the bias and the lower timeframe supplies timing. For example, seek longs only when the daily is above a rising Cloud, then use a 1‑hour TK recapture or Kijun retest as the trigger. 🔹 6. Understanding the Kumo (Cloud) Kumo as Support/Resistance The Kumo is formed by the space between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B projected 26 periods into the future. When price approaches the upper edge from below in a bearish regime, that boundary acts like resistance; when price descends onto the lower edge from above in a bullish regime, it often acts like support. Markets frequently hesitate, wick, or retest at these edges because they represent the consensus midpoint of prior swings carried forward in time. A thick Kumo implies a broad equilibrium buffer: price needs more energy to pass through, so reactions, pauses, or partial rejections are common. A thin Kumo implies a narrow buffer: price can pierce and switch sides with less effort, which increases the odds of swift transitions. Flat sections—especially where Span B is flat—often behave like shelves that attract price before it decides the next leg. Kumo Twist (Senkou Span A crosses B) A Kumo twist occurs when Span A crosses Span B in the forward projection, flipping the Cloud from bullish to bearish or vice versa. Because the spans are derived from midpoints, the twist is an early signal of changing balance rather than a guarantee of immediate reversal. It often appears while price is still inside the prior regime, and its reliability improves when accompanied by Kijun flattening, Tenkan/Kijun compression, or a Chikou approach to historical barriers. Trading before the twist can offer better entries but carries the risk of false starts if momentum doesn’t follow through. Trading after the twist sacrifices the first part of the move but benefits from confirmation—especially if the forward Cloud begins to slope in the new direction and price is already reclaiming or rejecting Kumo edges. Kumo Breakouts A Cloud breakout occurs when price closes out of the Kumo and holds that side on retests. A bullish breakout is a close above the upper boundary; a bearish breakout is a close below the lower boundary. Quality improves when the forward Cloud agrees (Span A over Span B for bullish, the reverse for bearish), the Cloud is thinning or already thin at the breakout point, and Chikou is simultaneously through the corresponding historical structure. False breakouts are common when the Cloud is thick and flat or when Chikou immediately collides with past highs/lows. Requiring a retest of the breached edge (turning resistance into support or vice versa) greatly improves expectancy, as does ensuring that Kijun is supportive (price holding above it in bullish contexts). Thin vs. Thick Kumo Thin Kumo generally reflects compressed ranges, fast transitions, and fragile trends. Breaks through thin spots tend to be quick but can reverse just as quickly if the rest of the system (TK alignment, Chikou, forward slope) doesn’t confirm. Thick Kumo reflects broader ranges and sturdier trends; passing through requires more energy, but holding the new side is more durable once achieved. You can think of width as a volatility filter: thin zones favor momentum pops and tactical trades; thick zones favor patience, staged entries, and giving the market room to breathe. Many traders normalize Cloud width by price or compare it to ATR to judge whether conditions suit breakout‑style entries or mean‑reversion fades. 🔹 7. Strategies Using Ichimoku Kumo as Support/Resistance This strategy uses Cloud edges as forward support/resistance. In an uptrend, pullbacks into the upper Kumo edge or into a flat Span B shelf often create decision zones; if price rejects the edge and recaptures Tenkan, the trend is likely intact. The opposite applies in downtrends. Entries typically trigger on a rejection close away from the edge or on the next bar that reclaims Tenkan. The stop sits outside the Cloud (beyond the pierced edge) to account for wicks. Expectancy improves when the forward Cloud thickens and rises (showing durable support) and when Kijun is rising beneath price. First targets are the recent swing extreme or the next flat Span B; if the bounce begins inside the Kumo, an “edge‑to‑edge” move toward the opposite boundary is a reasonable objective. High‑probability conditions: clear trend, supportive forward slope, and a bounce forming near a flat Span B rather than in the middle of a thin, twisting Cloud. Tenkan–Kijun Crossovers (TK Cross) in Context Crossovers are context tools, not standalone signals. A bullish TK cross (Tenkan above Kijun) that occurs above the Kumo with a bullish forward slope and Chikou clearance is the strongest variant. The same cross inside the Cloud is neutral, and below the Cloud is weak for longs (but strong for shorts in the opposite case). Early traders may take a cross below the Cloud when a twist and reclaim are imminent, but expectancy is lower without Cloud support. A practical sequence is: establish bias from the Cloud, wait for the TK cross in that direction, then demand either Chikou clearance or a clean retest before committing full risk. Stops belong beyond Kijun or the most recent swing that defined the cross. 🔹 8. Key Takeaways Ichimoku is a market framework, not a signal tool Ichimoku is designed to map equilibrium and project structure forward. Read it as a context engine: the Cloud sets regime and bias, Tenkan/Kijun express momentum and mean reversion, and Chikou verifies that the path ahead is clear. Decisions come from states and transitions—price vs. Kumo, span ordering and slope, TK alignment, and Chikou clearance—rather than from any one line crossing another. This is why the same template scales from intraday to weekly charts and across asset classes: you are reading the same language of balance, impulse, and structure. The synergy between components is the edge Edge emerges when the system agrees with itself. A TK cross is more than two lines intersecting; its quality depends on where it occurs relative to the Cloud, how the forward Kumo is sloped, and whether Chikou has cleared historical obstacles. Kijun provides risk structure and often serves as a dynamic stop or trailing guide; flat Span B and flat Kijun act as magnets and targets. When these elements line up—Cloud bias, TK timing, Chikou clearance, supportive forward slope—you have a trade worth taking. When they don’t, the right move is usually patience. Best practices checklist Use this short checklist to standardize your process and reduce discretion. Start with bias: Price relative to the Kumo and forward slope sets long/short/neutral. Demand confluence: Take signals when TK aligns with forward Cloud and Chikou shows clearance. Trade level‑to‑level: Plan entries/exits around flat Span B/Kijun shelves; they are natural magnets. Prefer break‑and‑retest: After a Cloud or key‑level break, wait for a retest and hold before sizing up. Avoid thick/flat Kumo: Stand aside or de‑risk when the Cloud is thick and horizontal; that’s chop territory. Use multi‑timeframe logic: Let the higher timeframe set bias; take lower timeframe triggers in that direction. Place stops beyond structure: Use Kijun or the Kumo edge instead of arbitrary ticks; give room for wicks. Scale and trail methodically: Take partials at Span B/Kijun targets; trail from Kijun → Tenkan as momentum builds. Size by volatility: Calibrate with ATR or relative Cloud width; widen stops and reduce size around twists. Let Chikou veto: If Chikou is about to collide with past highs/lows, delay or reduce risk. Treat Ichimoku as a map — the Cloud defines the terrain, TK tells you when to move, and Chikou checks that the road is clear. When the framework is not aligned, stand down. Trade only when the map, the timing, and the clearance agree; manage risk using the Kijun and the Cloud edges; and let neutrality be an acceptable outcome when the forecast is foggy.
Education
by CandelaCharts
DeGRAM | BTCUSD near the $120k level📊 Technical Analysis ● BTC/USD rebounded strongly from the 117,000 support, showing consistent higher lows along the support line, with bulls driving momentum toward resistance. ● Chart structure points to a pullback before continuation, targeting 124,450, as the pair remains within a broad rising channel. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Bitcoin gains support from increasing institutional inflows and optimism around U.S. regulatory clarity, with traders positioning ahead of potential spot ETF approvals. ✨ Summary ● BTC/USD maintains bullish structure above 117,000, with upside targets near 124,450, supported by both technical continuation and strengthening fundamental sentiment. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 52☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken through all major resistance levels, setting a new ATH, and then experienced a 2% price drop due to profit-taking and FOMO-driven selling. It then moved toward its key support zone around $122,584, bounced from there, and is now moving toward its early trigger zone at $124,113. 🧮 The RSI oscillator shows two important levels — 63 and 45 — and once the volatility threshold crosses especially above 63, Bitcoin could see a sharp increase in volatility, activating its triggers and enabling breakout moves. 🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has decreased after each touch of resistance, but now with a noticeable volume increase, our early trigger could become active, allowing Bitcoin to form larger, high-volume candles either upward or downward. Since the high-wave cycle remains bullish, the current scenario still favors upside continuation and resistance breakouts. 🧠 For Bitcoin positions, it’s better to wait for all confirmations to align — including activation of the early trigger, an RSI breakout above 63, and rising buy volume — before opening a long position. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
BTC at the Crossroads: Breakout or Breakdown? 📊 BTCUSDT Technical Analysis – 1-Hour Timeframe (Oct 5, 2025) Created by FarshadRazaghi using TradingView This 1-hour chart captures Bitcoin’s price action against Tether from September 29 to October 6. After a strong bullish rally reaching 124,447.32, BTC faced selling pressure and is now consolidating near the 121,017.16 support level. 🔻 Overall Trend - From Sep 29 to Oct 5, BTC moved in a clear uptrend, breaking through multiple resistance zones. - On Oct 5, price hit a peak at 124,447.32, followed by bearish candles and a noticeable drop in volume—indicating potential exhaustion. 🟩 Key Support Zones - 119,824.23 and 118,925.65 have acted as strong support levels. - If 121,017.16 fails to hold, price may decline toward 117,504.32 and possibly 115,122.73. 🟥 Resistance Zones - The main resistance is at 123,456.78, which previously rejected upward momentum. - A breakout above this level could lead to a retest of the 124,447.32 high. 📉 Volume Analysis - A sharp drop in volume is observed near the top (highlighted in orange), suggesting weakening bullish momentum. - Declining red volume bars may indicate a slow correction or sideways consolidation. 📈 Potential Scenarios 1. Bullish Case: Holding above 121K and breaking through 123,456 could trigger a move toward 124,447. 2. Bearish Case: Losing the 121K support may open the path to 119K and then 117K. --- 🧠 Conclusion: BTCUSDT is at a critical decision point. Price behavior around the 121K support and 123K resistance will likely define the next move. Traders should monitor volume closely and wait for confirmation before entering positions. Risk management remains essential.
Long
by farshadrazzaghi
BITCOIN DAILYBITCOIN OVERSIGHT AND CORRECTIONS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY (1)DEMAND FLOOR AT 109,060.77 was a retest to the neckline of double bottom a bullish price action signal on daily candle close as illustrated from our line chart and it came with another confluence from an ascending trendline to add more impetus to the buy rally and many missed and lost money too. (2) SUPPLY ROOF 117,383.70 a previous demand floor on daily after break of structure it became supply roof and stopped upswing twice ,but due to buy rally that key level is broken after 2 retested attempt ,on technical a broken supply roof is now our demand floor except the sell order exceed buy order that zone 117,383.70 holds support on daily candle close . (3) 123,387-124,478.66-125k daily supply roof and our current all time high . this zone has an ascending trendline connecting the two highs and on technical the next high should be 127,071-128k for sell in the direction of the previous two all time highs(123,387-124,478.66) my ideal zone to attempt sell should be 127,071-128k zone note ;you can avoid selling and wait for buy zone 117,383.70 and its possible tat price wont return to this level. trading is 100% a game of probability.(win/loss) comes with it. No holy gril,nothing like best strategy. what we have is masters in RISK MANAGEMENT,THE BEST TRADERS ARE EXPERTS IN RISK MANAGEMENT,THEY ALL HAVE ZERO EMOTION,THEY DONT CHASE WHAT IS LOST. GOODLUCK #BITCOIN #BTCUSDT #BTC #CRYTO
Long
by Shavyfxhub
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #184👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let's go over the Bitcoin analysis. Yesterday, the price got rejected from a resistance zone, and today, it has started a corrective downward movement. Let's review the market together. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe Yesterday, after the price reached the resistance zone, I mentioned that if the RSI exits the Overbuy zone, we could take profits. 📊 This is exactly what happened. After the price was rejected from the zone, the RSI moved out of the Overbuy zone and started heading downward. ⭐ Currently, the price correction has continued towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level. The trading volume during this correction has not decreased, which indicates that sellers are still active in the market, and their trading volume is not significantly lower than buyers. 🎲 If the price continues its correction and the volume increases at the same rate, the likelihood of a trend reversal and the start of a new downward trend becomes much higher. However, if the volume decreases simultaneously with the correction, the range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels will be a very important support zone, and the price could find support there. 🔼 For a long position, the trigger we currently have is the breakout of the resistance zone. If we wait for the price to touch this zone a few more times, we can draw the exact numbers for the range and open our position upon its breakout. ⚡️ For a short position, it's better to wait and get confirmation of a bearish trend before looking for triggers. We will confirm the bearish trend if the selling volume increases and lower highs and lows are made. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
2
Bitcoin Channel Analysis - Breakout or Breakdown Incoming?Bitcoin has been trading within a pristine ascending channel for nearly a year and is now at a critical decision point after rejecting from key resistance. The Setup: 📊 Pattern Formation: Year-Long Ascending Channel - Clean parallel channel structure established since early 2024 - Lower boundary providing consistent support with multiple successful tests - Upper boundary acting as strong resistance, most recently at $121,682 - Mid-channel support zone around $115,000-$117,000 has been reliable - Current price: $122,205, consolidating after rejection from upper resistance 🎯 Potential Targets: Bullish Scenario: $130,000-$135,000 zone - Measured move from channel breakout above $122,500 - Continuation of the established uptrend structure - Next major psychological level at $130K Bearish Scenario: $105,000-$108,000 zone - Drop to lower channel boundary if current support fails - Would still maintain channel integrity - Critical support at $100,000 - breakdown below invalidates entire structure What to Watch For Validation: ✅ Decisive Close Above $122,500 - Need a strong 4-hour or daily candle close above this level to confirm breakout - Not just a wick testing - require solid body close with conviction - Previous resistance at $121,682 must flip to support ✅ Volume Surge - Breakout must occur with significantly elevated volume - Recent volume has been declining during consolidation (visible in lower panel) - Need at least 2-3x average volume to confirm genuine buying pressure ✅ Support Hold at Mid-Channel - Current pullback testing $115,000-$117,000 zone - This area has provided multiple bounces throughout the channel - Strong bounce with increasing volume = bullish continuation signal ✅ Follow-Through Above $125,000 - After confirming breakout, price should push toward $130K relatively quickly - Hesitation or immediate rejection would suggest weak momentum - Watch for sustained trade above previous resistance Key Levels: 🔸 Resistance: $121,682 (recent rejection) → $122,500 (breakout confirmation) → $130,000 (target) 🔸 Support: $115,000-$117,000 (mid-channel) → $105,000-$108,000 (lower channel) → $100,000 (invalidation level) 🔸 Volume Context Declining volume during pullback is actually bullish - suggests lack of seller aggression Pattern Context: Ascending channels represent sustained bullish momentum with well-defined risk parameters. The current consolidation near the upper boundary, combined with declining volume, suggests coiling energy for the next significant move. The 9-day pullback of -7.55% is healthy profit-taking, not distribution. Invalidation Signals: ❌ Break and close below $112,000 with volume ❌ Breakdown through lower channel boundary (~$105K) ❌ Multiple failed attempts at $122,500 with declining volume ❌ Close below $100,000 = trend reversal confirmed The channel must resolve. Bitcoin is compressing near resistance after a year of respecting this structure. A breakout above $122,500 with volume opens the door to $130K+. However, failure to hold mid-channel support could send us to test the lower boundary around $105K. Watch for that decisive move - volume will tell the story. Not financial advice - DYOR.
Short
by The_Pythia
The day will come which No one would believe BTC towards 222222Here I am expressing my Thought about BTC if we look at the Previous Data ( TOP 10540 LOW 3621) (LOW 3621 TOP 69198) (TOP 69198 LOW 15443) (LOW 15443 TOP would be 222222) by March 2026 From there we would be having two year downtrend and the LOW would be $76000 around December January 2028. Those who believe and know this assets from the beginning they will certainly believe this possibilities . This is not a financial advice so take your decision on your own However everything is Possible in this world as more and more institutions are getting into it and everyday the tech is improving. Remember me if this wild Prediction is going to be True. Thanks,
Long
by megafuture
2
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 50☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, after breaking through the taker-seller zone around $117,550, price pushed up toward its resistance area near $120,000. From there, we’ve started to see early signs of rejection. With a 1H candle close rejecting this zone, we can say that after such a strong rally, Bitcoin is now entering its corrective phase, moving back toward its key support levels. Let’s break it down deeper. 🧮 The RSI oscillator, after consolidating for about 1 day and 6 hours around the overbuy boundary, has now started to exit that zone. This suggests potential downside momentum toward its key swing supports. Keep in mind, a static swing resistance formed at the 78 level in overbuy territory. If that breaks — along with the taker-seller zone — long trades could push RSI up toward 91 before facing a possible rejection (a less likely scenario for now). At this stage, I don’t have a clear key support zone to highlight, but with corrective structure forming, I’ll point out the levels to watch in future updates. 🕯 Today’s buying candles expanded slightly in size and volume following the weaker USD news. However, because the move up has been sharp and the number of selling candles limited, hitting the taker-seller zone increases the probability of a pullback. A strong close with solid selling volume would confirm corrective pressure for Bitcoin. 🧠 I believe the smarter approach is to wait for the corrective structure to play out first. Once the new resistance levels are defined and broken, we can look for setups. Keep in mind, shorting here isn’t ideal — the broader trend is still strongly bullish and momentum is very powerful. The goal is to position for the next high-probability move, not fight the trend. ↗️ Long scenario: A Bitcoin long could be considered on a clean break above RSI 78 combined with a strong candle close above the marked taker-seller zone, ideally supported by increasing buy volume. Multi-timeframe candle setups would give stronger confirmation for entry. 📉 Short scenario: At the moment, I don’t see a high-probability short setup. Long positions are simply carrying more edge (and dopamine). ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
BTC ANALYSIS🔮 #BTC Analysis  🚀🚀 💲💲 #BTC is trading between support and resistance area. There is a potential rejection again from its resistance zone and pullback from support zone. If #BTC breaks the major resistance zone then we would see a bullish move or else we will get a downfall towards its major support zone 💸Current Price -- $1,21,800 ⁉️ What to do? - We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸 #BTC  #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
1
BTCUSD BITCOIN ADVANCED STRUCTURE BITCOIN OVERSIGHT AND CORRECTIONS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY (1)DEMAND FLOOR AT 109,060.77 was a retest to the neckline of double bottom a bullish price action signal on daily candle close as illustrated from our line chart and it came with another confluence from an ascending trendline to add more impetus to the buy rally and many missed and lost money too. (2) SUPPLY ROOF 117,383.70 a previous demand floor on daily after break of structure it became supply roof and stopped upswing twice ,but due to buy rally that key level is broken after 2 retested attempt ,on technical a broken supply roof is now our demand floor except the sell order exceed buy order that zone 117,383.70 holds support on daily candle close . (3) 123,387-124,478.66-125k daily supply roof and our current all time high . this zone has an ascending trendline connecting the two highs and on technical the next high should be 127,071-128k for sell in the direction of the previous two all time highs(123,387-124,478.66) my ideal zone to attempt sell should be 127,071-128k zone note ;you can avoid selling and wait for buy zone 117,383.70 and its possible tat price wont return to this level. trading is 100% a game of probability.(win/loss) comes with it. No holy gril,nothing like best strategy. what we have is masters in RISK MANAGEMENT,THE BEST TRADERS ARE EXPERTS IN RISK MANAGEMENT,THEY ALL HAVE ZERO EMOTION,THEY DONT CHASE WHAT IS LOST. GOODLUCK #BITCOIN #BTCUSDT #BTC #CRYTO
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Be careful with the continued downward correction.BTC Plan Analysis Currently, BTC has rallied strongly toward the 118,700 – 118,800 zone and is testing the 1.0 Fibonacci resistance. This area may trigger short-term profit-taking. Main outlook: After a sharp rally, the market is likely to see a corrective move. Key Levels Resistance: 118,800 – 119,000 (near-term resistance, currently being tested) 120,428 (strong resistance on the higher timeframe) 122,500 (major resistance, extended wave target) Support: 116,485 (Fibo 0.786, important confluence support) 114,837 (previous resistance turned support + EMA200) 114,150 – 114,050 (lower support, Fibo 0.236) Possible Scenarios BTC may face selling pressure at 118,800 – 119,000, leading to a correction back to 116,500. If 116,500 breaks, the next support zone is 114,800 – 114,000. If BTC holds above 116,500 and bounces, the market will likely retest the higher resistance at 120,400 – 122,500. 👉 Summary: Price is currently at short-term resistance. It’s better to wait for a reaction before making decisions. The correction toward 116.5K remains the primary scenario before the next clear move.
Short
by Nova-Scalper
1
Will US Gov Shutdown Continue to Support Bitcoin Prices?Fundamental approach: - Bitcoin prices this week have been driven by renewed risk appetite and positive spot ETF inflows, with sentiment supported by the US government shutdown’s data blackout and expectations of further Fed easing as labor market signals soften. The institutional demand narrative strengthened as US spot ETFs returned to inflows, with assets under management remaining elevated, thereby bolstering dip-buying interest. - Drivers included a modest uptick in the ISM manufacturing PMI, which is still in contraction, and ADP private payrolls showing job losses, reinforcing the view that looser policy could persist and liquidity conditions may remain supportive for the crypto beta. The shutdown has curtailed government data releases, prompting markets to rely on private indicators and amplifying sensitivity to risk sentiment and ETF flow headlines throughout the week. - Bitcoin prices could sustain momentum if ETF inflows remain positive and macro uncertainty keeps rate-cut expectations intact, though volatility may rise with limited official data. Technical approach: - BTCUSD broke the triangle pattern and rose higher, positioning itself above both EMAs, indicating an upward momentum. - If BTCUSD remains above 117000, the price may retest the previous swing high at around 123000. - On the contrary, closing below 117,000 may prompt BTCUSD to retest the broken triangle pattern and the area between both EMAs. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
1