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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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BITCOIN Is the first Bear Cycle RALLY approaching?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a brutal (but technically anticipated) correction ever since its October 06 All Time High (ATH), registering 6 red candles out of last 7. We have shown in previous analyses why the Bear Cycle has technically started, how the market lost the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now about to touch the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). This is the time where we may see a counter-trend rally, the first within this Bear Cycle. First of all, BTC has just completed a total decline of -32.30%, exactly like the January - April 2025 correction and identical to the -33.55% March - August 2024 correction. This is why we project the 86600 - 83600 range as the first technical Support Zone of this Bear Cycle and potential rebound candidate. In the meantime, the 1W RSI is approaching the 30.00 oversold barrier, which further enhances the probabilities for a relief rally. If materialized, it can technically rise even as high as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, where it may make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), even above the 1W MA50. The 1D MA200 has been the counter-trend rally rejection trendline and Resistance of the previous two Bear Cycles. Coupled with the 0.618 Fib, it forms a formidable market Resistance Zone. This rally may coincide with a final stock market rally, what is traditionally called 'the Santa Rally', which is the end-of-year rise on the markets. Technically that can be the perfect Bull Trap that rejects the rebound and resumes the bearish trend towards Lower Lows and eventually the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). So do you think we are finally about to see the first rally of this Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
39
BITCOIN : First Drop Then Shoot Up To $150,000Overview🧠 Bitcoin is in a bearish trend since it reversed from our previous trading zone. We expect the price to continue declining between 60,000 and 70,000. This is a suitable time to consider buying Bitcoin. Once the trade is activated, there are three potential targets: 90,000, 120,000 and 150,000. Please use appropriate risk management when trading Bitcoin as it is a more volatile asset. We wish you the best of luck. Team Setupsfx_❤️🏆
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Setupsfx_
21
Bitcoin: 100K Resistance Watch 88K Overlap.Bitcoin rejected the 105K area NEW resistance/old support. I wrote about this possibility a week ago and highlighted it during my stream. With the new low in progress, this area 95K and 90K are the next support areas to watch for swing trade reversals. Note the 90K to 88K area is a major support and IF cleared, will confirm a significant change to my wave count. It is IMPORTANT to consider this game as a collection of "IFs". If you were lured by all of the hype and high risk prices above 100K (I talked about this all summer), NOW you get to sit through the associated pain. THESE are prices to be interested in, especially for accumulating for investment. An OPEN mind is required to navigate this arena of incomplete information. Bitcoin can TEST as low as 73K (the pre election all time high) or even lower. How you manage risk through sizing and moderation of leverage (if used at all), is how you will more likely arrive at an optimal outcome. My chart shows key levels on this specific time frame, the arrow points to a reaction point (100K new resistance), and the illustration of lines highlights a potential scenario that I believe has a higher probability of developing over the coming week or weeks. As of now, the 95K support is broken but not by much, it can reverse quickly. Since there are a number of major supports in this area, the key is to confirm a reversal pattern. It may be in the form of a failed low or double bottom like formation nearer the 90K level. It is within reason to measure profit potential from the 100K area now that it is a new resistance. This is the shorter time horizon perspective ideal for swing trades only. In terms of the broader view, 88K is major because it is where I have my Wave 1 of this broader wave defined. IF price overlaps this (meaning it goes to 85K with no swift rejection) then it confirms that the current structure is the broader corrective wave (Wave 2). This Wave 2 can potentially see prices in the 50Ks or theoretically lower. I believe extreme low prices are a low probability, but you must be prepared either way. I don't make specific forecasts because I know price is purely driven by sentiment, and sentiment can be extremely irrational. Lesson: LEARN to assess risk and reasonable possibilities through TECHNICAL analysis along with some fundamental perspective. If you are stuck from much higher prices, you can only blame yourself for consuming too much Michael Saylor content. While the short term price structure is bearish, the bigger picture hasn't changed yet. THIS is what an investment opportunity looks like, NOT pushing all time highs day after day. As an investor you assume the most risk, so how much you risk should always be the focus, not how much you can make. And also consider the question: what has changed fundamentally? Sentiment drives price and when it gets to an extreme, opportunities arise especially when aligned with the fundamental view. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
16
BITCOIN The 1W MA50 Bear confirmation you didnt want, happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) just closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 06 2023. Since that break-out, the 1W MA50 had been tested and held on 3 major occasions within the Bull Cycle, providing the most optimal mid-Cycle entries during those 2.5 years. What's even more important than this time distance, is the fact that every 1W candle closing below the 1W MA50 has always marked/ confirmed the start of the new Bear Cycle historically. This is something that we've presented to you and discussed numerous times this year, as we were analyzing BTC's 4-year Cycle theory and why October was the most likely Cycle Top candidate time-wise. This time we are looking at the previous Cycle more specifically, due to the strong similarities so far leading to the current Top. First of all the end-of-Cycle rallies on both started after a clear test and rebound on the 1W MA50. At the same time, the both displayed Higher Highs, against the 1W RSI's Lower Highs, which is a huge Bearish Divergence and the first strong indication that the Cycle Top may be forming. The Cycle Top on both came when the 1W RSIs were 70.00. Also the 1W MA50 break-out took place around the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the last test/ rebound. As you may realize, there is a high degree of symmetry here both price-wise and in terms of RSI. If that continues, we can expect the Bear Cycle bottom to be at least on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $55000. So do you think that the closing below the 1W MA50 has confirmed the new Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
16
BTCUSD: Buyers Aiming for a Move Toward 99,000 ResistanceHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup. Market Analysis BTCUSD has recently completed a strong downward phase inside a well-defined Downward Channel, where price continuously formed lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the Support Zone around $94,500–$95,200, buyers stepped in and created a fake breakout, followed by a quick recovery — a sign of weakening seller pressure. Following this rebound, Bitcoin formed an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, confirming a potential bullish reversal. Price has now broken above the Triangle Resistance Line, signaling the first structural shift from bearish to bullish. Currently, BTCUSD is consolidating just above the $95,500–$96,000 support zone, which now acts as a retest area for the breakout. As long as BTC stays above the Triangle Support Line, bullish momentum remains intact, and the market structure favors further upward movement. The nearest target for buyers is the $99,000 Resistance Zone, which previously acted as a strong supply area. A successful breakout above $99,000 would confirm bullish continuation and open the way toward higher resistance levels. If price fails to hold above support, a short-term pullback toward the lower triangle boundary may occur before buyers try to regain control. My Scenario & Strategy I expect BTCUSD to maintain its bullish bias as long as price trades above the Triangle Support Line and the key support zone. Potential long entries remain valid on retests of the $95,500–$96,000 area, with a primary target at the $99,000 Resistance Zone (TP1). A confirmed breakout above $99,000 would strengthen bullish momentum and open the next leg upward. However, a breakdown below the triangle structure may lead to a deeper correction toward $94,500. For now, sentiment remains bullish, and Bitcoin appears ready for a continued recovery within the new reversal structure. That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Ratner
27
BTCUSD Rebounds From Channel Support — Targeting $93K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, where price has repeatedly respected both the resistance and support lines. Every touch of the upper boundary resulted in a Turned Around reaction, confirming strong seller dominance throughout the downtrend. After breaking below a key local support, BTCUSD shifted into a deeper bearish phase and moved toward the broader Support Zone beneath $90,000. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel and has acted as a strong reaction area in previous price swings. Recently, price reached the channel’s support line, where buyers stepped in and formed an early rebound attempt. BTCUSD is now showing signs of a potential short-term correction, with price aiming toward the nearest resistance cluster at $93,000–$96,000, which also represents the mid-channel region and a key retest zone. As long as Bitcoin stays below the descending resistance line, the broader trend remains bearish. However, a corrective move toward TP1 near $93,000 is likely if the current support continues to hold. A rejection from the resistance area could send the price back toward the channel bottom for another test. A confirmed breakout above the descending resistance line would be the first signal of a potential shift in momentum and could open the way for a stronger recovery. Until then, BTCUSD remains in a bearish structure with a possible short-term bullish pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
25
When Crypto Actually MovesCrypto trades around the clock, but the market doesn’t behave the same way at every hour. Volume, liquidity, and volatility cluster around predictable windows, and those windows shape how setups form and how price reacts. When you understand these shifts, you stop taking trades randomly and start aligning execution with the moments when the market truly moves. Why Sessions Matter Even though crypto never sleeps, human traders and institutional desks still operate in cycles. Liquidity providers adjust during business hours. Market makers re-balance at session opens. Macro news is released on a fixed schedule. These patterns create recurring volatility signatures. Ignoring sessions means you treat every candle as equal. Understanding sessions means you add a layer of context that improves timing, risk control, and win rate. Asia Session (00:00–06:00 UTC) The Asia window tends to be slower and more range-bound. Characteristics include: – Moderate liquidity – Clean consolidations – Accumulation before Europe – Fewer impulsive moves unless driven by news from Asia-Pacific regions This period often sets the initial range of the day. Liquidity begins to cluster above highs and below lows, creating the conditions for later sweeps. Europe Session (07:00–12:00 UTC) Liquidity expands significantly as London opens. You often see the first engineered move of the day. Key behaviors: – Early sweeps of the Asia range – Strong breakouts from overnight compression – Directional push before New York volatility This session frequently defines the directional bias into US hours. It’s a prime window for structured setups because market participation rises sharply. US Session (13:00–20:00 UTC) This is the most active window. The highest liquidity and most decisive moves occur here. Typical features: – Strong continuation or full reversal of the London move – Reaction to economic news – Trend acceleration during peak overlap hours This is where major breakouts, deep liquidity hunts, and high-powered moves happen. If you trade momentum or breakout strategies, this session offers the cleanest conditions. Weekend Behavior Weekends operate on thin liquidity. Order books are lighter, market makers are less active, and volatility behaves differently. Common outcomes: – Sharp wicks that violate structure – Sudden spikes without follow-through – False breakouts with immediate reversals Weekend moves often distort technicals. They can be useful for narrative-driven positions but carry higher risk for intraday traders. How to Integrate Sessions Into Your Trading Use sessions to filter when you participate and when you avoid noise. Practical adjustments: – Execute momentum setups during Europe or US hours. – Treat Asia session as a range-building phase suitable for scouting zones. – Avoid taking aggressive positions during weekend chop. – Use session opens as key decision points for liquidity grabs. When you layer session timing on top of structure, you refine entries and eliminate trades that lack the environment for follow-through. The Strategic Advantage of Session Awareness Session timing gives you clarity. You start anticipating where liquidity is likely to be engineered, where volume will enter, and when the market is likely to trend or stall. This transforms your approach. Instead of reacting to candles, you plan around expected volatility cycles. Instead of forcing trades, you wait for session transitions that historically produce reliable movement.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by SamDrnda
21
BITCOIN Is all hope lost for the Bull Cycle?First of all allow me to begin by saying this: IT IS NEVER FUN to call market tops. Especially on long-term charts, especially on Bitcoin/ crypto. And the reason is that, usually it violently traps most people in. Either for a long time or until they lose all capital. And nobody should take joy in this and as chief analyst here at Tradingshot, I am no exception. Regardless of that, our thesis here has been pretty simple and for a long time we've been calling for an October exit, as that was when the 4-year Cycle Theory suggested the Bull Cycle would top. I personally hope I am wrong but in all my decades of investing, I learned that 'hope' doesn't get you far here, quite the contrary it teaches you brutal (and often very expensive lessons). The hard facts and historical evidence, point to a new Bear Cycle. And we will keep presenting the charts, the empirical evidence no matter how many followers we lose or how many negative comments we see as they mean nothing to us. Profit making only does. Now that I got this out of the way, let's see what other key levels Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit. Yesterday's aggressive decline saw the market making a Low marginally below the Higher Lows trend-line (bottom) of the 3-year Channel Up. Essentially that has been the dominant pattern of the whole Bull Cycle. BTC already closed below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) last week, which has historically been a Bear Cycle confirmation, already lost the basic structure of its Bull Cycle rallies by breaking way below the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Higher Low and now faces with the complete breakdown of the pattern - crossing below its bottom. Needless to say, if BTC closes the week below it, selling could accelerate, with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), being the market's next long-term Support, where a counter-trend bounce could be possible. So is this Higher Lows trend-line the last hope of the Bull Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
14
BTCUSD Channel Support Holds as Price Targets $85K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin is trading inside a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure confirms that the market is still moving within a broader bearish trend. Earlier, BTC created a large range phase on the left side of the chart, showing indecision before breaking down and starting the current downtrend. Each approach to the upper trendline (Resistance Line) resulted in a clear turnaround, proving that sellers continue to defend this zone aggressively. During the recent decline, BTC made multiple corrections inside the channel, but every upward move was short-lived and rejected by the descending resistance. A recent breakout attempt failed, and price quickly returned back into the channel, signaling that bullish momentum remains weak. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the Support Line of the descending channel near the $81,400–$82,000 zone. This level has acted as a key demand area within the trend. A short-term bounce from support is possible, and the chart shows a projected move toward TP1 near $85,000, which aligns with a minor internal resistance level. However, as long as BTC trades below the major Resistance Level around $94,000 and within the descending channel, the market maintains a bearish bias. Any bullish recovery is likely to be limited unless price can break above the channel and secure structure above $94,000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
24
Bitcoin: Where Is The Bottom?Bitcoin sell off continues through the 90K to 88K support area. There have been no reversal confirmations on this time frame since I wrote my previous report. The reversal pattern that I was anticipating never even began to materialize. Trade opportunities were best found on the day trade time frames in my opinion. Why wasn't anyone calling for such a move back in August? All of the "experts" who seem to always know the future, until something like this comes along? This is why I don't forecast the future, instead I do my best to uncover potential risks which can lead to capturing potential opportunities. 88K is where I labeled Wave 1 of the broader 5th wave which I talked about for months. I warned investors that buying and attempting to hold above 100K was high risk. Bitcoin is NOW at prices worth monitoring for longer time horizon investing, BUT price has compromised the 88K overlap level. I interpret as we are no longer in the broader Wave 4 and instead, the Wave 5 of 5 is likely complete. There is a much lower chance that we get the dramatic rally into the 130Ks as a result. This change in expectation is what guides how I gauge investment potential, which then shapes my strategy and goals. 73K is a MAJOR support level (previous all time high before the election) and it is now much more possible to be tested. IF there is any confirmed reversal before reaching this support, profit potential for SWING trades can be measured from the next series of resistances 95K, 100K, and 105K respectively. The 88K overlap suggests that Bitcoin is now in a broader Wave 2 which is likely to unfold in a long term range. A range low is more likely and has yet to be established. It could be 73K, it could be lower like in the 60Ks. SENTIMENT drives price over the short term which is why fundamentals alone are not enough. There are many ways to begin accumulating Bitcoin inventory or acquiring exposure without buying Bitcoin itself. There's a entire collection of ETFs that track Bitcoin that have low cost fees. There are also other stocks that are highly correlated to Bitcoin but have their own unique characteristics which can enhance performance or help to mitigate some of the risks of buying Bitcoin itself. COIN is one of many examples. I would rather accumulate shares of a stock which is easily accessible and straightforward than accumulating Bitcoin itself simply out of convenience. I will talk more about this during my regular stream. The illustration on my chart is ONE of many scenarios to consider for the coming weeks. While 73K is a possibility, I like it is a low probability that price will probe that low without attempting to retrace first. There is a pin bar in place but still lacking confirmation on this time frame. I believe there is a much higher chance of reversal from the current prices, BUT I do not expect an attempt at new all time highs any time soon. WAIT for confirmations, set profit objectives and keep expectations within the boundaries that are set forth by the PRICE STRUCTURE, not "experts" whose only agenda is to convert your attention into a paycheck. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
26
BTC ETH SOL Collapse Is Only Getting StartedI genuinely feel the pain of every crypto long term holder. I've been in crypto since 2014 and already suffered my losses back then. I no longer hold anything long term, when the trend changes, I go SHORT. This is NOT FINANCIAL advise. You can quickly open an account on any brokerage that offers SBIT and ETHD ETFs -2x SHORT and buy this Monday night. I'm sorry to say but, this collapse is only warming up. DO NOT BUY ANY DIP unless you're a professional trader!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by alejandroscotti
34
Bitcoin Sinks to May Low Under $96,000. When Buy the Dip?Because sometimes the dip just keeps on dipping. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD can’t seem to catch a break. The flagship crypto slid below $96,000 on Friday, a level last seen in May, and traders aren’t exactly rushing to buy the dip. The decline caps a tough few weeks for the OG coin, now lower by about 24% from its record high of $126,000 . The selloff hasn’t been contained to just Bitcoin. The whole crypto market has been slammed. Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD stumbled into the low $3,100s, while Solana COINBASE:SOLUSD fell to the mid-$140s. The entire digital asset space looks winded, and this time, the usual quick rebounders and sharpshooters are sitting on their hands. What’s going on? In short — traders are nervous, the data floodgates are about to open, and the Federal Reserve isn’t giving anyone the all-clear just yet. 🧨 Buy Dip or Wait for Data? The end of the US government shutdown should’ve been good news — until investors remembered what comes next. All the pent-up economic reports that couldn’t be released during the freeze are about to hit the tape: jobs data, inflation numbers, and other key reads that could shape the Fed’s next move. The bad news: December rate cut isn’t guaranteed. Markets had been leaning heavily on that expectation to justify the monthslong risk-on rally. Now, with the data torrents about to test that narrative, traders are hedging their bets — and Bitcoin’s getting caught in the crossfire. If the upcoming reports show the economy is still running hot, the Fed might delay cuts. And higher-for-longer rates are basically kryptonite for speculative assets. 💀 Liquidations and Leverage: A Familiar Story Bitcoin’s latest slump wasn’t just about macro nerves — it was also a good old-fashioned liquidation cascade. As prices dipped under key technical levels, margin traders got squeezed out in a hurry. According to data from liquidation trackers, over $220 million in crypto positions were wiped out in just one hour. In the past 24 hours? North of $600 million gone. In previous dips, you’d see traders rushing to scoop up discounted coins, confident that the bounce would follow. The hesitation this time speaks volumes: sentiment’s shifting, and traders are more cautious after months of euphoric rallies in both AI stocks and crypto. 🌡️ The Contagion Spreads Crypto weakness isn’t isolated anymore — it’s part of a bigger story. Risk assets everywhere are under pressure. The AI trade is cooling, tech stocks are wobbling , and volatility is creeping back into markets that had gone eerily calm. In short, when traders start treating crypto like a growth stock proxy, Bitcoin stops being a hedge and starts acting like the Nasdaq on leverage. 🪙 So… When to Buy the Dip? That’s the million-satoshi question. Historically, deep Bitcoin drawdowns during otherwise healthy macro backdrops have rewarded patience. But this time, the setup’s trickier. The next few weeks should bring a barrage of data that could redefine everything from rate expectations to risk appetite. What can you do now? Watch the data, respect the trend, and don’t fight momentum. Notice how the long-term upside swing on the daily is still there. But as they say, past performance isn't an indication of future results. The Fed’s next move, coming early December, will likely decide if this dip becomes a real buying opportunity. Off to you : Are you looking to buy the dip or you’re waiting for the dip of the dip? Share your strategy in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
56
BTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building AgainBTC/USD: Sell Pressure Building Again Market Summary BTC/USD continues to operate within a declining market environment where sell-side pressure remains dominant. The recent recovery attempt has shown limited strength, forming only a temporary corrective phase within a broader downward cycle. Current conditions indicate that the market is preparing for another bearish continuation as liquidity builds on the upper side. Market Behavior The chart highlights a consistent pattern of declining impulses followed by shallow recoveries. Each upward phase has been met with swift rejection, reinforcing the dominance of bearish sentiment. The mid-range compression visible in the current structure reflects a controlled environment where market participants are redistributing positions rather than initiating larger upward transitions. Momentum remains weak on the upside, and overall flow continues to align with the prevailing sell-side direction. Repeated structure shifts earlier in the sequence indicate that sellers are maintaining control of directional movement. Current Setup BTC/USD is now approaching a zone historically associated with short-term manipulation and liquidity grabs. Price appears to be forming a tight consolidation while climbing into this region. Such behavior often precedes a sell-side continuation, especially when rallies fail to show progressive expansion. The chart projection suggests a likely formation of a distribution-style sequence before a renewed downward movement. This scenario aligns with the market’s broader behavior over recent sessions
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
17
BTCUSD Short: Descending Channel Targets $89,000 Demand ZoneHello traders! BTCUSD continues to trade within a clear descending channel, maintaining a strong bearish structure characterized by consecutive lower highs and lower lows. The price action repeatedly respected the channel boundaries, confirming solid seller control throughout the recent decline. Each time Bitcoin reached the upper boundary of the channel, it formed a pivot point, initiating another downward wave. Before the latest drop, BTCUSD spent some time moving sideways inside a Range Zone, showing temporary accumulation before sellers regained dominance. The bearish continuation led to another pivot formation near the channel’s resistance, triggering a fresh leg to the downside. Currently, price has now approached the $89,000 Demand Zone, which aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel. This level has acted as a significant reaction point, generating short-term bounces in previous price swings. The current positioning suggests that buyers may once again attempt to defend this zone. While below the $96,000 Supply Zone and the channel resistance, the broader trend remains bearish. BTCUSD is likely to experience a short-term corrective rebound from the demand area, aiming toward the $92,000–$93,500 region — a previous reaction cluster and local resistance. My scenario is targeting the $89,000 level. However, if Bitcoin breaks below the $89,000 Demand Zone, it may trigger a deeper bearish continuation toward the lower liquidity areas around $88,000 or even lower. A confirmed breakout above $96,000 would be required to invalidate the bearish structure and signal a potential shift in momentum. For now, BTCUSD remains bearish, with a potential short-term correction from demand before further direction becomes clearer. Manage your risk!
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by heniitrading
17
Spot + Hedge — The Fundamental Framework for Investors Who TradeYou don’t have to treat holding and trading as two separate worlds. The most effective market participants combine both. They anchor their strategy in long-term conviction while using short-term tools to manage volatility and protect capital. This balance allows them to participate in structural growth without exposing their portfolio to unnecessary drawdowns. Spot holdings are the foundation. A well-built spot position compounds through cycles, absorbs volatility, and benefits from every wave of adoption that pushes the market forward. Staking adds an additional layer by generating yield during periods of consolidation. For traders who think in cycles rather than days, spot is the engine that keeps building value in the background. A hedge position serves a different purpose. It is not designed for aggressive speculation. It is a tactical layer that reduces exposure when conditions become unstable. Futures shorts, when sized properly, act as a defensive tool that preserves the value of your long-term assets without forcing you to sell them. This approach keeps you invested while giving you room to breathe during sharp corrections. When hedging makes sense: – After a strong rally pushing into major resistance levels. – When funding rates are extremely positive and the market is crowded with leveraged longs. – When macro data shifts, liquidity tightens, or a regulatory event increases uncertainty. – When your portfolio has grown significantly and you want to lock in part of that increase without taking profits. The purpose of the hedge is stability. You are not aiming to turn the short into a profit engine. You are using it as portfolio insurance. A well-timed hedge limits the damage during pullbacks and keeps you positioned for the next leg of the cycle. Simple implementation example: assume you hold $20,000 of ETH spot as your long-term allocation. To hedge, you short 25–30 percent of the position using ETH perpetual contracts. If ETH drops 10 percent, the hedge cushions the downside by generating gains on the short. If ETH continues rising, your spot position captures the upside and the hedge becomes the cost of protection, similar to an insurance premium. This framework helps traders stay in the market, avoid emotional exits, and preserve capital during volatile periods. It combines conviction with discipline and gives long-term holders a practical way to navigate uncertainty without breaking their overall strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by SamDrnda
12
A simple way to view multi time-frame analysisHere's another area many traders struggle with. The real value in using multiple timeframes is to know what to look for and when to look for it! As I have mentioned in a lot of my posts, all of this comes back to Dow theory; you don't need to make life hard on yourself. instead, simplify your approach and align a small number of timeframes and you will be surprised at the results. Let me give you an example; In this image above, you can see a clear push-up and a high, then a pullback. Why not use this high? It had a clear change of character to the downside. Well, the answer is - you would view these as separate timeframes. Although they are viewed on the exact same timeframe as my image. One you could call a primary trend and one a secondary. For a bit more depth, see this post. If you are already familiar with the idea, then the next thing you want to understand. What phase is the primary trend in? This becomes important as you drill down to the entry timeframes, as what you are trying to do is to understand a general bias. Once you grasp this, you can even trade the counter-trend moves (if you like). Ok, so with that being said. Let's add the second timeframe. As you can see, the orange line represents the primary trend, whilst the internal white path now represents the secondary trend. Why this is key, is because at this stage, the larger trend also could be doing one of two things. Going UP or DOWN. Up - Down - Once you understand the larger trend, the internal will work to facilitate the next leg of that higher degree. Of course, there will be reversals (but that's for another post). Working with an uptrend for the sake of an example; Price pushes up and then pulls back. If we know the ranges, I have covered this in several posts recently (mechanical). We can quickly identify the higher timeframe range. Once price breaks above this range, at some stage, you will expect to see a lower timeframe change of character, which is simply the start of a pullback on this higher timeframe. There are several ways to take advantage of this (again, another post). But working with this example. The first move above the range happened overnight or when you were not at your desk. You now have the information to work with the next phase. Assuming price is in a larger uptrend, you want to start to align these timeframes. This will be the case regardless of where in the move you are. These are only examples. This image above shows the trigger trend in alignment with the higher timeframe. This image below shows the opposite. Of course, there is more risk involved here as the bigger trend is going the other way, but as long as you acknowledge that, then opportunities will present themselves in both directions. Here's a few examples on where or how to use this. The second option is using the higher (secondary) not the trigger, but exactly the same concept. Finally, the third option is using all three of the timeframes. Firstly, you know the larger move is up. The second has started to align. Finally, the trigger trend (the minor) has it's change of character and you expect now the move to continue to the upside. This gives a higher risk-to-reward ratio and often it's a higher probability in terms of the outcome. For the simple reason, the two higher timeframes now agree. Some of the other posts connected to this one. Anyways! Take it easy. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Mayfair_Ventures
8
BTC Weekly View !BTC / USD Bitcoin (BTC) followed my previous analysis on October 30th, dropping from $110,000 to its current price of $96,000. check here What's Next? Take a Look at the weekly chart: Bitcoin is currently at a "do or die" support level (trend line + 50-week moving average). This moving average has been a turning point in previous cycles. If the price breaks below this level, it will confirm a mid-term bear trend with minimal target around 74k so keep an eye on this chart.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Babenski
52
Bitcoin - The only 100% probability setup!🔪Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) will drop -40% very soon: 🔎Analysis summary: If we just take a look at previous cycles, Bitcoin is already starting a major -40% correction. If we then also take market structure and price action into account, this becomes a 100% probability setup. The next clear crypto bearmarket is starting right now. 📝Levels to watch: $100,000 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by SwingTraderPhilTV
24
BTC rewards the one with patience! BTC to all time high soon!🚀 Wave 4 Almost DONE! This wave count is one of the cleanest macro structures we’ve seen in this cycle. Every leg has unfolded with beautiful precision, and now Bitcoin is approaching a high-probability reversal zone. 👇 🔍 Why This Count Looks 🔥 • Textbook Impulse Structure: Wave 1, 2, and the extended Wave 3 all follow classic Elliott Wave proportions. • Clean W-X-Y Correction: Wave 4 has respected every trend channel and internal subdivision — a sign of structural strength. • Major Fibonacci Confluence: Price is now diving into the 0.382 fib level (~$87.4K) — a common Wave 4 retracement in strong bull markets. • Perfect Geometry: Trendlines, fibs, and wave symmetry all align at this region. 🎯 🚀 What’s Coming Next? From the 0.382 level, BTC is primed for a strong bounce and the start of Wave 5 — historically the second-most explosive leg of the entire cycle. This is where momentum accelerates, sentiment flips, and exceptional moves often ignite. ⚡🔥 📈 Wave 5 is loading… stay ready.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ElliottWavePro
10
BTC near term Road Map around the Golden Genesis fib at 85.3kThis is a near term followup to my big picture posted below. We are approaching a MAJOR Landmark in Bitcoin's lifetime. "Golden Genesis" fibs are the highest gravity objects in this universe. What happens here will determine the remaining life of this cycle (or end). $ 85,354.35 is the Golden Genesis fib $ 85,066.12 is a fib from Covid Bottom. $ 87,508.02 is from the Cycle Top at 126k It is PROBABLE that we orbit the Golden Genesis aa few times. It is POSSIBLE that we bounce strong and mark a/the bottom. It is PLAUSIBLE that we fall through and just keep going down. . The "Big Picture" that was painted 10 YEARS ago! Hit BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts. =========================================================
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by EuroMotif
6
BTC Perfect Elliott Wave Zigzag With Terminal Wave-CBTC has formed into a near-perfect zigzag with a near-perfect terminal wave-C. Highest Degree (Zigzag pattern): Wave-C = A+B in time Wave-C is the most complex and time consuming part of the pattern (common for terminal impulses) There's clear alternation in time/price for all waves Wave-B retraced <0.618% of wave-A (required for zigzags) Channeling confirms end of all waves clearly Wave-C (Terminal pattern): Wave-3 = 1.382 * Wave-1 in price (common in 5th wave extensions) Wave-3 = (Wave-1+Wave-2)0.5 in time Wave-4 = ~1.618 * Wave-2 Wave-4 = ~(Wave-2+Wave-3) in time, Wave-4 alternates with wave-2 in price/time Wave-5 = 1.618(Wave-3) in price Wave-5 = (Wave-3+Wave-4) in time Channels as an expanding wedge, expected for 5th-wave extensions Sentiment indicators are also reading near all time lows, as low as it was during the covid lows and FTX lows. Given this setup as an isolated pattern, and with the high probability Bitcoin is towards the middle of a long-term pattern, this is a strong setup for a move towards ATH. To confirm it, we should see wave-C being full retraced in less than half the time it took to form.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Intuit
5