BTCETH.P trade ideas
Could BTC Break $100K on the Way Down?History Might Rhyme Again
Looking at BTC on the 1D timeframe, a pattern seems to be forming, one that we’ve already seen twice this cycle.
🔎 March 2024:
Price made an ATH just above the 78.6% Fib, chopped around that level, then dropped below the 50MA first a fake-out, then the real break. After that came the drop below the 200MA.
All price action stayed confined between:
• 78.6% – 61.8%
• 61.8% – 50%
Meanwhile, RSI formed higher lows → a clear bullish divergence while price was making lower lows.
🔎 December 2024:
ATH at the 127.2% Fib level, same pattern: chop → fake-out under 50MA → real drop → break below 200MA.
Price again stayed confined between:
• 127.2% – 100%
• 100% – 78.6%
And again, RSI showed higher lows while price went lower, another bullish divergence.
🔎 Today:
ATH in July (or August, with just a few dollars difference), chop at 161.8% Fib, fake-out under 50MA, now real drop under 50MA. Price is getting close to the 200MA.
The big question:
Will it do the same again?
– Drop under the 200MA
– Trade between 161.8% – 127.2% and 127.2% – 100%
– Form a bullish divergence on RSI while making lower lows
If history rhymes, we could see BTC trade below $100K before forming the next major leg up.
🎯 Plan:
I’m preparing for this scenario and adjusting risk accordingly. High-leverage trades here need surgical precision.
📌 Mindset Reminder:
This is where patience and discipline get tested. It’s not just about charts, it’s about staying calm when fear takes over.
🟠 Macro Wildcard:
The Fed has already started cutting rates.
A rate cut in October could shift BTC’s trajectory upward, but a pause in October could just as easily push price lower.
🎯 Closing Line:
History may not repeat, but right now it’s rhyming loudly and I’m listening.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BITCOIN Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 109,230.63.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 112,035.52 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTC USD PLAN
Bitcoin’s chart is one thing, but the bigger story is what’s driving the money behind it.
The Fed & Yields
The Federal Reserve is still the invisible hand. Every surprise in rates—whether a hotter inflation print or a sudden hint of deeper cuts—moves global risk appetite.
Lower real yields = cheaper capital = stronger bid for assets like BTC.
A hawkish turn does the opposite.
Institutional Flow
Big money isn’t just buying dips—it’s writing new rules.
Case in point: asset manager Strive is set to acquire about 5,800 BTC (≈ $675 million) through a corporate deal.
Moves like this tighten available supply and add a slow, steady demand base.
Bitcoin Technical View
This week’s candle is shaping up bearish, and Monday will tell us if today’s Sunday session finishes the job.
If the market doesn’t fill that daily gap, we’ll be watching Monday’s open closely.
Right now the daily range runs from 113,999 down to 108,644.
If the dollar pushes into higher liquidity zones, Bitcoin could feel the pressure and drift lower.
The plan is simple: wait for a clear shift on the smaller time frames before making any move and calculate risk from there.
Patience matters more than bravado—let the market come to you.
For now, the setup still looks constructive, but it only pays to act when the levels confirm.
Trade small, stay calm, and protect your capital first.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 26, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the most recent trading session, the Bitcoin market experienced a significant decline, surpassing Mean Support levels at 114500 and 111500, and is currently fluctuating around the Mean Support level of 108300. Consequently, Bitcoin is continuing its trajectory in a primary downward trend, with the primary target identified as the Outer Coin Dip 102500.
Current analysis suggests a modest likelihood that the continuation of the primary downtrend could lead to a retest of the Mean Resistance at 111600, potentially extending to the Mean Resistance at 113300.
Nevertheless, it is essential to acknowledge that the prevailing sentiment within the Bitcoin market remains bearish. Following the conclusion of the primary downtrend at the outer support level of 102500, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will resume its upward trajectory.
BTC - Viaquant Predicts the Future yet AgainHere is an update to our LTF Retracement Targets:
We made this post almost 3 months ago and were predicting that BTC would drop from the 1.618 ($120.4k) to either our support level #2 or our final support level for the bull trend to remain intact.
What's interesting is our "Teal trendline" that we mention as support #2 lead to the price we were predicting as our "final support level".
Since both of those support levels aligned, our recent low was established at our teal trendline and created a low at $108.6k which was right in line with that being the range for a higher low to be created before a continuation rally.
In this post, I have extended the trendline and extension levels so we can see how future price action develops with these levels.
Bitcoin deep dive - We go up to the Hagopians line🔱 Up to the HAGOPIAN's line! 🔱
My last post showed what the possible moves are.
Bitcoin blew through both U-MLH's and is now on the way to the HAGOPIAN-Line.
I could imagine that we even tag the white U-MLH again.
That would be about where the confluence with the yellow forks 1/4 line is.
Because there is much more to say about this chart, I thought I'll do a video.
⛏️ I constructed the Chart from the ground up so you can see all the details and thoughts running through my Mycel Network §8-)
👉 Just check my SOM links.
🙏 Thanks you all for the Boosters I got lately. You all are absolutely awesom and I really appreciate it! 🙏
BTCUSD buy setupPrice has reached a significant support and now is consolidating at it, of course this is a counter trend, buying the correction. but i think if this work, then it is going to be a resumption of the old uptrend. pay attention to what price will do here. i would be more confident if the current low get swept first then a a good close with volume above it. lets see if bulls can show up to defend the zone!
Yeah...I'm doing BTCUSD quick flip ideas now...Those who have followed me know I've had a bit of a run using my algorithm (no I'm not giving it away or selling it) on stocks, with 152 ideas posted here and 147 closed profitably so far. I have been playing around with it for several months on crypto and it's Saturday and it's raining and I'm bored and BTCUSD is on sale so I thought I'd stir up a little trouble here.
While I don't trade Bitcoin myself except using BITX to double my returns, I'll throw this out mostly for any of my followers that do trade it and are also bored and would like to give it a run on a weekend. Here's how I do this. My initial lot is placed here at this entry price. I do not use stop losses and I do not use price targets. When my algo says sell, I sell without hesitation. If it says buy again before it says sell, I will add another lot at that point, tactically adding and selling until the original lot closes out.
I know there are those who might be understandably skeptical of me not using stop losses, but this works. 23-1* this year, 31-0 last year and 28-0 the year before that. Etc. etc. Literally the only losing trade so far with BTC is the one opened August 15th and that would still be open and only down 1.5% or so. It's been used on stocks for a LONG time with a win rate of better than 99% all time. Maybe consider giving me the benefit of the doubt here...
Anyway, the basic premise behind this is simple - harvest gains before the market has a chance to claw them back. It's FAR easier to make money than it is to make it back after you lose it, so my goal is to not lose it. It's pretty simple in that regard. Short duration, high percentage trades stacked one after the other. When one trade pays off, I put the money to work elsewhere immediately. There is always something on sale somewhere.
This is not a trading style for the get rich quick, moonshot or bust crowd, so just move along if that's you. My goal is a relentlessly increasing equity curve and if you're wondering how that's going, check out the first paragraph again.
So here goes. Fully prepared for crazies who think trying to shout my long idea down will magically protect their short positions (btw, it doesn't work). If this hasn't paid off by Monday, I'll be loading up on BITX then. For now, let's pretend I'm long at 115,750.57.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
BTCUSD – Last Chance to Go HigherOver the weekend, price found support just outside the white L-MLH. That’s where I previously mentioned the red Centerline — the target for the earlier short trade.
Now, however, price has jumped back into the fork. Tthis could be the last chance to break out of the down-sloping yellow fork to the upside.
P3 would be my next level to watch for support after the break of the red Centerline.
Bitcoin Eyes $114K Before Bearish ContinuationFenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bearish, though the downtrend eased near the equal lows at $107,268. The first daily bearish fair value gap has been inverted, but this does not signal a market structure shift. Price may rise toward higher resistance before resuming its decline.
Immediate support is at $110,370. Technically, BTC/USD could target the mean threshold of the bearish FVG near $114,000.0, offering a premium entry for short positions aiming below $107,268.
Weekly Crypto Market Review: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, BNB, HYPEReview of trend structures and my expectations for the coming weeks on Bitcoin and key altcoins.
The key local support zones highlighted in the previous market outlook did not hold against selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of a more prolonged consolidation across the crypto space.
As long as prices continue to close below their local resistance areas, the base scenario remains in favor of further correction toward macro support levels.
Below is a brief summary of important resistance, support zones and potential trend structures I am following:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 112–114.5k
Support: 103.5–101–98k
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 4115–4215
Support: 3700–3430
BINANCE:BNBUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 1020–1040
Support: 900–870–840
BITSTAMP:XRPUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 2.87–2.99 / 3.07
Support: 2.55–2.40–2.32
PYTH:HYPEUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 49–50–53
Support: 35.5–29–23
COINBASE:SOLUSD
Chart:
Resistance: 213–219
Support: 177–169
Thank you for your attention, and I wish you a successful week ahead.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin Left Behind the Stock Market!?Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA50 and EMA200. In case of an upward correction towards the specified supply zone, it is possible to sell Bitcoin with a better risk-reward.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
A group of U.S. lawmakers has called on the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to enforce an executive order issued by President Donald Trump that opens the door for cryptocurrency investments within the $12.5 trillion 401(k) retirement fund market. Signed in August, the order authorizes 401(k) plans to offer cryptocurrencies as a new investment option.
Members of the House Financial Services Committee, in a formal letter, praised the order for its potential to help Americans boost their retirement savings. They urged the SEC to work with the Department of Labor to update existing rules and guidelines, with the aim of enabling millions of Americans to gain access to such investment opportunities for their retirement.
The letter further stated: “We also ask the SEC to review the bipartisan bills currently advancing in the 119th Congress regarding accredited investors. We hope these measures will allow the 90 million Americans who are currently excluded from alternative investments to secure a more dignified and comfortable retirement.”
Meanwhile, the Senate Finance Committee announced that it will hold a hearing this week on the issue of digital asset taxation, as industry stakeholders continue to press for greater clarity in federal regulations.
According to Committee Chairman Mike Crapo, the session—titled “Examining the Taxation of Digital Assets”—is scheduled for October 1. The official notice confirmed that Lawrence Zlatkin, Vice President of Tax at Coinbase, and Jason Somensatto, Policy Director at Coin Center, will testify at the hearing.
The committee had earlier invited public comments on how existing tax laws should apply to digital assets and whether new legislative frameworks are needed. The upcoming session is expected to draw heavily on the recommendations of the White House Digital Asset Working Group, which urged lawmakers to recognize cryptocurrencies as a distinct asset class and establish tailored tax rules separate from those applied to commodities and securities.
From a market perspective, liquidation heatmaps in the futures market highlight clusters of leveraged positions at key levels. When the price fell between $114,000 and $112,000, a wave of long liquidations occurred simultaneously, leading to heavy wipeouts and accelerating the downward momentum.
Risk pockets remain around the $117,000 level, making both sides of the market vulnerable to liquidity-driven volatility. Without strong demand at these levels, fragility persists, increasing the likelihood of another sharp downward move.
BTCUSD — What to expect?Major Trend - Uptrend
Minor Trend - Downtrend
My EW counting review:
What do I see? My views are as follows:
1. Wave V completion is possible.
2- Possibly a new major wave is formed. Wave 1 (in the blue circle)
3- A correction wave 2 (in the blue circle) is in progress.
If this is correct, then the possible corrective waves are either zigzag or flat or complex (WXY or WXYXZ) to form new wave 2 in the blue circle. At this moment, I assume zigzag correction. Need more data and time for other possible waves.
4- Possible major wave V in the red circle completion.
If this is true, we are going to see major correction waves. Need more data and time to confirm the EW numbers.
Disclaimer:
My EW counting may be wrong, and this analysis is not recommended to buy or sell. Do your own technical analysis for confirmation.