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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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BTCETH.P trade ideas

BTCUSD — What to expect?Major Trend - Uptrend Minor Trend - Downtrend My EW counting review: What do I see? My views are as follows: 1. Wave V completion is possible. 2- Possibly a new major wave is formed. Wave 1 (in the blue circle) 3- A correction wave 2 (in the blue circle) is in progress. If this is correct, then the possible corrective waves are either zigzag or flat or complex (WXY or WXYXZ) to form new wave 2 in the blue circle. At this moment, I assume zigzag correction. Need more data and time for other possible waves. 4- Possible major wave V in the red circle completion. If this is true, we are going to see major correction waves. Need more data and time to confirm the EW numbers. Disclaimer: My EW counting may be wrong, and this analysis is not recommended to buy or sell. Do your own technical analysis for confirmation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AdamIdris2
BTC 02.10#BTC BTC is approaching the important 119.7-120.8k area. So far, I see the following options: 1) Bearish divergences are forming on the 1-4-12-1D timeframes. If the price quickly reaches this zone (today/tomorrow), I'll take short positions. 2) On the MCB indicator, the higher timeframes - 3D-1H - paint a less than favorable picture for short positions. On the 3D, our money flow continues to grow. On the weekly chart, this week is drawing a GD (green dot), and if the week closes with a confirmed GD, I'll likely consider short positions after another ATH. 3) A week or two of consoles around 120k. In that case, local short confirmations will likely "melt down," and we'll have to monitor the situation going forward. I've identified a couple of local support zones (S1, S2) from which we can begin the console. Support zones: 116770-117410 115390-115780 113.9-114 Resistance zones: 119.8-120.8
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by BorjaCipher
This BTC cycle has a higher % increase in PA than previous cycle Many people are moaning about how Calm and Lazy Bitcoin is this cycle, all waiting for that mad parabolic push higher to ATH And it may happen again, though I doubt it. But as this post shows you, we have had already, a higher % increase over previous cycles So, what is The % of increase over the previous cycles. Or, How much of the previous increase from Low to ATH was this cycle, in %. The same would be 100%, Half would be 50% If you refer to the main chart for the letters. (B/A) X 100 = B % of A B-A = 1.433 % - The Rose from the Low to the Next ATH was only 1.4% of the previous increase. C-B = 19.6 % D-C = 21.77 % E-D = 30.23 % as of 30 September 2025. A Larger increase that previously. If PA ( E ) goes to 200K This cycle as many expect, That is 55% of previous increase. This does NOT follow the last 2 [previous pushes that are in the long term channel of near 20 % on average. This also takes us ABOVE the curve. THE CURVE ( Blue) is a part of a Fibonacci spiral that has rejected every ATH since BTC began. PA needs to rise above this Curve, as you can see, or we get pushed back down. This Zoomed in Image of the same main monthly chart show this ckearly PA has been trying to escape this Arc for a Long time now and is struggling a little but with the Strong line of support below, that has NEVER broken, we should be able to cross over and remain above this Arc. We have till December 2025 before that arc begin to push PA back down in a negative Arc I have explained in previous posts about this idea but here is the chart So, the % increase of previous pushes WILL rise further It has to
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Treasury Yields and the US Economy1. Introduction Treasury yields are at the heart of the American—and global—financial system. Every loan, mortgage, corporate bond, or investment decision in the U.S. somehow traces back to the yield on U.S. Treasury securities. Why? Because Treasuries are considered the safest form of debt: backed by the U.S. government’s “full faith and credit.” For this reason, Treasury yields are often called the risk-free rate of return. They set the baseline for what investors demand on riskier investments. If Treasuries yield 4%, a corporate bond must offer more than 4% to attract buyers. Similarly, mortgage rates, auto loans, and even stock valuations depend heavily on Treasury yields. Understanding Treasury yields is, therefore, crucial to understanding the U.S. economy itself. In this explainer, we’ll break down what Treasury yields are, how they’re determined, and their vast impact on everything from inflation and interest rates to stock prices, currency flows, and global trade. 2. Understanding Treasury Yields What Are Treasury Securities? The U.S. Treasury issues securities to fund government spending. These securities come in different maturities: Treasury Bills (T-Bills): Mature in less than a year, sold at a discount and redeemed at face value. Treasury Notes (T-Notes): Mature in 2–10 years, pay interest (coupons) every six months. Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds): Long-term, 20–30 years, also pay coupons. In addition, there are TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities), which adjust payments for inflation. Yield vs. Price vs. Coupon Coupon: Fixed interest payment promised at issuance. Price: What investors pay to buy the bond in the market. Yield: The effective return investors earn, depending on the bond’s price. When bond prices go up, yields fall; when prices fall, yields rise. Yield Curve The yield curve is the plotted line of yields across maturities. Normal Curve: Long-term yields higher than short-term (reflecting growth expectations). Inverted Curve: Short-term yields higher than long-term—often a recession signal. Flat Curve: Yields are similar across maturities, signaling uncertainty. 3. How Treasury Yields Are Determined Yields aren’t set by the government directly; they are the result of market forces. Treasury Auctions: Investors bid for new debt. If demand is strong, yields stay low; if weak, yields rise. Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed influences short-term yields by adjusting the federal funds rate. Inflation & Growth Expectations: Higher inflation erodes real returns, pushing yields up. Global Demand: Foreign central banks, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds buy Treasuries for safety, which affects yields. 4. Treasury Yields as an Economic Indicator Treasury yields are forward-looking signals of economic health. High yields suggest expectations of growth and inflation. Low yields often indicate investor fear or weak economic prospects. Yield curve inversion (when short-term yields exceed long-term yields) has historically preceded recessions, including the 2001 dot-com bust and the 2008 global financial crisis. 5. Impact on Borrowing Costs Treasury yields ripple through the economy: Government Borrowing: Higher yields mean higher interest costs for the U.S. government, straining fiscal budgets. Corporate Borrowing: Companies must pay more on bonds when Treasury yields rise. Household Borrowing: Mortgage rates, student loans, and auto loans all move in tandem with Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield. For example, if the 10-year Treasury yield rises from 3% to 5%, average 30-year mortgage rates could jump from 6% to 8%, cooling the housing market. 6. Treasury Yields and Inflation Treasury yields reflect inflation expectations. Nominal Yield: The quoted return before inflation. Real Yield: Adjusted for inflation (measured via TIPS). Breakeven Inflation Rate: Difference between TIPS and nominal yields; used to gauge expected inflation. If the 10-year Treasury yield is 4% and the 10-year TIPS yield is 2%, the market expects inflation to average 2% annually. 7. Treasury Yields and the Federal Reserve The Fed and Treasury yields dance together: Fed Funds Rate: Directly influences short-term Treasury yields. Quantitative Easing (QE): Fed buys Treasuries, pushing yields lower. Quantitative Tightening (QT): Fed reduces bond holdings, pushing yields higher. When the Fed signals rate hikes, yields often rise across the curve. Conversely, during crises, the Fed cuts rates and buys Treasuries, lowering yields to stimulate growth. 8. Treasury Yields and the Stock Market Treasury yields and stock prices often move inversely. Discounted Cash Flows (DCF): Higher yields mean higher discount rates, lowering stock valuations. Equity Risk Premium (ERP): The excess return stocks must provide over Treasuries. If yields rise, the ERP shrinks, making stocks less attractive. Sectoral Impacts: Tech and growth stocks, sensitive to interest rates, fall when yields rise. Financials often benefit because banks can charge more for loans. 9. Treasury Yields and Currency Markets The U.S. dollar is heavily influenced by Treasury yields. Higher Yields → Stronger Dollar: Global investors buy Treasuries, increasing dollar demand. Lower Yields → Weaker Dollar: Capital flows elsewhere in search of higher returns. Emerging Markets: Higher U.S. yields can trigger capital outflows from emerging economies, weakening their currencies. 10. Global Importance of US Treasury Yields U.S. Treasuries are the world’s safe-haven asset. Global Collateral: Banks and institutions use Treasuries as collateral for loans. Reserve Currency: Central banks hold Treasuries as part of their reserves. Benchmark for Global Debt: Emerging market bonds, corporate bonds, and mortgages all price off U.S. yields. When U.S. yields rise, global borrowing costs climb too. 11. Historical Case Studies 1970s Inflation Crisis: Yields soared above 15% as inflation raged, crushing economic growth. 2000 Dot-Com Bust: Yield curve inversion signaled recession before tech stocks collapsed. 2008 Financial Crisis: Investors fled to Treasuries, pushing yields to historic lows. COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): Yields fell near zero as the Fed slashed rates and launched QE. Each event shows how Treasury yields serve as both a thermometer and a shock absorber for the economy. 12. Risks and Challenges Ahead Rising Government Debt: With U.S. debt over $35 trillion, higher yields mean ballooning interest payments. Crowding Out: Heavy government borrowing could push up yields and reduce private investment. Foreign Demand Shifts: If major holders like China or Japan cut Treasury purchases, yields could spike. 13. Future Outlook Structural Shifts: Demographics, technology, and de-globalization will shape future yields. De-dollarization: Some countries seek alternatives, but Treasuries remain dominant for now. Digital Currencies: The rise of CBDCs may one day challenge Treasury dominance. Most analysts expect yields to remain volatile, swinging with Fed policy, fiscal deficits, and inflation dynamics. 14. Conclusion Treasury yields are more than numbers on a screen. They are the bedrock of the financial system, influencing every corner of the U.S. and global economy. From signaling recessions to setting mortgage rates, from guiding stock valuations to steering global capital flows, Treasury yields are the single most important indicator to watch. As the U.S. faces challenges like rising debt, shifting global alliances, and technological change, Treasury yields will continue to reflect the delicate balance between risk, reward, growth, and stability.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by GlobalWolfStreet
BTCUSD-SELL strategy Monthly chart Reg. Channelit's manipulative investment, which means a turn around will be as swift as it's up-move we have been observing. For now, RSI shows negative divergence, and the reg.channel boundary is current $ 125 - 80 k. Lower down is $ 78 k support, and considering the overall view, the down side is possible based on over bought state, and also the likely turning of the indicators such as Fisher Form and MACD. Streategy SELL @ $ 110-120 k and take profit near $ 75-80 k.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by peterbokma
BTCUSD 1W chart review• Currently BTC is at ~ USD 123,000 (+1.97%). • Strong support visible in the area of ​​113 400 USD and USD 106,800. • The next resistance is USD 124,500, and the next important is USD 133,500. 2. Trend: • You can see the growing trend line (orange), which supports increases. • The weekly candle is green and quite strong - suggests that the demand persists. 3. Medium walking (SMA / EMA): • SMA 50/200 shows the Golden Cross (EMA CROSS 50/200), which is a long -term bull signal. • SMA (red) is below the price → pro-rectification signal. 4. RSI (Relative Strength Index): • Currently approx. 60 → Neutral-BYCZECZE territory. • Not bought yet (> 70), so there is space for further increases. 5. MacD / Histogram: • The histogram begins to grow green - growth moment is growing. • This confirms that the buyers are taking over the initiative. ⸻ 📈 Scenarios: 1. Bull (greater likelihood at the moment) • If BTC pierces and stays above USD 124,500, the goal may be USD 133,500. • Breaking over 133K opens the road even to around 140k. 2. Bear • If the price does not pierce 124.5k and reject the resistance, it may drop to $ 113,400. • Punction below this zone will give a signal of declines up to USD 106,800.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
3 Dangers of Trading DOUBT (Part 2)Trading isn’t just about charts, indicators, and strategies — It’s a battle of the mind. And lurking in the shadows is one of the most dangerous opponents you’ll face: Doubt. Doubt stops you from taking action. Doubt kills confidence. Doubt leads you to giving up. So let’s go into why doubt is so dangers and how we can destroy this silent saboteur. DOUBT #1: Search for Something “Better” Doubt is where you don’t think something will help you achieve what you want to. And so you’re on the perpetual quest of finding something new and “better”. But you need to realise something. There is NO such thing as the perfect system. Strategy hopping will you to wasting money, time, effort and energy. Instead, you need to embrace the imperfections in trading. You need to perfect your strategy, execution and mind. Keep at it and you will find that you always had the Holy Grail at your grasp. Stick to a strategy long enough to learn its nuances and understand its strengths and weaknesses. Remember, the grass isn’t always greener—it’s just different grass. DOUBT #2: Failure to Take the Trade Ever hesitated to take a trade. Whether you’re trading gold, Dow Futures, JSE or Forex! Then you end up watching the “imperfect” trade head straight to your profit target? That’s doubt working its magic. When doubt clouds your judgment, you start second-guessing yourself. You start questioning. “What if it is a loser?” “What if I am in the wrong trading environment” “What if my system stops working from here?” Not taking the trade is one of the most subtle yet dangerous forms of self-sabotage. To combat this, it’s crucial to develop a routine that instills confidence. Preparation is key. When you’ve done your analysis and the trade setup aligns with your plan, just take the trade (J.T.T.T). Trust your process and let the trade play out. You can’t win a game you don’t play. DOUBT #3: Failure to Follow Your Risk and Reward Criteria Every trader knows that managing risk is paramount. Yet doubt can lead even the most seasoned traders astray. When doubt creeps in, it whispers dangerous ideas. “Maybe I should move my stop loss further”. “Maybe I should risk more in this trade” “Maybe I should risk less in this trade” “Maybe I should drop my take profit to lock in a premature profit”. When you deviate from your established risk and reward criteria, you’re going against your one and only proven and profitable strategy. Your risk and reward criteria are there to protect you. They are the guardrails that keep your trading on track. Conclusion Trading doubt is a silent killer. It can creep into your mind, and sow seeds of uncertainty. Let’s sum up issues with Doubt. Stop Searching for Perfection: Embrace the strategy you have and focus on mastering it rather than endlessly searching for a mythical “better” one. Take the Trade: Don’t let doubt freeze you into inaction—execute your plan and trust the process. Stick to Your Risk and Reward Criteria: Discipline in following your rules will protect you from doubt-driven decisions that can derail your success.
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by Timonrosso
BTC H&S COULD FAIL. THINK ABOUT STOP "SELL" $110.3K ORDERMorning folks, We're keep watching over big reverse H&S pattern here. Last time we warned about USD liquidity issues, this is actually why BTC collapsed down to 111K support. And idea was to not buy just at the level, but watch for confirmation in a way of some bullish patterns. Now I do not see any. Widening triangle makes me think that downside action could have even more chances than reversal. That's why, we think about using of Stop "Sell" entry order around 110.3-110.5K area for position taking if downside breakout will happen. This is comfortable, because if still upside action starts - this order remains unfilled. As we do not see yet any signs of reversal, we do not consider long entry. Let's see, maybe something will change on Monday. But today I keep "bearish" mark for this idea.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Sive-Morten
BTCUSD Short Setup After Trendline BreakBTCUSD just made a decisive break below the main trendline, a clear signal that bearish momentum is building. Sellers have stepped up, and the tone of the market has shifted — control is now in their hands. In the short term, I’m watching for a retest of the broken level. What used to be support may now act as resistance. If buyers can’t push price back above that zone, it confirms weakness and opens the door for continuation lower, with 112,000 as the next key target. Traders should keep an eye on bearish signals like rejection wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or strong sell volume. A clean reclaim above resistance would invalidate the bearish bias, but until then, sellers remain in control. Let’s see how this unfolds.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Kenn_Nguyen
11
Bitcoin: Easy Monetary Policy Means Buy Pullbacks. Bitcoin has rejected the 118K resistance for now, but with the FOMC behind us and an EASY monetary policy agenda ahead of us, I would be looking for buying opportunities. The current rejection of resistance is confirming the consolidation which may persist for some weeks or months but based on the current environment, there is a greater probability of a bullish break out. The economic environment plays a key role here. Based on the history of FED rate cuts, the S&P is very likely to be higher over the coming year as a result. This implies short term pullbacks should be viewed as buying opportunities and I believe the same will be for Bitcoin. UNLESS something fundamentally changes. Like the FED changes its policy for some unexpected reason, etc. This easy monetary policy makes a strong argument against my Wave 1, Wave 4 overlap confirmation event that occurred in Bitcoin when it briefly broke the 108K area. Since the environment favors inflation, the current consolidation developing in Bitcoin can still be the broader wave 4. This implies there is a bullish wave 5 ahead which is in line with Fed policy. The consolidation break can be very similar to how Gold behaves which recently broke out to new all time highs. Keep in mind, I am not one of these "Bitcoin is going to a trillion" Michael Saylor people, I am just interpreting the price structure through a fundamental lens. So for swing traders and investors: I am looking for any price move back to major support levels like 113K (See chart), 108K or even the 105K area (extreme). Over the short term, pullbacks that seem dramatic can unfold which is why waiting for major levels is key. Upon such a retrace, I will be looking for reversal confirmations like pin bars etc. Also I will use my Trade Scanner Pro to define risk and profit objectives on smaller time frames like the 4H AFTER the predetermined support is reached like 113K. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
21
BITCOIN The hidden pivot of the Bollinger Bands (140k or 100k?).Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is testing again the basis (black trend-line) of the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB), just 3 weeks after it held and initiated a rebound. On this chart you can see that since July 2023, every time BTC closed a 1W candle below the BB basis level, the price pulled-back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and then rebounded. That is its ultimate long-term Support so far. As a result, all eyes should be on this week's closing. Below the BB basis, we should most likely seek the 1W MA50 a little above the $100000 mark. Ideally, it should coincide with a 1W RSI Support Zone test (holding since September 2023). If the BB basis holds though, we should extend the BB top within the $130-140k Zone. What do you think will come first? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
With support at 110,000-111,000, we remain bullishAnother successful long entry 🚀! As we have repeatedly stated before, as long as BTC does not break below the 110000–111000 support range 🛡️, we will still maintain a bullish outlook 🐂 Buy @111000 - 111500 TP 113000 - 113500 -114000 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Knight-1985
2
September 23 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello It's a Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart. There's an indicator release near 11:00 AM on the Nasdaq, and I expected a small fluctuation. I proceeded as safely as possible, considering the current situation. *When the red finger moves, One-way long position strategy: 1. Long position entry point at $112,302.1 / Stop loss price if the green support line is broken. 2. Long position initial target at $114,345.1 -> Target prices in order of Top, Good, Great. After reaching the target price of $114.3K, you can re-enter the long position at the indicated price of $113.6K. In the case of 1->2 above, there's a strong possibility of an upward movement along the purple parallel line. (The 5+15 pattern is still in place.) The current rebound has already formed a double bottom, so a drop below the bottom is not a good move for long positions. In case of a delay, I've indicated up to section 3 at the bottom. Thanks to the recent interest from newcomers, I've made this post publicly available for the first time in a while. Please use my analysis for reference only. I hope you operate safely, with a focus on principled trading and stop-loss orders. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
Could we see a bullish reversal from here?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 111,273.51 1st Support: 109,394.29 1st Resistance: 114,518.42 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
3