BTCUSDLooks like a lil more upside is on the horizon in this Bullish Retracement for BTC, before we encounter the higher timeframe Bearish Continuation. Let's see what Price does...
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BTCETH.P trade ideas
BITCOIN, BITCOIN DOMINANCE, ETHEREUM ANALYSIS 9-14-25Bitcoin has done a nice pullback from the initial sell off from the all time high and found a good support on the 21 EMA on the weekly chart. From the 21 EMA on the weekly chart it's now at a fib resistance level of 0.5 and could potential push up to the 0.618 fib level( 118k) otherwise my expectation is that the pullback is done and another sell off is likely to send price done to the 200 EMA on the daily chart or potential target of $105,530 in the coming week.
Ethereum is also struggling at the 2021 resistance high and more likely to pullback to the 0.382 level ($3,823) before it's continuation to higher high breakout of the 2021 resistance level.
BTC dominance is still in a strong down trend but quite oversold and likely to bounce up a little to the 58% level before continuation of the down trend. I think BTC. Dominance will ultimately reach a bearish Pennant Target of about 55% before a potential reversal.
Thank you for reviewing my analysis and don't hesitated to share your thoughts in the comments section. cheers and I wish you the best of trades this week.
On-Chain Analysis: Understanding the Real Behaviour of BTC & ETHHello everyone, trading crypto isn’t just about looking at charts. To stay ahead, you need to understand the actual behaviour of holders, large capital flows, and buying/selling pressure – and that’s the power of on-chain analysis.
1️⃣ MVRV – Profits Reveal Market Sentiment
MVRV = Market Value / Realized Value. Simply put, it shows the average profit/loss of holders.
High MVRV → many holders are in profit → risk of selling increases.
Low MVRV → many holders are at a loss → the market is more likely to bounce.
Practical example: BTC dropping to a low MVRV zone during a long-term uptrend is often a good entry, because weaker holders are less likely to sell and price can rebound.
2️⃣ NUPL – Market Psychology in a Single Number
NUPL = Net Unrealized Profit/Loss, measuring total unrealized gains or losses of holders.
NUPL > 0.6 → market is greedy, pullbacks likely.
NUPL < 0 → market is fearful, cheap buying opportunities emerge.
Combining NUPL with price action and volume helps you choose buying/selling moments wisely and avoid FOMO.
3️⃣ Whale Activity – Tracking Big Players
Monitor large wallets (usually ≥1,000 BTC/ETH).
Moving coins to exchanges → potential selling → price under downward pressure.
Moving coins to private wallets → supply decreases → price may rise.
Watching whale activity ahead of major moves helps spot real trends, which ordinary charts might not reveal.
4️⃣ Exchange Inflow/Outflow – Let the Money Speak
Large inflow → more BTC/ETH on exchanges → higher selling pressure, price drops.
Large outflow → coins withdrawn → supply tightens, price tends to rise.
Combine this with trend, breakout points, and crypto news to confirm upcoming moves.
5️⃣ Application Tips
No single on-chain metric is a guaranteed signal. The strength lies in combining them: MVRV + NUPL + whale activity + inflow/outflow + price action + volume.
Example: BTC enters a low MVRV zone, NUPL < 0, whales withdraw → potential buying zone, confirmed by H4/D1 chart breakout.
Wishing you all successful trading and profitable sessions!
BTC short trade update from last post !we see more down side? CRYPTOCAP:BTC Short Trade Update: I'm in a short position targeting a potential Monday low. As noted in my previous post, a close below 116.8K could trigger further downside. Stop loss set above the 1hr FVG at 117.2K for risk management !
Today's BTCUSD Market AnalysisBTCUSD has shown little overall change compared to yesterday, with the broader market structure remaining intact. The support level remains firm, while esistance level continues to be concentrated in the 117,000–118,000
Buy 114500-115000
TP 115500-116500-117500
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Bitcoin Testing Resistance with Potential Pullback AheadKey observations:
Range Breakout: Earlier, Bitcoin broke out of a consolidation zone (marked box), which triggered the recent upward move.
Resistance Zone: Price is hovering near the 5.15%–5.42% gain zone, where selling pressure has historically emerged.
Pullback Signal: The drawn arrow suggests a possible rejection at this resistance, pointing to a corrective move down toward the 3% zone.
Momentum Check: If BTC fails to hold above this resistance, a retracement is likely. However, a strong breakout could open the door toward 6% gains.
Bitcoin Cornered as Bulls and Bears Battle for ControlWe’re approaching what may be a key moment for bitcoin’s medium-term directional risks, with the price sandwiched between horizontal resistance at $117,600 on the topside and the 50-day moving average and September uptrend on the downside. Whichever way it breaks—if that happens—may provide clues as to whether we’ll see another retest of the record high of $124,500.
From a momentum perspective, upside is favoured: RSI (14) continues to set higher highs above 50, while MACD has staged a bullish crossover of the signal line and is now pushing into positive territory. It’s not a slam-dunk case for bulls, but it’s a better backdrop than for bears.
Should we see a break above Thursday’s high and preferably a close, longs could be established above $117,600 with a stop beneath for protection. Minor resistance is located at $119,000, putting that on the radar as an initial target. If that level is cleared, eyes will then turn to a potential retest of the August highs.
Of note, bitcoin has performed particularly well in the December quarter recently, coinciding with the Fed’s dovish pivot in 2023 and Fed rate cuts and Donald Trump’s re-election in 2024. That doesn’t guarantee a similar outcome this time, but with the Fed signalling further rate cuts this year, it probably doesn’t hurt the bullish case either.
Should bitcoin break beneath the 50DMA/September uptrend, it could sow the seeds for a bearish setup, where shorts could be established beneath with a stop above, targeting $113,500 initially.
Good luck!
DS
Bearish reversal for the Bitcoin?The price is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 116,976.22
1st Support: 113,498.37
1st Resistance: 119,215.75
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTC/USD Analysis Market is bullish and respecting the trendlineThe chart shows a Bullish Ascending Channel. Price is making higher-highs and higher-lows, indicating continuation of the uptrend.
---
🎯 Targets
TP1: 114,500 – 115,000
TP2: 117,000 – 117,500 (major resistance zone)
---
🛑 Stoploss
Near stoploss: 110,800 – 111,000 (below trendline)
Safe stoploss: 109,500
---
📌 Support & Resistance
Support: 111,000 – 111,200
Major Support: 109,800 – 110,000
Resistance: 114,500 – 115,000
Major Resistance: 117,000
---
✅ Post Caption for Clients
"📈 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is moving inside a bullish ascending channel.
Strong support at 111,000 zone.
🎯 Targets: 114,500 – 117,000
🛑 Stoploss: 110,800
Market structure shows bullish continuation ahea
Forex market opening and its impact on BitcoinAs we mentioned in our analysis, Bitcoin had entered a range, and we said that we could trade inside it using the range strategy. We also noted that whichever side the range breaks, the price would encounter one of the zones marked with yellow circles, and we should be careful about fakeouts and a possible return into the channel. Now the price has reached that zone, and at the moment it’s not suitable for a short position until we get strong confirmation. My personal opinion is that the price will go up and then return back into the range. ✅
Bit Coin Short Term bearishThis chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe, shared by Wave Count Pro. The pattern shows a complex corrective structure unfolding within a well-defined channel, with key turning points labeled as A, B, C, D, and a projected E.
Currently, price action is approaching a critical decision zone around $117,211.36. The analysis suggests two potential scenarios:
Bullish Breakout: If the price breaks above the $117,211.36 resistance, it could trigger a strong bullish move toward the upper trendline, targeting around $140,218.55 (labeled as point E).
Bearish Rejection: A failure to break above this level could lead to a pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel, possibly completing a wave (e) before a potential rally.
Key Levels:
Buy Above: $117,211.36
Sell Below: $113,966.84
WaveCount Pro
Gautam Khanna
BTC 2017-2018 Bull Run Overlay on 2025-2026At first when I was projecting the BTC bull run for this round ('25 - '26) I was expecting around 120k. Once we hit 120k it didn't feel like euphoria, not even close. Also, considering the RSI we are not over bought. I was expecting the RSI to hit 90 before this bull run was on the decline. I don't use fractals that much, but I did this for fun to see what could possibly happen. What I believe is pretty compelling is the 70k bottom of support. I do strongly feel that the last 69k bull run top will be the new support. Will we hit 450k with BTC this round? I do believe it's entirely possible.
Let me know your thoughts.
BTCUSD – Healthy Correction Before the Next Rally?Hi everyone, Ken here!
Technically, BTCUSD is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with a bullish rhythm that’s hard to overlook. The recent retracement reflects a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for the next upward move.
Price is now approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a prior demand area. If this level holds, it could provide buyers with a strong re-entry opportunity. The next upside target is around 118,600, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary.
Of course, momentum may not appear right away — the market could consolidate, produce false breakdowns, or even accelerate sharply without much warning.
Bottom line: The uptrend remains in control. This pullback looks more like a step back to gather strength than a signal of reversal.
Good luck and happy trading!
Bitcoin Cycles Update (4H Chart)BTC is tracking within a 175-bar cycle, and price is now in the later stage of the current cycle. After a bounce toward the 115k–116k zone, momentum looks to be stalling. The Stoch RSI is in overbought territory, hinting at cycle exhaustion.
If history repeats, we could see a corrective leg lower, with potential support in the 102k–106k range before the next cycle upswing develops.
In short: Cycle suggests we’re closer to a top than a bottom.
BTC Pullback Before ATHBTC had a great run and needs to cool off a bit before further continuation to the upside. I suspect a retracement to the ~101k .618 fib, which will act as strong support. If we lose this level, I predict that we fill the FVG and put in a higher low around ~97-98k. After that, we're off to the races; expect to see a new ATH for BTC.
BTC - Drawing your own Heatmaps and Understanding how BTC MovesAs of late I’ve been noticing more and more YouTube videos of analysts referencing coinglass heatmaps as a means of understanding where liquidity is.
Coinglass - if you read the details and disclaimer - is a prediction based algorithm and is not true or accurate data.
In fact, exchanges have no enforcement that encourages them to disclose data such as stop loss locations, leverage ratios, or liquidation zones.
To draw your own liquidity heat map, I demonstrate here how you can do that.
1) Determine the candle sets that move straight up or down - without price reclaiming that area.
2) Draw a box extending out from that section. Respectively these will be buy orders or sell orders.
3) Unlike limit orders for buys and sells, stop losses are extremely important - as they are limit orders that don’t automatically fill if price is at a premium or discount. They only fill if price crosses the exact price, setting off the order.
4) Use your liquidation boxes to determine where these hidden limit orders are in the chart. As we see currently, there is a mass of leveraged sell limit orders (long stop losses) stacked with little to no gaps in between them.
From here, we can understand how Bitcoin moves.
1) The majority of the market cap is leveraging liquidity. Liquidity used by traders leveraging their longs or shorts.
2) These orders leave above (or below) stop loss orders or liquidation prices, that act in the opposite way of traders direction. For example if a trader longs with $100 using 100x, he is leaving underneath his entry a sell order for the entire position size, or $10,000.
3) These stop loss orders trigger a natural chain reaction that fill, one into the next, causing the price to move fluidly as it triggers off the order block areas.
Since Bitcoin has been moving steadily up, sideways, up, sideways - for such a long period, we can deduce that there is a massive chain reaction of sell orders which will allow the price to drop aggressively and fluidly, without any active sell orders being placed by traders.
Traders looking at coinglass or other similar platforms, and stating there is a mass of short liquidity in the chart - are entirely wrong. Zooming out, we can see an overwhelming offset to the long positions left intact in the chart.
The bottom of the price drop will be the end of these stop loss orders. From there, price will leave a quick and quickly start returning to the higher levels.
Hope you found this helpful.
BTC idea for the weekWithin this range, we have what I have posted is a temporary bear trap that runs us to the range high which is also called supply. I don't believe we'll make it past this point and we will continue the downward trend from 120+ K this should run us to around 90,000 maybe less before a significant accumulation and short markup phase