Time to buy Bitcoin?Whoa, what a day! Did you catch some profits?
Now, this is in combination of both of my indicators at play. The "Fibonacci Trader" indicator is still bullish and also the second confluence from the "Breakout Trader" indicator signal is also bullish. Target profit as always the third fib extension level.
BTCETH.P trade ideas
$BTC bitcoin update for FOMC CRYPTOCAP:BTC just like last post.Bitcoin still ping-ponging ahead of the FOMC meeting. Best-case scenario: we wick below Monday's low, then reclaim and rally if positive news hits. Otherwise, a breakdown could shift momentum to the bears.
watching around 114K for now.
what you think ? up or down?
BTC AT RESISTANCEBitcoin is pressing into resistance at $117,416, just shy of the key $118K level that has repeatedly acted as a ceiling since late July. Price is currently holding above the 50-day moving average (blue line), which is sloping upward again after flattening out during the recent pullback. That’s constructive – bulls want to see this level continue serving as dynamic support.
Below, the chart shows multiple demand zones. The first sits in the $112K range, which capped price for weeks before breaking higher. This zone has already been tested as support on the latest dip and held cleanly. A deeper area of demand sits around $108K–$110K, aligning with August’s higher lows. Finally, the ultimate line in the sand remains the psychological $100,703 level.
To the upside, a clean break above $118K opens the door toward $123,231, the August high. That level is the next major resistance and potential breakout point.
Volume on the recent bounce has been decent but not explosive, which suggests buyers are stepping in with confidence but without full-on FOMO yet.
Bottom line: Bitcoin remains in a larger bullish structure of higher lows off the September bottom, but the $118K zone must break for momentum to carry toward new highs. Until then, expect chop between $112K and $118K, with $123K as the upside target if resistance finally gives way.
Bitcoin Price To Climb Higher Amid Rising Institutional AdoptionBitcoin Price To Climb Higher Amid Rising Institutional Adoption, Yet Ethereum's Relative Value Puzzles Investors
The digital asset landscape presents a fascinating dichotomy. Bitcoin, the undisputed leader, appears poised for a significant ascent, with analysts increasingly confident in a rally toward the coveted $120,000 mark. This optimism is overwhelmingly fueled by a powerful and sustained wave of institutional adoption, underscored by staggering inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). However, a perplexing counter-narrative is unfolding with Ethereum. Despite its own significant institutional embrace and the successful launch of its own ETFs, the ETH/BTC price ratio remains stubbornly low, signaling a relative weakness against Bitcoin that has left many investors searching for answers.
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum: The Unstoppable Force of Institutional Capital
The sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is palpably bullish. After a period of consolidation, the cryptocurrency has shown remarkable resilience, holding key support levels and demonstrating renewed strength. Bitcoin is trading at elevated levels, with technical analysts and market experts setting their sights on the next major psychological barrier of $120,000. A sustained break above this level is widely expected to trigger a fresh wave of buying pressure, potentially propelling the price toward new all-time highs.
A flurry of price predictions from various financial institutions and seasoned analysts paints a picture of widespread optimism. Forecasts range from conservative six-figure targets to highly bullish projections well above $200,000. These predictions are united by a common thread: the transformative impact of institutional adoption.
The primary engine driving this bullish outlook is the unprecedented success of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. These investment vehicles have served as a regulated and accessible bridge for institutional capital to flow into the digital asset space. Recent weekly net inflows have been measured in the billions of dollars, reversing previous outflows and signaling a renewed and voracious investor appetite. Leading funds from major asset managers have been the primary beneficiaries, consistently attracting hundreds of millions in fresh capital.
This influx of institutional money represents a fundamental shift in how Bitcoin is perceived. Major institutions are actively adding exposure and incorporating Bitcoin into their long-term investment strategies. This is evidenced by the behavior of "whales"—large Bitcoin holders—who have been accumulating significant amounts, viewing price dips as buying opportunities. The growing institutional presence is also contributing to a reduction in Bitcoin's notorious volatility, making it a more attractive asset for diversified portfolios.
Further bolstering the bullish case are favorable macroeconomic conditions. With expectations for lower interest rates, the appeal of risk assets like Bitcoin is on the rise. A weaker U.S. dollar and lower borrowing costs historically create a fertile environment for assets with a fixed supply to thrive. The confluence of massive ETF inflows, strategic institutional accumulation, and a supportive macroeconomic backdrop has created a powerful tailwind for Bitcoin.
The Ethereum Conundrum: High Adoption, Low Ratio
While Bitcoin basks in the glow of institutional validation, the story for Ethereum is more nuanced. On the surface, Ethereum is experiencing its own institutional renaissance. The approval of spot Ethereum ETFs has been met with considerable enthusiasm, attracting billions in capital and providing a regulated pathway for traditional investors to gain exposure to the world's leading smart contract platform.
The inflow data for Ethereum ETFs has been impressive, at times even surpassing Bitcoin's on a monthly basis. Cumulative inflows have reached a significant figure, a clear testament to the growing recognition of Ethereum's value proposition, which extends beyond a simple store of value to encompass the vast ecosystems of decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.
Institutions are not just buying ETH through ETFs; they are also actively participating in the network's staking mechanism. An unprecedented surge in staking activity has seen a significant portion of ETH's circulating supply locked away to secure the network and earn yield. This "supply squeeze" is fueled by both institutional players and large individual holders, underscoring the long-term conviction in Ethereum's future. With a large percentage of the total supply staked, the available liquidity on exchanges has dwindled, a factor that would typically be expected to exert strong upward pressure on the price.
Given this backdrop of robust adoption, significant ETF inflows, and a tightening supply, one would expect Ethereum to be gaining ground on Bitcoin. However, the ETH/BTC price ratio, a key metric that reflects the relative value of Ethereum to Bitcoin, tells a different story. This ratio has remained stubbornly below the 0.05 mark, a level that signals relative weakness for ETH. It currently hovers at a low level, far from its historical peak.
This persistent underperformance is a source of considerable debate. A higher ratio indicates that ETH is appreciating faster than BTC. The current suppression suggests that while absolute demand for Ethereum is strong, the demand for Bitcoin is even stronger.
Several factors may be contributing to this conundrum. Bitcoin's established brand and its narrative as "digital gold" give it a powerful first-mover advantage, particularly among institutional investors taking a conservative, phased approach. For many, Bitcoin is the initial and primary allocation.
Secondly, Ethereum's utility introduces complexities and risks compared to Bitcoin's simpler value proposition. The ongoing evolution of the network, while bullish long-term, may present a steeper learning curve for some investors.
Furthermore, a historical trend of Bitcoin outperforming Ethereum may have created market inertia, with capital continuing to flow into the asset with stronger recent relative performance. In essence, both assets are appreciating, but Bitcoin is doing so at a faster rate, keeping the ratio suppressed.
Beyond the Big Two: Other Trending Cryptos to Watch
While Bitcoin and Ethereum dominate, the broader cryptocurrency market is a hotbed of innovation. Investors are exploring a diverse range of projects with potential for significant growth, driven by several key trends.
Layer-2 Scaling Solutions: As Ethereum faces demand-driven congestion, Layer-2 solutions have become indispensable. Projects offering faster, cheaper, and more scalable environments for decentralized applications are capturing a growing share of activity and represent a crucial investment theme for ecosystem growth.
Integration of Artificial Intelligence and Blockchain: The convergence of AI and blockchain is gaining considerable traction, creating new possibilities in automated trading, decentralized organizations, and sophisticated dApps. Projects leveraging AI to enhance blockchain capabilities are attracting significant attention.
Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWA): This is poised to be one of the most transformative trends. Representing physical assets like real estate and commodities as digital tokens on a blockchain has the potential to unlock trillions in illiquid assets, making them more accessible and tradable globally. This is expected to drive a new wave of adoption.
Meme Coins and Community-Driven Projects: While often speculative, meme coins continue to exert significant influence, demonstrating the power of community and viral marketing. Their enduring popularity highlights the importance of cultural relevance in the crypto space.
The altcoin market is characterized by higher volatility and risk. However, for investors with a high-risk tolerance, it offers the potential for outsized returns based on technological adoption and market trends.
The Road Ahead: A Market at a Crossroads
The cryptocurrency market is a study in contrasts. The overwhelming force of institutional adoption is propelling Bitcoin toward potentially historic highs. The success of Bitcoin ETFs has fundamentally altered the market structure, creating a sustained demand that shows no signs of abating.
Conversely, the curious case of the ETH/BTC ratio serves as a reminder of the market's complexity. While Ethereum's own institutional story is compelling, it has yet to translate into sustained outperformance against Bitcoin.
Looking ahead, the market's trajectory will be shaped by key factors. Central bank monetary policy will continue to play a crucial role. The continued growth of the ETF market will be a primary indicator of institutional sentiment. And ongoing innovation in scaling, AI, and tokenization will determine the next generation of leading projects.
For investors, the current environment offers both immense opportunity and significant risk. The bullish case for Bitcoin appears robust, but volatility remains. Ethereum's long-term value is undeniable, but its short-to-medium-term performance relative to Bitcoin is less certain. The altcoin market holds promise but requires careful navigation.
In conclusion, the narrative of rising institutional adoption is powerfully reshaping the digital asset landscape. As Bitcoin bulls eye their next target, the broader market watches closely, navigating the crosscurrents of innovation, regulation, and macroeconomic forces that will define the future of this transformative technology.
Bitcoin - It is bullish either way!💎Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) still remains bullish:
🔎Analysis summary:
Yes, over the past couple of days we have been seeing a quite negative correction on Bitcoin. However, looking at the higher timeframe, Bitcoin remains totally bullish. So even if Bitcoin continues with the recent correction, it would ultimately result in a bullish all time high break and retest.
📝Levels to watch:
$60.000
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Update of Bitcoin analysisWell, the price behaved just as we analyzed — it returned into the range and even managed to break it from the top. On the lower timeframe, it also made a pullback to the channel’s ceiling. There’s a chance the price could move a bit higher, but it’s risky, and for a long position we need to have confirmation. ✅
Bitcoin Buy setupHi everyone.
I think these two areas have a good potential to take at least 1:1RR profit.
I've set orders in these areas.
Lets see what happens.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
HalvingBuying $100 of Bitcoin every month for 8 years starting 9 years ago would have turned $9,600 into $115,062 (+1,098%) 🔥 check graph on dcabtc.com
BTC is an asset which is cyclic every halving which happens every 4 years price jumps up 2/3 times. In next 3 years you could have a turnover of 50% cause it's a volatile asset, but #HODL after next halving and you can triple you holdings.
BTC: Is the Cycle Top in for 2025?We start left with the insane capitulation
recover & consolodate
breakout the white resistence
reaching 1 - consolidate creating bull flag
breakout to 2 with 3 peaks a b c
fall off a cliff in with a b c wicks
recover 3, a b c wicks
continuation to 4 with 2 peaks a b
done
breaking below the white horizontal support
altough we have still some import support below us now. Breaking the 21 Weekly MA (108k), losing ~105K support would be some really bad signs.
breaking the 100 Weekly MA (now 96K) would be very bad fore sure.
Am i on to something here? What do you guys think?
BTC vs fed rate :0Taking the buy above the open of the week for bitcoin. Hopefully “To Late Powell” doesn’t pull the rug and we see a juicy pump up to 120,000
With all my experience (lol) I know that when the news drop the market will probably pump dump and then continue to the upside so be ready for that.
But hey….. what do I know?
BTCUSD 4h- Bearish SetupBITSTAMP:BTCUSD is showing early signs of exhaustion after its recent push into the $116K zone. Multiple bearish confluences are aligning:
Price has rejected near the upper resistance band, signaling potential short-term weakness.
The last few candles show strong wicks to the upside, indicating selling pressure.
Current structure sits below the short-term resistance block, with buyers struggling to maintain momentum.
🔑 Fibonacci Retracement Targets (from recent swing move):
38.2% → $115,503
61.8% → $114,390
100% → $112,589
If downside momentum builds, these levels may act as supports and potential take-profit zones for shorts. Confirmation of rejection from the resistance zone could open the path lower toward the 61.8% and 100% retracement levels.
⚠️ Invalidation: A strong close above $117,305 would negate this bearish setup and reopen bullish continuation potential.
Bullish bounce off key supportThe Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 112,941.31
1st Support: 110,100.67
1st Resistance: 117,319.09
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BUY BTCUSD now for bullish trend continuation BUY BTCUSD now for bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 114,393
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern on the daily time frame ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue is good for you to be part of it...
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with...
Still Bullish on Bitcoin — Loading the Dip at 98KBitcoin Long-Term Bull Thesis with Accumulation Perspective
From a macro perspective, Bitcoin continues to demonstrate its role as the premier hard asset in the digital age. The long-term structural trend remains intact — higher highs, higher lows, and a steady expansion of institutional adoption all reinforce the bullish thesis. As capital flows into the space and Bitcoin cements its narrative as “digital gold,” I remain a firm supporter of its trajectory toward significantly higher valuations over the coming cycles.
That being said, no uptrend is without healthy corrections. Markets breathe, and Bitcoin is no exception. Should we see a pullback, my eyes are firmly on the $98,000–$100,000 zone. This level aligns with a key confluence of prior trendline support and mid-range accumulation structure on both the higher-timeframe weekly chart and the lower-timeframe 4H structure. In professional trading terms, this is where value buyers are likely to step in, absorbing supply and reloading positions for the next leg higher.
In essence, my stance is unchanged: I remain a long-term Bitcoin bull. A correction, if it comes, is not a threat to the bigger picture — it is an opportunity. For those who understand the long-term story, the $98K area represents a strategic accumulation zone, a chance to strengthen positioning in an asset that I believe is only in the early chapters of its global adoption curve.
Summary: Long-term bullish, unwavering in conviction. If the market grants a correction, the $98K zone is where smart money will be waiting.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 9/16 /2025Is Bitcoin’s Cycle Ending, or Just Another Correction?
BTC made a new all-time high last month, followed by significant selling pressure. This raises the question: Has the BTC cycle ended, or is this just another corrective wave before another push higher?
In my view, BTC has already completed its cycle since the bear market ended in November 2022, based on the following factors:
1. Wave Structure Suggests Completion of Wave 5
From my primary scenario, the 5-wave cycle beginning after the November 2022 bear market is as follows:
Cycle Wave I: Nov 21, 2022 – Apr 14, 2023
Cycle Wave II: Apr 14, 2023 – Sep 11, 2023
Cycle Wave III: Sep 11, 2023 – Jan 20, 2025
Cycle Wave IV: Jan 20, 2025 – Apr 9, 2025
Cycle Wave V: Apr 9, 2025 – Aug 14, 2025
Within Cycle Wave V, we can clearly see wave 1 and wave 3 of the initial impulse, followed by a correction (wave 4), and then a final 5-wave sequence. This last push shows signs of exhaustion: although wave ④ (part of wave 5) lasted nearly a month, the market struggled to achieve new highs. This behavior suggests that buying pressure is exhausted and Cycle Wave V may have ended.
2. Post-High Wave Structure
The decline after BTC’s all-time high could be interpreted as the start of a new impulse down, or as part of a complex corrective structure such as WXY or WXYXZ.
We need further confirmation, but one thing is clear: after the upward correction completes, another downward wave should follow, either to complete the correction or as wave 3 of a larger bearish impulse.
Micro Analysis
Based on my Elliott Wave count, it seems BTC has completed wave II or wave b.
This is confirmed not only by Gann fan resistance, but also by the divergence on the abrupt wave 5 in the 4-hour chart, which was followed by a strong downward move. This implies BTC has already entered wave III, or has at least completed its correction.
If this current impulse is indeed wave 3 of a larger downtrend, the target for wave V would be around $81,000, supported by a Crab harmonic pattern projection.
BTC PERPETUAL TRADE SELL SETUP Short from $113,950BTC PERPETUAL TRADE
SELL SETUP
Short from $113,950
Currently $113,950
Targeting $112,800 or Down
(Trading plan IF BTC go up to $115k
will add more shorts)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice