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BTCETH.P trade ideas

ANFIBO | BTCUSD in my view todayHello guys! It's me, Anfibo. Here is my Strategic and Market Sentiment Perspective : I agree with the view that BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently in a compression phase. The market seems to be waiting for a catalyst (potentially economic data or macro news) to break out of this consolidation zone. >>> Key observations: Trading volume has shown signs of decline over the past few sessions, reflecting investor sentiment of waiting on the sidelines rather than taking strong action. Funding rates and overall market sentiment remain positive but not overly euphoric, which is a healthy signal supporting the case for a sustainable upward move. On the Daily timeframe, the primary trend remains bullish, and the current sideways movement appears to be a technical correction within the broader uptrend. >>> Strategic approach for today: > For short-term traders: consider accumulating small positions around the support levels of 115,200 – 114,400, with stop-loss orders set below 114,000 to manage downside risk. > For medium-term investors: it is more prudent to wait for a confirmed breakout above the 117,000 – 118,000 resistance zone before scaling into larger positions, targeting the 120,000 – 123,000 levels. Have a beautiful day!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ANFIBO_
Bitcoin & it reaction to Interest Rate changes since March 2022 I have simplified this chart by removing the Key moments brought on by the introduction of Interest rate changes. The initial Collapse of some Key Crypto companies, mostly due to overindulgence and Stupidity.. The time has past and we have entered a new regime However. it is still Very interesting to see how Bitcoin has reacted to Rate changes since the changes were introduced in March 2022. For me, the descent of BTC PA from its ATH in Noveber 2021 was not brought on by Banks as some have said. It is allpart of the usual cycle. However, the increased cost of Borrowing DID begin to destabalise many companies and ultimaltly, brought down a number of Key companies, including the organisations that lent money, like BANKS> And in this time, Bitcoin Did Drop below its 200 Week Moving Average for the first time in its history. This happened more as a result of companies getting scared and NOT because Bitcoin was Weakened by it. In Fact, its recivery in January 2023 was perfectly Timed and, as you can clearly see in the Green Box, Bitcoin began to RISE even though Consecutive rate rises of 75, 50, 25, 25 & 25 pts were placed against the cost of FIAT Loans. This showed HUGE strength anf determination. The results of which we see today. And then Bo rate rises were imposed, Borrowing was still expensive. And Bitcoin Rose loike a start, ETF;s arrived etc etc. And now, we see the Federal Reserve begin to Pivot once again. BITCOIN is a GIANT and is only just waking up The last time Bitcoin Dropped Rates, BTC PA did Rise to the levels we are currently used to seeing. Whats Next ? I am hoping for at least 155K
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
1
BTCUSD – Key Levels & Outlook Bitcoin trades near $115,445 as mBitcoin trades near $115,445 as markets weigh the upcoming FOMC rate decision that could spark broad risk-asset moves. Key Levels Resistance (1H): $115,668 – 116,318. A clean breakout above this zone could open the door to $116,600+. Intermediate Zone: $115,532 – 115,477 around the 30m FVG (fair value gap). Support (1H): $115,100, with deeper bids around $114,744 – 114,376 and a final line near $114,134. Scenarios Bullish: A dovish Fed or rate-cut surprise could lift BTC through the 1H resistance toward $116,600–117,000. Bearish: If the Fed stays hawkish or signals fewer cuts, watch for a slide toward $115,100 and potentially $114,700. Fundamentals The FOMC decision (8 pm UTC-2) is pivotal. A rate cut would generally weaken USD liquidity costs and may boost crypto demand. Risk sentiment is key—BTC often mirrors equity volatility during major Fed events. ⚠️ Plan: Expect heightened volatility around the announcement; confirmation of direction likely comes after the Fed press conference. This is market commentary, not financial advice. Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:BTCUSD
by MrYounity
Bitcoin Trade of the Week: Liquidity Rules the MarketOne of the most decisive factors for markets right now is the expansion of liquidity. The growth of global M2 remains evident, particularly in China, where the economy faces a deflationary backdrop that forces authorities to maintain – and even expand – both monetary and fiscal stimulus. Ultimately, these flows permeate global financial markets and, as I’ve explained on several occasions, liquidity is the fuel that drives asset prices. A Parallel with 2024 What we are observing today shows remarkable similarities with what happened in 2024. Back then, the start of Federal Reserve rate cuts marked a turning point. Even a moderate 25-basis-point cut triggered a rebound that coincided with a technical consolidation phase in Bitcoin, shaped as a descending channel. Later, in November 2024, when the Fed accelerated the move with a 50-basis-point cut, the result was a much more aggressive bullish impulse. Today, we find ourselves in an environment with rising probabilities of further cuts in upcoming Fed meetings, which could once again act as a catalyst. Correlation Context with the Nasdaq 100 Meanwhile, the Nasdaq 100 is printing all-time highs, reflecting the strong risk appetite in tech assets. Bitcoin, in contrast, remains slightly behind its own highs. This divergence can be interpreted as a window of opportunity: if additional liquidity is confirmed through another rate cut, the momentum could spill over into Bitcoin and provide the strength needed to form a technical reversal structure—very similar to the inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern observed in 2024. Trading Strategy Entry Zone: 111,906.44 Stop Loss (SL): 108,607.83 Take Profit (TP): 130,383.16
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by juliansb32
This is what is going to happen with BTC today, FOMC daMy FOMC-Day Playbook (Trader’s Read) Probabilities (today) • Sell-the-news (spike then fade): ~60% • Mini altseason (ETH leads, large caps follow): ~25% • BTC bullish continuation after the announcement: ~15% ← my BTC-only continuation probability Why my odds look like this • Funding is low → no derivatives euphoria; any rally needs spot demand to sustain. • Open interest is rising slowly → tape is more spot-led than leverage-led (healthier, but needs follow-through). • DVOL slightly elevated + 25Δ skew tilted to puts → market is defensive into the headline; easy to fade if spot inflows don’t show. • ETF volumes are moderate (IBIT/FBTC/ETHA) → by themselves they don’t signal a mega inflow day. What would push odds toward continuation (BTC or mini-alts) • 3:50–4:00 ET auctions print big in IBIT/FBTC/ETHA. • EOD net flows ≥ $300–500M (bonus if ETH also prints strong). • Post-headline vol crush (DVOL ↓), skew normalizes, funding ≤ 0.01%, OI up gradually (spot-led), and acceptance above resistance. What would keep/raise sell-the-news risk • Weak/negative EOD flows. • Break attempts with funding ≥ 0.03% and OI ramping (crowded longs). • DVOL ↑ and skew leans further to puts during the spike. • Repeated rejections near BTC resistance (e.g., ~116–117k) with upper wicks. 1-Minute Checklist (before & after the announcement) 1 Spot vs perps: if spot leads and funding stays low, I prefer buying pullbacks over chasing. 2 DVOL / Skew: DVOL down + skew normalizing ⇒ continuation; DVOL up + skew to puts ⇒ fade more likely. 3 ETFs: watch closing-hour volume today; then confirm EOD net flows tonight: ◦ ≥ $300–500M ⇒ I carry a long/buy-the-dip bias into D+1. ◦ ≤ 0 ⇒ I favor fading resistance into D+1. Operational stance (how I’ll trade it) • Base into the headline: cautious. I won’t chase the first candle. • Fade setup: if the breakout comes with funding/OI spiking and wicks near resistance, I treat it as spike-and-fadeback into the prior range (tight risk). • Continuation setup: if I see vol crush + strong flows and acceptance above resistance, I flip to continuation mode and buy dips, with invalidation below the most recent reclaimed level. This is my real-time framework, not financial advice. I’ll update the bias if the auction and EOD flows materially change the picture.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by matoxview
Bitcoin: Is it time?Being a crypto enthusiast, these are exciting times! We have seen Bitcoin hit all time highs just a couple of weeks back, topping out $124,580 before retracing down to $107,000. Many questioned: HAS THE BITCOIN BUBBLE BURST? I would like to disagree with that. With the rate cuts being 'almost' certain today, we expect risk assets (such as BTC) to be more attractive investments for both firms and investors globally. After reaching the all-time highs and with the news event scheduled for mid-September, the sell off into the discount zone (as shown in the chart) was expected from my end and we have rebalanced the impulsive price action that led to the all-time high. What I appreciated from the price driving down into the discount zone was the reaction the market gave us, it has reacted positively and that specific price region has invited investors and firms like Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy) to reinforce their position and increase their Bitcoin holdings. Will the market explode as soon as the rate cuts news is released? I don't think so. The market will experience liquidity stress, especially with how the economy is holding up at the moment and the 'almost certain' news outcome to both retail and institutional. We may see spikes towards both directions, so my advice? Wait for the market to cool down once the news is released and position yourself accordingly. The news will give us a direction until the end of the year, giving you a clear bias. Trade safely and good luck to all!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Riscuit
Bitcoin Global / Local Fib Levels point to the TOP area to watch Each Low to ATH has a "Local" Fib extension Set And the Yellow Fib extension is from the 2011 Low to the 2013 ATH and I use this as a "Global" Fib as that was, in reality, the first ever Low to ATH before a sustained draw back. Please Note that as Candles would not show very clearly at this scale, I have used a Line. This has some inaccuracy as to true candle Ends. As a result, it looks like some Fibs are misplaced but I assure you, each are placed accurately, using candles and then the Line is used. The Fibs are accuratly placed. Local Fib extension ATH Fib number 2013 November - 5.272 2017 December - 4.236 2021 November - 2 2025 Current just above 2.618 Global Fib extension ATH number NOTE- See on chart how ATH is just above this Fib level, except for Fib 1. 2013 November - 1 2017 December- 1.414 2021 November - 1.618 2025 Current Fib just below 1,758 - if we follow trend, I expect ATH to be using this 1.768 line, the next in sequence of Fib numbers. Local Fib charts 2011 low to 2013 ATH 2015 low to 2017 ATH 2019 low to 2021 ATH 2023 low to current position To me, there are a number of things to see here. More than anything, what is plain to see is how Bitcoin has used the Global Fib numbers like stepping Stones. Currently just below the 1.768, which is the next in sequence. ( Yellow lines ) All but the First ATH were recorded just above the Global Fib lines ( the First was on the line ) and I have little doubt we will do this again. And if we look at the pattern of the Local Fib lines, we can see that we missed the 3.236 line in 2021 We went from 5 to 4 to 2. ( ignoring the 236 bit for now.) We missed 3 See how the first 2 Local Fibs dropped by nearly one complete Fib number, from 5.272 to 4.236 By the time we headed towards the 2021 ATH, the market accelerated hugely, mostly due to the idea of Get Rich quick and no tax rules..GREED WAS UPMOST. Even at the time, I considered this cycle Abnormal. Many charts show why, and I will not expand further here. The Local Fib level for that run was distorted by the swift recovery from the low in 2019. While this was not a bad thing, it changed the cycle dynamics. This cycle, currently, we have returned to a more sensible approach and we appear to be heading to the 3 local Fib zone, maybe as we should have done in 2021. This also happens to be just above the 1.768 Global Fib line, The next expected Global ATH line. So, we are currently approaching that 1.7668 Global Fib line and we can expect the ATH to be above this, if we follow the previous 2 ATH. And if we go above that Global line the same as we have in the last 2 previous cycles, we find the Local 3 Fib extension. IF we were to follow previous, this could be expected ro be the 3.236, at around 190K I think this is doubtful and maybe the 3 itself is more realistic at 155K So, there you have it. Bitcoin and its Fibs have a pattern, it get broken and it looks like it is trying to regain that pattern. And this is all done by Humans trading........ Astounding. and that 2 Global Fin line in 2029 ? Will we get there ? Given the introductions of ETF and Corprate Long term holders....Will we see a bear market before we rech that 2 Global Fib ? So many questions... One real answer is BUY BITCOIN AND HOLD ON TO IT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTCUSD – Liquidity Sweep & Weekend Fractals Key Levels • Major liquidity pocket tagged at 117,898.79. • After that sweep, price printed a string of bearish fractals. • Market makers are now likely eyeing the cluster of minor fractals at 117.4k, 118.6k, and 119.3k. Trade Recap All our targets were reached over the weekend. I’m flat now, but in hindsight a trailed stop would have captured more of the move as price kept running. Plan Forward Watching how price reacts around the 118k–119k zone for clues on the next leg. A decisive rejection here could open a deeper retrace; sustained acceptance sets up a fresh structure. Not financial advice—pure market structure analysis using the CORE 5 lens.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CORE5DAN
Bitcoin Supply Zone Alert – $116K Could Trigger Big DropBTCUSD is currently trading around $115,871 after a recovery bounce. Here’s my outlook 👇 📍 Key Supply Zone (Red Area): $116,000 – $116,200 📍 Key Demand Zone (Green Area): $113,800 – $114,200 🔴 I’m expecting price to push into the supply zone before facing strong resistance. ⚡ From there, sellers may step in and drive BTC back toward demand around $113,800. This is a classic liquidity grab + rejection setup on the 15M timeframe
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FrankFx14
BTCUSD uptrend continuation supported at 112,630The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective sideways consolidation within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 112,630 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 112,630 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 118,840 – initial resistance 120,930 – psychological and structural level 122,260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 112,630 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 110,940 – minor support 109,430 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 112,630. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Can Bitcoin Still Rise to 120,000?The Bitcoin market is currently in a range-bound consolidation phase, with no clear overall trend breakout. Yesterday, the price once surged above the 116,000 mark, but failed to hold this position, and then quickly fell back into the oscillation range, forming a typical "false breakthrough" trend on the technical side. This phenomenon clearly indicates that the market still faces strong selling pressure at high levels, and bullish momentum to push prices upward is somewhat insufficient, making it difficult to break out of the volatile market in the short term. From a macroeconomic perspective, the window for the Fed to cut interest rates is approaching, and the market is in the process of digesting policy expectations, which makes the current market more characterized by "accumulating strength and waiting" - both bulls and bears remain relatively cautious, and the game intensifies near key points, waiting for clear policy signals or capital flows to break the balance. By observing the daily level pattern, it can be found that the market has recently shown a healthy volume structure of "large volume rise and small volume pullback". At the same time, the lower edge support of the rising channel formed in the early stage is still valid, the price pullback has not fallen below the key support level, and the overall upward trend framework has not been destroyed. Based on the above analysis, we still maintain the original strategy unchanged, continue to hold the existing long positions, and adhere to the operating idea of "trading time for space" - not being disturbed by short-term false breakthroughs or shock fluctuations, patiently waiting for the market to complete accumulation and clarify the direction, and then seize trend opportunities.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Matthew_8888