November 11 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
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This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There are no separate Nasdaq indicators.
I developed a strategy based on the lower gap retracement of both Bitcoin and Nasdaq.
*Conditional long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. Confirm the first touch of the purple finger at the top (autonomous short)
Switch to a long position at the bottom at $103,790.4 /
Stop-loss price if the green support line is completely broken or the bottom is touched
2. First target for a long position at $106,701.5 / Target prices are Top and Good in that order.
If the strategy is successful, the first section is used to re-enter the long position.
If a correction occurs immediately without touching the first section at the top,
I'll wait for a long position at the bottom. Looking at the overall picture today, if the price drops to the bottom,
the medium-term pattern will be broken.
The purple support line must be maintained or the upper limit must be reached at 106.7K.
A rebound in the 1+4 range is required without breaking the green support line.
The Nasdaq variable is important, so please keep a close eye on the movement.
I hope you operate safely, with principled trading and stop-loss orders essential.
Thank you.
Trade ideas
BTC Bitcoin Bullish Price Action Here's My Trade PlanBTC just broke to the upside! 💥 On the 🕓 4-hour timeframe, price action looks strong: higher highs and higher lows 📈⬆️. I’m waiting for a pullback 📉—once support is found 🛑 and structure breaks bullish again, I’m considering another buy opportunity 🚀💸.
Not financial advice.
BTC 1H – Falling Wedge, Key Levels AheadFalling wedge pattern playing out, with bullish momentum potentially retesting resistance around 107-109k levels.
Technical Overview
After a prolonged downtrend, BTC is showing signs of reversal inside a classic falling wedge pattern. Price action indicates a possible attempt to break above immediate resistance.
A golden cross appeared recently (50/200 MA bullish cross on the hourly), which often acts as a short-term momentum trigger.
Reclaiming and holding the 105k level signals a possible weekly swing low, especially after the sweep below the significant 100k range.
Horizontal resistance lies around 107k–109k, aligning with the upper wedge boundary and serving as a critical decision zone.
Positives
Golden Cross: The 50 and 200 moving averages just crossed bullish on 1H, often providing initial optimism for follow-through momentum.
105 Level: Holding/reclaiming 105k can confirm that the latest sweep below 100k was the liquidity grab to establish a new swing low.
Bullish Confirmation: Sustained strength above the 110k resistance flips structure to bullish and could open up further upside.
Negatives
Weak Breakout: The current move higher from the lows appears tentative rather than strong, risking a failed breakout.
Pattern Risk: Despite the breakout attempt, BTC remains technically inside the falling wedge—with potential for further compression or downside.
CME Gap: There’s an open CME gap still lurking at 92k, which remains a risk magnet if price loses structure.
Double Resistance: The 109k level is strong resistance, previously tested and rejected, which could stall bulls and trigger another rejection.
Trade Scenarios & Framework
Bullish Above 111k: Clean break and hold above 111k invalidates the wedge and signals strong continuation potential.
Bearish Below 103.5k: Failure to sustain above 103.5k increases the risk of a lower retest toward 100k and possibly the CME gap at 92k.
Neutral 104k–111k: Price action within this range is likely to chop and backtest key support/resistance, favoring mean reversion or short-term tactical plays.
If we see rejections above 105k, expect a move to retest the recent swing lows; a strong reclaim above 110k would confirm renewed bullish momentum.
At present, BTC is transitioning from bearish into neutral territory—waiting for structure and follow-through to confirm direction.
Profit targets and stop loss areas should be adjusted according to personal risk tolerance, but using 103.5k as a bear line and 111k as a clear bullish confirmation threshold is suggested for defining bias.
$103,000 Support is Your Next Long Entry!The chart shows a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (D point completed near $107,000), indicating the recent bullish momentum needs a rest.
We anticipate a short-term pullback following the completion of this pattern.
The target for this drop is the key support area (green box) around $103,000 - $103,500.
OBV also shows Bearish Divergence (price up, indicator down), which strongly supports the idea of a temporary pullback.
Wait for the price to hit the $103,000 support zone.
Look to enter a LONG trade from the $103,000 - $103,500 area for the next major leg up. This is the main opportunity!
Good Luck!
BTC target End of yearBased on weekly chart and recent macro the market is still bullish
If no big fundamentals happen this is where we should end till end of the year
There are 2 possible outcomes:
1. (blue case) the pressure of whales selling will keep the price within 120 000 range
2. (the red case) there will be breakout above 125 000 and we end somewhere in middle of the bull channel around 160 000
ANFIBO | BTCUSD - Still in a boring range [11.11.2025]Hey guys, Anfibo's here!
BTCUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
The prior sell at $107,000 executed according to plan and produced a clean, profitable outcome — well done to those who took it and locked in gains. Currently BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is trading in a sideways, slightly upward-drifting range as liquidity is being gathered beneath the upper trend boundary. Momentum is constructive but not yet impulsive; therefore the highest-probability edge today is to wait for price to touch the established trendline and read the reaction there before committing to fresh short exposure.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:(x1000)
ENTRY: 104 - 105
SL: 103
TP: 110
>>> SELL ZONE: (x1000)
ENTRY: 109 - 110
SL: 111.5
TP: 104 - 95
Risk Management:
- Risk a controlled percentage of equity per trade (e.g., 1–2% max capital risk per position) and size positions so SL distance equals the planned risk.
- Scale sizing: take a smaller initial position at Entry (1) and add selectively at Entry (2) only after clear bearish rejection or failed retest.
- Use tight, logical SLs (as listed) and consider moving SL to breakeven once TP1 is achieved to protect gains.
- Monitor intraday volatility and major news — reduce size or sit out if market structure becomes erratic or if a scheduled macro event is imminent.
Conclusion:
The market rewarded our prior sell at $107k — a good example of discipline and structure-based trading. Today’s plan remains conservative: let BTC approach the trendline / upper channel, observe price reaction, and initiate short exposure only on a clear rejection or failed retest. Maintain strict risk controls, scale thoughtfully, and avoid averaging into a losing trade. This patient, reaction-based approach keeps the odds in our favor while respecting the prevailing range dynamics.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
ETHUSD H1 | Bearish Drop OffMomentum: Bearish
Price has rejected the sell entry level, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Sell Entry: 106,514.04
Strong pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 108,576.28
Pullback resistance
78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 102,418.60
Pullback support
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BTCUSD UPDATE Yesterday, BTCUSD hovered near 106,463, staying quiet most of the day.
This morning, the Euro session broke that balance — ran yesterday’s high, triggered stops, and dropped fast. ETF inflows that pushed price earlier in the week slowed down.
Funding turned negative, showing traders are less confident short term.
Now price trades lower, and yesterday’s low is the next level everyone’s watching.
Macro Outlook
Markets are leaning defensive.
Yields up. Dollar steady. Stocks soft.
Bitcoin’s moving with that tone as flows cool off and liquidity thins out.
Until that changes, BTCUSD stays under pressure with weak momentum and cautious buyers.
Market Structure Mapping (MSM — The Framework)
Structure still leans bearish, but there’s no confirmed break yet.
Price is trading away from the last discount pullback, holding below the Euro session high.
Downside focus sits near 104,240, then 101,500, where equal lows and liquidity line up.
If yesterday’s low breaks clean, the bearish leg extends.
For now, price is drifting lower — not broken, just soft.
CORE5 Rule — “Trade what’s confirmed, not what you think.”
— CORE5DAN
Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
BTCUSD – Buyers Officially Regain Control!COINBASE:BTCUSD The price has just formed a pattern that looks like a double bottom after a long period of decline. This is a strong signal that the market may be preparing for a reversal.
The structure of this pattern is actually quite simple. Imagine the market dropping twice, and both times it bounces back strongly. That shows sellers are losing strength while buyers are stepping in with more confidence, gradually taking back control.
Right now, the price has broken clearly above the neckline, confirming a shift in momentum.
With this signal, I expect the market to continue rising toward the next target area around 113,600.
Long Strategy GuideReconstruction of the macro monetary environment provides support
The US dollar index has dropped below the 100 mark. The US debt/GDP ratio exceeding 130% has weakened the creditworthiness of the US dollar, providing valuation support for risky assets. Although expectations for the Fed's rate cut in December have fluctuated, the trend of implicit liquidity easing has not changed, reducing the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin. At the same time, the global central bank gold-buying trend highlights the need for hedging, and the high correlation of Bitcoin with the Nasdaq index of 0.8 will benefit from the return of funds from the technology sector simultaneously.
Bitcoin trading strategy
buy:105000-105500
tp:106500-107500
sl:104000
BTC/USD – Head and Shoulders Breakdown in ProgressBitcoin is showing a classic Head and Shoulders pattern on the 12H chart, signaling potential bearish momentum. The neckline around $107,000 has been broken, and price is now retesting this area as resistance. If sellers maintain control below this level, a continuation toward the $100,000–$98,000 zone could follow.
Neckline / Resistance: $107,000
Support Zone: $100,000 – $98,000
Bias: Bearish below neckline; potential reversal only if price reclaims $107K.
This chart highlights structure-based analysis only — not financial advice. Wait for confirmation before any trading decisions
Petrodollars and Their Global Impact1. The Origin of Petrodollars
The concept of petrodollars emerged in the early 1970s following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and the oil shocks that reshaped global energy markets. After the U.S. decoupled the dollar from gold in 1971, the dollar’s value began to fluctuate freely. In 1973, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) significantly increased oil prices in response to geopolitical tensions and rising global demand.
At the same time, an agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia ensured that oil would continue to be priced and traded exclusively in U.S. dollars. This deal effectively globalized the dollar as the primary currency for energy trade. As oil prices surged, exporting countries, particularly in the Middle East, earned enormous dollar revenues. These dollars became known as petrodollars, representing the surplus funds that oil producers accumulated from selling oil abroad.
2. Petrodollar Recycling
Petrodollar recycling refers to how oil-exporting countries reinvest or redistribute their dollar earnings. This recycling process has two main channels:
Financial Recycling: Oil-exporting nations deposit their dollar earnings in international banks or invest them in global financial markets, especially U.S. Treasury securities, stocks, and bonds. This recycling helps sustain global liquidity and supports the U.S. economy by financing its trade and fiscal deficits.
Real Recycling: Petrodollars are used for development projects, infrastructure building, or the import of goods and services. Oil-rich nations often spend their surpluses on foreign products, technology, and defense equipment, which stimulates demand in manufacturing economies such as the U.S., Europe, and increasingly, China.
During the 1970s and 1980s, the recycling of petrodollars was crucial for stabilizing global financial systems. Banks used the inflow of funds from oil exporters to lend to developing nations, leading to an expansion of global credit. However, this also contributed to the debt crises of the 1980s when many borrowing countries were unable to repay their loans.
3. Economic Impacts of Petrodollars
The accumulation and recycling of petrodollars have wide-ranging economic consequences that shape both national and global economies.
a) U.S. Dollar Dominance:
Petrodollars reinforce the U.S. dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency. Since oil must be purchased in dollars, all countries need to hold large dollar reserves. This creates consistent demand for the dollar, giving the U.S. a unique financial advantage known as “exorbitant privilege.” It allows the U.S. to run persistent trade deficits without facing immediate pressure to devalue its currency.
b) Balance of Payments Effects:
Oil-importing nations often face balance-of-payments deficits when oil prices rise because they need to spend more dollars on energy imports. Conversely, oil-exporting nations accumulate surpluses, strengthening their fiscal positions. These imbalances influence global capital flows, interest rates, and investment patterns.
c) Inflation and Exchange Rates:
Fluctuations in oil prices directly affect inflation rates worldwide. Higher oil prices increase transportation and production costs, driving inflation. Countries with weaker currencies or heavy energy dependence experience greater inflationary pressure. At the same time, oil exporters’ currencies may appreciate due to rising export revenues, affecting their non-oil sectors’ competitiveness.
4. Political and Geopolitical Implications
Petrodollars are not just an economic concept—they carry enormous geopolitical weight. The control and flow of petrodollars often determine international alliances, diplomatic relations, and power structures.
a) U.S.–Middle East Relations:
The petrodollar system strengthened ties between the United States and major oil producers like Saudi Arabia. In exchange for pricing oil in dollars, the U.S. provided military protection and political support to these regimes. This interdependence shaped decades of Middle Eastern geopolitics, influencing regional conflicts and global energy policy.
b) Geopolitical Leverage:
Countries that control oil exports wield considerable influence over global markets. For example, OPEC’s decisions to increase or cut production affect not only oil prices but also inflation, currency values, and economic stability across the globe. The accumulation of petrodollar reserves gives these nations leverage in international diplomacy.
c) Challenge to Dollar Hegemony:
In recent years, some countries, including China, Russia, and Iran, have sought to reduce reliance on the dollar in oil trade, promoting alternatives such as the petroyuan. If major energy exporters begin accepting other currencies, it could gradually weaken the dollar’s dominance and alter global financial power dynamics.
5. Petrodollars and Global Financial Markets
Petrodollar flows significantly influence global capital markets. When oil prices are high, exporters earn more dollars and invest heavily abroad. This results in large capital inflows into Western financial markets, especially the U.S., Europe, and Japan. These funds help maintain low interest rates and high liquidity in developed economies.
For instance, during oil booms, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) from countries like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Norway invest billions of dollars in equities, bonds, and infrastructure projects worldwide. These investments provide stability to global markets but also tie the financial fortunes of oil-rich nations to the performance of global assets.
However, during oil price declines, the opposite occurs—oil exporters withdraw funds to support domestic spending, which can tighten global liquidity and trigger financial volatility.
6. Petrodollars and the Developing World
The flow of petrodollars also impacts developing economies in complex ways. On one hand, petrodollar-funded loans and investments have financed infrastructure and industrialization in many developing countries. On the other hand, easy access to petrodollar-driven credit during the 1970s led to unsustainable borrowing, resulting in debt crises across Latin America and Africa.
Today, oil-importing developing nations face fiscal stress when oil prices rise, as more of their foreign exchange reserves are spent on energy imports. This can widen trade deficits and increase inflation. Conversely, oil-exporting developing nations experience economic booms during high oil price periods, though many struggle with the “resource curse”—an overreliance on oil revenues that undermines diversification and governance.
7. The Environmental and Energy Transition Dimension
In the 21st century, the world’s transition toward renewable energy presents new challenges for the petrodollar system. As global efforts to reduce carbon emissions intensify, the demand for oil may gradually decline, reducing the flow of petrodollars. This could weaken the economic power of traditional oil exporters and reshape global financial alignments.
Countries dependent on petrodollar revenues face growing pressure to diversify their economies. Initiatives like Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 aim to transform oil-dependent economies into diversified, investment-driven ones. Meanwhile, the shift to green energy could also influence currency dynamics if renewable energy trade begins to operate in non-dollar terms.
8. Conclusion
The petrodollar system has been one of the most influential forces in shaping modern global economics and geopolitics. It strengthened the U.S. dollar’s dominance, facilitated global financial integration, and underpinned strategic alliances, especially between the U.S. and Middle Eastern oil producers. At the same time, it created structural imbalances—linking global liquidity and financial stability to volatile oil prices.
As the world moves toward renewable energy and multipolar finance, the traditional petrodollar system faces challenges from alternative energy sources, new trading currencies, and geopolitical shifts. Nonetheless, as long as oil remains a central component of global energy consumption, petrodollars will continue to shape the global economic order, influencing everything from exchange rates and inflation to political alliances and investment flows.
In essence, petrodollars represent far more than currency—they are the lifeblood of the global energy economy and a cornerstone of modern financial power.
Bitcoin Short Setup From Premium Zone
The market is showing a clear 1H break of structure, with price approaching a strong resistance area. After a bullish impulse, BTC is expected to pull back from resistance for a short-term correction.
Key Levels:
Sell Entry: Around 106,000
Stop Loss: 106,700
Take Profit: 104,100
Reasoning:
Technically:
Price has completed a clear bullish leg and tapped into the 1H resistance area. The structure suggests exhaustion with the potential for rejection. A lower high formation suggests bearish correction toward the 1H support zone.
Fundamentally:
Market sentiment remains cautious as BTC faces resistance amid uncertainty in broader crypto risk appetite and mild dollar strength. Short-term selling pressure may dominate before any new bullish continuation.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always manage risk before trading.
BITCOIN Potential Bear Market Structure: Nov 10th 2025After breaking down below the W21ema, Btc has found a temporary support at the projected area of $100-97k (see W#42 Update)
Now the immediate resistance from this bounce is $108-111k (if it gets there), which was the previous support coupled with the W21ema sitting right at ~$110k as well.
The next major support is at the W100ema/M21ema at $84-88k.
W21ema, would continue to be a targeted resistance if/once the W100ema is hit.
Note:
For the bearish downtrend to be invalidated, price must regain the W21ema and the Wmacd must get back positive.
Example of how I personally chart on BTC, SOL, & SUIVery Brief overview of how I chart in tradingview.
All scripts displayed in this video are publicly available in tradingview.
1. What I use to set up points of interest on the chart (MAP)
2. How I try to identify price direction (Compass)
3. What I use as a trigger to enter trades (Trigger)
(MAP)
I use psychological support and resistances using the monthly, weekly, and daily time frames.
I then pull FIB levels using the 0.65, 0.618, and the 0.786 levels
Lastly I use the fixed range volume profile tool to identify value area highs, value area lows, and the Point of Control from the 1 month, 6 month, and yearly time frame.
(Compass)
I use basic price action to determine possible price direction.
Uptrends, downtrends, and ranges.
(Triggers)
Public scripts that include RSI or the Lazy Bear Indicator to identify price divergence.
Like all strategies, this is not perfect. It just helps me make decisions and come up with my bias towards the market. It helps me with planning and execution. Maybe something in this video may give you ideas or help others identify tools that they have not studied yet.






















