Heads Up !! BTC Long Entry Incoming, Don't Miss ItThis is yet another Volume profile VAL long entry that is in line with the LVN of the current rotation we've been in since Sept 11.
Other strong confluences for this entry i did not show on this chart to keep it clean, but visible on my personal chart are
1. Entry is at Monthly VWAP
2. Entry is also at 1 SD from Weekly VWAP
Definitions
VAL - Value Area Low
LVN - Low Volume Node or Area
SD - Standard Deviation
BTCETH.P trade ideas
BTCUSD BULLISH OUTLOOKWe are in a Bullish Trend looking to enter on the retracement to the 50-61 Fib mark
-Same area where BOS and turned support with Re-test already so This will be the second re-test to the level. (If it holds we are Bullish to the top)
-If not Marked Second POI area if makers grab liquidty from sellers Given H.T.F structure.
NONE THE LESS, we are jumping on a H.T.F retracement (on a L.T.F) and will set it up for the Massive Short in the near Days
BTC/USD Buy Setup (2H Timeframe)Entry: 115,354.53
Stop Loss: 114,328.00
Take Profit: 119,184.68
Risk-to-Reward (RR): ~3R
🔍 Analysis:
Price bounced from a strong demand zone (highlighted with purple + arrow mark).
Break and retest of descending trendline.
Bullish engulfing pattern near support.
50&21 EMA confluence acting as dynamic support.
Targeting key resistance area near 119k.
📊 Trade Plan:
Already triggered and in slight drawdown.
Watching price action around 116.5k resistance for continuation.
If price reclaims 116.7k, expecting acceleration to 118.5–119.2k zone.
BTCUSD Eyes 116,833 While Dollar Flexes Pre-NewsGood morning traders—
Bitcoin is pressing toward 116,833.25 while the U.S. Dollar Index grinds into a fresh bullish range ahead of key U.S. data.
Notably, there’s a major volume node near 11,861. We could see price hover or even dip into that pocket on the headline drop before any attempt at the higher target. Classic market-maker mind games: build liquidity, shake stops, then decide the real direction.
Macro backdrop
U.S. CPI tomorrow keeps rate-cut odds alive.
Treasury yields firm, adding fuel to the dollar bid.
Equity futures soft, hinting at defensive flows.
Plan
Keep stops tight and trailing, only ride trades backed by strong volume.
Patience until post-news—let the data show the hand before sizing up.
Stay nimble and let the market makers reveal their move. Happy trading.
Algorithmic & Quantitative Trading in Global Markets1. What is Algorithmic & Quantitative Trading?
1.1 Algorithmic Trading
Algorithmic trading refers to the use of computer programs and rules-based instructions (algorithms) to place, modify, and execute trades automatically. Instead of manually entering buy and sell orders, traders create algorithms that specify conditions such as:
When to enter a trade (e.g., if stock price drops below a moving average).
How much to trade (e.g., 500 shares or $1 million worth).
When to exit (e.g., after a 2% gain or a stop-loss).
Algorithms can execute orders far faster than human traders, often within milliseconds.
1.2 Quantitative Trading
Quantitative trading focuses on the use of mathematical and statistical models to identify trading opportunities. It involves analyzing historical and real-time data to detect patterns, correlations, or inefficiencies that can be exploited.
Quantitative traders (often called “quants”) rely on:
Probability theory
Econometrics
Machine learning
Predictive analytics
While algorithmic trading is about automation of trade execution, quantitative trading is about strategy development using data and mathematics. In practice, the two overlap—most quant strategies are implemented via algorithms.
2. Evolution of Algorithmic & Quant Trading
2.1 Early Stages (1970s–1990s)
1970s: The rise of electronic exchanges (e.g., NASDAQ, 1971) allowed the first basic order automation.
1980s: Institutional investors began using algorithms for "program trading" to manage large orders. However, the infamous 1987 Black Monday crash highlighted risks of automated selling.
1990s: High-speed electronic trading platforms and electronic communication networks (ECNs) began replacing floor trading.
2.2 Rise of High-Frequency Trading (2000s)
By the early 2000s, improvements in computing power, internet speed, and market connectivity enabled high-frequency trading (HFT).
Firms began exploiting microsecond-level arbitrage opportunities.
Quant hedge funds like Renaissance Technologies and DE Shaw became dominant players.
2.3 The 2010 Flash Crash & Aftermath
On May 6, 2010, U.S. markets plunged nearly 10% within minutes, largely blamed on algorithms reinforcing selling pressure.
Regulators worldwide tightened rules on automated trading.
2.4 Present Era (2010s–2020s)
Algo & quant trading now account for 60–75% of equity market volumes in the U.S. and Europe, and growing rapidly in Asia.
Advances in artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and cloud computing fuel new strategies.
Cryptocurrencies and decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms have become new testing grounds for quants.
3. Types of Algorithmic & Quant Strategies
3.1 Market-Making
Algorithms continuously quote buy (bid) and sell (ask) prices to provide liquidity.
Profits are earned from the spread (difference between bid and ask).
High-frequency firms dominate this space.
3.2 Arbitrage Strategies
Exploiting price discrepancies between related assets.
Examples:
Statistical arbitrage: Exploiting mean reversion in correlated stocks.
Index arbitrage: Trading futures vs. underlying index components.
Cross-border arbitrage: Exploiting differences across exchanges.
3.3 Trend-Following
Algorithms identify upward or downward momentum and trade in the direction of the trend.
Examples: moving average crossovers, breakout strategies.
3.4 Mean Reversion
Based on the idea that prices revert to historical averages.
Example: Pair trading—buying undervalued stock and shorting overvalued stock in the same sector.
3.5 Event-Driven
Algorithms trade around earnings announcements, mergers, central bank decisions, or geopolitical news.
Speed and prediction accuracy matter most.
3.6 Machine Learning & AI-Driven
Using deep learning models, natural language processing (NLP), and reinforcement learning.
Example: An AI model analyzing social media sentiment to forecast short-term price moves.
4. Technology Infrastructure Behind Algo & Quant Trading
4.1 Core Components
Low-latency networks: Microsecond data transfer between exchanges and trading servers.
Colocation services: Firms place servers near exchange data centers to reduce transmission delays.
Data feeds: Access to real-time market prices, order book depth, and alternative datasets.
Execution management systems (EMS): Platforms that route orders to exchanges efficiently.
4.2 Role of Big Data
Quants use alternative datasets: satellite images (tracking store traffic), shipping data, credit card transactions, weather patterns, and even social media sentiment.
Processing such vast datasets requires advanced cloud computing and parallel processing.
4.3 Artificial Intelligence
NLP: Extracting sentiment from news headlines.
Reinforcement learning: Teaching an AI to optimize trading decisions via trial and error.
Predictive analytics: Forecasting market volatility or price direction.
5. Benefits of Algorithmic & Quant Trading
Liquidity Provision – Continuous bid-ask spreads keep markets active.
Lower Transaction Costs – Efficient order execution reduces slippage.
Market Efficiency – Arbitrage strategies correct price discrepancies.
Speed & Accuracy – Algorithms eliminate emotional biases.
Accessibility of Data – Democratization of tools allows retail traders to use algo strategies.
6. Risks & Challenges
Systemic Risk – Algorithmic trading can trigger rapid selloffs (e.g., Flash Crash).
Model Risk – A flawed mathematical model can cause large losses.
Overfitting – Quants may design strategies that perform well historically but fail in real markets.
Regulatory Scrutiny – Global regulators worry about market manipulation (e.g., spoofing).
Technology Failures – Latency, software bugs, or cyberattacks can disrupt execution.
Market Fairness – Critics argue HFT gives unfair advantages to large firms over retail investors.
Conclusion
Algorithmic and quantitative trading have fundamentally redefined how global markets function. From providing liquidity and improving efficiency to introducing systemic risks, these technologies reflect both the opportunities and dangers of financial innovation.
While regulators strive to maintain balance between innovation and stability, the global trajectory is clear: the future of trading is algorithmic, quantitative, and increasingly powered by artificial intelligence.
As technology continues to evolve—from quantum computing to decentralized finance—the line between human decision-making and machine-driven markets will blur further. Traders, regulators, and investors alike must adapt to this reality to navigate the ever-shifting landscape of global finance.
Role of Rating Agencies in World Finance1. Origins and Evolution of Rating Agencies
The story of rating agencies dates back to the early 20th century in the United States.
1909 – Birth of Ratings: John Moody published the first bond ratings in the "Moody’s Manual," rating railroad bonds.
1920s – Expansion: Poor’s Publishing (later S&P) and Fitch followed, rating municipal and corporate bonds.
Post-WWII Era: The global expansion of capital markets created a need for standardized credit evaluations.
1970s – Modernization: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) recognized some agencies as Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations (NRSROs), giving them official status.
1990s – Global Dominance: With globalization, agencies expanded internationally, influencing sovereign ratings across emerging markets.
2008 – Financial Crisis Fallout: Agencies faced heavy criticism for giving top ratings to mortgage-backed securities that later collapsed.
Today: They remain powerful gatekeepers of global capital flows, with ratings impacting everything from sovereign debt yields to corporate financing.
2. What Are Rating Agencies?
A rating agency is an independent institution that assesses the credit risk of issuers and financial instruments. The rating represents an opinion on the likelihood that the borrower will meet its obligations.
2.1 Types of Ratings
Sovereign Ratings: Creditworthiness of national governments.
Corporate Ratings: Ratings for private or public companies.
Municipal Ratings: For cities, states, and local government entities.
Structured Finance Ratings: Covering securities like mortgage-backed or asset-backed instruments.
2.2 The Rating Scale
Most agencies use letter-based scales:
Investment Grade: AAA, AA, A, BBB (considered safe).
Speculative or Junk Grade: BB, B, CCC, CC, C (higher risk).
Default: D (issuer has defaulted).
The finer distinctions (e.g., AA+, A−) help investors evaluate relative risks.
3. Functions of Rating Agencies in Global Finance
Rating agencies play several vital roles in the financial system:
3.1 Providing Independent Risk Assessment
They offer unbiased evaluations of issuers and instruments, reducing the information gap between borrowers and investors.
3.2 Facilitating Investment Decisions
Investors rely on ratings to determine where to allocate capital, especially in global bond markets.
3.3 Reducing Information Asymmetry
By publishing standardized ratings, agencies make complex financial data more digestible for investors.
3.4 Influencing Cost of Capital
Higher-rated borrowers enjoy lower interest rates, while lower-rated ones pay more for access to credit.
3.5 Supporting Regulatory Frameworks
Many regulators use ratings to set capital requirements for banks, insurance firms, and pension funds.
3.6 Enabling Market Discipline
Ratings act as a check on governments and corporations, rewarding fiscal responsibility and penalizing reckless financial management.
4. Role in Sovereign Finance
Sovereign credit ratings are among the most influential outputs of rating agencies.
A sovereign downgrade can lead to higher borrowing costs for a country.
Ratings affect foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and portfolio investments.
Global institutions like the IMF and World Bank sometimes incorporate ratings into their assessments.
Examples:
The Eurozone debt crisis (2010–2012) saw Greece, Portugal, and Spain downgraded, worsening their borrowing costs.
Emerging markets like India or Brazil often face investor sentiment swings tied to rating outlook changes.
5. Role in Corporate Finance
For corporations, ratings determine access to both domestic and international capital markets.
A high rating allows companies to issue bonds at favorable interest rates.
A downgrade can cause share prices to fall and raise refinancing costs.
Credit ratings influence mergers, acquisitions, and capital structuring decisions.
Example: Apple, with a strong credit rating, can borrow billions at minimal rates compared to a weaker company with junk-rated debt.
6. Impact on Global Capital Markets
6.1 Bond Markets
The bond market, worth trillions of dollars, depends heavily on ratings to evaluate risks.
6.2 Investor Mandates
Pension funds, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds often have rules restricting them to investment-grade securities. A downgrade to junk status forces them to sell, impacting markets.
6.3 Crisis Amplification
Downgrades can create a domino effect during crises, accelerating capital flight and worsening downturns.
Advantages of Rating Agencies
Enhance global capital flows.
Provide benchmarks for risk pricing.
Improve transparency in financial markets.
Assist governments and corporations in long-term planning.
Limitations of Rating Agencies
Ratings are opinions, not guarantees.
Possibility of bias or errors.
Can exaggerate crises through downgrades.
Heavy concentration of power in a few global players (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch).
Conclusion
Rating agencies are both pillars and paradoxes of global finance. They provide essential risk assessments that guide trillions of dollars in investments, support transparency, and help regulate international capital markets. Yet, their unchecked influence, conflicts of interest, and role in past crises reveal the dangers of overreliance on their opinions.
The future of rating agencies lies in striking a balance—maintaining their indispensable role while ensuring transparency, accountability, and diversification in the credit evaluation landscape. In a world where finance is increasingly global, digital, and interconnected, rating agencies will continue to shape the destiny of nations, corporations, and investors alike.
Eurodollar & Offshore Banking MarketsPart I: The Eurodollar Market
1. What is a Eurodollar?
At its simplest, a Eurodollar is a U.S. dollar-denominated deposit held outside the United States. For example, if a bank in London, Paris, or Hong Kong holds deposits in U.S. dollars, those deposits are Eurodollars.
Key points:
They are not issued by the U.S. Federal Reserve but still represent claims in U.S. dollars.
Despite the name, Eurodollars are not confined to Europe; they can exist in Asia, the Middle East, or the Caribbean.
They emerged as a way for banks and corporations to avoid U.S. regulations on interest rates and reserve requirements.
2. Historical Background
The Eurodollar market traces its origins to the 1950s and Cold War tensions. Several factors contributed:
Soviet Union and U.S. dollars: The USSR, fearing that its U.S. dollar deposits in American banks might be frozen during geopolitical conflicts, moved its dollar holdings to European banks.
U.S. banking regulations: At the time, U.S. banks faced regulations such as Regulation Q, which capped the interest they could pay on deposits. Foreign banks were not subject to these rules, making them more attractive to depositors.
Rise of multinational trade: Post-WWII reconstruction and expanding global trade increased the demand for dollars as the world’s reserve currency.
By the 1960s, London had emerged as the global hub for Eurodollar transactions, giving rise to a powerful offshore dollar market.
3. Growth and Development
From its modest beginnings, the Eurodollar market exploded in size. By the 1980s, it had grown into trillions of dollars, outpacing many domestic financial markets. The reasons for its rapid growth include:
Regulatory arbitrage: Banks outside the U.S. could offer higher interest rates and greater flexibility.
Global trade dominance of the dollar: Oil, commodities, and manufactured goods were priced in U.S. dollars, fueling the need for offshore dollar financing.
Institutional investors: Pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and corporations used Eurodollars for liquidity and hedging.
Today, the Eurodollar market remains one of the largest financial markets in the world, although it has become less visible due to the rise of new funding channels and regulatory reforms.
4. How the Eurodollar Market Works
Deposits: A corporation, government, or investor deposits U.S. dollars in a non-U.S. bank.
Loans: That bank can then lend those dollars to other entities—governments, corporations, or other banks.
Interbank lending: The Eurodollar market is largely an interbank market, where banks borrow and lend dollars to manage liquidity.
Benchmark rates: For decades, Eurodollar interest rates were benchmarked by LIBOR (London Interbank Offered Rate), which became a global standard until its phase-out in 2023.
5. Importance of the Eurodollar Market
Liquidity source: Provides massive pools of dollar liquidity for international trade and investment.
Financing channel: Enables borrowers outside the U.S. to access dollar funding without dealing directly with U.S. banks.
Influences monetary policy: The Eurodollar market often dilutes the Federal Reserve’s control over dollar liquidity since so much activity occurs offshore.
Global benchmark: Eurodollar rates long influenced bond yields, derivatives, and loan agreements worldwide.
Part II: Offshore Banking Markets
1. What is Offshore Banking?
Offshore banking refers to holding financial accounts or conducting financial transactions in a country other than one’s own—usually in a jurisdiction with favorable tax, secrecy, or regulatory frameworks.
Key features:
Offshore banks are typically located in financial centers like the Cayman Islands, Switzerland, Singapore, Luxembourg, and Panama.
They cater to multinational corporations, wealthy individuals, hedge funds, and even governments.
Offshore banking often overlaps with the Eurodollar market, since many offshore banks hold large U.S. dollar deposits.
2. Why Do Offshore Banking Markets Exist?
The rise of offshore banking is tied to several motivations:
Tax optimization: Offshore centers often have low or zero taxes.
Confidentiality: Many jurisdictions protect account-holder secrecy.
Regulatory flexibility: Offshore markets usually impose fewer restrictions on lending, derivatives, or leverage.
Globalization of finance: Companies and investors prefer jurisdictions with ease of cross-border transfers.
3. Evolution of Offshore Banking
Early roots: Switzerland pioneered offshore banking in the early 20th century with its famous banking secrecy laws.
1960s boom: As global capital flows increased, small island nations like the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, and the Bahamas developed into tax havens.
Modern era: Offshore financial centers now play host to hedge funds, insurance companies, and multinational corporate treasury operations.
4. Offshore Banking Activities
Offshore banks and markets offer a wide range of financial services:
Accepting deposits in multiple currencies (especially U.S. dollars).
Syndicated lending to corporations and governments.
Hosting investment funds (hedge funds, private equity).
Structured finance and derivatives trading.
Tax-efficient corporate structures and trusts.
5. Key Offshore Financial Centers
Cayman Islands: World’s largest hub for hedge funds.
Luxembourg: Center for mutual funds and investment vehicles.
Singapore & Hong Kong: Major Asian offshore centers.
Switzerland: Traditional private banking and wealth management.
Panama & Bermuda: Shipping registries, insurance, and banking.
Part III: Eurodollar and Offshore Banking Interconnection
The Eurodollar market and offshore banking are deeply intertwined:
Dollar dominance: Most offshore banking activity is denominated in U.S. dollars, linking it directly to the Eurodollar system.
Regulatory escape: Both markets developed as ways to escape stricter U.S. or domestic regulations.
Liquidity networks: Offshore banks often use Eurodollar deposits to fund lending and investment activities.
Shadow banking overlap: Many offshore banking activities resemble “shadow banking,” operating outside traditional regulatory oversight.
For example:
A hedge fund in the Cayman Islands may borrow Eurodollars from a London-based bank to finance a leveraged trade.
A corporation might use offshore subsidiaries to issue Eurodollar bonds and avoid domestic capital controls.
Part IV: Benefits and Risks
Benefits
Global liquidity: Eurodollars and offshore markets provide deep pools of capital.
Efficient financing: Corporations and governments can raise money at competitive rates.
Flexibility: Offshore markets are often more innovative and less constrained.
Reserve diversification: Countries can park dollar reserves outside the U.S. financial system.
Risks
Regulatory blind spots: Lack of oversight can lead to instability.
Systemic risk: Eurodollar funding shortages have triggered crises (e.g., 2008 global financial crisis).
Tax evasion & illicit finance: Offshore banking is often linked to money laundering and tax havens.
Monetary policy leakage: The Federal Reserve cannot fully control dollar liquidity abroad.
Part V: Case Studies
1. The 2008 Financial Crisis
During the crisis, global banks faced a shortage of dollar liquidity. Many European banks, heavily reliant on Eurodollar funding, found themselves unable to roll over short-term borrowing. The Federal Reserve had to establish swap lines with foreign central banks to provide emergency dollars—showing how central offshore dollar markets are to global stability.
2. LIBOR Scandal
For decades, Eurodollar deposits set the LIBOR benchmark rate. In the 2010s, scandals revealed manipulation by major banks, undermining trust and leading to LIBOR’s replacement with alternative benchmarks (e.g., SOFR in the U.S.).
3. Panama Papers & Offshore Secrecy
The 2016 Panama Papers leak exposed how corporations, politicians, and wealthy individuals used offshore structures to hide wealth, evade taxes, or launder money. It highlighted the dark side of offshore banking markets.
Part VI: The Future of Eurodollars and Offshore Banking
Shift to digital currencies: Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) could reshape offshore markets by offering direct alternatives to Eurodollars.
Greater regulation: International pressure is increasing on tax havens and offshore secrecy jurisdictions.
Continued dollar dominance: Despite talk of “de-dollarization,” the Eurodollar system remains deeply entrenched in global finance.
Asia’s rise: Offshore centers in Singapore and Hong Kong are expected to play an even larger role in the future.
Conclusion
The Eurodollar and offshore banking markets are the invisible arteries of global finance. They emerged from the need to bypass restrictions and optimize global capital flows, but over time, they became fundamental pillars of the world economy.
On one hand, they provide liquidity, efficiency, and flexibility for international trade and investment. On the other, they pose serious challenges: regulatory blind spots, risks to financial stability, and opportunities for illicit financial activities.
As the global economy evolves—with digital finance, geopolitical shifts, and regulatory changes—the role of Eurodollars and offshore banking will also transform. Yet, their core purpose—channeling capital across borders—will ensure they remain central to the world’s financial system.
BTCUSD-BUY PROJECTIONBTC looks quite bullish on the daily timeframe after we saw a successful break above the $112k zone. Technically, we can see a clear trend reversal from daily bearish trend to bullish trend after the market formed an inverse head and shoulder pattern around the $108k level. I anticipate more bullish price action to develop once we get a break and close above 116782.74 I believe more buyers are likely to step in.
BTCSome more TA that should last longer than two days. maybe to the end of the week.
lets watch.
Remember when price is above the (FS) FrontSide levels, they have an expectation to hold as support until an accumulation trend can be created. This means we are looking for engulfing accumulation candle (Inv.BS level) to create the accumulation range and trend. If those candles are struggling to form, the liquidity isn't in the range or not on the timeframe shown.
when price is above a BackSide level, it has an expectation to strongly impact price. If not, then liquidity is likely at the FrontSide Level.
Same goes for the Inverse BS and Inverse FS levels but they act as resistance when price is below them.
Bitcoin - Will Support Hold?📢 NFX Market Update – COINBASE:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD bullish rally recently hit resistance at $116,500, and price is now testing the $114,800 support zone. This level is acting as a strong psychological support, following the earlier break through the block order.
The key question: Will this support hold, or will price dip further toward the ascending channel support and the 200-day SMA?
My outlook: I believe support will hold. Price may briefly test lower levels - likely just a few wicks - before resuming higher.
🎥 More details in the video.
BTC BIG SHORT Why Bitcoin Might Fall: Potential Risks and Market DynamicsBitcoin (BTC), the flagship of the cryptocurrency market, has long captured the attention of both investors and speculators. However, Bitcoin’s price does not always follow an upward trend and can experience significant declines. So, what are the reasons behind a potential drop in Bitcoin’s price? In this article, we will explore the key factors that could trigger a downturn in Bitcoin’s value.1. Macroeconomic Factors and Global Economic UncertaintyBitcoin, often referred to as "digital gold," is heavily influenced by global economic conditions. For instance:Interest Rates and Monetary Policies: When central banks, particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), raise interest rates, demand for risky assets tends to decrease. Higher interest rates may push investors toward cash or fixed-income assets, reducing the appeal of volatile assets like Bitcoin.
Inflation and Recession Concerns: During periods of high inflation or economic downturns, investors may need liquidity and sell off Bitcoin to convert their portfolios to cash, creating downward pressure on its price.
Strengthening U.S. Dollar: Bitcoin often exhibits an inverse correlation with the U.S. dollar. When the U.S. dollar index (DXY) rises, Bitcoin’s value may face pressure.
2. Regulatory PressuresCryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, are under the scrutiny of global regulators. Bitcoin’s price is directly affected by regulatory developments:Restrictive Laws: Some countries may impose restrictive regulations on cryptocurrency usage. For example, China’s 2021 bans on crypto trading and mining led to significant drops in Bitcoin’s price.
Tax and Reporting Requirements: Increasing tax regulations or transparency requirements for crypto transactions could cause individual and institutional investors to exit the market.
Stablecoin and Exchange Regulations: Regulations targeting stablecoins or major crypto exchanges could lead to liquidity issues and panic selling in the market.
3. Technical Factors and Market ManipulationBitcoin’s market is heavily influenced by technical analysis and trader behavior:Large-Scale Sales (Whale Movements): Large Bitcoin holders, known as "whales," can trigger price drops by selling significant amounts, often sparking chain-reaction sales.
Liquidity Crises: Low liquidity in crypto exchanges can amplify the impact of large sell orders, causing sharp price declines.
HOURLY PROJECTION FOR BITCOIN.Price is currently between the range of 116,000 and 114,000, as sellers just broke a previous swing low around 114,000, which signals a downward shift towards 113,500 as a projection, but we anticipate a retracement back up around 115,500 before resuming movement downwards.
Bitcoin's life and death lineAfter hitting the previous high, Bitcoin quickly retreated and has recently repeatedly tested the pressure level near 116,000. Only by breaking through this position can it continue to move upward to 118,000-120,000. On the contrary, if the support level of 113,200 is lost, it may pull back to the 110,000 line. Overall, the structure of the rising channel is still intact, and short-term fluctuations are more likely. The effectiveness of the breakthrough of 116,804 will determine the medium-term direction.
Bitcoin: Bullish Bias Strengthens FenzoFx—Bitcoin remains bullish, targeting recent highs at $117,416.00. Currently, BTC is consolidating near $115,000.00, aligning with a bullish fair value gap and support at $114,464.00. Today’s liquidity sweep below the FVG’s mean threshold reinforces the bullish bias.
Immediate resistance stands at $115,652.00. A break above this level may resume the uptrend toward $117,416.00. However, if price drops below $114,464.00, the bullish outlook should be reconsidered.
BTCUSD Market AnalysisObserving price movements, BTCUSD experienced a brief pullback lately after a wave of upward momentum, but the broader bullish structure stays intact. During this pullback, the underlying support proved effective, and the price subsequently rebounded. When it comes to upper resistance, the focus remains on the 117,000 to 118,000 interval.
Buy 114500-115000
TP 115500-116500-117500
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance