BTCUSD📊 BTC/USDT Analysis
✅ Update: TP2 successfully hit as per plan. (As in Previously shared plan)
⚠️ Catch: BTC made a new 1H HH around 113,434, but failed to break the 4H resistance at 113,506±.
🔎 Key Observations:
4H structure remains bearish (Lower Highs intact).
1H still holding bullish structure with HLs along the trendline.
Price is currently retesting our buying trendline zone, showing respect to HLs.
🎯 Scenarios:
Long 📌 Plan:1
Aggressive traders:
1️⃣ Bullish Case (Buying Zone Active)-CMP
BTC is at the trendline support zone → early longs possible
Long 📌 Plan:2
Conservative traders: Enter long only if BTC breaks & holds above 113,500±.
Wait for a bullish 4H confirmation candle at the buying zone before entering long.
📌 Short Plan:
Bearish Case (4H Continuation)
If BTC breaks the trendline & last HL of 1H TF , then Short for 4H bearish pattern continuation.
This would invalidate the current buying zone and 1H Bullish Pattern.
📌
Trade with proper risk management.
BTCETH.P trade ideas
BTCUSD – Bearish Setup.Price tapped into the supply zone (112,600 – 112,800) after a corrective channel move.
Now rejecting with exhaustion wicks.
🔻 Bias: Short
Rising channel → likely to break downside.
Supply zone rejection confirms weakness.
Targeting 110,150 zone (major liquidity level).
📉 Plan
Sell from current supply rejection.
SL above 113,000.
TP at 110,150.
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts inside channel before strong drop.
Is the Short-Term Decline in BITCOIN Over?Per the daily price action, the move off recent all-time highs appears corrective. The RSI is showing a bullish price divergence against the 107,720 print low, which may mark an (A) wave base at an intermediate degree.
If that low holds, a counter-trend bounce could rally the market back toward the .618 retracement near the 117,929 level to potentially mark the crest of the answering (B) wave.
The prospective target for wave (C) of primary 4 rests just beneath the 50% retracement of the entire advance from the 74,434 intermediate (4) wave base at the noted bearish Head and Shoulder price target of 99,398.
The most bearish prospect posits that the four-year cycle top is already in place at the 124,517 peak.
Downside Price Target:
As long as price action remains below the head and shoulder neckline, its downside price target will remain firm. The only way the 99,398 target gets taken off the table is if the market makes a fresh all-time high.
Should an imminent rally sustain daily closes above the .618 retracement level at 117,929, the likelihood of fresh new highs increases substantially.
NOTE: In contrast to longer timeframes, Elliott Wave counts at smaller degrees of trend are ambiguous at best, and regularly subject to change along with the price action.
Bitcoin: Sell Signal Points To 106K AREA.Bitcoin has rejected the 113K as a resistance with a clear bearish pin bar close. The low of that pin bar has been broken which qualifies as a sell signal on the daily time frame. 113K was previously a key support, and now a resistance which further adds to the broader corrective argument that I have been writing about for weeks. So what does this mean?
The next support is the 105K area and that is where I am anticipating a test either this week or next. Besides CPI, this month also features the next FOMC meeting which can act as a major catalyst bullish OR bearish. These economic events are big enough to affect Bitcoin in a major way which makes it within reason to test the 105K area. IF 105K breaks, the next support after that is the 102 to 100K area.
These support references serve as important potential pivot points for day trades and swing trades. You have to evaluation the price action for reversals along with utilizing a realistic reward/risk framework. For example, since Bitcoin has proven to no longer be in an impulse wave (trend) it is more likely in a consolidation. In practice this means LOWER expectations are warranted. Instead of placing take profit objectives on highs or new highs, it is within reason to choose a higher probability objective like 1:1 or whatever the next resistance is at the time of the reversal. Like 113K can be used as a resistance for a profit objective now (UNTIL OR UNLESS IT BREAKS).
Using wave counts helps immensely when it comes to forming expectations that are in line with market intent. Since the 108K overlap I am anticipating more of a range bound type of environment which means both RANGE support and resistance levels are significant. This is in contrast to expecting the market to continue to trend which is a common mistake among the less experienced. This thought framework is relevant to swing trades and day trades as the market character changes more frequently over shorter time frames. Even as an investor, the wave counts can help you to recognize much higher quality buying opportunities rather than buying at any price.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC Ready to Dump?Liquidity Grab Done – Next Stop: Demand Zone! Bitcoin just tapped into a key premium zone, grabbed liquidity above recent highs, and is now showing signs of distribution.
✅ Equal highs? Swept.
📦 Imbalance below? Still open.
📉 Structure shifting bearish? Confirmed.
We're seeing clear signs of a sell-off brewing, with price likely targeting the 109.3k → 108.2k demand zone next.
This isn’t just a dip — it's a potential smart money move to fill that imbalance and hunt liquidity sitting below.
🛑 Don’t get trapped in the chop — watch for continuation below 109.7k to confirm the slide.
Trying to post daily.
112k Bitcoin bullyBitcoin Price Stuck in Neutral – Levels to Watch Closely
Bitcoin price levels reactive right now. The Elliott Wave count isn’t giving me much confidence, and until we see a decisive move through key levels, I’m treating this as no-trade territory.
The level that stands out is 112k. This has been a major flip point for BTC, and it’s the bulls’ number to beat. A break with an impulsive push followed by a correction that holds above (or even right at it) would start to build a much more convincing bullish case. That would open the door for a potential long setup.
On the flip side, the current structure isn’t inspiring confidence. Price is showing lower lows and lower highs, a textbook downtrend, and every push is getting rejected off resistance. Until Bitcoin can reclaim levels it’s been losing, the bias leans bearish.
For now, it’s a waiting game. The market needs to pick a side, and until it does, sitting on the sidelines is the safest option.
Outlook:
112k break and correction = bullish setup
109k break and correction = bearish setup
Lower lows and lower highs = trend still bearish until proven otherwise
BTC may get to $98,900 zone Apart from the fact that it is obvious to me that the daily Order Flow on BTC is bearish, I have highlighted 4 different good reasons why I personally will not be buying BTC for now.
A lot of BTC fanatics believe that BTC and cryptos in general are driven by Fundamentals, which is absolutely correct but my major challenge is that a lot of them are driven so much by emotions not Price Action.
I have been in this market for well over one and half decades and I can tell you that my technical knowledge, which has its strong Foundation on Market Structure & Price Action has seen me make so much money trading technicals.
Yes, when strong fundamentals such as US election results and other factors, including hypes and other unexpected events, come, they can change the direction and price can go crazy or either way.
This is where your risk management will then play a major role by saving you from unexpected losses or help you minimise your losses. However, do not ignore the importance of market structure and Price Action irrespective of the pairs or assets you trade.
Did Bitcoin top in August 2025, sir? In short, no. At least, I don't think it has.
Expanding on that let's look at why:
- From a technical point of view:
The "Bitcoin tops" chart I'm sharing here shows how, in all the previous normal cycle tops, bitcoin has topped when the monthly RSI has reached a value of about 90. I'm including the word "normal" in front of cycle tops because I'm not considering the November 2021 as a normal cycle top. November 2021 was, in hindsight, a time when different forces had great influence on the price of Bitcoin a surely muted what the potential cycle top would have been (think of operation choke point 2.0, whatever went on with FTX, Terra Luna, etc). Monthly RSI is currently sitting at 68, not even in technically overbought territory. Similarly, the Stochastic RSI is also below technically overbought territory (80 in that case) and far from the overbought levels seen in previous cycle tops.
Similarly, the Relative Volatility Index and the Vortex Indicator are also far from the peaks seen in previous cycle tops.
The famous (or infamous) bitcoin power law, like it or hate it, continues to fit pretty well the monthly logarithmic chart. Yes yes I know, when you have a range going from ~44k to ~460k it's "easy" to be somewhere in the middle. We happen to be not "somewhere" in the middle but pretty much right in the middle (the middle of the power law being currently at 124k, which happens to also be the ATH at the time of writing). The power law corridor shows us there's significant upside left in price if we were to go higher from here.
From a macro economic pov (not included in the chart):
China is in an economic easing cycle. US is about to enter one with at least 2 rate cuts forecasted for the rest of 2025. The 2 biggest economies in the world are either easing or about to start easing monetary conditions.
Global M2 Money supply has been steadily growing since bottoming out in Autumn of 2022. Whilst this is not necessarily the best predictor of price, Bitcoin, like all other risk assets, thrives more in an environment where money supply is increasing.
From a market sentiment pov
The market sentiment towards Bitcoin is currently neutral and flirting with "Fear". Markets do not peak with neutral or fear sentiments among market participants. Markets peak with Greed or Extreme Greed and we are at the moment quite far from that.
Closing thoughts.
Bitcoin price is unlikely to have peaked in August 2025. That doesn't mean we can't go lower from here in the coming days and weeks. Based on current conditions it's quite likely we'll see further market correction. We could see more pain for the bulls with prices potentially visiting the $90k to $100k levels, where many different indicators are converging. But when all of that turbulence is over, we shall continue climbing.
BTC? continuation
Hi,
Letme indulge with bearish stories of BTC, and you can add on if you have any. But don't tell me a bullish notes... hahaha
i) Found a pin on my MT5 (2h) IF combination with a bearish bar (wow)
ii) Triangle broke down
III) Long firm- Bearish candle yesterday about 2000$ ++
iV) Channel break down
v) Inside bar breakdown( H4)
etc2
But what important for me of all the combo, is the price.
110,000.00000
break the above..again. I think you shall put downpayment for your helicopter. :)
Jokes and more jokes.
Don't be hardup. All the best.
Analyze at your own will, shoot at own will, loose your own and profit for the family.
All the best
Not a guru
This is important note
Bitcoin Maxis - Brace for Impact !!!🚨 Bitcoin Maxis, brace for Impact 🚨
There is clear, recent evidence that Tether is actively diversifying its reserves and investments by both selling some of its Bitcoin holdings and significantly increasing its exposure to gold, including direct investments in gold mining:
1. Selling Bitcoin and Buying Gold
Tether has reported substantial profits from both Bitcoin and gold price appreciation. In 2024, the company booked. How does Tether generate its profits beyond Bitcoin and gold investments?" with \5 billion coming from unrealized appreciation of its gold and Bitcoin holdings. However, recent reports indicate Tether has been increasing its gold reserves while adjusting its Bitcoin treasury. For example, Tether disclosed holding $8.7 billion in gold bars in its Q2 2025 attestation report, and its gold-backed stablecoin (XAU₮) is backed by over 7.7 tons of physical gold as of April 2025.
2. Entering Gold Mining
Tether is in active discussions to invest in gold mining, aiming to channel its crypto profits into the metals market. CEO Paolo Ardoino has publicly referred to gold as “natural Bitcoin” and expressed a strong affinity for gold as a foundational asset. The company is exploring opportunities across the entire gold supply chain, including mining, refining, and trading.
Tether has already invested over $200 million in Elemental Altus Royalties, a Canadian firm that buys future revenue streams from gold mines, giving Tether exposure to multiple mines with less operational risk.
3. Strategic Shift
Tether’s move into gold and gold mining is part of a broader diversification strategy, which also includes investments in AI, Bitcoin mining, and other sectors. The company’s leadership has repeatedly emphasized gold’s role as a hedge and a complement to Bitcoin.
In summary, Tether is not only selling some Bitcoin and buying gold but is also directly entering the gold mining sector as part of its diversification and profit deployment strategy.
Sources:
www.zerohedge.com
www.coindesk.com
www.fxleaders.com
bitcoinethereumnews.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER VANTAGE:SP500 FX:EURUSD COINBASE:USDTUSD AMEX:NUGT AMEX:GDX
BITCOIN IDEA FOR NEXT FEW YEARS Based on technical analysis CRYPTOCAP:BTC can go back to 50-70k zones, to sweep the liquidity.
That would be very healthy movement from CRYPTOCAP:BTC , if we want to expect future big moves up to 200-250k per coin.
Bitcoin is too hyped to broke down to lower price than 50k, many institution and companies are getting into crypto and using it as a payment method. Not only Bitcoin, but CRYPTOCAP:XRP , CRYPTOCAP:ETH and CRYPTOCAP:SOL as well.
So priority is to put focus on Bitcoin, because other cryptos are following Bitcoin's movement.
Let's see what the future bring us and let's not miss this opportunity to get advantage.
BTC: Mapping Key Reversal Levels for the Next WeekIt looks like we completed the diagonal (wave pattern) last week. Now, in theory, we should be moving upwards. We're currently in a pullback. Friday saw some bad US unemployment news, which triggered a sell-off across the entire market.
Some altcoins look particularly weak. And while Bitcoin corrects over the weekend, alts could dump much harder.
We're conducting our analysis using key reversal levels, in addition to wave counting—which is, of course, subjective and open to interpretation.
Approximate targets are on the chart. I'm not considering a bearish scenario for now, but of course, anything is possible.
September 6, 2025: BTCUSDKey Levels
Resistance: The most immediate resistance is around $113,557, a level the price has failed to break above several times recently. A decisive break above this level could signal a potential move to the next resistance zone around $115,572. Beyond that, the long-term resistance and previous high is at $122,390.
Support: The key support level is the horizontal line at $107,550 and the ascending trendline. This is a crucial area; a break and close below this could indicate a significant bearish continuation, with the next major support level being a previous low around $103,257.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: For a bullish reversal to be confirmed, the price would need to break above the immediate resistance at $113,557 and hold it as new support. This would invalidate the current bearish pattern and suggest a potential move toward the higher resistance levels.
Bearish Scenario: The path of least resistance appears to be to the downside. If the price fails to break the resistance at $113,557 and instead breaks below the ascending channel and the key support at $109,568, a more significant drop toward $108,555 would be the likely outcome.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Sep 5, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the trading session of the previous week, the Bitcoin market demonstrated a notable upswing, ultimately reaching our designated Mean Resistance level of 117000. Subsequently, the cryptocurrency experienced a retreat and is currently undergoing a consolidation phase.
The prevailing analysis indicates a firm probability of a continuation of the Intermediary Primary Rebound toward the Inner Coin Rally 115300, with the potential to extend its progression to the Mean Resistance level of 117000. However, it is essential to highlight that the Outer Coin Dip 102500 represents the primary ongoing trend and the overall direction of the market. Upon the completion of this phase, it is anticipated that Bitcoin will resume its bullish trajectory.
Bitcoin Forecast: Sept 2025 | Bulls in Control?🔮 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Technical Analysis & Trading Strategy
Date: September 6, 2025 | Closing Price: $110,656.71
🎯 Executive Summary & Market Outlook
Bitcoin is showcasing formidable strength, closing above the critical $110k psychological level. Our multi-indicator analysis suggests a bullish bias 🟢 with eyes on new all-time highs. However, the rally is maturing, and traders must be vigilant for potential volatility or a bear trap formation. This report outlines precise intraday and swing trading strategies for the week ahead.
📊 Comprehensive Technical Breakdown
1. Chart Pattern & Theory Synthesis:
Elliott Wave Theory: Price action suggests we are likely in a powerful Wave 3 of a larger impulsive bull cycle. The next minor pullback (Wave 4) should be bought into, targeting a final Wave 5 push higher.
Wyckoff Theory: Analysis points to a potential Sign of Strength (SOS) following a prolonged reaccumulation phase. A successful back-test of the breakout level ($105k - $107k) would confirm continued upward movement.
Gann Analysis: Using the Square of 9, key resistance levels are identified at $112,500 and $115,200. Gann angles from the last major low provide dynamic support; a break below could signal a deeper retracement.
Other Patterns: No classic Head & Shoulders top is present. The trend is characterized by bull flags and ascending triangles, indicating consolidation before continuation.
2. Key Indicators & Momentum:
RSI (14-period): On the daily chart, RSI is in the 60-70 range, indicating strong bullish momentum without being severely overbought. There is room for further upside before a correction becomes likely.
Bollinger Bands (BB): Price is riding the upper band, a sign of a strong trend. A move back inside the bands would signal a cooling of momentum, not necessarily a reversal.
Moving Averages: The order is perfectly bullish: Price > EMA(21) > EMA(50) > SMA(200). This "stacking" is a classic sign of a strong uptrend. Any pullback towards the EMA(21) (~$108k) would be a key intraday support.
Volume & VWAP: Anchored VWAP from the last significant low shows price trading well above it, confirming the Strong Bullish Trend ✅. Volume has been supportive on up-moves.
⚔️ Trading Strategy: Intraday (5M - 4H Charts)
Bias: cautiously bullish
Long Entries (3:1 R:R Minimum):
On a pullback to support (e.g., $109,200, $108,500, or the 21-EMA) with bullish reversal candlesticks (hammer, bullish engulfing) and increasing volume.
A breakout above the Asian session high with volume confirmation.
Short Entries (Counter-Trend, Higher Risk):
Only at clear resistance levels ($111,500, $112,500) with bearish rejection candles (shooting star, doji) and divergences on the RSI.
Stop-Loss: Tight stops, just below the recent swing low or key support level.
Take-Profit: Scale out at previous resistance levels turned support.
📈 Trading Strategy: Swing (4H - Daily Charts)
Bias: Bullish
Strategy: "Buy the Dip". Look for opportunities on any pullback into the key support zone of $105,000 - $107,000. This zone represents the previous resistance and the 50-EMA.
Invalidation: A daily close below $102,000 would invalidate the immediate bullish swing outlook and suggest a deeper correction to the $95k - $98k area.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $115,000
Target 2: $118,000
Target 3: $125,000 (Extension)
⚠️ Risk Management & Trap Warning
Bull Trap 🚨🐂: A false breakout above $112k followed by a swift rejection and close back below $110k could lure in late buyers before a sharp drop. Confirmation: Low volume on the breakout.
Bear Trap 🚨🐻: A sharp, volatile wick down to $105k-$107k that is quickly bought up, trapping aggressive short sellers. Confirmation: A long-legged doji or hammer candle on high volume.
Always use stop-loss orders. Position size appropriately. The key is to protect capital.
💡 Conclusion
BTCUSD is in a confirmed uptrend. The path of least resistance is higher, favoring both long intraday positions and swing longs on dips. Traders should be agile, respect key support levels, and watch for trap formations at new highs. The integration of Gann targets, Elliott Wave structure, and Wyckoff phases provides a high-probability roadmap for the week ahead.
✅ Happy Trading! ✅
For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade)
I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors.
Sincerely,
Shunya.Trade
Website: shunya dot trade
⚠️Disclaimer: This post is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed herein are derived from technical analysis and are shared for informational purposes only. The stock market inherently carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Therefore, readers are strongly advised to exercise prudent judgment before making any investment decisions. We assume no liability for any actions taken based on this content. For personalized guidance, it is recommended to consult a certified financial advisor.
BTC STORY ?
Hi,
Colourful world of coins.
Mega ship, mega cars.. mega house. So jealous.. they are the lucky ones.
BTC from 1$ to $120k.
If I bought it at 50,000 at 100$, I would sell like 10% and live like ...
hehe
But, life's like that... you don't have 100k$ or 500K$ excess money at that time to fund your BTC rightt..
So too bad.. or too late.
But I do have this advantage of Sell or Buy at THIS time.
That advantage is leverage or option. (my POV)
What say you?
Conversation my CME broker:
You : John ,Sell 3.00 of BTC at market (113K) !
John: You don't have 3.00 BTC?
You : What !! I tot I bought them in 1990..
John: You must have been scammed that time.
(fictitious= just a story)
Basically not everyone have it.
NOW
Conclusion .
Since I missed it. I love to buy it for vibrancy, hedging or sell when it increase in numbers.
Cheap buy, expensive sell.
That is trading only.
There Is a saying.
IF YOU LIKE CHEESE , JUST EAT IT.
DON'T BRING THE COW HOME.
You don't have to own a cow to have milk, and cheese. Just buy it.
hahaha. Trying to be funny.
Anyways.. all the best
Not a guru
NB/ stories are not true. & don't be hard up
Okay, here is a brief analysis of BTCUSD (Bitcoin against the USOkay, here is a brief analysis of BTCUSD (Bitcoin against the US Dollar).
**Fundamental Analysis:**
As the first and largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Bitcoin's core value lies in its decentralization, scarcity (capped at 21 million coins), and its narrative as "digital gold"—a store of value. Key bullish drivers include the massive success of US spot Bitcoin ETFs, which continuously attract traditional capital inflows; ongoing institutional adoption; and safe-haven demand fueled by global macroeconomic uncertainties. However, major risks remain, such as regulatory uncertainty (e.g., SEC policies), criticism over high energy consumption, and competition from other cryptocurrencies.
**Technical Analysis:**
BTCUSD typically exhibits high volatility and clear cyclical patterns (e.g., halving cycles). Its price action is often driven by macro sentiment, liquidity conditions (such as U.S. dollar interest rate policies), and its own market cycles. Key technical levels include the previous all-time high (around $69,000) as a major psychological resistance, while various moving averages (like the 200-day MA) and Fibonacci retracement levels form crucial support and resistance zones. Trading volume and the logarithmic growth trendline are vital for assessing the health of the long-term trend.
**Summary and Outlook:**
Bitcoin remains the benchmark and core asset of the cryptocurrency market. Its long-term narrative has shifted from "peer-to-peer electronic cash" to a mainstream "store of value." Short-term prices are heavily influenced by market sentiment, liquidity, and news, leading to significant volatility. Long-term performance will depend on its widespread adoption and its ability to solidify its position as a legitimate asset class within the global financial system. Investors must be aware of its high-risk nature.
***
*Disclaimer: The above content is market analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency investments are extremely high risk; please make decisions cautiously.*