BITCOIN TRENDLINE SUPPORT WATCH IT The chart of bitcoin I am posting today to show That the support is about 98 k handle based on fib and trendline support . I hope it holds for some to use rallies to understand cycles of Liquidity have peaked and will see a drain for the markets into the next window refinancing for Gov debt .
Trade ideas
Bitcoin Short IdeaBTC approaches key resistance - watching for rejection and potential strong short move.
BTC is testing a strong resistance zone between $114,000 – $115,800, where selling pressure has previously dominated.
After a sharp rally, the price has entered a potential distribution area, hinting at a possible slowdown in bullish momentum.
🎯 Entry zone: $114,000 – $115,800
❌ Stop-loss: 4H candle close above $116,400
✅ Take profit: To be determined — better to monitor dynamically as the move develops.
The setup suggests a possible strong downside move if sellers take control. Be prepared for volatility — this one could unfold fast.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The idea is shared for educational and analytical purposes only. Position size should not exceed 2% of your total deposit. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
Possible Bullish ScenarioOn the macro level, 98k-ish area is the next level of support. I wouldn't be surprised to see that support level hit within this megaphone forming. There is confluence with the macro support level, support line of the megaphone and retesting of the fib level (blue line.) I wouldn't be surprised to see that area visited followed by a strong move to the upside.
technical analysis of your Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chartPair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: ≈ 101,240
Trend: Downtrend within a descending channel
Main Zones:
Support Level: 98,000 – 100,000
Short-Term Resistance: 104,000 – 106,000
Major Target (Upside): 126,399
📉 Technical Outlook
Bitcoin continues to respect the descending channel drawn with parallel trendlines.
The price is now hovering near the lower boundary of the channel, close to the support level zone.
A potential bullish reversal may occur if this support holds, leading to a push toward mid-channel resistance (around 106,000).
📈 Bullish Scenario
If the support at 98,000–100,000 holds:
BTC could rebound toward 104,000 → 106,000 → 110,000.
A confirmed breakout above 110,000 may trigger a strong rally toward the main target of 126,399.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If BTC breaks below 98,000:
Expect further downside to 94,000 – 92,000, the next major demand zone.
This would confirm continuation of the descending channel trend.
⚙️ Summary
Aspect Bias
Trend Bearish (short term)
Key Support 98,000 – 100,000
Key Resistance 106,000 – 110,000
Long-Term Target 126,399 (if breakout occurs)
Short-Term Risk Break below 98,000 FPMARKETS:BTCUSD FPMARKETS:XLMUSD FPMARKETS:SOLUSD FPMARKETS:ETHUSD FPMARKETS:RPLUSD FPMARKETS:DOGUSD FPMARKETS:LTCUSD FPMARKETS:LNKUSD FPMARKETS:ADAUSD FPMARKETS:EOSUSD FPMARKETS:EOSUSD
“When the Wolf Howls… Bitcoin Bleeds Below 100K”The pack runs blind, chasing numbers above 112K.
But the lone Alpha sees deeper in the shadows…
The real battlefield waits below 100K.
Only there the true decision will be carved — whether the beast revives, or falls into silence.
For now, the path is clear:
⚡️ The correction continues.
⚡️ The descent is not over.
⚡️ Positioning belongs to the hunters, not the herd.
Three paths lie ahead, marked by the arrows of fate.
But until the U.S. data strikes the ground…
Only one path deserves respect:
👉 The drop beneath 100K.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #TradingView #AlphaSigmaWolf #BearMarket #CryptoAnalysis #BTC100K #CryptoTrading #MarketCorrection #TechnicalAnalysis #BTCUSD #CryptoWolf #GothicTrading #CryptoSignals
Bitcoin to revisit the 200 Moving Average?It has previously exhibited a tendency to revisit the Mean, then consolidating around it before moving to new pivot highs. These have been at approximately equally spaced price intervals.
There is currently evidence of large investors rotating out of BTC into ETH and/or Alt coins.
Today's Bitcoin Trading StrategyBitcoin triggers bearish warning: Technical pattern breaches + liquidation of long positions, aiming directly at the psychological threshold
The technical indicators are all bearish, and the rebound is weak.
Looking at the chart, it's clearly visible that all the short-term moving averages are above the price, forming a "bearish arrangement" - it's like multiple layers of ceilings pressing down, and the price simply doesn't have the strength to rise any further. Moreover, the 200-day moving average (107,846 USD) has now become a strong resistance level. The previous several rebounds failed to break through it, and now the price is moving further away from this average, making the rebound even more difficult. Additionally, from the historical trend, Bitcoin is currently trapped between the 200-day moving average and the 365-day moving average (100,367 USD). If this lower boundary of the range is broken, it is very likely to accelerate the decline.
The risk of liquidating long positions is emerging, which may trigger a chain reaction of declines.
There are still a large number of long positions bought in the range of 105,000 - 106,000 USD in the market. Now these positions are already in a loss state. If the price continues to fall below 103,000 USD, these long positions will be forcibly closed (that is, the long positions will be wiped out), and the selling pressure from the forced closure will further push down the price, forming a vicious cycle of "decline - liquidation - further decline". There have been precedents before, where after breaking through a key support level, 500 million USD of long positions were liquidated. This time, the risk is also not small.
Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy
sell:104000-104500
tp:103000-103500
sl:105000
BTCUSD Slopping down. Bearish OutlookHello
BTCUSD Daily Analysis:
- The price is currently below the 100 EMA, which remains above the 200 EMA, indicating a bearish trend overall.
- The 21 and 50 EMAs are also below the 100 EMA, reinforcing the bearish pressure over the 200 EMA.
The key resistance level then is 109,588.
- Currently, bearish movements are driven by pressure around the 111,732 area. However, the trend has not yet reversed.
🧩 The level of 100,689 acts as support. As long as this level holds, the bullish trend remains intact.
- If the price breaks below 100,689, there is potential for the trend to shift to bearish.
Overall:
🎙️A break below 100,689 could signal a trend reversal, while holding above this level may keep the bullish outlook alive.
Happy Trading;
K.
__
Not trading advice.
BTC Correction Possible Before Further DropFenzoFx—Bitcoin continues its downtrend after dipping below the bearish fair value gap, now trading around $104,150.00. Immediate support sits at $103,400.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further downside, with thin liquidity below.
Technically, a correction may occur first, potentially pushing BTC toward $108,800.00 before resuming the decline. If $103,400.00 is breached, the next support levels are $100,000.00 and $98,000.00.
BTC/USD poised to navigate deeper water?Following a 4.6% fall in October, November is already down by 5.2%, with today’s movement dipping a toe under key support between US$104,866 and US$107,692 (1M levels). This follows a rejection of resistance at US$116,344-US$114,530 (composed of 1M and 1W levels), and suggests the major cryptocurrency is headed back under US$100,000.
Below US$104,866-US$107,692, which could serve as resistance soon, limited support is evident until between US$93,902 (3M) and US$97,578 (1M). Therefore, further bearish scenarios could soon unfold.
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
BTC just flashed what could be the biggest bearish divergenceBitcoin just flashed what could be the biggest bearish divergence we’ve seen to date. RSI and MACD are both screaming weakness while price action keeps creeping higher, forming a textbook trap for over-leveraged bulls. Every pump over the last few weeks has been met with declining momentum and shrinking volume. That’s not strength, that’s exhaustion.
Historically, this setup has preceded brutal corrections, especially when combined with heavy open interest and greed-driven sentiment. The divergence is not just on the daily, it’s bleeding into the weekly, showing a structural fatigue that can’t be ignored. Smart money is already scaling out while retail is still chasing the narrative that “this time is different.”
If BTC fails to hold its current support range, the next leg down could erase months of overconfidence in a matter of hours. Stay objective, take emotion out of it, and remember, the market rewards discipline, not hope.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarket #BearishDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoWarning #MarketPsychology
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Market Analysis | November 2025The overall bias remains unchanged from the previous outlook. After BTC touched the 103,500 level on Oct 17, 2025, we saw a brief bullish push toward the 116,329 resistance zone.
However, price was rejected three times, and the daily candle never closed above this level — confirming it as a strong supply zone.
🔹 The rejection aligns perfectly with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, adding solid confluence to the bearish move that followed.
🔹 BTC has now returned to the key area of interest between 104,700 – 90,000, which stands as the final zone to defend for any long-term bullish continuation.
A clear break and daily close below 90,000 would likely invalidate the bullish structure and open the door for deeper downside movement.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #SupportAndResistance #TradingView #CryptoMarket #SwingTrading #MarketUpdate
Bitcoin Price Falls Again — Bears Take Control as Crypto Market
Bitcoin has broken below crucial support formerly again, motioning a durability of bearish instigation in the short term. The failed attempt to hold over$ 110,500 touched off another sell- off, pushing BTC below$ 109,000 and putting bulls on the guard.
INDEX:BTCUSD
🔻 crucial Bearish Signals
Price rejected from$ 110,500 resistance
Trading below the 100- SMA( 1H)
Bearish trendline acting as dynamic resistance
RSI below 50, showing merchandisers still in control
MACD adding in bearish instigation
still, 800, the bearish pressure is likely to continue, If Bitcoin remains below$ 109.
📉 Important situations to Watch
Type Key Level Notes
Immediate Resistance$ 109,500 –$ 109,800 Must reclaim to shift sentiment
Major Resistance$ 110,500 Break over could spark a relief rally
Immediate Support$ 107,400 76.4 falsehood position
Major Support$ 106,500 Critical zone for bulls
Breakdown Target$ 105,500 →$ 104,200 Implicit coming bearish leg
Worst- Case Bear Target$ 103,500 Final support before deeper correction
✅ Bullish script( lower Likely for Now)
Bulls need a clean rout above$ 109,800, followed by a candle near over$ 110,500, to confirm a bullish reversal.However, upside targets remain
If this happens.
111,200
113,500
115,000 –$ 115,500
🔥 Bearish durability Setup( Preferred Scenario)
still, 500 –$ 109, 800, If BTC fails to reclaim$ 109.
📍$ 107,400 →$ 106,500 →$ 105,500
A break and near below$ 105,500 could accelerate bearish instigation and detector fear dealing toward$ 103,500.
📊 pointers
RSI( 1H) Below 50 → bearish bias
MACD adding red instigation → merchandisers active
Volume Bears showing stronger participation
🧠 request Sentiment
Crypto Fear & Greed is shifting toward Fear, and social sentiment indicates rising bearish prospects. Altcoins are replying stronger than BTC, showing threat-off geste
across the request.
✍️ Trading Plan
Not fiscal advice — just a particular outlook
🔻 Bearish Setup
Short below$ 109,500 or after rejection from$ 109,800
TP situations$ 107,400/$ 106,500/$ 105,500
SL over$ 110,600
✅ Safer Buy Zone
Only interested if price returns above$ 110,500 with volume evidence.
Bitcoin Peaked Oct 6th, 2025Here is another perspective to add to my last publishing. The MACD is Diverging in a downward trend in comparison with the current Bitcoin upward price trend. As a long term Bitcoin investor I do not like the way things are lining up with Bitcoin. We are looking at another 2014 style crash in Bitcoin. Expect a 75-90% drop extending into 2026. Short positions are the play in the coming weeks/months and eventually look at cost averaging long positions again sometime in 2026/2027 for the next waves higher.
Updated BTC Box - BTC Box 2.0Hella levels to this shit.
BTC's been struggling in the upper box for a while.
Previously achieved a look below and fail but could not go beyond the box's midpoint.
To summarize a bullish event occurred without producing a bullish result. That is objectively bearish to me.
I would like to see how BTC reacts to the previous lows and if we revisit that old bear trap from a year ago.
Maybe we get another look below and fail but I will continue to evaluate.
For now I just want to share the updated levels.






















