Outlook and Trading Ideas for Gold and Bitcoin in the FutureDriven strongly by the newly released non-farm payrolls data, the international gold price has achieved another breakthrough rally. It not only refreshed the recent high but also further consolidated the current bullish trend, which is fully consistent with our previous core view of "entering the market on retracements". For subsequent operations, we have a clear point: as long as there is no effective breakdown of the core support level at 3530, it is acceptable even if the entry point is more aggressive. The stop-loss distance should not be a reason to deter entry; simply reducing the position size will suffice. In the current strong trend, the "courage" to enter the market in line with the trend is far more important than obsessing over an extremely "precise entry point". Excessively pursuing a perfect entry point may instead cause one to miss out on the trending market.
In contrast, Bitcoin's performance during the same period was relatively moderate and failed to stage a strong breakout like gold. However, the market's resilience is still prominent: after multiple downward tests, the support level around 107,000 below has never been effectively broken. Moreover, judging from the trajectory of recent low points, there is a gradual upward trend, indicating that bearish momentum is continuously fading and the bottom area is becoming increasingly clear. For Bitcoin, it is recommended to adopt a strategy of "exchanging time for space": there is no need to rush to chase the rally; instead, wait for the price to retrace, then build long positions in batches and gradually. By holding positions patiently to absorb short-term fluctuations, we can wait for the release of upward space after the trend becomes clear.
