BTCUSD Short: Fading the Rally in a Bear ChannelHello, traders! The price auction for BTCUSD has been in a clear bearish phase since its rejection from the SUPPLY ZONE 2 near 115200. This has established a well-defined descending channel that has been guiding the price lower through a series of impulsive declines and corrective rallies, confirming that sellers have the initiative.
Currently, after testing the lower support line of the channel, the price is in the midst of a corrective bounce. This upward move is carrying the auction towards the upper boundary of the channel, which represents a major area of dynamic resistance.
My scenario for the development of events is that this corrective rally will fail upon testing the channel's resistance line, which aligns with the SUPPLY ZONE around the 111000 level. I expect this area to hold as strong resistance, causing a rejection and a continuation of the primary downtrend. The take-profit is therefore set at 107000, targeting a new lower low within the channel. Manage your risk!
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Bitcoin BTCUSD Possible 50% CorrectionNot pictured, BTCUSD weekly has the tightest Bollinger Band squeeze in history, suggesting a big move is coming soon.
The weekly candlestick pattern is currently an Evening Star. Momentum is pointing down with a bearish crossover.
There is confluence at the 1.618 Fib extension and the 200-week Moving Average that points to a possible correction to $54-56K.
Following BTC’s retracement and corrective phaseBTC underwent a sustained retracement yesterday, yet it failed to breach our downside support level at 111000. Subsequent price action formed a range-bound consolidation phase above this support zone. Consequently, we assess that following yesterday’s sharp pullback and corrective phase, BTC is now in a state of short-term oscillatory movement within the context of its broader uptrend.
Buy 112000 - 112500
TP 113000 - 113500 -114000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTCUSD Market AnalysisBTCUSD Market Analysis
Date: 21 September 2025
Time: 01:12 AM (BD Time)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: 115,809
Trend Direction :
Higher Timeframe (1H): Market rejected from Equilibrium zone (115,800 – 116,200). Overall bias remains Bearish.
Lower Timeframe (15M): Price created a small pullback and is showing downward pressure again.
Technical Analysis :
Resistance / Supply Zone:
116,000 – 116,200 (Equilibrium Resistance)
116,600 – 116,800 (Major Supply)
Support / Demand Zone:
115,500 – 115,300 (Short-Term Demand)
114,800 – 114,400 (Strong Low)
SMC (Smart Money Concept) :
Multiple BOS and CHoCH indicate liquidity grab and then bearish continuation.
Rejection from Equilibrium → sellers are in control.
High chance that price may fall towards 115,500 → 115,000 → 114,500.
Fibonacci Analysis :
Swing High: 117,200
Swing Low: 114,500
50% Retracement ≈ 115,850 (Equilibrium) → current rejection area.
61.8% Retracement ≈ 116,000 → strong resistance.
RSI :
Current RSI ≈ 52 (Neutral Zone).
If RSI drops below 40 → Bearish continuation expected.
If RSI rises above 70 → Overbought → selling pressure likely.
Volume :
Volume decreased during upward moves.
Volume increased during downward moves.
→ Indicates stronger selling pressure.
Fundamental Context :
Stronger DXY → BTCUSD likely to fall further.
Weak US data → BTC could temporarily break above 116,200 for a pullback.
❇️ Trading Plan :
⭐ Sell Setup (High Probability)
Entry: 115,850 – 116,200
Stop Loss: Above 116,600
Take Profit 1: 115,500
Take Profit 2: 115,000
Take Profit 3: 114,500
⭐ Buy Setup (Only if Demand Zone holds)
Entry: 115,500 – 115,300
Stop Loss: Below 114,800
Take Profit 1: 116,000
Take Profit 2: 116,600
Take Profit 3: 117,200
😎 Summary :
BTCUSD is currently trading at 115,809 and rejecting from Equilibrium.
If rejection confirms → sell targets are 115,500 → 115,000 → 114,500.
If price closes above 116,200 → buy targets are 116,600 → 117,200.
$1.5 Billion Liquidations and Fed’s Cautious Stance Trigger BitcIn the past few hours, Bitcoin’s decline was mainly driven by massive leveraged position liquidations and the Federal Reserve’s cautious comments on future rate cuts. This drop has been triggered by these factors, and it remains uncertain how far it will continue. We now have to watch whether the $112K and then $110K support levels can hold and prevent further downside.
Important Bitcoin SupportBitcoin’s drop currently has both strong momentum and a solid trend. If this momentum continues, there’s a chance that the support could break, with the next targets being 110, 109, and 107 respectively.
There’s also the possibility that this level holds as support, or that after a period of ranging, it gets broken with a whale move. In such situations, a sell stop can be a good option to avoid missing out if a whale candle breaks the level. ✅
BTC/USD short m15 ; Pro-trend + Pro-internal trendGood weekend, everyone. For the SMC trader
I'm warming up for a trade on BTC/USD with a nice setup. I've spotted a bearish setup on the M15 chart.
I'd like to share my analysis and the entry model I used for this case study. I'm also looking for comments on my idea to help me improve."
Idea detail:
Medium TF: m15
Low TF(for entry): m5
Trend: Both the main trend and the internal trend are in alignment. This presents a very good, high-probability trading situation for me."
Entry confluence:
- m15 mitigated POI
- m5 ch
- Falase break
Target: 1:5 (RR)
BTC BIAS IS STILL BEARISH, CAREFULLY AT ZONE 113.20 - 113.50 📊 Market Overview
The market remains in a downtrend, with price still trading below the descending trendline. Buyers are showing some short-term reaction, but overall momentum favors the sellers.
🔑 Key Potential Zones
Upside: price is likely to face strong reaction around the 113.20 – 113.50 area.
Downside: if rejection occurs, price can revisit 112.00 – 111.80 as the next potential target.
✅ Trading Plan
Scenario 1 (Bearish Continuation):
If price rejects around 112.80 – 113.40 (Fibo + FVG), potential short entries targeting 112.00 and then 111.40.
Scenario 2 (Bullish Breakout):
If price breaks and closes above 113.50 trendline, it may test higher FVGs around 114.00 – 114.40 before any continuation.
👉 Summary:
Market bias is still bearish. Watch carefully how price reacts at 113.20–113.50. Rejection = continuation down. Breakout = potential retest higher zones.
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Don’t Underestimate Dogecoin!Dogecoin is one of my favorite setups. I’m loving this market cycle — it looks exactly like Bitcoin before 2017 happened. I believe it’s setting up for a huge parabolic run that could make people very rich. I’m extremely excited about this setup.
As always, stay profitable.
— Dalin Anderson
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 114,530.17
1st Support: 110,045.28
1st Resistance: 117,597.42
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin Reward – Bullish Thieves or Bearish Bandits?🚨💰 BTC/USD "Bitcoin vs U.S. Dollar" Crypto Market Grand Heist Plan 🎭🚨
🕵️♂️ Dear Thief OG’s, Money Makers & Market Bandits 💎💰
It’s time to lock & load the Bitcoin Heist Plan with both sides of the robbery open (Bullish & Bearish)! ⚡
🔑 Entry Zones (Where the Robbery Begins)
📉 Bearish Bandits: Any price level! Rob the upside liquidity & run it down!
📈 Bullish Thieves: Pullback entry 108,000.0 and above – sneak in with style & power.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
🔒 For Bullish: Thief SL @ 105,000.0 🚨
⚠️ Reminder, OG’s: Adjust your SL with your own strategy & risk plan. Don’t get caught by the market police 👮♂️💥.
🎯 Target (The Loot Bag)
🏆 Bullish Robbery Target: 124,000.0 💸
🏴☠️ Bearish Robbery Targets:
1️⃣ 110,000.0
2️⃣ 104,000.0
📜 Thief’s Market Note
This isn’t just a trade, it’s a crypto robbery blueprint – choose your side, Bullish or Bearish, and execute like a true Thief Trader. Always plan your entries in layers, stack the loot, and manage your risk like a pro bandit. ⚡💼
🔥💥 If you love the heist style, Boost this idea 💥🔥
Every boost adds fuel to the Thief Trading Crew 🚀💎.
Stay alert, stay sharp, and remember… the market is the biggest bank, and we are here to rob it! 🤑🎭💰
Bitcoin Bearish Supercycle 📉 Bearish Bitcoin Supercycle: 8-Year Bear Market Ahead?
Ticker: BTCUSD
Timeframe: Weekly/Monthly
Sentiment: Bearish 🐻
💡 Main Thesis
We are at a critical turning point in Bitcoin's supercycle. After years of bull market, we're seeing concerning signals that suggest the possible beginning of an extremely long-term bearish supercycle - double the standard 4-year cycle.
🏦 Institutional Concentration
Major institutions, funds, and whales have accumulated massive amounts of BTC over recent years:
MicroStrategy, Tesla, BlackRock ETF and others hold hundreds of thousands of BTC
Approximately 20% of all bitcoins are now in institutional hands
This concentration creates a dangerous situation for retail investors
⚠️ Coordinated Sell-off Risk
Key Concerns:
Liquidity trap: Institutions could coordinate massive sell-offs
Market manipulation: Large players have the power to drastically influence price
Systemic risk: Massive selling could trigger an avalanche of further sales
🏛️ Historical Context
Traditional banking elites have long viewed Bitcoin as a threat:
Decentralization undermines their monetary monopoly
Several attempts to "kill" Bitcoin have failed
Current situation provides them with an ideal opportunity
📊 Technical Indicators
RSI: Overbought territory on higher timeframes
On-chain metrics: Decreasing long-term holder activity
Whale watching: Increased large wallet activity
🎯 Scenario
If this supercycle unfolds, we can expect:
Gradual institutional sell-off over first 2 years
Massive break below all key support levels
Extremely long-term bear market lasting 8 years
Target level: $3,000 - $8,000 (return to pre-2017 levels)
Complete market structure reset
BTCUSD: hold a bullish viewThe current price is around 112700, up 0.17% from the previous trading day. It has fluctuated within the 111000 - 113300 range in the past 24 hours, showing a narrow - range consolidation trend. However, it has not yet broken below the 111000 support level, so we still hold a bullish view. That said, the market is currently in a phase of game between "institutional accumulation and short - term caution"—do not blindly chase the upside.
Buy 112000 - 112500
TP 113000 - 113500 -114000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BTCUSD REMAINS BEARISH TREND | BTC PLAN SEP.26 📊 BTC/USD – M45 Analysis
Market Structure:
The overall structure remains bearish, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
The downtrend line is intact, showing sellers are still in control.
Recent price action is consolidating just below the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the fib retracement zone.
🎯 Trading Plan (Intraday, M45)
Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability):
If price retraces to the 111,000 – 111,200 FVG/supply zone, look for rejection signals → potential short entries targeting 109,000 and then 108,000.
Bullish Scenario (Countertrend):
If price breaks and closes strongly above 111,200, it would invalidate the bearish trendline and shift short-term momentum upward. In that case, target would be the next supply around 113,000 – 114,000.
Dominant trend direction called this move 1 week aheadIt's pretty epic being able to call the future before it happens, especially on markets.
With just using market structure laws alone, I called this price action a week ahead of it happening
Once you learn and know the laws, markets really aren't THAT complicated
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BTCUSD 4h ShortTerm Chart1. Main Trend
The chart clearly shows a descending channel – the recent upward breakout failed to hold, and the price has returned to resistance.
The pattern of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) continues, likely indicating a break to a lower low.
The recent high at ~$118.3k has been rejected, and the market is heading down.
2. Key Levels
Support (red lines):
$111.426 – currently being tested.
$109.408 – stronger support, previous local lows.
$108.100 and $107.356 – further potential targets if the decline deepens.
Resistance (green lines):
$115.775 – the nearest significant resistance.
$118.322 – the upper boundary of the channel and the previous LH.
USD 122,367 – a key breakout level that would reverse the trend.
3. EMA/SMA
The 50 and 200 EMAs (blue/yellow) show a bearish cross, with the price below the averages → a negative signal.
The 200 SMA (~USD 114,137) acts as strong resistance, currently unbroken.
4. Indicators
MACD: lines strongly below the line, histogram rising in the negative zone → a downtrend with a predominance of supply.
RSI: ~33, close to the oversold zone (<30), which could result in a short-term rebound, but there is no upside divergence yet.
5. Scenarios
🔴 Bearish (more likely)
Continuation of the downward move towards 109.4k → 108k → 107.3k.
A break below 107k opens the way to 103–105k (LL2 on the chart).
🟢 Bullish (less likely)
A defense of 111.4k and a return above 114.1–115.7k.
A break above 118.3k would negate the downtrend and open the way to 122k+.
BTCUSD uptrend continuationThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective sideways consolidation within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 112,630 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 112,630 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
118,840 – initial resistance
120,930 – psychological and structural level
122,260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 112,630 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
110,940 – minor support
109,430 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 112,630. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.