Bitcoin short term pump to 121,107$ before all hell breaks looseHey, guys
I was a little wrong and we kind of saw this pump coming, first we stated that bitcoin would go to 114,228$ and thereafter stated that the bear action should start at previous price floor now ceiling. This didn't occur and price continued to pump, now I expect price to continue pumping to 121,107$ before price crashes significantly and breaks all supports to the downside with ease.
We still see downward targets to at least 92,425$ in the medium term and even lower in the long term to 45,379$.
The alts such as XRP and ETH, should follow suit with BTC.
SPX should continue to see a pump to 6,860$ before a massive sell off occurs..... I don't know what will cause this sell off a war, financial crisis or trump opening his mouth but something will kick off a set of domino chains that should make us see a financial crash as bad as the 2008 crash....... you heard it here foretold first and a lot of you will laugh but I will document this whole journey to the ground, with every twist and turn.
BTCETH.P trade ideas
BE AWARE OF 118K BTC REVERSALMorning folks,
here is just a light update on situation. BTC now stands at 118K resistance area and here it could either to keep going higher, or, start forming the right arm of our bigger H&S pattern.
Just watch for signs of reversal, say H&S pattern here is possible. Depending on what you want to do - either wait (if you bullish) or you could use it (bearish).
BTC/USD Analysis – Next Stop $132,000?”Chart Analysis – BTC/USD
Pattern Identified:
Ascending channel (stretchy uptrend channel). Price is respecting both support and resistance of the channel, indicating bullish continuation.
Support Levels:
Strong support zone: $108,000 – $110,500 (pink box)
Next key support: $100,000 (psychological & Fib level)
Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: $120,000 – $122,000
Major channel top resistance: $132,000 – $133,000
Target (Upside):
🎯 $132,000 (channel top projection)
Stop Loss (Risk Management):
🔻 Below $108,000 (if daily close breaks support zone)
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✅ Summary for Clients Post:
"BTC/USD is trading in a strong ascending channel. As long as support at $108,000 holds, price is targeting $132,000. Key resistance lies at $120,000 & $122,000. Stop loss below $108,000."
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips - Tip #8 WHERE & WHEN or WHAT size?WHERE and WHEN or WHAT size? Build an Empire?
In the war of trading, many soldiers focus only on scouting the perfect battlefield. They spend all their energy finding the perfect place ( 'where' ) and the perfect moment ( 'when' ) to launch an attack on the market. They believe a flawless entry point is the key to victory. 🧠
However, winning a single skirmish doesn't mean you will win the entire war .
A wise general knows that long-term victory depends less on one heroic charge and more on managing the army .Your capital is your army.
The secret to winning the war is not just knowing where to fight, but knowing how many troops to risk in each battle.
Committing too many soldiers—using a position size that is too large —to a single fight can lead to a devastating loss that ends your entire campaign.
But by deploying your troops wisely, you ensure that no single loss can ever wipe you out. This allows your army to survive and live to fight another day. This is how you conquer.
"To be successful in the world of trading, it is important where and when we enter, but to remain successful , what's important is what size we enter with."
- Navid Jafarian
Why did the overconfident general lose the market war?
For every battle, he knew the perfect location to attack, but his only strategy for troop size was " ALL IN! " 😂
Command your capital like a master strategist, and you won't just win trades, you'll build an empire .🏰
Look forward to our next tip!
BTC: From Triangle to Flag → 118K?Let's take a look at the recent market context. Bitcoin climbed aggressively, creating a powerful impulsive leg upward.
That rally formed the pole of our bullish flag, a clear continuation pattern.
After that, price consolidated, shaping a tight, downward-sloping flag, while overall momentum stayed bullish.
The critical moment came just recently when price broke out of the flag with real strength.
A decisive breakout candle!
So the bias is clear — the bullish flag is active, the breakout is confirmed, and the projection points us toward 118,000.
The structure is clean, the momentum is strong… and the market is telling the story.
BTC/USD Analysis Market is bullish and respecting the trendlineThe chart shows a Bullish Ascending Channel. Price is making higher-highs and higher-lows, indicating continuation of the uptrend.
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🎯 Targets
TP1: 114,500 – 115,000
TP2: 117,000 – 117,500 (major resistance zone)
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🛑 Stoploss
Near stoploss: 110,800 – 111,000 (below trendline)
Safe stoploss: 109,500
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📌 Support & Resistance
Support: 111,000 – 111,200
Major Support: 109,800 – 110,000
Resistance: 114,500 – 115,000
Major Resistance: 117,000
---
✅ Post Caption for Clients
"📈 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is moving inside a bullish ascending channel.
Strong support at 111,000 zone.
🎯 Targets: 114,500 – 117,000
🛑 Stoploss: 110,800
Market structure shows bullish continuation ahea
BTCUSD 4H – Swing Trade SetupBTCUSD is respecting its bullish structure, holding above the 114,000 support zone. Price is consolidating near 115,000, while the 116,000 level acts as the nearest resistance. If buyers maintain control above support, the structure favors continuation toward 118,000 in line with the broader trend.
Key Levels:
Buy Area: 115k
First TP: 116k
2nd TP: 117k
Target: 118k
Reasoning:
The trend shows higher lows with EMA/Alligator support, signaling momentum remains bullish. Consolidation near resistance suggests accumulation, and a push through 116,000 opens room toward 118,000.
Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Not financial advice.
BTCUSD – Aiming for Higher Targets 👋Hello everyone, great to see you again! What are your thoughts on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
Here’s my bullish outlook: Bitcoin is still holding its upward structure within the ascending channel. After bouncing from the support area around 110,000 USD, price has regained momentum and is now testing nearby resistance at the time of writing, aiming for the first resistance target at 123,500 USD.
If this resistance is broken, the bullish momentum could continue strongly, with higher targets at the upper boundary of the channel. Both the 34 EMA and 89 EMA are supporting this outlook. As long as BTC stays above the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains dominant.
This could be the chance for buyers to keep control of the market. Do you agree? Share your thoughts with me!
BTCUSDT Long Aiming on 0.618FibBTCUSDT is positioned for a long move, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci level, with potential extension toward the 0.7 level. With the anticipated U.S. rate cut announcement at market open, we expect a bullish bounce in crypto, followed by a possible short-term downtrend afterward.
BITCOIN BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 117,076.48
Target Level: 111,750.81
Stop Loss: 120,567.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTCUSD H1 | Bearish reversal at key resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USD) has rejected off the sell entry at 117,876.74, which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to the downside.
Stop loss is at 119,057.60, which is an overlap reistance that aligns withthe 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 115,962.51, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Digital Trade & the WTO: Setting the Rules for the 21st CenturyIntroduction
The 21st century has been marked by the rapid digitalization of economies and societies. From online shopping to cloud computing, artificial intelligence, blockchain, and digital financial services, the global economy has been fundamentally transformed by digital technologies. Today, trade is no longer just about moving physical goods across borders; it increasingly involves the movement of data, digital services, and e-commerce transactions that occur in real-time across multiple jurisdictions. This transformation raises important questions: How should global trade rules adapt to this new reality? Who should set the standards? And what role does the World Trade Organization (WTO) play in shaping the rules of digital trade for the future?
The WTO, created in 1995 to provide a framework for international trade, was born in a world where the internet was still in its infancy. Its rules were largely designed to govern trade in physical goods and, to a lesser extent, services. But in the last three decades, digital trade has exploded, exposing the limitations of the existing WTO framework. Recognizing this, members of the WTO have been debating how to modernize global trade rules to fit the digital age.
This essay explores the concept of digital trade, the challenges it poses for global governance, and how the WTO can set the rules for the 21st century. It examines the key debates within the WTO on digital trade, the positions of major players, the ongoing negotiations, and the potential pathways for the future.
Understanding Digital Trade
What is Digital Trade?
Digital trade refers to any trade in goods and services that is enabled or delivered digitally. It includes:
E-commerce: Buying and selling goods or services over digital platforms like Amazon, Alibaba, or Flipkart.
Digital services: Cross-border provision of services such as cloud storage, software-as-a-service (SaaS), online education, and telemedicine.
Digital goods: Downloadable products such as e-books, music, movies, and video games.
Cross-border data flows: Movement of information that underpins online transactions, cloud computing, and financial services.
Emerging technologies: Blockchain-based financial services, artificial intelligence, and Internet of Things (IoT) applications that connect devices across borders.
In short, digital trade blurs the line between goods, services, and data, making it harder to regulate under traditional trade frameworks.
Why Digital Trade Matters
Economic growth driver: The digital economy contributes trillions of dollars annually to global GDP. According to McKinsey, cross-border data flows now contribute more to global growth than trade in goods.
Market access: Digital platforms provide small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) with unprecedented access to global customers.
Innovation and competition: Technology-enabled trade lowers entry barriers, stimulates innovation, and creates competition in sectors previously dominated by a few big players.
Resilience: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the importance of digital trade in sustaining global commerce during physical shutdowns.
Given this importance, setting clear and fair rules for digital trade is a pressing challenge for international governance—and the WTO is at the center of this debate.
The WTO and Its Role in Trade Governance
The WTO’s mission is to facilitate free, fair, and predictable trade among its members. Its agreements—like the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS)—have been instrumental in regulating global commerce.
However, when the WTO was established in 1995, the concept of e-commerce barely existed. As such, the existing rules only indirectly cover digital trade. For instance:
GATS applies to some digital services, but it was never designed for data-driven, cross-border service delivery.
Intellectual Property (TRIPS Agreement): Provides some protection for digital products but doesn’t address challenges like piracy or data theft fully.
Moratorium on Customs Duties on Electronic Transmissions (1998): This WTO decision prevents countries from imposing tariffs on digital products like software downloads and streaming. But it was meant to be temporary and is renegotiated every two years.
Clearly, WTO rules were not designed with the digital age in mind, which creates a governance gap.
Key Issues in Digital Trade Governance
1. Cross-Border Data Flows vs. Data Localization
One of the most contentious issues is whether countries should allow the free flow of data across borders or require that data be stored domestically (data localization).
Pro free-flow: The U.S., EU, and many developed nations argue that restricting cross-border data flows hampers innovation and efficiency.
Pro localization: Countries like India, China, and Russia emphasize digital sovereignty, national security, and the need to protect local industries.
2. Privacy and Cybersecurity
Different countries have different approaches to privacy. The EU’s General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) is seen as the gold standard, but many developing countries lack comparable frameworks. Ensuring global compatibility while respecting national laws is a major challenge.
3. Customs Duties on Electronic Transmissions
The WTO moratorium on e-transmissions is controversial:
Developed countries want to make it permanent, arguing that it boosts global e-commerce.
Some developing countries, like India and South Africa, argue that it erodes their tariff revenues and stifles digital industrialization.
4. Intellectual Property and Digital Content
How should digital products like movies, music, and software be treated? Piracy, copyright protection, and platform liability remain unresolved issues in WTO negotiations.
5. Digital Divide and Inclusivity
Not all countries have the same digital capacity. Least developed countries (LDCs) fear that binding digital trade rules could lock them out of future opportunities by forcing them to adopt standards they cannot meet.
WTO Efforts on Digital Trade
Early Steps: The 1998 E-Commerce Work Programme
In 1998, the WTO launched its Work Programme on Electronic Commerce, focusing on trade-related aspects of e-commerce. However, progress has been slow due to disagreements among members.
Joint Statement Initiative (JSI) on E-Commerce (2017)
At the 11th WTO Ministerial Conference in Buenos Aires (2017), over 70 countries launched the Joint Statement Initiative on E-Commerce, which has since grown to include more than 90 members. The JSI aims to negotiate new rules for digital trade, covering issues like data flows, source code protection, and cybersecurity.
However, not all WTO members participate—India and South Africa, for example, have stayed out, citing concerns about inclusivity and sovereignty.
Current Negotiations
Negotiators are debating rules on:
Prohibition of forced data localization.
Non-discrimination of digital products.
Protection of source code.
Consumer trust in online transactions.
Customs duties on digital products.
Although progress has been made, disagreements remain sharp.
Major Players and Their Positions
United States
The U.S. champions free flow of data and open digital markets, aiming to protect its tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft. It opposes data localization and seeks strong intellectual property protections.
European Union
The EU supports digital trade but insists on strong privacy protections under GDPR. It advocates a balance between data flows and data protection.
China
China supports digital trade but insists on its right to regulate data flows domestically for national security. It backs digital industrialization policies and has built a heavily regulated domestic digital economy.
India
India has emerged as a vocal critic of binding digital trade rules. It argues that premature commitments could harm developing countries’ ability to grow their digital industries. India emphasizes digital sovereignty, policy space, and the need for technology transfer.
Developing and Least Developed Countries
Many LDCs are wary of joining binding rules, fearing they will cement the dominance of developed-country tech giants while limiting their ability to build local capacity.
Opportunities and Challenges Ahead
Opportunities
Global Standards: WTO rules can provide certainty and predictability for businesses engaging in digital trade.
Market Access for SMEs: Clear rules could empower small businesses to access global digital markets.
Trust and Security: Multilateral rules could strengthen consumer trust in cross-border digital transactions.
Digital Inclusion: Properly designed agreements can help developing countries build digital capacity.
Challenges
Geopolitical Rivalries: U.S.–China tensions spill over into digital trade negotiations.
Digital Divide: Differences in technological capacity make uniform rules difficult.
Sovereignty Concerns: Many governments want control over data and digital regulation.
Consensus-Based System: The WTO’s decision-making process makes agreement slow and difficult.
The Future of Digital Trade at the WTO
For the WTO to remain relevant in the 21st century, it must adapt its rules to the realities of the digital economy. Possible pathways include:
Permanent Moratorium on E-Transmissions: Making the moratorium permanent would provide stability but must be balanced with the revenue concerns of developing nations.
Flexible Rules: Allowing countries to adopt commitments at their own pace, giving developing nations more policy space.
Plurilateral Agreements: If consensus is impossible, groups of willing countries (like JSI members) could move forward, while others join later.
Capacity Building: The WTO can provide technical and financial assistance to help developing countries build digital infrastructure.
Balancing Sovereignty and Openness: Rules must respect national regulatory space while facilitating global digital trade.
Conclusion
Digital trade is the backbone of the 21st-century global economy, but its governance remains fragmented and contested. The WTO, as the cornerstone of the multilateral trading system, faces the challenge of updating its rules to fit this new reality. Success will depend on balancing openness with sovereignty, ensuring inclusivity for developing countries, and addressing pressing issues like data flows, privacy, and digital taxation.
If the WTO can rise to this challenge, it can remain a central institution for global trade governance in the digital age. But if it fails, digital trade rules may be set through fragmented regional agreements, deepening divides and weakening the multilateral system.
In setting the rules for the 21st century, the WTO has an opportunity to shape not only the future of trade but also the broader digital transformation of the global economy. The choices made today will define whether digital trade becomes a driver of inclusive global prosperity—or a source of new inequalities and conflicts.
Bitcoin vs. Dollar – AFTER-FOMC CheckBTC holding firm while DXY chops.
🎯 117,416 target tagged overnight.
Next magnet sits near 118,626 if market makers keep grinding.
Overnight action printed a volume discount zone—I missed that fill and won’t chase.
I’m simply trailing yesterday’s entry, no new adds.
Red zone above is weekly bearish distribution, so after a 15-hour trading day yesterday it’s time to let the market work.
Bitcoin: Dump over the weekend? Bitcoin showing weakness on the Daily so expect a retrace over the weekend.
Watch out, any spike will signal the top for the Daily.
On the next couple of days we'll know if it will be a dump or just the start of a sideways move.
Next week will be crucial for the weekly trend which most likely will fail to break the ALHs and start a sideways move between $112k and $124k.
Buckle up ladies and gentlemen wild ride is coming.
Use lev wisely. Don't be greedy.
Liquidity Outlook (Short-Term Path)
I’ve been tracking BTC’s liquidity levels and cycle structure. The green path on my chart reflects my base case toward 120K, but history shows the move doesn’t stop at a new ATH. Once Bitcoin enters price discovery, expansion tends to accelerate.
⸻
🔍 Liquidity Outlook (Short-Term Path)
• Buy-Side Liquidity Above: Stacked at 119,182 → 119,655 → 120,024, acting as magnets once BTC clears 117K.
• Support Flip: The 116,900–117,000 area is now critical support. If price holds above, buyers remain firmly in control.
• Sell-Side Liquidity Below: 113K–111.9K is a major liquidity pool. A sweep here could flush longs before continuation higher.
⸻
📈 Base Case – Bullish Continuation
• Hold above 116.9K → push directly into 119–120K.
• Stacked liquidity suggests price may break through in one impulsive leg rather than a slow zigzag.
• Clearing 120K confirms a new ATH (previous record ~$69K in Nov 2021).
⸻
🎯 Take-Profit Range 1: $180K–$185K
• From the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension of the last cycle (3.1K → 69K → 15.5K).
• BTC historically overshoots the 1.618 into the 2.618 during blow-off phases.
• This makes 180–185K a conservative take-profit zone.
⸻
🎯 Take-Profit Range 2: $180K–$220K
• Based on Bitcoin’s logarithmic regression growth curve.
• Every cycle top has aligned with this upper regression band.
• Suggests BTC could extend well beyond 185K, especially with ETFs and institutional flows.
⸻
📉 Alternate Path – Liquidity Flush
• If 116.9K fails, BTC could sweep into 113K–111.9K before resuming higher.
• This would delay but not cancel the 120K target, as long as 111.9K holds.
⸻
❌ Bearish Failure Case
• A decisive break below 111.9K flips market structure bearish.
• Would invalidate the near-term 120K projection and shift targets lower.
⸻
🏆 Final Outlook
• Short-term magnet: 121–123K (1.618 Fib).
• Primary take-profit ranges:
1. $180K–$185K (Fib 2.618 extension).
2. $180K–$220K (log regression cycle band).
• Timeline: BTC historically peaks 12–18 months after clearing its old ATH. With $69K broken in early 2025, a cycle top is likely between late 2025 and mid-2026.
⸻
💬 Your turn: Do you see BTC topping closer to $185K, or will this cycle extend fully into the $200K+ zone? Share your thoughts 👇
BTC/USD Long Setup: RBR Zone Retest After Channel BreakoutTechnical Structure
Rising Channel (Highlighted in Red):
Price was moving within a bullish channel.
The channel was broken to the upside, indicating strong bullish momentum.
RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally):
A demand zone marked in red.
This area acts as a support zone where price is expected to bounce after a pullback.
It's the ideal entry area according to this strategy.
Current Price:
BTC/USD is trading around 117,910.63.
The price has just broken out of the channel and is expected to retest the RBR zone.
🎯 Trade Setup
Label Price Level Description
Entry Point 116,772.43 Ideal buy level after retest of RBR zone.
Stop Loss 116,077.82 Below the RBR zone. Gives room for a fakeout.
Target Point 120,013.92 Profit target based on the projected move.
📊 Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR)
Let's calculate the approximate Risk:Reward:
Risk: 116,772.43 - 116,077.82 = 694.61 points
Reward: 120,013.92 - 116,772.43 = 3,241.49 points
✅ Risk:Reward ≈ 1:4.67, which is excellent.
🔄 Expected Price Action
The chart suggests the following scenario:
Price breaks out of the bullish channel.
It retraces back into the RBR zone.
It finds support near the entry level.
A bounce follows, pushing BTC toward the target level of ~120,000.
📌 Summary
✅ Bullish setup after breakout from a rising channel.
✅ RBR demand zone suggests strong support at the entry.
✅ RRR is favorable (~1:4.67) — a good reward for the risk taken.
⚠️ Risk: If price drops below the stop loss zone, the trade idea is invalid.
BTCUSDLooks like a lil more upside is on the horizon in this Bullish Retracement for BTC, before we encounter the higher timeframe Bearish Continuation. Let's see what Price does...
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
ANFIBO | BTCUSD in my view todayHello guys! It's me, Anfibo.
Here is my Strategic and Market Sentiment Perspective :
I agree with the view that BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is currently in a compression phase. The market seems to be waiting for a catalyst (potentially economic data or macro news) to break out of this consolidation zone.
>>> Key observations:
Trading volume has shown signs of decline over the past few sessions, reflecting investor sentiment of waiting on the sidelines rather than taking strong action.
Funding rates and overall market sentiment remain positive but not overly euphoric, which is a healthy signal supporting the case for a sustainable upward move.
On the Daily timeframe, the primary trend remains bullish, and the current sideways movement appears to be a technical correction within the broader uptrend.
>>> Strategic approach for today:
> For short-term traders: consider accumulating small positions around the support levels of 115,200 – 114,400, with stop-loss orders set below 114,000 to manage downside risk.
> For medium-term investors: it is more prudent to wait for a confirmed breakout above the 117,000 – 118,000 resistance zone before scaling into larger positions, targeting the 120,000 – 123,000 levels.
Have a beautiful day!
Time to buy Bitcoin?Whoa, what a day! Did you catch some profits?
Now, this is in combination of both of my indicators at play. The "Fibonacci Trader" indicator is still bullish and also the second confluence from the "Breakout Trader" indicator signal is also bullish. Target profit as always the third fib extension level.