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Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap ContractBitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

Bitcoin / Ethereum Perpetual Inverse Swap Contract

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BTC: 2021 playbook. People expect a V shape bounce, when I think the odds favor more of a 2021 type of long correction (death cross swing). Reason being, the break of a strong momentum log trend, lower lows in BTC/SPX. If we are on the bottom --> it took 2 months , before next break out. (20 May -> 20 July). I think most momentum stocks, like NASDAQ:PLTR , NASDAQ:HOOD should lose their momentum and form tops (people who didnt sell the top, should take profit next time it's at ATH). Stage cycle. BTC is a risk on indicator. TVC:DXY dollar has broke out, indicating demand for cash. //November is usually a strong month. Good news - stocks drop is a sign of top.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by citsvar
The 2025 structure currently matches ~85% of the 2022 pre-bear Mhistorically BTC often touches EMA89 then retests EMA55 before a bear market and right now the chart structure looks similar to past cycle tops Scenario A – Reclaim EMA55 (Bullish Recovery) Chance: ~35% Must close multiple weekly candles above EMA55 Would signal the bull trend is still intact Correction becomes similar to 2013/2017 mid-cycle crash Bullish targets: $110k $125k $135k final blow-off ============================= Scenario B – Rejection at EMA55 → Full Bear Market Chance: ~65% This is the historically normal outcome. If BTC: fails to reclaim the EMA55, AND closes weekly candles below EMA89 → Then this confirms a macro trend reversal. Bearish targets (based on past cycles): First major support: $72k–76k Cycle bottom zone: $55k–63k Extreme wick target (like 2020 crash): $48k (low probability)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by YRashed
Bitcoin on a roller coaster: is 2026 ready for a new high?On November 18, BTCUSD fell by about 29% — from a peak of around $126,000 to ~ $89,000 . The fall in Bitcoin was due to a combination of factors: after the record high, many investors took profits, money flowed out of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (spot ETFs), and caution set in on global markets, with tech stocks and AI companies falling. The sharp price fluctuations triggered forced closures of leveraged trades, which exacerbated the decline, while altcoins fell even faster and drained liquidity from the market — as a result, there were more sellers than buyers, and the price fell even further. Five reasons to expect a new BTCUSD impulse in 2026: Inflows into spot ETFs. If funds start actively buying BTC on the spot market again, this will generate stable demand from large players. The halving effect. Fewer new coins are being mined, but demand remains high, which will eventually push the price up. A more dovish Fed. Lower rates → more liquidity → investors are more willing to take on risk assets, including BTC. Clear rules and business acceptance. Clear regulation and integration with banks/companies simplify entry for mass investors. Infrastructure development. L2/Lightning, convenient custody, and new on-chain use cases make BTC more useful — demand is growing. FreshForex analysts note that in 2026, Bitcoin's dynamics will largely depend on three factors: capital inflows into spot ETFs, the general “risk-on/risk-off” regime against the backdrop of Fed decisions, and key statements from regulators about the crypto market. Investors are advised to maintain a strict risk management system and focus on the macroeconomic calendar.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
btcusdThis pattern is also very similar to the 5 waves at the end of an uptrend, which makes it a little difficult to identify for further guidance. Our previous analysis was based on the assumption that a running correction was taking place. However, this does not seem to be the case and Bitcoin is increasing its price with low volume in the indicators, which will probably stop a decline towards lower levels in the 90, 80 and 70 ranges in the next few months and gain enough momentum to continue.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Anahita_Trade
Weak Recovery for BTCUSDBTC showed a trend of weak oscillatory recovery after hitting a low today. The price found support after breaking below the critical level of 90,000; however, the market remained in an extreme state of panic, which restricted the overall strength of the rebound. From a technical perspective, the 85,000 - 90,000 range serves as a strong support zone, corresponding to the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level. The price has demonstrated support near 89,000 today. On the flip side, the key resistance is concentrated in the 93,500 - 94,200 range. A breakout above this range may lead the price to test 95,000 subsequently, and if it can breach 95,000, it is expected to further move towards and challenge the 96,000 - 96,700 range. Sell 93,500 - 94,000 SL 94,500 TP 92,000 - 91,500 - 91,000 Buy 89,500 - 90,000 SL 88,500 TP 92,500 - 93,000 - 93,500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by KingArthur_
BTC — Original Distribution Still UnfinishedBTC continues to move inside unfinished structure. Risk tone is neutral and overnight flows were thin, leaving the market waiting for direction from today’s U.S. releases. The only event with enough weight to shift risk appetite is the FOMC Minutes later today. On the chart, BTC has rejected the original bullish distribution gap at 88,804.64 for several sessions. That gap remains unclosed, which signals unfinished architecture rather than trend continuation. Price is still confined within Monday’s range between 91,158 and 95,950, forming a clean mid-range compression. Nothing in this structure confirms resolution yet. Market Structure Mapping views this compression as a neutral regime: the market is balancing, not trending. The failure to close the distribution zone shows the prior move left imbalance behind, and markets generally rebalance before committing to a new leg. Retail sees “sideways.” Professionals see preparation. The non-obvious point: this isn’t hesitation; it’s the market restoring balance before revealing intent. For operators, the approach is straightforward. Let New York volatility clear the noise. Structural clarity only appears once price resolves above 95,950 or below 91,158. Anything before that is positioning, not direction. — CORE5DAN Institutional Logic. Modern Technology. Real Freedom.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CORE5DAN
$BTCUSD Long Term chartBITSTAMP:BTCUSD : This is one possible long term count. The 2017-2018 top-bottom marked a high degree Wave {1}, {2}. We've been in Wave {3} since that bottom. The 2021-2022 top-bottom completed Wave and . Wave started from that bottom. The $126K top has a 1.618 Fib ratio with Wave . If Wave topped here, then Wave cannot drop below Wave top, which is $69K. The yellow trend line may be the place to mark Wave , which is around $78K. A drop to $78K would mark a 40% pullback. However, Wave = 1.618 Wave is a minimum length for Wave . I do expect Wave to go higher. The channel is still holding. $89K area could be the bottom. If that's the case, Wave has not completed yet. My position I'm long. If BTC recovers, I'd be looking to de-risk but won't sell all. If BTC drops to $78K area, I will add.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HeadsUp2021
62% chance of breakthrough1. Improved Capital Signals ETF daily net outflows narrowed from $120 million to $30 million, while off-exchange institutional absorption volume increased by 40%. A total of 12,000 buy orders were placed in the $92,000–$93,000 range, leading to a marginal easing of short-term selling pressure. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2. Effective Technical Support At $92,800, Bitcoin is close to the support zone consisting of the $89,500 miner cost line and the $90,000 psychological level. The 1-hour RSI rebounded from 28 to 45, releasing oversold rebound momentum. Additionally, it did not break below the previous low of $91,700, forming a short-term bottom structure. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. Marginal Recovery in Sentiment The Fear & Greed Index rose from 10 to 14, and the futures funding rate narrowed from -0.12% to -0.05%, alleviating short-side leverage pressure. The probability of a rebound within 48 hours has increased by 35% compared to when the price was at $91,700. Bitcoin trading strategy buy：92000-93000 tp:94000-95000-98000 sl：91000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Thorne-
BTC 1M – Clean Idea + Buy Zone (Multi-TF Confluence)BTC continues to respect a long-term ascending channel on the 1M timeframe. Price has broken below the mid-channel and is now gliding toward major support. What makes this setup especially important: the buy zones on the 1M, 1D, and 4H charts are all converging in the same area. This type of multi-timeframe alignment rarely happens and often marks major reversal zones. ⸻ 🟢 Buy Zone (Macro) $78,000 – $85,000 • Bottom of the 1M ascending channel • Strong historical demand • Long-term accumulation zone • Lines up closely with 1D and 4H buy zones • High-probability multi-month swing level ⸻ 🎯 Target Zone (Macro) $118,000 – $130,000 • Mid–upper channel resistance • Prior monthly rejection area • Strong supply zone ⸻ 🧭 Multi-TF Summary BTC remains structurally bullish on the macro timeframe, but near-term weakness is sending price into the best accumulation region seen in months. What’s notable: 🔥 Multi-Timeframe Buy-Zone Confluence • 1M Buy Zone: $78K–$85K • 1D Buy Zone: $89.5K–$92K • 4H Buy Zone: $88K–$89.5K These zones are stacked tightly together, signaling: • Higher probability of a strong bounce • Cleaner risk-reward • Strong institutional accumulation region • Potential for a major reversal once BTC hits lower support A move into the macro zone should align closely with the final retests on the 1D and 4H channels. Invalidation: Monthly close below $76,000.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by marvgk