BTC/USD 15/09/2025: Bullish Setup Awaits Fed DecisionHey TradingView traders! On September 15, 2025, Bitcoin is chilling around 115,491 - 116,009 USD with slight volatility (+0.11% to +0.25% in the last 24 hours). The market vibe is neutral, but could this be the calm before the storm as we await the Fed’s interest rate decision this week? Let’s dive into a detailed analysis to help you seize the opportunity! 💰
Market Overview: Stable but Packed with Potential
BTC continues to dominate with a market cap of 2.31 trillion USD, ruling the crypto space. 24-hour trading volume hits 33.29 billion USD (+4.72%), signaling steady investor participation but not enough for a strong bullish push yet. Circulating supply stands at 19.92 million BTC (94.86% of the 21 million total), easing internal inflationary pressure and supporting long-term value. What do you think—can BTC maintain its 92.27% yearly gain? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 📊
Technical Analysis: Double Bottom and Bullish Channel Heating Up
Support & Resistance Levels: Solid support at 114,000 - 115,000 USD (holding strong since early September). Nearest resistance at 116,000 - 116,500 USD—if broken, the next target is 120,000 USD! Failure to break could lead to a retest of 114,000 USD. Don’t miss a potential breakout! ⚠️
Trend: The market is forming a double bottom pattern from September’s low, with the bullish channel still intact. The Fear & Greed Index at 53-55 (Neutral) shows balanced investor sentiment—no excessive FOMO or panic. RSI is neutral, MACD slightly weakening, but the overall signal is “Buy” for the daily timeframe! 📉
Macro Factors & News: Is the Fed the Final Boss?
The market is holding its breath for the Fed’s expected 0.25% rate cut this week—if it happens, risk-on capital could flood into BTC like a waterfall! 🌊 On the bullish side: Billionaire Tim Draper is pushing for wider BTC adoption, predicting 250,000 USD by the end of 2025; Capital Group turned a 1 billion USD investment into 6 billion USD in profits. But watch out for whale dumps and weak altcoins (e.g., SHIB down 3.22%)—these could drag BTC down. Are you ready for the volatility? 🔥
Forecast & Trading Plan: Action Time for Traders
Short-Term (1-7 Days): Expect a range of 114,000 - 117,000 USD, with the Fed decision as the key catalyst. If rates are cut, BTC could test 120,000 USD; otherwise, there’s a risk of dropping to 114,000 USD. Probability of a rise: 60% if it holds above 115,000 USD—perfect time to go long! 📈
Long-Term (2025-2030): Strongly bullish! Changelly predicts 116,220 USD today, climbing to 117,978 USD tomorrow; Investing Haven sees stability around 116,087 USD. With the previous halving and institutional accumulation, BTC could surpass 200,000 USD by year-end. Diversify your portfolio to manage risks, though! 💡
Traders, it’s time to act! Keep an eye on the BTC/USD chart on TradingView and share your thoughts in the comments. DYOR and trade safely! 👍
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #FedRateCut #BullishBTC #Crypto2025 #Altcoins #WhaleWatch #FearAndGreed
BTCETH.P trade ideas
BTCUSD – Trendline Breakout with Bullish Continuation SetupBitcoin has broken out of the perfect 4H descending channel and is now showing strong bullish structure after a clean Break of Structure (BOS). Price is currently retesting the breakout zone, which aligns with the demand area around 112,000 – 114,000 USD.
As long as price holds above this demand zone, we can expect a potential continuation towards the resistance area at 124,000 USD. A pullback to support before another leg higher would provide a strong confirmation for buyers.
📌 Key points:
Trendline and channel breakout confirmed ✅
BOS & Change of Character (CHoCH) align with bullish bias 📈
Demand zone (112,000 – 114,000) acting as potential entry area
First major resistance around 124,000 USD
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risk properly and trade according to your plan.
$BTCUSD Wyckoff Accumulation Completed. Mark up stage.The Wyckoff Accumulation has completed. We are now in the Markup Stage. It now has completed an ABCD pattern where AB = CD at around $116K. Now a small consolidation to test the last point of support. My price target is CD = 1.618 AB at just under $120K.
Bitcoin Price To Climb Higher Amid Rising Institutional AdoptionBitcoin Price To Climb Higher Amid Rising Institutional Adoption, Yet Ethereum's Relative Value Puzzles Investors
The digital asset landscape presents a fascinating dichotomy. Bitcoin, the undisputed leader, appears poised for a significant ascent, with analysts increasingly confident in a rally toward the coveted $120,000 mark. This optimism is overwhelmingly fueled by a powerful and sustained wave of institutional adoption, underscored by staggering inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). However, a perplexing counter-narrative is unfolding with Ethereum. Despite its own significant institutional embrace and the successful launch of its own ETFs, the ETH/BTC price ratio remains stubbornly low, signaling a relative weakness against Bitcoin that has left many investors searching for answers.
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum: The Unstoppable Force of Institutional Capital
The sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is palpably bullish. After a period of consolidation, the cryptocurrency has shown remarkable resilience, holding key support levels and demonstrating renewed strength. Bitcoin is trading at elevated levels, with technical analysts and market experts setting their sights on the next major psychological barrier of $120,000. A sustained break above this level is widely expected to trigger a fresh wave of buying pressure, potentially propelling the price toward new all-time highs.
A flurry of price predictions from various financial institutions and seasoned analysts paints a picture of widespread optimism. Forecasts range from conservative six-figure targets to highly bullish projections well above $200,000. These predictions are united by a common thread: the transformative impact of institutional adoption.
The primary engine driving this bullish outlook is the unprecedented success of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. These investment vehicles have served as a regulated and accessible bridge for institutional capital to flow into the digital asset space. Recent weekly net inflows have been measured in the billions of dollars, reversing previous outflows and signaling a renewed and voracious investor appetite. Leading funds from major asset managers have been the primary beneficiaries, consistently attracting hundreds of millions in fresh capital.
This influx of institutional money represents a fundamental shift in how Bitcoin is perceived. Major institutions are actively adding exposure and incorporating Bitcoin into their long-term investment strategies. This is evidenced by the behavior of "whales"—large Bitcoin holders—who have been accumulating significant amounts, viewing price dips as buying opportunities. The growing institutional presence is also contributing to a reduction in Bitcoin's notorious volatility, making it a more attractive asset for diversified portfolios.
Further bolstering the bullish case are favorable macroeconomic conditions. With expectations for lower interest rates, the appeal of risk assets like Bitcoin is on the rise. A weaker U.S. dollar and lower borrowing costs historically create a fertile environment for assets with a fixed supply to thrive. The confluence of massive ETF inflows, strategic institutional accumulation, and a supportive macroeconomic backdrop has created a powerful tailwind for Bitcoin.
The Ethereum Conundrum: High Adoption, Low Ratio
While Bitcoin basks in the glow of institutional validation, the story for Ethereum is more nuanced. On the surface, Ethereum is experiencing its own institutional renaissance. The approval of spot Ethereum ETFs has been met with considerable enthusiasm, attracting billions in capital and providing a regulated pathway for traditional investors to gain exposure to the world's leading smart contract platform.
The inflow data for Ethereum ETFs has been impressive, at times even surpassing Bitcoin's on a monthly basis. Cumulative inflows have reached a significant figure, a clear testament to the growing recognition of Ethereum's value proposition, which extends beyond a simple store of value to encompass the vast ecosystems of decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.
Institutions are not just buying ETH through ETFs; they are also actively participating in the network's staking mechanism. An unprecedented surge in staking activity has seen a significant portion of ETH's circulating supply locked away to secure the network and earn yield. This "supply squeeze" is fueled by both institutional players and large individual holders, underscoring the long-term conviction in Ethereum's future. With a large percentage of the total supply staked, the available liquidity on exchanges has dwindled, a factor that would typically be expected to exert strong upward pressure on the price.
Given this backdrop of robust adoption, significant ETF inflows, and a tightening supply, one would expect Ethereum to be gaining ground on Bitcoin. However, the ETH/BTC price ratio, a key metric that reflects the relative value of Ethereum to Bitcoin, tells a different story. This ratio has remained stubbornly below the 0.05 mark, a level that signals relative weakness for ETH. It currently hovers at a low level, far from its historical peak.
This persistent underperformance is a source of considerable debate. A higher ratio indicates that ETH is appreciating faster than BTC. The current suppression suggests that while absolute demand for Ethereum is strong, the demand for Bitcoin is even stronger.
Several factors may be contributing to this conundrum. Bitcoin's established brand and its narrative as "digital gold" give it a powerful first-mover advantage, particularly among institutional investors taking a conservative, phased approach. For many, Bitcoin is the initial and primary allocation.
Secondly, Ethereum's utility introduces complexities and risks compared to Bitcoin's simpler value proposition. The ongoing evolution of the network, while bullish long-term, may present a steeper learning curve for some investors.
Furthermore, a historical trend of Bitcoin outperforming Ethereum may have created market inertia, with capital continuing to flow into the asset with stronger recent relative performance. In essence, both assets are appreciating, but Bitcoin is doing so at a faster rate, keeping the ratio suppressed.
Beyond the Big Two: Other Trending Cryptos to Watch
While Bitcoin and Ethereum dominate, the broader cryptocurrency market is a hotbed of innovation. Investors are exploring a diverse range of projects with potential for significant growth, driven by several key trends.
Layer-2 Scaling Solutions: As Ethereum faces demand-driven congestion, Layer-2 solutions have become indispensable. Projects offering faster, cheaper, and more scalable environments for decentralized applications are capturing a growing share of activity and represent a crucial investment theme for ecosystem growth.
Integration of Artificial Intelligence and Blockchain: The convergence of AI and blockchain is gaining considerable traction, creating new possibilities in automated trading, decentralized organizations, and sophisticated dApps. Projects leveraging AI to enhance blockchain capabilities are attracting significant attention.
Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWA): This is poised to be one of the most transformative trends. Representing physical assets like real estate and commodities as digital tokens on a blockchain has the potential to unlock trillions in illiquid assets, making them more accessible and tradable globally. This is expected to drive a new wave of adoption.
Meme Coins and Community-Driven Projects: While often speculative, meme coins continue to exert significant influence, demonstrating the power of community and viral marketing. Their enduring popularity highlights the importance of cultural relevance in the crypto space.
The altcoin market is characterized by higher volatility and risk. However, for investors with a high-risk tolerance, it offers the potential for outsized returns based on technological adoption and market trends.
The Road Ahead: A Market at a Crossroads
The cryptocurrency market is a study in contrasts. The overwhelming force of institutional adoption is propelling Bitcoin toward potentially historic highs. The success of Bitcoin ETFs has fundamentally altered the market structure, creating a sustained demand that shows no signs of abating.
Conversely, the curious case of the ETH/BTC ratio serves as a reminder of the market's complexity. While Ethereum's own institutional story is compelling, it has yet to translate into sustained outperformance against Bitcoin.
Looking ahead, the market's trajectory will be shaped by key factors. Central bank monetary policy will continue to play a crucial role. The continued growth of the ETF market will be a primary indicator of institutional sentiment. And ongoing innovation in scaling, AI, and tokenization will determine the next generation of leading projects.
For investors, the current environment offers both immense opportunity and significant risk. The bullish case for Bitcoin appears robust, but volatility remains. Ethereum's long-term value is undeniable, but its short-to-medium-term performance relative to Bitcoin is less certain. The altcoin market holds promise but requires careful navigation.
In conclusion, the narrative of rising institutional adoption is powerfully reshaping the digital asset landscape. As Bitcoin bulls eye their next target, the broader market watches closely, navigating the crosscurrents of innovation, regulation, and macroeconomic forces that will define the future of this transformative technology.
Is Bitcoin accumulating strength for an upward move or peaking? Bitcoin rebounded after hitting the minor support of the rising channel. The recent pattern is still in the stage of oscillation and accumulation, with the price running between the strong support level of 113200 and the strong resistance level of 116784. The bullish arrangement of the moving average and the engulfing pattern form a strong bullish resonance. The lows are also gradually rising, so this rebound is not over. Friends who opened long orders can continue to hold, with targets at 116784-118000-121000.
BTC 15min TAJust wondering how this TA is going to hold up.
red box is the daily high low and median
orange is the 4hr timeframe levels
blue is 15min timeframe trends and green is 5min levels.
BS = Backside level (top of or first candle in a distribution range)
expectation = When price is above the level expect it will act as support with a strong reaction to price.
If strong reaction is not seen or long wicks are not seen reaching for the level, then the liquidity is not there and price will likely target the FrontSide level.
When price fails to gain a BackSide level like and gets below it, like it did 13 Sept 7:30, and fails 2x like at 8:15, & 9:15, then the BackSide level evolves into an Origin level and gains 1 timeframe in strength.
Price failed to gain the BackSide level (BS) at $115,991.89 2x so I differentiate the distribution trend that originates from that range as a BS level with a 2x dotted line font. This shows the color of the timeframe the level started at, and its now 2x line font indicating its strength increased and dotted indicating its been tested twice.
Hope that makes sense.
FrontSide level: the last candle in a distribution range.
The topside of the candle is the level, the swing low of the candle is the "exit" or "boundary" of the range.
Expectation: to keep price within the range. Hold price until an accumulation range/trend can establish. If price is closing below the swinglow then price is likely targeting a different range. If price fails to create the accumulation candles necessary to engulf the Frontside candle and get above the distribution candles/range, then price is likely going to target a different range or wait until one can be created.
Range = 2 or more candles in the same direction; of the same color.
Early Trend CatcherUsing patterns such as higher low and and starting a new two point trend also utilizing the indicator "Fibonacci Trader" this is a perfect entry for potentially getting into a trend even before it starts. Sure, you can lose and get stopped out, but the reward to the upside and current market sentiment, it's a perfect setup for a "Fibonacci Trader".
BTC retracement set up Bullish indications:
HHHL
MA 21 being respected in weekly.
IHS formation in daily .
Fib level 0.618 respected in daily 107263
Bearish indications:
Major resistance respected at 116699
Hanging man candle from resistance.
Bearish divergence.
Trend line support broken.
Based on the pattern price may fall down until the fib point of 113136 range before it bounces back to break the resistance .
BTCUSD STEPDOWN Bitcoin SMC + Technical Outlook
📊 Market Structure (SMC View)
Bitcoin is still maintaining a bullish market structure with clear higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) inside the ascending channel.
Current price action is approaching a major supply zone / resistance at 117,200 – 118,200, where institutional sell orders are likely stacked.
Liquidity has already been swept from recent highs, signaling that smart money may look to engineer a short-term corrective move.
🔎 Technical Confluence
Resistance aligns with the upper channel boundary, strengthening the probability of rejection.
The nearest demand zone / buyers zone sits around 111,200 – 112,200, also aligning with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
This creates a high-probability trade setup based on both SMC (supply/demand) and classical technical analysis (support/resistance + channel).
📈 Possible Scenarios
1. Rejection Scenario (High Probability)
Price rejects from 117,200 – 118,200 → corrective move unfolds.
Target: 111,200 – 112,200 demand zone.
This aligns with SMC expectation of liquidity sweep → mitigation → demand reaction.
2. Breakout Scenario (Low Probability)
If price decisively breaks and holds above 118,200, bullish continuation comes into play.
Invalidation of short-term correction, opening new upside liquidity targets beyond channel highs.
⚖️ Professional Mindset
A disciplined trader waits for confirmation at resistance, rather than predicting direction.
If rejection confirms → short trade toward demand.
If breakout confirms → switch bias and ride continuation.
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BTCUSD OUTLOCK SHORT TERM CORRECTIVE SECNARIO IN PALY The current market structure of Bitcoin remains bullish, with price action steadily progressing within a well-defined upward channel. Since resolving the prior upward wedge, BTC has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, respecting both support and resistance levels.
At present, BTC has completed another full rotation from the channel’s support and is now testing the upper boundary of the channel. This level coincides with a significant resistance zone around 118,200 – 117,200, creating a strong confluence area.
The primary expectation is a short-term corrective move, as the probability of rejection from this resistance remains high. A rejection here would indicate exhaustion of the current upward impulse and could trigger a downward rotation toward the channel’s support.
The target price (TP) for this corrective play is logically set at 112,200, which aligns well with the ascending support line of the channel—representing the most probable reaction zone for buyers.
Will We See Another ATH?!CONTEXT 1:
Support Area- $109,500
Resistance Area- $119,500
4H Supply Zone- $123,300 to $124,000
4H Demand Zone- $107,500 to $109,500
Psychological Levels- $120,000 and $100,000
CONTEXT 2:
Technical Structure 1- We are currently clearing out BSL to move down and test the Daily bullish Market Structure Shift. Also notice that a possible Cup and Handle formation may be forming
FVG’s:
One 4H FVG located above price. One Daily and one 4H FVG located below price at MSS level.
GOLDEN POCKET:
The 0.618 level from the initial move from the ATH is above price and lands around $118,000.
VWAP and EMA:
Daily 200 and Lower Anchored VWAP located below price at $105,000. Upper VWAP from the ATH is located below price at the moment merging with the 4H 200 and the 4H 100 and squeezing.
CONTEXT 3:
Volume Insight- Volume profile suggests that there is a massive amount of orders loaded up around $111,000. This will provide the magnetic response we need to test the MSS and move towards the Golden Pocket region.
BULLISH SCENARIO 1:
We test the Bullish Daily MSS that has been created. We clear out liquidity and get a successful retest for the breakout of the structure and then we see a new ATH
Will The Bears Dominate This Next Week?CONTEXT 1:
Support Area- $109,500
Resistance Area- $119,500
4H Supply Zone- $123,300 to $124,000
4H Demand Zone- $107,500 to $109,500
Psychological Levels- $120,000 and $100,000
CONTEXT 2:
Technical Structure 1- We are currently clearing out BSL to move down and test the Daily bullish Market Structure Shift.
FVG’s:
One 4H FVG located above price. One Daily and one 4H FVG located below price at MSS level.
GOLDEN POCKET:
The 0.618 level from the initial move from the ATH is above price and lands around $118,000.
VWAP and EMA:
Daily 200 and Lower Anchored VWAP located below price at $105,000. Upper VWAP from the ATH is located below price at the moment merging with the 4H 200 and the 4H 100 and squeezing.
CONTEXT 3:
Volume Insight- Volume profile suggests that there is a massive amout of orders loaded up around $111,000. With so much Sell Side Liquidity below built up this is a strong confluence for price to reach this level.
BULLISH SCENARIO 1:
We continue downwards to retest the bullish 1D MSS. We sweep and mitigate the 4h and 1D FVG created by the Market Structure Shift which will give us enough momentum to push up into the 0.618 level of the ATH
BEARISH SCENARIO 1:
We move up from the MSS retest when successful to tap into the 4h FVG located above price and above the 0.618 level to clear out liquidity and mitigate before we move down.
Bitcoins next major run imminent! We have a bearish Weekly RSI divergence on bitcoins chart at the same time we have TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 breaking to ATHs in the form of a giant Cup&Handle.
The most bullish moves are Failed Bear Patterns. And this Bearish RSI divergence is going to fail and become the launch pad for BTC’s next leg.
Don’t blink
Can Bitcoin break through 120,000?The Bitcoin market as a whole showed obvious "flat consolidation" characteristics over the weekend. Today's price maintained a narrow sideways fluctuation pattern, with an upper and lower range of only about 1,000 points. The bulls and bears played a moderate game in the current range, and there was no obvious directional competition. The market is temporarily in a state of accumulation.
However, from a technical perspective, after Bitcoin successfully broke through the key resistance level at the 4-hour level, it did not pull back. Instead, it showed a trend of "continuously rising lows" - that is, the low point of each pullback is higher than the previous low point. This pattern is a typical signal of a bullish trend, indicating that the overall bullish power in the market is gradually accumulating, the short-selling pressure continues to weaken, and the market direction has shifted to the bulls.
Based on this judgment, there is no need to adjust positions due to short-term sideways fluctuations. You should continue to firmly hold the long positions you have established and remain patient to "let profits fly for a while." The short-term sideways movement is more of a post-breakout accumulation phase. Once the market digests the current range, it is likely to continue its bullish trend, further opening up upside potential.
I'm Matthew, an analyst focused on technical analysis. If you have any questions regarding specific operations or trend judgments, feel free to communicate and discuss with me at any time. Let's learn trading logic together and move forward steadily in the market!
BTCUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
BTCUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short BTCUSD
Entry - 11678
Sl - 11730
Tp - 11569
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD 1H OutlookPrice rejected the strong high at 116,797 and has since consolidated within a supply zone. Sellers continue to defend this area, showing fading bullish momentum. Structure is now shifting lower, leaving the weak low at 115,174 exposed.
If this level breaks, downside liquidity at 114,687 becomes the next target. Unless buyers reclaim the 116,310 supply zone, bias remains bearish.