Next forecast out - weekend liquidity might not go the distance.I kept a larger target area as it's the weekend, and typically less orders make it to the books
BTCETH.P trade ideas
TurningPoint 7 is in (successful prediction)If you're looking to get smarter on the markets, I hope you are taking notes
It's been another week of accurate predictions over here at MTOPS
BTC SCENARIOS TODAY | BTCUSD BEARISH TREND | SEP.271. Main Trend
The market is still in a downtrend (clear bearish trendline + multiple BOS to the downside).
Current moves are just retracements within the bearish trend.
2. Key Zones
Sell Zone (priority – trend-following):
110,200 – 110,800 (confluence of FVG + Fib 0.5–0.618).
If price retraces here, look for short setups.
SL: above 111,200.
TP1: 109,000.
TP2: 108,200 (nearest support).
Buy Zone (countertrend – higher risk):
108,000 – 108,500 (strong support with previous bullish reaction).
Only consider short-term buys if a clear bullish confirmation appears.
TP: 109,500 – 110,000.
SL: below 107,700.
3. Scenarios
Most likely: Price pulls back to 110,200 – 110,800 → rejection → short opportunity.
If 108,000 breaks: Downtrend continues, potential extension toward 106,500.
If strong breakout above 111,200: Market may form a major CHoCH, shifting bias to bullish.
👉 Summary:
Main strategy: Sell at 110,200 – 110,800.
Alternative strategy: Short-term buy at 108,000 – 108,500.
Do you think I'm joking ???Bitcoin, as you can see, is within a descending wedge. If it breaks down, the price could drop below $100k, but we should wait for the breakout confirmation.
BTCUSD — What to expect?Major Trend - Uptrend
Minor Trend - Downtrend
My EW counting review:
What do I see? My views are as follows:
1. Wave V completion is possible.
2- Possibly a new major wave is formed. Wave 1 (in the blue circle)
3- A correction wave 2 (in the blue circle) is in progress.
If this is correct, then the possible corrective waves are either zigzag or flat or complex (WXY or WXYXZ) to form new wave 2 in the blue circle. At this moment, I assume zigzag correction. Need more data and time for other possible waves.
4- Possible major wave V in the red circle completion.
If this is true, we are going to see major correction waves. Need more data and time to confirm the EW numbers.
Disclaimer:
My EW counting may be wrong, and this analysis is not recommended to buy or sell. Do your own technical analysis for confirmation.
BTCUSDT (H1) – Trading ScenariosScenario 1 – Rebound from Demand Zone
The demand area at 108,500 – 108,700 remains the strongest short-term support.
If bullish reversal patterns (Pin Bar, Bullish Engulfing) form here with confirming volume, a rebound is likely.
Trade Setup: Enter long around 108,600 – 108,700, targeting 109,800 (PoC) as the first objective, and 111,900 – 112,100 (VAH) as the second.
Stop Loss: Below 108,300.
Scenario 2 – Consolidation around PoC
The PoC area at 109,400 – 110,200 represents the equilibrium zone where price may consolidate.
In this case, short-term scalping strategies can be applied: buying near the lower bound (109,400) and selling near the upper bound (110,200).
Take Profit: Quick targets of 30–50 USD.
Stop Loss: 0.3–0.5%, depending on position sizing.
Scenario 3 – Breakout above VAH
A decisive close above the 111,900 – 112,100 (VAH) zone would confirm bullish continuation.
This breakout would likely attract momentum buyers and trigger stop orders.
Trade Setup: Place buy stops at 112,150 – 112,200, aiming for 112,800 as the first target and 113,500 (liquidity zone above) as the second.
Stop Loss: If price falls back below 111,700.
Scenario 4 – Breakdown of Demand Zone
If price closes firmly below 108,500 with high volume, it signals bearish continuation.
Such a breakdown opens the path to lower liquidity levels.
Trade Setup: Enter short via sell stops at 108,450 – 108,500.
Targets: 107,800 initially, followed by 106,500.
Stop Loss: Above 108,900.
✅ Summary
Bullish setups: Buy from 108,600 – 108,700 (Demand Zone) or on breakout above 112,100.
Bearish setups: Sell if 108,500 breaks, or look for rejection signals near 113,000.
Btc / UsdtCOINBASE:BTCUSD
1. **Price Action**
* BTC dropped from \~117K to \~109K.
* Current price is consolidating around **109.5K** after a sharp fall.
2. **Levels Marked**
* **117,398 (dotted red)** → Resistance zone.
* **111,849 (gray dashed)** → Mid-level resistance/support.
* **105,736 (red dotted)** → Strong support.
* **Weekly EQ Wick (around 108K)** and a **demand zone (blue box "Bags")** → Potential bounce area.
3. **Structure**
* Trend is **short-term bearish** (lower highs, lower lows).
* Price is nearing the demand zone, so buyers may step in around **107K–106K**.
4.**Inflation**
* Rate Cut Important For Bitcoin
Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice..
The Birth of the Eurodollar Market1. What Are Eurodollars?
Before delving into history, it is important to clarify what Eurodollars are—and what they are not.
Definition: Eurodollars are U.S. dollar-denominated deposits held in banks outside the United States. Despite the name, they do not have to be in Europe; they can be anywhere in the world—London, Hong Kong, Singapore, or the Cayman Islands.
Not a Currency: Eurodollars are not a new type of dollar. They are simply U.S. dollars deposited abroad, often in time deposits, outside the jurisdiction of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Euro Prefix: The prefix “Euro” reflects their origins in Europe, specifically London, where the market first developed. Over time, similar markets developed for other currencies, such as Euroyen (yen deposits outside Japan) and Eurosterling (pound deposits outside the UK).
Offshore Feature: The critical characteristic of Eurodollars is that they exist outside the U.S. banking system, making them exempt from U.S. banking regulations, reserve requirements, and interest rate ceilings that once constrained domestic banks.
2. The Historical Backdrop: Post-War World Order
The Eurodollar market did not emerge in a vacuum; it was the result of a very specific global context in the aftermath of World War II.
2.1 Bretton Woods System
In 1944, Allied nations established the Bretton Woods system, pegging their currencies to the U.S. dollar, which in turn was convertible to gold at $35 per ounce. This made the U.S. dollar the central reserve currency of the world.
2.2 U.S. Dollar Supremacy
After the war, the U.S. economy was dominant. Europe and Japan were devastated, while the United States controlled two-thirds of the world’s gold reserves. The dollar quickly became the preferred medium of international trade and finance.
2.3 European Reconstruction and U.S. Aid
With the Marshall Plan (1948 onward), billions of U.S. dollars flowed into Europe to rebuild war-torn economies. These funds, deposited in European banks, laid the foundation for offshore dollar pools.
2.4 Cold War Pressures
The Cold War also played a role. The Soviet Union and Eastern bloc countries sought to hold their reserves in dollars rather than gold but preferred to keep them outside U.S. banks to avoid possible seizure or freezing during political tensions. This was one of the earliest catalysts for the Eurodollar market.
3. The Soviet Spark: Birth of Offshore Dollar Deposits
One of the most fascinating origin stories of the Eurodollar involves the Soviet Union.
3.1 Soviet Concerns
In the 1950s, the USSR had accumulated significant dollar reserves from trade (mainly in oil and raw materials). However, holding these reserves in U.S. banks posed political risks: Washington could freeze Soviet assets in the event of a diplomatic standoff.
3.2 Transfer to Europe
To protect itself, the USSR began placing its dollar deposits with European banks, especially in London and Paris. These banks, in turn, redeposited or lent out the funds, giving birth to the offshore dollar market.
3.3 Banque Commerciale pour l’Europe du Nord
A famous early example is Banque Commerciale pour l’Europe du Nord (BCEN), a Soviet-controlled bank in Paris, which became a channel for handling Soviet dollar reserves. By operating in Europe, it escaped U.S. oversight.
Thus, geopolitics and Soviet caution inadvertently sowed the seeds of the Eurodollar system.
4. London as the Crucible of Innovation
The Eurodollar market truly took shape in London, which offered the perfect mix of freedom, infrastructure, and financial expertise.
4.1 Sterling Decline, Dollar Ascendancy
By the 1950s, the British pound was declining as an international reserve currency, while the dollar was rising. London banks, eager to maintain their role in global finance, adapted by facilitating dollar-denominated transactions.
4.2 Bank of England’s Light Touch
Unlike U.S. regulators, the Bank of England took a relatively hands-off approach, allowing banks in London to operate more freely with offshore dollars. This regulatory leniency created fertile ground for Eurodollar growth.
4.3 Merchant Banks and the Interbank Market
London’s merchant banks, with their long history in global trade finance, were quick to recognize the opportunities of handling offshore dollars. They began creating an interbank market for lending and borrowing Eurodollars, essentially forming the skeleton of the new system.
4.4 Time-Zone Advantage
London also benefited from geography: it was conveniently located between the U.S. and Asia, making it an ideal hub for global dollar transactions.
5. U.S. Regulations and the “Push” Factor
If Europe provided the “pull,” U.S. regulations provided the “push” that drove dollars offshore.
5.1 Regulation Q (1933)
Under U.S. law, particularly Regulation Q, domestic banks faced interest rate ceilings on deposits. This meant that U.S. banks could not pay depositors above a certain rate, even when global demand for dollars pushed rates higher. Foreign banks, however, faced no such restriction.
5.2 Reserve Requirements
U.S. banks also had to hold a portion of deposits as reserves with the Federal Reserve, reducing the funds available for lending. Offshore banks did not.
5.3 Capital Controls
In the 1960s, the U.S. government introduced measures like the Interest Equalization Tax (1963) to discourage capital outflows. Ironically, this only increased demand for offshore markets where such controls did not apply.
5.4 Resulting Arbitrage
The combined effect was simple: Eurodollar deposits could offer higher returns to depositors and cheaper credit to borrowers compared to onshore U.S. banks. This regulatory arbitrage fueled explosive growth.
6. The Mechanics of the Early Eurodollar Market
6.1 Deposits and Lending
At its core, the Eurodollar market involved a straightforward process: a depositor placed dollars with a European bank, which then lent those dollars to corporations, governments, or other banks needing short-term funds.
6.2 Interbank Market
The real innovation came with the interbank market. Banks began actively trading Eurodollars among themselves, creating deep liquidity and standardizing interest rates.
6.3 LIBOR Emergence
Out of this interbank activity emerged the London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), a benchmark for global borrowing costs. LIBOR would go on to dominate international finance for decades.
6.4 Maturity and Flexibility
Unlike heavily regulated U.S. deposits, Eurodollar deposits were flexible in maturity—ranging from overnight to multi-year—making them more attractive for international businesses.
7. Explosive Growth of the Market
7.1 Early 1960s
By the early 1960s, the Eurodollar market was already expanding rapidly, with volumes reaching billions of dollars.
7.2 1970s Oil Shock
The 1973 oil crisis poured massive dollar revenues (petrodollars) into OPEC nations, which recycled them into European banks, massively boosting Eurodollar liquidity.
7.3 Globalization of Finance
Multinational corporations, sovereign borrowers, and international banks all tapped into Eurodollars, making it the de facto global money market.
7.4 Shadow Banking
By the 1980s, the Eurodollar system had become so vast and interconnected that it effectively functioned as a shadow banking system, outside the direct control of national central banks.
8. The Eurodollar Market’s Impact on Global Finance
8.1 Undermining Bretton Woods
The Eurodollar market eroded the effectiveness of Bretton Woods controls by enabling capital mobility beyond national oversight. This contributed to the system’s collapse in 1971, when the U.S. abandoned gold convertibility.
8.2 Birth of Offshore Financial Centers
The success of Eurodollars inspired the rise of offshore financial centers like the Cayman Islands, Luxembourg, and Singapore, which thrived on light regulation and tax advantages.
8.3 Financial Innovation
Eurodollars provided the platform for innovations like syndicated loans, floating rate notes, and eventually derivatives tied to LIBOR.
8.4 Monetary Policy Complications
For central banks, particularly the Federal Reserve, the Eurodollar market posed challenges. Offshore dollars were outside their regulatory control, making it harder to measure and manage global liquidity.
9. Criticisms and Risks
9.1 Lack of Transparency
Because Eurodollars existed outside regulated systems, there was limited oversight, increasing systemic risk.
9.2 Fragility in Crises
The 2008 global financial crisis highlighted how reliance on offshore dollar funding could destabilize banks worldwide when liquidity dried up.
9.3 U.S. “Extraterritorial” Influence
Even though Eurodollars were offshore, they remained tied to the U.S. dollar, giving Washington indirect power over global finance through monetary policy and sanctions.
10. Legacy and Continuing Relevance
Even today, the Eurodollar market remains enormous. While its exact size is hard to measure, it is widely believed to run into trillions of dollars, making it one of the largest pools of capital on earth.
It established the U.S. dollar as the undisputed global reserve currency.
It enabled the globalization of finance long before the internet or fintech.
It created a template for offshore, lightly regulated financial markets.
Conclusion
The Eurodollar market was not the product of deliberate design but rather an unintended outcome of Cold War politics, U.S. regulations, and European financial ingenuity. What began as a safe haven for Soviet dollar reserves evolved into a vast offshore banking system that redefined international finance.
Its birth marked the beginning of a truly globalized financial system—one in which capital could move across borders beyond the control of nation-states. The Eurodollar remains a reminder of how financial markets often grow in the gaps between regulation, geopolitics, and innovation.
BTC REMAINS BULLISH!The bullish trend in BTCUSD remains bullish meanwhile, we can see that the price is consolidating from the daily timeframe forming a wedge pattern which signals possible bullish trend continuation. In couple of months to come. We’d likely see a breakout of the wedge pattern and price May attain a new all time high.
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently moving down either within Wave C of a correction or the beginning of a stronger Wave 3 decline. Both scenarios suggest further downside pressure, with a potential target around the 100,000 USD zone. Traders should keep a bearish bias in the short term and watch for confirmations before entering.
Bitcoin – Short-Term Trading Setup Into the WeekendBitcoin – Short-Term Trading Setup Into the Weekend
Technical Analysis
On the 45-minute chart, BTC has been moving sideways inside a rectangular range. This consolidation phase often precedes a strong directional move, and the eventual breakout will provide the confirmation for the next short-term trend.
Recent lows indicate that sellers are struggling to extend pressure, suggesting a higher chance of a relief move upward.
However, there is still the possibility of a fake downside break to sweep liquidity before price resumes higher.
110,000 is the key level to monitor for potential long entries – but only after a clear breakout confirmation.
For short opportunities, the 110,700 and 111,900 zones line up with both Fibonacci retracements and Volume Profile resistance, making them attractive areas for scalping or countertrend plays.
RSI (14) is sitting around 52, reflecting neutral momentum and reinforcing the need for confirmation before committing to a position.
Trade Scenarios
Long: wait for a confirmed breakout, entry near 110,000, SL below the nearest swing low.
Short: scale in around 110,700 and 111,900, SL ~400 points.
📌 I hope this outlook proves useful for your weekend trading. I share real-time signals within my community to help traders follow the market more closely.
BTCUSD THIS WEEK SET UP PLAN If price closes above $114,000 with a strong bullish candle, the trade is invalidated. If it moves below $111,000 with bearish momentum, continue holding.
The market is trending downward from $117,900 to $108,600, indicating a continuation in bearish momentum.
A lower high is visible around $113,500, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
High liquidity is likely between $111,500 and $111,000 where previous buying pressure was observed. An order block is identified near $113,000 to $113,500, acting as a significant resistance area. The rejection candle at $113,500 indicates strong selling interest, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
BTCUSD – Short-term Downward Channel.....BTCUSD – Short-term Downward Channel, Accumulation Before a Potential Rally
Good day traders,
On the H4 timeframe, BTC is moving within a short-term descending channel. After testing a strong support level, selling pressure has started to ease. That said, the 107.4k zone has yet to be retested, and it is quite likely the price will revisit this level once again.
Technical Outlook
Over the past week, BTC has traded in a highly technical manner – with clear ranges, precise reversal points, and a sustained channel structure.
Key Support: around 107.4k, coinciding with the Long Entry Zone.
Short-term Resistance: 110k – 111k, an area where price has frequently reacted during recovery moves.
Fundamental Perspective
From a fundamental standpoint, there are currently few factors pointing to a deeper decline in BTC. Furthermore, historical patterns suggest that October is often a month where BTC and the wider crypto market tend to recover. This underpins the likelihood of a strong rebound once support has been fully tested.
Trading Scenarios
Short towards support
Entry: 110.3k
SL: 110.8k
TP: 109k – 107.6k
Long at strong support
Entry: 107.4k
SL: 106.8k
TP:Strong reaction: hold the trade, adjust SL to breakeven, and aim for higher levels in line with the broader uptrend.
Weak reaction: close around 109k for a short-term gain.
Conclusion
Short-term: preference is to look for short opportunities near 110.3k, targeting a move back towards support.
Medium-term: watch for long entries around 107.4k, with the expectation that BTC could resume an upward phase into October.
Risk Management
Adhering to stop-losses is essential, particularly for longs at support, as this is the pivotal level that may determine BTC’s next direction.
This represents my personal outlook on BTC heading into the weekend. Please take it as a reference and adapt it to your own strategy.
👉 Follow me to share scenarios and receive the quickest updates when price structure shifts.
Bitcoin: what do you see?Based on price history, the MACD and cycles suggest that bitcoin has about 3 more months left to the bull market. However, liquidity suggests there's more than 3 months left to go. What do you see?
Bearish momentum of bitcoin may halt and retrace from this suppoBearish momentum of bitcoin may halt and retrace from this support
BTCIn the short term, Bitcoin is expected to move lower. The market is showing signs of weakness, suggesting a potential bearish wave in today’s session. Traders should be cautious with long positions and look for short opportunities while monitoring key support zones for possible rebounds.
BTCUSD: Bearish Reversal on the Horizon?👋Hello everyone, what do you think about BITSTAMP:BTCUSD ?
Bitcoin is showing signs of a bearish reversal as it tests the lower boundary of its rising channel, with the likelihood of a breakdown below the trendline increasing. The diamond pattern also seems to be completing, signaling further downside potential.
Market sentiment remains cautious due to the recent rate hike by the Fed and a stronger dollar, both putting pressure on risk assets like Bitcoin.
A decisive move below the channel's support could trigger a sharp decline, targeting the $100,000 level. Keep an eye on these levels for trend confirmation.
💬What are your thoughts on BTCUSD’s outlook? Feel free to leave your comments below!
Good luck!
Another higher lowAnother higher low forming... everyone chill.
We are currently in the final LPS stage in Wyckoff reacumulation schematic. Not much more to say here. My exit is 138, 150, 170.
The market maker is doing a great job of spreading fear into the market, personally which I am very happy about. Putting fear into the masses of traders will wash out retail and liquidate them, therefore creating big price action.
However, with this schematic playing out and understanding BTC's seasonality performance this gives me all the confidence I need for this last leg of the bull run. September is historically the worst preforming month, followed by November and October which are the best preforming month outside of April. I'm chill, i'm happy and most importantly i'm emotionless.
If you think like retail, you will trade like retail.
Trade a plan and don't change it.
BTC FALL BEFORE TAKING ANOTHER SHOT AT ATHJust my take on what MIGHT happen in the coming weeks
Feel another fall is likely before consolidating and taking another shot at ATH
Lets see what happens
(NFA - Trade at your own risk, don't blame me if you blow your account 😘)
BTCUSDDo you see what I see?? Another push to the downside... Let's see what Price does.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
#Bitcoin SELL SIGNAL Hello group. As of today we have a target at $105,000.00. We hit the last target of $109,00 to $108,009.
Just updating from our AI system model. Please use this as a guideline.
It one heck of a game to play. Please be very careful as Institutionals are also involved.
BITCOIN LOCAL LONG|
✅BTCUSD Price reclaims neckline support, showing ICT displacement from the demand area. Smart Money aims for higher liquidity toward 111,000$ to rebalance inefficiency. Time Frame 1H.
LONG🚀
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Watch this to find out where to find my setup video...it's good!Once again I called this market behavior many hours ahead of time.
If you are on your learning journey, I would recommend you watch that video to try repeat some of the strategy yourself
