BTCETH.P trade ideas
Complicated Market… AgainComplicated Market… Again 🎯📈
Today’s market is complex — BTC, ETH, SOL — nothing is straightforward. If you’re trading today, the message is simple: follow the structure, respect the levels, and stay alert to real-time price action. The market is alive, evolving minute by minute, and we need to be ready for both breakouts and fakeouts.
Bitcoin (BTC) – Watch these levels closely:
-Key resistance: 118,689 – 118,540. A daily close above this opens room for upside continuation.
-Immediate support zones: 113,200 → 110,641 → 108,000.
-If BTC drops below 115k, prepare for a potential deeper test of support.
-Price under 115k = caution; over 115–118k = potential long zone.
Ethereum (ETH) – Structured trades for today:
-Resistance: 4,551 – the last major rejection.
-Key entry zones: Buy low near 4,326, or breakout above 4,560 for continuation.
-ETH remains a key barometer for altcoin momentum; watch it closely.
Altcoins & Solana (SOL) – Secondary, but still important:
-SOL continues to outperform, but trade it with context.
Channels and classic structure hold. Breakouts can be manipulated, so mid-channel and top-channel levels are key:
• Mid-channel: 196–234
• Upper resistance: 271–362
The 1.414 Fib level acts as a magnet for smart money — keep it in mind as a warning, not a target. ( )
Dominance & Market Sentiment
-BTC dominance is trapped in 58–56.9% range — when dominance drops, alts have room to move.
-ETH dominance is holding a strong level (13.82–18.14) — a signal for caution in alt season.
Today, it’s about reading these signals in real time and adjusting trades according to what the charts are telling you.
The takeaway: Markets today are not straightforward. Breakouts are real, but fakeouts exist. Smart money influences levels, but the structure never lies. Stay disciplined, follow the charts, and trade the levels — not the hype. Real-time observation is everything today.
🔄 Mindset Check 🧘
“Today’s market is complicated, but clarity comes from structure. Respect the levels, manage risk, and remember: patience beats prediction.”
Disclaimer: These are my personal observations for today’s market. They are not financial advice. Every trade is your responsibility. Trade wisely, manage risk, and protect your capital. And remember it's all a game, play to have fun, your goal is to make dough but remember to manage emotions and risk or you are doomed
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
UPDATE: The Test before the rally for Bitcoin to $146,942?Bitcoin hit $124,000 and looked like it was only the start of the target to $200,000.
But now, we can see there has been a retrace, a test and now it seems it wants to go up further.
This CUp and Handle is a large one and time is needed for this to play out.
We have the risk and reward levels in place, so we'll now have to wait for it pick up momentum.
Either it can take a few months or a few weeks, all depends on the catapult motion.
MAJOR Cup and Handle forming.
Price> 20 and 200MA
Target 146,942
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"BTC/USD: Bearish Structure with Target Toward Demand Zone"
1. Market Context
On the 15-minute chart, BTC/USD is currently exhibiting a short-term **bearish market structure**, following a clear **Break of Structure (BOS)** at the $115,662 level. This shift came after a strong rejection from the identified **supply zone** between $116,250 and $116,365.54. Since then, price has been trading within a **bearish range**, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows.
2. Key Technical Zones
*Supply Zone:$116,250 – $116,365.54
This is a key resistance area where selling pressure was previously dominant.
*Demand Zone: $114,167.58 – $114,698.53
This zone may act as support and is a potential area for bullish reaction if price retraces lower.
*Unfilled Zone: Below $114,167
Represents a price inefficiency (also referred to as imbalance or FVG) that may draw price further down if the demand zone fails to hold.
3. Price Action Overview
* The market has transitioned into a **bearish range** post-BOS, indicating that intraday momentum currently favors sellers.
* A **short-term risky short setup** is noted near $115,540. However, due to its proximity to the BOS and potential retracement, this setup is considered high-risk.
* A potential **short-term target** has been identified at $114,560.32, located within the active demand zone, aligning with historical reaction levels.
4. Recent Price Behavior
*Consolidation Phase: Price traded sideways in a range before the breakout, building liquidity on both sides.
*Order Block (OB): A bullish order block was formed before the upward impulse; however, post-breakdown, it has been invalidated, reinforcing bearish sentiment.
5. Technical Outlook
* As long as price remains below the BOS level at $115,662, the **short-term structure remains bearish**.
* If price continues lower and enters the **demand zone**, the area between $114,560 and $114,167 could be tested.
* A break and sustained move below the demand zone would expose the **unfilled zone**, increasing the probability of further downside.
* Conversely, if price reclaims the BOS level and consolidates above $115,662, the bearish bias would be invalidated, suggesting a potential trend reversal.
Final Thought:
BTC/USD is currently trading within a **bearish intraday structure**, with lower timeframe dynamics favoring continued downside toward the $114,560 target. While short opportunities exist,
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory with BTC/USD If you’ve ever stared at a Bitcoin chart and thought, “ This looks like chaos ”, Ralph Nelson Elliott might disagree with you. Back in the 1930s, Elliott proposed that markets aren’t just random squiggles — they actually move in recognizable rhythms. This became known as Elliott Wave Theory .
So, what is Elliott Wave Theory? In the simplest terms, it’s the idea that market psychology unfolds in waves: five steps forward, three steps back, repeat. Not every chart follows it perfectly, but when you see it play out, it feels like spotting order in the middle of crypto madness.
⚠️ Before we dive in: remember, no single tool or pattern works alone. Elliott wave trading is most useful when combined with other methods.
The Elliott Wave Principle
At the heart of the Elliott Wave principle are two phases:
Impulse Waves (5 waves) : Markets advance in five moves — three with the trend, two counter-trend. This is when optimism snowballs.
Corrective Waves (3 waves) : The market cools off in three moves. Usually messy, choppy, and fueled by doubt.
Put them together, and you get a “5-3“ structure that repeats at different scales. That’s what gives Elliott Wave its fractal character. Again, don’t treat this as a crystal ball. Elliott Wave Theory rules are guidelines, not guarantees. Real-world Bitcoin charts bend, stretch, and sometimes ignore them altogether.
Elliott Wave Theory Explained with BTC
Let’s use an example: Bitcoin’s rally from early 2025 till now .
This downturn marked the first step in a broader consolidation, signaling that momentum was beginning to fade.
The corrective sequence unfolded in a classic A-B-C structure.
❗This three-part move effectively reset the market, washing out excess leverage and preparing the ground for the next impulsive cycle.
From that low, Bitcoin launched into a textbook five-wave impulsive rally.
This initial leg down, labeled wave (a), suggested that a larger corrective phase was now underway, replacing the bullish momentum with profit-taking and distribution.
That’s a textbook case of Bitcoin Elliott wave analysis . But notice: it wasn’t clean. Some traders counted the waves differently. Some saw extensions or truncations. That’s the thing with Elliott — interpretation matters as much as the rules.
Elliott Wave Theory Rules and Flexibility
The classic Elliott wave rules say things like: Wave 2 can’t retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest impulse wave. Wave 4 can’t overlap with Wave 1 in most cases.
But in practice, Bitcoin often blurs these lines. Extreme volatility, liquidation cascades, and macro shocks can distort wave counts. That’s why even seasoned analysts will say, “This is my Elliott count,” not the Elliott count.
The takeaway? Think of Elliott as a lens, not a lawbook.
Tools That Pair with Elliott
Many traders use the MT5 Elliott Wave Indicator or TradingView drawing tools to sketch their wave counts. Despite the waves becoming far more meaningful when tied to other signals:
Fibonacci Retracements: For example, watching how corrections line up with golden pocket levels. Momentum Oscillators: That confirm or contradict the wave structure. Macro Sentiment: Shifts that often align with corrective or impulsive phases.
Elliott Wave Theory trading doesn’t exist in a vacuum. Used alone, it’s like trying to predict the weather with just cloud shapes.
Why Beginners Should Care
If you’re new, you might be asking: “ Okay, but why bother with this at all? ” The answer: Elliott Wave Theory explained the psychology behind price swings long before the existence of cryptocurrency. It captures the human emotions behind markets — fear, greed, doubt, euphoria. And Bitcoin, perhaps more than any other asset, runs on psychology.
So whether you’re sketching waves, testing them on the Bitcoin Elliott wave chart , or just trying to understand why BTC always seems to surge then collapse, this framework helps put the chaos into context.
Final Thoughts 🌊
What is Elliott Wave Theory in trading? It’s not a magic formula. It’s a structured way of looking at markets through recurring patterns of optimism and pessimism.
And just like with every other tool we’ve discussed, it’s not about using it alone. The best insights come when you combine the Elliott Wave principle with other indicators: Fibonacci, moving averages, and even plain old support and resistance.
So the next time someone posts a “ wave count ” on a Bitcoin Elliott Wave analysis, don’t take it as gospel. Treat it as one possible map of where we are in the cycle. Because in trading, it’s never about certainty. It’s about perspective.
This analysis is performed on historical data, does not relate to current market conditions, is for educational purposes only, and is not a trading recommendation.
SELL BTCUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 116
SELL BTCUSD for bullish divergence trend reversal STOP LOSS: 116,945
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the MACD already and There is a strong trend reversal on the 4hour time frame chart.....
The 4 hour time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT: take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with........
Bitcoin Bollinger Band ChartThis TradingView chart of Bitcoin combines Bollinger Bands, RSI, and Stoch RSI, giving a well-rounded view of price action and momentum. The Bollinger Bands help identify volatility and potential breakout or reversal zones when price touches or moves outside the bands. The RSI highlights overbought or oversold conditions, signaling when momentum may be stretched. The Stoch RSI adds an extra layer of precision by showing faster shifts in momentum within those RSI levels. Together, these indicators provide traders with insight into both market trend strength and potential turning points.
Playing the Short-Term Setups with Clear Risk/RewardPlaying the Short-Term Setups with Clear Risk/Reward
Is BTC going to rally or are we living the end of a cycle? Would love to read your opinion in comments :)
I’ve mentioned before how crucial the $107k level is in the bigger picture, and I still stand by it.
It’s a major support zone and losing it could open the door for deeper corrections, as stated in the previous idea.
But as traders, we don’t need to predict the future months ahead. What makes me smile is finding clear, short-term opportunities with solid margins.
Right now, price is testing a local resistance.
🚀 If we get a clean breakout, I’m looking to go long , aiming for about +5.5% upside with just 1.5% risk (stop loss). That’s the kind of asymmetric setup I love.
📉 On the flip side, if Bitcoin slips below $107k, instead of panicking, I’ll look for the fast and easy short trade.
The idea is to capture a quick 5% downside move with again a tight 1.5% stop loss , knowing that volatility and rebounds in these zones make hard to hold a long term bearish position.
👉 I’m not here to predict the “final direction” for the long term.
I like to focus on trading with safety, confidence, and wide profit margins in the short term. That’s where my consistency is built.
Can Bitcoin still break through the highs?Today, Bitcoin's price has moved upward to test the key resistance level we mentioned earlier as expected, and this trend is fully in line with our previous strategic prediction of "exchanging time for space". Looking back at the previous market consolidation phase, we repeatedly emphasized that "there is no need to rush for short-term operations; let the bullets fly for a while" — this judgment was based on the understanding that the market needs time to accumulate momentum and wait for the trend to become clear. Now, as the price gradually reaches the target resistance level, the strategy of holding positions patiently in the early stage has reached a realization node. Currently, we can prioritize taking partial profits by closing some positions: this move not only locks in the considerable profits already obtained and avoids profit retracement caused by market pullbacks but also retains flexible space for subsequent operations.
From the perspective of subsequent market deduction, if the price is accompanied by significant volume expansionwhen testing the resistance level this time and successfully breaks through it, it indicates that the bullish momentum already has the energy to continuously drive the market. At this time, there is no need to rush to chase the rally; instead, we can wait for the price to retrace to confirm the validity of the breakout before following up to add positions and seize the new round of upward market. If the breakout fails to be supported by volume, we need to be alert to the risk of short-term pullback and maintain the existing positions for observation. In addition, we need to focus on the next resistance level above — around the 118,000 mark. This level is not only an important resistance zone formed by previous transactions but also highly correlated with market psychological expectations, and will become a core node for whether the subsequent market can further open up upward space.
If you lose your direction amid such market moves, you can follow me or leave me a message.
September 11 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis (CPI)Hello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
The CPI indicator will be released shortly at 9:30 AM.
I implemented the strategy based on Nasdaq movements.
*When the red finger moves,
Long position strategy
Confirm the upward wave by touching the first section above (autonomous shorting)
1. $113,727 long position entry point / Stop loss if the light blue support line is broken
2. $114,764.3 long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd target
If the daily candlestick forms before 9:00 AM tomorrow,
you can switch to a short position if the top section is touched.
You can also use the first section shown as a long position switching point.
If the price falls immediately without touching the purple finger at the top, the final long position is at the second level. The strategy was to place a stop-loss order from the breakout of the light blue support line until the possibility of a sideways movement.
From the breakout of the light blue support line, the price opens up to the bottom -> level 3, so long positions should be cautious.
Please use my analysis to this point for reference only.
I hope you operate safely, adhering to principled trading and a stop-loss order.
Thank you.
Precise Prediction and Forecast for BTCUSD MarketYesterday, we accurately predicted that BTC would rally to around 116,000 USD and face certain resistance. Today, after breaking through 116,000 USD as expected, the price retraced to hover around 115,000 USD.
Looking ahead, if BTC can stabilize near the 115,000 USD level, it is highly likely to continue its upward trajectory, with the potential to retest the 120,000 USD mark. For upper resistance, the focus remains on the 117,000–118,000 USD range
Buy 114000-114500
TP 115000-116000-1175000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
Short-term analysisAs mentioned in the previous analysis, the price reached the **116** level, and now, due to the prevailing weakness, if confirmed, there is a possibility of a correction down to the **114.160** area.However, at the time I’m posting this analysis, trading volume is very low, so the likelihood of fake moves is high.
BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisLooking at the BTCUSD 4-hour chart, the price has recently exhibited a dynamic trend. After a prior upward movement, it underwent a pullback. Now, it has found solid support at the 112,500 level. This support zone appears reliable, as the price has stabilized above it, indicating that buying interest has emerged here to prevent further declines.
In terms of resistance, the 116,000 level is a key hurdle to watch. If the price can successfully break through 116,000 with strong momentum, it would open the door to further upside potential. Before that, the 115,000 level could act as a near-term resistance to test the bulls' strength.
For traders, the strategy could be to monitor the price action around the 112,500 support. If the support holds and there are signs of a bullish reversal , it may be an opportunity to consider long positions with a target towards 115,000 and then 116,000. Conversely, a breakdown below 112,500 would shift the bias to the downside, with the next support level to watch at 110,640
Overall, the near-term trend hinges on the price's interaction with the 112,500 support and the subsequent attempt to challenge the 115,000 - 116,000 resistance zone.
Buy 112500 - 113500
TP 114500 - 115500 - 116000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
"Bitcoin Bulls in Control | Key Targets Ahead"Bitcoin is currently trading around 115,000 – 115,300, holding strongly above the trendline support. The overall structure is bullish, and buyers are pushing momentum higher.
✅ Entry Zone (Buy Area): 115,000 – 115,300
🎯 Target 1: 119,000 (first bullish target / short-term resistance)
🎯 Target 2: 124,000 (extended bullish target / major resistance)
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 113,800 (if price closes under trendline support)
Price bounced after a corrective move and is now moving inside an upward channel.
Both Ichimoku and volume action confirm bullish momentum.
As long as price holds above 113,800, buyers remain in control and the market has strong potential to reach 119k – 124k.
⚖️ Risk–Reward Ratio: Attractive upside potential with a safe stop-loss level, making it a solid bullish setup.
Bitcoin to Face Heavy Resistance Ahead?BTCUSD is approaching a strong supply zone 🔴 around $118K – $120K, where sellers previously stepped in. If price rejects here, we could see a sharp drop back toward the $102K – $104K support line.
📊 Current Price: $115,997
⚡ Bias: Bearish rejection at resistance
📍 Key Levels:
Resistance: $118K – $120K
Support: $102K – $104K
🔎 What I’m Watching:
Reaction once BTC hits the red zone 🔴.
Any bearish candlestick patterns confirming rejection.
Possible swing trade short opportunity targeting $104K.
❓ Do you think Bitcoin will break through $120K or dump hard to $104K? Share your thoughts 👇
Bullish momentum to extend?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support, and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 113,062.07
1st Support: 110,869.14
1st Resistance: 118,296.79
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bulish continuation?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 114,561.75
1st Support: 111,336.85
1st Resistance: 117,304.22
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSD – Sell setupBitcoin is currently showing signs of potential downside, with expectations for the price to move toward 110,840. However, there is still room for the market to extend higher toward 116,300 and possibly 117,000 before reversing.
For now, any upward move should be viewed as an opportunity to look for sell setups, as long as price action confirms weakness at those higher levels. Traders should closely monitor rejection signals around resistance zones to align with the bearish bias