BTCUSD Long Idea: Bullish Break and Retest of Key LevelHello TradingView Community,
This post outlines a potential long trade setup on the Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTCUSD) pair, based on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
The chart is showing a potential shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. A key horizontal price level can be identified at approximately $111,684.09. This level previously acted as a support zone before a breakdown, and subsequently served as a resistance ceiling.
We have recently witnessed a strong breakout above this key level, suggesting that buyers are stepping in with force. The trading idea is based on a classic "break and retest" scenario. The expectation is that the price will pull back to this former resistance level, which is now anticipated to act as new support. A successful bounce from this area would provide a confirmation to enter a long position.
Trade Setup:
The long position tool on the chart visualizes a potential trade plan based on this bullish outlook:
Entry: Approximately $111,684.09 (at the retest of the new support).
Stop Loss: $109,435.79 (placed below the support structure to invalidate the idea if the level fails to hold).
Take Profit: $120,820.14 (targeting a new higher high, representing the next potential leg up).
This setup offers a structured plan with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a potential bullish continuation.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and discussion purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk. Please conduct your own due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Btc / UsdtCOINBASE:BTCUSD
1. **Price Action**
* BTC dropped from \~117K to \~109K.
* Current price is consolidating around **109.5K** after a sharp fall.
2. **Levels Marked**
* **117,398 (dotted red)** → Resistance zone.
* **111,849 (gray dashed)** → Mid-level resistance/support.
* **105,736 (red dotted)** → Strong support.
* **Weekly EQ Wick (around 108K)** and a **demand zone (blue box "Bags")** → Potential bounce area.
3. **Structure**
* Trend is **short-term bearish** (lower highs, lower lows).
* Price is nearing the demand zone, so buyers may step in around **107K–106K**.
4.**Inflation**
* Rate Cut Important For Bitcoin
Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice..
BTC REMAINS BULLISH!The bullish trend in BTCUSD remains bullish meanwhile, we can see that the price is consolidating from the daily timeframe forming a wedge pattern which signals possible bullish trend continuation. In couple of months to come. We’d likely see a breakout of the wedge pattern and price May attain a new all time high.
Everyone screaming uPtOBer - but Bitcoin has a way of surprising- let me start this analysis by saying we are definitely in a supercycle and the entire crypto market is likely to see much much higher prices in 2026
- however there is reason to believe Bitcoin, as the main driver of the market, is simply not ready for trending conditions yet
- a pullback to 110k is likely, perhaps even as low as 100k
- if bulls are serious this time, they need to conquer key resistance (white dotted line)
BTCUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE BTC is currently holding strong above key support zones, showing bullish momentum building up. If the market continues to respect this structure, a possible upward move can be expected. A breakout above the resistance could trigger fresh buying pressure, opening the way for higher levels. Overall, price action is suggesting that buyers are still in control, and any sustained strength could lead BTC toward new highs in the coming sessions.
BTC: 116K Smashed! 120K Next Target?BTC: 116K Smashed! 120K Next Target?
Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a strong bullish trend on the 4-hour chart. Following a confirmed dou-ble bottom formation around the 108K level, we've observed a sustained upward movement within a defined ascending channel.
The recent breakout above the 116K resistance zone is a significant technical development, indi-cating robust buying pressure. This move suggests that previous resistance has now effectively flipped to support.
Our immediate focus shifts to the 118K to 120K range. This area represents a critical psychologi-cal and technical hurdle, where we anticipate potential selling pressure or consolidation.
Maintaining price action above the 114K support clusters will be crucial for the bullish trend to re-main intact, underpinning further upside potential.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
BTCUSD (Bitcoin / USD) chart on the 3H timeframe:BTCUSD (Bitcoin / USD) chart on the 3H timeframe:
Current price: 112,663.
BTC has broken below the trendline and Ichimoku cloud, confirming strong bearish momentum.
A major support at 113,000 has been broken.
The chart clearly marks a downside target.
📉 Target: Around 108,000 – 108,200 (as per your chart’s marked “Target Point”).
⚠ Key zones to watch:
Resistance (turned from support): 113,000 – 114,500.
If BTC retests this zone and fails, the move toward 108,000 becomes more likely.
If BTC closes back above 115,000, it could invalidate the bearish move.
👉 So my chart’s main target = 108,000 zone.
BTCUSD on the 30m timeframe1. Trend Context
BTCUSD on the 30m timeframe remains in a clear downtrend, forming consistent Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
2. Key Zones
SZ (Supply Zone): 114,250 – 114,750. Origin of the strong selloff, major resistance if price retraces upward.
SR (Structure Reversal): 113,000 – 113,250. Previously marked a short-term structural shift, now likely to act as dynamic resistance.
DZ (Demand Zone): 111,200 – 111,750. Price is currently testing this zone, which serves as short-term support.
3. Trading Scenarios
If DZ holds, a short-term bounce toward SR is possible.
If price rejects at SR, it offers a favorable short setup in line with the prevailing downtrend.
If DZ breaks, the downtrend may extend with a target around 110,000 or lower.
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BTC H&S COULD FAIL. THINK ABOUT STOP "SELL" $110.3K ORDERMorning folks,
We're keep watching over big reverse H&S pattern here. Last time we warned about USD liquidity issues, this is actually why BTC collapsed down to 111K support.
And idea was to not buy just at the level, but watch for confirmation in a way of some bullish patterns. Now I do not see any. Widening triangle makes me think that downside action could have even more chances than reversal.
That's why, we think about using of Stop "Sell" entry order around 110.3-110.5K area for position taking if downside breakout will happen. This is comfortable, because if still upside action starts - this order remains unfilled.
As we do not see yet any signs of reversal, we do not consider long entry. Let's see, maybe something will change on Monday. But today I keep "bearish" mark for this idea.
Bitcoin key demand zone and movement scenariosOn the 4H BTCUSD chart price is consolidating around 111,000–112,000 under selling pressure. The key demand zone lies between 107,000–105,000 with the next strong support at 100,800. Losing these levels could accelerate bearish momentum. On the upside, a breakout above 115,800 and confirmation above 117,500 would open the path toward 120,000 and potentially higher. Investor interest in Bitcoin remains strong, with institutions continuing to hold positions despite local corrections. The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve’s policy and USD dynamics, both of which directly impact risk assets. In times of uncertainty cryptocurrencies continue to serve as an attractive diversification tool. BTC remains highly volatile, with 105,000 as key support and 117,500–120,000 as resistance. If risk appetite returns, growth scenarios could develop, yet a decline toward 100,000 cannot be ruled out. Risk management and partial entries remain essential.
Bitcoin will Retest Support Before the Next Leg UpHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The market structure for Bitcoin has seen a significant shift from bearish to bullish, following a strong reversal from the 109300 - 110000 buyer zone. This pivotal move led to a breakout from a prior downward wedge, invalidating the bearish trend and establishing the current, well-defined upward channel. The price action for BTC has since been constructive, creating a series of higher highs and higher lows within the boundaries of this new channel. Currently, the asset is undergoing a healthy corrective phase after being rejected from the highs, and the price is now trading at a critical inflection point, close to the ascending support line of the channel. In my mind, this pullback represents a classic trend-continuation opportunity. I expect that the price will bounce from the channel's ascending support line. I think this rebound will have enough momentum to break through the 117500 Resistance Level and continue its rally towards the major seller zone. Therefore, I have placed my TP at 119500. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD 1D Chart🔎 key levels
• Resistance: approx. 117,971 USD
• Resistance: approx. 111 426 USD -
• Support 2: approx. 108 292 USD - the course is testing this level.
• Strong support: approx. 103 883 USD - strategic defense level.
📈 Trend
• You can see a clear upward trend (orange trend line), but has just been violated by a strong relegation candle.
• It can be a signal of buyers' weaknesses.
📊 oscillator (Stoch RSI)
• It is very low (close to the sale zone).
• This means that a short -term reflection may occur, but there is no confirmation.
🚩 Scenarios
1. Bycza - if the course reflects from 108k and returns above 111k, a possible approach to 117K.
BTCUSDT Cut n Reverse Area? what's next??#BTCUSDT - perfect holdings upside as we discussed in our last idear regarding Bitcoin and now market just reached at his ultimate area/region, that is around 107500-700
keep close that region because that is market full n final region for buyers.
dont hold your buying positions below that.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below that that region.
good luck
trade wisely
Bitcoin · The Next Leg Is LoadingBitcoin has been in a long consolidation, and I want to share a few things that stand out to me right now.
The Fed is lining up for a rate cut in December. Odds are now above 80% that rates will move down toward the 3.50%–3.75% range. Whenever liquidity opens up, Bitcoin tends to benefit. That’s one piece of the puzzle.
Another piece is regulation. Since the start of Trump’s second term, the U.S. has taken a friendlier stance. A strategic Bitcoin reserve, the Clarity Act, and crypto-friendly leadership at the SEC all point to a shift that gives institutions more confidence.
And then there’s Gold. It’s already at all-time highs. Historically, Gold runs first, Bitcoin follows. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could be setting up for its next move higher.
On the chart, BTC is sitting around $111k. Price is under the 50-day MA but still well above the 200-day at $104k. That’s not a broken trend, that’s a pause. The real battleground is $111k–$108k. Hold that zone, and the path to $118k–$124k opens. Lose it, and we could be testing $104k next.
Sentiment is still cautious, even leaning toward fear. Funny enough, that’s often when Bitcoin starts building strength in the background. Meanwhile, altcoins are still enjoying liquidity while BTC moves sideways — the usual rotation we’ve seen many times before.
For me, the plan is simple:
Keep the BTC core position steady.
Trade alts tactically, don’t overstay.
Watch $118k — if we break through, it’s likely the start of Bitcoin’s next major leg.
Medium term, I’m looking at $150k–$180k this cycle. Long term, $200k+ isn’t unrealistic if the trend holds.
For now, it feels like the calm before the storm.
TheCryptoFire
BTCUSD REMAINS BEARISH TREND | BTC PLAN SEP.26 📊 BTC/USD – M45 Analysis
Market Structure:
The overall structure remains bearish, confirmed by multiple Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
The downtrend line is intact, showing sellers are still in control.
Recent price action is consolidating just below the FVG (Fair Value Gap) and the fib retracement zone.
🎯 Trading Plan (Intraday, M45)
Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability):
If price retraces to the 111,000 – 111,200 FVG/supply zone, look for rejection signals → potential short entries targeting 109,000 and then 108,000.
Bullish Scenario (Countertrend):
If price breaks and closes strongly above 111,200, it would invalidate the bearish trendline and shift short-term momentum upward. In that case, target would be the next supply around 113,000 – 114,000.
BTC (daily)- The second half of September has shown stronger red candles compared to the green candles in early September, indicating increased downward momentum.
- Based on the descending channel pattern, the price appears to be approximately halfway through its downward movement.
- The price is likely to clear the liquidity zones in Zone 1 and Zone 2 before advancing toward an order block.
- My target is where the lower border of the descending price channel converges with the price zone of the order block.
Bitcoin Trading Strategies AnalysisFrom a short-term perspective, the price of Bitcoin has entered a narrow range after falling below the key $110,000 mark, with bulls and bears engaged in a tug-of-war around the current price.
From a 4-hour perspective, the Bollinger Bands are trading in a narrow range, and the price has entered the upper edge of a triangle consolidation range, facing short-term resistance and the risk of a breakout or pullback.
From a market perspective, the Ministry of Finance is slowing its bond issuance pace, and a window for liquidity to return may emerge in mid-October. Historical data shows an 83% probability of an October increase, with an average return exceeding 20%.
Traditionally, we recommend focusing on range trading in the short term, adhering to the strategy of "shorting at highs first, buying at lows second."
For investors who currently hold positions or are unsure how to trade, please like my profile and visit my channel. I will provide exclusive trading services for members!
BTC Trade Setup: Dip Buy Zone at 113.8K, Breakout Above 115K1. Trend
BTC is currently in a short-term uptrend (multiple BOS and higher highs).
Price is stalling around Fib 0.5–0.618 zone (114,800 – 114,900).
The uptrend line is still holding for now.
2. Key Levels
Resistance: 114,800 – 115,000 (Fib 0.5–0.618).
Support zones:
113,800 – 114,000 (nearest FVG).
113,200 – 113,400 (previous structure + FVG).
111,800 – 112,200 (deeper FVG if correction extends).
3. Trading Plan (scenarios)
Scenario 1 – Buy with trend:
Wait for retracement into 113,800 – 114,000 zone.
Entry: Buy inside this zone.
SL: Below 113,600.
TP1: 114,800 – 115,000.
TP2: 115,500+.
Scenario 2 – Short-term Sell:
If price breaks below the trendline + closes under 114,000.
Entry: Sell on pullback.
TP1: 113,200.
TP2: 112,200.
4. Outlook
Short-term: Likely to retrace into 113,800 – 114,000 FVG before retesting 114,800 – 115,000 resistance.
If breaks above 115,000, next bullish target is 115,600 – 116,000.
If loses 113,800, a deeper correction toward 113,200 – 112,200 is expected.