BTC/USD Bullish Pennant – Breakout Entry Setup✅ BTC/USD Pennant Breakout – Technical Analysis
Chart Breakdown
The chart shows Bitcoin forming a bullish pennant pattern on the 45-min timeframe.
A pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (pole), followed by price compression between:
Descending trendline (upper)
Ascending/flat trendline (lower)
This usually signals continuation in the direction of the previous trend, which in this case is upward.
Key Levels
Entry Zone: Just above the pennant resistance (breakout zone).
Stop-Loss: Below the pennant support — good risk management.
Target: Projected by measuring the previous impulse (the pennant pole) and extending it upward.
Market Signals
✔ Price is squeezing near the apex — breakout imminent.
✔ Buyers appear to be defending the lower trendline.
✔ If price breaks and closes above resistance, upside continuation becomes likely.
✘ But if price rejects and falls below support, the setup invalidates.
Bias
Bullish Continuation – If breakout occurs with strong volume.
✅ Title Suggestion
“BTC/USD Bullish Pennant – Breakout Setup Forming”
Trade ideas
BTC Bullish Zigzag Pattern (Elliott Wave)As an isolated, short-term pattern, BTC has formed into a near-perfect zigzag pattern. Wave-A is a violent monowave. Wave-B retraces exactly 61.8% of A and is structurally a flat pattern and a polywave. Wave-C relates to (A+B)/2 in time, 80% of wave-A in price, and is an impulsive wave.
Beyond the Neowave considerations, there's also a clear bullish momentum divergence, multi-peak AO, daily/4hr 1st wiseman, and 4hr 2nd wiseman (fractal).
Given all these considerations, and without considering the longer-term pattern, we are set for a decent bounce here which could potentially go to new all time highs.
After speaking privately with Glenn Neely, he also thinks BTC is nearing the final blow-off phase which could take us as high as $250k, and ending sometime early next year.
While I personally feel less confident about any long-term count now given multiple possibilities, at the very least, I think it's a good idea to be on the long-side here unless we clearly break through the $98-93k range. Especially because of this short-term pattern in isolation meeting all the normal signals I look for in a bottom pattern.
As things continue to develop it may be easier to see a single longer-term count emerging, especially as we near the conclusion of the long-term pattern. For now, it doesn't make a big difference what exactly the count for the long-term wave up is, just that there's a very high probability it is not yet finished and we are hitting a short-term bottom now.
if Bear Mkt BTC Target as last cycle's Now Between 56K to 48KIf similar 2017 Top Cycle:
56 K at 200 Weekly SMA and 50 Monthly SMA
57K also 38.2 Fib (of this Cycle) from 15k to ATH
If similar 2021 Top Cycle: could drop till 45K the 50 Fib of actual Cycle and below the 200 Weeky SMA.
If is important to state because the actual Week and the next week the price must be below the 200 Daily SMA and 50 Weekly SMA both at 102K.
Also November must end at 99K at the most, meaning the 100K level has been breked. If the price end up or at this SMA mention is a Bullis signal (up or at 103K).
BTC/USD strong buy trend bullish from key support 102,500 BTC/USD Update – 1H Timeframe 🔥
BTC is showing a strong buy trend. Current support is around $102,500, presenting a potential buy opportunity.
Technical Targets / Resistance Levels:
$104,400
$105,000
$106,500
Note: Always use proper risk management and position sizing before entering trades.
✅ Like, Follow, Comment & Share for more updates.
Bitcoin Market Truth: Whales, Corrections, and the BraveHello my friends,
I have carefully analyzed Bitcoin for you.
Markets never move straight up; they progress with corrections. Whales often take profit along the way. Think of it like running a supermarket: you buy apples at the cheapest price so that when customers purchase from you, you make a profit. Whales use the same logic. They trick people into thinking prices are falling, but in reality, their goal is to balance supply and demand. They feed on the losses of others.
For me, the most suitable buying zone is between 85,000 and 74,000 dollars. From this range I will enter the trade, with my first target at 107,000 and my second target at 120,000 dollars.
This business belongs to the fearless and the brave. If you act out of fear of losing money, this is not for you. Those who cannot manage risk should look for other paths.
My dear friends, every single like you give is my greatest motivation to continue sharing these analyses. Thank you to all who support me—you are the reason I keep going.
Each of my followers is like family to me, never forget that.
⚠️ And remember this: In trading, don’t trust everyone who calls themselves a “trader.” Most of the people you follow don’t earn a cent in their real accounts. This is not an easy business. Around 90% of people lose consistently, while only about 10% make money regularly. Many YouTubers or influencers you see online don’t actually profit with their real money. In fact, some of the celebrities you follow come to me asking for analysis. I won’t expose names, but these are the facts.
Respect and love
BTCPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTC PERPETUAL TRADE BUY SETUP Long from $103,400BTC PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $103,400
Currently $103,400
Targeting $105,500 or Above
(Trading plan IF BTC
go down to $102,600 will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
Bitcoin Short: Staying in Primary count (down)As I discussed in my previous video, there are 2 ways to count the EW for Bitcoin: 1 long and 1 short. I also mentioned that my bias is to the short side which is why Bitcoin short is the primary count while the long is the alternate count.
Over in this idea, I am updating the counts based on the short primary counts. The stop loss for this idea will be above sub-wave 2, or above $107,800. The Take Profit Target will be cycle wave 4 low, or around $74,400.
Good luck!
Bitcoin Analysis and StrategiesYesterday, Monday, the market opened with an initial upward move, reaching a high of 106.6k before pulling back. During the US session, it bottomed at 104.6k before rebounding, ultimately closing around 106k, forming a consecutive bullish pattern on the daily chart. Today, it opened higher, reaching around 107.5k.
Currently, the daily chart shows three consecutive positive days, which is indeed quite good considering the overall upward trend. However, we cannot ignore the weakness on the weekly chart, nor can we ignore Tuesday's usual decline. The decline in the past few days has created a lot of resistance. Now, the bulls are constantly making new highs, so we need to continue to look for new resistance. Today, we should focus on the 110k-110.5k area. On the first touch, we can consider a small short position to profit from a short-term downward move.
Yesterday, the price tested 104.6k multiple times and rebounded. This point was also the highest point of the first rebound since the 99k decline. At that time, the starting point of the new round of decline was 104.5k. The subsequent breakout formed a top-to-bottom reversal. Firstly, the four-hour chart closed relatively weakly. For today, if the price turns downward again, I think the 104.8k-105.8k points are likely to form support and lead to a rebound. However, the specific point will depend on the real-time dynamics of the four-hour and hourly charts.
ANFIBO | BTCUSD - Still in a boring range [11.11.2025]Hey guys, Anfibo's here!
BTCUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Plan
Overall Picture:
The prior sell at $107,000 executed according to plan and produced a clean, profitable outcome — well done to those who took it and locked in gains. Currently BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is trading in a sideways, slightly upward-drifting range as liquidity is being gathered beneath the upper trend boundary. Momentum is constructive but not yet impulsive; therefore the highest-probability edge today is to wait for price to touch the established trendline and read the reaction there before committing to fresh short exposure.
Trading Plan for Today:
>>> BUY ZONE:(x1000)
ENTRY: 104 - 105
SL: 103
TP: 110
>>> SELL ZONE: (x1000)
ENTRY: 109 - 110
SL: 111.5
TP: 104 - 95
Risk Management:
- Risk a controlled percentage of equity per trade (e.g., 1–2% max capital risk per position) and size positions so SL distance equals the planned risk.
- Scale sizing: take a smaller initial position at Entry (1) and add selectively at Entry (2) only after clear bearish rejection or failed retest.
- Use tight, logical SLs (as listed) and consider moving SL to breakeven once TP1 is achieved to protect gains.
- Monitor intraday volatility and major news — reduce size or sit out if market structure becomes erratic or if a scheduled macro event is imminent.
Conclusion:
The market rewarded our prior sell at $107k — a good example of discipline and structure-based trading. Today’s plan remains conservative: let BTC approach the trendline / upper channel, observe price reaction, and initiate short exposure only on a clear rejection or failed retest. Maintain strict risk controls, scale thoughtfully, and avoid averaging into a losing trade. This patient, reaction-based approach keeps the odds in our favor while respecting the prevailing range dynamics.
HAVE A NICE DAY, GUYS!
BTCUSD – Major Demand Zone Successfully Tested! | Bullish ReversBitcoin has finally tapped into a major daily demand zone after weeks of aggressive selling. This level has been respected multiple times in the past, and today’s reaction shows buyers stepping back in with confidence.
🔍 Key Analysis
Price recently dumped straight into a strong demand zone (green) that has held since July.
Buyers are now showing early signs of rejection candles → possible shift in momentum.
As long as this zone holds, BTC has a clean upside path toward the $110,000 – $118,000 supply zone (red).
Structure still remains bullish on the higher timeframe despite the recent deep pullback.
This could be the last discounted price before a major rally into Q1 2026.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price continues holding above this green zone:
First target: $104,000
Main target: $112,000 – $118,000 (major supply)
A break above this zone could open doors to new highs.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario
If bulls fail to defend:
We may see a deeper sweep toward the $90,000 liquidity area before any recovery.
💬 What I’m Watching
Daily candle close inside or above the zone
Reaction during NY and Asia session
Volume confirmation + long-wick rejections
---
📢 What do you think? Bullish bounce or deeper drop?
Drop your thoughts in the comments!
If you found this useful, like, follow, and save for updates. 🚀📊
---
Bitcoin’s Bottom Could Be InHey everyone,
After the recent streak of red weeks, I don’t anticipate any major international or geopolitical issues in the next 1–2 months. With the U.S. government reopening, I see significant potential through the end of the year and possibly into Q1 2026.
I believe we’ve reached some critical levels for BTC, and it might be ready to take off soon—maybe next week or even this weekend.
Let’s see how things unfold.
These are my opinions and not financial advise.
Cheers!
Bitcoin topped versus Gold 11 months ago.On the bright side the cyclical bear market of #BTC vs #GC is actually closer to the end, rather than just starting.
Bitcoin has already lost tremendous value vs the Analog SOV
With previous cyclical Bears lasting maximum 14 months.
Which by that time I believe one if not both of these targets will be met.
The troubling aspect is.
If BTC achieves target 2 --- then once could argue a Double top has formed.
And any subsequent bounce/recovery rally should be treated with suspicion.
And furthers declines and retest of this target 2, could open up the trapdoor for a SECULAR Bear market taking us into 2027 before any meaningful recovery can begin.
This is a merely observation of what has happened and what is currently unfolding with early (pre-coinbase launching) BTC investors unloading supply most of 2025 into their perceived six figure objective.
$100K was always the dream!
Will they buy back next bear?
I suspect only if it becomes cheap enough.
What is cheap for an OG?
Petrodollars and Their Global Impact1. The Origin of Petrodollars
The concept of petrodollars emerged in the early 1970s following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and the oil shocks that reshaped global energy markets. After the U.S. decoupled the dollar from gold in 1971, the dollar’s value began to fluctuate freely. In 1973, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) significantly increased oil prices in response to geopolitical tensions and rising global demand.
At the same time, an agreement between the United States and Saudi Arabia ensured that oil would continue to be priced and traded exclusively in U.S. dollars. This deal effectively globalized the dollar as the primary currency for energy trade. As oil prices surged, exporting countries, particularly in the Middle East, earned enormous dollar revenues. These dollars became known as petrodollars, representing the surplus funds that oil producers accumulated from selling oil abroad.
2. Petrodollar Recycling
Petrodollar recycling refers to how oil-exporting countries reinvest or redistribute their dollar earnings. This recycling process has two main channels:
Financial Recycling: Oil-exporting nations deposit their dollar earnings in international banks or invest them in global financial markets, especially U.S. Treasury securities, stocks, and bonds. This recycling helps sustain global liquidity and supports the U.S. economy by financing its trade and fiscal deficits.
Real Recycling: Petrodollars are used for development projects, infrastructure building, or the import of goods and services. Oil-rich nations often spend their surpluses on foreign products, technology, and defense equipment, which stimulates demand in manufacturing economies such as the U.S., Europe, and increasingly, China.
During the 1970s and 1980s, the recycling of petrodollars was crucial for stabilizing global financial systems. Banks used the inflow of funds from oil exporters to lend to developing nations, leading to an expansion of global credit. However, this also contributed to the debt crises of the 1980s when many borrowing countries were unable to repay their loans.
3. Economic Impacts of Petrodollars
The accumulation and recycling of petrodollars have wide-ranging economic consequences that shape both national and global economies.
a) U.S. Dollar Dominance:
Petrodollars reinforce the U.S. dollar’s role as the world’s reserve currency. Since oil must be purchased in dollars, all countries need to hold large dollar reserves. This creates consistent demand for the dollar, giving the U.S. a unique financial advantage known as “exorbitant privilege.” It allows the U.S. to run persistent trade deficits without facing immediate pressure to devalue its currency.
b) Balance of Payments Effects:
Oil-importing nations often face balance-of-payments deficits when oil prices rise because they need to spend more dollars on energy imports. Conversely, oil-exporting nations accumulate surpluses, strengthening their fiscal positions. These imbalances influence global capital flows, interest rates, and investment patterns.
c) Inflation and Exchange Rates:
Fluctuations in oil prices directly affect inflation rates worldwide. Higher oil prices increase transportation and production costs, driving inflation. Countries with weaker currencies or heavy energy dependence experience greater inflationary pressure. At the same time, oil exporters’ currencies may appreciate due to rising export revenues, affecting their non-oil sectors’ competitiveness.
4. Political and Geopolitical Implications
Petrodollars are not just an economic concept—they carry enormous geopolitical weight. The control and flow of petrodollars often determine international alliances, diplomatic relations, and power structures.
a) U.S.–Middle East Relations:
The petrodollar system strengthened ties between the United States and major oil producers like Saudi Arabia. In exchange for pricing oil in dollars, the U.S. provided military protection and political support to these regimes. This interdependence shaped decades of Middle Eastern geopolitics, influencing regional conflicts and global energy policy.
b) Geopolitical Leverage:
Countries that control oil exports wield considerable influence over global markets. For example, OPEC’s decisions to increase or cut production affect not only oil prices but also inflation, currency values, and economic stability across the globe. The accumulation of petrodollar reserves gives these nations leverage in international diplomacy.
c) Challenge to Dollar Hegemony:
In recent years, some countries, including China, Russia, and Iran, have sought to reduce reliance on the dollar in oil trade, promoting alternatives such as the petroyuan. If major energy exporters begin accepting other currencies, it could gradually weaken the dollar’s dominance and alter global financial power dynamics.
5. Petrodollars and Global Financial Markets
Petrodollar flows significantly influence global capital markets. When oil prices are high, exporters earn more dollars and invest heavily abroad. This results in large capital inflows into Western financial markets, especially the U.S., Europe, and Japan. These funds help maintain low interest rates and high liquidity in developed economies.
For instance, during oil booms, sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) from countries like Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Norway invest billions of dollars in equities, bonds, and infrastructure projects worldwide. These investments provide stability to global markets but also tie the financial fortunes of oil-rich nations to the performance of global assets.
However, during oil price declines, the opposite occurs—oil exporters withdraw funds to support domestic spending, which can tighten global liquidity and trigger financial volatility.
6. Petrodollars and the Developing World
The flow of petrodollars also impacts developing economies in complex ways. On one hand, petrodollar-funded loans and investments have financed infrastructure and industrialization in many developing countries. On the other hand, easy access to petrodollar-driven credit during the 1970s led to unsustainable borrowing, resulting in debt crises across Latin America and Africa.
Today, oil-importing developing nations face fiscal stress when oil prices rise, as more of their foreign exchange reserves are spent on energy imports. This can widen trade deficits and increase inflation. Conversely, oil-exporting developing nations experience economic booms during high oil price periods, though many struggle with the “resource curse”—an overreliance on oil revenues that undermines diversification and governance.
7. The Environmental and Energy Transition Dimension
In the 21st century, the world’s transition toward renewable energy presents new challenges for the petrodollar system. As global efforts to reduce carbon emissions intensify, the demand for oil may gradually decline, reducing the flow of petrodollars. This could weaken the economic power of traditional oil exporters and reshape global financial alignments.
Countries dependent on petrodollar revenues face growing pressure to diversify their economies. Initiatives like Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 aim to transform oil-dependent economies into diversified, investment-driven ones. Meanwhile, the shift to green energy could also influence currency dynamics if renewable energy trade begins to operate in non-dollar terms.
8. Conclusion
The petrodollar system has been one of the most influential forces in shaping modern global economics and geopolitics. It strengthened the U.S. dollar’s dominance, facilitated global financial integration, and underpinned strategic alliances, especially between the U.S. and Middle Eastern oil producers. At the same time, it created structural imbalances—linking global liquidity and financial stability to volatile oil prices.
As the world moves toward renewable energy and multipolar finance, the traditional petrodollar system faces challenges from alternative energy sources, new trading currencies, and geopolitical shifts. Nonetheless, as long as oil remains a central component of global energy consumption, petrodollars will continue to shape the global economic order, influencing everything from exchange rates and inflation to political alliances and investment flows.
In essence, petrodollars represent far more than currency—they are the lifeblood of the global energy economy and a cornerstone of modern financial power.






















