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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin consolidates within a neutral rangeIntroduction Bitcoin is currently navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a defined neutral range that reflects the broader market’s search for direction. Cyberecover, a platform focused on algorithmic intelligence and blockchain risk analysis, observes that this range-bound behavior underscores both investor caution and the market’s resilience. While recent volatility has moderated, the environment remains sensitive to macroeconomic data, liquidity dynamics, and evolving sentiment within the digital asset space. Technology & Innovation At the core of Cyberecover’s platform are algorithmic monitoring systems designed to capture shifts in market microstructure. Advanced AI-driven tools evaluate price formation, liquidity clusters, and momentum flows, providing traders with insights into the dynamics of range-bound markets. The platform’s infrastructure emphasizes modularity and transparency, ensuring that analytical models adapt in real time. By combining blockchain intelligence with statistical analysis, Cyberecover supports scenario mapping that helps market participants identify potential breakout and breakdown levels. The focus remains on providing clarity around complex conditions rather than offering prescriptive trading signals. Growth & Adoption Market adoption of analytic platforms like Cyberecover has expanded in parallel with the maturing digital asset ecosystem. Traders and institutions seek tools that balance speed with explainability, particularly in phases where volatility compresses and market direction becomes less certain. Recent adoption trends highlight the importance of scalable systems that can process increasing transaction volumes and cross-market data. Cyberecover’s framework has been designed to handle this demand, allowing users to assess risk exposures across multiple digital asset pairs. The gradual increase in engagement points toward a broader shift in how participants approach risk-adjusted decision-making in periods of consolidation. Transparency & Risk Management Neutral ranges often highlight the tension between opposing market forces. Cyberecover addresses this by emphasizing transparency in its analytic approach, clarifying how models weigh liquidity stress points, derivatives positioning, and broader sentiment indicators. Risk management remains a central theme. Instead of forecasting directional certainty, the platform emphasizes probability-weighted outcomes and scenario diversification. By presenting data through explainable frameworks, it supports more informed evaluations of both downside risk and potential upside catalysts. This measured perspective aligns with the industry’s call for responsible tools in an environment prone to rapid shifts. Industry Outlook The broader crypto landscape reflects a market in transition. As regulatory clarity advances and institutional involvement deepens, the need for transparent and adaptable platforms grows. Bitcoin’s consolidation within a neutral range is emblematic of these conditions: a balancing act between long-term adoption narratives and short-term macroeconomic headwinds. Within this context, Cyberecover positions itself as part of a new generation of analytic providers that prioritize clarity and resilience. By integrating blockchain intelligence with structured market insights, the platform reflects a broader industry trend toward systems that merge transparency with technological innovation. Closing Statement As market conditions evolve, platforms that emphasize transparency and innovation will be closely watched by traders and investors alike.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by NewsView
Bitcoin volatility declines as market stabilizesIntroduction BTC/USD has entered a quieter phase as volatility levels decline and the market shows signs of stabilization. After weeks of alternating rallies and retracements, Bitcoin is trading within a narrower range, suggesting that both buyers and sellers are exercising caution. While reduced volatility often signals a temporary pause, it can also mark the foundation for a more sustainable price structure. Crown Point Capital, a platform dedicated to systematic research and market analytics, notes that this moderation reflects a broader balance between long-term adoption narratives and short-term uncertainty. Technology & Innovation Crown Point Capital integrates algorithmic intelligence and AI-driven models to monitor volatility compression and assess its implications for market behavior. Its systems analyze liquidity distribution, derivatives activity, and historical volatility cycles to frame conditions where stability may give way to renewed expansion. The platform emphasizes modularity in its design. Models recalibrate dynamically, adapting to real-time data rather than relying on fixed assumptions. This allows analytics to reflect current conditions with greater precision. Visualization tools highlight how volatility bands narrow in relation to key technical thresholds, clarifying whether reduced movement signals accumulation, distribution, or indecision. Innovation lies in the platform’s focus on interpretability. Instead of issuing opaque forecasts, Crown Point Capital structures its outputs around probability-weighted scenarios. This enables participants to better understand how volatility interacts with liquidity and sentiment, offering clarity during quieter market phases. Growth & Adoption The adoption of structured analytics has accelerated as digital asset markets mature. Periods of lower volatility attract increased interest, as participants seek clarity on whether stabilization is a precursor to trend continuation or reversal. Crown Point Capital has observed that user engagement often rises during such phases, reflecting demand for insights into the mechanics of consolidation. Scalability underpins this adoption. The platform processes large datasets across exchanges and derivatives markets, ensuring consistency even when activity spikes unexpectedly. This infrastructure allows the system to scale with market growth, meeting the needs of both retail and institutional users. The broader adoption cycle reflects a shift toward integrating analytics into core trading workflows. Rather than treating structured insights as supplementary, participants increasingly view them as essential in framing decisions, particularly when volatility is muted but anticipation for catalysts remains high. Transparency & Risk Management Low-volatility conditions present a dual challenge. While stability reduces short-term uncertainty, the risk of sharp moves triggered by unexpected events remains. Crown Point Capital addresses this by embedding transparency into its frameworks. Inputs such as liquidity depth, derivatives skew, and funding flows are clearly weighted in models, ensuring that outcomes are explainable. Risk management is central to this approach. Instead of relying on directional certainty, the platform presents probability-weighted outcomes that include both breakout and breakdown scenarios. This structure provides participants with a balanced view of risks, ensuring that quieter markets do not foster complacency. By prioritizing explainability, Crown Point Capital reduces reliance on opaque methods. In environments where volatility declines, clarity in assumptions helps participants prepare for multiple outcomes and avoid overexposure to sudden market shifts. Industry Outlook Bitcoin’s declining volatility is reflective of a broader evolution in the digital asset sector. Regulatory discussions, global liquidity conditions, and institutional flows continue to shape sentiment and activity levels. The combination of structural adoption and macroeconomic caution has created an environment where markets stabilize more frequently, reflecting growing maturity in digital assets. Platforms such as Crown Point Capital illustrate the industry’s trajectory toward innovation grounded in accountability. By merging advanced modeling with transparent methodologies, they address the sector’s demand for tools that explain rather than obscure. This reflects a broader trend where participants prioritize clarity and resilience in navigating both stable and volatile phases. The industry outlook suggests that while volatility remains a defining characteristic of digital assets, its cycles are becoming increasingly tied to structural forces rather than speculative surges alone. As Bitcoin stabilizes, the market is likely preparing for its next phase of directional momentum, shaped by both internal dynamics and external drivers. Closing Statement As Bitcoin volatility declines and the market stabilizes, the emphasis on transparency, adaptability, and structured analytics will remain central to how participants interpret the next stage of digital asset development.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by NewsView
Bitcoin faces resistance at long-term trendlineIntroduction Bitcoin has entered a decisive juncture as it tests resistance at a long-term trendline that has historically defined broader market direction. The movement reflects a balance between bullish momentum building from institutional interest and cautious positioning influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty. CenexPro, a platform dedicated to analytics and systematic evaluation, notes that this resistance level is significant because it represents both a psychological and technical barrier. Market participants are watching closely to see if price action sustains above this threshold or reverts to prior consolidation ranges. Technology & Innovation CenexPro integrates algorithmic intelligence and real-time data modeling to interpret market structure with precision. Its systems are engineered to detect liquidity imbalances, track funding flows, and monitor volatility clusters across BTC/USD. These innovations enable traders and researchers to evaluate how current conditions compare with historical phases where similar long-term trendlines acted as inflection points. The design emphasizes transparency and adaptability. Rather than static forecasting, CenexPro employs adaptive learning modules that recalibrate as new data emerges. This allows models to incorporate shifts in derivatives markets, macroeconomic releases, and blockchain activity into their probability assessments. Visual analytics tools add clarity, enabling users to map resistance levels and identify potential breakouts or retracements without overreliance on opaque metrics. By positioning algorithmic and AI-driven systems at the core of its methodology, CenexPro provides a structured approach to navigating environments where key trendlines dominate the technical narrative. Growth & Adoption The adoption of advanced analytics in digital asset markets continues to expand as trading activity matures and institutional participation deepens. CenexPro has observed increased demand for solutions that merge speed with interpretability, particularly during phases when price interacts with long-term technical levels. Scalability is a defining factor in this adoption cycle. As transaction volumes increase and cross-exchange liquidity becomes more fragmented, platforms require resilient infrastructure capable of processing large datasets without latency. CenexPro’s modular framework addresses this challenge by scaling with market activity while preserving analytical depth. User behavior also reflects a growing interest in structured decision-making. Rather than seeking directional certainty, participants increasingly value platforms that contextualize risks and opportunities. This has led to broader engagement with systems capable of scenario analysis and cross-asset correlation studies. The growth trend demonstrates that analytics are no longer supplementary but central to trading workflows in both retail and institutional contexts. Transparency & Risk Management Resistance at long-term trendlines typically highlights the tension between breakout optimism and potential rejection. CenexPro addresses this challenge by embedding transparency into its analytics, making clear how inputs such as liquidity distribution, options positioning, and sentiment factors contribute to model outputs. Risk management is a central pillar of the platform’s philosophy. Instead of presenting definitive forecasts, CenexPro prioritizes probability-weighted outcomes. This allows traders and analysts to evaluate multiple scenarios, balancing short-term volatility against longer-term positioning. By emphasizing clarity in model assumptions, the platform reduces reliance on opaque black-box signals and fosters responsible engagement with digital assets. In a market where sudden shifts can be triggered by macroeconomic developments or liquidity squeezes, CenexPro’s focus on explainability ensures that participants can better understand and prepare for risks. This framework reflects an industry-wide shift toward accountability and measured analysis. Industry Outlook Bitcoin’s test of a long-term trendline occurs within a broader environment of evolving regulation, shifting macroeconomic conditions, and growing institutional interest. This resistance level is not only a technical marker but also a reflection of market sentiment regarding adoption, liquidity depth, and risk tolerance. The digital asset industry is transitioning into a phase where transparency and structured insights hold greater weight than speculative narratives. Platforms like CenexPro, with their emphasis on innovation, scalability, and responsible risk management, are part of this structural evolution. As the market matures, demand will continue to grow for analytic systems that provide clarity in periods of uncertainty and adaptability when conditions change. The position of BTC/USD near this resistance serves as a reminder of the interplay between technical thresholds and broader macroeconomic forces. Whether the trendline holds or breaks, the outcome will shape sentiment and trading strategies across the market. Closing Statement With Bitcoin confronting resistance at a key long-term trendline, the balance between resilience, transparency, and adaptive analytics will remain central to how market participants interpret the next phase of digital asset activity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by NewsView
Bitcoin holds uptrend despite market cautionIntroduction BTC/USD is maintaining its uptrend even as broader market conditions reflect signs of caution. Following a steady period of gains, Bitcoin has managed to hold above key support zones, signaling resilience despite tightening liquidity and mixed sentiment in global markets. This phase illustrates the balance between ongoing optimism in digital asset adoption and the challenges posed by macroeconomic uncertainty. Bridgehold, a platform centered on structured analytics and blockchain intelligence, highlights that the continuation of the uptrend amid cautious conditions underscores both the strength and the fragility of current market dynamics. Technology & Innovation Bridgehold employs algorithmic and AI-driven models to track the persistence of uptrends in volatile environments. Its systems evaluate liquidity concentrations, derivatives activity, and price momentum, overlaying these indicators with historical comparisons to assess whether sustained strength is likely to continue. The platform integrates on-chain intelligence with technical modeling, producing layered perspectives on how capital flows and positioning support or weaken trend structures. Real-time recalibration ensures that outputs reflect the latest market conditions rather than relying on static assumptions. Visualization tools provide clarity by mapping how BTC/USD interacts with support and resistance boundaries, illustrating the relationship between structural uptrends and short-term caution. By focusing on interpretability, Bridgehold ensures that outputs remain transparent, supporting more informed evaluation of whether the market can sustain its current trajectory. Growth & Adoption The adoption of structured analytics has accelerated as digital asset markets expand in scale and complexity. Market participants increasingly turn to data-driven platforms when trends persist in cautious environments, seeking clarity on whether momentum is underpinned by robust participation or vulnerable to reversal. Bridgehold has observed that user engagement often rises during phases where markets appear strong but sentiment remains mixed. This reflects demand for tools that evaluate sustainability rather than relying on speculative narratives. Scalability supports this adoption: the platform processes large volumes of exchange and derivatives data without latency, ensuring that analysis remains timely even during periods of elevated activity. The broader adoption cycle highlights a shift in behavior. Rather than reacting solely to momentum, traders and institutions increasingly seek frameworks that contextualize uptrends within liquidity and risk structures. Platforms like Bridgehold demonstrate this transition, reflecting the industry’s preference for accountable, transparent insights. Transparency & Risk Management Sustaining an uptrend in cautious markets carries both opportunity and risk. While higher price levels reinforce optimism, any sudden liquidity shock or external development could undermine confidence. Bridgehold addresses this environment by embedding transparency into its analytic process. Each input—ranging from volatility compression to derivatives skew—is clearly defined within model outputs, ensuring that participants understand the basis of conclusions. Risk management is central to this framework. Instead of delivering deterministic forecasts, Bridgehold emphasizes probability-weighted scenarios. These outline conditions under which the uptrend may persist as well as scenarios where external stress could reverse momentum. By presenting balanced perspectives with explicit assumptions, the platform encourages responsible navigation of uncertain conditions. This transparency mitigates overreliance on opaque models. In environments where Bitcoin sustains an uptrend despite caution, clarity in assumptions is essential for calibrating strategies with measured risk exposure. Industry Outlook Bitcoin’s ability to maintain its uptrend amid cautious sentiment mirrors broader themes in the digital asset sector. Regulatory signals, macroeconomic conditions, and institutional flows remain central to shaping participation levels, even as technical structures support short-term resilience. The industry is transitioning toward frameworks that emphasize innovation paired with accountability. Platforms like Bridgehold illustrate this shift by integrating algorithmic depth with transparency, providing participants with structured clarity in both bullish and uncertain environments. The resilience of BTC/USD at present reflects the market’s maturation, where trends are increasingly shaped by structural forces rather than speculative excess alone. Whether the uptrend continues or pauses, the outcome will influence both sentiment and strategy across the sector in the weeks ahead. Closing Statement As Bitcoin holds its uptrend despite market caution, the emphasis on clarity, transparency, and structured analytics will remain central to how participants interpret the next stage of digital asset development.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by NewsView
update on btc if btc breaks 120k i believe we will see also 130k in that case i will close my short position based the cme gap and will wait to see where this last leg of the bullrun will take us note that i have no idea about altseason i know a lot of people asked me about altseason and tbh i dont want to be the influencer that will give empty thoughts in order to grow a following but my guts are telling we may see a run in altcoins now how when i dont really know my humble opionion lets wait and see if the 120k will be broken or not thank you for your attention
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Sinadarvishzadeh
BTC/USD Near the Median of Weekly and Daily Regression TrendsHow to Approach the Setup Long‑term bias: bullish (weekly regression channel slopes upward, daily channel is flat‑to‑slightly bullish). Typical trader mindset: wait for an upward breakout with strong volume or place a buy‑limit order around the round‑number level of 115,000 USD and aim for an initial target near 120,000 USD (+4%). Price action and technical context BTC is currently trading close to the median line of two overlapping regression‑trend channels: Weekly Timeframe: Channel slope Upward - Interpretation : Long‑term bullish pressure Daily Timeframe: Channel slope Flat‑to‑slightly up - Interpretation : Short‑term equilibrium, slight upside bias. The price sits in a narrow corridor bounded by the upper and lower regression lines. Because the weekly channel is tilted upward, the overall market structure still favors higher highs. The daily channel’s flatness suggests that any move will need a catalyst—typically a surge in buying volume or a breakout above the weekly upper trend line. Key technical reference points Upper daily regression line: ~125,000 USD – the first resistance level that, if breached with volume, could trigger a sustained rally. Median (current price area): ~117,000 USD – a psychologically clean round number that also aligns with the median of both channels. Lower daily regression line: ~108,000 USD – a safety net; a break below would invalidate the bullish bias. Trade‑the‑setup options 1. Wait for a breakout – Enter the trade when the price closes above the weekly upper regression line and the accompanying volume is at least 1.5 times the 20‑day average. This condition confirms that the bullish bias is actually materialising and helps avoid false “whipsaw” moves. In practice, traders use a market order or place an aggressive limit order just above the breakout level (around 118,600 USD). 2. Buy‑limit at 115,000 – Set a limit order at the round‑number median of 115,000 USD. The round number acts as a natural “magnet,” and because the price is already near the median, this approach works well in a range‑bound market. The typical execution is a limit order at 115,000 USD with an initial profit target of 120,000 USD, representing roughly a +4 % gain. Both methods assume the trader will monitor volume and short‑term momentum (RSI, MACD) to confirm that the move is not a temporary spike. Momentum and volume cues RSI(14): Values climbing above 55 support the bullish bias; a dip below 45 warns of potential reversal. MACD: A bullish crossover (MACD line crossing above the signal line) on the daily chart adds confidence to a breakout or limit‑order fill. Volume: A surge to at least 150 % of the 20‑day average on the day of the breakout dramatically raises the probability of a sustained move. Risk considerations Stop placement: If the price falls below the lower weekly regression line (≈111,000 USD) or breaches the median downward with a sharp volume spike, exit the position. Position sizing: Because BTC’s volatility can be extreme, allocate a modest percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2‑3 % of equity) to this speculative play. Alternative defined‑risk structures: Traders uncomfortable with outright exposure can use a debit call spread (e.g., buy the 115,000 USD call, sell the 120,000 USD call) to cap downside while preserving upside to the first target. Bottom line When BTC/USD hovers near the median of a bullish weekly regression channel and a flat‑to‑slightly bullish daily channel, the market is in a neutral‑to‑bullish equilibrium. The prudent approach is either: Patience: Wait for a volume‑driven breakout above the weekly upper trend line, or Precision: Place a buy‑limit order at the clean 115,000 USD level and target the first upside milestone at 120,000 USD (+4%). Both strategies rely on confirming momentum and volume before committing capital, while keeping a tight stop below the lower weekly regression line to protect against a sudden reversal.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by dPEngineering
BTC 01.10Yesterday, I retested the 113k zone without confirmations or a decent loy, so I couldn't get a decent long run. Today is the beginning of the month + Wednesday, so they could beat up in both directions pretty well. The price is currently grinding along pdVAH and building liquidity from above without localized highs, with a high probability of withdrawals in the near future. The price is already above the main local resistance zones + yesterday's retest of 113k - which is basically a bull run. The next resistance zone, R1, is in the 115600-115900 range (with a potential liquidity squeeze at 116150). The closest normal support zone is S1, 111860-112240. I'll be looking for trades from these two zones. Support zones: 112240-111860 110780-111175 109980-110985 108200-108350 103.8-105.3 Resistance zones: 115635-115940 116770-117090 119.8-120.8
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BorjaCipher
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Close colour & Patterns since 2011Septemer Closes GREEN Where you see 2 Arrows is where we had a Green September after Red August Closes, as we have just had again. All had Green Octobers Following. Note those double arrows on the left are in the 2016 build up to 2017 ATH and the ones on the right are in the Current cycle. Past October closes are 10 Green to 4 Red, so the Odds are we will see another Green October close, though it may not be a large candle. InFacr, there are a few charts that point towards a Red start till around Second week, 12th - 15th October. This of course can change but it maybe worth understanding that we may get a bloody month start. However, given where we are in this Bitcoin cycle, assuming this one will continue as others have, we do not have a year plue left to reach ATH as the 2016 set of arrows would imply. So my eye is now drawn to the Dashed box that leads up to the 2021 ATH in March 2021. To many extents, that PA is very similar to that in 2023 (arrow) and if that is to be repeated, we could see a large recovery this month. One thing that reslly needs to be mentioned is also how small the candles are now. The pressure is on Bitcoin right now. Of the 4 Red Octobers, only 1 was in a Bull run. This months Candle Close Will certainly let us know where we are in a cycle. That is IF we are still in a Cycle. As mentioned in a number of posts now, the idea that Bitcoin will Drop away after the next ATH is possibly flawed. But we have to wait and see what happens. We can certainly look forward to a positive number of monthsd ahead for Bitcoin and this should take PA above a Long temm line of resistance that has rejected EVERY ATH since Bitcon started.( please refer to previous posts to learn more ) Happy October everyone and do not Panic if we do Dip further to start with
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin Approaching $114,500 Resistance, Breakout OR Rejected?At $114,500, the price of Bitcoin is currently getting close to the Classic Resistance level. As a result, there are several situations to think about. According to the Bull Case, the price of Bitcoin may continue its short-term upward trend if it breaks out of $114,500 with strong volume support. Nonetheless, there is still a chance that the price of Bitcoin will continue to drop to at least the $112,700 region if it can sustain trade and refuses the $114,500 region.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by POLARMARKET
Order Flow & Fair Value Gap Approach 3 Setups in the last 48hourThis strategy leverages order flow analysis and the concept of fair value gaps, operating on the principle that the market behaves as an auction—constantly seeking areas of balance and imbalance. Over the past 48 hours, BTCUSD has presented three high-probability scalping setups aligned with this methodology. Market Context Trend: Bullish The market has shown clear bullish momentum over the last 48 hours. Breakout Event: Price broke out of a consolidation zone with strong, aggressive buying activity, indicating a shift in market sentiment and the initiation of a new leg in the trend. Imbalance Creation: During this breakout, two fair value gaps (FVGs)—also referred to as low value nodes (LVNs)—were formed as a result of inefficient price movement. Trade Setup Criteria & Checklist To validate each setup, we apply the following checklist: Criteria Status 1. Trend is bullish ✅ Confirmed 2. Breakout from a consolidation zone with aggressive buy orders ✅ Confirmed 3. Fair value gap created by impulsive buying ✅ Confirmed 4. Retracement into the fair value gap ✅ Confirmed 5. Confirmation of strong buyers defending the FVG zone ✅ Confirmed 6. Defined risk with favorable R:R (1:2 or better) ✅ Confirmed Risk Management Each trade setup followed a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio, maintaining consistency with our strategy's risk parameters. This sequence illustrates how combining order flow with structural imbalances like fair value gaps can produce high-quality scalping opportunities. Always remember: context, confirmation, and confluence are key.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by ripxela
Was October Bitcoin's strongest month?BTC rose nearly $4,000 intraday, breaking through the $114,000 mark, but subsequently retreated lower. The 1-hour chart shows BTC trapped in a narrow range, fluctuating between $107,000 and $127,400. If the price falls below $107,000, a bearish double top pattern could form, leading to a further drop below $110,000. If the price rises above the moving average, selling pressure could weaken, potentially testing the all-time high. Exchange reserves fell to 2.4 million Bitcoin in September, indicating increasing market accumulation and over-the-counter storage, and continued institutional support for Bitcoin. Trading strategy: In the short term, Bitcoin prices remain uncertain. If they fall below the $113,200 support level, further declines are possible, so consider shorting. If the price rises above $117,500, consider entering a long position. For specific trading advice, please follow and contact us.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JulesWood
1
Bitcoin Under Pressure: Bearish Momentum BuildsBitcoin recently transitioned from a corrective decline into a consolidation phase, where price activity showed reduced volatility and market indecision. The breakout from this range has introduced renewed momentum, highlighted by strong bullish candles and a clear shift in trend dynamics. This move reflects fresh capital entering the market, suggesting growing investor confidence and positioning for potential continuation. Despite this momentum, the structure also shows signs that rapid acceleration could invite short-term profit-taking, which may create phases of corrective retracement before the broader trend direction is reestablished. The market remains sensitive to global financial sentiment, liquidity cycles, and broader adoption narratives, meaning volatility should be expected even within an upward bias. Overall, current conditions reflect a shift toward renewed optimism, with momentum favoring buyers while maintaining the likelihood of temporary corrections as part of a healthy market cycle.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
What do you think about it ? A Phase-by-Phase Breakdown of the Bitcoin Chart (Refer to your chart, which will be the main feature of the post) Now, look at the Bitcoin chart. The resemblance to a textbook example is striking: Phase A (Stopping the Trend): We saw the Preliminary Supply (PSY) and the Buying Climax (BC), where the uptrend began to lose momentum. Phase B (Building the "Cause"): A prolonged consolidation range where "smart money" began to carefully distribute their positions without crashing the price. Phase C (The Final Trap): The most critical phase. We witnessed the UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)—a final push upward that created the illusion of a continued rally. This is the moment of peak euphoria, designed to trap the last buyers. This is precisely where we are now. Phase D & E (The Markdown): As the schematic shows, after Phase C, a sustained decline (the Markdown) begins, which marks the start of the bear market. The projected trajectory on the chart aligns perfectly with my plan to stay out of the market until September 2026.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by BADSHAH_says
BTCUSD corrective pullback support at 111,180The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective sideways consolidation within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 111,180 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 111,180 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 114,880 – initial resistance 115,480 – psychological and structural level 116,116 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 111,180 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 109,840 – minor support 108,980 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 111,180. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
Is Uptober Coming for Bitcoin or Not? A Comprehensive AnalysisHello everyone, how are you doing? This morning I noticed something interesting. As you can see from the chart, I highlighted all the months of October with an orange circle, and I marked in red the corresponding MACD during October in previous market cycles. As you can see, in almost all of these cases when the MACD is bullish in Q4, a strong price rally tends to follow. On the other hand, when it is bearish, the opposite happens. In this Q4 the MACD looks similar to October 2019, and besides being bearish, there is also a strong bearish divergence on the weekly chart, highlighted with the (Blue Line). Now, I’m not saying the bull market is over. I believe this market cycle is different from the previous ones. I think you’ve noticed it too, especially regarding altcoins and the altseason we’ve all been waiting for. Probably because many institutions have adopted Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies in general, with ETFs and many other factors coming into play. As we can see, Bitcoin is becoming more and more “stable.” Personally, I think there’s a good probability that Bitcoin will continue its retracement downward, this retracement would be very healthy for the overall market, of course, not for altcoins. What’s your take? Let me know in the comments, I’m very curious. Thanks for reading this post. Feel free to share it with your trader friends, and don’t forget to hit like and follow. Thanks again, and I wish you a great day!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoLvke