BTC new ATH, decision making levelsToday BTC achieved ATH 125,819k.
From the day start bounce from the support zone.
Today BTC went up around 2.6 % .
At the top ATH we have LQ + Res + VAH, at this point we are in Supply zone, but BTC not reacting much.
BTC going uptrend channel, that indicates possible uptrend even higher because there is more liquidation in po levels + Stocks +- 1% .
USA economics dont show weakness and BTC traders are still hyped about new highs.
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
BTC market snapshotWe’ve reached a new high, and there’s still some room to grow — maybe up to 130K — but I’m maintaining a bearish bias and skipping long entries.
😱 Monthly timeframe divergence is getting stronger, signaling that the overall momentum is fading and the market is overheated.
😱 A rising wedge has formed — a classic trend reversal pattern.
😱 Recent data shows that smart money is selling while retail is buying (judging by gold charts, big players seem to be positioning there in anticipation of a dump).
😱 Social media sentiment is overheated, full of euphoria and belief in endless growth.
😱 The real chaos in the U.S. hasn’t even started yet — the economy is in trouble.
😱 There’s a strong imbalance in open interest.
BTCUSDT: Potential Reversal at Key Support👋Hello everyone, what do you think about the trend of BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a short-term correction after forming a peak above $114,500. The price is now heading toward a key support zone around $110,000, which is also seen as an important confluence zone.
If Bitcoin stabilizes here and confirms the support level, we could see another potential bounce, pushing it back towards previous resistance levels. Pay attention to the possibility of a price reversal from this support zone, as it might create a buying opportunity.
What do you think about BTCUSDT? Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
BTC Bullish Targets 150k & beyond
Since downward manipulation/support testing leg in April of this year, BTC had shown strength and crossed Weekly swing high.
Targets from that manipulation leg have reached halfway already, and now looking forward to 4th deviation.
2nd dev= $117,340 upto $124,480
4th dev = $145,900 upto 153,000
chart also shows potential targets in case we go higher. upto 190k and 243k.
#BTC/USDT Let Bitcoin make a new ATH#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward move.
There is a major support area in green at 121900, which represents a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 123300.
First target: 124050.
Second target: 125160.
Third target: 126774.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
#BTC Potential Bearish Head and Shoulders📊#BTC Potential Bearish Head and Shoulders📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we've reached a new all-time high, but the weekly resistance level is nearby. Chasing the trend here presents a less-than-ideal profit-loss ratio and carries a higher risk. There's a chance a bearish head and shoulders pattern could form. If so, consider some short trades.
➡️If you're shorting now, be aware that you're trading against the trend, so use a small position. The advantage of this approach is a higher profit-loss ratio, but a lower win rate.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC – Flip Zones Driving 4H StructureCRYPTOCAP:BTC flipped bullish after reclaiming the blue demand, then turned bearish at the red supply. We’re now pulling back from resistance, and the next clean setup likely forms on a retest of the blue zone.
🔑 Key zones
Support (blue) ~$111k area — former base of the last impulse.
Resistance (red) ~$114.5k–$115k — where sellers capped the rally.
🔎 Confluence
Prior bearish rejection at red + bullish reaction at blue.
Clear HH/HL structure only resumes if price holds blue and pushes back above red.
📊 Scenarios
Bullish 📈 Pull back into $111k (blue), print higher-low / bullish candle, then continuation toward $115k → $117k.
Bearish 📉 Lose the blue zone with a strong 4H close → open room for a deeper dip before buyers try again.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
Bitcoin: Healthy Corrections vs. Overextended RalliesIn my view, a truly healthy trend must include both upward moves and corrections. When Bitcoin rises too quickly without proper pullbacks, it often leads to sudden selling pressure.
For the update to my previous analysis, the new key support has formed at 119,613. If this level breaks, the next major support zone lies between 114,145 and 115,723.
⚠️ Keep in mind: this does not guarantee that Bitcoin will only find support in that zone—it could bounce earlier. However, this is the most important area to watch.
To maintain the overall bullish structure, Bitcoin must hold above 112,817.
On the other hand, if the price doesn’t fall below 119,613, it could signal strong buying power in the market. In that case, a period of consolidation (range-building) could provide the base for the next rally.
📈 A long setup above 122,799 would look attractive—but not at this moment. Waiting for confirmation is key.
Wait for 118k , then buy again (130k incoming )In my previous idea , when BTC was 113k , i published an Idea that BTC will hit 130k and people told me you are wrong . Now im telling you wait for 118k (wave 4) then buy again.
Analyzing Elliott's wave theory telling us that btc need some corrections and this is why price is started to fall.
#BTC heavy resistance zone!Cautious callback📊#BTC heavy resistance zone!Cautious callback📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we're currently near an overlapping resistance zone, raising the probability of a pullback. Therefore, proceed with caution when buying higher!
➡️A break below the uptrend support line would further strengthen the bearish outlook. At that point, look for shorting opportunities after a rebound.
⚠️If we continue to reach new all-time highs, the bearish outlook would be invalidated!
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC (LONG)BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Entry range (111600- 113000)
SL 109977
T1 124 900
T2 131 600
Extra Target is optional 139000
_______________________________________________________
Golden Advices.
********************
* collect the coin slowly in the entry range.
* Please calculate your losses before the entry.
* Do not enter any trade you find it not suitable for you.
* No FOMO - No Rush , it is a long journey.
BTC/USDTCRYPTOCAP:BTC has been moving within an ascending channel since April last year. Support has consistently held stronger than resistance has rejected, showing clear strength. I believe we are about to invalidate this bearish structure and break above channel resistance. Bitcoin looks ready to enter all-time-high mode.
BTC “Blow-off” confirmed, what’s next?Newest chart (H&S with RS near 118.7k, high 124.5k, supports 110.9k / 108.7k / 95.1k / 96.5k / 77.3–74.5k) shows we did get the blow-off extension I had at 13%. We now re-weight the next path conditional on a completed blow-off.
🎯 Short to $73K — plan, gates, and guardrails
It’s feasible only after losing: $110.9K → $108.7K → $103–101K → $96–95K
Risk guardrails (objective invalidations) 🚧
Primary invalidation: Daily close > 118.7K (your RS/supply).
Hard invalidation: Momentum HH > 120.5K and sustained bid above; expect squeeze back to 123–125K.
Trailing logic:
After 110.9K breaks → trail to entry.
After 108.7K breaks → trail to 111.0–111.5K.
After 101K breaks → trail to 105–106K.
After 95K breaks → trail to 99–100K.
Position management 🔧
Scale targets: 108.7K, 103–101K, 96–95K, 90–88K, 83–78K, 75–73K.
What would help the $73K path 📉
Clean acceptance below 95K (no immediate reclaim).
ETF flow cool-off (you’ve been tracking this) + weak spot bid during futures-led dumps.
CME term structure flattening/inversion into breakdowns.
OBV / CVD making lower lows as price ranges (distribution tells).
What would hurt it 📈
Swift 118.7K reclaim on strong spot-led buying.
Persistent positive ETF net inflows on down days.
Perp funding resetting positive while price refuses to break 108.7K.
Aligned with the post–blow-off distribution thesis. Hold the short only as long as 118.7K isn’t reclaimed and the market accepts below 110.9K → 108.7K. The hinge zone is 96–95K; lose it cleanly and $83–78K → $75–73K opens up. Manage via staged profits and a rising trailing stop so the trade can breathe on the way to $73K objective.
Understanding Ichimoku Cloud In Trading🔹 1. Introduction
What is Ichimoku Cloud?
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo translates to “one‑glance equilibrium chart.” It is a rules‑based charting framework that maps trend, momentum, support/resistance, and forward projections in a single overlay so traders can make decisions quickly and objectively.
What makes Ichimoku different?
All‑in‑one system: Measures trend, momentum, and structure without adding separate indicators.
Forward projection: The Cloud and Kumo twists project future support/resistance zones rather than only reacting to past price.
Equilibrium logic: Midpoint calculations emphasize market balance over raw averages, often reacting more cleanly to range boundaries and trend pullbacks.
Visual speed: Color/position relationships produce a high‑signal, low‑clutter read—hence “one glance.”
🔹 2. History
Ichimoku was developed by Goichi Hosoda , a Japanese journalist who published under the pen name Ichimoku Sanjin. Between the 1930s and the 1960s, Hosoda and a team of assistants tested price and time relationships by hand, iterating toward a framework that could summarize market balance quickly without sacrificing structure. His work combined price, time, and wave ideas into a practical template that traders could learn and apply on paper charts.
The well‑known numbers—9, 26, and 52—come from the historical Japanese trading calendar, which used a six‑day trading week. More importantly, they create a short‑medium‑long cadence that preserves the internal geometry of the system, helping Tenkan/Kijun interactions line up with Cloud behavior and Chikou confirmations across many market regimes.
Ichimoku remains relevant because it projects future structure, scales across timeframes, and adapts well to liquid markets from equities and futures to forex and crypto. Even in a high‑frequency world, traders still respond to visible structure, and the Cloud makes that structure explicit ahead of time.
🔹 3. Benefits
Ichimoku reads trend, momentum, and structure in one glance. Trend shows in where price sits relative to the Cloud and in the ordering/slope of the spans (Span A over Span B and rising is healthy). Momentum appears in the Tenkan–Kijun relationship—their distance and angle—and in how quickly price reclaims Tenkan after a pullback. Structure is revealed by flat Kijun and flat Span B “magnet” levels that price gravitates to, plus Cloud thickness, which hints at how much “effort” the market needs to break through.
Because states and invalidations are predefined, visuals become rules you can trade: a close back inside the Cloud flags rising risk; Chikou clearing past highs removes nearby resistance; and entries are higher quality when Tenkan and Kijun align with a supportive, rising forward Cloud (often after a Kumo twist).
The method scales cleanly from intraday to weekly and across assets. Many traders set bias with the higher-timeframe Cloud—only looking for longs when price is above a rising Kumo—then drop a timeframe to time entries as Tenkan/Kijun cross or as price retests Kijun from above.
🔹 4. Components
Tenkan‑sen (Conversion Line): midpoint of the last 9 periods
In a healthy trend, price frequently “breathes” around Tenkan—pulling back to it, briefly piercing it, then resuming in the trend direction. The slope of Tenkan reflects the pace of the move: a rising, well‑angled Tenkan suggests persistent buying pressure, while a flattening Tenkan signals short‑term balance. Tenkan often acts as dynamic support/resistance; repeated successful retests are a sign of momentum continuity, and repeated failures warn of loss of impulse.
Tenkan = (Highest High(9) + Lowest Low(9)) / 2
Kijun‑sen (Base Line): midpoint of the last 26 periods
Where Tenkan tracks impulse, Kijun represents the balance point of the dominant swing. Price tends to revert to Kijun after expansions, making it both a magnet and a filter. A rising Kijun with price holding above it confirms trend maturity; a flat Kijun often marks the range midline and a probable retest level. Many traders trail partial risk below Kijun in uptrends (or above it in downtrends) because losing Kijun typically precedes deeper mean reversion.
Kijun = (Highest High(26) + Lowest Low(26)) / 2
Senkou Span A (Leading Span A): average of Tenkan and Kijun, plotted 26 periods forward
Span A represents one boundary of the Kumo and reflects the average of the Tenkan and Kijun lines, making it more responsive to recent price action and a dynamic indicator of short-term trend direction.
Span A = (Tenkan + Kijun) / 2 → shifted +26
Senkou Span B (Leading Span B): midpoint of the last 52 periods, plotted 26 periods forward
Span B forms the opposite edge of the Cloud and is calculated from a 52-period high-low average, creating a flatter, more stable line that often acts as strong support or resistance due to its representation of longer-term equilibrium.
Span B = (Highest High(52) + Lowest Low(52)) / 2 → shifted +26
Kumo (Cloud): the filled region between Span A and Span B; thickness visualizes volatility/“equilibrium buffer.”
The shaded area between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B on the Ichimoku chart. This "cloud" represents areas of support and resistance, with its thickness indicating market volatility and the strength of the equilibrium zone. A thicker Kumo suggests greater uncertainty and stronger price buffers, while a thinner Kumo indicates weaker support/resistance levels and reduced volatility.
Chikou Span (Lagging Line): current close plotted 26 periods back; confirms alignment between current price and past price structure.
Chikou plots the current close 26 periods back. When Chikou is above prior price and above the Cloud, the path ahead is typically “clear,” confirming bullish conditions. When it collides with past highs, lows, or Cloud edges, those features often act as retroactive obstacles; trades pressed directly into them carry lower odds and may require reduced size or patience for a cleaner setup.
Chikou’s value is in context: it keeps you from buying breakouts that immediately smash into last month’s resistance or shorting into well‑defined support. Alignment of Chikou with price and the forward Cloud turns a visual impression into a rule.
🔹 5. Interpretation
How to rate signal quality?
Tenkan–Kijun cross (TK cross). A bullish TK cross occurs when Tenkan rises above Kijun; a bearish cross is the reverse. Crosses above the Cloud are strongest (trend‑aligned), inside the Cloud are neutral (higher noise), and below the Cloud are weakest for longs (and strongest for shorts). Cross quality improves when the forward Cloud agrees (Span A over Span B for bullish) and when Chikou has clear space.
Chikou confirmation of breakouts. A breakout through a level is more trustworthy when Chikou is through and beyond the corresponding historical barrier. If Chikou is pinned beneath old highs while price breaks out, expect retests or false starts.
Cloud breakouts and edge‑to‑edge logic. Breaks into or out of the Kumo carry more weight when the Cloud is turning (twist forming) and sloping in the trade direction. After a confirmed entry, price often traverses from one Cloud boundary to the other—especially when Span B is flat and acts like a target.
Kumo as future balance point. The forward Cloud is a projected equilibrium. Flat spans, especially Span B, frequently attract price; thick areas behave as buffers, thin spots as gates. Reading these shapes ahead of time lets you plan scenarios rather than react.
Multi‑timeframe alignment. Expectancy improves when the higher‑timeframe Cloud sets the bias and the lower timeframe supplies timing. For example, seek longs only when the daily is above a rising Cloud, then use a 1‑hour TK recapture or Kijun retest as the trigger.
🔹 6. Understanding the Kumo (Cloud)
Kumo as Support/Resistance
The Kumo is formed by the space between Senkou Span A and Senkou Span B projected 26 periods into the future. When price approaches the upper edge from below in a bearish regime, that boundary acts like resistance; when price descends onto the lower edge from above in a bullish regime, it often acts like support. Markets frequently hesitate, wick, or retest at these edges because they represent the consensus midpoint of prior swings carried forward in time.
A thick Kumo implies a broad equilibrium buffer: price needs more energy to pass through, so reactions, pauses, or partial rejections are common. A thin Kumo implies a narrow buffer: price can pierce and switch sides with less effort, which increases the odds of swift transitions. Flat sections—especially where Span B is flat—often behave like shelves that attract price before it decides the next leg.
Kumo Twist (Senkou Span A crosses B)
A Kumo twist occurs when Span A crosses Span B in the forward projection, flipping the Cloud from bullish to bearish or vice versa. Because the spans are derived from midpoints, the twist is an early signal of changing balance rather than a guarantee of immediate reversal. It often appears while price is still inside the prior regime, and its reliability improves when accompanied by Kijun flattening, Tenkan/Kijun compression, or a Chikou approach to historical barriers.
Trading before the twist can offer better entries but carries the risk of false starts if momentum doesn’t follow through. Trading after the twist sacrifices the first part of the move but benefits from confirmation—especially if the forward Cloud begins to slope in the new direction and price is already reclaiming or rejecting Kumo edges.
Kumo Breakouts
A Cloud breakout occurs when price closes out of the Kumo and holds that side on retests. A bullish breakout is a close above the upper boundary; a bearish breakout is a close below the lower boundary.
Quality improves when the forward Cloud agrees (Span A over Span B for bullish, the reverse for bearish), the Cloud is thinning or already thin at the breakout point, and Chikou is simultaneously through the corresponding historical structure.
False breakouts are common when the Cloud is thick and flat or when Chikou immediately collides with past highs/lows. Requiring a retest of the breached edge (turning resistance into support or vice versa) greatly improves expectancy, as does ensuring that Kijun is supportive (price holding above it in bullish contexts).
Thin vs. Thick Kumo
Thin Kumo generally reflects compressed ranges, fast transitions, and fragile trends. Breaks through thin spots tend to be quick but can reverse just as quickly if the rest of the system (TK alignment, Chikou, forward slope) doesn’t confirm. Thick Kumo reflects broader ranges and sturdier trends; passing through requires more energy, but holding the new side is more durable once achieved.
You can think of width as a volatility filter: thin zones favor momentum pops and tactical trades; thick zones favor patience, staged entries, and giving the market room to breathe. Many traders normalize Cloud width by price or compare it to ATR to judge whether conditions suit breakout‑style entries or mean‑reversion fades.
🔹 7. Strategies Using Ichimoku
Kumo as Support/Resistance
This strategy uses Cloud edges as forward support/resistance. In an uptrend, pullbacks into the upper Kumo edge or into a flat Span B shelf often create decision zones; if price rejects the edge and recaptures Tenkan, the trend is likely intact. The opposite applies in downtrends.
Entries typically trigger on a rejection close away from the edge or on the next bar that reclaims Tenkan. The stop sits outside the Cloud (beyond the pierced edge) to account for wicks. Expectancy improves when the forward Cloud thickens and rises (showing durable support) and when Kijun is rising beneath price. First targets are the recent swing extreme or the next flat Span B; if the bounce begins inside the Kumo, an “edge‑to‑edge” move toward the opposite boundary is a reasonable objective.
High‑probability conditions: clear trend, supportive forward slope, and a bounce forming near a flat Span B rather than in the middle of a thin, twisting Cloud.
Tenkan–Kijun Crossovers (TK Cross) in Context
Crossovers are context tools, not standalone signals. A bullish TK cross (Tenkan above Kijun) that occurs above the Kumo with a bullish forward slope and Chikou clearance is the strongest variant.
The same cross inside the Cloud is neutral, and below the Cloud is weak for longs (but strong for shorts in the opposite case). Early traders may take a cross below the Cloud when a twist and reclaim are imminent, but expectancy is lower without Cloud support.
A practical sequence is: establish bias from the Cloud, wait for the TK cross in that direction, then demand either Chikou clearance or a clean retest before committing full risk. Stops belong beyond Kijun or the most recent swing that defined the cross.
🔹 8. Key Takeaways
Ichimoku is a market framework, not a signal tool
Ichimoku is designed to map equilibrium and project structure forward. Read it as a context engine: the Cloud sets regime and bias, Tenkan/Kijun express momentum and mean reversion, and Chikou verifies that the path ahead is clear. Decisions come from states and transitions—price vs. Kumo, span ordering and slope, TK alignment, and Chikou clearance—rather than from any one line crossing another. This is why the same template scales from intraday to weekly charts and across asset classes: you are reading the same language of balance, impulse, and structure.
The synergy between components is the edge
Edge emerges when the system agrees with itself. A TK cross is more than two lines intersecting; its quality depends on where it occurs relative to the Cloud, how the forward Kumo is sloped, and whether Chikou has cleared historical obstacles. Kijun provides risk structure and often serves as a dynamic stop or trailing guide; flat Span B and flat Kijun act as magnets and targets. When these elements line up—Cloud bias, TK timing, Chikou clearance, supportive forward slope—you have a trade worth taking. When they don’t, the right move is usually patience.
Best practices checklist
Use this short checklist to standardize your process and reduce discretion.
Start with bias: Price relative to the Kumo and forward slope sets long/short/neutral.
Demand confluence: Take signals when TK aligns with forward Cloud and Chikou shows clearance.
Trade level‑to‑level: Plan entries/exits around flat Span B/Kijun shelves; they are natural magnets.
Prefer break‑and‑retest: After a Cloud or key‑level break, wait for a retest and hold before sizing up.
Avoid thick/flat Kumo: Stand aside or de‑risk when the Cloud is thick and horizontal; that’s chop territory.
Use multi‑timeframe logic: Let the higher timeframe set bias; take lower timeframe triggers in that direction.
Place stops beyond structure: Use Kijun or the Kumo edge instead of arbitrary ticks; give room for wicks.
Scale and trail methodically: Take partials at Span B/Kijun targets; trail from Kijun → Tenkan as momentum builds.
Size by volatility: Calibrate with ATR or relative Cloud width; widen stops and reduce size around twists.
Let Chikou veto: If Chikou is about to collide with past highs/lows, delay or reduce risk.
Treat Ichimoku as a map — the Cloud defines the terrain, TK tells you when to move, and Chikou checks that the road is clear. When the framework is not aligned, stand down. Trade only when the map, the timing, and the clearance agree; manage risk using the Kijun and the Cloud edges; and let neutrality be an acceptable outcome when the forecast is foggy.
BTCUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEBitcoin is currently testing a key support area after a healthy correction. If price holds above this zone, a bullish rebound can be expected.
Market structure remains positive as long as supports hold — buyers may regain control and push price toward higher levels.
Wait for a bullish confirmation candle before entering to ensure momentum shift in buyers’ favor.
Bitcoin (BTC): Bounced From Bollinger Bands | Back at ATHBTC has had a good bounce from the middle line of the Bollinger Bands since the last time we looked at it on the weekly timeframe, and the price is now back at the current ATH zone.
Price action movement is pretty good and so far everything goes by the plan. Now we need to see the break of the ATH zone, which then would result in a movement into a new ATH.
Swallow Academy
DeGRAM | BTCUSD near the $120k level📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC/USD rebounded strongly from the 117,000 support, showing consistent higher lows along the support line, with bulls driving momentum toward resistance.
● Chart structure points to a pullback before continuation, targeting 124,450, as the pair remains within a broad rising channel.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Bitcoin gains support from increasing institutional inflows and optimism around U.S. regulatory clarity, with traders positioning ahead of potential spot ETF approvals.
✨ Summary
● BTC/USD maintains bullish structure above 117,000, with upside targets near 124,450, supported by both technical continuation and strengthening fundamental sentiment.
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BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 52☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has broken through all major resistance levels, setting a new ATH, and then experienced a 2% price drop due to profit-taking and FOMO-driven selling. It then moved toward its key support zone around $122,584, bounced from there, and is now moving toward its early trigger zone at $124,113.
🧮 The RSI oscillator shows two important levels — 63 and 45 — and once the volatility threshold crosses especially above 63, Bitcoin could see a sharp increase in volatility, activating its triggers and enabling breakout moves.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume has decreased after each touch of resistance, but now with a noticeable volume increase, our early trigger could become active, allowing Bitcoin to form larger, high-volume candles either upward or downward. Since the high-wave cycle remains bullish, the current scenario still favors upside continuation and resistance breakouts.
🧠 For Bitcoin positions, it’s better to wait for all confirmations to align — including activation of the early trigger, an RSI breakout above 63, and rising buy volume — before opening a long position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .