Bitcoin looks bullish. Bitcoin broke out of the falling channel with a high volume candlestick. If the 1 D candle closes above the 118,000 resistance, Bitcoin will reach a new ath. A small retest after breaking the 118,000 level could be an opportunity to buy Bitcoin. However, it is still beneficial to consider the fundamental risks.
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
BTC - Testing Key LevelHere is an update to my last post:
In my last post I was outlining how BTC was trying to hold the support of the trendline. For a brief period of time, price did breakdown to create a "false break" of the trendline.
However this still created a higher low in the trend still representing bullish momentum.
Once price reclaimed the green trendline we have seen a large rally back to the upside.
Now, BTC is testing our key level of resistance "Mid Term Resistance". This red box has acted as a great sell zone before price made a move back to the downside. So what's next?
If BTC can start closing candles above our red box then watch for these level to the upside.
Level 1: $120,000-120,400 (Key daily level)
Level 2: $123,200-124,400 (ATH)
Level 3: $129,000-$130,000 (first 1.618)
Level 4: $135,400 (predictive 1.618 top)
However, if price get rejected again from the red box, we want to see either the green trendline or green box hold to create another higher low. If we fail to create a higher low that could represent the start of the next bear market, but for now the trend is intact!
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – 3H ChartWave Structure Outlook
Bitcoin is currently trading near $119,300, where the wave structure suggests a possible Ending Diagonal formation. This leaves us with two bearish scenarios to monitor:
Scenario 1 – Immediate Downside After 1–5 Completion
The 1–5 wave sequence may already be completed.
If so, the market could trigger an immediate downside move, breaking wedge support.
First critical level is $117,600. A clean break below this level would confirm the start of a deeper correction, opening the way toward $115,000 – $113,000.
Scenario 2 – Choppy Ending Diagonal (Light Red Arrows)
Alternatively, BTC may still extend within an Ending Diagonal.
This would mean choppy, back-and-forth price action (small up-and-down moves) before the final breakdown.
In this case, price may retest the $119,800 – $120,000 zone, but the structure remains corrective, and the eventual expectation is still bearish reversal.
Key Levels to Watch
Resistance: $119,800 – $120,000 (upper wedge boundary)
Support: $117,600 (first breakdown level)
Bearish Targets: $115,000 → $113,000
Conclusion
BTC is losing momentum at the end of a 5-wave structure. Whether the market follows Scenario 1 (immediate breakdown) or Scenario 2 (choppy diagonal ending before reversal), the overall outlook is bearish in the short term.
130k is incoming .By carefully examining the chart and applying Elliott Wave theory, we can see that Bitcoin has begun its primary fifth wave from the 107,000-dollar range. The first and second sub-waves of Wave 5 are complete, and we should now watch for the third sub-wave of Wave 5.
I believe Bitcoin will soon set a new record.
First target: $118,000
Second target: $120,000
MY BTC LONG TERM BIAS $90k - $75kIts obviously obvious green candle chaser will sooner or later get trashed because they fail to understand that the green candles we are currently seeing are as a result of the USDT Dominance taking a break to the downside.
From experience, when the USDT Dominance take a mild dive, BTC only gets a few thousands in aapreciation.
But when table turns, the outcome is always alarming.
BTC EQL sweep then movement higherI’m looking at the highlighted equal lows, ideally expecting a sweep and then possibly a retest of the marked imbalance around the 104K level in the first half of the week.
From these levels, I’d like to see a strong reaction and a return back into the range to target the build-up of shorts, possibly with a move above the established highs or at least towards the ~120K area.
Bitcoin Correction Still in Play – Waiting for a Higher LowIn the 4H timeframe, Bitcoin still hasn’t made the correction I was waiting for.
I see this whole move as a single wave, and I’ll remain patient until we get a higher low (or equal low) around 108,810.
🔹 If no correction happens, I’ll wait for the market to build a clearer structure.
🔹 I’m not opening any positions for now.
🔹 Don’t rush — patience is key. If you stay consistent and keep tracking the market, opportunities will always come.
BTC market snapshotThe U.S. government has gone into a shutdown, and crypto reacted with growth on the dollar’s weakness. HOWEVER, the short signal is strengthening. The monthly close reinforced the short signal for me personally, which doesn’t mean it will play out tomorrow. From current levels, there’s still a chance to update the highs if we break out above the 116K–117K zone.
Ichimuko talks againAccording to BTC price action based on ichimuko clouds we can see that the last time BTC have crossed the red cloud it leaded to a new Ath
Today is the first day of breaking it again
We expect a new ATH as soon as possible
Stop loss under the cloud around 11k
Tp at least 128k
Dyor
U.S. GOVT SHUTDOWN.WHAT HAPPENED?After Senate Republicans and Democrats failed to reach an agreement on a new continuing resolution Wednesday, the U.S. government shut down for the first time since 2019. Leaders from both parties issued statements blaming each other, and President Trump has threatened to fire more federal workers during the shutdown.
Social security payments will continue to be made, and active duty members of the U.S. military will continue to be paid. But many other government agencies will be forced to close their doors and cease operations until a new budget bill is passed by Congress.
Why it Matters
The government shutdown will affect tens of thousands of federal employees, hundreds of government agencies, and millions of people in the United States who rely on those agencies for a wide range of services. Most federal workers will be placed on leave without pay for the duration of the shutdown, and if President Trump follows through on his firing threats, for some of those workers, the shutdown could be the end of their government service.
According to the Washington Post, the lapse in funding for the federal government means crucial government functions, from small business loan services to national parks to job training for veterans, will be halted until lawmakers pass new budget legislation. Federal work deemed essential for national security will continue.
Wednesday’s budget impasse created the twenty-second federal government shutdown in the past fifty years. The longest government shutdown lasted thirty-five days in 1995, and the shortest shutdown lasted less than one day. Thus far, leaders in both major political parties have given no indications they are ready to make concessions. Cuts to health care were at the center of the dispute this time, just like they were during the 2013 shutdown, which lasted sixteen days.
The reason for the shutdown is the lack of a normal budget process in Congress. Rather than passing a budget to cover the costs of government operations for an entire fiscal year, Congress has gotten into the habit of using continuing resolutions to fund the government. A continuing resolution is a temporary measure to keep the government funding for a set period of time, but rather than being used as a stopgap measure, they have instead become the norm.
Using continuing resolutions to fund the government is at the root of much of the dysfunction in the federal government. Because without a normal budget, many agencies have no choice but to adapt their operations to the provisions of the temporary funding bills, which can curtail and interfere with normal procedures.
Will this Impact the Market ?
1. Safe-Haven Assets like Gold and BTC prices often rise during shutdowns as investors seek refuge.
2. USD Fluctuations: The U.S. dollar might weaken initially, reflecting risk-off sentiment.
3. Delayed data like the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report and other Economic reports.
Historical Context
Past shutdowns have had limited long-term effects on equities if resolved quickly. However, prolonged closures (like the 35-day shutdown in 2018-2019) introduced volatility and eroded confidence.
Potential Outcomes
- *Brief Shutdown*: Minimal lasting impact, historically common.
- *Extended Shutdown*: More pronounced negative effects on GDP growth and confidence.
- *Resolution*: Markets often recover swiftly once funding is restored.
Overall, the impact depends on the shutdown's duration and the broader economic context.
#BTC/USDT Analysis: Key Level to Watch#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We have a bearish trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, which supports the upward breakout.
There is a major support area in green at 109100, representing a strong support point.
We are heading for consolidation above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 109470.
First target: 109900.
Second target: 110360.
Third target: 110836.
Don't forget a simple matter: capital management.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Reclaims Point of Control as Bulls Target New ATHBitcoin has confirmed a runaway gap on CME futures while reclaiming the point of control on Bybit. This shift turns resistance into support, setting the stage for a potential run to new highs.
Bitcoin began the week with powerful momentum, building on weekend lows to reclaim a major resistance level on futures charts. The confirmation of a runaway gap and strong close above the point of control have strengthened the bullish outlook, raising expectations for further expansion.
Key Technical Points:
- Bitcoin closed above the point of control (POC), turning it into support.
- Runaway gap on CME futures confirmed, boosting momentum.
- Dips below POC likely to be bought, indicating demand.
The CME futures chart highlighted a runaway gap that has now been confirmed, often signaling strong continuation in the dominant trend. On Bybit futures, Bitcoin followed through by closing above its long-time resistance at the POC, a decisive technical shift that suggests buyers are regaining control.
As long as the POC remains a support base, dips beneath are expected to find demand, reinforcing the bullish structure. This structural development provides a clear path for price to challenge and potentially surpass its all-time high.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
Bitcoin remains highly bullish above its point of control. If support holds, momentum favors continuation toward a new all-time high, with market demand underpinning the move.
BTCUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEBitcoin has shown a strong bullish push recently and is now facing resistance at the top. From here, one of the key possible scenarios is a rejection leading to a corrective move toward the lower support zone.
If sellers gain momentum at this level, the market could shift into a downward move, testing important demand areas. However, if buyers continue to hold strength, the uptrend could sustain longer before any major pullback.
Market is currently at a crucial point — watch closely for confirmation before entering. Both directions hold potential, but probability favors a short-term correction unless strong bullish pressure breaks through resistance.
$BTC BULL RUN RALLY & Showing a WOLF PATTERN 2025Road to Bull Run 2025, price Growing upward movement starting at $108K — $115K — $122K — 128K — $136K Who Entry at $111K and using $100K stoploss.
Bitcoin trades near $116,200, rebounding from $109,000. A close above $117,500 may boost buying, while rejection could trigger profit-taking. Key support is at $113,000. Traders are anticipating a 99% chance of a 25 basis points rate cut at the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which is viewed as favorable for Bitcoin. Bitcoin surged past $116,000, rising nearly 3% in a single day, following the U.S. government shutdown.
Key facts: Bitcoin trades near $116,200, rebounding from $109,000. A close above $117,500 may boost buying, while rejection could trigger profit-taking. Key support is at $113,000.
#Write2Earn #BinanceSquareFamily #Binance #BTC☀ #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
BTC Game Plan – (LDMD Model)BTC Game Plan – (LDMD Model)
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more expected. Institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. Despite elevated inflation, a weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, pushing more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
BTC is trending strongly bullish on the HTF, so long setups remain the priority. Recently, price broke the bearish trendline that had capped price action since August 13, signaling a shift in momentum. That breakout created a Daily Demand zone, which was tapped once before price moved higher — confirming liquidity inside the zone.
Currently, BTC ran the daily swing low (the first tap of that demand), revisited the Daily Demand, and repriced into the 0.75 Fibonacci max discount level. This strong confluence suggests accumulation and potential continuation higher.
📘 Model to be used – LDMD (Liquidity Run inside Daily Demand w/ Max Discount Zone)
In this model, I start by confirming the HTF trend to set directional bias. Then, I identify key Demand/Supply zones that carry significant liquidity. A sweep of HTF swing lows adds confluence by trapping liquidity. Finally, I align this with the 0.75 max discount retracement zone for a high-probability entry point.
📌 Game Plan
1-Wait for a daily close above the bearish trendline.
2-Enter long on confirmation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Daily close above the bearish trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 108,500$
Targets:
TP1: 113,900$
TP2: 117,900$
After TP1, move SL to breakeven to secure profits.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
btc shortWe had a 4H buy-side sweep above 118.1k followed by rejection. This confirmed the short idea from earlier.
What Happened:
Price ran external liquidity above the 4H high (118.1k).
Immediate rejection → confirmed it was a liquidity grab, not continuation.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the 15m during the rejection. Price traded back into it and respected it, offering optimal short entry.
Now we’re breaking lower, with sell-side liquidity levels in sight.
Current View:
Structure: Bearish on 15m after sweep + BOS (Break of Structure).
Order Flow: Premium short entry confirmed with FVG mitigation.
Bias: Looking for price to seek lower inefficiencies and equal lows.
Targets Ahead:
🥇 116.8k → first liquidity pool (just got tagged).
🥈 115.8k → inefficiency fill.
🥉 115.5k → deeper liquidity run.
Invalidation:
If BTC reclaims 118.2k, the bearish thesis is invalid.
⚡This is textbook ICT: 4H BSL sweep → M15 market structure shift → FVG entry → downside targets.
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we are within the target zone of a bullish pattern and near the previous high. Therefore, chasing the rally here is not recommended. If you want to enter a long trade, consider the support near the rising trend support line. If we break through the h D point directly, the next strong resistance level will be around 120,000.
➡️From a chart perspective, a rising wedge may be forming here. If the lower edge of the wedge is broken, bearish expectations will increase.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC BTC/USDT Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Chart Pattern
A double bottom pattern has formed around 109,000 – 110,000, which often signals a strong bullish reversal as buyers defend the same support level twice.
Key Levels
Main Support: 109,000 – 110,000 (double bottom area).
Immediate Resistance: 118,000 – 120,000 (currently being tested). A breakout above this level will confirm the double bottom reversal.
Upside Target (TP): Supply zone around 127,000 – 130,000.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 114,700 – 115,000 (minor support after breakout), BTC has the potential to continue toward 118,000.
A confirmed breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 will open the path toward 127,000 – 130,000.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to break 118,000 – 120,000 and a drop back below 114,700 may lead BTC to retest 110,000 support.
A breakdown below 110,000 will invalidate the double bottom and expose BTC to further downside below 105,000.
Conclusion
The structure currently favors the bulls with the double bottom pattern in play. As long as 110,000 holds, the medium-term outlook remains positive. A breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 would confirm the bullish bias and set the stage for a move toward 127,000 – 130,000.