Bitcoin Reclaims Point of Control as Bulls Target New ATHBitcoin has confirmed a runaway gap on CME futures while reclaiming the point of control on Bybit. This shift turns resistance into support, setting the stage for a potential run to new highs.
Bitcoin began the week with powerful momentum, building on weekend lows to reclaim a major resistance level on futures charts. The confirmation of a runaway gap and strong close above the point of control have strengthened the bullish outlook, raising expectations for further expansion.
Key Technical Points:
- Bitcoin closed above the point of control (POC), turning it into support.
- Runaway gap on CME futures confirmed, boosting momentum.
- Dips below POC likely to be bought, indicating demand.
The CME futures chart highlighted a runaway gap that has now been confirmed, often signaling strong continuation in the dominant trend. On Bybit futures, Bitcoin followed through by closing above its long-time resistance at the POC, a decisive technical shift that suggests buyers are regaining control.
As long as the POC remains a support base, dips beneath are expected to find demand, reinforcing the bullish structure. This structural development provides a clear path for price to challenge and potentially surpass its all-time high.
What to Expect in the Coming Price Action:
Bitcoin remains highly bullish above its point of control. If support holds, momentum favors continuation toward a new all-time high, with market demand underpinning the move.
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
BTCUSD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVEBitcoin has shown a strong bullish push recently and is now facing resistance at the top. From here, one of the key possible scenarios is a rejection leading to a corrective move toward the lower support zone.
If sellers gain momentum at this level, the market could shift into a downward move, testing important demand areas. However, if buyers continue to hold strength, the uptrend could sustain longer before any major pullback.
Market is currently at a crucial point — watch closely for confirmation before entering. Both directions hold potential, but probability favors a short-term correction unless strong bullish pressure breaks through resistance.
$BTC BULL RUN RALLY & Showing a WOLF PATTERN 2025Road to Bull Run 2025, price Growing upward movement starting at $108K — $115K — $122K — 128K — $136K Who Entry at $111K and using $100K stoploss.
Bitcoin trades near $116,200, rebounding from $109,000. A close above $117,500 may boost buying, while rejection could trigger profit-taking. Key support is at $113,000. Traders are anticipating a 99% chance of a 25 basis points rate cut at the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting, which is viewed as favorable for Bitcoin. Bitcoin surged past $116,000, rising nearly 3% in a single day, following the U.S. government shutdown.
Key facts: Bitcoin trades near $116,200, rebounding from $109,000. A close above $117,500 may boost buying, while rejection could trigger profit-taking. Key support is at $113,000.
#Write2Earn #BinanceSquareFamily #Binance #BTC☀ #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.
BTC Game Plan – (LDMD Model)BTC Game Plan – (LDMD Model)
📊 Market Sentiment
FED has resumed its rate-cutting cycle, starting with a 0.25% cut in September, with two more expected. Institutional liquidity inflows have accelerated as the U.S. officially adopts crypto as part of its reserves. Despite elevated inflation, a weakening labor market is forcing the FED to ease, pushing more capital into risk-on assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
BTC is trending strongly bullish on the HTF, so long setups remain the priority. Recently, price broke the bearish trendline that had capped price action since August 13, signaling a shift in momentum. That breakout created a Daily Demand zone, which was tapped once before price moved higher — confirming liquidity inside the zone.
Currently, BTC ran the daily swing low (the first tap of that demand), revisited the Daily Demand, and repriced into the 0.75 Fibonacci max discount level. This strong confluence suggests accumulation and potential continuation higher.
📘 Model to be used – LDMD (Liquidity Run inside Daily Demand w/ Max Discount Zone)
In this model, I start by confirming the HTF trend to set directional bias. Then, I identify key Demand/Supply zones that carry significant liquidity. A sweep of HTF swing lows adds confluence by trapping liquidity. Finally, I align this with the 0.75 max discount retracement zone for a high-probability entry point.
📌 Game Plan
1-Wait for a daily close above the bearish trendline.
2-Enter long on confirmation.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Daily close above the bearish trendline.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: 108,500$
Targets:
TP1: 113,900$
TP2: 117,900$
After TP1, move SL to breakeven to secure profits.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading! More setups and insights coming soon — stay connected!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Always DYOR before making any financial decisions.
btc shortWe had a 4H buy-side sweep above 118.1k followed by rejection. This confirmed the short idea from earlier.
What Happened:
Price ran external liquidity above the 4H high (118.1k).
Immediate rejection → confirmed it was a liquidity grab, not continuation.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed on the 15m during the rejection. Price traded back into it and respected it, offering optimal short entry.
Now we’re breaking lower, with sell-side liquidity levels in sight.
Current View:
Structure: Bearish on 15m after sweep + BOS (Break of Structure).
Order Flow: Premium short entry confirmed with FVG mitigation.
Bias: Looking for price to seek lower inefficiencies and equal lows.
Targets Ahead:
🥇 116.8k → first liquidity pool (just got tagged).
🥈 115.8k → inefficiency fill.
🥉 115.5k → deeper liquidity run.
Invalidation:
If BTC reclaims 118.2k, the bearish thesis is invalid.
⚡This is textbook ICT: 4H BSL sweep → M15 market structure shift → FVG entry → downside targets.
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉
🧠From a structural perspective, we are within the target zone of a bullish pattern and near the previous high. Therefore, chasing the rally here is not recommended. If you want to enter a long trade, consider the support near the rising trend support line. If we break through the h D point directly, the next strong resistance level will be around 120,000.
➡️From a chart perspective, a rising wedge may be forming here. If the lower edge of the wedge is broken, bearish expectations will increase.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
$BTC BTC/USDT Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
Chart Pattern
A double bottom pattern has formed around 109,000 – 110,000, which often signals a strong bullish reversal as buyers defend the same support level twice.
Key Levels
Main Support: 109,000 – 110,000 (double bottom area).
Immediate Resistance: 118,000 – 120,000 (currently being tested). A breakout above this level will confirm the double bottom reversal.
Upside Target (TP): Supply zone around 127,000 – 130,000.
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 114,700 – 115,000 (minor support after breakout), BTC has the potential to continue toward 118,000.
A confirmed breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 will open the path toward 127,000 – 130,000.
Bearish Scenario (Alternative)
Failure to break 118,000 – 120,000 and a drop back below 114,700 may lead BTC to retest 110,000 support.
A breakdown below 110,000 will invalidate the double bottom and expose BTC to further downside below 105,000.
Conclusion
The structure currently favors the bulls with the double bottom pattern in play. As long as 110,000 holds, the medium-term outlook remains positive. A breakout above 118,000 – 120,000 would confirm the bullish bias and set the stage for a move toward 127,000 – 130,000.
BTC/USDT ; Is the shedding over?Hello friends
Due to the price correction we had, the price has bounced back into a good support area where there were many buy orders and has reacted well.
Now it remains to be seen whether it will succeed in defeating the trading pain or not.
If buyers continue to support the price, it could break the range and move towards the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
BTC 4H – Testing 116k, Key Supply AheadBitcoin bounced strongly from the 109k demand zone and broke above 114k.
Now testing the 116k–117.2k supply zone, which is the key area to watch.
✅ Bullish: Break & hold above 117.2k opens the way to 118k – 120k.
❌ Bearish: Rejection from 116k–117.2k could trigger a pullback to 114k → 111k.
Key Levels:
Supports: 114k / 113k / 111k / 109k
Resistances: 116k / 117.2k / 118k / 120k
⚡️ 116k–117.2k is the decision zone for the next move.
BITCOIN BTCUSDTi will be watching the buy power into 115,606-117,430 for possible rejection as seen on weekly time frame double top structure.
the descending trendline will be watched for breakout ,if we break out of the trend then our target will 124k ,break of 124k will be 141k-139K zone
on weekly time frame we are coming for retest into 117k-115,606,pls watch this zone because of bearish reversal..
watch bitcoin on daily time frame and the structure is clear on price action.
if respected then the sell will drop below 107 zone and target will be 100k-98k zone and 93-94k
layer by layer dont rush.
#bitcoin #btc #btcusdt #crypto
Next Volatility Period: Around October 3rd (October 2nd-4th)
Hello, fellow traders!
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day!
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(BTCUSDT 1D Chart)
This volatility period lasts until September 29th, but since the next volatility period is around October 3rd (October 2nd-4th), it's highly likely that the volatility period will continue until October 4th.
Therefore, we need to see if the price can sustain above 11696.21 after the volatility period.
If it fails to do so and falls below the 104463.99-108353.0 range, a sharp decline is likely.
If a sharp decline occurs, we need to check for the formation of new indicators such as the DOM (-60) or HA-Low indicators.
If new support is formed, it's important to determine whether there is support near that area.
If support is not found, a step-down trend is likely.
-
It is currently located near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, if the price rises above 111696.21 and holds, further upward movement is likely.
At this point, the key question is whether the price can rise above 115854.56 and hold.
To sustain the uptrend,
- The StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend. It must rise from the oversold zone.
- The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must show an upward trend. It must rise above EMA 1 and, if possible, above the High Line and remain there.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator must show an upward trend. It must rise above the 0 point and remain there.
If the above conditions are met, the uptrend is likely to continue above 111696.21.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and sell in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range.
However, if the price rises in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a stepwise upward trend is likely, while if the price falls in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a stepwise downward trend is likely.
Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach.
This basic trading strategy principle was developed for trading on Heikin-Ashi charts.
Adding the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts allows you to see the overall trend.
The remaining indicators indicate support and resistance points or zones for chart analysis or trading strategies.
Trading is all about reaction, so understanding support and resistance points or zones is crucial.
However, you should interpret the charts based on core fundamental trading strategies.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins.
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The range zone will break to the upside and heavy gain after We set our entry on 110K$ and stop loss is below the range zone support because the pattern of fall may happen again but i think soon that 110K will touch again and we would have a breakout to the upside and confirmation of that is 110500$ touch but we open earlier and near 110K because i want signal with 1:2 R:R(RiskReward) just like what you can see on chart so we risk a little bit and open this signal on 110K and below 113K we are out to save some profit.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
#BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!BTC Trend Context: The price is within an ascending channel – overall, this suggests an upward trend in the market.
Support Testing: The lower boundary or support zone is being tested – this is a critical "decisive" area.
Rejection/Bounce Potential: If support holds and the price reacts upwards, we could see a further move upwards towards resistance.
Breakdown Risk: If the price breaks decisively below support, this could lead to a deeper decline or a trend reversal.
BTC/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of BTC/USDT (4H timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bullish Bitcoin Setup
Trendline Breakout: Price has broken above the descending trendline, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
Order Block (OB): Price retraced into the order block (yellow zone) around 112,200 – 113,000, showing demand holding strong.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) has crossed above the OB zone.
200 EMA (blue) is acting as dynamic support, strengthening the bullish case.
Price Action: After retesting the OB/EMA confluence, price is expected to continue higher.
---
Target Point
119,953 (≈120,000 psychological level) is the upside target.
This aligns with the next major resistance and the projected extension of the bullish breakout.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Trading Idea
Bias: Bullish.
Entry Zone: Retest of 112,500 – 113,000 (OB + EMA support).
Target: 119,953.
Invalidation: A breakdown below 112,000 would weaken the bullish scenario and suggest continuation of the downtrend.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
BTC BREAKING KEY LEVEL — $115K TO $119K MOVE INCOMING?Bitcoin just tested $113K support and bounced hard — now eyeing $117K resistance. This setup is primed for momentum traders looking to catch the next leg up.
Critical Price Action
Price is hovering around the $115K psychological level, which has become the make-or-break zone for bulls. Support at $113K represents the ultimate safety net — lose this on 4-hour or daily timeframes and Bitcoin will probabilistically head lower toward retest of sub-$112K levels. The chart shows multiple touches confirming this as a legitimate demand zone where institutional buyers are stepping in.
The Setup (High Probability Trade)
✅ Trade Condition: Close above $113.5K on 4H → Confirms bullish reversal and momentum shift. This breakout would signal that buyers have absorbed selling pressure and are ready to push toward liquidity pools sitting between $118K-$119K.
🎯 Target Zones: First target $117,000 as immediate resistance, then If momentum sustains, liquidity grab could extend toward $118K-$119K where October forecasts project continuation.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below $113k — this invalidates the bullish structure and suggests bears maintain control.
Why This Works
Strong bounce from ~ $113K base equals momentum building. This is a classic support-to-resistance move where former resistance (the $115K zone) now acts as support, creating asymmetric risk-reward for bulls. Volume analysis shows accumulation patterns consistent with institutional buying ahead of Q4 volatility.
Watch for Confirmation — No Fakeouts
The key is waiting for 4-hour candle close (min 1hr) above $114.5K with volume confirmation. Fakeouts are common at psychological levels, so patience prevents getting stopped out prematurely. Monitor order book depth and funding rates for additional confluence.
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #DayTrading #Breakout #BullishSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoSignals #BTCAnalysis #TradingView
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥
The breakout over 114900 has happened.
After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier.
We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel.
📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long.
This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀
🔑 Context:
We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through.
✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021)
✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025)
✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025)
Now compare that to previous cycles:
2016 halving → ATH in 2017
2020 halving → ATH in 2021
2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025?
🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are:
→ $137K
→ $160K
→ $182K+
But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
📌 Support Retests:
Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested.
📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure:
As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise.
📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown:
Hold structure = ATH potential
Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard.
🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown?
👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint
👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun
We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025.
Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20)Snapshot of the last 4h candle + what does it mean
Price: ~114 314.7
VWAP (the entire period): ~114 199.5, z(Price−VWAP) ≈ 0.36 — the price is moderately higher than the "fair" price over 100 candles; there is no overheating according to VWAP, but there is a positive slope.
aVWAP (multiple anchors): start 114 199.5 / 60d 114 096.5 / from swing low 112 682.1 / from swing high 112 128.1 — trading above all aVWAP, trend support from below.
Donchian 20/55:
20: H 114 825.7 / M 111 969.8 / L 109 113.9 — channel of the last 20 candles; exit above H = update of the loc. extremum.
55: H 115 623.8 / M 112 086.9 / L 108 550.0 — wider context of the range.
Volume Profile (~60d): POC ~115 112.5 / VAL ~109 261 / VAH ~120 964 — currently slightly below POC, within the value zone (VAL↔VAH). POC is a magnet; VAH is the top of the demand corridor.
HVN/LVN landmarks: maximum volume nodes near POC ~115k and in the area ~121k (closer to VAH); thin spots (LVN) — ~109–110k.
RSI(14): ~67.5 — close to the overbought zone, bullish momentum.
MFI(14): ~81.1 — overbought by money, the movement was driven by volume inflow.
CMF(20): ~+0.27 — steady positive cash flow (buyers control).
MACD(12,26,9): 838 > 558, hist +280 — bullish momentum persists.
ADX(14): ~41.4; +DI 33 / −DI 15 — the trend is strong and upward.
ATR(14): ~928$ — average true range; used for buffers/stops.
Keltner: Upper 114 202 / Mid(EMA20) 112 377 / Lower 110 553 — we are standing right above the upper edge, a sign of a trend "throw."
Bollinger(20,2): Upper 115 722 / Mid 111 760 / Lower 107 798 — there is still room for the BB-Upper; there is no compression.
z(Price−VWAP) : 0.36 — a small premium to the "fair" price, allows the trend to continue without mandatory unloading.
OBV z-scores: z50 +1.54 / z100 −0.43 / z200 −0.96 — short-term inflow, medium-/long-term — not yet fully confirmed (traces of previous outflow). OBV ROC(10) ≈ −0.28 — the inflow rate has cooled locally.
Open Interest: ~67.44k, z(168) ≈ −0.79, ROC(5/10) ≈ −1% / +4% — OI is below average: some of the growth may have been due to the covering of shorts rather than the addition of fresh longs. For a sustained uptrend, it would be desirable to see a stabilization/growth in OI.
Latest divergences (by auto-detector)
RSI: bullish 22 Sep 07:00 → 22 Sep 19:00, bullish 22 Sep 19:00 → 23 Sep 19:00
MACD: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
OBV: bearish 17 Sep 07:00 → 18 Sep 03:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
MFI: bullish 23 Sep 19:00 → 25 Sep 23:00, bearish 26 Sep 03:00 → 26 Sep 23:00
How to interpret: a bullish divergence increases the likelihood of a rebound/continuation upwards; a bearish divergence increases the risk of a rotation/correction. Signals are more reliable when confirmed by a candlestick pattern + OBV/CMF.
What does this mean now
The momentum is strong: MACD↑, ADX>40, CMF>0, and the price is in a trending mode at Keltner-Upper.
Position relative to the profile: we are inside the VA and close to POC ~115k, which is an area of equilibrium; the market likes to test/balance around POC.
Risks of "hotness": RSI≈68 and MFI>80 indicate short-term overheating of money; without OI support, there may be откаты к средним значениям перед новым импульсом.
VWAP context: z(Price−VWAP) is low (≈0.36), and all aVWAP are lower, indicating that buyers are in control.
Key levels
Resistances: 114 826 (Donch-H20) → 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (Donch-H55) → ~118k (inter-nodal zone) → 120 964 (VAH).
Supports: 114 202 (Keltner-Upper/Return boundary) → 114 096 (aVWAP 60D) → 112 377 (EMA20/Keltner-Mid) → 112 087 (Donch-Mid55) → 111 970 (Donch-Mid20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (Donch L20/L55).
Scenarios and triggers (not the financial council)
A) Continuation of the upward trend is the basic trend.
Why is it the basic trend: convergence of momentum metrics (MACD+, ADX>40, CMF>0, aVWAP control), moderate z(Price−VWAP), and proximity to POC (often broken by the trend).
Trigger: 4h-close above 114,826 (Donch-H20) with buffer ≈ +0.1·ATR ≈ +93$ → > 114,920, with CMF>0 and OBV z50 ≥ 1.0.
Targets: 115 113 (POC) → 115 624 (H55) → ~118k → 120 964 (VAH) with normalization/growth of OI.
Invalidator: quick rollback and fixing below 114 202 (return to Keltner) and below aVWAP 60d 114 096.
B) Rotation to the averages / reload.
Trigger: 4h-closing below 114 202, RSI < 60 / MFI < 70, weakening of the MACD histogram, while OI↑ on the fall.
Targets: 112 377 (EMA20) → 112 087 / 111 970 (Donch Mid 55/20) → 109 261 (VAL) → 109 114 / 108 550 (L20/L55).
Cancel: return and hold above 114 826 with OBV recovery.
C) Quick short squeeze up.
If a set of shorts (OI↑) starts near POC and the price does not give back, a breakout > 114 920 with a fall in OI on a green candle ⇒ closing shorts and accelerating to 115.6k → 118k → 121k.
Tactics (example of logic)
Impulse long: after fixing > 114 920. Partial fixation at 115 113 and 115 624, then a trawl to the zone 118k → 121k. Stop under 114 202 (or under the retest level).
Reversal long (conservative): zones 112.4k–112.1k (EMA20 / Donch-Mid55) at signs of demand (CMF>0, candle reaction, OBV z50 turns up). Stop — below 111.9k, targets — 114.2k → 114.8k/115.1k.
Contra-trend short: only if 114.8k–115.6k is rejected + RSI/MFI reversal down and weak MACD histogram. Targets are 114.2k → 112.4k → 111.9k, stop at 115.7k.
In short: what to expect
The bullish trend is active, but the money is overheated (MFI>80), and the OI is below average.
If we consolidate above 114.9k, it is logical to break through to 115.1k → 115.6k → 118k, and with a good flow, to 121k (VAH zone).
If we return below 114.2k, a rotation/reboot to 112.4k–112.0k is likely; a deep scenario leads to VAL ~109.3k.