BTCUSDT Analysis: Breakout and Potential Growth👋Hello everyone, what do you think about BINANCE:BTCUSDT ?
Based on technical analysis, BTCUSDT has made a strong breakout from the descending channel. Currently, Bitcoin is facing strong resistance near the 124,000 USD level. After reaching the peak, the price may correct back to Fibonacci support levels (0.5 - 0.618) before potentially continuing its upward movement.
The next target for BTC is to reach 130,000 USD if the bullish trend continues. The key to achieving this target is for the newly established support to hold, along with a clear confirmation of a candle close above the current resistance zone.
As for me, I remain optimistic. What about you? 💬What do you think about the trend of BTCUSDT? Feel free to leave your thoughts in the comments below.
Good luck!
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
$BTC Daily chart $130K! or $115k DUMPBTC/USDT – Bearish Harmonic Formation | Key Levels & Scenarios
Technical Overview:
Price is currently forming a bearish harmonic pattern, approaching a key decision zone. The next few daily candles will determine whether BTC continues its bullish trend or initiates a corrective phase.
Key Zones
Demand: 122.2K – 124.7K
Supply: 105.1K – 108.9K
Psychological Levels: 130K · 125K · 120K · 115K
Golden Pocket: Around 115K (0.618–0.65 retracement)
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
115K–118K
110K (secondary FVG)
Swing Points:
Previous Swing Low: 108K
Previous Swing High: 126K
High Volume Nodes: 118K and 115K
Market Structure
BTC is respecting a consistent bullish leg with limited pullbacks. Price recently swept the 125K psychological level, aligning with harmonic completion and demand resistance.
Scenario Outlook
🔼 Bullish Continuation:
A daily close above the 124.7K demand zone could invalidate the bearish harmonic and signal continuation toward 130K+ targets.
🔽 Bearish Reversal:
A close below the previous day’s candle low may confirm the start of a bearish correction, targeting 118K → 115K, and potentially 110K.
Bearish Confluences
Bearish Harmonic Pattern completion near key resistance.
Golden Pocket + FVG + Psychological + Volume confluence at 115K.
Extended bullish leg with no significant retracement, followed by 125K liquidity sweep.
LET me know your thoughts below!
BTC – Eyeing a Retest of the $118K Structure!CRYPTOCAP:BTC broke above the $117K–$119K structure (blue zone) with strong momentum.
I’m now watching for a pullback to this area to form a higher low and resume the uptrend.
As long as price holds above $117K–$119K, I’ll look for trend-following longs toward $125K–$128K, then the $130K handle.
If the blue zone fails, the next support sits at $106K–$110K (green zone), where bulls may regroup.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BITCOIN BULLISH MOMENTUM CONTINUATION? 125K Still possible?BTC/USDT 1H – Breakout Setup
Cup & Handle forming right under FVG zone, showing early bullish intent.
Recent tariff crash created the swing low and possible reaccumulation zone.
POC: 121K — strong magnet if price breaks higher.
Key Levels:
🔹 115K → Breakout confirmation level
🔹 120K → Mid FVG / Resistance
🔹 121K → POC target
🔹 125K → Next liquidity zone
🔹 110K / 105K / 100K → Downside supports
Bullish case:
Close above 115K = breakout → target 121K–125K (FVG fill + liquidity grab).
Bearish case:
Fail to hold 115K → drop to 110K → 105K → 100K possible.
Summary:
Cup & Handle under FVG + tariff crash low = potential bullish reversal zone.
Watch 115K — that’s the key trigger for direction.
BTC/USD | BTC Crashes to $102K, Then Bounces Back – Still UnstabBy analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the 12-hour timeframe, we can see that last night, following Trump’s tweet, the market faced a sharp sell-off, with BTC dropping all the way down to $102,000. After hitting this key demand zone, Bitcoin bounced back strongly, rallying up to $115,000, and is now trading around $110,000.
However, BTC still looks unstable, struggling to hold steady — to continue its bullish trend, it must stay above $110K. If it fails to hold this level, we could see the price dip below $100K again. This analysis will be updated soon as the market develops.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Using DXY to Predict Manipulation on BitcoinIn this post it’s important to view and relate to the linked, related idea called “DXY - Major Breakdown of Ascending Channel”
I’ll keep this short and to the point since we are actively in the war zone now.
1. Identify major patterns or structure shifts on DXY. For 8 years I’ve used these same ascending channel supports on DXY and it’s made very clear this is the way it trades, as we can duplicate the line angle and move it near infinitely to any area and see how price respects it.
2. Identify major DXY events in relation to the DXY pivot. In this case, we are witnessing a bearish retest of a major bearish signal.
3. Understand what it all means. DXY falling / correcting for 4-7 years translates to BULL MARKET of the same duration on stocks, equities, and securities.
Now you may be thinking - “Okay but that means, Bitcoin will go up then?”
WRONG
The reason is, Bitcoin and Crypto is a manipulated game and it’s all rigged and intentional.
What does this really mean then?
4. If we will see a natural bullish trend on Bitcoin for the next 4-7 years, that means the market makers want their money back. Since Bitcoin has been only moving up since late 2022, this has set up a massive chain reaction of long stop losses / sell orders, paving a path to these lower zones on my BTC chart. What this should tell you is - FLASH CRASH COMING. Manipulated crash before the true bull run.
Now you may be wondering - “No way, the world would have to see an apocalypse for 8,000 to be hit”
WRONG
Stop loss orders are in place already as a natural consequence of traders decisions over the last 3+ years. These are sell orders. Once these sell orders start filling, bitcoin will see an automatic wick down to these low levels. No active selling is required, and therefor no black swan required.
Now - If DXY was retesting a bullish pattern, I’d be longing as that signals extended bear market.
And rest assured - THIS MARKET IS ALL MANIPULATION.
We can use DXY to predict the trigger of it all.
Happy trading.
- DD
BTC – Bulls Still in Control, As Long As the Intersection Holds!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is retesting a major confluence zone, the intersection of the rising red trendline and the previous ATH structure around $110K–$112K.
This zone has acted as a strong pivot multiple times, and as long as it holds, the overall bullish trend remains intact.
Bullish scenario: Look for trend-following longs near the current intersection, targeting the upper red trendline around $125K.
Bearish invalidation: A daily close below $107K would break the confluence and signal a potential shift in momentum.
📈 The structure is still clean, a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish cycle.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
The Bitcoin bearish era has begun (1D)First of all, you should know that in our previous analyses, we had identified a large triangle. However, the market makers created another bullish wave, increasing the chart’s error margin (The scenario you see in the related ideas section.).
This sharp move indicates the beginning of new bearish branches! It is expected that with a pullback to the red zone, the correction will continue, and we will be involved in it for at least a few months.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Price maintains higher lows and breaks above 114KBitcoin is currently consolidating around the 111K level, following significant market losses in October driven by escalating U.S.–China trade tensions. The price is down 9.45% on the weekly chart and remains 12.16% below its all-time high During this corrective phase, BTC appears to be stabilizing.
Technically, if BTC maintains higher lows and breaks above 114K, we could expect a potential shift toward a short-term uptrend targeting 116K–120K. Conversely, a break below 111K could expose further downside risk.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck.
Ps; Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks for Support.
Why MY “Big Dump” THESIS STILL STANDS. BITCOIN WILL BLEEDHappy Monday traders,
I’ve reviewed the latest data again and nothing has changed my view. The structure still looks weak underneath the surface and the setup for downside remains strong.
Summary:
• Price rising → Market pushing higher, looks strong on the surface.
• Stablecoin OI increasing → New leveraged perp positions opening. Speculative money is driving the move, not real buyers.
• Coin-margined OI dropped, then slightly increased → Shorts were closed during the breakout, and now new shorts are opening near the highs.
• Spot CVD flat or slightly negative → Real demand is still missing. Spot traders aren’t supporting this move.
• Stablecoin CVD rising → Perp traders are aggressively buying, lifting price artificially.
• Long/Short ratio falling (2.05 → 1.02) → Fewer longs and more shorts entering. Shorts are fading strength while price keeps rising.
• Price up + OI up + Spot CVD flat → Buyers are being absorbed by new shorts. This is distribution forming at the highs.
• Possible short-term move to 126K → Could sweep weekend highs during RTH for liquidity before a potential reversal.
• If Spot CVD stays flat while OI rises on that move → That would likely be the final squeeze before a deeper dump.
-------------------
1️⃣ The same leverage-driven structure
The breakout on September 25 looked impressive, but it was built on leverage rather than real spot demand.
Stablecoin OI (aggregated) increased from 257K → 285K contracts (+10.9%)
This shows fresh leveraged exposure coming from perps, not genuine buyers
Coin-margined OI dropped from 7.58B → 7.29B during that breakout as shorts were closed out
It has now started to rise slightly again at current prices, meaning new coin-margined positions are opening near the highs, most likely shorts fading strength
2️⃣ Spot demand is still missing
Spot CVD moved from -18.38K → -16.44K (about +10.5%), while futures OI rose almost the same amount. That tells you everything: the breakout was driven by futures leverage, not real spot buying.
Everyone’s renting Ferraris (perp longs), but no one is actually buying one (spot BTC). Once the rental stops, the cars vanish and prices drop.
3️⃣ The long-short ratio collapse
On September 25, the aggregated long/short ratio (Binance + Bybit) was 2.05, meaning twice as many longs as shorts. Today it sits near 1.02, even though price is higher.
Early breakout longs have been closed or liquidated
New traders entering the market are mostly shorts
OI is still rising, showing new short positioning, not liquidation exits
Stablecoin-perp CVD is still climbing, meaning buyers are pushing price up but every uptick is met with new short liquidity
This is a classic case of perps pushing while smarter money fades.
4️⃣ Why I still think Bitcoin will bleed
This looks like distribution, not accumulation.
Perp traders are driving the move
Spot buyers still haven’t shown up
Shorts are building into the highs
That’s not a healthy uptrend. It’s a top-heavy market waiting for the bid to dry up. When it does, the unwind will likely be quick as leveraged positions are forced out.
Think of it like a rubber band. The more it’s stretched by leverage without real demand, the harder it snaps when buying power runs out.
⚖️ TL;DR
Stablecoin OI +10.9% → leverage driven
Coin OI fell, then rose slightly → shorts covered, new shorts forming near highs
Spot CVD flat → no real buyers
Long/Short ratio 2.05 → 1.02 → longs out, shorts in
The move up was built on leverage, not ownership.
Spot hasn’t confirmed, and shorts are stacking into strength.
🎯 Short-term note
There’s a chance we see one more push toward the 126K region during RTH to sweep the weekend highs before rolling over. If that happens with spot CVD still flat and OI climbing, it’ll likely be the final liquidity grab before a larger move down.
Until spot CVD turns positive and OI stabilizes, my view remains the same: Bitcoin will bleed.
Interested in the Order Flow data that I used for this Analysis? Check it out here => ibb.co
BTC Pullback: Key Support at $99,800 – Next Move?#Bitcoin is currently experiencing a pullback, likely triggered by news, such as President Trump’s tariff announcement on China.
The price is hovering around $110,500, but it doesn’t look strong enough to hold at this level, so a move toward $99,800 is possible. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement at $99,800 acts as a key demand zone. However, the RSI isn't oversold yet, which means there’s potential for further downside if this support breaks.
In my opinion, the best approach right now is to wait for some confirmation.
Stay tuned and follow for more updates, and if you're stuck in any coin, feel free to DM me I’ll do my best to help you out.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC Trading Plan after the sweeping of liquidity BTC dropped crazy and swept all liquidy
Price touched 102130 which is the demanzd zone
and formed a Suuuuuuper Long Pin bar.
Therefore we can long BTC from here
and Im 121081
SL below 108200
Apply 2% risk rule and always remember
to set a Protective Stop loss
Don't be killed by the sudden strike where
the market is crazy!
It's your own choice whether you want to
put all your money at risk while no stop loss is set
or you are willing to risk only 2% of your capital
each time you find out an traidng opportunity
After my 15 years trading expereience,
I would like to share with you guys
Remeber : Your behavior determines the result.
If you have a bad result in trading
check out whether you have these 7 incorrect behavior which will lead you to the failure:
1. Miss out: you are not participating at all!
2 Close trade too early: every time you just win a little
3 Close trade too late: you want to hold for a long period ,
but when market turns agains you ,you are still holding and all the floating profit is gone
4 trapped in a losing trade: you just don't want to admit the trend is goen,
and you want to wait for the floating loss back to zero
and the market just keep falling until your encounter huge loss.
5 Oversize gambling: after losing so much money, you just want to win all loss back in
one single trade, and you decide to all in again and again. but the market will kill you just by one losing trade.
6 lack of patience: you choose to take intraday trading and over trade ,
but you just can't wait for the market to move into a trend and you will be shaken out before the big strike
7 emotional trading: since you can't fix the 6 above problems or enemies,
you will often feel sad, or frustraed, anxious, and worried, regret, angry, emmo etc.
the more emo you become, the worse decision you will make.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #191👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into Bitcoin analysis. The market is still in a ranging phase, so let’s take a look at today’s triggers together.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, Bitcoin is still consolidating and has formed a new range high around 124,094.
✔️ Right now, the price is near the bottom of the range box it has created and is on the verge of breaking below it.
✨ If the bottom of the box breaks, price could move toward lower levels.
📊 If selling volume continues to increase, the downward move could extend further, and Bitcoin may correct to even deeper zones.
🎲 However, if this move turns out to be a fake breakdown, and we see reversal structures such as a V-pattern, we could look for a long trigger.
🔑 I still don’t see Bitcoin as being in a downtrend. In my view, every correction the market makes is still healthy and supports the continuation of the broader bullish structure, helping maintain the strength of upcoming legs.
⭐ For now, since momentum has turned bearish on the lower cycles, I don’t have any new triggers to give based on my strategy. In this phase of the market, I prefer to wait until price builds more structure.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
06/10/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $125,735.08
Last weeks low: $111,559.20
Midpoint: $118,6547.14
New All Time High for Bitcoin in the first week of "Uptober", really impressive strength since flipping $117,500.
BTC still finds itself within a range between ATH and $108,000 but with such strength on the bounce from range lows, could we see price discovery going into the last leg of the year?
From a macro perspective month/quarter end is now over and done with, banks have completed their window dressing/de-risking and we can expect liquidity to flow back into the risk markets. Rate cut cycle continues, M2 Global money supply at ATH with seemingly no plans to stop in the near future.
For now I am still treating trading BTC as it is in a range until we get price acceptance above $125,000. If there is a breakout above and a rally altcoins should follow. In terms of news releases this week because of the US Government shutdown there is a disruption on data releases but overall nothing of great importance is disrupted.
Good luck this week everybody!
Bitcoin - First Signs of the Bear AwakeningBitcoin recently swept the previous all-time high, taking liquidity from the major external range. After that sweep, price reacted sharply downward, leaving behind a significant daily imbalance. This gap is now acting as resistance, with clear rejection seen on the daily timeframe. The move signals exhaustion from buyers and an early sign that the market could be preparing for a deeper retracement phase.
Consolidation Structure
Following the rejection, Bitcoin is moving within a short-term consolidation range, sitting between the daily imbalance above and a major demand zone below. This structure represents indecision as the market transitions from expansion to a potential reaccumulation or redistribution phase. The large wick left behind during the last drop suggests that liquidity was collected below the previous range, but it remains unfilled, hinting at unfinished business in that area.
Bullish Scenario
In the short term, a bounce from the lower zone could play out as the market attempts to correct the imbalance. This would align with a 50% fill of the previous large wick, providing the liquidity needed before resuming any sustained downside movement. If buyers manage to reclaim control temporarily, the move would likely target the unfilled 4-hour gaps sitting above current price.
Bearish Scenario
However, any upside reaction is expected to face resistance at the daily imbalance. Once those 4-hour gaps are filled, the likelihood of another rejection increases. If that rejection confirms, it could trigger a larger selloff targeting the strong support area below, where the next round of liquidity rests. The reaction from that zone will determine whether the market continues lower or begins forming a new base for accumulation.
Price Target and Expectations
The ideal flow would see Bitcoin dip to fill 50% of the large wick, find temporary support, then stage one final bounce into the 4-hour imbalance zone before resuming its bearish leg. This structure keeps the overall narrative intact, combining liquidity behavior with efficient price delivery.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s current setup remains technically balanced between two key inefficiencies. A short-term bounce is likely before continuation lower, with the daily gap rejection acting as the main pivot point in this structure. Until the wick fill and 4-hour gaps are resolved, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
BTC – Bounce Off Daily Support, Eyes on Supply!Bitcoin has bounced from the daily support area (the broad green zone around $110K–$112K), reclaiming the intraday breakdown zone near $114K and turning it into support on lower timeframes.
As long as price holds above $112K–$113K, the short-term bias remains constructive and I am looking for continuation toward $118K, followed by the $121K–$122K supply zone highlighted on the chart.
The bulls will remain in control as long as the $107,500 mark holds as support.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr.
It's Not the End, BTC Bull Channel Points to 160k!After the biggest manipulation of crypto in history, we have a strong trend line since 50k in a bull channel. Based on a clean retracement to 107k-108k , it can go up to 160k for a reliable target.
Strong trend line support originating from the 50k base
A well-defined parallel resistance channel
Recent clean retracement to the 107k-108k zone, which aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level
RSI showing healthy consolidation without being oversold
Trade Setup:
The current retracement to 107k-108k presents a high-probability entry zone for continuation of the bullish structure. If this support holds and price respects the channel dynamics, the next major target sits at 160k, representing the upper boundary projection.
Key Levels:
Support: 107k-108k (current retracement zone)
Invalidation: Break below 100k
Target: 160k (channel resistance)
What do you think? Drop your thoughts in the comments below - do you see this playing out, or do you have a different perspective on BTC's next move?
BTC/USDT | BTC Correction in Play – Will $117K Hold the Line?By analyzing the Bitcoin (BTC) chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after rallying up to $126,000 and setting a new all-time high (ATH), the price faced a sharp correction and is now trading around $119,000.
This drop could extend further toward $117,000, which is a key level to watch closely. If Bitcoin manages to hold above this zone, we could see the next bullish wave begin. Otherwise, the next major demand zones are at $115,000, $113,500, and $112,120.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
The key is whether the upward trajectory can continue
Hello, fellow traders.
If you "Follow," you'll always get the latest information quickly.
Have a great day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The price rose after forming a DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, and is now forming a HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, showing a upward trajectory.
Trend-wise, a decline below the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is likely to initiate a downtrend, and a decline below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is expected to initiate a downtrend.
Therefore, when the price falls to the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range, it's important to identify support and resistance levels formed at the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Therefore, it's important to maintain the price above the 116259.91-119086.64 range.
The next important range is the 104463.99-108353.0 range.
-
To break above these key levels or ranges,
- The StochRSI indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it's best to avoid entering the overbought zone.
- The On-By-Signal (OBV) indicator must be trending upward. If possible, it should remain above the High Line.
- The TC (Trend Check) indicator should show an upward trend. If possible, it should remain above the 0 level.
If the above conditions are met, an upward breakout of the HA-High ~ DOM (60) range is expected.
The next period of volatility is expected around October 14th (October 13th-15th).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #193👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin, yesterday, a phenomenon called a Flash Crash occurred, and the market experienced a massive drop. Let’s review what happened and where the market stands now.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe
Before diving into the chart, let’s first understand what happened in the broader market.
🔍 Yesterday, the U.S. restricted the sale of certain computer chips to China,
and in response, China halted exports of five rare elements to the U.S.
📰 Then, the U.S. reimposed heavy tariffs on China, and China raised duties on American ships.
✨ These escalating tensions severely impacted global markets — and we witnessed the largest Flash Crash in Bitcoin’s history.
📉 A total of $19 billion worth of positions were liquidated, marking the highest figure ever recorded in crypto history.
To put that into perspective, during the COVID crash, only about $3 billion was liquidated — a massive difference.
🔔 Interestingly, Bitcoin dropped less compared to most altcoins and managed to recover partially.
However, altcoins like TON, AVAX, ARB, and SUI (each with their own networks) saw brutal crashes, many with wicks of 60–70% downward.
📊 Now, looking at the chart, yesterday, Bitcoin was ranging above the $120,835 zone.
🧮 Once the geopolitical tension began, the price started a strong downward move, breaking below its key support.
🔽 After two large red candles and a close below support, the third candle formed a 12% wick, dropping as low as $102,000.
✔️ Following that, the price quickly recovered and is now consolidating above the $109,000 support zone.
💡 At the moment, in such a highly volatile environment, finding valid triggers and opening new positions isn’t ideal.
🔑 The price action has been driven mostly by news and panic, so it’s best to wait until the market stabilizes and the effects of these developments fade away.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC Will Flash Crash to 35,000 / 8,000 - This is the Theory I’ve been seeing a lot of comments on my posts about this, discreting the idea, or claiming there’s no reasoning behind it. Here I will dive deeper into the WHY by presenting this on the weekly time frame.
In recent times, we have witnessed many times on a small scale what happens after we see a slow, downwards consolidation and price movement.
On the way days as shorts are accumulated, they leave a trail above the price that contains buy orders that don’t automatically fill if price is below. These buy orders are short stop loss orders and short liquidation orders.
As Bitcoin moves down, the price will then slowly begin to rise. Sooner or later, there is a high volume candle on the minute time frame pushing price up - into the series of short position buy orders.
What follows is a very fast upwards candle as these buy orders are filled and the shorts are stopped out, liquidated, and traders enter longs.
Think of this as a replacement of positions. The market makers use the traders own decisions, to get themselves into the positions they want to be in. They cannot make those choices, but they can manipulate and entice traders to make the wrong decision.
Market makers who allow traders liquidity to take leveraged positions, they want their money back and to an extreme lesser degree, don’t want you taking profit in a winning trade. Hence, we see these very fast moves occur, which were once known as “stop hunts”.
These stop hunt candles, extreme, fast price movements that liquidate and stop out trades by nature, can be understood by chart analysis.
If you read disclaimers for the heat map platforms (IE Coinglass), you’ll see that these are only predictions, and not based on real data. The only accurate way of understanding where these hidden orders are, is by chart analysis.
On my chart are red boxes. These red boxes are drawn from the upwards consolidation zones, where price never came down to reclaim the liquidity from. These zones are filled with long position sell orders that don’t automatically fill when price is above.
You can imagine a ladder of sell orders, one after the next, all the way down through the boxes.
Now you may think, how can Bitcoin lose all that value if we drop to 8,000 when there’s ETF’s, Strategy, Holders, etc?
The answer is - the majority of Bitcoins market cap, including companies like Strategy who leverage, is all liquidity used for leveraging and trading derivatives.
It is liquidity supplied by market makers and exchanges, and has no bias towards price going up or down. It’s liquidity that’s fluid, moves in and out, and while you may think that bitcoin would “lose” all the value if it drops to 8,000 momentarily - you must think of it another way.
Bitcoin is a balloon of dollars. The dollars doesn’t affect the function of what Bitcoin does. People from all over use their money to inflate that balloon, and a liquidation event such as a stop loss, then deflates that balloon and transfers the wealth into very few pockets.
The balloon is then quickly re-inflated by the liquidity that’s first deflated, and becomes inflated again by the long orders placed and the shorts stopped out or liquidated.
It’s highly likely the “floor price” of bitcoin is $8,000 - the amount of bitcoin held in stable sources divided by the dispersed amount of bitcoin on the market.
The rest is leveraging liquidity, that is simply a function of inflating and deflating, moving in and out and accommodating orders of both directions - or in other words, the “ gambling industry” within Bitcoin.
Now, TECHNICALLY SPEAKING
We have 2 key trendlines to show.
The first is an ascending channel, that starts at the 8,000 zone. Price consolidated around it all throughout the chart.
Duplicating this trendline we can find a channel, and I show that as the lower red ascending line. This is the main support and resistance we have to understand.
The second trendline is shown in grey. This is again a bearish trend that Bitcoin has been consolidating around since its bottom.
This trendline breakdown takes Bitcoin to 35,000.
If price drops from current level to 35,000 - we can measure the downwards movement, place that measurement from 8,000 - and see that we would form a bear pennant type pattern, rise back up to the RETEST OF THE BOTTOM RED CHANNEL LINE, and then fulfill the measurement of the downwards move all the way to 8,000.
Technically speaking, we can use pattern prediction and support resistance levels to serve as confluence for the liquidity levels and the mechanics of this drop.
So there we have the MECHANICS and TECHNICALS
Additionally about the mechanics or the HOW… the more times Bitcoin doesn’t drop down, moves up - the more of those sell orders are accumulated.
The more TIME Bitcoin spends doing this, and the more AMOUNT of times Bitcoin wicks up like this - this means the FASTER and MORE POWERFUL the drop will be as a consequence.
This is very simply because of the amount of sell orders accumulated in the chart. The more sell orders there are, and the greater the quantity of Bitcoin ordered to be sold, the faster price will drop down.
So in theory, these drops will be the fastest movements we’ve ever seen in bitcoins history.
It’s quite literally a chart filled with rocket fuel and propellant, and all it takes is a fuse to be lit.
Thank you
Bulls are on the rise, with the MACD, SMA, and EMA all bullish!
Let's not beat around the bush; this daily chart is a stark illustration. After breaking through resistance near $110,000, Bitcoin surged to $125,725 on increasing volume, demonstrating textbook breakout behavior. But just when bulls thought it was safe to celebrate, smaller candlesticks—tiny signals of uncertainty—slowly appeared like unwelcome party guests.
With support at $120,000 and $116,000, bottom-fishing opportunities could emerge between $120,000 and $122,000. But let's be clear: if Bitcoin fails at $125,725 again, it could call the bears out again.
If Bitcoin breaks through $125,725, the target will be $130,000. All technical indicators point to a bullish outlook, and any dip near $120,000 could simply be the market's "final announcement" that Bitcoin is ready to take off. However, a failure to break above $125,000 and a break below $120,000 could signal a reversal. With momentum peaking and several oscillators flashing warning signs, a breakdown of $120,000 support would be a good time to sell.