BTC Speculation and key levelsBTC bounce from POC at 112,800k, as expected.
Now Im looking how price will react at few levels:
1. 114,500 because its 0.618fib,VAH and resistance, because first time price went bit lower to POC.
2. 155,620, on this price is , Resistance and supply
3. 118,000 possible if BTC will show really strong .
BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
Daily Bitcoin Signal: Sell Now , target 110,500Bitcoin is currently showing signs of strength as it tests the key resistance level around 113,000.
A confirmed 1H candle breakout this zone could trigger fresh bearish momentum, opening the door for lower targets in the short term.
My Personal Long Setup
Entry : Sell Now from current Price 112,900
🎯 Target 1: 111,900
🎯 Target 2: 110,600
❌ Stop-loss: 115,500
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⚠️ Please note:
This is not financial advice – I’m only sharing my personal trades.
Always do your own research before taking action.
Best of luck 🌹
BTCUSDT Bullish Rebound Setup From Support RetestTrade Setup Analysis
Pair: BTCUSDT
Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Position Type: Long (Buy)
Entry Point: 115,554.94
Positioned exactly between the stop loss and take profit zones, providing an optimal entry after a pullback to support.
Stop Loss (SL): 112,693.78
Placed below the key support zone to limit downside risk. Risk is approximately -2.48% from entry.
Take Profit (TP): 124,843.07
Target set at a recent swing high, offering a potential upside of around +8.04% from entry.
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.25
A favorable setup offering more than triple the potential reward compared to the risk.
Technical Outlook:
BTCUSDT experienced a sharp pullback after testing highs, now retesting a support level that aligns with previous consolidation. This could present a buying opportunity if bullish momentum resumes.
Bullish Scenario: Holding above 115,554.94 and forming higher lows could trigger a rally toward 124,843.07.
Bearish Invalidation: A break below 112,693.78 would invalidate the setup and may open the door to further downside.
Summary:
This setup targets a rebound from support with a clearly defined stop loss and a strong reward potential, making it suitable for swing traders seeking favorable R/R conditions.
#BTCUSDT 4H ChartPrice is currently retesting the S/R Flip at 113k where it is bouncing from as well as the 100MA. MACD is showing some bullish weakness, RSI is bought and EMAs are turning bullish. Price is expected to keep pushing up aiming towards the 115.5k area where we have a minor supply zone.
BTC 4H – Rejection at 114k, Eyes on 113k SupportBitcoin bounced strongly from the 109k demand zone, but faced a clear rejection at the 114k resistance.
🔹 Current 4H Outlook:
Price is testing 113k support after the pullback.
Losing 113k could trigger a deeper move toward 111k → 109k demand zone.
If bulls reclaim 114k and hold, upside targets are 116k → 118k.
📊 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish:
Hold above 113k and reclaim 114k → continuation to 116k – 118k.
❌ Bearish:
Break below 113k → correction down to 111k and possibly 109k demand zone.
🎯 Key Levels:
Supports: 113k / 111k / 109k
Resistances: 114k / 116k / 118k
⚡️ 113k is the key level to watch — decision point for the next move.
$BTC not too late to get outWe've been seeing a downward channel and bounce down off the top wedge. Technicals confirm this as well as UltraShort signals. There's a bit more to give (bleed). If you're up now, it's a good time to get out and stay on the sides. With the looming gov shutdown and ultra high markets, the recipe for a good pullback is high. Inverse ETFs CBOE:MSTZ CBOE:UVIX could play nicely.
BTC 4H Update – Correction Possibly EndingOn the 4H chart, it looks like Bitcoin’s corrective phase might be over, but we don’t yet have full confirmation.
🔑 Confirmation signal:
If BTC makes a higher low above $108,810 or even a double bottom, that would confirm the end of the correction.
Until then, patience is key — don’t rush into trades.
❌ Invalidation:
If BTC breaks below $108,810, this analysis becomes invalid.
BTC to go parabolic to 100 oz Gold by EOY 2025!Gold and Bitcoin are both valuable hard assets and from my observation, the Bitcoin chart to Gold is much better predictable than it's price to USD. The reason might be because Gold holds it's purchasing power over time through the history, and in fact it is the base line for the purchasing power, but Dollar depends on how much it gets printed and cannot be reliably predicted. That's why when you look at BTC/Gold chart, most of the times you see exact double tops or exact double bottoms.
I was predicting BTC would get to $100K USD when it hits it's previous top to Gold (37 oz) and so I was predicting about 8 month before it happens that BTC will be $100K when Gold is 2650 and it happened. I was surprised myself that it held true.
Looking into Gold price history, we can reliably say that Gold will not stop here and will march to $8000 within couple of years. However I think it has hit it's top for the year, or max $4000 will be the 2025 top. Then when Gold pulls back, BTC will get the chance to go parabolic, and has it's last rise of this bull market, and I expect it should take BTC to near 100 oz Gold. So if we want to put all together, Gold = 3350 where it pulls back and BTC= 100 oz = $335,000. I know the Bitcoin whales are playful sometimes, so we might get into $333,333 per BTC.
I remember in Nov 2013 everyone was talking about bitcoin flipping gold (1 BTC getting to 1 oz Gold) and well, it didn't happen at that time and it had to come back in 2017, but it got close enough. We might have the same kind of situation here so starting to drop anywhere from $270k to $330k might be what we get.
I don't publish many analysis's on TV, but I thought I'd put this here, it might get me famous ;)
Presenting the bottom/top formula: The $2,000 RuleIn this idea we try to present The $2,000 Rule , which has been back tested as far as one year with 90% accuracy hitting the very wick end exact top or bottom.
The formula is simple, in order to find the very next wick top or bottom singularity, simply calculate either from the previous top or bottom wick singularity either +- $2,000.
(if you're trying to find a top it's +$2,000, if bottom -$2,000).
You can back-test it yourself, works best on 1Week timeframes for a clearer picture.
GLOSSARY:
Wick Singularity: The very end of the wick, the very last point of the wick.
kata: Ancient greek for 'according to'. κατά
BTC/USDT | BTC Bounce After $111K Dip – Liquidity Gap in FocusBy analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after a heavy correction down to $111,000, the price found demand again and is now trading around $113,600.
I expect Bitcoin to continue rising to fill the liquidity gap, with the first target at $114,150. Other targets and scenarios will be shared tomorrow!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC Update – Monday, 29.09.2025🚀 BTC Update – Monday, 29.09.2025 🚀
Bitcoin gave us some real fireworks over the weekend! 🎇 After hunting stop losses on both buy and sell sides, price quickly reversed and pumped back into the zone of indecision.
📌 In my last analysis, I mentioned two key levels:
* 113,460
* 116,310
Last week, BTC broke downside of 113,460, which was the first confirmation of a downtrend wave. But guess what? The market didn’t confirm the breakout – instead, price snapped back up, showing that bulls are still alive and fighting! 🐂🔥
👉 My view remains the same:
* If BTC breaks above the Yellow Line (Arrow #1) → we enter super bullish mode 🟢 and momentum can explode higher.
* If BTC fails to break and gets rejected from there → we could see a drop towards 100K 🔻.
* On the higher time frame, BTC is still in a range between Arrow #1 and Arrow #3. Until one side breaks cleanly, we stay patient and let the market decide the real direction.
💡 Reminder for all traders: Sometimes the best trade is no trade. Let the price confirm – don’t rush. Patience = Profits! 🧘♂️💰
⚡Stay focused, stay motivated, and remember – market shakeouts are designed to test weak hands. Strong hands win in the long run. 💪🔥
$BTC Lower highs....too early to celebrateBTC gets a golf clap today for wedging itself from 3 days of staying flat and doing nothing. Zooming out, we're seeing something a little different. Downward channel, and price movements swinging back and forth. Mid-week with the gov shutdown, we may see a bit pull down below 110k. This short squeeze does not compensate for the ~10% drop we've been seeing.
My view on BTCBitcoin has shown renewed strength in momentum after tapping into a strong support zone.
From a structural standpoint, price first printed a lower low, then followed with a higher low, which is a classic signal of improving momentum and potential trend reversal.
If price can break decisively above the 117,900 level with high volume, I think it opens the path for BTC to rally into the order block near the all-time high.
🎯 Conclusion: My outlook leans bullish — the shift from a lower low to a higher low highlights building momentum, and a break above 117,900 with strong volume would likely accelerate the move toward the upper order block. Still, markets are unpredictable, and this is only my view.
👉 For more structured market insights and professional analysis, follow along.
Bitcoin Bounces Strongly from Key Support – What’s Next?🔎 Technical Outlook (BTC/USDT, 4H):
1. Key Support: Bitcoin held the 110K – 112K zone, a historically strong demand area that triggered a solid rebound.
2. Channel Breakout: Price has broken out of a short-term descending channel, shifting momentum in favor of the bulls.
3. Immediate Resistances:
• First resistance: 115.5K – 116K
• Next major resistance: 118K – 120K (upper channel boundary)
4. Scenarios:
• 🟢 A confirmed breakout above 115.5K opens the path toward 118K → 120K.
• 🔻 Failure to clear resistance could trigger another pullback toward 112K or even a retest of 110K.
📌 Summary: Bitcoin has defended its major support and is showing bullish momentum in the short term. However, the upcoming tests at 115K+ will decide whether this move evolves into a stronger rally or just a corrective bounce.
BTC/USDT Bearish Trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of BTC/USDT (4H timeframe) chart analysis:
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Bearish Bitcoin Setup
Trend: The market is clearly in a downtrend, with price respecting the descending channel.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Two FVG zones are highlighted where price retraced to fill imbalances.
Moving Averages:
50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue) are above price, confirming bearish momentum.
Key Resistance: Price is currently retesting the FVG supply zone around 111,000 – 111,500, which aligns with the descending trendline.
Rejection Expected: If sellers defend this zone, price is likely to continue its bearish trajectory.
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Target Point
A measured move suggests a potential drop towards 106,218 (next support / target zone).
This aligns with the channel’s lower boundary.
.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trading Idea
Bias: Bearish.
Entry Zone: Around 111,000 – 111,500 (FVG supply & trendline confluence).
Target: 106,218.
Invalidation: A breakout above 113,000 (200 EMA) would weaken the bearish setup.
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Bitcoin going on the flow UPDATE 29-09-2025BTC/USDT Update
✅ Bitcoin has successfully moved above the main trend, a strong signal that momentum is shifting positively.
🔑 As long as BTC holds this main trend support, the outlook remains bullish.
📈 This structure opens the door for further upside continuation, with buyers maintaining control above this level.
📌 Summary:
BTC is currently holding above the main trend, which keeps the short-term outlook positive as long as this level is defended.