Bitcoin - 66k in 2026 (but first a pump - watch this!)Bitcoin has been going down drastically, as I expected many, many weeks in advance. But this is not the end of the crash! We will see lower prices in 2026, specifically 66k and possibly 50k later in Q3 2026. This is my long-term vision, but in the short term I think Bitcoin should go up to retest the previous long-term trendline and the previous falling wedge pattern at 97k! Usually after a breakout/breakdown, we want to see a retest. These retests are very important because they give us a chance to sell Bitcoin at a better price and also to short Bitcoin on the futures market.
Bitcoin did some pretty crazy movements in the past weeks, regardless of the seasonality patterns. Statistically Bitcoin is extremely strong in October and November—but this time it was the opposite. Even though seasonality patterns are helpful, you always need to look for more indicators and fundamentals. Moonboys that were screaming for 200k and 500k got liquidated, and soon they will disappear from the market for good. I have been trading for almost 10 years, and I have experienced many crypto crashes, and the moonboys are always here at the top. When I was bearish at 120k, everyone was screaming in the comment section and even spitting on my bearish predictions.
So my plan for the next Bitcoin movements is as follows: First, Bitcoin should retest the 97k level (this will take some time). After that we should see another big leg to the downside to 66k.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Trade ideas
Bitcoin: Extreme support 91k! Big pump soon (easy, watch this)Bitcoin is in a critical situation because the price broke the falling wedge, and instead of a bullish breakout, we see a bearish breakdown! I expected this price action, please look at my previous posts. The falling wedge in general is a bullish pattern, but in bear markets they are bearish patterns. But soon Bitcoin will hit a key support level, and this is great hopium for the bulls!
The key support level is 91k! Why? We have a very strong confluence to buy Bitcoin here, at least for a short-term bounce. First of all, there is an unfilled CME futures GAP on the daily chart. Second, there is an unfilled FVG (Fair Value Gap) between 91660 and 85320 on Binance. The next is the Fibonacci 0.618 FIB level on the LOG scale. This fibo is exactly at 91122.
What is the plan? Now you know that there is very strong support at 91k, and that's a good upcoming trade! What you want to do is to put your limit order here and wait for the price to come to you and then take profit a little bit higher! Where to take profit? Don't forget to follow my TradingView account because I will inform you about a good level to sell/short BTC.
What to do now? I would wait for Bitcoin to come to 91k, then I expect a bounce to higher levels! I think we will see a pretty nice pump in November/December, but be patient and wait for 91k.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Mastering RSI: A Complete Guide to Momentum🔵 Mastering RSI: A Complete Guide to Momentum, Regimes, Reversals & Professional Signals
Difficulty: 🐳🐳🐳🐳🐋 (Advanced)
This article goes far beyond the basic idea of “RSI = overbought/oversold.” If you want to truly master RSI as a momentum gauge, trend filter, reversal tool, and structure confirmation model, this guide is for you.
🔵 WHY MOST TRADERS MISUSE RSI
Most traders use RSI in the simplest way:
RSI above 70 = sell
RSI below 30 = buy
This leads to shorting strong trends and catching falling knives.
RSI is not a reversal button. RSI is a momentum translator.
To master RSI, you must understand:
Trend regimes
Momentum pressure
Acceleration and deceleration
Failure swings
Divergences
Trend vs range behavior
Multi-timeframe alignment
Structure confirmation
RSI shows the strength behind price, not just extremes.
🔵 1. RSI TREND REGIMES (CORE FOUNDATION)
RSI moves in predictable zones depending on the type of market environment.
Bullish RSI Regime
RSI holds between 40 and 80
Pullbacks bottom around 40–50
Breaks above 60 show trend acceleration
Bearish RSI Regime
RSI holds between 20 and 60
Pullback tops form around 50–60
Breaks below 40 confirm bearish dominance
These regimes tell you who controls the market before you even look at candles.
🔵 2. MOMENTUM PRESSURE (RSI AS A SPEEDOMETER)
RSI measures the speed and pressure of price movement.
Rising RSI with rising price = trend acceleration
Falling RSI with rising price = momentum weakening
Rising RSI with falling price = early strength
Falling RSI with falling price = continuation pressure
This is not divergence. It is momentum pressure, the earliest sign of trend shift.
🔵 3. FAILURE SWINGS (THE MOST RELIABLE RSI REVERSAL SIGNAL)
Failure swings are powerful because they show internal momentum breaking before price reacts.
Bullish Failure Swing
RSI makes a low
RSI rallies
RSI dips again but stays above previous low
RSI breaks the previous high
Bearish Failure Swing
RSI makes a high
RSI pulls back
RSI rallies but fails to break the previous high
RSI breaks the previous low
Failure swings often appear at trend tops and bottoms before candles reveal anything.
🔵 4. DIVERGENCES (REGULAR AND HIDDEN)
Regular Divergence: Reversal Clue
Bullish: price lower low, RSI higher low
Bearish: price higher high, RSI lower high
Hidden Divergence: Trend Continuation
Bullish hidden: price higher low, RSI lower low
Bearish hidden: price lower high, RSI higher high
Hidden divergence is more powerful than regular because it confirms trend continuation.
🔵 5. RANGE RSI VS TREND RSI
RSI behaves very differently in ranges versus trends.
Range Environment
RSI oscillates between 30 and 70
Reversals at extremes have high accuracy
RSI 50 is the equilibrium
Trend Environment
RSI stays above 50 in bullish trends
RSI stays below 50 in bearish trends
30 and 70 extremes lose meaning
Always identify environment first. RSI signals change depending on regime.
🔵 6. RSI AS A STRUCTURE FILTER
RSI combined with structure improves trade selection dramatically.
Price makes higher highs + RSI rising = healthy trend
Price makes higher highs + RSI flat = weak breakout
Price makes higher highs + RSI dropping = exhaustion
Support retest + RSI 40–50 = strong continuation potential
Most false breakouts are avoided simply by checking RSI pressure.
🔵 7. MULTI-TIMEFRAME RSI ALIGNMENT
Use higher timeframe RSI to validate lower timeframe setups.
HTF RSI bullish + LTF RSI pullback = high-quality entry
HTF RSI bearish + LTF RSI bounce = premium short area
HTF RSI crossing 50 = long-term regime shift
This is one of the most powerful RSI confluences.
🔵 EXAMPLE TRADING FRAMEWORK
Bullish Setup Checklist
RSI in bullish regime (above 50)
Pullback into 40–50 zone
Hidden bullish divergence or failure swing
Structure forms a higher low
Bearish Setup Checklist
RSI in bearish regime
Rejection from 50–60 zone
Hidden bearish divergence or failure swing
Structure forms a lower high
🔵 COMMON RSI MISTAKES
Trading RSI extremes without trend context
Ignoring RSI regimes
Entering on regular divergences in strong trends
Not using RSI midline (50) as a regime filter
Relying only on overbought/oversold signals
🔵 CONCLUSION
RSI is one of the most powerful indicators when used correctly. It provides a complete framework for:
Reading trend strength
Tracking momentum pressure
Identifying early reversals
Trading continuation setups
Filtering breakout strength
Aligning multi-timeframe bias
Master RSI, and you gain a clearer view of momentum than most traders ever experience.
How do you use RSI? Do you prefer divergences, trend zones, or failure swings? Share your approach below!
Bitcoin Roadmap: Is This the Beginning of the Short-Term Rally?Today I want to share with you the Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) chart on the 15-minute time frame. This analysis is in line with the previous analysis (still valid) .
These days, considering that Bitcoin is facing many parameters to analyze. One of the most important parameters is the SPX500 index ( SP:SPX ). I am long on the SPX500 index.
Bitcoin is currently moving in the Support zone($91,900-$88,400) and near the Support lines and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($91,131-$90,477) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory, it seems that Bitcoin completed wave 5 with an Expanding Ending Diagonal , and we can now expect the start of the bullish waves , at least in the short term .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Support zone($91,900-$88,400) and at least attack the Resistance lines . If the Resistance lines and the $95,700 level are broken with high momentum, we can expect further growth of Bitcoin.
First Target: $93,921
Second Target: $95,273
Third Target: $97,477
Stop Loss(SL): $89,537
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $88,570-$87,227
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $94,500-$93,785
Where do you think Bitcoin’s correction will go?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin - Approaching the Make or Break ZoneBitcoin continues to bleed lower after multiple liquidity sweeps, and the decline is beginning to compress into a more controlled down move. The chart shows a clear shift in sentiment after the all time high sweep, then another daily sweep that helped close both the daily and 4H imbalance. Since losing the mid range zone and treating it as resistance, the market has been trending toward the next major area of interest.
Consolidation Structure
The structure is currently defined by a clean series of lower highs combined with sharp impulsive down legs. These moves are driven by liquidity grabs followed by displacement, which fits the narrative of a market hunting demand. The previously supportive gray zone has now flipped into resistance, confirming that the current trend remains heavy until a deeper demand zone is reached.
Key Support Zone and Expectations
The most important area beneath price sits around the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range, which is the closest meaningful support left on the higher time frame. This zone has been untested since the last major accumulation phase, and as long as price reaches it with a clean move, the reaction can form the base for a bullish leg. If this zone fails to hold, the next meaningful support sits deeper, and the downside extension could accelerate before any recovery starts.
Bullish Scenario
If Bitcoin reaches the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range and prints a clear rejection with displacement back upward, the market can set the foundation for a strong bullish bounce. Ideally, we see a final liquidity sweep beneath that range, followed by a sharp market structure shift on the lower time frames. That would open the door for a sustained recovery toward the mid range inefficiencies left behind during the selloff.
Bearish Scenario
If the key zone does not hold, the current support gives way and the market moves into a much deeper discount. That would shift the bias toward continuation lower, targeting untouched liquidity pools further down. In this scenario, any attempt to bounce would likely be corrective rather than the start of a true reversal.
Conclusion
I expect Bitcoin to deliver a meaningful bullish bounce once the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand zone is tapped, as long as the level holds cleanly. If it fails, the decline continues into a deeper support, but the higher time frame idea remains that the next strong reaction will come from that region. Until then, patience is key while the market completes the move into higher time frame demand.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
How to build a Healthy Trading MindsetMany traders underestimate how much psychology shapes their results. This guide outlines the foundations of a strong trading mindset that supports consistent and disciplined decision-making.
1. Understand That Emotional Discipline Is a Skill
Trading naturally triggers emotions such as fear, frustration, greed, and impatience. These reactions are not weaknesses; they are human. What separates consistent traders from inconsistent ones is their ability to recognize emotions without acting on them.
A resilient mindset comes from training, not talent.
2. Create Distance Between Yourself and Your Trades
Do not tie your self-worth to the outcome of a single position. A loss does not mean you failed, and a win does not mean you are skilled. When traders begin to link identity to results, they make impulsive decisions.
Use phrases like “this trade” instead of “my trade” to remove ownership bias.
3. Focus on Process, Not Profit
Most traders sabotage themselves by obsessing over the end result. The market does not reward effort; it rewards alignment with probability.
Instead of thinking “How much can I make?”, think “Did I execute according to my plan?”
Your trading plan should define your entries, exits, risk, and market conditions. Follow it even when it feels uncomfortable.
4. Accept Uncertainty as Part of the Game
No setup is guaranteed. Every trade, no matter how perfect, carries uncertainty. Accepting this prevents you from forcing control where none exists.
When you fully accept uncertainty, you no longer fear it.
5. Build Consistency Through Routine
A stable routine reduces mental noise. Examples include:
• Reviewing your plan before each session
• Limiting how many markets you monitor
• Taking breaks after high-stress situations
• Logging your trades with honest notes
When your routine is consistent, your decisions become consistent.
6. Use Losses as Data, Not Drama
A loss is not a personal attack from the market. It is information.
Ask: “What does this loss teach me about my system or my mindset?”
If you can extract value from losses, they become opportunities instead of obstacles.
7. Master Patience
Most trading errors come from acting too soon, not too late. Patience means waiting for your setup without deviation.
If you need to be in a trade at all times, it is no longer trading; it is compulsion.
8. Protect Your Mental Capital
Mental capital is as important as financial capital. Overtrading, revenge trading, and excessive chart time drain your cognitive energy.
Stop trading when you notice fatigue, frustration, or impulsiveness. A clear mind is an advantage.
9. Develop Long-Term Thinking
Think in terms of series, not individual outcomes. A single win or loss means little. What matters is the overall direction of your equity curve.
Professional traders think in months and years. Amateurs think in minutes.
Conclusion
A powerful trading mindset is built through consistency, self-awareness, and emotional control. By focusing on process and discipline rather than short-term results, you create a stable internal environment that supports longevity in the markets.
Bitcoin - Relief rally is imminent!Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) has shown strong downward pressure over the past several days, yet it is beginning to display early signs of stabilization within key higher-timeframe fair value gap zones. Even though the current market structure remains bearish, several technical elements are aligning that suggest the potential for a relief rally. With multiple patterns and liquidity levels converging, the market may be preparing for a temporary upside correction before determining its next major direction.
Weekly FVG
On the weekly timeframe, BTC recently tapped into the weekly fair value gap and filled roughly fifty percent of this imbalance. This partial fill often indicates that the market is collecting liquidity before initiating a larger move. As a result, this weekly FVG acts as a strong demand zone where buyers tend to become active again, offering an area where price often stabilizes, even if only temporarily. The reaction here suggests that BTC may be forming a short-term base.
Daily FVG
On the daily timeframe, another fair value gap is present, and it aligns almost perfectly with the weekly zone. Above current price action lies a clear descending trendline, which is likely to act as resistance on any upward push. The combination of the daily FVG and the downward trendline creates a technically significant decision point. If BTC reaches this area, it may face renewed selling pressure, making this zone crucial for determining whether the market can extend higher or whether the downtrend will reassert itself.
4H Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, BTC has formed a falling wedge, a pattern that is typically considered bullish. Initially, price broke downward out of the wedge, which seemed like a continuation of weakness. However, BTC quickly moved back into the structure, signaling a fake-out. This type of movement often occurs when liquidity is collected beneath the pattern before a reversal begins. The return into the wedge strengthens the case for a short-term upward correction, suggesting that buyers may be gaining traction.
Relief Rally
The first zone to watch lies just above the current price level, where a 4-hour bearish FVG overlaps with the descending trendline. This confluence is likely to act as immediate resistance, making an initial rejection from this level highly plausible. After a potential rejection, price may revisit the bullish 4-hour FVG below, where buyers are expected to step in again. From this supportive zone, BTC could attempt to break through the descending trendline and continue higher toward the upper 4-hour bearish FVG around the 98,000-dollar region. This serves as a logical target for a relief rally, should momentum continue to build.
Conclusion
BTC is currently positioned within an important higher-timeframe demand zone, strengthened by the overlap of both the weekly and daily FVGs. Although the broader market structure remains bearish, the fake-out within the falling wedge on the 4-hour chart signals that a relief rally may be developing. The immediate resistance above price will provide the first major test. If Bitcoin finds renewed momentum from the bullish 4-hour FVG and successfully breaks the descending trendline, an upward move toward 98,000 dollars becomes increasingly realistic. For now, BTC appears to be setting the stage for a corrective bounce, with key levels offering clear guidance on how this scenario could unfold.
Saylor’s Master Plan at Risk? MSCI Drops the HammerMSCI May Exclude Crypto-Heavy Companies: What It Means for MicroStrategy and the Market
MSCI recently published a proposal that could dramatically reshape how global indices treat companies with large crypto exposure.
According to the framework, companies holding more than 50% of their market capitalization in digital assets may be excluded from national and international indices.
This sounds technical - but the consequences are huge.
What This Means in Practice
If the rule is implemented, companies like MicroStrategy, Bitfarms, Marathon, Hut8, Coinbase, or any firm holding a large percentage of crypto on their balance sheet, may:
be excluded from major indices,
lose exposure to institutional investors,
be off-limits for pension funds, insurers and conservative hedge funds,
face reduced liquidity and forced selling.
This is not a small development.
This is a structural shift.
🧩 Why MicroStrategy Is the Most Exposed
MicroStrategy’s business model has been extremely straightforward:
issue new shares
raise debt (including convertible notes)
use the proceeds to buy Bitcoin
rising BTC → rising MSTR
rising MSTR → more borrowing capacity
A perpetual loop.
But if MSTR gets excluded from key indices, the loop breaks:
passive funds must sell
institutional investors face compliance risk
liquidity dries up
volatility increases
borrowing costs rise
And remember:
MicroStrategy currently trades below the fair value of its Bitcoin holdings.
A forced outflow amplifies the structural imbalance.
⚠️ Why Institutions Bought MicroStrategy Instead of Bitcoin
Many funds legally cannot buy Bitcoin.
They also cannot buy high-risk crypto exchange stocks like Coinbase.
But they can buy:
reputable corporate debt
convertible notes
equity from a listed U.S. corporation
Michael Saylor gave them a regulatory loophole:
“Want Bitcoin exposure? Buy my convertible debt.
If BTC rises, convert the notes into shares.”
This workaround is now cracking.
Convertible Debt Holders Are in a Tough Spot
If MSTR is excluded from indices:
index funds sell → share price drops
falling price → convertible notes lose value
institutions holding the debt face losses
the balance sheet risk increases
This is why regulatory decisions matter so much.
Insider Selling: VP of Bitcoin at MicroStrategy Sells ~$19.7M Worth of Stock
The timing is… interesting.
Started selling on September 18
Sold options-based shares in multiple lots
Continued selling until November 14
Total realized profit: ~$19.69M
Selling into regulatory uncertainty is not random behavior.
It’s a signal.
Key Takeaways
1. MSCI’s proposal changes the rules:
companies with >50% crypto exposure may become “non-indexable”.
2. MicroStrategy’s core model—borrowing to buy BTC—depends on institutional inflows.
Index exclusion disrupts it.
3. Convertible note investors may face severe pressure.
4. Insider selling suggests internal awareness of structural risk.
5. If MSTR is removed from indices, forced selling could create significant downside pressure.
📉 Conclusion
MicroStrategy has long been a “Bitcoin ETF before ETFs existed”.
Institutions bought MSTR because they couldn’t buy BTC directly.
But now:
Bitcoin ETFs exist,
regulations are tightening,
index providers are updating risk frameworks.
MicroStrategy may become a victim of its own success strategy.
Best regards EXCAVO
Support and resistance key guide (Volume, Trendlines, FVG, MA)Support and resistance key guide (Volume, Trendlines, FVG, MA)
1️⃣ Importance of Support and Resistance in Highly Volatile Crypto Markets
The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365, exhibiting far greater volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility presents substantial profit opportunities, but it also triggers intense fear and greed among investors, creating significant psychological stress.
Support and resistance serve as key milestones in this chaos, signaling zones where price reactions are likely. Beyond mere technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of countless traders. Understanding them is essential for success in crypto trading.
2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Basis
Support and resistance occur where buying and selling pressures strongly collide, slowing or halting price movement.
Support:
At this level, buyers see the asset as "cheap enough!" and stand ready, forming a psychological and physical barrier against further decline. Additionally, traders previously trapped in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding resistance against further drops.
Resistance:
At this level, sellers perceive the asset as "expensive enough!" and offload positions, while traders previously trapped at highs may sell with a "better late than never" mindset, limiting upward movement.
※ Meaning of Support/Resistance Breakouts and “Fakeouts”:
When a support level is breached, existing buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance may prompt buyers to enter, accelerating the trend.
However, some breakouts can be “fakeouts,” designed to exploit trader psychology. Premature chasing of such moves should be avoided.
3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Pattern Analysis
📈 Trendlines and Consolidation Zones: The Psychology Behind Market Order
Trendlines: Trendlines visually represent the shared expectation among traders that price will move in a certain direction. Touching an upward trendline triggers “buy at a bargain” psychology, while touching a downward trendline triggers “it can’t go higher” sentiment.
Consolidation Zones (Boxes): These are zones where buying and selling pressures balance each other. Traders plan trades around these zones, dominated by the “waiting for breakout” psychology to capture significant moves.
📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency and Smart Money Footprints
FVGs occur when the market moves too rapidly through a price range, leaving a “price gap.” They often reflect sudden activity by smart money (institutions, whales).
Gap Filling:
Markets instinctively avoid leaving incomplete states (FVGs) unaddressed. When price re-enters an FVG zone, the players who drove the prior rapid move may close or re-enter positions, forming support/resistance. Beginners can treat FVGs as smart money footprints and follow their activity strategically.
📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Psychology and Trend Direction
Moving averages reflect the average price perceived by the market over a period. Being widely monitored, they act as psychological support/resistance levels.
Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Reflects short-term trader sentiment. Price below it can trigger “short-term trend broken?” anxiety, while above it fosters optimism.
Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term trader psychology and trend direction. Price below 200MA creates fear of a long-term downtrend, while above inspires hope of a sustained uptrend. When acting as support/resistance, MAs carry strong psychological consensus as a widely observed benchmark.
📈 POC (Point Of Control) Volume Profile: Market Consensus and the Power of Volume
POC is the price level with the highest traded volume over a period. It indicates market agreement on price, with substantial volume concentrated there.
Price below POC: POC becomes strong resistance. Buyers trapped in losing positions may sell at breakeven, and sellers actively resist upward moves.
Price above POC: POC acts as strong support. Buyers believe “price won’t fall below this level,” and prior sellers may switch to buying.
POC represents the market’s “expected price” and the zone where loss-aversion psychology is strongest.
📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order and Human Expectation
Fibonacci retracements apply golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting the expectation that price will reverse at certain levels, forming support/resistance.
These levels are not coincidental; many traders plan trades around them, causing real market reactions.
Levels like 0.5 (50%) and 0.618 (61.8%) are psychologically significant, viewed by traders as buying or selling opportunities. Support/resistance forms through “herd psychology,” as many act in unison.
📈 CME Gap: Institutional Moves and Market Regression Instinct
CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures dominated by institutional investors. They happen when the spot market moves over weekends while futures are closed, and the market tends to “fill the gap.”
Gap Filling: CME gaps represent periods without institutional activity, prompting the market to normalize these “abnormal” price zones.
Traders anticipate “the gap will eventually be filled,” making these zones potential strong support/resistance, reflecting future-oriented market psychology.
4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Using Support and Resistance
Even the best tools are ineffective without psychological discipline.
Confirmation bias and stop-loss discipline: Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to ruin. When support breaks, acknowledge your prediction was wrong and act decisively to exit.
Overbought/oversold psychology and FOMO:
Avoid chasing price surges out of fear of missing out (“everyone else is profiting, why not me?”).
During crashes, resist panic selling at the bottom. Base trades on your rules derived from support and resistance.
Partial trading for risk management:
Avoid buying all at support or selling all at resistance at once. Splitting trades across multiple support/resistance levels provides psychological stability and reduces the impact of wrong predictions.
5️⃣ Comprehensive Strategy Formation and Practical Application Tips
Multi-level Support/Resistance Confluence: Overlapping zones (e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG bottom) create very strong support/resistance. These reflect collective trader agreement and can be traded with higher confidence.
Volume Analysis and Support/Resistance Strength: High volume at a zone confirms its significance. Reliable breakouts require strong volume, showing market participation and intent.
Develop Your Own Trading Plan: Don’t blindly follow all patterns. Choose indicators and methods that suit you to establish personal trading rules. Adhering to these rules maintains psychological stability and long-term success.
If you found this content helpful, please show your support with a Boost (🚀) and a comment (💬)! Your encouragement is a great motivation for us to create better analyses and content. You can also follow us to receive notifications about new posts.
Bitcoin last chance before the market bull season endThe market is at a critical technical juncture. A decisive breakdown and sustained close below the $90,000 support zone would signal a confirmed shift into a sustained bearish cycle. In such a scenario, the next significant structural support is projected near the $60,000 level, representing a potential depreciation of over 30% from current levels.
Conversely, this level also presents a pivotal opportunity for the bulls to defend the market structure. A strong rejection and consolidation above $90,000, forming a robust base, would be the first step towards stabilization. Following this, a recovery and sustained break above $110,000 would be required to invalidate the bearish outlook and signal the probable start of a new bull phase.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
The Market is at 80°C. What Happens at 100°C?Greetings, everyone.
Today, I don't want to talk about the news. I want to talk about what truly matters: market structure. Many traders are currently looking for a news event to explain the current lull and predict Bitcoin's next move. They are looking in the wrong direction.
Remember this: the news is not the cause of a move. It's just a convenient explanation handed to you after the move has already happened. For me, the chart is primary. And right now, it's telling a story that most people are not going to like.
The Global Picture: An Economy of Bubbles and Boiling Water
We live in an era of bubbles. We had the dot-coms, the tulip mania, and now we are witnessing the AI bubble. Yes, AI is a game-changer, and I am actively integrating it into all my processes - it would be foolish to deny this trend. But that doesn't change the fact that the markets are overheated.
The entire global economy right now feels like water heated to 80 degrees Celsius. It’s not boiling yet, but the boiling point is near. Something is about to happen, and the steam is getting ready to burst out.
The Market's Pulse: Where the Crowd Goes Wrong
And what about the crowd? The crowd isn't in Bitcoin anymore. They are trapped in altcoins, having resigned themselves to being "forever waiters." They are praying for an altseason, not realizing that the brief 20-30% pump we saw - that was the altseason. It has already become a meme.
I see endless posts about liquidations on social media. The sentiment is desperate. Most have already lost their futures positions or will lose them soon. What reigns in the market right now isn't fear or greed, but rather a slow realization that the bear market never really left.
The Main Setup on the Chart: A Classic Liquidity Trap
Now for the most important part - what is happening on the Bitcoin chart?
As you can see, we are sitting on a critical trendline support. Everyone sees it. Novices and retail traders see this as a clear "buy the dip" signal. And that is part of the game.
A deliberate trap is being set:
Consolidation : The price is being intentionally held near the support line to create an illusion of strength and to accumulate buyers' positions.
Stacking Stop-Losses : Market makers know that the crowd places their stops just below this obvious line.
Execution : Once enough liquidity has been built up, a sharp breakdown will occur. This will trigger a cascade of stop-loss liquidations, which will only accelerate the fall.
I remain fully on the bearish side until we see a confident break of the all-time high. I view any bounce from the current levels as an opportunity for a better entry into a short position.
What's Next?
What is my advice to myself for the next 2-4 weeks? Wait.
The market is preparing for a great cleansing. A wave of delistings of junk projects and meme coins - which serve no one but the exchanges that use them for hype - is coming. After this cleanse, there will be incredible opportunities to buy at very attractive prices.
Now is the time for deep research into the projects you truly believe in. It's time to get your limit orders ready and wait for the market to come to your prices.
Thank you for your attention.
Regards,
Your EXCAVO.
BTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress?BTC at Key Support Zone - Bullish Setup in Progress?
Bitcoin has reached a major long-term support zone between 75,100 – 80,800, an area that previously acted as strong support in March 2024 and April 2025 on the monthly timeframe. The current monthly candle is testing this zone again, suggesting that buyers may step in to defend this historically important level.
On the daily chart, BTC has formed a sharp decline toward this support area, but the recent reaction indicates early signs of accumulation. If buyers continue to hold this zone, a mid-term recovery could develop.
As long as the 75,100 support holds, BTC maintains strong potential for a medium-term rebound. However, a clean break below this zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and expose deeper downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 75,100 – 80,800
Target 1: 98,000
Target 2: 107,500
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Bitcoin Hits Heavy Support Zone — Is the Next Big Crash Coming?Recently, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced another decline of over -10%, largely due to the sudden drop in the S&P 500( SP:SPX ). As I mentioned in previous ideas, in recent weeks, Bitcoin and the crypto market, especially Bitcoin, have shown a strong correlation with U.S. indices, particularly the S&P 500. This means that even technically sound analyses for Bitcoin can fail if we don’t consider these external factors, which is quite normal. Therefore, it’s crucial to incorporate all parameters—news, fundamentals, on-chain data, and relevant indices—to get an accurate Bitcoin analysis. This complexity can make things a bit challenging.
Over the past ten days, Bitcoin has swiftly broken through several support levels. Many factors have contributed to Bitcoin’s decline recently, but it’s now approaching a heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280). This zone is crucial because if Bitcoin loses it, we could see even larger declines, affecting altcoins as well. Altcoins, in general, haven’t matched Bitcoin’s gains in recent months, so a significant drop in Bitcoin could lead to severe losses for them. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and stay alert.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the recent decline suggests that Bitcoin might be in the midst of a five-wave downward, which isn’t positive news. There’s a chance that the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) might be breached. However, considering that weekends typically have lower trading volumes, it’s less likely that the support will break in the next couple of days. Still, we must remain vigilant and prepared for any scenario.
In terms of Elliott Waves, it seems Bitcoin has completed its main wave 3, and we might be looking at the completion of the wave 4 over the weekend, with another push towards the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) at the start of next week.
Also, the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart looks bullish, which could not be good news for Bitcoin.
I expect that after a brief rebound, Bitcoin will resume its decline and test the heavy support zone($78,300-$71,280) again.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $89,642-$88,079
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $80,263-$78,131
First Target: $78,523
Second Target: $75,123
Stop Loss(SL): $92,123(Worst)
Points may shift as the market evolves
Note: The S&P 500 also might face downward pressure in the coming days, which could further impact Bitcoin’s support levels. It’s essential to manage your investments carefully and wait for strong reversal signals in higher timeframes. You might miss out on some short-term gains, but it will allow for more confident entries later on.
Note: Tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela are escalating day by day. Should these tensions intensify to the point of direct confrontation, it could act as a trigger for another Bitcoin decline. It’s important to keep this in mind.
Note: Additionally, there have been some suspicious transfers involving the Mt. Gox exchange recently. It’s worth monitoring these developments closely.
💡 Please respect each other's opinions and express agreement or disagreement politely.
📌Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 4-hour time frame.
🛑 Always set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position you open.
✅ This is just my idea; I’d love to see your thoughts too!
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Bitcoin – A Gentle Slide Into A Strong ReactionBitcoin continues to trade inside a clean falling channel, moving lower in a controlled manner as it approaches a major support zone. The overall flow remains bearish in the short term, however the structure suggests we are nearing an area where a short term bullish reaction becomes highly probable. Momentum remains soft, but the market is clearly hunting liquidity beneath the channel, which aligns with the expectation of one more drive lower before a meaningful bounce forms.
Channel Structure And Liquidity Behavior
The descending channel is guiding price efficiently, with every lower high respecting the upper boundary and confirming that sellers are still in control for now. This controlled descent usually signals that the market is preparing for a sweep of the lows rather than a sudden break. As price presses toward the channel’s lower boundary and the highlighted support zone, liquidity becomes the focus. A sweep beneath the most recent lows is the type of inducement that often precedes a strong reversal.
Support Zone Reaction Expectations
The green support zone marked on the chart remains the key area of interest. It aligns with previous accumulation behaviour and prior reactive turning points, giving it weight as a zone where traders expect a bounce. Once price pierces into that zone, the probability of a short term bullish response is high. The ideal reaction would be a sharp rejection from the lows, followed by a move back into the body of the channel and a gradual push upward as the market begins absorbing sell orders.
Retest And First Resistance Layer
If the support holds and price bounces, the first significant obstacle will be the red resistance zone above. This area represents the first real test of whether buyers have the strength to absorb supply. A clean move into that zone, followed by a higher low, would confirm the shift in momentum and support the idea of a short term bullish continuation. Failure at this level would simply keep Bitcoin inside the same corrective structure.
Short Term Bullish Scenario
The most probable bullish path is simple: a liquidity sweep into the support zone, a strong rejection, a move back toward mid channel levels, and then a steady climb into the first resistance area. The market does not need to break any major structure immediately. A clean reaction from support is enough to anchor a short term bullish leg, even if the larger trend is still corrective.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is approaching the point where a short term bullish bounce becomes increasingly likely. The falling channel, the upcoming liquidity sweep, and the depth of the support zone all point to a reaction that should materialize soon. Patience remains important, as the bounce is expected only after the market completes its liquidity objective in the support area.
___________________________________
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Bitcoin is falling via the Descending channel As observed in typical market behavior, a descending channel often emerges as a corrective structure following significant upward movements—precisely the pattern currently visible on the Bitcoin chart. This channel reflects a near-term consolidation phase, allowing the market to absorb previous gains and establish a new equilibrium.
A decisive breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, particularly when supported by increasing volume, would signal the resumption of the primary bullish trend. In such a scenario, a renewal of upward momentum could propel the market toward new all-time highs, aligning with the broader bullish market structure.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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Why This Time Is Not Different — BTC Could Still Drop >50%Bitcoin is moving into a phase where long-term cycles matter more than whatever the market narrative happens to be this week.
And if you look at those cycles, one thing becomes clear: BTC has never avoided a major drop after making a new ATH.
1. The timing keeps repeating — almost to the day
Every big drawdown in Bitcoin’s history has lasted almost exactly the same amount of time:
Cycle 1: 371 days
Cycle 2: 378 days
Cycle 3: 378 days again
That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident.
It’s a pattern driven by liquidity, leverage, miner economics and investor behavior.
Right now, BINANCE:BTCUSDT is lining up with that same timing structure once more.
2. The size of corrections is falling… but still huge
Past drawdowns:
–83%
–77%
The market is more mature now — more liquidity, more derivatives depth, more institutional money — so the volatility is naturally lower.
But “lower volatility” in Bitcoin still means:
👉 –50% to –70% corrections
And a drop in that range would land BTC somewhere around $40k–$50k, which is consistent with the historical pattern.
3. Market maturity doesn’t erase Bitcoin’s cycles
Even with ETFs, institutional flows, and a stronger market structure, BTC still reacts to:
leverage resets
liquidity tightening
miner selling pressure
sentiment washouts
These things don’t disappear just because the market grows.
4. What the full cycle is pointing to
If the cycle keeps rhyming with the past:
Potential bottom: roughly late 2026, at the end of another ~370–380 day drawdown
Next peak: around 2028
Long-term target: $120k–$150k+
The rhythm remains the same:
big drop → long consolidation → explosive recovery.
Takeaway
This time isn’t different.
Even in a more “institutional” Bitcoin, the cycles still point to a >50% reset before the next major expansion.
BITCOIN – THE TIDES ARE TURNING Traders,
On November 5 I mapped out a scenario where Bitcoin would push into 107k to 108k and then decline to 98k first and 89k second.
This entire scenario has now played out perfectly to the pixel. We swept 108k, we dumped to 98k, and then we flushed into 89k. Where I expected price to retrace from exactly this level: $88.912
So the real question now is simple. What now? Do we break lower, or do we go up?
Let’s break Bitcoin down cleanly, without bias, and only by reading structure, levels, and order flow.
Levels, Structure and Order Flow
AVWAP at the core of the structure
Bitcoin is currently trading right near the AVWAP from the 06 August 24 anchor. This is the blue line on your chart and the exact level is 90.881. This anchor began with a large volume impulse.
When heavy volume kicks off a leg, the AVWAP from that point becomes a core reference level for the entire future auction. We are now sitting right on top of it, which is exactly where you would expect absorption or a strong reaction.
The market is basically deciding if this AVWAP will hold or break.
AB=CD completion
The full AB=CD measured move has completed exactly into the AVWAP zone. This is a clean harmonic completion and adds confluence to why price reacted here. AB=CD means the downside leg is symmetrical and usually marks exhaustion inside a trend.
Fixed Range Volume Profile
Using a FRVP from the start of the current HTF auction (07 April until now), we see price wicked directly into the LVN that sits inside the weekly FVG. This area had imbalance and low participation. A wick into an LVN inside an FVG often means that the inefficiency is now cleaned and the auction has reached completion for that side of the range.
Wedge breakout
Bitcoin technically broke out of the falling wedge, but the breakout does not look clean.
We are outside the wedge, but momentum on the breakout is weak. True confirmation would come if price re-enters the wedge from the outside and climbs back through the wedge body.
Re-entering the wedge tells you that the breakdown was liquidity and not a structural continuation. If we reclaim it, upside targets become more likely.
Order Flow – What the data shows
Spot and Futures CVD
Across the 15m, 30m and 1h charts, Spot CVD is forming a bullish divergence. Price keeps making lower lows, but Spot CVD is holding higher. This shows that spot buyers are stepping in at the lows and absorbing sell pressure.
Futures CVD on both stablecoin margined and coin margined contracts continues to push lower.
Price is not following these lower lows. This creates hidden bullish divergence and confirms that aggressive sellers are hitting the market while limit buyers are absorbing the pressure.
This is a classic sign of absorption. Selling continues, but the market is refusing to break lower with the same intensity.
Open Interest – A shift
Earlier in the dump, Open Interest was falling. This means positions were being closed.
Most of this was shorts taking profit or exiting the move. When OI drops during a downtrend, continuation becomes harder because the move loses fuel.
Near the end of the screenshots, there is a shift. Both stablecoin margined and coin margined OI start to rise again.
This rise in OI happens while:
CVD continues to make lower lows
Price stops making new lows
Price begins to stabilize
This tells us that new positions are being opened at the lows. Given the CVD behavior, most of these are new shorts entering the market.
When new shorts enter and price does not break, the probability of those shorts becoming trapped increases. If buyers step in, this setup often leads to a short squeeze.
This is how reversals form in a controlled market.
Funding rate – Binance
Funding is positive but very small. This means there is no extreme long pressure. There is no overcrowding on the long side. The market is not stretched. With fresh shorts entering at the lows and funding staying neutral, the market can turn quickly if support holds.
What this means
The combination of:
Spot CVD divergence
Hidden bullish divergence on futures CVD
Rising Open Interest at the lows
Neutral funding
Price refusing to break down - So price needs to hold.
shows that the market is absorbing aggressive selling at a key level. If buyers defend the current level, this can force newly opened shorts to cover, which would fuel the next move up.
Targets
109k
This is the first upside objective.
There is a CME ETH gap resting at this level and gaps of this type tend to get filled.
109k also aligns with the 1.113 Fibonacci extension of the latest wave.
This makes it the first logical level if price continues to hold the AVWAP and absorb selling pressure.
112k
The next major level is 112k.
This area contains single prints on CME and matches an AVWAP level on the BTC CME chart.
112k also lines up with the 1.272 extension of the wave.
From a Fibonacci rotation perspective, 1.272 is the next stop after 1.113 and often acts as a mid-cycle continuation target.
118.800
The final target sits at 118.800.
This is the full 1.618 extension of the wave and mathematically completes the auction.
If the market rotates from AVWAP support, this level becomes the natural endpoint of the move.
As long as price continues to hold the AVWAP at 90.881 and the market keeps absorbing futures selling, all three upside targets remain in play.
Invalidation
The structure changes only if price breaks below 88k. A clean drop under 88k opens the door for the next major high timeframe support at 85k.
85k carries strong confluence. It aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement on the HTF move and sits directly on a Point of Control zone within the Fixed Range Volume Profile.
Below that level, the auction shifts into a lower structure entirely.
TLDR
Bitcoin completed the downside scenario perfectly.
Price is now sitting directly on the AVWAP at 90.881.
AB=CD is complete.
LVN inside weekly FVG has been cleaned.
Futures CVD is still pressing lower but price is not. That is absorption.
But the key update is OI. OI was dropping earlier on the LTF, but now OI is rising again, and this is happening while CVD continues down and price holds steady.
That means new shorts are entering the market and getting absorbed.
If AVWAP holds, expect a bounce.
Targets:
109k
112k
118.8k
If 88k breaks, 85k is next.
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Abbreviation List
AVWAP
Anchored Volume Weighted Average Price. A dynamic support or resistance level based on volume since a chosen anchor.
AB=CD
A harmonic measured move where AB equals CD.
FRVP
Fixed Range Volume Profile. Shows where volume was traded inside a chosen range.
LVN
Low Volume Node. A low interest level where price often rejects strongly.
FVG
Fair Value Gap. An imbalance left by aggressive price moves.
CVD
Cumulative Volume Delta. Tracks buying vs selling pressure.
OI
Open Interest. The amount of open futures positions.
POC
Point of Control. Level with the highest traded volume.
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If you like this kind of analysis, drop a like and leave a comment. Everything here is shared for free so more people can cut through the noise and finally see what is actually happening under the surface. No hopium. No fear. Just real data, real structure, and real order flow.
The goal is simple. To help traders stop guessing and start understanding what the market is actually saying.
Stay sharp.
Stay objective.
And remember… the chart whispers long before it speaks.
- ThetaNomad
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #226👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into today’s Bitcoin analysis. Our new short triggers have activated, and the market is continuing its downward movement.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
After Bitcoin made a fake downward move yesterday, today it formed a lower high below 93,555, and after breaking the 90,489 and 88,825 levels, it is now continuing strongly to the downside.
⭐ A very large amount of selling volume has entered the market, giving full control to the sellers. The downtrend is continuing with strong momentum.
✨ The next support levels are 85,846 and 83,333.If you already have open short positions, you can use these levels for partial profit-taking.
✔️ The RSI oscillator is currently in the oversold zone, around 21.53.Breaking this level could push the bearish move even further.However, if RSI gets supported here, momentum may weaken, and a correction could begin.
💡 If a correction happens, the resistance zones to watch are 88,825 and 90,489.Our main confirmation for a trend reversal will still come after breaking 93,555.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin Roadmap: Major Support Ahead — Bounce or Breakdown?As expected in the previous idea , Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has dropped to $93,040(Target done) .
The question now is whether Bitcoin will continue its downward trend or not.
Currently, Bitcoin is moving near the Support zone($93,200-$87,340) and key Support lines .
From the perspective of Elliott Wave Theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing Wave 5 , with the Wave 3 being extended .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again by entering the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($92,869-$91,763) and possibly from the lower line of the descending channel.
There is a possibility of a fake breakout , but be careful of the momentum of the decline.
First Target: $95,297(near the upper line of descending channel)
Second Target: $96,831
Stop Loss(SL): $90,727
Points may shift as the market evolves
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $98,338-$96,913
CME Gap: $92,525-$91,415
Note: Since Bitcoin has had a high correlation with the S&P 500( SP:SPX ) recently, and if the S&P 500 continues to decline, we can expect Bitcoin to follow suit.
Another important note is that rising tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela could also impact the crypto market, so we should keep that in mind.
Where do you think Bitcoin’s correction will go?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analysis (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Liquidity Basics: Equal Highs/Lows, Inefficiencies & POIsPrice doesn’t move randomly, it is always attracted towards liquidity.
Every wick, breakout, and fake-out tells a story of orders being filled.
If you can read where those orders are hiding, you stop trading noise and start trading intention.
Equal Highs & Lows — The Obvious Targets
Retail traders love to mark equal highs and lows as “strong support/resistance.”
Smart money sees them as fuel.
Above equal highs = cluster of buy stops.
Below equal lows = cluster of sell stops.
When price reaches them, it’s a collection of accumulated liquidity as a main driver behind that move.
Inefficiencies — Fair Value Gaps
Also known as Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or imbalances, these occur when price moves too quickly, leaving unfilled orders behind.
Price often revisits these zones later to rebalance.
Spot them between large candles with no overlap, they often mark where institutions filled partial orders.
Points of Interest (POIs)
POIs are areas where liquidity and inefficiency converge , the zones of intent.
Look for:
Liquidity sweep of equal highs/lows
Return to imbalance or order block
Shift in market structure
That’s where high-probability setups occur.
Note:
Stop chasing every candle.
Start mapping why price moves.
Equal highs and inefficiencies are magnets, with proper plan and confluence this can represent your strong side of trading.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) – Short-Term Bearish StructureHi!
The chart shows BTC moving inside a descending channel, with consistent lower highs and lower lows confirming a controlled downtrend. Recent price action attempted to push back into the QML (Quasimodo Level) area, but the reaction there shows clear rejection, suggesting supply remains in control.
Price is now falling toward the lower boundary of the channel, where a short-term bounce is possible. However, unless BTC breaks above the QML zone and the descending trendline, the broader expectation remains bearish.
The projected path suggests:
A drop into the channel low,
A corrective pullback,
And then a continuation lower toward the next major support zone around 89,700 – 89,800.
Overall, momentum and structure both support a bearish continuation unless buyers manage to reclaim the supply zone above.
Final 2025 Forecast for BTCUSDT 24th November 2025 (Updated)Same idea as previous post, just zoomed in to see the potential gyrations towards to move towards ~$128k and hopefully beyond ✌️
1. Friday session dip to around ~$81k
2. Pump to around ~$87k over the weekend
3. Dump down to ~$80k for Monday Trap
4. Black Friday Pump to ~$89k
5. Max Pain Dump to ~$75k-$79k
6. Final pump to ~$128k to end the cycle
If we are lucky and price pullbacks from ~$128k and then exceeds it. Here are the targets I would be looking at;
Target #1 $140k-$145k,
Target #2 $170k-$175k
Target #3 $200k-$205k
This of course could be 100% wrong so remember (as always) to ruthlessly ✂️ cut your losers when wrong, and hold ✊ onto your winners when right.
--
I might also add, come early December 1st - 5th the following celestial events will take place which support the run up to $128k (and possibly beyond);
1. Super Full Moon (“Cold Moon”) 🌖
• On December 4, 2025, there’s a nearly full moon (~98% illuminated). 
• This will be a supermoon, meaning the Moon appears slightly larger and brighter than average. 
• The Moon is in Taurus, and near the Pleiades (M45) — Taurus is represented no other than the Bull.
Supermoons correlate with:
• spikes in emotion
• increased speculative behavior
• temporary liquidity expansions
• bigger candles (up OR down)
A near-super full moon tends to:
• mark volatility apexes
• precede relief rallies
• create short-term “energy reversals”
2. Moon–Jupiter conjunction (Dec 7) — traditionally expansive 🌖
Jupiter is symbolically linked with:
• expansion
• optimism
• big moves
• risk-on thinking
• growth
• speculation
When the Moon (sentiment) aligns with Jupiter (expansion), it often coincides with:
• higher risk appetite
• FOMO
• bullish short-term flows
In Summary;
1. Moon–Jupiter conjunction (Dec 7) → Expansive, optimistic, risk-on symbolism
2. Super Full Moon (Dec 4) → Volatility peak → Reversal → Upward burst






















