BTCUST.P trade ideas
BTC forms multiple patterns signaling possible trend reversalBTC is technically forming several patterns that indicate a quick trend reversal
First , this is the cyclicality of the growth zone and correction between halvings, October 1, 2025 is expected to be 548 days since the previous halving, you should not strictly adhere to this date, because there may be a small shift
Second , this is the global ascending corridor within which there is a bullish movement, according to technical analysis, the price is expected to approach the upper border of the corridor in the $128k or $132k zone
Third , the "Head and Shoulders" pattern has been half formed, I wrote earlier, from 2025 Jul 23, it can be added that the head level, which is more likely to fall on the border of the halving zone
Fourth , locally the formation of the fifth Elliott wave, where the last impulse will fall on the border of the global ascending corridor in the $130k zone
Fifth , the Elliott waves are moving within the boundaries of the Expanding Triangle pattern, at the end this pattern is highly likely to have a downward movement, which also falls at the end of the growth cycle from the halving moment
With high probability, the correction may take place at the levels of $84k and $95k, this is the lower limit of the global ascending corridor, with a short-term breakthrough of the corridor to the $77k mark, in order to shake BTC out of the "weak hands" of hodlers
Also, do not forget that institutionalists entered the market at an average level of $108k, and with high probability, they will average purchases by buying BTC at lower prices
Important
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Bitcoin Bounce or Breakdown? Plan + InvalidatioSnapshot (26 Aug 2025, 19:25 IST)
BTC is holding near $110k after the mid-Aug peak and subsequent bleed.
Past 24–72h stayed inside a 4H descending channel; intraday range ~$108.8k–$112.9k.
Technical View
– 4H descending channel intact; lower highs since mid-Aug.
– Supports: $108k first, then $105k; deeper shelf near $101k.
– Resistances: $112k–$113.5k supply zone; next cap around $118k.
– EMAs (20/50/200) remain bear-stacked; 4H MACD below zero.
– Confluence: channel top + MA cluster ≈ $112k–$113.5k.
Trade Plan
– Short below $113,000 → T1 $105,000, T2 $101,000; SL $119,240; timeframe swing.
(For intraday, a 1H close >$111k targets $112.8k; <$109k targets $107.5k.)
Invalidation
Bearish view invalid if daily close >$119,250 with convincing volume.
Big Picture
ETF flows just flipped positive, but overall tone is cautious; GDP/PCE this week can push a break from the $110k–$113k pivot.
Engage
$112k–$113.5k breakout first, or do we sweep $105k before any bounce?
BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Liquidity Whipsaws | Aug 26, 2025📌 BTCUSD | Neutral Bias | Liquidity Whipsaws Within Descending Channel | Aug 26, 2025
Right now, Bitcoin is around 109,700 after dropping from ~120k. We’re still moving inside a parallel channel to the downside. On the hourly chart, money is flowing in, but on the 4-hour, it’s flowing out.
What stood out yesterday was the liquidations, first longs, then shorts. That’s crypto in a nutshell: fast, direct, and unpredictable. It can feel like a “wonderful life,” but only if you’re prepared.
This is why, if you don’t fully know what you’re doing, sometimes investing is safer than trading. Trading is a risk game, you can get lucky, but you can also get unlucky just as fast. Yesterday I got lucky, and I want to be transparent about that.
Support looks stronger around 105,000, so that’s the level I’m watching for a potential bounce higher.
Key takeaway: stay careful, manage risk, and don’t confuse luck with skill.
BTC Next potential LEVELLooking at your BTCUSDT chart:
Current price is around 110,226.
The nearest resistance levels are:
R1: 110,930 (very close, could act as immediate pressure).
R2: 111,930 (next ceiling if momentum continues upward).
Higher levels: R3: 123,218 and R4: 124,474 (longer-term targets if BTC rallies strongly).
The nearest support levels are:
S1: 108,377.26 (first cushion below price).
S2: 98,200 (major psychological and structural support).
Deeper supports: S3: 93,221, S4: 89,926.69, S5: 78,606, S6: 74,608.
🔎 Next Potential Level:
Since BTC is hovering just above 110K, the next key level to watch is 110,930 (R1).
If price breaks above R1 and sustains, the next potential move is toward 111,930 (R2).
If price fails at R1 and reverses, the nearest support is 108,377 (S1), which could be tested quickly.
So, the immediate next potential level is R1: 110,930 (upside) or S1: 108,377 (downside), depending on direction.
BTC Thoughts (Not Financial Advice, just my view)On weekly and monthly timeframes BTC is still bullish, but on lower timeframes, like 1d, 12h, 4h it looks bearish.
Analysis we did about month ago (where we expected +10% drop) has fully played out. Now BTC is trading in weekly bullish OB zone. As long as BTC stays above this zone I’m expecting strong pump InshaAllah.
If BTC gives weekly candle close below 104K that will be a red flag for me and I’ll plan to exit trades. In that case I’ll be looking for next buying opportunity around 96K demand area.
Other Market Conditions:
BTC Dominance → Bearish, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Total Market Cap → Trading in SR zone still bullish, with possible liquidity wicks toward $3.45T.
TOTAL3 (Altcoins without BTC & ETH) → Near $995B support bullish overall.
TOTAL2 (Altcoins without BTC) → Bullish but weak. Currently around $1.53T daily OB zone If it closes below $1.48T we could see drop (+8-10% negative day) for alts/mid caps.
Bitcoin at $110k Pivot — Bounce or Breakdown? Plan + InvalidatioSnapshot (26 Aug 2025, 13:16 IST)
BTC hovers near $110k after a volatile flush from last week’s $123k high. The 24‑h range spans $108.67k–$112.93k, and the pivot sits around $110–112k.
Technical View
– Price is inside a descending channel from the mid‑August all‑time high.
– Immediate support lies at $108k, with a major demand block at $105k.
– Resistance sits at $112k (channel top/20‑day EMA) then $118k.
– Daily RSI is near neutral (≈48) and MACD remains negative.
– 4H structure hints at a falling wedge; a break could spur fast expansion.
Trade Plan
– Short below $108,000 → T1 $105,000, T2 $101,000; SL $118,500; timeframe swing.
bearish if < $109k (target 107.5k).
Invalidation
Bearish view invalid if daily close > $118,500 with convincing volume.
Big Picture
Medium‑sized whales are distributing while smaller holders accumulate; ETF flows are mixed and macro data (GDP & PCE) loom this week.
Engage
Will BTC reclaim $112k or revisit $105k first? Share your view below.
Bitcoin at $110k Pivot — Bounce or Breakdown? Plan + InvalidatioSnapshot (26 Aug 2025, 13:16 IST)
BTC hovers near $110k after a volatile flush from last week’s $123k high. The 24‑h range spans $108.67k–$112.93k, and the pivot sits around $110–112k.
Technical View
– Price is inside a descending channel from the mid‑August all‑time high.
– Immediate support lies at $108k, with a major demand block at $105k.
– Resistance sits at $112k (channel top/20‑day EMA) then $118k.
– Daily RSI is near neutral (≈48) and MACD remains negative.
– 4H structure hints at a falling wedge; a break could spur fast expansion.
Trade Plan
– Short below $108,000 → T1 $105,000, T2 $101,000; SL $118,500; timeframe swing.
bearish if < $109k (target 107.5k).
Invalidation
Bearish view invalid if daily close > $118,500 with convincing volume.
Big Picture
Medium‑sized whales are distributing while smaller holders accumulate; ETF flows are mixed and macro data (GDP & PCE) loom this week.
Engage
Will BTC reclaim $112k or revisit $105k first? Share your view below.
$BTC looks Bearish on Daily Time FrameI believe Alt season is closer than ever since BTC dominance keeps falling and Price of BTC as well.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC fell below the FIB 0.5 Level and continues to drop if i were to long it short termly marked are the entries and take profit areas.
BTC made double top and fell aggressively. About time before money flows into the ALTS and meme coins specially.
on weekly chart btcusdt long term shortAccording to the weekly chart it would say that btc is near or at the peak and in the next few weeks or months it will start to fall.
As can be seen on the chart, if btc continues to follow the time interval of 202 bars and the fractal structure of the previous period, the next decline should last longer than a year. The lines of resistance in that case would be:
1. green line or about 90k
2. orange line or about 55k
3. red line or about 15k
Disclaimer: This is not financial, investment, trade or other advice. This is my personal opinion which can very easily be wrong.
You trade at your own risk.
BITCOIN LONDON SESSION BITCOIN on daily will be looking to retest the daily broken support will become my next sell zone around 113-114k zone.
the demand floor was expected based on strategy and if we get 113-114k look for sell on daily candle .
and my target if that probability works will be 100k-102k zone for close or breakeven.
the next target will be around 90k-92k zone the long term ascending trendline of the bullish channel.
everything is probability manage your risk
think like a hunter ,the low risk high reward set up is all i go for, am holding 124k sell on one position and i will close it at 92k-90k zone while aiming for buy at 100k-102k level