Descriptions about the market! Read the caption!Given Mr. Trump's remarks and the unprecedented crash in cryptocurrencies, I must say this individual significantly harms markets, especially investors. Imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese goods essentially means "we want no trade with you," which is fundamentally unfeasible. The United States and China will undoubtedly negotiate. However, our main focus here is the financial market collapse. This decline isn’t merely about falling prices—it goes beyond that. The core issue is the loss of market trust and credibility. Once confidence is broken, it is difficult to restore and may take a long time.
In any case, I felt it was my duty to bring this up and remind you to stay composed. Never forget to use stop-losses in your trades and practice proper capital management.
If needed, you can always message me on this platform for advice.
NOTE: This post is This post is educational.
Trade ideas
BTC – Bulls Still in Control, As Long As the Intersection Holds!CRYPTOCAP:BTC is retesting a major confluence zone, the intersection of the rising red trendline and the previous ATH structure around $110K–$112K.
This zone has acted as a strong pivot multiple times, and as long as it holds, the overall bullish trend remains intact.
Bullish scenario: Look for trend-following longs near the current intersection, targeting the upper red trendline around $125K.
Bearish invalidation: A daily close below $107K would break the confluence and signal a potential shift in momentum.
📈 The structure is still clean, a healthy correction within an ongoing bullish cycle.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BITCOIN’S FINAL TRAP – THE SENTIMENT SWITCH IS COMING FASTIn my last BTC post I said a dump was likely based on data, and that thesis still stands. If anything, it’s even stronger now. .
On 13 August, CME made a high at 123,590.
That high was weak, no excess, flat TPO top, unfinished auction.
Binance topped at 124,474, Coinbase at 124,522.
CME opened with a gap down, leaving that poor high unrepaired with unfinished business and clean liquidity sitting above.
From 26 September, BTC started grinding up.
I expected a run of the 18 September high and a reversal around 118–119K, but price extended the move to the 1.618 extension. See my last analysis.
Structure was weak, spot CVD flat, futures CVD ripping, open interest climbing.
That shows perps were driving it, not real spot demand.
This week CME finally cleaned it up.
CME ripped through 125,025, taking out the August high at 123,590.
That level matched the old highs on Binance and Coinbase almost perfectly.
CME swept the old poor high left behind by spot and perps, completing the auction.
This is typical CME behavior, it hunts untested reference points during RTH and often reverses right after.
Flow data confirms the setup:
Spot CVD down means real buyers not following.
Stablecoin CVD pushing up means overleveraged longs chasing.
Coin-margined CVD rolling means profit taking or hedge flow.
Open interest flat at the top means trapped longs with no squeeze left.
The move looks like a leveraged markup driven by perps, cleaned up by CME liquidity, and now hanging on air.
CME repaired the August inefficiency, swept the prior spot high, and left another weak high with no excess, a textbook sign of distribution.
There’s still a chance we see one more SFP around 126K before momentum flips, but unless spot demand picks up aggressively, that should be the final liquidity grab.
My targets are 104K and 99K if 104K fails to hold, with potential for an even deeper drop beyond that level.
BTC BREAKING NEWS OR BREAKING CHARTS?📰 BREAKING NEWS OR BREAKING CHARTS?
TRUMP IMPOSES TARIFFS, CAUSING A BITCOIN BLOODBATH — $20,000 DRAWDOWN IN 2 HOURS!
Bitcoin was sitting comfortably at $121,000, before a sudden macro shock — triggered by newly imposed U.S. tariffs — sent prices spiraling down to $100,000 in a matter of hours.
Bulls were liquidated. Bears rejoiced.
Now, the market stands at a crossroads: will this become a major dump continuation, or the foundation for a secret pump?
Chart Overview & Structure
On the high timeframe, BTC continues to trade within a rising wedge formation, with price now showing a significant wick rejection from the upper boundary. This move suggests a potential shift in market structure — a moment that’s likely to shake inexperienced traders. The chart reveals a clear supply and demand structure:
Supply Zone: $123,452 – $130,000
D emand Zone: $98,826 – $101,400
These zones define the battlefield between bulls and bears. In addition, eight psychological levels dominate the chart — $100K, $105K, $110K, $115K, $120K, $125K, and $130K — each representing potential liquidity clusters and reaction points.
Adding to the complexity, we can see a golden pocket (0.618–0.65 retracement) forming around $106,000, perfectly aligning with prior swing lows and the midpoint of a large Fair Value Gap (FVG) overhead. This zone could serve as a reversal or continuation point depending on whether price can reclaim and hold above the major support trendline.
Technical Insights
The market has now tapped the rising wedge resistance three times, with the last tap forming a wick above $125K, triggering liquidity before the sharp collapse. This aligns with the classical exhaustion behavior of wedges. Moreover, a potential Head and Shoulders structure is beginning to emerge, with the right shoulder aligning near $115K — a confluence area that may attract strong bearish attention.
For now, price is testing the lower support trendline — a crucial pivot area for determining whether BTC continues to break down toward demand or consolidates for recovery. This structure creates a make-or-break zone that will define the next macro leg.
Bullish Scenario
Despite the panic, this could be a classic liquidity flush — a “flush candle” event designed to wipe out leveraged long positions before a larger move upward. If BTC can maintain structure above the major support line and close above $106K–$110K, it opens the door for a relief rally.
A reclaim of $115K would confirm buyer strength.
Sustained momentum could push BTC back into the $120K–$125K range to retest the broken supply zone.
Breaking through $125K would invalidate the bearish wedge, potentially igniting a run toward $130K+ and even new highs in “Pump-tober.”
In this scenario, the deep liquidation event becomes fuel for a massive short squeeze, driving momentum and reigniting bullish sentiment across crypto markets.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold above $106K or decisively breaks below the demand zone at $98K, it would confirm a rising wedge breakdown.
Below $100K, momentum could accelerate toward $95K–$92K — the next liquidity pools and volume gaps.
The Head and Shoulders completion would confirm the bearish reversal structure, further strengthening the downside case.
Macro sentiment, fueled by geopolitical and policy fears, could add weight to the bearish outlook.
A rejection from $115K without sustained reclaim would also reinforce the bearish continuation pattern, with every psychological level above turning into resistance.
Summary
Bitcoin is at an inflection point — the $100K–$115K range will define the next macro move.
The recent wick and structure breakdown hint at weakness, but the flush candle and liquidity sweep also suggest that a bullish rebound could be on the horizon.
In short:
Above $115K → Bullish continuation possible.
Below $100K → Bearish expansion likely.
With volatility at its peak, traders should expect massive liquidity hunts, fakeouts, and emotional traps on both sides.
Whether this becomes the start of a macro correction or a secret accumulation phase before a major pump — the next few daily closes will tell the story.
BITCOIN
KEY SUPPLY ROOF 117K-119K SELL
The bitcoin daily loss is part of trading strategy, gains and losses is what comes with trading any instrument.
Macroeconomic Jitters Intensify Crypto Volatility as Global risk sentiment turned sharply negative after the U.S. announced new 100% tariffs on Chinese tech imports, reigniting fears of a prolonged trade conflict.
the current crypto downturn reflects a complex mix of macroeconomic headwinds, leveraged liquidations, and cooling sentiment after record-breaking highs.
key demand floors 107,829-107,500
key demand floor is 100,067 break and close sell into next demand structure.
key demand floor 98,849-98,733
key demand floor 94400-93760
key demand floor @54k-53k zone
BTCUSDT-– Bearish Signal AlertFollowing the recent drop in Bitcoin and the loss of a key 1d support level, which has been confirmed by the 4-hour timeframe,
we expect a shift from the bullish trend to a bearish phase on the daily timeframe.
🎯 The next potential downside target lies around the 55,000 USD zone on the weekly timeframe.
⚠️ This serves as a warning to long-term holders (HODLers) – risk management and stop-loss adjustments are highly advised, as the market may enter a deeper correction phase.
BTC - Decision Time at the Flip Zone!BTC is retesting a daily flip zone (former resistance turned support). This band has been the market’s pivot for most of the year and is the line in the sand for trend intent.
📈Bullish case (preferred): As long as the daily holds above the flip zone (~105k–108k) and prints a bullish reaction, I’ll look for longs. Upside magnets sit near 118k first, then 125k if momentum extends.
📉Bearish case (alternative): A clean daily close back below the flip zone turns it into supply and exposes 100k–98k, with room for a deeper correction if follow-through expands.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin – Short-Term Weakness, Long-Term StrengthBitcoin has recently swept the all-time high, triggering a short-term reaction from liquidity resting above that level. This move often signals that the market has completed its buy-side run and is now seeking to rebalance inefficiencies created during the aggressive push upward. The current structure indicates that price is shifting momentum in the short term, preparing for a deeper retracement before resuming its bullish trajectory.
Imbalance and Structure Shift
Following the liquidity sweep, a clear 4-hour imbalance (IFVG) has formed, acting as the first sign of bearish pressure entering the market. This inefficiency shows that the prior move lacked sufficient counter-orders, meaning price may need to return there to restore balance. The bearish move was further confirmed as price inverted a smaller 4-hour FVG, signaling a potential continuation to the downside in the short term.
Bearish Scenario
If the market continues to respect the newly formed IFVG, we could see a sustained bearish retracement develop. Price may use this imbalance as a draw, seeking to fill deeper inefficiencies left behind during the prior expansion. This corrective phase is not necessarily a trend reversal but rather a short-term redistribution phase before buyers potentially step back in from lower levels.
Bullish Scenario
Once the 4-hour fair value gap below is filled, the market could begin forming a base for a new bullish leg. The liquidity collected from the downside move and the rebalancing of inefficiencies would give price enough fuel for a strong continuation higher. Traders should look for a clean market structure shift or displacement from that demand area as the signal of renewed bullish intent.
Expectations and Outlook
In summary, Bitcoin appears to be in a healthy retracement phase after sweeping liquidity at the highs. The 4-hour imbalance provides a clear short-term target for price to seek, and once filled, the bullish structure could resume. This setup favors patience, waiting for confirmation that the downside rebalancing is complete before anticipating another impulsive rally.
Conclusion
Overall, Bitcoin’s structure suggests a temporary bearish move to fill the 4-hour FVG, followed by a potential bullish continuation once that inefficiency is resolved. Watching how price reacts upon entering that zone will be key in determining whether the next expansion phase begins.
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I expect a BTC drawdown on the daily timeframe.In the coming days, I expect a BTC drawdown on the daily timeframe to values of $96,500 to $95,400 from a price action perspective. I would enter a short position immediately, setting my Stop Loss (SL) above $112,400 and Take Profit (TP) at $96,500, which would represent a 3.44 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR).
It is important to note that this is in no way financial advice, but merely my personal view on price action and my idea of where the price might go in the coming days.
From the Previous Warning to Today’s Move — Watch the Next LegThe prior BTC analysis aged well — we’ve had roughly 17% downside since that post.
This update maps the continuation: after a wave 2 correction, Bitcoin can resume a sharp selloff as wave 3. No fluff — just structure and Elliot
Previous analysis:
If this helps, save & follow for the next updates. (Not financial advice.)
Sweep all liquidity, BTC recoversBTCUSD – Daily Analysis
The recent market move confirmed our earlier sell call at the 126K top, which played out perfectly as price reversed sharply from that resistance zone. This level aligned with the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and the upper trendline — a strong confluence area that signaled exhaustion.
Currently, BTC is rebounding from the support zone around 110K–111K, showing short-term recovery momentum. However, unless price breaks decisively above 121K, the structure still favors a potential retest toward 110K before any larger bullish continuation.
→ Key Levels:
• Resistance: 121K / 126K
• Support: 110K / 107K
• Trend: Short-term corrective uptrend within a broader range
✅ Successfully caught the 126K top — next focus on reaction around 121K zone.
7 out of 7, back-to-back accuracy. Power!Since last week Monday I thought to share my AI forecasts with the public using Bitcoin 30min chart as my chart of choice.
It's taken 8 years of growth to be able to get here, and it feels like I have finally made it
I say this as yesterday my nerves were letting doubt in, thinking that this next forecast would be the one that didn't work out... instead it's brought 7 out of 7, back-to-back accuracy. Power!
The bull run is over? My next tradeIn this space, you’ll find my long-term outlook on Bitcoin 🪙 — helping you see the bigger picture of what’s been happening in the market over the past week 📉📈
🔥 You’ll get insight into:
🔑 Key levels to watch for your trading or investing strategy
💡 The next profitable trade to position yourself for
🧭 A clear perspective on where Bitcoin could be headed next
Yes, we’ve seen a crazy drop 😱 — but this is not the time to panic.
It’s time to pause, think, and plan your next move 🧠💪
🎥 Watch the full video for my detailed breakdown and upcoming trade setups! 🚀
BTC Range Consolidation Above POC Signals Reaccumulation Bitcoin has shown interesting developments following a capitulation move into lower liquidity regions. The recent low tapped the $101,000 dynamic support, forming a potential base in confluence with major structure and liquidity.
Key Technical Points:
- Support: $101,000 dynamic support
- Range POC: $108,000
- Bias: Bullish-to-neutral above POC
Price has reclaimed the range point of control, suggesting that short-term control lies with the bulls. A consolidation period above this level could lead to a shallow pullback into daily support near $108,000, followed by a rotation back toward range highs.
If structure remains intact, the next impulsive leg higher could emerge from this region. However, a daily close back below the POC would weaken the setup and open the door for renewed volatility.
Overall, Bitcoin remains constructively positioned for reaccumulation while above $108,000, with consolidation favoring a potential bullish continuation.