BITCOIN, is a 50% drawdown sufficient?Since the beginning of last October, the price of Bitcoin has been evolving within its cyclical bear market, and the drawdown has reached 50% by taking the difference between the all-time high of last October 6 and the low at 60,000 US dollars on February 6.
Since then, the geopolitical situation i
BTC: Bitcoin’s 4-Year Reset Cycle - Is the Next Bottom Oct 2026?This chart plots Bitcoin’s percentage drawdown from the previous all-time high and overlays fixed cycle intervals based on the historical spacing between major market bottoms.
Two consistent behaviors appear across multiple cycles:
1. Final Drawdown Phase
Near the end of each cycle window (the end
BTC Cycle Drawdown & Time-Based Bottom Projection
After identifying a potential market top around $126,000, Bitcoin has entered its historical post-ATH drawdown phase. Rather than focusing only on price levels, this analysis emphasizes time symmetry, which has been a consistent feature across previous BTC market cycles.
Historically, Bitcoin has
Bitcoin All Time High Drawdown - Bottom nowhere in sight?We revisit the Bitcoin All Time High Drawdown chart originally published in March 2023.
The core thesis of the BTC_ATHDRAWDOWN chart remains intact: each subsequent market cycle has exhibited a diminishing drawdown from its prior All-Time High, with generational cycle bottoms resting squarely on
BTC ATH Drawdown had been long overdue for a correctionIf we measure the time when ATH drawdown was at at the top for the past cycles, we average around 50 bars, with the previous cycle spanning 57 bars. While it makes sense that new cycles may experience longer bull-runs with increased societal acceptance and institutional stability in play, BTC spanne
Bitcoin: What Historical Drawdown in a Bear Market?Since its all-time high at $126,000 reached on October 6, Bitcoin has been following a series of corrective sessions. This pullback raises a key question: is it merely a consolidation within a bull market, or the beginning of a true bear market?
First, if the cycle really ended on Monday, October 6
BTC ATH DRAWDOWN 260k 2026 we are Long!Hello TradingView community! Today, I want to share a comprehensive analysis of this BTC chart with you, which shows a strong long-term bullish perspective with a target of 260k by 2026. The chart spans from 2011 to 2033, providing both historical context and forward-looking projections based on tec
BTC Possible Top Is InThe combination of bearish divergence on the monthly RSI and MACD strengthens the argument that Bitcoin's current top could be in. These indicators suggest weakening momentum despite higher prices, a classic precursor to market tops. However, traders should keep an eye on confirmation signals, such
This Bitcoin Dump Is Normal - But For How Long?In this analysis I want to take a look at the BTC_ATHDRAWDOWN indicator, which tells us how much percent BTC is trading under the current all-time high. Every time that BTC makes a new all-time high this indicator reaches a value of 1.
As seen on the chart, BTC has seen a lot of big drops during bu
🔥 Bitcoin On-Chain: Completely Normal Correction!In this analysis we talk more about yesterday's analysis where I discussed the completely normal correction that BTC has been seeing. Furthermore, chances are that we will see more of those correction in the coming months.
As seen on the chart, Bitcoin sees multiple deep corrections (>20%) during
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Displays a symbol's value movements over previous years to identify recurring trends.









