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TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-07TSLA QuantSignals V3 Weekly 2025-11-07
TSLA Weekly Signal | 2025-11-07
• Direction: NEUTRAL | Confidence: 55%
• Expiry: 2025-11-14 (8 days)
• Strike Focus: $400.00
• Entry Range: $4.07
• Target 1: $6.07
• Stop Loss: $2.43
• Weekly Momentum: BULLISH (+2.18% 1W)
• Flow Intel: Bearish (High P/C Ratio) | PCR 3.24
• Max Pain: $452.50 (-0.1% vs spot)
• 🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
⚖️ Compliance: Educational commentary for QS Premium members only. No financial advice.
🎯 TRADE RECOMMENDATION
Direction: BUY PUTS
Confidence: 55%
Conviction Level: LOW
🧠 ANALYSIS SUMMARY
Katy AI Signal: NEUTRAL (50% confidence) with bearish bias - Target $445.95 (-1.5% downside), Stop Loss $459.69 (+1.5% upside)
Technical Analysis: Current price $452.90 trading near weekly range midpoint (62.0%). MACD momentum bullish but mixed timeframe signals. Strong trending regime (100% strength) supports swing trades. Key resistance at $474.07, support at $435.09.
News Sentiment: Mixed - Roadster reveal and Robotaxi expansion (bullish) offset by Musk pay package criticism and political headwinds. News flow suggests cautious sentiment.
Options Flow: Extremely bearish - Put/Call Ratio 3.24 indicates heavy institutional put buying. Max pain at $452.50 (-0.1% from spot), high volume at $468 put. Flow suggests downside protection.
Risk Level: MODERATE - Conflicting signals require careful risk management. Neutral AI confidence limits upside conviction.
💰 TRADE SETUP
Expiry Date: 2025-11-14 (8 days)
Recommended Strike: $400.00
Entry Price: $4.05 - $4.10
Target 1: $6.07 (50% gain from entry)
Target 2: $8.10 (100% gain from entry)
Stop Loss: $2.43 (40% loss from entry)
Position Size: 2% of portfolio
⚡ COMPETITIVE EDGE
Why This Trade: Bearish options flow (PCR 3.24) provides contrarian edge against mixed technicals. Max pain align
Image
QS Analyst
APP
— 10:49 PM
ment near current price creates favorable gamma positioning.
Timing Advantage: Thursday positioning with 8 days to expiry allows for volatility capture during weekly momentum confirmation.
Risk Mitigation: Conservative delta (-0.138) provides defined risk exposure. Stop loss at 40% protects capital in neutral environment.
🚨 IMPORTANT NOTES
Katy AI's neutral confidence (50%) limits directional conviction - treat as speculative trade
Conflicting signals between bullish MACD and bearish flow require careful monitoring
Position size should remain minimal given low conviction level
Be prepared to exit early if technicals flip bullish or options flow reverses
📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊
🎯 Instrument: TSLA
🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT)
🎯 Strike: 400.00
💵 Entry Price: 4.07
🎯 Profit Target: 6.07
🛑 Stop Loss: 2.43
📅 Expiry: 2025-11-14
📏 Size: 2.0
📈 Confidence: 55%
⏰ Entry Timing: N/A
🕒 Signal Time: 2025-11-07 01:49:31 EST
🔴 HIGH RISK WARNING: Use only small position size due to lower confidence and high uncertainty.
News Momentum QuantSignals AI Screener 2025-11-06News Momentum QuantSignals AI Screener 2025-11-06
🎯 NEWS-DRIVEN MOMENTUM DETECTED
AI News Analysis Results
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💰 NEWS MOMENTUM SIGNALS
Generated: November 06, 2025 at 10:45 PM
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📊 5 Total Opportunities • ✅ 5 Ready to Trade • ⏸️ 0 Monitor
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┌─ #1 ✅ NYSE:JNJ • Score: 75/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 42 days
│ 🟢 Risk Level: Low Risk (2/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: High-impact FDA approval for DARZALEX FASPRO, creating immediate revenue potential
│ 📊 Setup: Stock consolidating near $187 with regulatory catalyst providing breakout fuel
│ 🎯 Target: $195-200 within 2-3 weeks following approval momentum
│ 📈 Options: $190 CALL exp 2025-12-19
│
│ 💡 Trade - High conviction setup
│ ⚠️ Risk: Broad market weakness or unexpected regulatory hurdles for new drug adoption
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #2 ✅ NASDAQ:AVGO • Score: 70/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 28 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (4/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Strong analyst bullishness on AI-driven growth prospects from Mizuho
│ 📊 Setup: At key $357 support level with institutional accumulation evident
│ 🎯 Target: $375-385 within 10-14 days on AI momentum continuation
│ 📈 Options: $360 CALL exp 2025-12-05
│
│ 💡 Trade - High conviction setup
│ ⚠️ Risk: AI sentiment shift or broader semiconductor sector rotation
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #3 ✅ NYSE:TSM • Score: 65/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 35 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (4/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Needham Buy rating with N3 capacity boost accelerating revenue growth
│ 📊 Setup: Testing $290 resistance with positive analyst momentum
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building
│ 🎯 Target: $305-310 within 3-4 weeks on capacity expansion news flow
│ 📈 Options: $295 CALL exp 2025-12-12
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Geopolitical Taiwan tensions or semiconductor demand slowdown
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #4 ✅ NYSE:XOM • Score: 60/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 21 days
│ 🟡 Risk Level: Medium Risk (6/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Dividend hike and record output milestones despite recent earnings pressure
│ 📊 Setup: Oversold at $114 after earnings sell-off, dividend catalyst provides support
│ 🎯 Target: $120-122 within 2 weeks on dividend attraction and output momentum
│ 📈 Options: $117.50 CALL exp 2025-11-28
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Continued oil price weakness overwhelming positive company-specific news
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
┌─ #5 ✅ NYSE:BAC • Score: 55/100 • ENTER NOW
│
│ 📅 DTE: 28 days
│ 🔴 Risk Level: High Risk (10/10)
│
│ 📰 Catalyst: Strong analyst pick status with earnings season bank sector rotation potential
│ 📊 Setup: Neutral at $53 but positioned for financial sector leadership shift
│ 🎯 Target: $56-57 within 10 days on sector rotation and analyst conviction
│ 📈 Options: $54 CALL exp 2025-12-05
│
│ 💡 Trade - Monitor entry timing
│ ⚠️ Risk: Interest rate uncertainty or broader financial sector weakness
└───────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
📖 QUICK GUIDE:
✅ ENTER NOW → High probability setup, optimal timing, low-medium risk
⏸️ WAIT → Monitor for better entry or catalyst resolution
🟢 Low Risk → Heat 1-3 (stable, far from catalysts)
🟡 Med Risk → Heat 4-6 (moderate volatility)
🔴 High Risk → Heat 7-10 (near catalysts, high volatility)
💎 Position Sizing: 2-5% per trade • Max 2-3 concurrent positions
🎯 Exit Strategy: Take profit at 50%
max gain or stop at 2x loss
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Tesla / Palantir Fractal STILL playing out STRANGELY ACCURATEMillions of people
...buying Trillions of dollars of assets
...at random times
...on random days
but somehow these 2 assets move together on the x-axis & the y-axis??
Cansomeone explain this to me mathematically?
May the Truth be with you.
$TSLA – Breakout Setup Targeting ATHs → $500 ZoneTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) looks ready for liftoff. After months of absorbing negative headlines and post-earnings volatility, it’s finally setting up for a major breakout that could take it back to all-time highs — and possibly the $500 level.
🔹 The Setup:
NASDAQ:TSLA has shaken off every piece of bad news — earnings, delivery headlines, margin fears — all absorbed without breaking trend.
The stock is now coiling under major resistance, and the tape is showing accumulation.
The narrative has flipped from “EV slowdown” to autonomous driving and robotics, giving the stock new life.
🔹 Why This Setup Has Juice:
It’s the last major leader yet to make a big move — the rotation setup is real.
Market sentiment is improving, and NASDAQ:TSLA is showing relative strength.
Volume expansion here could mark the start of the next major leg higher.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Position: Added $500 calls (2 weeks out) at the open this morning.
2️⃣ Stop: If the stock goes under $450, I’m out — keeping risk tight.
3️⃣ Targets: First stop at ATHs, then a potential run toward $500 if momentum holds.
Why I Love This Chart:
The structure is perfect — long base, trendline reclaim, sector rotation lining up.
NASDAQ:TSLA has flipped from “bad news reaction” to “no sell reaction,” a clear sentiment shift.
Risk/reward is ideal here with a tight stop and clear upside roadmap.
Tesla – Demand Reclaim After Liquidity SweepTesla swept liquidity below 440 and reacted strongly from a clean demand zone.
The bearish leg completed a full imbalance fill, and price is now rejecting that discount area.
As long as price stays above 440, I’m expecting continuation toward 470–474 (previous supply zone).
If 436 breaks, the bullish idea becomes invalid and deeper reaccumulation may follow.
#TSLA #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquiditySweep #FVG #PriceAction #ICT #Stocks
TSLA Triple TopTriple tops = market drop!
As soon as the market tanks, TSLA is in major trouble!
For 5 long years, people have been trying to pump this stock with no good results. Instead, they got a -75% decline and a -66% decline for their efforts.
This stock will fall bidless! All hype with no substance.
The question is, will the market stay up long enough to push it up one more time and sucker in the last fools before the kiss of death? We shall see!
It's now or never!
I am proudly shorting it! As I have successfully done twice before with huge gains. I am telling you, fanboys, point-blank before I get all the hate posts. ))
Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: $TSLA) Eyes Breakout Above $490Tesla Inc. (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:TSLA ) is approaching a critical technical juncture as price action consolidates near the upper end of its ascending trendline. After rebounding strongly from the $180–$200 demand zone earlier this year, Tesla has maintained a steady uptrend, forming higher lows and higher highs — a classic bullish structure.
Currently trading near $440, Tesla has encountered resistance below the $490–$492 zone, which marks the previous swing high. The chart shows a clear ascending support line extending from the April low, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment. As long as the stock holds above $420, bulls remain in control. A confirmed breakout above $492 could ignite the next leg higher, targeting the $520–$540 region in the medium term.
Volume analysis shows healthy participation during recent rallies, while the RSI hovering around 50 suggests moderate strength without signs of overbought conditions. This balance indicates potential for further upside before exhaustion sets in.
The projected path shown on the chart outlines a short-term pullback toward support, followed by a continuation rally through resistance. Such a move would confirm bullish momentum and possibly trigger a new wave of investor confidence as Tesla heads into the next earnings season.
However, if Tesla fails to maintain the ascending trendline, a dip below $410 could expose the stock to deeper retracement toward $380, testing previous breakout levels.
Overall, Tesla’s structure remains technically constructive. The uptrend is intact, supported by volume and strong higher-lows formation. Traders are closely watching for a decisive breakout above $492, which could mark the beginning of a fresh rally phase as market sentiment leans bullish on tech and EV momentum.
$TSLA: Gravity Reasserts ItselfGreetings, traders.
The NASDAQ:TSLA chart is currently painting a picture of a profound test of market physics. This isn't a "battle"; it's a conflict of impersonal forces.
On one side, we have "Lift"—the powerful, almost unnatural force of a narrative focused on AI, robotics, and a limitless future. This force defies traditional valuation and pushes the price to high altitudes.
On the other, we have "Gravity"—the undeniable, constant pull of fundamental reality, which just made itself known in the Q3 earnings report.
The chart is our laboratory, and we are here to observe these forces at work.
The Technical Landscape
The Macro View: The weekly chart shows the narrative's 'Lift' failing at a critical altitude. The price has been decisively rejected from the " gravitational ceiling " of its multi-year ascending channel (approx. $480-$500). This is a level where the weight of reality has consistently proven too strong. The most recent large, bearish candle is not an attack; it is simply the pull of gravity reasserting its dominance over upward momentum.
The Tactical View: The daily chart shows why this 'Lift' is failing. We saw a classic bearish MACD divergence on the final push to the highs—price floated higher, but the underlying force (momentum) was fading. The MACD has now crossed bearishly, confirming the shift. Price is now coiled in a tight daily wedge, a tactical "decision point" where we will see if 'Lift' can be re-established or if 'Gravity' will take full control.
The Philosophy: A Tale of Two Forces
To understand NASDAQ:TSLA $, you must understand the two opposing forces that define its physics.
The 'Lift' (The Narrative Camp): The bull case is a qualitative vision. It's about Robotaxis, Optimus, and AI. This crowd is rightfully unconcerned with a single quarter's auto margins because, in their view, they are buying a different company—one that exists 10 years in the future. Their conviction is deep and provides a powerful upward force.
The 'Gravity' (The Quantitative Camp): The bear case is a spreadsheet. It's about the "now." The Q3 earnings report is the catalyst for this "counter-force."
EPS Miss ($0.50$ vs $0.53$) Severe margin compression from aggressive price cuts. A fundamentals-based valuation (e.g., Morningstar's $250 FVE) that is miles away from the current price.
This setup is a clear piece of the puzzle.
It shows what happens when the powerful force of 'Lift' (Narrative) reaches its apex and meets the immovable, constant pull of 'Gravity' (Macro Supply + Fundamental Reality). At this specific junction, 'Gravity' is in control.
An Illustrative Setup
We do not predict; we observe and we react.
The confluence of a failing 'Lift' at a 'gravitational ceiling,' combined with the new "weight" of a fundamental catalyst, provides a high-probability, asymmetric setup. This is not about being "right"; it is about defining risk.The chart illustrates a potential short setup based on this confluence:
Entry: ~ $435.00$ (Sell Short)
Stop-Loss: ~ $486.00$
Target: ~$282.00$
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~3
The confirmation for this thesis would be a breakdown from the daily wedge (around $430), signaling that 'Gravity' has taken firm hold.The stop-loss at $486$ is the "escape velocity" point. If the price breaks above it, the 'Lift' force has overcome 'Gravity,' the thesis is invalidated, and we step aside.
One cannot argue with the market's physics.
Respect the level; it is your anchor to reality.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It is for educational and informational purposes only. Please conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
TSLA next leg up.RSI- is looking good for a move up because of the descending tops, once you break the resistance line you will fly.
Moving averages- My yellow and blue are good for telling longer term upside, and they are at the point of where the blue will be above the yellow.
Repetition- a lot of patterns end in threes, so assuming this looking back in time we have seen two legs up, and we are due for a third. The orange vertical lines pinpoint these areas.
Clear rising trend lines over years.
The price targets are up to you, but mine are 4000-7500.
Emotional Trading AreaBehavior Analysis combined with your price-action trading skills can help tremendously in making your trading decisions. I believe that candlestick wicks (shadow) show us where traders will act emotionally before executing their trades. These wicks indicate earlier price rejection and create and area where emotions take over before execution. Decision time.
Tesla: Potential Breakout Coming?Tesla has consolidated for more than two months, and some traders may think a breakout is coming.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the $436.23 level, a previous record weekly close from December. The EV maker has fluctuated on either side of that price since late September without backing down. Is long-term resistance fading?
Second, TSLA has made higher highs and mostly higher lows since October 10. (The only exception came on October 23 following quarterly results. Even then, prices quickly recovered from the opening drop.)
Third, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has stayed above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect a bullish short-term trend.
Next, Wilder’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moderated from above 80 while staying over 50. That may suggest an overbought condition has faded without direction turning south.
Finally, TSLA is an active underlier in the options market. (Its average volume of 2.3 million contracts per session ranks second in the S&P 500, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.
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TSLA-Bulls Fighting for Expansion (Nov. 3–7)TSLA Weekly Grind Into Call Walls – Bulls Fighting for Expansion (Nov. 3–7)🚀
WEEKLY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
TSLA continues its broader bullish expansion on the weekly, confirming a strong BOS over prior swing highs. The previous CHoCH signal was neutralized quickly, and price reclaimed its multi-month trend. This behavior suggests smart money has been accumulating below $400, not distributing. Every dip toward structure is met with aggressive absorption.
Liquidity remains stacked below $368–$380 — that’s the major sweep zone if the market wants to reset. Above, we’re probing into fresh supply pockets where early profit-taking tends to show up.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Key weekly demand sits at:
• $368–$380
Next deeper mitigation zone:
• $214–$240 (nuclear flush level, unlikely near-term)
Supply is forming in the $470–$490 band. That’s where we saw previous structural stalling and stop-hunts. A breakout through that area tends to squeeze because overhead liquidity thins dramatically into $500+.
3. Indicator Confluence
The 9EMA is pressing above the 21EMA with a positive slope. Momentum remains constructive. MACD histogram is gaining green bars — sign of acceleration rather than exhaustion. Stoch RSI is elevated, but trending with price rather than diverging.
Volume is rising on bullish candles, falling on red — healthy expansion.
4. Weekly Tone
As long as price holds above $450, bulls maintain continuation potential. Below that, sentiment can shift quickly.
DAILY TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
1. Market Structure
Daily structure remains bullish inside a rising channel. We’ve seen clean swings respecting both upper and lower bands. A minor CHoCH attempt formed last week but failed — price reclaimed structure and printed another bullish push.
Smart money likely accumulated around $443–$447, intentionally sweeping intraday liquidity.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Demand blocks:
• $443–$446 (recent defense cluster)
• $420–$425 (major re-accumulation base)
Supply blocks:
• $470.75 and $488.54
These levels are littered with trapped short sellers — perfect squeeze fuel if reclaimed.
3. Indicator Confluence
9EMA is curling upward again after a brief flattening. This typically telegraphs another leg. 21EMA remains supportive. MACD histogram is transitioning with softer red bars — momentum is attempting to flip. Stoch RSI just curled from the bottom band — a strong short-term tailwind.
Volume is building — no signs of distribution.
4. Daily Tone
As long as we hold the mid-channel, upside targets remain active. A close above $470 opens the door to $488+ momentum rotation.
15-MINUTE INTRADAY STRUCTURE
1. Market Structure
On the 15m we printed a clean CHoCH → BOS sequence into the afternoon. Buyers responded aggressively after sweeping liquidity near $444. That wick was engineered — too clean to be random.
We’re currently compressing into a small consolidation shelf just below $457.80. A breakout from this range can run quickly, especially during the morning session when algo volatility peaks.
2. Supply & Demand / Order Blocks
Demand intraday:
• $453.50–$454.30 (first bounce zone)
• $443.70–$444.50 (deep retest)
Supply intraday:
• $457.50–$460.00 (thin liquidity + short triggers)
Above that, things get slippery.
3. Indicator Confluence
9EMA has crossed above 21EMA on the micro timeframe. MACD histogram is curling back toward zero, preparing for potential bull expansion. Stoch RSI is lifting — early signal before momentum enters.
4. Intraday Tone
Expect a morning liquidity grab — minor dip, then reversal if demand holds. If price immediately rejects from $458 with heavy volume, avoid chasing.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) & OPTIONS SENTIMENT
Gamma structure favors upside skew. Notable call walls:
• $467
• $480
• $500
These behave like resistance magnets — price accelerates into them, but sticky walls can cap continuation.
On the downside:
• $435 is serving as major put support
Break it, and dealer hedging flips negative.
Dealer behavior this week:
• Above $457 → hedging becomes supportive, fueling squeezes.
• Below $445 → hedging flips bearish, accelerating direction.
Max pain gravitates toward $450. That’s why price keeps pulling back into that zone — the options market likes to magnetize into pain.
Best ways to play inside this structure:
• Directional call scalps above $457.50
• Debit spreads for controlled risk
• Neutral premium if price chops $450–$456 midweek
TRADE SCENARIOS (Nov. 3–7)
✅ Bullish Setup
Trigger: Break and hold above $457.80
Entry: Retest $457–$457.30
Targets: $467 → $480 → possible $488 wick
Stop: Below $454.00
Invalidation: Failure to reclaim 9EMA on 15m after breakout
✅ Bearish Setup
Trigger: Breakdown below $445** with volume**
Entry: Retest $445–$446
Targets: $435 liquidity sweep → $420 OB
Stop: Above $448.50
Invalidation: Strong reclaim of 15m structure
CLOSING OUTLOOK
TSLA is setting up with bullish intent, but it’s running into layered supply and options-driven friction overhead. If bulls can convert $457 into support, this can squeeze into $467 and potentially push $480 where call walls cluster.
If the market decides to hunt liquidity, $445 is the first trapdoor.
Personally, I’m watching the channel midline. If buyers defend it, momentum strategies are favored. If we break it, expect a multi-day rotation lower.
DISCLAIMER
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade your plan, manage your risk, and stay disciplined.
Tesla: A little Bit of Elliott Analysis Hello ,
Currently, Tesla is correcting in a wave (4), which is expected to end around the $(390-430) area.
After that, it will likely start wave (5), with the following possible targets:
1) 1.236 Fibonacci level $(577) .
2) 1.382 Fibonacci level $(706) .
3) It may even extend to the 1.618 Fibonacci level around $(987) .
After completing the fifth wave, the stock is expected to collapse and enter a deep, long correction.
Thank you .






















