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Concerns on market specifically NVDA - Not financial adviceSome thoughts and concerns watching the market as an amateur investor looking at historical shifts and trends. This is not a prediction and not to be considered financial advice in any manner shape or form. It is simply a personal opinion based on my impression of the market. Please discuss any choice you make in the market regarding trades with a financial advisor or planner as this opinion is just an uneducated perspective to be taken with a grain of salt from someone who does not work in the financial industry. There are several factors I have taken into account regarding the economy, job losses, looming Debt Wall, real estate market concerns, tariff pain points for US, recession chatter, dollar weakness, US debt and my personal gut check. Disclosure - I do not currently hold NVDA but I have a standing buy order for my personal account for NVDA at $50. I do not know the market well enough to short.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FindingTomorrow
11
NVDA Rebounds From Demand Zone, Eyeing $210 Supply AreaNASDAQ:NVDA has shown a strong rebound from the $177–$180 demand zone, signaling potential bullish momentum after a steep correction. The 1-hour chart shows a shift in structure, with higher lows beginning to form, suggesting renewed buyer interest. As long as the price holds above $182, the short-term outlook remains constructive. A breakout above $190 could accelerate the move toward the $210–$213 supply zone, where sellers previously regained control. However, if NVDA fails to maintain above $182, the bullish setup may be invalidated, and price could revisit the $177 support. 🟢 Entry: $186–$188 🔴 Invalidation: Below $177 🎯 Target: $210–$213
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DUOMIJUN
4
Tech Rally Sputters Ahead of Nvidia Earnings. What to KnowIs the powerful AI sector finally out of breath? With valuations that stretched, some investors fear if we all took it too far. After months of seemingly unstoppable gains, the tech trade is finally showing signs of fatigue. Stocks are back in the red this week, with technology — the sector that’s carried the entire market on its silicon shoulders — leading the declines. The S&P 500 SP:SPX , up more than 35% since its April lows and boasting 36 record closes this year, has been powered almost entirely by a handful of tech heavyweights. The Magnificent Seven now make up nearly 40% of the index’s market value and roughly a third of its earnings. But now, investors are wondering if the rally’s run too far, too fast. The question echoing across trading desks: Is AI finally out of breath? 💸 The Price of Perfection It’s not that tech earnings have been bad — in fact, they’ve been stellar. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Meta NASDAQ:META , and Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL all beat expectations last week and promised even more AI spending next year. Translation: more orders for Nvidia’s chips, more data centers, more server farms, more everything. But good news isn’t moving the needle right now. When valuations stretch this far, even “great” can start to look “meh.” Investors are realizing that the higher you climb, the thinner the air gets. The entire AI complex — from semiconductors to cloud computing — now trades at multiples that assume not just perfection, but sustained, exponential perfection. And that’s a tough sell when rates are still relatively high, inflation is sticky, and the Fed remains data-deprived thanks to a looming government shutdown (now the longest in history). 🧠 Nvidia: The Market’s Favorite Crystal Ball Which brings us to Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the stock that can save the day. The chipmaker reports fiscal third-quarter earnings on November 19, and it’s shaping up to be a defining moment for the entire market. Expectations are sky-high: analysts see earnings per share of $1.25, up from $0.81 a year ago , and revenue of $54.6 billion, a jaw-dropping 56% increase from last year’s $35 billion. If Nvidia delivers (again), it could reignite the rally and remind investors why they fell in love with AI in the first place. But if there’s even a hint of deceleration — a cautious forecast, a whisper of supply constraints — the selloff could accelerate. Simply put: as goes Nvidia, so goes the market. Fast fact: Nvidia washed out more than $450 billion from its valuation in just the last three days . 🔌 The Waiting Game With two long weeks until Nvidia’s report, traders are stuck in a sort of limbo. Without a fresh catalyst, the market could decide to churn sideways — or drift lower — as profit-takers cash in on their massive gains. The uncertainty isn’t helping either. A government shutdown delays key economic data, leaving the Fed flying in the dark just as investors are trying to gauge when rate cuts might actually arrive. That means more guesswork, less conviction, and a good chance of exaggerated market swings. So don’t be surprised if volatility ticks higher before Nvidia’s big reveal — the gem of the earnings calendar . Off to you : How do you see the next two weeks unfolding? And, more importantly, are you bullish or bearish on Nvidia’s earnings report?
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
16
NVDA Big Move Loading. TA for Nov. 12–15NVDA at a Critical GEX Compression Zone NVDA has been moving like a stock caught between two worlds — heavy enough to stay suppressed, but supported enough to avoid a real breakdown. When you zoom out, the candles almost look like they’re waiting for someone to flip a switch. In reality, NVDA is not being moved by momentum alone — it’s being shaped by something deeper:
gamma exposure (GEX) compression.
And this GEX structure is telling a very clear story about what’s coming next. 4H Chart — Structure Meets Hidden Liquidity NVDA has been respecting a rising structural band that stretches across early November. Every major reaction — every sweep, every bounce — has happened along this diagonal liquidity path. This is not random.
It’s where past BOS and CHoCH events have clustered, and it’s also where NVDA’s GEX shifts from defensive to neutral. Price recently tapped this diagonal trendline again and stabilized right above the 178–180 GEX shelf. The reaction wasn’t explosive — but it was steady. That’s exactly what you see when larger players are quietly absorbing liquidity. The story here is simple:
NVDA is compressing toward a decision. 1H Chart — Short-Term Drift Toward a Break On the 1H timeframe, NVDA’s price is drifting inside a narrow pocket between 188–196. Sellers are pressing from above, but bulls are defending from below — and neither side is gaining ground. This is classic GEX neutral-pocket behavior: * Low volatility * Wicks on both ends * Lack of follow-through * Clean candles but no conviction The moment NVDA breaks OUT of this pocket, the move will be far more decisive than anything we’ve seen this week. GEX Data — The REAL Battlefield (Refer to screenshot below) This GEX landscape is incredibly clear and incredibly important. 🔹 Positive GEX cluster at 200–210 This is the heavy CALL/GEX shelf that acts like a magnet AND a ceiling.
When NVDA pushes into this zone, hedging flows stabilize the move, but upside becomes controlled. This is why the last rally failed at 202–205. 🔹 Neutral GEX zone between 188–196 This is the pocket where NVDA is trading right now.
Neutral pockets compress price and load energy for the next breakout. This is where NVDA is stuck — for now. 🔹 Negative GEX zone below 185 This is the danger zone.
If NVDA breaks below 185, hedging pressure flips aggressively bearish. That’s why 185 is your key line in the sand. 🔥 Trading Suggestions Based on Structure + GEX 📌 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability) ONLY valid if NVDA holds above 188–190 and breaks above 195. ENTRY ZONE:
193–195 (1H reclaim) TARGETS: * 197.50 (first GEX magnet) * 202.50 (second GEX shelf) * 210.00 (major GEX wall / highest positive NET GEX) STOP-LOSS:
Below 188
(Below this, NVDA re-enters GEX compression = chop) WHY IT WORKS:
As soon as NVDA clears 195, it enters a staircase of positive GEX levels. These levels act like magnets and guide price toward the CALL walls. 📌 Bearish Breakdown Scenario ONLY valid if NVDA loses 185 with conviction. ENTRY:
Break below 184.80 TARGETS: * 181.00 * 178.90 (big negative GEX shelf) * 175.00 STOP-LOSS:
Above 188 WHY IT WORKS:
Below 185, NVDA enters a negative GEX zone, where dealer hedging accelerates selling. 🔥 Options Trading Suggestions (GEX-Based) 📌 Bullish Options Play (if NVDA reclaims 195) Buy:
NVDA 200C or 205C (1–2 weeks out) Reason:
These levels sit directly in the positive GEX zone, where price often drifts upward in controlled channels. Safer Play:
195/205 Call Debit Spread
Perfect for GEX-guided upside. 📌 Bearish Options Play (if NVDA breaks 185) Buy:
NVDA 180P or 175P Reason:
Once NVDA enters the negative GEX field, volatility expands downward and puts gain value quickly. Safer Bearish Spread:
185/175 Put Debit Spread 📌 Neutral Play (if price stays stuck 188–196) This is a premium-decay zone. Sell Premium Strategy: * Short Strangle * Iron Condor * Credit Spread Neutral GEX = low volatility = high time decay. My Thought NVDA is sitting in one of the cleanest GEX compression structures we’ve seen all month. Price is wedged between a rising liquidity structure and a neutral gamma pocket that’s choking volatility. This kind of setup usually leads to a single explosive move, not a slow grind. The roadmap is simple: * Above 195 → NVDA targets 202–210 * Below 185 → NVDA slides into negative gamma * Inside 188–196 → chop and premium decay The next breakout is going to be clean — and GEX is already showing where the path of least resistance lies. This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your plan.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
2
Nvidia Denies $1B Mexico Plan, Eyes Key SupportNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) came under brief scrutiny on Wednesday after reports suggested a $1 billion investment in a new data center project in Nuevo León, Mexico. The tech giant has since denied any financial involvement, clarifying that its role in Latin America remains limited to collaborative initiatives, research, and talent development, not direct infrastructure spending. The confusion began when the state’s governor, Samuel García, publicly announced the investment alongside individuals presented as Nvidia representatives. However, later corrections confirmed that the green hydrogen data center would actually be built by CIPRE Holding, utilizing Nvidia’s technology rather than capital. Despite the miscommunication, the news had little fundamental impact on Nvidia’s long-term growth narrative. The company remains the dominant force in AI semiconductors, with global demand for GPUs powering everything from data centers to generative AI models. However, short-term volatility persists amid global tech supply pressures, tighter U.S.–China chip export controls, and broader market repricing ahead of potential U.S. interest rate cuts in December. From a technical perspective, NVDA recently hit resistance near the $212 high before retracing. The chart suggests potential for a healthy correction toward the $155 support range, which coincides with a strong accumulation zone from mid-2025. A rebound from this level could fuel a continuation toward $230–$240, resuming Nvidia’s dominant uptrend. Investors remain focused on upcoming quarterly earnings and the broader market’s reaction to monetary easing expectations. A confirmed rate cut could renew institutional appetite for high-growth tech names, keeping Nvidia positioned as one of the most favored equities in the AI sector.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
Buffett says buy when everyone else is selling, right?Long at 188.08. Even if you assume that NVDA and the whole market are correcting, I say so what. There are lots worse places to ride out a market correction than NVDA. And not for nothing, but I've posted 7 ideas on NVDA here so far. 6 of them were during its 36% drop from Nov '24 to Apr '25. All 12 trades that were part of those ideas paid me. Every. Single. One. The average gain on those 12 trades was nearly 6%. You can make money long while stocks drop. I do it all the time. Those were also times when people were saying the AI bubble was popping, that AI was over hyped. Michael Burry was shorting NVDA during at least part of that. I don't care. Those kinds of things don't have much to do with day to day stock movements, and what I do has mountains of data behind it that show that kind of thing isn't relevant to what I do. Going to zero quickly is the big risk to what I'm doing here, and I assure you, if NVDA goes to zero quickly, there will be nowhere to hide. I'll take my chances with the company that takes in $500M a DAY in revenues. This stock's fall is extremely overdone currently, in my opinion, adding to this trade's allure for me. I will exit here fairly quickly - no need to give back what the market gives me. I'm no HODLer. I take my money and run. If I can do it in one day, so much the better. If I'm forced to hold, tactically adding and selling until I close the position overall will be done according to price action. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
NVDA (NVIDIA) – Buy PlanNVDA (NVIDIA) – Buy Plan 📊 Market Sentiment On October 29, the FED lowered rates by 25bps as expected. However, Powell’s remarks introduced uncertainty around further cuts in December, emphasizing that future policy will depend on incoming data. One FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a notable shift from September’s unanimous decision. Additionally, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came at 42K versus 32K expected. It’s slightly higher, but since other macro data are missing due to the U.S. government shutdown, the overall sentiment remains mixed. For now, macro sentiment leans bearish, as rate cuts may be delayed into 2026. However, with NVDA earnings approaching, we could see a short-term bullish sentiment building around the stock. 📈 Technical Analysis NVDA is currently trading around the 0.5 equilibrium zone, which aligns with the HTF bullish trendline. This area could provide temporary support and a potential bounce setup. However, it’s crucial to watch the SPY structure as it may influence NVDA’s short-term movement. 📌 Game Plan / Expectations I’ll be watching the $185–$180 range as a key HTF support zone. This area also aligns with a possible trendline deviation, where price could manipulate below the trendline to trap sellers before reclaiming it. I plan to buy call options within this range, targeting a continuation of the bullish leg post-earnings. 💬 If this breakdown aligns with your outlook, like and comment below. For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack — free access available. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by UA_CAPITAL
I'm betting for a big pullback in NVDANVDA is still strong in the broader sense, but the shorter-term internal strength (momentum, volume) is waning. If it busts above ~$190-195 with volume, it could resume big. If it doesn’t, beware the risk of a pullback or consolidation. Choose your option path accordingly. NVDA is still strong in the broader sense, but the shorter-term internal strength (momentum, volume) is waning. If it busts above ~$190-195 with volume, it could resume big. If it doesn’t, beware the risk of a pullback or consolidation. Choose your option path accordingly.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by uyen1986
NVIDIA Technical Breakdown – November 2025Structure : Price broke out of a descending channel, retested the breakout zone, and is now hovering near a double top resistance. Fibonacci Confluence: Price is reacting near the 50–61.8% retracement zone, a key decision area for continuation or rejection. Liquidity Grab: A red-marked zone below shows where stop-losses were likely triggered before reversal — classic accumulation behavior. Volume & RSI: Volume faded post-breakout, and RSI shows early signs of divergence — momentum is slowing, but not yet reversing. Scenario Planning: Bullish: Break and hold above double top zone with volume → target $206–$214. Bearish: Rejection + RSI divergence → pullback to $183–$178 support. Watching for confirmation above the double top zone. Liquidity grab + fib confluence suggest potential continuation, but momentum needs to align. Follow @GoldenZoneFX for more content and valuable insights.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by GoldenZoneFX
NVDA Weekly Options SignalNVDA Weekly Options Analysis – 2025-11-12 Current Price: $192.38 Trend: Neutral (Weekly Momentum: Bearish -1.73%) Confidence: 58% | Conviction: Low Expiry: 2025-11-14 (2 days) Recommended Strike: $192.50 Technical Overview: Price in the middle of weekly range ($178.91–$200.05) EMA alignment confirms bearish weekly trend VWAP at $190.89 offers near-term support Volume spike (26.4x previous week) indicates potential capitulation Options Flow: Extremely bullish, PCR 0.42 → heavy call buying Max volume at $262 call shows institutional positioning High gamma risk, volatility potential elevated Trade Setup: Direction: Buy Calls (Long) Entry: $2.74 Target 1: $3.70 (+35%) Target 2: $4.50 (+64%) Stop Loss: $2.05 (-25%) Position Size: 2% portfolio (Low conviction) Summary Insight: Katy AI shows neutral/bearish signals, but options flow suggests bullish institutional interest High-risk, low-conviction setup; small position recommended Mixed technicals and news sentiment → use tight risk management ⚠️ Risk Warning: Conflicting signals → only small size recommended Not financial advice; educational commentary for QS Premium members
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by quantsignals
Nvidia Is +115% Since April. Here's What Its Chart SaysNvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has gained some 115% since its April low and recently hit an all-time high. Let's see what the chip giant's chart and fundamental analysis can show us ahead of NVDA's fiscal Q3 earnings release next week. Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang this month traveled to Taiwan to attend the annual sports day held by integrated-circuits maker Taiwan Semiconductor NYSE:TSM , which he called NVDA's "forever partner." Although Nvidia has deals in place with firms like Intel NASDAQ:INTC , TSM is Nvidia's primary foundry when it comes to manufacturing high-end AI-capable GPUs. Huang said in public remarks that he asked TSM for additional chip supplies because "the business is very strong and it's growing month by month, stronger and stronger." I can't wait to see if next week's earnings release tells the same tale. Nvidia plans to roll out its latest results after the closing bell next Wednesday (Nov. 19). Wall Street's consensus view calls for the firm to report $1.25 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $54.8 billion in revenue. That would represent a 54.3% gain from $0.81 in adjusted EPS the same period last year, as well as better than 56% top-line growth from the $35.1 billion that NVDA saw a year earlier. While many investors would see that as incredible growth, Nvidia's sales have actually been decelerating from almost unheard-of levels in recent years due to the law of large numbers. However, a print like that would be in line with Nvidia's fiscal Q2 result released in August. Meanwhile, 32 of the 39 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover NVDA have revised their estimates higher since the quarter began, while six have reduced their forecasts. (One estimate has been left unrevised.) Nvidia's Technical Analysis Next, let's check out NVDA's year-to-date chart through Monday afternoon: Readers will see that NVDA this spring blasted out of a cup-with-handle pattern, as denoted by the green box and purple curving line at the chart's left. This is a bullish technical set-up. The shares then rallied in late summer in an ascending-triangle pattern, marked with a green box and black lines at the chart's right. That's normally a pattern of bullish continuance, which is exactly what Nvidia saw until the U.S. government shutdown impacted markets as October moved into November. That said, Nvidia managed to find support at its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line at $183.90 in the chart above). That's where investors would look for professionally managed money to potentially defend the stock. Conversely, the $212.19 intraday record high that NVDA set on Oct. 29 might serve as the stock's upside pivot. Looking at Nvidia's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) appears to have found some support recently at the neutral line and began moving higher again. Meanwhile, Nvidia's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) isn't bullishly postured, at least not yet. However, the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) could be poised to move back into positive territory soon. And while Nvidia's 12-day EMA (the black line) recently moved below the 26-day EMA (the gold line), the black line seems to be curling upward and might soon re-cross over the gold one. The bulls would be rooting for that. An Options Option As I write this, the options market is pricing in a roughly $16 move in Nvidia (or 8%) in relation to next week's earnings. Option traders who expect Nvidia to rise in response to next week's earnings and who would rather use leverage than lay out to purchase the stock might employ a simple bull-call spread in this situation. This strategy involves purchasing one call while simultaneously selling a second call at with higher strike price, but the same expiration date. Here's an example: -- Long one NVDA $200 call with a Nov. 19 expiration date (i.e., after next week's earnings release). The cost is about $7.85 at recent prices. -- Short one Nov. 19 NVDA $215 call, generating a $2.85 premium. Net Debit: $5 The trader in this example is risking the $5 net debit, which would represent his or her maximum theoretical loss in the above spread. But if NVDA rises as the trader in this example expects and both options are exercised, the person would realize $15 of proceeds minus the $5 debit for $10 net profit (the maximum gain). (Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long NVDA and INTC at the time of writing this column.) This article discusses technical analysis, other approaches, including fundamental analysis, may offer very different views. The examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of the results you can expect to achieve. Specific security charts used are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past investment performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary, and all investments carry risks, including loss of principal. This content is also not a research report and is not intended to serve as the basis for any investment decision. The information contained in this article does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material. Moomoo and its affiliates make no representation or warranty as to the article's adequacy, completeness, accuracy or timeliness for any particular purpose of the above content. Furthermore, there is no guarantee that any statements, estimates, price targets, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. Options trading is risky and not appropriate for everyone. Read the Options Disclosure Document (j.moomoo.com j.moomoo.com ) before trading. Options are complex and you may quickly lose the entire investment. Supporting docs for any claims will be furnished upon request. Options trading subject to eligibility requirements. Strategies available will depend on options level approved. Maximum potential loss and profit for options are calculated based on the single leg or an entire multi-leg trade remaining intact until expiration with no option contracts being exercised or assigned. These figures do not account for a portion of a multi-leg strategy being changed or removed or the trader assuming a short or long position in the underlying stock at or before expiration. Therefore, it is possible to lose more than the theoretical max loss of a strategy. Moomoo is a financial information and trading app offered by Moomoo Technologies Inc. In the U.S., investment products and services on Moomoo are offered by Moomoo Financial Inc., Member FINRA/SIPC. TradingView is an independent third party not affiliated with Moomoo Financial Inc., Moomoo Technologies Inc., or its affiliates. Moomoo Financial Inc. and its affiliates do not endorse, represent or warrant the completeness and accuracy of the data and information available on the TradingView platform and are not responsible for any services provided by the third-party platform.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moomoo
NVDA Pullback or Trend Break? (Nov 10–14)Full Multi-Timeframe Outlook NVDA just had one of its sharpest weekly pullbacks in months, and this week is all about figuring out whether this drop is simply a reset inside the bigger bullish trend or the start of a deeper correction. I’ll walk through each timeframe so traders can understand the structure clearly. 1. Weekly Timeframe (1W) Macro Structure NVDA finally tapped the top of the long-term rising wedge and rejected aggressively. Even with the deep weekly red candle, the bigger structure hasn’t broken yet — NVDA is still sitting above the main weekly trendline that carried the entire 2023–2025 bull run. Weekly demand starts around 153–160. Price hasn’t reached that level yet, but the rejection candle shows sellers finally stepping in with size. Weekly MACD is rolling over for the first time since mid-summer. Stoch RSI is turning down from overbought. Both suggest momentum is cooling on the larger timeframe. Weekly Trade View
Watch how NVDA reacts around the trendline near 184–188. As long as NVDA stays above 153–160, the larger trend remains bullish, but a break below 184 adds pressure. Weekly GEX Perspective
Below 180, negative GEX expands heavily, which tends to increase volatility on the downside.
Above 200, positive GEX slows the upside.
This places NVDA in the middle of a high-energy zone — whichever way it breaks next will likely extend for days. 2. Daily Timeframe (1D) Daily Trend and Structure The daily chart is where the weakness is more visible. We already printed a downside CHoCH, confirming a short-term trend shift. NVDA has also broken its rising channel from September, which means sellers took control temporarily. Key daily support sits at 176–184. That’s a demand cluster plus the midpoint of the previous impulse. The daily candle you posted shows NVDA sitting right on this zone. Daily MACD crossed bearish and continues to widen. Stoch RSI is oversold but hasn’t curled yet — usually a sign that a bounce needs more time to develop. Daily Trade View
Hold 184 → NVDA can bounce back toward 195 then 202.
Break 176 → opens a deeper retracement toward 164 and even 153. Daily GEX View
There is a major put wall around 178–180.
This level often acts like a gravitational pull, especially in pullbacks.
The next put concentration is near 164.
Unless NVDA reclaims 190–195 quickly, the daily structure still favors a retest of these lower zones. 3. 1-Hour Timeframe (1H) Short-Term Structure You can see NVDA has been sliding down the descending intraday channel for days. The most recent BOS is bearish, but the latest CHoCH shows buyers finally trying to step in around 178. Price is now approaching the 190 resistance — this is the intraday pivot for the week. 1H MACD is curling upward, showing the first momentum shift since early November. Stoch RSI is rising fast, confirming short-term buyers entering. 1H Trade View
Above 190 → opens room toward 195 then 202.
Reject 190 → NVDA likely rolls back toward 184 then 178. The 190 break is the whole game for intraday momentum. 4. 15-Minute Timeframe (15M) Intraday View The 15M shows the cleanest structure:
A strong BOS just formed, and NVDA broke the intraday trendline. This is the first real bullish sign since the selloff started. However, the CHoCH that printed after the BOS is sitting right underneath the 188–190 ceiling. That means the sellers still sit overhead waiting. MACD on 15M is trending strongly upward — momentum is on the bulls’ side right now. 15M Trade View
Break and hold above 188–190 → intraday long toward 195.
Reject 188–190 → expect a fade back toward 184. This level aligns across all lower timeframes, which makes it extremely important for Monday and Tuesday. 5. GEX Map & Options Strategy GEX Interpretation for NVDA (This Week) The GEX chart shows:
Positive GEX at 195–205
Negative GEX at 178–180
A major put wall at 178.91
A major call wall at 202–205 What this means:
Under 180 → volatility expands downward as dealers hedge.
Over 195 → upside will feel slower and grindy, not explosive.
202–205 → heavy call wall likely to act as a ceiling unless NVDA has strong momentum. Options Strategy If NVDA rejects 188–190:
Short-dated puts targeting 180 or 178 make sense. If NVDA reclaims 190 and holds:
Short-dated calls targeting 195 or 202 are the better play. Avoid chasing anything above 205 — that’s deep inside positive GEX and tends to stall. My Thought NVDA is in a very interesting spot going into the week. Higher timeframes are still bullish, but the daily and intraday charts clearly show the momentum shift to the downside. Everything comes down to how price reacts between 188 and 190. Rejecting that zone keeps the pullback alive toward 184–178.
Breaking above that zone starts the recovery toward 195–202. This is a week where levels matter more than bias. The reaction at 188–190 will decide which side controls NVDA next. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage your risk. If you want a breakdown on another ticker, just drop it in the comments.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVDA to $170? AI Bubble Risk, Big Money Exits & Heavy Shorts !I f you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings: Now you need to know that NVIDIA has dominated 2023–2025, becoming the face of the global AI boom. But the higher the climb, the harder the fall. While NVDA is still seen as “untouchable,” several major signals suggest the stock could revisit levels near $170 — a healthy correction of 10–15% from here. 1. Major Investors Are Exiting — SoftBank Dumped Everything SoftBank, one of Nvidia’s earliest and most influential institutional backers, sold its entire stake in late 2025, worth roughly $5.8 billion. Smart-money exits near all-time highs should never be ignored. SoftBank rarely sells unless it believes: - the sector is overheated - the valuation has run too far - risk/reward becomes asymmetric This mirrors their strategy in 2021–2022 when they unloaded overvalued tech before the correction. SoftBank’s full exit is a red flag for anyone ignoring the possibility of an AI bubble. 2. Michael Burry Bought Massive Puts — A Direct Bet Against the AI Mania Michael Burry — famous for predicting the 2008 crisis — has quietly increased his put positions on NVIDIA and other AI names. Why does this matter? Because Burry doesn’t short “normal” overvaluations. He shorts bubbles. His AI thesis: - expectations are unrealistic - revenue growth is priced as infinite - companies are spending billions on AI with no short-term monetization - chip demand could normalize faster than markets expect When a contrarian with Burry’s track record bets against a trend, it’s worth paying attention. 3. NVIDIA’s Valuation Is Stretched Even for a Hyper-Growth Company Even bulls agree: NVDA’s multiples are once again aggressively priced. Key issues: • Price-to-Sales historically elevated NVDA is trading at a P/S ratio that would be insane for any company approaching a $5 trillion market cap. • Revenue growth expectations assume perfect long-term AI adoption If AI monetization slows or plateaus even slightly, NVDA’s valuation collapses fast. 4. Are We in an AI Bubble? Many Indicators Say Yes Top analysts, academics, and even bullish investors admit: AI has bubble-like behavior. Evidence of a bubble: - Stock prices rising faster than actual earnings growth - Companies buying GPUs “because everyone else is doing it” - Zero clarity on monetization for many AI firms - AI startups valued at billions with no revenue - Media hype similar to 1999 dot-com sentiment Harvard Business Review, Wired, and Investopedia already discuss the “AI bubble thesis.” If AI expectations don’t materialize fast enough, NVDA becomes the single most vulnerable stock on the market.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TopgOptions
Nvidia: Acceleration Toward New Highs Nvidia gained strong upward momentum shortly after our last update, surging past the $196.45 mark, which had previously served as resistance. As a result, our prior short-term alternative scenario was triggered, and we have now adjusted the chart accordingly (with minor modifications). We now view the green wave as complete and believe that the joint top of green wave and beige wave III, as well as the low of wave IV, have already been established. The Target Zone we had initially set for the wave- low has therefore been removed. In our updated short-term alternative scenario, we still see a 30% probability of a new low for beige wave alt.IV below the $176.21 support level. In this case, however, price would likely rebound above the lower $145.50 level.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by MarketIntel
15
Nvidia - Squeezing every single bear!🧯NVidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is finally breaking out: 🔎Analysis summary: Over the course of the past couple of months, Nvidia has been rallying +125%. Considering the market cap of Nvidia, this is already an insane move but clearly not the end. We can still see another +25% from here, before Nvidia will then retest the next resistance. 📝Levels to watch: $250 SwingTraderPhil SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by SwingTraderPhilTV
32
Nvidia Stock Fails to Return to the $200 LevelAlthough Nvidia seemed poised to start the week with an optimistic bias, partly driven by the end of the U.S. government shutdown, which has generated a short-term confidence boost, the stock has begun to show a bearish tone in the current session, posting a decline of more than 2%. This weakness is mainly due to recent comments from the SoftBank Group, which sold its entire stake in Nvidia for approximately US$ 5.8 billion, raising concerns about a possible reduction in exposure to the semiconductor industry in the short term. This event has led to growing investor caution toward the stock and currently maintains a notable selling bias in the market. Uptrend Tries to Hold Despite recent downward corrections that have halted the stock’s steady advance, Nvidia has yet to show a decisive bearish move that would end the long-term uptrend line. In the broader picture, buying momentum continues to hold firm. However, if selling pressure continues to strengthen, the uptrend could be at risk, especially if the price falls below the 50-period moving average. RSI The RSI indicator line is gradually approaching the neutral level of 50, suggesting a balance between buying and selling forces over the last 14 trading sessions. As long as this equilibrium remains, the stock is likely to continue showing indecisive movements in the coming days. TRIX The TRIX indicator remains above the neutral level of 0, indicating that in the long-term outlook, bullish strength continues to dominate the average of exponential moving averages. As long as the TRIX stays above this level, the bullish bias may remain intact, allowing the uptrend line to continue defending its position over the coming weeks. Key Levels to Watch: 208 USD – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the area of recent highs. Price movements breaking above this level could trigger stronger buying pressure, reinforcing the current uptrend. 200 USD – Nearby Resistance: A key psychological level. Price action above this zone would reactivate a short-term bullish bias and reduce the risk of a trendline breakdown. 184 USD – Key Support: This is the most relevant support area, coinciding with the 50-period moving average and the Ichimoku cloud, which increases its significance. Downward movements reaching this zone could end the long-term bullish structure and lead to a period of indecision or the formation of a short-term consolidation range. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA, CMT – Market Analyst
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREX.com
Nvidia Corp.($NVDA) Drops as U.S. Blocks AI Chip Sales to China Nvidia Corp. (Nasdaq: NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares dropped 4.18% to $180.22 on Friday after reports that Washington will block the company’s sales of scaled-down AI chips to China. The decision marks another escalation in U.S. restrictions on advanced semiconductor exports. According to The Information, the White House informed several federal agencies that Nvidia will not be allowed to sell its new B30A AI chip to Chinese firms. Nvidia had already provided samples to some customers in China before the ban was confirmed. The B30A was designed to meet U.S. export thresholds while retaining enough computing power for AI training when used in large clusters. However, U.S. officials reportedly concluded that the chip still poses national security risks. Compounding Nvidia’s challenges, Beijing has issued new guidelines restricting foreign chips in state-backed data centers. Reuters reported that China will require all new projects using government funding to rely solely on domestically developed processors. Data centers less than 30% complete must remove foreign chips, while advanced projects will face case-by-case reviews. Technical View The NVDA chart shows a recent rejection from the $212 level, with price sliding toward $180. A further decline toward $160 support is possible before a rebound, as indicated by the yellow curve. Long-term structure remains bullish, but near-term weakness persists under regulatory pressure
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DEXWireNews
$NVDA NVIDIA CORPORATIONExecutive Summary: NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has demonstrated remarkable resilience and sustained growth over multiple market cycles, consistently defending its leadership position despite intense competition within the semiconductor and AI sectors. This analysis outlines a structured, multi-layered support framework derived from Fibonacci retracement theory, which identifies strategic price levels for potential entry. Our primary area of interest converges around the $150.00 psychological level, which aligns with a key Fibonacci midpoint and is anticipated to serve as a robust zone for buyer participation. Detailed Technical Framework: 1. A History of Defending Its Turf: NVDA's impressive performance is not merely a function of bullish markets but a testament to its fundamental dominance, particularly in the parallel processing and AI revolutions. The company has repeatedly validated its market strength by navigating competitive threats and leveraging its technological moat, which in turn has created a foundation of strong investor confidence. This fundamental strength is often mirrored in its technical charts, where pullbacks are frequently met with aggressive buying at key value areas. 2. The Fibonacci Support Ladder: A Tiered Defense System By applying Fibonacci retracement levels to a significant prior upward swing, we can map a hierarchy of potential support zones. These levels do not operate in isolation but represent a cascading series of defenses where buyers have historically stepped in. Our analysis identifies the following critical tiers, from shallowest to deepest: First Line of Defense (Shallow Pullback): 23.6% Level ($182.53): This level represents a mild, healthy pullback. A hold here would signify exceptionally strong momentum and would likely be a continuation pattern rather than a deep correction. Secondary Support Zone (Moderate Correction): 38.2% Level ($164.02): A retracement to this level indicates a more pronounced correction but remains within the bounds of a strong uptrend. This is a common level for institutions to begin accumulating positions. 50.0% Level ($149.39): The halfway point of the prior major move is a critical psychological and technical battleground. A successful bounce from this level suggests the overall bull trend remains intact and that market sentiment has found a balance. Tertiary & Deep Value Zones (Significant Correction): 61.8% Level ($134.58): Known as the "Golden Ratio," this is a deep retracement that often holds in volatile but fundamentally sound assets. A test of this level would indicate a major correction is underway, presenting a higher-risk but potentially high-reward entry point for long-term believers. 78.6% Level ($113.49): This is a deep, rarely-tested retracement level. A move to this zone would signal a severe market downturn or a fundamental reassessment of the stock, but it would also represent a potentially profound long-term value opportunity. The Ultimate Major Support: The $100.00 Psychological Level: Beyond the Fibonacci structure, the triple-digit benchmark at $100.00 stands as a monumental psychological and technical support. It represents a round number that often attracts immense buying interest and would be considered a "line in the sand" for the long-term thesis. 3. Primary Strategic Interest & Risk Management: While the Fibonacci ladder provides multiple potential entry points, our primary area of strategic interest converges around the $150.00 level. This is not a single price point but a zone encompassing the 50% Fibonacci level at $149.39. The rationale for favoring this zone is twofold: Technical Significance: It is a classic "value area" in a strong trend, offering a favorable balance of potential upside and managed risk. Psychological Strength: The $150 level is a major round number that is easy for the market to identify and act upon. A decisive reversal at or near this $150 zone, confirmed by bullish price action (e.g., hammer candlesticks, increased volume on up-days), would provide a strong signal for capital deployment. As with any investment, this thesis requires disciplined risk management; a sustained break below the deeper supports, particularly the $134.58 (61.8%) level, would necessitate a re-evaluation of the near-term bullish outlook.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by KalaGhazi
Elliott Waves Don’t Lie: NVDA’s Path to $26,000Summary: “Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and Smart Money align perfectly — NVIDIA’s long-term chart points to an AI-powered Supercycle with massive upside." 💎📊 🚀 NVDA | The Supercycle of the AI Era! 💚 🌀 Elliott Wave Supercycle Breakdown NVIDIA’s price action over the past two decades is a textbook example of a multi-decade Elliott Wave Supercycle — where technical , fundamentals , and Smart Money flows perfectly align to form a once-in-a-generation structure 🌎 Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇 Super Cycle Wave (1) — launched in the early 2000s, marking NVDA’s first growth phase during the birth of consumer GPUs 🎮. Super Cycle Wave (2) — deep correction into 2002, retracing a 0.786 Fibonacci, cleansing early euphoria and creating the foundation for institutional accumulation 💼. Then began the Super Cycle Wave (3) — the most powerful phase of all. Within it, we have distinct macro sub-waves: 1️⃣ Macro Wave (1) — ended in 2007 , aligning with the first institutional wave of adoption. 2️⃣ Macro Wave (2) — retraced 0.618 in 2008 , coinciding with the global financial crisis (perfect Smart Money shakeout). 3️⃣ Macro Wave (3) — the current dominant leg, fueled by exponential AI and data center growth . It’s extending toward the 3.618 Fibonacci extension (~$256) , confirming wave strength and institutional conviction. 4️⃣ Macro Wave (4) — expected between 2026–2027, likely retracing 0.236–0.382, a natural cooling period before the next breakout. 5️⃣ Macro Wave (5) — projected to rally toward 4.618 extension (~$2,500) , completing Super Cycle Wave (3) near 2029 🏁 From there, a larger Super Cycle Wave (4) correction could unfold before the final parabolic Super Cycle Wave (5) run to the 5.618 Fibonacci extension (~$26,000) — the climax of NVDA’s decades-long AI expansion super-trend 🌕 💰 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective The chart structure clearly shows Smart Money accumulation patterns in every correction phase: Re-accumulation ranges appeared at every 0.618 retracement level 📊 Liquidity grabs below previous swing lows before strong impulsive moves ⚡ Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) filled during corrections, creating perfect liquidity imbalances that institutional players exploit Currently, NVDA trades near a premium zone of Macro Wave (3), but Smart Money will likely reaccumulate during the upcoming Macro Wave (4) discount phase (2026–2027). Expect Order Block re-tests and liquidity sweeps around discounted Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236–0.382) before the next major rally 📉➡️📈 📈 Price Action Structure NVDA’s macro structure remains strongly bullish: The multi-decade trend has respected every higher high and higher low sequence since 2008. Each impulse is followed by a healthy re-accumulation range, never breaking long-term structure. Expect distribution near the $250–$300 (split-adjusted) region as Wave (3) matures, followed by a macro correction that offers generational entries for long-term investors 🧠 🔢 Fibonacci Confluence & Technical Harmony Fibonacci has been the invisible hand guiding NVDA’s growth 👇 0.786 retracement (2002) → deep liquidity reset 0.618 retracement (2008) → institutional re-entry 3.618 extension (256) → current macro resistance target 4.618 extension (2500) → Super Cycle Wave (3) final target 5.618 extension (26K) → ultimate Super Cycle Wave (5) projection Each impulse and retracement aligns perfectly with Fibonacci’s geometric rhythm , proving the power of confluence between time, price, and sentiment. 🧠 Fundamentals — The Energy Behind the Waves Behind the technicals lies unmatched fundamental growth : 💾 AI & Data Centers: NVIDIA is the core infrastructure for modern AI compute and cloud training workloads. 🧩 CUDA Ecosystem: A software moat that ties developers and enterprises directly to NVIDIA’s architecture. 🌐 Omniverse & Robotics: Positioning NVDA as a leader in 3D simulation, robotics, and digital twins — future trillion-dollar markets. ⚙️ Strategic Partnerships: Expanding across hyperscalers, automotives, and enterprise AI. Each innovation wave fuels a new Elliott Wave impulse , with the AI revolution now driving the strongest macro leg in NVDA’s history. ⚡ Macro Outlook & Timeline ✅ Now (2025): Completing Macro Wave (3) of Super Cycle (3) → heading toward $256 target ⚠️ 2026–2027: Macro Wave (4) correction to 0.236–0.382 (Smart Money entry) 🚀 2028–2029: Macro Wave (5) push → Super Cycle (3) peak near $2,500 🌊 2030–2032: Super Cycle (4) correction — consolidation phase 💎 2035–2040+: Super Cycle (5) → ultimate 5.618 target near $26K 💬 Final Thoughts "Every correction is a setup for the next expansion. Smart Money buys fear — not euphoria." NVIDIA is the heartbeat of the AI revolution , the core of data-driven computing , and a living Fibonacci sequence in motion. As long as fundamentals stay aligned with the wave rhythm, NVDA’s Supercycle will continue to redefine what’s possible in long-term growth. 🌌 #NVDA #ElliottWaveAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciMagic #AIRevolution #StockMarket #Investing #TradingViewCommunity #TechSupercycle #NVDAtoTheMoon #LongTermInvesting 💬 Traders, analysts, and wave watchers — your insights matter! Have you spotted NVDA’s next move? Drop your Elliott Wave counts, confirmations, or constructive critiques below 👇 Let’s discuss NVIDIA’s structural evolution, AI-driven Supercycle, and long-term growth potential together 🚀💚 Every comment adds perspective — let’s decode this massive wave as a community! 🌊📈 — Team FIBCOS ⚡💎
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by fibcos
32
Is SoftBank selling NVIDIA worrying you?Softbank has announced that it has pocketed all returns from their investment in NASDAQ:NVDA . I do not think this should concern anyone as it is logical to bank profits after a point where you want to redistribute cash. I do believe NVIDIA needs to take a small breath and might dip to $160 - $170 (near the gap it has created/ 1 x A Fib extension levels), as this will create some downward pressure to the already existing overvaluations. However, I think this is a setup to an amazing end of year rally.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Vasileios_Kairaktidis