Nvidia - Now is the time to go short!💣Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is now creating a top:
🔎Analysis summary:
Just a couple of days ago, Nvidia perfectly retested a major resistance trendline. Always in the past, such a retest was followed by a major move towards the downside. Therefore, Nvidia is preparing for a major drop, which could lead to another -25% drop in the future.
📝Levels to watch:
$180 and $140 and $100
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
Trade ideas
Continuation of the "AI Bubble" A chart for NVDA that illustrates the parabolic curve on this very large timeframe
To expect a curve like this to break is unlikely
AI will have huge implications
The potential of AGI aswell is huge for humanity in general. I don't see a bubble at all.
Weekly timeframe
NVDA Sitting on Critical Demand — Bounce or Breakdown? (Nov 19)NVDA has been sliding straight down inside a clean descending channel, and now price is pressing right into the major daily demand zone around 176–184. This is the same zone that saved NVDA back in September and October.
Tomorrow (Nov 19) will be all about whether buyers finally show up — or if this demand gets taken out and the next leg down begins.
📌 NVDA — Daily Structure (1D)
NVDA is sitting right on top of the rising macro trendline. This structure has held for months, so this is a real decision point.
Key levels:
* 184–186 → top of demand
* 176–178 → deeper sweep
* 164 → next liquidity if demand breaks
As of now, price hasn’t reacted strongly. It’s still controlled selling. This zone is the “make or break” for NVDA’s trend.
📌 NVDA — Intraday Trend (1H)
Your 1H chart is clean: lower highs, lower lows, and perfect trendline respect.
Short-term zones for tomorrow:
Resistance:
* 184–186 → first lid
* 190–192 → major lid + trendline rejection zone
Support:
* 177.5 → HVL + GEX support
* 175–176 → liquidity sweep
* 170 → next magnet if selling accelerates
Unless NVDA clears 186, the intraday trend stays bearish.
📌 NVDA — GEX Roadmap for Nov 19
This is the key layer for tomorrow’s behavior.
CALL Walls / Resistance
* 192 → primary wall
* 195 → secondary
* 200–207 → high resistance cluster
PUT Support / Downside Risk
* 178 → strongest support
* 175 → heavy put wall
* 170 → could magnetize if pressure increases
NVDA is literally sitting on the 178 region at the close.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Bounce)
NVDA must hold 177–180 early in the session.
If buyers defend demand:
1. Break above 184–186
2. Push into 190–192
3. Break 192 → momentum can extend toward 195 → 200
But no reclaim = no upside.
📉 Bearish Scenario (Continuation)
If NVDA opens weak or rejects 184–186 again:
1. First target → 177.5
2. Lose 177 → 175
3. Lose 175 → vacuum into 170
Structure stays bearish as long as we remain below 186.
🔎 My Outlook for Nov 19
NVDA is sitting on strong demand, but there’s still no real bounce.
GEX bias is neutral → leaning bearish unless we break above 186.
Bias:
* Neutral → Bearish below 186
* Bullish only above 190
Watch 186 early — that level decides everything.
📌 Summary
* Daily demand: 176–184
* Intraday trend: Bearish
* GEX support: 178 → 175
* Resistance above: 186 → 190 → 192
* Bearish continuation below 180
* Bullish only if NVDA reclaims 186 → 190
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always trade your own plan and manage risk carefully.
NVDA – First Signs of Stabilization After a Heavy Selloff (11/17NVDA finally showed the first real sign of stabilization after multiple days of controlled selling. The move off the lows wasn’t random — when you zoom into the different timeframes and combine it with the GEX landscape, the bounce actually makes a lot of sense. NVDA dropped right into a deep put zone, bottomed, and then climbed back with intent.
Let’s break down what’s really happening here.
1️⃣ 1-Hour Chart — Downtrend, but Buyers Finally Stepped Up
The 1H chart shows NVDA breaking every minor support for days, sliding cleanly down the descending channel. The selling pressure cooled only when price touched the 178–181 region. That’s where the trendline support met previous liquidity pockets, and buyers reacted instantly.
What’s notable is how quickly NVDA recovered back toward 190. That tells me two things:
1. Sellers covered aggressively at the low.
2. Buyers were waiting to step in near that trendline.
Important 1H levels:
* 190–192: First resistance test
* 194–195: Critical zone NVDA couldn’t reclaim last time
* 199–202: Bigger resistance if momentum expands
* 178–181: Strong demand zone that started the bounce
The 1H is showing the first shift from “straight down” to “controlled bounce.”
2️⃣ 15-Minute Chart — Momentum Turning Upward, but Needs Confirmation
The 15M chart shows NVDA reclaiming multiple small bullish FVGs on the way up. The most important part is how NVDA handled the intraday pullbacks — each dip was shallow and got bought quickly.
That’s what early reversal behavior looks like.
Key things I see on the 15M:
* Bullish FVGs forming under price → buyers absorbing dips
* Short-term resistance at 191–192 → price hesitating here
* Trendline reclaim gives NVDA room to test higher
The 15M doesn’t confirm a strong uptrend yet, but it shows a clear shift in character from sellers dominating to buyers at least competing.
3️⃣ GEX (1-Hour) — Explains Exactly Why NVDA Bottomed Where It Did
This is the part that ties the entire move together.
NVDA bounced precisely at the deep PUT wall around 178–181, where hedging pressure spikes. That’s why the reversal there was so sharp.
Upside Gamma Levels
* 191: First GEX pull
* 194–195: Heavy GEX cluster
* 200–203: 2nd call wall
* 210: Large GEX10 + 3rd call wall
If NVDA can reclaim 194–195, the move toward 200–203 becomes much easier than it looks on the chart alone.
Downside Gamma Levels
* 182: Pivot zone
* 178: Main put wall — the exact level that stopped the selling
* 175–170: Only activates if NVDA loses 178 decisively
The GEX structure is clean:
* Sellers lose power above 192
* Buyers lose control below 182
* Real battle zone sits between 188–192
This is the kind of GEX map that makes traders ask:
“Why does NVDA always bounce or stall at the same weird levels?”
(And yes — GEX gives the answer.)
🎯 How I’m Trading NVDA for 11/17
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Preferred Only Above 192)
NVDA needs to clear 192 with strength. If that happens:
Stock Trade Idea:
* Entry: 192.20–192.50
* Targets:
* 194
* 195
* 198
* 200–203 (call wall zone)
Options Idea:
* 195C or 200C
* Momentum-based trade IF NVDA reclaims 192 with volume
* Scale at each GEX zone
This is the cleanest setup.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Only Valid If NVDA Rejects 192 or Loses 182)
Entry #1 (Aggressive):
* Rejects 192 → short into 188
Entry #2 (Stronger Confirmation):
* Break below 182
Targets:
* 180
* 178 (strong put wall)
* 175 (if volatility spikes)
Options Idea:
* 185P for quick moves
* 180P for continuation
* Below 178 → downside accelerates sharply
⚠️ Chop Zone: 188–191
This is the balance area where NVDA is likely to pause, fake out, and trap both sides.
Best avoided unless you’re scalping with tight risk.
Final Thoughts
NVDA finally caught a real bid after a long series of lower highs and lower lows. The bounce wasn’t accidental — it aligned with deep GEX put walls and a structural trendline. Now NVDA sits right below a key resistance at 192. That’s the line that decides whether this becomes a real reversal or just another lower high inside the downtrend.
Above 192 → the chart opens beautifully.
Below 182 → the bears take back control.
Anything between is noise.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade with proper risk management.
Ahead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) Earnings: How the Price Could MoveAhead of Nvidia’s (NVDA) Earnings: How the Price Could Move
On Wednesday, after the close of the main US trading session, Nvidia will release its quarterly results — a report seen not merely as another batch of corporate data but as a crucial test for the entire AI-driven bull run.
NVDA shares are up more than 40% since the start of the year, and the company must now prove that this surge is justified and that the AI revolution is still accelerating. According to media reports, Wall Street analysts remain optimistic:
→ Revenue: forecast around $54.9bn, implying roughly 56% year-on-year growth.
→ Earnings per share (EPS): about $1.25 (previous quarter: $1.05).
What should investors focus on?
Of particular importance will be:
→ data on Data Centre revenue, a key indicator of whether the AI boom remains intact;
→ forward guidance, as the market is looking for reassurance that Big Tech will continue to spend heavily on AI.
Technical Analysis of the Nvidia (NVDA) Chart
Recent price action in NVDA points to a sequence that can be interpreted as bearish:
→ 28 October: a strong rally above the psychological $200 level;
→ a failure to hold above that barrier;
→ a pullback on rising volumes (Nasdaq data) with expanding candles in early November.
In the broader market context, it is notable that early November has seen NVDA underperforming major equity indices, signalling firm resistance from sellers around $200.
From a bullish perspective, the decline from the all-time high resembles a correction pattern (shown in red) within a larger uptrend.
However, there is a risk that the market’s high expectations will not be met when the earnings report is published. If that happens, NVDA could extend its decline towards the lower boundary of the rising channel, where support lies near $165.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nvidia Earnings Finally Ease Market Jitters. Are AI Bulls Back?It’s confirmed. This is Nvidia’s stock market and we all live in it.
Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA reported yet another record-breaking quarter, instantly soothing market nerves after a week filled with talks of “AI bubble,” “valuation fever,” and “maybe Michael Burry is right again.” It was the cherry of the earnings season .
The chipmaking giant announced $57 billion in sales during the most recent quarter.
The figure is up 62% year-over-year and way above estimates. In other words, Nvidia didn’t just calm the market. It kicked the door open and shouted: “Get in losers, we’re going shopping.”
CEO Jensen Huang was even more enthusiastic, declaring that “AI is going everywhere, doing everything, all at once.” In classic Huang fashion, you could almost smell the leather jacket.
💽 Data Center Demand: Still Insatiable
Let’s cut to the headline number: $51.2 billion in data-center revenue. Analysts expected $49 billion. Nvidia delivered more.
The company’s new Blackwell GPUs, described by Huang as “off the charts” when it comes to demand, continue to fly off the production line the moment they’re made.
Quarterly net income hit a whopping $31.9 billion, up 65% from the year prior. At a time when most companies celebrate single-digit percentage growth, Nvidia is casually stacking double and triple digits.
📈 Markets Exhale, Futures Soar
The relief was immediate and widespread. You could say that Nvidia’s earnings are not just earnings anymore, but a macro signal.
Here’s what the picture looked like after the release:
CoreWeave NASDAQ:CRWV jumped 10%
Futures tied to the Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC climbed 2%
Every Magnificent Seven stock flashing green
Investors had been waiting for confirmation that the AI boom still had room. And Nvidia delivered enough reassurance to light up the entire tech complex.
“Okay. Maybe we don’t need to rotate into utilities just yet,” every tech bro, probably.
😬 The Stakes Were High. Really High.
The reaction, though, must be taken within the current context. Over the past few weeks, tech stocks were hit by deep selloffs as markets fretted over the same question: “Is AI too expensive?”
Between skyrocketing capital expenditures, absurdly ambitious data-center budgets, and the kind of spending plans that would make even sovereign wealth funds blush, investors wondered whether Big Tech was building an AI future or an AI money pit.
Even Michael Burry stepped in, revealing positions betting against Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA and Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR . That move alone sent pockets of the market into a philosophical crisis.
After all, that’s the guy from “The Big Short” and he’s hedged against your favorite trade.
🤖 So… Are the Bulls Back?
Maybe. For now at least. But with conditions.
Nvidia’s stock more than doubled between April and late October, only to slide in recent weeks as bubble fears thickened. Year to date, the stock is still up about 30%.
Nvidia’s numbers prove that AI spending is still accelerating. But the broader question remains: Can companies actually turn those massive AI investments into profit?
Nvidia’s blowout quarter just reset the narrative:
AI demand is still real
Spending is justified
The cycle is still “virtuous,” in Huang’s words
After this earnings print, the bull case has something it desperately needed: momentum.
And momentum is a powerful thing, especially in a market that had started to doubt its favorite story.
Off to you : Do you still see room for growth in the AI space? Or is that rebound a short-term reflex? Share your views in the comments!
NVDIA - Earnings Setup for This WeekHello Everyone , Followers,
NVDIA will release its financial reports on Wednesday after market closed. I would like to share my view and follow up level depends on good and bad reports
Bullish Scenario
If earnings beat + guidance strong → next target: 221 - 222
Bearish Scenario
Weak numbers → potential drop to between 173.00 - 176.00
🔹 Key Support Zones
First support: 184.00
Deeper support: 173.00
🔹 Resistance Levels
Main resistance: 199.00 - 200.00
Breakout target: 221 - 222
🔹 Outlook
As long as It stays above 190.00 , momentum remains bullish.
A breakdown below that level could open the door for a deeper pullback. This is depends on Results of financial reports.
🔹 My Plan
I will wait for the financial report before i buy it . With a bearish scenario my buy level is between 176-173 then probably i will hold it for next 5 years.
If it can achive to stay above 190 and if you like to take a risk then you can buy it above this level .
If you enjoy and like clean, simple analysis — follow me for more.
Have a lovelly and Sunny Weekend to all.
Elliott Waves Don’t Lie: NVDA’s Path to $26,000Summary: “Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and Smart Money align perfectly — NVIDIA’s long-term chart points to an AI-powered Supercycle with massive upside." 💎📊
🚀 NVDA | The Supercycle of the AI Era! 💚
🌀 Elliott Wave Supercycle Breakdown
NVIDIA’s price action over the past two decades is a textbook example of a multi-decade Elliott Wave Supercycle — where technical , fundamentals , and Smart Money flows perfectly align to form a once-in-a-generation structure 🌎
Let’s break it down step-by-step 👇
Super Cycle Wave (1) — launched in the early 2000s, marking NVDA’s first growth phase during the birth of consumer GPUs 🎮.
Super Cycle Wave (2) — deep correction into 2002, retracing a 0.786 Fibonacci, cleansing early euphoria and creating the foundation for institutional accumulation 💼.
Then began the Super Cycle Wave (3) — the most powerful phase of all. Within it, we have distinct macro sub-waves:
1️⃣ Macro Wave (1) — ended in 2007 , aligning with the first institutional wave of adoption.
2️⃣ Macro Wave (2) — retraced 0.618 in 2008 , coinciding with the global financial crisis (perfect Smart Money shakeout).
3️⃣ Macro Wave (3) — the current dominant leg, fueled by exponential AI and data center growth . It’s extending toward the 3.618 Fibonacci extension (~$256) , confirming wave strength and institutional conviction.
4️⃣ Macro Wave (4) — expected between 2026–2027, likely retracing 0.236–0.382, a natural cooling period before the next breakout.
5️⃣ Macro Wave (5) — projected to rally toward 4.618 extension (~$2,500) , completing Super Cycle Wave (3) near 2029 🏁
From there, a larger Super Cycle Wave (4) correction could unfold before the final parabolic Super Cycle Wave (5) run to the 5.618 Fibonacci extension (~$26,000) — the climax of NVDA’s decades-long AI expansion super-trend 🌕
💰 Smart Money Concept (SMC) Perspective
The chart structure clearly shows Smart Money accumulation patterns in every correction phase:
Re-accumulation ranges appeared at every 0.618 retracement level 📊
Liquidity grabs below previous swing lows before strong impulsive moves ⚡
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) filled during corrections, creating perfect liquidity imbalances that institutional players exploit
Currently, NVDA trades near a premium zone of Macro Wave (3), but Smart Money will likely reaccumulate during the upcoming Macro Wave (4) discount phase (2026–2027).
Expect Order Block re-tests and liquidity sweeps around discounted Fibonacci retracement zones (0.236–0.382) before the next major rally 📉➡️📈
📈 Price Action Structure
NVDA’s macro structure remains strongly bullish:
The multi-decade trend has respected every higher high and higher low sequence since 2008.
Each impulse is followed by a healthy re-accumulation range, never breaking long-term structure.
Expect distribution near the $250–$300 (split-adjusted) region as Wave (3) matures, followed by a macro correction that offers generational entries for long-term investors 🧠
🔢 Fibonacci Confluence & Technical Harmony
Fibonacci has been the invisible hand guiding NVDA’s growth 👇
0.786 retracement (2002) → deep liquidity reset
0.618 retracement (2008) → institutional re-entry
3.618 extension (256) → current macro resistance target
4.618 extension (2500) → Super Cycle Wave (3) final target
5.618 extension (26K) → ultimate Super Cycle Wave (5) projection
Each impulse and retracement aligns perfectly with Fibonacci’s geometric rhythm , proving the power of confluence between time, price, and sentiment.
🧠 Fundamentals — The Energy Behind the Waves
Behind the technicals lies unmatched fundamental growth :
💾 AI & Data Centers: NVIDIA is the core infrastructure for modern AI compute and cloud training workloads.
🧩 CUDA Ecosystem: A software moat that ties developers and enterprises directly to NVIDIA’s architecture.
🌐 Omniverse & Robotics: Positioning NVDA as a leader in 3D simulation, robotics, and digital twins — future trillion-dollar markets.
⚙️ Strategic Partnerships: Expanding across hyperscalers, automotives, and enterprise AI.
Each innovation wave fuels a new Elliott Wave impulse , with the AI revolution now driving the strongest macro leg in NVDA’s history.
⚡ Macro Outlook & Timeline
✅ Now (2025): Completing Macro Wave (3) of Super Cycle (3) → heading toward $256 target
⚠️ 2026–2027: Macro Wave (4) correction to 0.236–0.382 (Smart Money entry)
🚀 2028–2029: Macro Wave (5) push → Super Cycle (3) peak near $2,500
🌊 2030–2032: Super Cycle (4) correction — consolidation phase
💎 2035–2040+: Super Cycle (5) → ultimate 5.618 target near $26K
💬 Final Thoughts
"Every correction is a setup for the next expansion. Smart Money buys fear — not euphoria."
NVIDIA is the heartbeat of the AI revolution , the core of data-driven computing , and a living Fibonacci sequence in motion.
As long as fundamentals stay aligned with the wave rhythm, NVDA’s Supercycle will continue to redefine what’s possible in long-term growth. 🌌
#NVDA #ElliottWaveAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcept #PriceActionTrading #FibonacciMagic #AIRevolution #StockMarket #Investing #TradingViewCommunity #TechSupercycle #NVDAtoTheMoon #LongTermInvesting
💬 Traders, analysts, and wave watchers — your insights matter!
Have you spotted NVDA’s next move? Drop your Elliott Wave counts, confirmations, or constructive critiques below 👇 Let’s discuss NVIDIA’s structural evolution, AI-driven Supercycle, and long-term growth potential together 🚀💚
Every comment adds perspective — let’s decode this massive wave as a community! 🌊📈
— Team FIBCOS ⚡💎
NVDA Earnings Setup – Massive Opportunity AheadNVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA has surged +48% since our last analysis, continuing to lead the AI rally with exceptional momentum. Now, all eyes are on earnings—and the setup is massive. The options market is pricing in a ±7.5% implied move, which could mean a $345B shift in market cap. That’s one of the biggest potential earnings moves in history.
🔥 Key Catalysts:
Strong institutional buying
AI/data center demand in focus
Sky-high expectations priced in
💡 Trade Setup:
Entry: $180–$182
Take Profit Targets: $200 / $210
Stop Loss: $174
This is a high-volatility event. Manage risk accordingly and size positions carefully.
NVDANVIDIA is still in an uptrend. Last week, the price hit a new high of $210, but the price was unable to break through this level, so it adjusted down. It is expected that the price will likely test the important support zone at $167-155. If the price cannot break through $155, the price still has a chance to rise.
However, if the price continues to rise in the near future, a correction may also occur.
Long-term trading plan: Wait for the correction to complete before buying.
** This is not financial advice.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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$NVDA | The Next Big Leg?NVIDIA has been a textbook case of Smart Money structure this cycle.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed
✅ Trendline + MA confluence support at ~$177
✅ Strong premium zone rejection near $195
✅ Fibonacci extension eyeing $231.80
🔑 Levels to Watch:
$177 = Key support (trendline + MA)
$195 = Resistance zone (premium supply)
$231 = Next target if bullish momentum continues
💡 Game Plan:
Above $177 = Long bias toward $195 → $231
Break below $177 = Retrace toward $153 equilibrium
⚡️ Tech + AI flows remain strong; NVDA could be gearing up for another explosive move.
📢 Question to the community:
👉 Do you think NASDAQ:NVDA pushes through $195 straight to $231, or do we retest $153 first?
#NVDA #TradingView #Stocks #Fibonacci #SmartMoneyConcepts #AI #Bullish
NVDA Big Move Loading. TA for Nov. 12–15NVDA at a Critical GEX Compression Zone
NVDA has been moving like a stock caught between two worlds — heavy enough to stay suppressed, but supported enough to avoid a real breakdown. When you zoom out, the candles almost look like they’re waiting for someone to flip a switch.
In reality, NVDA is not being moved by momentum alone — it’s being shaped by something deeper:
gamma exposure (GEX) compression.
And this GEX structure is telling a very clear story about what’s coming next.
4H Chart — Structure Meets Hidden Liquidity
NVDA has been respecting a rising structural band that stretches across early November. Every major reaction — every sweep, every bounce — has happened along this diagonal liquidity path.
This is not random.
It’s where past BOS and CHoCH events have clustered, and it’s also where NVDA’s GEX shifts from defensive to neutral.
Price recently tapped this diagonal trendline again and stabilized right above the 178–180 GEX shelf. The reaction wasn’t explosive — but it was steady. That’s exactly what you see when larger players are quietly absorbing liquidity.
The story here is simple:
NVDA is compressing toward a decision.
1H Chart — Short-Term Drift Toward a Break
On the 1H timeframe, NVDA’s price is drifting inside a narrow pocket between 188–196. Sellers are pressing from above, but bulls are defending from below — and neither side is gaining ground.
This is classic GEX neutral-pocket behavior:
* Low volatility
* Wicks on both ends
* Lack of follow-through
* Clean candles but no conviction
The moment NVDA breaks OUT of this pocket, the move will be far more decisive than anything we’ve seen this week.
GEX Data — The REAL Battlefield
(Refer to screenshot below)
This GEX landscape is incredibly clear and incredibly important.
🔹 Positive GEX cluster at 200–210
This is the heavy CALL/GEX shelf that acts like a magnet AND a ceiling.
When NVDA pushes into this zone, hedging flows stabilize the move, but upside becomes controlled.
This is why the last rally failed at 202–205.
🔹 Neutral GEX zone between 188–196
This is the pocket where NVDA is trading right now.
Neutral pockets compress price and load energy for the next breakout.
This is where NVDA is stuck — for now.
🔹 Negative GEX zone below 185
This is the danger zone.
If NVDA breaks below 185, hedging pressure flips aggressively bearish.
That’s why 185 is your key line in the sand.
🔥 Trading Suggestions Based on Structure + GEX
📌 Bullish Scenario (Higher Probability)
ONLY valid if NVDA holds above 188–190 and breaks above 195.
ENTRY ZONE:
193–195 (1H reclaim)
TARGETS:
* 197.50 (first GEX magnet)
* 202.50 (second GEX shelf)
* 210.00 (major GEX wall / highest positive NET GEX)
STOP-LOSS:
Below 188
(Below this, NVDA re-enters GEX compression = chop)
WHY IT WORKS:
As soon as NVDA clears 195, it enters a staircase of positive GEX levels. These levels act like magnets and guide price toward the CALL walls.
📌 Bearish Breakdown Scenario
ONLY valid if NVDA loses 185 with conviction.
ENTRY:
Break below 184.80
TARGETS:
* 181.00
* 178.90 (big negative GEX shelf)
* 175.00
STOP-LOSS:
Above 188
WHY IT WORKS:
Below 185, NVDA enters a negative GEX zone, where dealer hedging accelerates selling.
🔥 Options Trading Suggestions (GEX-Based)
📌 Bullish Options Play (if NVDA reclaims 195)
Buy:
NVDA 200C or 205C (1–2 weeks out)
Reason:
These levels sit directly in the positive GEX zone, where price often drifts upward in controlled channels.
Safer Play:
195/205 Call Debit Spread
Perfect for GEX-guided upside.
📌 Bearish Options Play (if NVDA breaks 185)
Buy:
NVDA 180P or 175P
Reason:
Once NVDA enters the negative GEX field, volatility expands downward and puts gain value quickly.
Safer Bearish Spread:
185/175 Put Debit Spread
📌 Neutral Play (if price stays stuck 188–196)
This is a premium-decay zone.
Sell Premium Strategy:
* Short Strangle
* Iron Condor
* Credit Spread
Neutral GEX = low volatility = high time decay.
My Thought
NVDA is sitting in one of the cleanest GEX compression structures we’ve seen all month. Price is wedged between a rising liquidity structure and a neutral gamma pocket that’s choking volatility.
This kind of setup usually leads to a single explosive move, not a slow grind.
The roadmap is simple:
* Above 195 → NVDA targets 202–210
* Below 185 → NVDA slides into negative gamma
* Inside 188–196 → chop and premium decay
The next breakout is going to be clean — and GEX is already showing where the path of least resistance lies.
This outlook is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade your plan.
NVDA – Breakout or Pullback Setup? Nov. 20 Trade Plan1-Hour Outlook (Main Bias)
NVDA broke out of a multi-day descending channel and pushed straight into the 195.50–196 zone, which previously acted as heavy resistance on the 1-hour chart. The impulse was strong, reclaiming several key structure levels in one move.
1H Structure
* NVDA printed a strong bullish BOS after breaking the channel trendline.
* Price is currently consolidating near 195.95, right under the 200 psychological level.
* Momentum remains strong, with MACD expanding upward after a fresh crossover.
* Stochastic is elevated but not rolling over yet. Buyers still in control.
1H Key Levels
Breakout trigger: above 196
Upside targets:
* 200.00 (major psychological + GEX resistance)
* 202.50–203 (thin liquidity zone)
Support zone: 187.50–188
Bears gain control only below: 182.80
1H Trading Idea
Bullish scenario:
If NVDA holds above 192.50–193.00 and reclaims 196 cleanly, momentum favors an extension toward the 200–202.50 zone. Break above 200 opens the next leg of gamma pressure.
Bearish scenario:
Valid only if price rejects 196 with a full-body reversal candle. Downside magnets sit at 192 and 188.
15-Minute Outlook (Execution Timeframe)
NVDA is consolidating after a strong vertical impulse. Price formed a BOS on the 15M and is now pulling back slightly into the minor supply zone at 195–196.
15M Structure
* Clean sequence: CHoCH → BOS → impulsive breakout → consolidation.
* EMAs are stacked bullish and acting as dynamic support.
* The recent FVG at 191.50–192.20 held well, confirming bullish continuation structure.
15M Trading Setups
Bullish entry:
* Prefer retrace into 193.80–194.30
* Look for bullish engulfing or a wick rejection
* Targets: 196 → 200
* Stop: below 192.70
Breakout entry:
* Enter on clean break of 196
* Stop below last swing low
* Targets: 198.50 → 200–202
Bearish scalp:
* Only valid if NVDA repeatedly rejects 196
* Target: 193.50
* Invalid if price breaks 196
GEX Confirmation
Based on the NVDA GEX chart:
Bullish Signals
* Highest positive NETGEX sits at 200, creating a natural upside magnet.
* Large call walls at 196, 200, 202.50, supporting upward drift.
* Positive GEX blocks (GEX9, GEX10) align with continuation toward 200–203.
* Put walls are weak above 188 — little downside defense for bears.
Interpretation
GEX strongly favors upside continuation as long as NVDA remains above 192–193.
A break above 196 triggers dealer hedging, pushing price toward 200.
Options Trading Plan (GEX-Based)
Bullish Plan
If price breaks above 196 with momentum:
Contracts to consider:
* 197.5C
* 200C
Targets:
* 198.50 → 200 → 202.50
Reason:
Above 196, market makers are forced to hedge upward, accelerating price toward the strongest GEX cluster at 200.
Bearish Plan
Only valid if NVDA rejects 196 with strong selling:
Contracts to consider:
* 193P
* 190P
Targets:
* 193.50 → 192.00
Reason:
Below 193, GEX becomes lighter and liquidity flows toward 188.
Final Bias for Nov. 20
NVDA is showing strong bullish structure after breaking the descending channel.
As long as price holds above 192–193, the probability of testing 196 and pushing toward 200 remains high.
Bearish setups only activate with a clean rejection at 196.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always perform independent research and manage risk appropriately.
Tech Rally Sputters Ahead of Nvidia Earnings. What to KnowIs the powerful AI sector finally out of breath? With valuations that stretched, some investors fear if we all took it too far.
After months of seemingly unstoppable gains, the tech trade is finally showing signs of fatigue. Stocks are back in the red this week, with technology — the sector that’s carried the entire market on its silicon shoulders — leading the declines.
The S&P 500 SP:SPX , up more than 35% since its April lows and boasting 36 record closes this year, has been powered almost entirely by a handful of tech heavyweights.
The Magnificent Seven now make up nearly 40% of the index’s market value and roughly a third of its earnings.
But now, investors are wondering if the rally’s run too far, too fast. The question echoing across trading desks: Is AI finally out of breath?
💸 The Price of Perfection
It’s not that tech earnings have been bad — in fact, they’ve been stellar. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Meta NASDAQ:META , and Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL all beat expectations last week and promised even more AI spending next year. Translation: more orders for Nvidia’s chips, more data centers, more server farms, more everything.
But good news isn’t moving the needle right now. When valuations stretch this far, even “great” can start to look “meh.” Investors are realizing that the higher you climb, the thinner the air gets.
The entire AI complex — from semiconductors to cloud computing — now trades at multiples that assume not just perfection, but sustained, exponential perfection. And that’s a tough sell when rates are still relatively high, inflation is sticky, and the Fed remains data-deprived thanks to a looming government shutdown (now the longest in history).
🧠 Nvidia: The Market’s Favorite Crystal Ball
Which brings us to Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the stock that can save the day. The chipmaker reports fiscal third-quarter earnings on November 19, and it’s shaping up to be a defining moment for the entire market.
Expectations are sky-high: analysts see earnings per share of $1.25, up from $0.81 a year ago , and revenue of $54.6 billion, a jaw-dropping 56% increase from last year’s $35 billion.
If Nvidia delivers (again), it could reignite the rally and remind investors why they fell in love with AI in the first place. But if there’s even a hint of deceleration — a cautious forecast, a whisper of supply constraints — the selloff could accelerate.
Simply put: as goes Nvidia, so goes the market. Fast fact: Nvidia washed out more than $450 billion from its valuation in just the last three days .
🔌 The Waiting Game
With two long weeks until Nvidia’s report, traders are stuck in a sort of limbo. Without a fresh catalyst, the market could decide to churn sideways — or drift lower — as profit-takers cash in on their massive gains.
The uncertainty isn’t helping either. A government shutdown delays key economic data, leaving the Fed flying in the dark just as investors are trying to gauge when rate cuts might actually arrive.
That means more guesswork, less conviction, and a good chance of exaggerated market swings.
So don’t be surprised if volatility ticks higher before Nvidia’s big reveal — the gem of the earnings calendar .
Off to you : How do you see the next two weeks unfolding? And, more importantly, are you bullish or bearish on Nvidia’s earnings report?
Nvidia Is +115% Since April. Here's What Its Chart SaysNvidia NASDAQ:NVDA has gained some 115% since its April low and recently hit an all-time high. Let's see what the chip giant's chart and fundamental analysis can show us ahead of NVDA's fiscal Q3 earnings release next week.
Nvidia's Fundamental Analysis
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang this month traveled to Taiwan to attend the annual sports day held by integrated-circuits maker Taiwan Semiconductor NYSE:TSM , which he called NVDA's "forever partner."
Although Nvidia has deals in place with firms like Intel NASDAQ:INTC , TSM is Nvidia's primary foundry when it comes to manufacturing high-end AI-capable GPUs.
Huang said in public remarks that he asked TSM for additional chip supplies because "the business is very strong and it's growing month by month, stronger and stronger."
I can't wait to see if next week's earnings release tells the same tale.
Nvidia plans to roll out its latest results after the closing bell next Wednesday (Nov. 19).
Wall Street's consensus view calls for the firm to report $1.25 in adjusted earnings per share on roughly $54.8 billion in revenue. That would represent a 54.3% gain from $0.81 in adjusted EPS the same period last year, as well as better than 56% top-line growth from the $35.1 billion that NVDA saw a year earlier.
While many investors would see that as incredible growth, Nvidia's sales have actually been decelerating from almost unheard-of levels in recent years due to the law of large numbers. However, a print like that would be in line with Nvidia's fiscal Q2 result released in August.
Meanwhile, 32 of the 39 sell-side analysts that I know of who cover NVDA have revised their estimates higher since the quarter began, while six have reduced their forecasts. (One estimate has been left unrevised.)
Nvidia's Technical Analysis
Next, let's check out NVDA's year-to-date chart through Monday afternoon:
Readers will see that NVDA this spring blasted out of a cup-with-handle pattern, as denoted by the green box and purple curving line at the chart's left. This is a bullish technical set-up.
The shares then rallied in late summer in an ascending-triangle pattern, marked with a green box and black lines at the chart's right.
That's normally a pattern of bullish continuance, which is exactly what Nvidia saw until the U.S. government shutdown impacted markets as October moved into November.
That said, Nvidia managed to find support at its 50-day Simple Moving Average (or "SMA," marked with a blue line at $183.90 in the chart above). That's where investors would look for professionally managed money to potentially defend the stock.
Conversely, the $212.19 intraday record high that NVDA set on Oct. 29 might serve as the stock's upside pivot.
Looking at Nvidia's secondary technical indicators, the stock's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) appears to have found some support recently at the neutral line and began moving higher again.
Meanwhile, Nvidia's daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (or "MACD," marked with black and gold lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) isn't bullishly postured, at least not yet.
However, the histogram of the stock's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted by blue bars) could be poised to move back into positive territory soon.
And while Nvidia's 12-day EMA (the black line) recently moved below the 26-day EMA (the gold line), the black line seems to be curling upward and might soon re-cross over the gold one. The bulls would be rooting for that.
An Options Option
As I write this, the options market is pricing in a roughly $16 move in Nvidia (or 8%) in relation to next week's earnings.
Option traders who expect Nvidia to rise in response to next week's earnings and who would rather use leverage than lay out to purchase the stock might employ a simple bull-call spread in this situation.
This strategy involves purchasing one call while simultaneously selling a second call at with higher strike price, but the same expiration date. Here's an example:
-- Long one NVDA $200 call with a Nov. 19 expiration date (i.e., after next week's earnings release). The cost is about $7.85 at recent prices.
-- Short one Nov. 19 NVDA $215 call, generating a $2.85 premium.
Net Debit: $5
The trader in this example is risking the $5 net debit, which would represent his or her maximum theoretical loss in the above spread.
But if NVDA rises as the trader in this example expects and both options are exercised, the person would realize $15 of proceeds minus the $5 debit for $10 net profit (the maximum gain).
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen "Sarge" Guilfoyle was long NVDA and INTC at the time of writing this column.)
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Nvidia Denies $1B Mexico Plan, Eyes Key SupportNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) came under brief scrutiny on Wednesday after reports suggested a $1 billion investment in a new data center project in Nuevo León, Mexico. The tech giant has since denied any financial involvement, clarifying that its role in Latin America remains limited to collaborative initiatives, research, and talent development, not direct infrastructure spending.
The confusion began when the state’s governor, Samuel García, publicly announced the investment alongside individuals presented as Nvidia representatives. However, later corrections confirmed that the green hydrogen data center would actually be built by CIPRE Holding, utilizing Nvidia’s technology rather than capital.
Despite the miscommunication, the news had little fundamental impact on Nvidia’s long-term growth narrative. The company remains the dominant force in AI semiconductors, with global demand for GPUs powering everything from data centers to generative AI models. However, short-term volatility persists amid global tech supply pressures, tighter U.S.–China chip export controls, and broader market repricing ahead of potential U.S. interest rate cuts in December.
From a technical perspective, NVDA recently hit resistance near the $212 high before retracing. The chart suggests potential for a healthy correction toward the $155 support range, which coincides with a strong accumulation zone from mid-2025. A rebound from this level could fuel a continuation toward $230–$240, resuming Nvidia’s dominant uptrend.
Investors remain focused on upcoming quarterly earnings and the broader market’s reaction to monetary easing expectations. A confirmed rate cut could renew institutional appetite for high-growth tech names, keeping Nvidia positioned as one of the most favored equities in the AI sector.
I'm betting for a big pullback in NVDANVDA is still strong in the broader sense, but the shorter-term internal strength (momentum, volume) is waning. If it busts above ~$190-195 with volume, it could resume big.
If it doesn’t, beware the risk of a pullback or consolidation.
Choose your option path accordingly.
NVDA is still strong in the broader sense, but the shorter-term internal strength (momentum, volume) is waning. If it busts above ~$190-195 with volume, it could resume big.
If it doesn’t, beware the risk of a pullback or consolidation. Choose your option path accordingly.
NVDA Earnings Breakout Setup — QuantSignals V3 | Bullish CallNVDA QuantSignals V3 Earnings 2025-11-18
Instrument: NVDA
Date: 2025-11-18
Signal Type: Earnings (Pre-Earnings Position)
Model: QuantSignals V3
Direction: Calls
Confidence: 65%
Conviction: Medium
Earnings Date: 2025-11-19
Earnings Estimate: $1.27
Expiry: 2025-11-21
Options Setup
Strike Focus: $185.00
Entry Range: $6.45 – $6.55
Implied Move: $14.15 (7.7%)
Profit Target: $13.00
Stop Loss: $3.25
IV: 106.5% (elevated due to earnings)
PCR (Flow Intel): 0.37 (bullish)
24h Move: –1.91%
Price & Technicals
Current Price: $183.79
Katy Prediction Target: $184.60 (+0.44%)
Trend Classification: Neutral (50% confidence)
RSI: 31.3 (near oversold)
MACD: +2.17
Momentum (ROC): –7.42%
Support: $179.65
Resistance: $187.55
AI Forecast (Katy Model)
• Time-series predicts steady upward movement
• Range projection: $183.79 → $184.80 (+0.55%)
• Confidence moderate, trajectory shows bullish bias despite neutral label
Fundamental & News Notes
• Strong historical earnings performance (100% beat rate)
• Mixed news sentiment but leaning optimistic
• Nvidia positioned as key market driver for earnings week
• Pre-earnings selling pressure suggests potential reversal
Risk Notes
• Moderate risk due to high implied volatility
• Earnings event introduces binary outcome
• Premiums elevated; smaller sizing recommended
• Monitoring pre-market on 11/19 essential
Concerns on market specifically NVDA - Not financial adviceSome thoughts and concerns watching the market as an amateur investor looking at historical shifts and trends. This is not a prediction and not to be considered financial advice in any manner shape or form. It is simply a personal opinion based on my impression of the market. Please discuss any choice you make in the market regarding trades with a financial advisor or planner as this opinion is just an uneducated perspective to be taken with a grain of salt from someone who does not work in the financial industry. There are several factors I have taken into account regarding the economy, job losses, looming Debt Wall, real estate market concerns, tariff pain points for US, recession chatter, dollar weakness, US debt and my personal gut check.
Disclosure - I do not currently hold NVDA but I have a standing buy order for my personal account for NVDA at $50. I do not know the market well enough to short.
Nvidia (NASDAQ: $NVDA) Smashes Q3 Expectations on AI Demand Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA , XETRA:NVD) posted another blockbuster quarter as its fiscal Q3 results exceeded Wall Street expectations, powered almost entirely by explosive demand for its AI-focused data center chips. Revenue reached $57.01 billion, beating the $55.19 billion consensus and climbing 62% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS came in at $1.30, up 60% from last year and 24% sequentially.
The data center division once again carried the quarter with $51.2 billion in revenue, outperforming analyst estimates of $49.34 billion and rising 66% from a year ago. Nvidia highlighted record demand for its Blackwell platform, which delivers industry-leading performance and 10x throughput per megawatt compared to previous generations. CEO Jensen Huang said AI compute demand continues to accelerate across both training and inference, calling it a “virtuous cycle of AI.”
Other business segments posted mixed results. Gaming revenue grew 30% year-over-year to $4.3 billion but dipped slightly from the previous quarter. Professional visualization revenue increased 56% to $760 million, and automotive revenue rose 32% to $590 million, reflecting steady diversification outside core AI markets.
Nvidia reported adjusted operating income of $37.75 billion and adjusted net income of $31.77 billion, both well above expectations. Free cash flow hit $22.09 billion, and the company returned $37 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in the first nine months of fiscal 2026.
For Q4, Nvidia guided revenue of $65 billion, well above the $61.98 billion consensus, and projected gross margins around 75%. The company expects global AI adoption to accelerate further as more startups, enterprises, and countries ramp up model development.
Shares rose 3.7% in after-hours trading following the earnings release.
NVDA Earnings Play: Bullish Calls Despite Katy Neutral BiasNVDA QuantSignals V3 — Earnings Play (2025-11-19)
Direction: BUY CALLS
Confidence: 68% (Medium Conviction)
Risk Level: Moderate
🎯 Trade Setup
Strike: $180
Expiry: 2025-11-21
Entry Range: $9.30 – $9.40
Target 1: $18.60
Target 2: $27.90
Stop Loss: $4.65
Position Size: 3%
📈 Key Metrics
Current Price: $185.06
Implied Move: $13.15 (7.1%)
PCR: 0.46 (Bullish)
24h Move: +0.48%
RSI: 31.3
Support: $180.52
🧠 Analysis Snapshot
Katy AI Prediction: Neutral → slight bearish drift toward $183.56–184.20
Technical Indicators: Mixed (MACD bullish, ROC bearish)
News Sentiment: Strongly Bullish
$100B AI infra deal w/ Brookfield
Presidential endorsement
AI chip testing breakthroughs
Options Flow: Heavy call activity; institutional size at higher strikes
Volatility: VIX 23.25 — elevated
⚡ Why This Trade Works
Bullish news + strong call flow overpowers Katy’s neutral/slightly bearish modeling
Earnings volatility + catalysts create a favorable upside skew
0.63 delta strike gives balanced risk/reward
⚠️ Notes
Moderate confidence → consider smaller sizing
Expect heavy volatility due to 7.1% implied earnings move
Low pre-earnings volume → scale entries if possible
NVDA to $170? AI Bubble Risk, Big Money Exits & Heavy Shorts !I f you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings:
Now you need to know that NVIDIA has dominated 2023–2025, becoming the face of the global AI boom. But the higher the climb, the harder the fall. While NVDA is still seen as “untouchable,” several major signals suggest the stock could revisit levels near $170 — a healthy correction of 10–15% from here.
1. Major Investors Are Exiting — SoftBank Dumped Everything
SoftBank, one of Nvidia’s earliest and most influential institutional backers, sold its entire stake in late 2025, worth roughly $5.8 billion.
Smart-money exits near all-time highs should never be ignored.
SoftBank rarely sells unless it believes:
- the sector is overheated
- the valuation has run too far
- risk/reward becomes asymmetric
This mirrors their strategy in 2021–2022 when they unloaded overvalued tech before the correction.
SoftBank’s full exit is a red flag for anyone ignoring the possibility of an AI bubble.
2. Michael Burry Bought Massive Puts — A Direct Bet Against the AI Mania
Michael Burry — famous for predicting the 2008 crisis — has quietly increased his put positions on NVIDIA and other AI names.
Why does this matter?
Because Burry doesn’t short “normal” overvaluations.
He shorts bubbles.
His AI thesis:
- expectations are unrealistic
- revenue growth is priced as infinite
- companies are spending billions on AI with no short-term monetization
- chip demand could normalize faster than markets expect
When a contrarian with Burry’s track record bets against a trend, it’s worth paying attention.
3. NVIDIA’s Valuation Is Stretched Even for a Hyper-Growth Company
Even bulls agree: NVDA’s multiples are once again aggressively priced.
Key issues:
• Price-to-Sales historically elevated
NVDA is trading at a P/S ratio that would be insane for any company approaching a $5 trillion market cap.
• Revenue growth expectations assume perfect long-term AI adoption
If AI monetization slows or plateaus even slightly, NVDA’s valuation collapses fast.
4. Are We in an AI Bubble? Many Indicators Say Yes
Top analysts, academics, and even bullish investors admit:
AI has bubble-like behavior.
Evidence of a bubble:
- Stock prices rising faster than actual earnings growth
- Companies buying GPUs “because everyone else is doing it”
- Zero clarity on monetization for many AI firms
- AI startups valued at billions with no revenue
- Media hype similar to 1999 dot-com sentiment
Harvard Business Review, Wired, and Investopedia already discuss the “AI bubble thesis.”
If AI expectations don’t materialize fast enough, NVDA becomes the single most vulnerable stock on the market.






















