Fortinet, Inc.
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FTNTFortinet, Inc. (FTNT)--- they’re in the cybersecurity biz, and the seasonal calendar is setting up pretty well for this stock. The stock has been riding the top of the Bollinger Band channel for almost 3 weeks now, there ‘might’ be some profit taking soon and it ‘may’ pull back some. You’ll notice that the 20-day moving average within the 2 standard deviation Bollinger Bands seems to act as a decent support this year....while tracking above the 50-day Moving Average that many swing traders follow to determine risk on/risk off. Another point, you might want to see the stock pull back into an oversold zone like the one demonstrated with the RSI. Personally, I’d look for a slight pullback into the $210-ish price zone region, then I’d consider my choices in regards to initiating a bullish position.
Spinning Top pattern (short opportunity)Playing game is enough get ready to go back to business..!
Potential price drop: 10%
Reward/Risk:5
Timeframe: 1-2 months
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Will FTNT drop over next week?FTNT has been charging hard this month, but a cooling off period may be in front of us. Six of my algorithms triggered a SELL at the close of the opening bar yesterday. All six signals have never simultaneously signaled SELL at the same time. The last time Algorithm 2 (Buy-Sell-Now-v2) signaled on the FTNT 3 hour chart was 2010.
Like most of my algorithms, they do not identify immediate price reversal. In the current case, the expected delay is between 3 and 4 bars after the signal from yesterday. This means we could see a near-term top this morning. There are two major pockets of tops my programs have found. Even though these are confluence areas, the tops could occur at other price levels.
Pocket 1 is around 171.00 and the second area is around 171.60. After the initial moves up, I am looking at a decline over the next week. A majority of the modeled declines have the bottom around March 1 (in fact most are pointing to the first 3 hours of March 1). There are also two target price pockets for this decline. A majority are around 163.00 and the other is 160.30.
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$FTNT with a bullish outlook following its earnings #BeststocksThe PEAD projected a bullish outlook for $FTNT after a positive over reaction after its earnings release placing the stock in drift B
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Cup and HandleFTNT fell from a rising wedge for a few days, but did not fall far.
Bearish Divergence on RSI noted..
Candles look bullish..
NV and obv are high/Short interest is low..
Mixed messages on this one..not a recommendation..
Everything is easier when you are looking through the rear view mirror (o:
$FTNT Bullish patternLet's take a look at NASDAQ:FTNT :
1) $FTNT has been continuously growing it's earning/EPS since April 2018.
2) It has been consolidating for a long time now.
3) It is in a bullish triangle formation.
4) Stochastic indicators are showing hidden bullish divergence.
5) It may be getting ready to take-off !!
Bull and bear cases To go long: I would want to see it first over this trend line, then over the major (march low to recent high) .786 fib, then preferably over the VPOC in red and .618 minor fib (Recent high to low) in black. The alternate bull case is a cup and handle with a run into earnings, bullish accumulation/distribution as shown below.
FTNT, not even spectacular earnings can save stocksGot burned on this last quarter so stayed out.
Beat big on both top and bottom lines plus great guidance. Got hammered anyways today. It was actually sitting a pre-COVID level too.
Trailing P/E now 36, forward P/E around 30....
Not touching this unless it hits $70 again, which would be ridiculous, but I've seen the market do dumber things. I think it just goes sideways again like last earnings. Another buy indicator is daily RSI hitting oversold twice.....
FTNT: Cup & Handle formingToday I opened two positions after recognising the huge cup and the beginning of the handle.
Still working on my trading strategy targeting this pattern.
Safest bet is to enter when the SP breaks the upper cup line, in this case I decided to enter early because the support @128 did not break.
Currently my SL is sitting at the 50% mark of the cup raise. If this breaks the pattern is invalidated.
As soon as the price breaks and closes on the daily above the cup @133.26 I will adjust the SL to the upper third of the cup raise (where depends how it moves within the handle).
The move from the bottom to the top of the cup measures in $ 20.63. So we can expect a similar move when it breaks out which makes a target @153.89
But I also take the trend based fib levels 1 (147.68) and 1.618 (160.6) into account. The second one might be a target in a follow up trade.
Entry: 129.04
TP1: 147.68
TP2: 153.89
SL: 123.29
Not sure, but this might also lead to an inverse h&s.
Earnings (FTNT)Finally figured out what's going on in this crazy market, a lot of stocks are headed back to where they were last quarter right after earnings... like a day or two after earnings
FTNT, DLTR, AMZN, FB, LPSN, WDAY, SHOP, OSTK, BLDP etc
Notable exceptions being stocks that have extremely high growth like ZM and PTON. Also, stocks that split are higher like AAPL and TSLA.
Not expecting the market to do much next week aside from earnings






















