StockSignaler

StockSignaler

Of the 71 times AAPL triggers a sell on my RSI indicator (the magenta arrow at the bottom of the chart), the stock drops 97.143% of the time in the following 25 trading days. During 37% of the successful drops, the stock moves upward for 1-4 more days after the signal occurs in what I call the delay period. What qualifies as a successful drop? The sell signal...

StockSignaler

After re-calculations and re-assessing, I think I am ready to move forward. I have moved off my position that the 2022 correction was a Supercycle 2 correction and macro market top. I would be on the bandwagon the market is primed to move up indefinitely if not for the massive amounts of debt and cautious discretionary spending. I am still in the camp of prices...

StockSignaler Updated 

I am still quite confident the markets are set to drop significantly in 2024. I have studied correctional wave patterns that are similar to our current situation wherein the market topped on January 4, 2022 and began the corrective pattern. **The pattern contains a wave B that is larger than wave A in duration and movement. The wave C then moves more than wave...

StockSignaler

This level since November 2023. I have been waiting for the break as it should be the first sign of what comes next. This is a backwards adjusted chart, however, it is likely confirming the market high from last Friday. A close below this level today should began the clock on the prior analyses attached to this idea

StockSignaler

This is a follow-up to my analysis from the other day. The green track is the one for the 1968 model. It has held pretty close to the entirety of the whole correction so I favor this model for now. The 2018 model is pretty good. It is the yellow track. It was a short duration but had the lowest bottom. This would give us a bottom around 2700 which most of my other...

StockSignaler Updated 

Assuming the current market correction is a scaled down version of the 2000-2009 correction, we likely have one more leg up to complete the pattern. The RSI hit a bottom at the end of the A wave down in 2002 and 2022. Since this time the RSI had been producing higher lows with the exception of one cross in May 2006 and August 2023. This appears to fall in line...

StockSignaler

I had two trading signal trigger for MGM last week that could set the stage for some good up and down trading. My MACD overtraded signal fired on the daily chart on January 31, 2023 indicating the stock should move down over the next 10 trading days. This signal is accurate 94.297% of the 264 studied occurrences. There is a delay to the downside action that occurs...

StockSignaler

We received two signals for Verizon stock based on the closing price on February 2, 2024 indicating the stock will likely drop over the next 6-20 days. My SAG Gauge Conservative algorithm bearish signal has occurred 211 times. A bearish signal has successfully seen the stock drop below the signal closing price over the next 10 trading days 95.7% of the time. The...

StockSignaler Updated 

Ran through historical data on AMD and have quite a few signals of interest. The first event is bullish and calls for a move into the larger green box. Typically my signals come with a delay until the final movement is achieved. In this case, my Aggressive Multi-time frame indicator fired based on January 22, 2024 closing price. The signal was bullish, however,...

StockSignaler

Our quick look tonight is at Amazon.com stock. 17 January brought us a bearish signal at the closing price of 151.71. Of the 242 studied similar occasions, the stock successfully reverses downward 95% of the time over the next 10 and 25 trading days. For this instance to be successful, the stock will need to move below 151.71. So far the stock has basically...

StockSignaler Updated 

Early guess of the bottom is between November 2024 and March 2025 which relatively falls in line with the originally projected bottom from July 4, 2022. This is where Cycle B has topped thus far. It was in the larger target area from my December 13, 2023 analysis, albeit at the tail end of the box. Time for the study models. 1 - MOVEMENT EXTENSION STUDY The...

StockSignaler Updated 

Things appear to look good for Cycle C so far, but the top within the next 2 days is crucial to confirm we are in fact in the early stages of Cycle C and Cycle B ended last year on December 28. Looks like Intermediate wave 1 ended last Friday, meaning Intermediate wave 2 could end soon too, if not already completed. The first study is the historical percentage...

StockSignaler Updated 

Once the last theory busted it was a return to the drawing board. I am now postulating we are back in Cycle wave B which I thought had been completed as initially forecasted during the summer 2023 (high was end of July). Not only was 4607 busted a few days back, it was blown out of the water today. What does this mean? With Cycle wave B now being larger than...

StockSignaler Updated 

Since the recent bull move at the end of October began, we have stayed above the same trendline. Not only did the final hour of trading break below that line, it also closed below it. Is this the first indication we have begun Cycle wave C down? Based on the historical quartile percentages, it appears Cycle wave C and ultimately Supercycle wave 2 will bottom...

StockSignaler Updated 

I am bearish again already (surprise)! The terror in the Red Sea could be the tipping point for future economic calamity now that multiple companies have chosen the longer path to market around South Africa. Going on the premise Minor wave 4 dropped with a quiet whimper, we are possibly in the final Minor wave 5 up. First task is to identify potential tops. The...

StockSignaler

Minor wave 3 has possibly ended on cue with the high at the open today. If this holds, next stop should occur quickly with a Minor wave 4 bottom. The historical models of common retracement percentages are on the right. The three maximum models are red at the bottom. The pink levels are the quartiles for the most specific relational data and generally contain the...

StockSignaler

Here is out map of Primary wave 2 to this point. It is unclear if Minor 5 and Primary wave 2 are completed. Now that Primary wave 2 retraced all of Primary wave 1's movement and then some, instead of limiting historical datasets to a ratioed range, I am comparing all similar micro waves where wave 2 moved more than wave 1. Elliott wave theory says wave 2...

StockSignaler Updated 

Hopefully its time to take another crack at forecasting Primary wave 3 down. Wave 2 started strong and managed to retrace 98% of Primary wave 1 down. I began to have doubts we were in the right place. Still would like a drop below my green trendline here: We finally broke well below the yellow and have created a lower low and lower high. These are early...