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Q23 trade ideas

Bunge Breaks Out of Head & Shoulder with Volume SurgeHead & Shoulder Breakout - Bunge (BG) has recently broken out of a Head & Shoulder pattern . This breakout indicates a potential continuation of bullish momentum. Volume Confirmation - The breakout was supported by a strong surge in volume on the last trading day . Rising volume adds conviction and reliability to the breakout. Support Trend Line Break - The stock has also broken out of the support trend line . This trend line was formed during the previous Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern formation . A breakout from this structure gives additional confirmation of strength. Price Target - Based on the breakout and pattern analysis, the next upside target is projected at 73.9 . Technical Confluence - Breakout from a major pattern (Head & Shoulder). Volume surge confirming buying interest. Breakout from trend line formed during earlier Inverse H&S. All these factors combine to strengthen the bullish outlook.
NYSE:BGShort
by peace_lover
BG - Bunge Limited (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long PositionBG - Bunge Limited (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 75.80 Entry limit ~ 75.50 to 74.50 (Avg. - 75) on April 15, 2025 ⁠Target limit ~ 78 (+4%; +3 points) Stop order limit ~ 74 (-1.33%; -1 point) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:BGLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
Trade wars begin.The trade war with Colombia will have a ripple effect across several industries, particularly those heavily reliant on imports and exports. Here’s a breakdown of how this could impact sectors and stocks: 1. Coffee Companies (Starbucks, Green Mountain Coffee) Impact: Coffee prices are likely to rise due to reduced imports from Colombia, one of the largest coffee producers in the world. This could affect the cost structure of companies like Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Keurig Dr Pepper, which owns Green Mountain Coffee. Stock Impact: Short-term: Likely negative, as higher input costs could squeeze margins. Expect some volatility in these stocks as investors react to news. Long-term: If these companies raise prices to offset costs, it could hurt demand, especially for premium-priced products. Opportunities: Monitor Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and consider a put option or short-term bearish strategy if you expect higher costs to impact earnings in the near term. If you’re bullish on their ability to navigate the crisis (e.g., through diversified sourcing), look for a dip-buying opportunity. 2. Floriculture Companies (1-800-Flowers, FLWS) Impact: The U.S. sources a significant percentage of its flowers from Colombia. Disruptions could lead to price spikes, reduced inventory, and higher shipping costs from alternative markets (e.g., Ecuador, Mexico). Stock Impact: Short-term: Likely negative as supply chain costs rise and flower availability decreases. Long-term: FLWS may pivot to alternative sources or raise prices, but this would take time. Opportunities: Watch FLWS closely for earnings revisions or news of sourcing diversification. Short-term bearish plays like puts could capitalize on anticipated cost pressures. 3. U.S. Oil Companies Impact: Stopping U.S. oil exports to Colombia could create slight downward pressure on domestic oil prices due to reduced overseas demand. However, this would be marginal since Colombia isn’t a major importer of U.S. oil. Stock Impact: Short-term: Likely neutral to slightly negative for U.S. oil companies like ExxonMobil ( NYSE:XOM ) and Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ). Long-term: Unlikely to have a major impact unless it coincides with other geopolitical disruptions. Opportunities: Consider refiners (e.g., Valero NYSE:VLO ), as lower crude oil costs could improve refining margins. If you believe U.S. domestic oil prices will dip, look at ETFs like USO for bearish plays. 4. General Market Sentiment Trade wars often create uncertainty, which can lead to increased market volatility. Certain sectors, like consumer staples (e.g., packaged food companies), could act as safe havens, while sectors with direct exposure to Colombia may experience sell-offs. 5. Strategies Without Futures Access Focus on stocks and ETFs that are indirectly impacted: Agriculture ETFs: Consider broader agriculture plays, like DBA (Invesco Agriculture Fund), which includes coffee. Bunge Limited (BG): Another agricultural commodity processor that might reflect broader trends in soft commodity markets. Bearish on Specific Stocks: Use put options or short strategies on stocks like NASDAQ:SBUX or NASDAQ:FLWS if you believe higher costs will erode profits. Bullish on Domestic Producers: Companies that grow coffee domestically or are diversified into synthetic alternatives might benefit from supply chain shifts. Final Thoughts Colombia’s trade war fallout will have mixed effects depending on the sector. For companies heavily dependent on Colombian imports (e.g., coffee and flowers), there’s short-term risk, while for oil-related sectors, the impact is likely neutral to slightly bearish. Evaluate the timing carefully and focus on industries with clear, immediate exposure.
NYSE:BG
by bcavin
Food Additive Giants: Macro Fib SchematicsThese food additive companies manufacture agricultural ingrediants and additives that nakes its way to prodcust in grocery stores. Archer Daniels Midlands Co, Bunge Limited, International Flavors & Fragrances, Ingredion Inc, DuPont De Nemours, LyondellBasell Industries, Kerry Group, and Givauden are arguably the largest in this type of category. These companies pump out things that humans consume and some argue that much of it is not healthy which is a different topic. These Fibonacci Schematics are not great but they are good enough. Sloppy, but I would like to see someone do it better without excluding any important levels...
NYSE:BG
by MichaelBsul
Bunge Limited ($BG) LongBunge Limited ( NYSE:BG ) is an American agribusiness and food company, incorporated in Bermuda, and headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, United States. As well as being an international soybean exporter, it is also involved in food processing, grain trading, and fertilizer. The daily chart shows the stock exploded to the upside from $30 in 2020 to a high of $125 in 2022. The stock has been downtrending a bit, holding the $90 support level and holding above 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages. Someone thinks a move is due and selling the 10/20 $90P and buying 105/120C spreads for $2.10. Earnings 7/26/23 with a dividend in August.
NYSE:BGLong
by airborne99