Potential rising Wedge on 1D TimeframeCurrently for EUR/CAD Price has been climbing steadily since February of 2025. With the initial weakness on the CAD due to Tariffs and then the Strength on EUR in late march of 2025 causing a 4 -5% increase in value across most EUR pairs. Now if we look at the daily timeframe we can see price is still making slow gains BUT!! we can start to see a formation of a rising wedge last Fridays poor NFP data Caused the DXY to plumet and in turn cause the EXY to rise as a result. Canadas poor unemployment and PMI fueled the strength in Fridays gains in the EUR/CAD.
While yes we made a new high on Friday at 1.62578 we did not however maintain and close above the previous high of August 22nd at 1.62084 we ended up closing at 1.62036. If you also take a look at RSI we are starting to show Clear as day divergence as price is showing a climb and RSI is showing a fall. This paired with the potential rising wedge has me looking for potential sell setups in the near term.
CADEUR trade ideas
EUR/CAD Trade IdeaPrice has pushed upward, breaking structure to the upside. However, this move left behind an imbalance (fair value gap), suggesting the market may look to correct before continuing higher.
Plan:
Wait for a retracement to fill the imbalance (correction).
Look for bullish confirmations once the correction completes.
Expectation: continuation to the upside after correction.
Key things to watch:
Where the imbalance sits (mark out the FVG zone).
Price reaction as it corrects—look for bullish order blocks or rejection wicks.
Structure holding above the most recent higher low.
EURCADEURCAD (8H) — Bias: Buy-the-dip within rising channel
Structure: Price is trending up inside an ascending channel and just broke above recent range highs, leaving a fair value gap (FVG) below—classic setup for a pullback then continuation.
Flow/Momentum: Impulsive breakout candle, RSI turning up → buyers in control unless the breakout fails.
Idea: Look for a retrace into the FVG / prior ceiling turned support, form a higher-low, then continuation toward the upper channel rail.
Triggers: 1) Bullish rejection in the FVG; or 2) Break–retest holds with 1H/4H turning back up (5–15–30m align long).
Invalidation: An 8H close back inside the old range / sustained loss of the channel midline → neutralize the long bias.
EUR/CAD: Launching Long! Layered Entry Strategy For Gains💸 EUR/CAD "Euro vs Loonie" Bank Plan (Swing / Scalping) 📊
🎯 Trading Plan (Thief Layering Strategy)
Asset: EUR/CAD
Setup: Bullish Hull Moving Average breakout + retest 🟢
Entry (Layering Style): Multiple buy limit orders at
1.60800
1.60900
1.61000
1.61200
(You can expand layers based on your own risk preference)
Stop Loss (SL): Thief SL @ 1.60600 (adjust to your own risk strategy) 🛡️
Target (TP): Resistance "police barricade" around 1.62200 🏁
⚠️ Note: This is not financial advice — manage your own TP and risk as per your trading plan.
🔍 Why This Plan? (Fundamental + Macro + Sentiment + Thief Blend)
📈 Real-Time Snapshot (Sept 5, 2025)
EUR/CAD Spot Rate: 1.6025
Daily Change: +0.12%
52-Week Range: 1.4650 – 1.6350
👥 Trader Sentiment
Retail Traders: 42% Long 🐂 | 58% Short 🐻
Institutions: 55% Long 🐂 | 45% Short 🐻
😱 Investor Mood (Fear & Greed)
Index: 48/100 → Neutral ⚖️ (leaning fear due to global trade + US jobs data)
📋 Fundamentals
Score: 62/100 🟢
Drivers:
Eurozone growth resilient, ECB steady at 2% 🏦
Canada facing weak jobs data, BoC at 2.75% 🛢️
Oil prices steady, modest CAD support ⚡
🌍 Macro Score
Score: 58/100 🟡
Factors:
Global trade tensions weigh on CAD 🛡️
Eurozone recovery boosts EUR 💪
US policy uncertainty adds volatility 🌪️
🧭 Overall Market Outlook
Bias: Neutral → Slightly Bullish Tilt 📈
Why: ECB support + Eurozone recovery outweigh CAD’s oil-linked strength. Range likely 1.60 – 1.63 short-term.
🚦 Related Pairs to Watch
FX:EURUSD , OANDA:USDCAD , OANDA:GBPCAD , OANDA:EURGBP
Keep an eye on BLACKBULL:WTI (Oil) for CAD correlation.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#EURCAD #Forex #TradingPlan #SwingTrading #Scalping #ThiefStrategy #HullMovingAverage #Fundamentals #MacroAnalysis #Sentiment #FXCommunity
First Day Of Going Part-Time In A 10% WeekQuick breakdown of my EUR/CAD position from last week combined with two other positions that could have yielded a 10+% return this week. Also it is my first day of going part time and it feels surreal doing trading work while my colleagues are at work.
Have fun watching and let me know if you enjoyed this series!
EUR/CAD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.610
Target Level: 1.600
Stop Loss: 1.616
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bearish reversal?EUR/CAD is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.61193
1st Support: 1.60319
1st Resistance: 1.62159
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish continuation above key support?EUR/CAD is falling towards the pivot, which serves as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce back to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.61864
1st Support: 1.61261
1st Resistance: 1.63589
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
War Room Watchlist — EURCAD (Pullback into Strong Support)EURCAD is pulling back into a best-in-class support zone. My plan is to wait for structure confirmation at the level—ideally a clean engulfing trigger—and then see VMS line up at the moment of trigger:
Volume: ≥70 on/into the trigger (no limp prints)
Momentum: decisive hook with direction (not flat / not diverging)
Structure: retest + rejection, with a clean 2R path before traffic
If/Then: If price taps the zone and prints an engulfing with V≥70 + momentum hook, then I’ll consider it; else it stays a pass. No alignment, no trade.
I post the full morning session daily (multi-market breakdowns) — see profile links for details.
#Forex #EURCAD #VMSStrategy #AlignedExecution #WarRoomWatchlist
EURCAD: Potential Long Setup
Market Context
Price swept liquidity below the previous daily low and then broke structure to the upside, signaling a potential shift in market direction. This could be the beginning of a bullish leg if price respects demand on the pullback.
Key Technicals
Clear liquidity sweep (CRT) beneath recent lows
Bullish BOS on the 4H timeframe
Watching for price to retrace back into the imbalance (FVG) area
FVG aligns closely with the 50 EMA and 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone on the 15m chart
Plan is to look for rejection or confirmation candle within this confluence area
Trade Plan
Wait for price to return into the FVG + 50 EMA + Fib confluence zone
Enter only if a clear rejection or engulfing candle forms
Direction: Longs only while price holds above 50 EMA
Target: Liquidity above recent highs around 1.63600
Invalidation: If price breaks below the sweep low and closes under demand
Summary
Price has shifted bullish after a liquidity sweep. A pullback into demand + FVG zone could offer a high-probability long setup if confirmation appears.
EURCAD LONG
📈 EURCAD 55m Long Setup – Breakout Continuation in Play
Technical Overview:
EURCAD has confirmed a breakout above descending structure on the 55-minute chart, followed by a clean retest. Price action is supported by bullish divergence on RSI and MACD, with volume expansion signaling institutional interest. EMAs are aligned bullishly, and the corrective phase appears complete.
Trade Parameters:
- Entry: 1.46850
- Stop-Loss: 1.46490 (below structure base and EMA cluster)
- Take-Profit 1: 1.47420 (first resistance zone, fib extension)
- Take-Profit 2: 1.47880 (prior swing high, psychological level)
- Risk/Reward: TP1 ≈ 1:1.58 | TP2 ≈ 1:2.86
- ROI:
- TP1: +158%
- TP2: +286%
Strategic Notes:
This setup qualifies as a Breakout Continuation with high tactical confidence. Ideal for journaling under “Legacy Trades” and dashboarding with CrocoBot or ECLIPS overlays. Consider trailing stop recalibration post-TP1 and tagging this as a conviction trade.
Overlay Ideas:
- Annotate breakout zone with “Retest Confirmed” label
- Deploy impulse tracker module with fib-based TP zones
- Use momentum confirmation toggle (RSI > 55, MACD histogram rising)
- Visual theme: Iron Pulse or Momentum Surge
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