Get started

Canadian Dollar/Euro

No trades
OverviewIdeasMindsTechnicalsSeasonalsEconomic Calendar

Trade ideas

EURCAD (4H) – Bullish RSI Divergence Hinting Potential Reversal EURCAD has recently printed a bullish divergence on the 4-hour timeframe — signaling potential exhaustion in the prior bearish leg and a possible shift in short-term momentum. Price action shows a clear structure of lower lows on price, but higher lows on RSI, confirming the divergence setup. Key Observations RSI Divergence (Bullish): Price made a new swing low while RSI failed to confirm it — forming a classic bullish divergence. This suggests bearish momentum is weakening and early buyers may start entering the market. Market Structure: The pair broke above minor resistance and is currently retesting the zone near 1.6210 — aligning with a potential change of character (CHOCH) in short-term structure. Momentum Confirmation: RSI has recovered above the 50 line, indicating momentum is shifting in favor of buyers. As long as RSI holds above 50, bullish bias remains valid. Trade Setup Entry Zone: Current market price (~1.6210–1.6220) Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low at 1.6135 Target Zone: 1.6260–1.6300 (previous structural high / liquidity zone) Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:2 Trade Logic This setup is based on bullish divergence confluence + market structure break. If the bullish divergence plays out, we could see a corrective recovery toward the previous 4H supply zone. However, failure to hold above 1.6130 would invalidate the setup and signal continuation of the bearish trend. Scenario Outlook Bullish Case: Divergence holds → push toward 1.6260–1.6300 resistance. Bearish Case: Close below 1.6130 → continuation of the bearish leg. Summary The 4H bullish divergence offers a clean technical setup with clear invalidation and defined risk. Momentum is turning, but confirmation via higher-high break is crucial before scaling in aggressively. Bias: Short-Term Bullish (Counter-Trend Reversal Setup) Timeframe: 4H Key Level to Hold: 1.6130 Target: 1.6260 – 1.6300
Long
by MAAwan
Potential bullish reversal?EUR/CAD has bounced off the pivot, which is a multi-swing low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection, and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.6164 1st Support: 1.6164 1st Resistance: 1.6309 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
EURCAD November 2025 fundamental analysisEuro (EUR): Neutral to Bullish as ECB Signals End of Cuts Monetary Policy Stance The European Central Bank kept its key interest rates unchanged at its September meeting, with the deposit rate remaining at 2.00%. This marks the second consecutive hold following the June cut, and ECB President Christine Lagarde made clear the central bank is "in a good place" and "comfortable" with current policy settings. Critically, the ECB provided no forward guidance on future moves, and market pricing assigns less than 50% probability to any further cuts through 2026.​ Economic Backdrop Eurozone inflation remains close to the ECB's 2% target, with headline inflation at 2.1% and core inflation at 2.3% as of August 2025. The ECB's updated projections show inflation averaging 2.1% in 2025, 1.7% in 2026, and 1.9% in 2027—slightly below the 2% medium-term target. Growth forecasts have been revised higher to 1.2% for 2025 (from 0.9% in June), though the 2026 projection was trimmed slightly to 1.0%.​ Lagarde characterized the inflation risks as "more balanced" compared to June, and notably stated that "the disinflationary phase is over". This hawkish tone suggests the ECB has completed its rate-cutting cycle and will maintain restrictive policy for an extended period.​ November Outlook: Neutral to Bullish The Euro is positioned to gain against currencies whose central banks continue easing, particularly the US Dollar, British Pound, and commodity currencies. The October 30 ECB decision confirmed the hold, reinforcing the euro's positive momentum. EUR/USD forecasts for year-end range from 1.15 to 1.20, with the consensus around 1.16-1.17. The euro's relative strength is underpinned by narrowing rate differentials with the Fed and stabilizing eurozone growth dynamics.​ Canadian Dollar (CAD): Bearish on Continued Easing Bank of Canada Policy The Bank of Canada delivered another 25 basis point rate cut at its October 29 meeting, bringing the policy rate to 2.25%. This continues an aggressive easing cycle that has seen rates reduced by 225 basis points since June 2024, from a peak of 4.50% to the current 2.75%. Markets are pricing in current easing for the October meeting despite recent data showing 60,000 employment gains and headline inflation rising to 2.4%.​ Economic Challenges The BoC's dovish stance is driven by persistent concerns about the Canadian economic outlook. The third-quarter Business Outlook Survey showed that uncertainty around trade policy continues to weigh heavily on investment and hiring plans. The "future sales" indicator dropped back into negative territory for the first time in 2025, and 63% of firms expect either unchanged or reduced workforce levels—levels historically associated with unemployment rates of 7.3% or higher.​ Canada's terms of trade have deteriorated significantly, with crude oil prices falling to multi-month lows. WTI crude is trading around $59-60 per barrel, down from earlier highs, removing a key pillar of support for the loonie. November Outlook: Bearish The Canadian Dollar faces a challenging November. USD/CAD has moved higher to the 1.40 handle, and while some analysts expect a return to 1.38 by year-end driven primarily by USD weakness, the path may be slow with potential spikes to 1.41. The loonie is expected to underperform against most G10 currencies, given the BoC's continued easing path and Canada's vulnerability to weak energy prices. Verdict The EUR sits very comfortably at a strong position while the CAD is struggling with economic headwinds and policy easing alike. EUR/CAD is therefore a BUY in November.
Long
by Oneirotrade
EUR/CAD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG Hello, Friends! We are now examining the EUR/CAD pair and we can see that the pair is going down locally while also being in a downtrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB lower band being nearby indicating that the pair is oversold so we can go long from the support line below and a target at 1.637 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EUR/CAD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! EUR/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 6H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 1.627 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
EurCad Chart AnalysisAnalyzing the EUR/CAD chart, price action has reached a key support level and is currently consolidating within a narrow range, itself contained within a broader consolidation pattern. While the next directional move remains uncertain, my strategy is as follows: Entry Plan: Initiating a small long position at current levels If price declines to the lower support zone, I'll scale into the position with additional size Overall bias remains bullish, anticipating upward movement Support Level Significance: Support 1: Established since early September 2024 Support 2: Established since early March 2024 Given the length of time and the respect the price has for support levels, it would require significant selling pressure to breach both zones. This reinforces the long bias with a scaled entry approach. *This is NOT financial advice
Long
by Harry_0_0_
1
EURCAD – Channel Breakdown & Bearish Continuation FlagEURCAD has broken down from a large ascending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential shift in structure from bullish accumulation to distribution and selling pressure. After the strong impulsive breakdown, price has formed a corrective flag pattern and is retesting previous support turned resistance. This is a classic bearish continuation setup: impulse → correction → continuation. Key Technical Confluences Breakdown from major ascending channel Lower-high formation after structure break Bearish flag retest confirming seller control Clean rejection from supply zone Downside target aligns with major support around 1.5760 Entry: Retest of broken structure + flag formation Stop Loss: Above flag high / structure invalidation zone Take Profit: Previous major demand around 1.5760–1.5780 Bias: Bearish while price trades below the retest structure. This setup follows the trend continuation play after a significant structural shift. Watching for momentum continuation to the downside and trailing stops as price progresses toward target. As always, risk management is key — trading a clear structure setup with defined invalidation.
Short
by zubeyrfx20
EUR/CAD Retest Complete - Time to Go Long?🎯 EUR/CAD: The "Great Maple Heist" Setup | Swing/Day Trade 🍁💶 📊 Asset Overview EUR/CAD (Euro vs. Canadian Dollar) - Forex Market 🔍 The Setup: Bullish Retest Play The EUR/CAD is showing classic bullish confirmation with a pullback retest at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, aligning beautifully with our weighted moving average. This is where the smart money layers in! 🧠💰 🎯 Entry Strategy: The "Thief Method" Primary Approach: Layered limit orders (The legendary Thief OG style!) Thief Layer Entry Levels: Layer 1: 1.63000 Layer 2: 1.63250 Layer 3: 1.63500 Layer 4: 1.63550 Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite and position sizing! Alternative: Market execution at current levels if you prefer immediate entry. 🛡️ Risk Management Stop Loss: 1.62800 (Thief OG reference level) ⚠️ Note: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this is MY stop loss based on MY analysis. YOU set YOUR own stop loss based on YOUR risk tolerance. Trade at your own risk and protect your capital like it's the Crown Jewels! 👑 🎯 Profit Target Target: 1.65300 This level represents a confluence of: 🧱 Strong resistance zone ("Electric Shock Wall") 📈 Overbought territory 🪤 Potential trap zone for late longs ⚠️ Note: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), this is MY take profit level. YOU decide when to bank YOUR profits. The market gives, and the market takes—don't be greedy, take money when you can! 💸 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch Keep an eye on these correlated pairs for confirmation: 🇺🇸 USD/CAD - Watch the Loonie's overall strength Direct inverse correlation to EUR/CAD Oil prices heavily influence CAD strength 💵 EUR/USD - Euro strength gauge Shows Euro's overall market sentiment Risk-on/risk-off indicator 🛢️ Crude Oil (WTI/Brent) - The CAD's best friend CAD is a commodity currency Higher oil = Stronger CAD = Pressure on EUR/CAD Lower oil = Weaker CAD = Support for EUR/CAD Key Correlation Point: If oil drops while EUR shows strength, this setup becomes even more favorable! 🎰 📝 Technical Summary ✅ Bullish structure intact ✅ 38.2% Fib retest complete ✅ Weighted MA providing support ✅ Multiple confluence factors ✅ Risk/Reward ratio: Favorable (~2.5:1) ⚠️ Disclaimer This is the "Thief Style" trading strategy — a layered approach to swing/day trading created purely for educational and entertainment purposes. This is NOT financial advice. Trading forex carries substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. Always do your own research, manage your risk, and never trade with money you can't afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Trade safe, trade smart, and may the pips be ever in your favor! 🎲💎 ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #EURCAD #ForexTrading #SwingTrading #DayTrading #FibonacciRetracement #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #PriceAction #TradingStrategy #ThiefMethod #ForexSetup #CurrencyTrading #RiskManagement #ForexCommunity #TradingIdeas #CAD #EUR #ForexAnalysis #SupportAndResistance #MovingAverage
Long
by The-Thief
EURCAD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, I analysed this chart on EURCAD and concluded the following: The market is trading on 1.6164 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 1.6180 Safe Stop Loss - 1.6154 About Used Indicators: A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EURCAD | Liquidity Draw Toward HTF Order BlockPrice remains inside a higher-time-frame bullish structure and is now retracing into the 1.60–1.61 breaker block / BC correction zone — a logical refuel area before continuation. Above, there’s an unmitigated HTF order block at 1.68–1.70 , likely the next draw on liquidity. That zone should be mitigated before any true macro bearish shift. Plan Bias: short-term bullish continuation into 1.68–1.70 Entry: confirmation from the breaker around 1.60–1.61 Stop: below 1.576 (macro invalidation) Target: 1.68–1.70 (HTF mitigation zone) – After mitigation, watching for bearish structure to form The correction still has business above — the HTF OB remains unmitigated. Let’s see if EURCAD completes the move.
Long
by SmellyTaz
EURCAD - Buy the Bounce at Confluence!📈EURCAD remains in a steady rising channel on the daily. Price has pulled back into a strong support zone that perfectly aligns with the channel’s lower bound and the base of the recent micro wedge. 🏹As long as this confluence holds, I’ll be looking for trend-following longs from here, aiming first for the recent highs, then the channel top. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly. 📊All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
2