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CADJPY trade ideas

Short Trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry – CAD/JPY Pair: CAD/JPY Timeframe: 1 Hour Session Context: New York PM 🔻 Trade Setup Type: Sell-side Date: Wed 3rd Sept 25 Session: NY PM, 12:00 pm Entry: 107.325 Stop Loss: 107.397 (0.31%) Take Profit: 106.995 (0.07%) Risk per Trade: 1.0% R:R Ratio: 4.88 🔑 Observations Trade executed after strong liquidity sweep above prior highs during London → NY transition. Stop placed above intraday OB rejection, keeping risk defined. Profit target aligns with PDL liquidity zone around 106.99. Market structure shows shift after distribution phase; volume spike validates sell-side intent. RR close to 5:1 makes this a high-probability setup if bearish continuation plays out. 5min TF overview
Short
by davidjulien369
CAD/JPY – Technical & Fundamental AnalysisCAD/JPY – Technical & Fundamental Analysis Fundamentals: Canada: Q2 GDP contracted more than expected at –1.6% annualized, raising speculation that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may cut interest rates in the near term. While domestic demand showed resilience, external weakness weighed heavily on growth. Japan: Japan’s Finance Minister recently expressed concern over speculative yen weakness. However, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signaled tolerance of the depreciation for now, suggesting a softer stance on direct stabilization measures. Technicals: Price recently broke above a minor resistance. After such breakouts, institutions often create a false sense of security for retail traders by keeping price above resistance. Once enough long positions and stop-loss orders build up, price often dips back below the broken level to trigger a liquidity hunt (stop-loss grab). If the bullish market structure holds, price typically reclaims the broken level and continues higher. Trade Setup (4H Chart): Entry (Buy Stop): 107.350 Stop Loss (SL): 106.890 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 108.310 → Risk:Reward ≈ 1:2 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 108.960 → Risk:Reward ≈ 1:3 Outlook: The setup favors a bullish continuation if price successfully reclaims the liquidity zone after the stop-loss hunt. Traders should watch closely for confirmation around the reclaimed level before scaling positions. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage your risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
CADJPY (1H) - Swing Trading PlanThis trading plan outlines a swing trade opportunity on the CAD/JPY 1-hour chart, leveraging Smart Money Concepts to identify optimal entry points for a pending long position. Market Structure Analysis: The CADJPY pair has recently shown a strong upward trend, indicating a bullish bias. I observe a clear break of structure (BOS) to the upside, confirming the continuation of the bullish momentum. The market is currently undergoing a retracement, presenting an opportunity to enter at a discounted price within the overall bullish trend. Key Entry Zones (Smart Money Concepts): - HTF Order Block (Demand Zone): A significant Higher Time Frame (HTF) Order Block is identified around the 106.900 area. This zone represents an area where institutional buying occurred, making it a high-probability reversal point. - Fair Value Gap (FVG): There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) present just above the HTF Order Block, aligning with our potential entry zone. FVGs indicate an imbalance in the market, often attracting price back to fill the gap. - 50% Discount (Equilibrium): The 50% retracement of the recent price swing (often referred to as equilibrium) aligns closely with the identified HTF Order Block and FVG, adding confluence to our entry area, signifying a discounted price.
Long
by famousone_chn
CADJPY - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish momentum. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Potential CADJPY downside 🚨 Potential Forex trade: CADJPY short 🚨 TA: The weekly chart is forming lower swing highs The daily has broken diagonal support and is testing the area as resistance FA: The BOC's rate cutting may continue. Unemployment remains high and is continuing to rise, while GDP growth is low. The yen may strengthen if stock markets continue to fall, or if the bond yield crisis continues, due to its safe-haven status. I'm looking for confirmation on lower time-frames.
Short
by Samuel_Morton_Trader
Lingrid | CADJPY Potential Short at the Confluence ZoneFX:CADJPY has recently rebounded from the support zone near 106.00 and surged back toward the resistance structure. The chart shows a breakout from a triangle pattern that shifted momentum upward, but the confluence of trendline and channel border signals a possible rejection at resistance. As long as price remains capped below 108.30–108.50, downside retracement risk increases. A rejection here could send the pair back toward the 107.00 support area, aligning with the broader consolidation phase. 📉 Key Levels: Sell trigger: Rejection at 108.30 resistance zone Sell zone: 108.20–108.50 region Target: 107.05 support Invalidation: Break and close above 108.95 💡 Risks: Unexpected strength in CAD fundamentals could fuel a bullish breakout. JPY weakness from BOJ policy stance could limit downside. Broader risk-on sentiment in global markets may push price higher despite technical rejection. If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Short
by Lingrid
5
Bullish bounce?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 107.20 1st Support: 106.66 1st Resistance: 108.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
CAD/JPY – 4H ChartRecently, the pair has shown weak bearish movements, forming a descending wedge pattern, with prices now approaching a potential breakout to the upside. The pair has rebounded from the key support zone around 106.00, and considering that prices are trading within a broader upward trend, the bullish outlook remains valid. A confirmed breakout above the wedge, supported by a clear breach of 107.20, would strengthen expectations of further upside momentum. Therefore, the outlook remains bullish as long as the pair holds above 105.30, targeting 108.05 followed by 109.70.
by Ahmed_Morad
CAD/JPY: Thief’s Playbook or Trap Zone? A Full Technical + Macro🚨 CAD/JPY – “Loonie vs Yen” Bank Heist Plan 🏦💸 (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Market Overview (02 Sept 2025, Real-Time Data) Daily Change: +0.26% ⬆️ 52-Week Range: 101.24 – 111.57 📈 Technical Snapshot RSI (14-Day): 47.9 (Neutral zone) Moving Averages: Price trading below 50 & 200 SMA → bearish bias on higher TF Volatility: Low (0.35%) = Possible breakout setup Technical Signal: Mixed, leaning SELL from MA cluster 🧠 Sentiment & Positioning Retail Traders: Split views (mixed long/short positions) Institutions: Increasing net-long JPY exposure for 3rd consecutive week Fear & Greed Index: 61/100 (Greed mode) 🏦 Fundamental & Macro Heist Briefing: Like every great “operation,” CAD/JPY’s moves depend on central banks, commodities, and macro flows: 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan (BoJ) Gradually exiting ultra-loose policy, supported by stronger wage growth & sticky inflation. A hawkish BoJ = stronger yen = tighter barricades for our heist 🚔. 🇨🇦 Bank of Canada (BoC) Balancing rate cuts with sticky inflation & housing concerns. CAD remains highly correlated with oil prices → if crude rallies, it reloads the Loonie’s ammo 🛢️💥. 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Impact Markets pricing a 91% chance of September rate cut. A softer USD can spill into CAD pairs, but safe-haven flows may still favor JPY. Commodities & Oil Connection CAD has high sensitivity to oil. WTI stability above $75 supports the Canadian dollar. Falling crude = weak CAD = smoother entry route for JPY “detectives.” Risk Appetite / Global Macro Equities in greed mode (S&P 500 holding above 125-day MA). Low VIX (14.2) → calm environment, but lurking volatility traps ahead. Junk bond demand signaling investors willing to take risk → CAD benefits in risk-on. Macro Score → Neutral to slightly bearish for CAD/JPY, as JPY strength from BoJ policy may outpace CAD support from oil. Macro: BoJ staying hawkish ⚔️ (inflation + wage growth) Fed tilting dovish 🕊️ (rate cut odds ~91% in Sept) CAD/JPY Macro Score → Neutral to Slightly Bearish 🎯 Thief’s Playbook (Educational Trading Blueprint) This is a “layering / DCA style” plan 🧩 – using multiple limit orders like setting up escape routes in a heist: Layer Entries (Example levels): 💰 106.000 💰 106.500 💰 106.800 💰 107.000 (you can adjust & add more “layers” based on risk appetite) Risk Management: 🛑 “Thief Stop” suggested around 105.500 (always adjust to your own risk model) Profit Objective: 🎯 Potential upside checkpoint near 109.000 (take the bag & escape before the police barricade 🚔) 🌍 Macro & Outlook Short-Term → Bearish tilt (JPY strength risk) Medium-Term → Neutral range (106 – 111) Long-Term → Potential pressure from broader JPY cycles 🐂🐻 Final Take CAD/JPY sits in a cautious zone – sentiment is mixed, with short-term JPY strength possible. But with layered entries, disciplined SL, and planned exits, traders can map their “heist strategy” like a pro. 📌 Related Pairs to Watch FX:USDJPY OANDA:EURJPY OANDA:GBPJPY OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:CADCHF #CADJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #PriceAction #Yen #Loonie #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingCommunity #MarketOutlook
Long
by The-Thief
CAD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT Hello, Friends! CAD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 105.850. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
CADJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for CADJPY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a significant support area 106.995. The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 108.913 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
The Two Pillars That Changed My TradingAfter years of trial and error, I shifted my focus from searching for signals to building a foundation. For me, that foundation rests on two pillars: Pillar 1: Risk Management Risk per trade: Fixed % of account. Currently, mine is 0.5% Minimum Risk/Reward: 1:2. I try as much as possible to make this minimum a rare occasion; I try to aim for higher, but it all depends on other factors of the setup. Position sizing: Calculated precisely before every entry. I base it on three factors: the current account balance, risk per trade, SL distance. Pillar 2: The Trading Plan A written, unambiguous set of rules for every action. Based on price action and market structure. Designed to be followed without emotion or deviation. These pillars work together. The plan gives me confidence, and the risk management gives me the longevity to be wrong. This mindset shift made all the difference. I document my journey applying these principles in detail elsewhere. What's one rule in your trading plan you won't break?
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
Trend Analysis with 3 Timeframes – D/W/M Trend Analysis with Three Timeframes – D/W/M 📊 You probably looked at this price action and thought: “That doesn’t look like a good buy signal.” Honestly, I thought the same thing. In this video, we’re diving into trend analysis, focusing on three timeframes: Daily, Weekly, and Monthly (D/W/M) . 👉 How come only these? Because that’s what TradingView offers on the FREE plan. And trust me—it’s enough to give you a clear mid-term picture of the market. If you want faster returns from day trading, you’ll need access to lower timeframes. That means: Either support this content by gifting me a subscription , Or get a subscription yourself and replicate this strategy on your own. ⚠️ Of course, if you choose to go solo, it’s at your own risk without coaching from me. And that’s perfectly fine. But… if you’d like me to personally show you how to day trade, then gifting me a subscription is the easiest way to make that happen. What This Video Covers This session is about mid-term trading, which means you can realistically expect to profit within 2 months at best. And the good news? We’ve identified two trading opportunities: CAD/JPY forex pair OANDA:CADJPY 💱 DIS (Disney) stock NYSE:DIS 🎬 Inside, you’ll see: 🚀 Rocket Booster Strategy 🕯️ Candlestick Pattern Formation 📈 Momentum Trading in Action 🎥 Watch the video now to understand trend analysis in detail— and remember to ROCKET BOOST this content if you want to keep learning more. Disclaimer: Trading is risky. Always practice risk management and profit-taking strategies. Start with a simulation account before risking real money.
Long
by lubosi
CAD/JPY - Channel Breakout (29.08.2025)The CAD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 106.47 2nd Support – 106.30 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
29