Trade ideas
CADJPY Forming Bullish MomentumCADJPY on the 4H timeframe is showing a clear transition from bullish momentum into a corrective bearish phase. After an extended rally, price formed a lower high and broke structure to the downside, confirming short-term selling pressure. The current retracement appears corrective, and as long as price remains below recent lower-high levels, I’ll be watching for the next impulsive leg toward 105.00 and potentially deeper.
From a fundamental perspective, the yen is gaining strength as risk sentiment cools ahead of key central bank events and rising geopolitical uncertainty supports safe-haven flows. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar is facing headwinds due to softening oil prices and growing expectations that the Bank of Canada may lean toward easing in upcoming meetings if economic slowdown persists. This divergence between a potentially weaker CAD and a recovering JPY adds confluence to the bearish technical setup.
I anticipate price to retest the previous broken structure zone before continuing downward. Any rejection from that supply area will act as confirmation for continuation targets toward mid-105s. I’ll be patient and let price action align with fundamentals for a clean entry with maximum reward-to-risk potential.
CADJPY: Bearish Move From Resistance Confirmed 🇨🇦🇯🇵
There is a high probability that CADJPY will retrace
from the underlined daily resistance.
A breakout of a support line of a rising wedge pattern
on 1H time frame provides a strong bearish signal.
I expect a retracement at least to 107.26
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Cad JPY - H1CAD JPY has been in a bearish trend making Lower Lows and Lower highs.
Price is currently pulling back up to the Fib golden zone of 0.5-0.618 levels. Price has also formed a hidden divergence potentially signalling a downward movement from here.
Confluences for the trade:
- Lower Lows, Lower highs being formed, showing a downtrend.
- Price Pulling back to the 0.5-0.618 Fib Levels.
- Hidden divergence being formed indicating downward movement
- Price touching the 200 EMA which acts as dynamic support/resistance
CAD/JPY (1H timeframe)...CAD/JPY (1H timeframe) — I'm using the Ichimoku Cloud and a downtrend resistance line that’s just being tested.
Here’s the technical breakdown 👇
🔍 Analysis:
Price is currently around 107.12–107.20, testing the descending trendline.
The Ichimoku cloud (yellow area) is above current price, acting as resistance.
The marked “Target Points” in my chart show potential bullish breakout levels if the price successfully closes above the cloud and trendline.
🎯 Target Levels:
1. First Target (Short-term): ≈ 108.00 – 108.10
→ This aligns with the lower horizontal “Target Point” shown and matches the bottom of the next resistance zone.
2. Second Target (Extended / Medium-term): ≈ 108.90 – 109.00
→ This is my higher “Target Point” on the chart, aligning with prior structural resistance and top of the projected move.
📉 If rejection occurs:
If price fails to break above 107.20–107.30 (trendline resistance), expect a pullback toward 106.80 as short-term support.
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✅ Summary:
Buy breakout confirmation: Above 107.30
Targets:
TP1 → 108.00
TP2 → 109.00
Support: 106.80
CADJPY Forming Ascending ChannelCADJPY is currently trading within a clear ascending channel, and price is pulling back after rejecting the upper boundary near the 110.00 psychological level. The recent bearish momentum suggests that buyers are taking profit, allowing sellers to regain short-term control. I’m watching for price to continue drifting toward the channel’s lower support near 105.50–106.00. If this support breaks with strong volume, it opens the door for a deeper drop into the major demand zone around 101.50–102.50, which aligns with previous liquidity sweeps and institutional footprints.
From a fundamental perspective, CAD has been under slight pressure due to softer crude oil demand and growing expectations that the Bank of Canada may shift to a more accommodative stance if economic slowdown deepens. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen remains broadly weak as the Bank of Japan maintains negative interest rates, but risk-off sentiment and rising geopolitical tensions could temporarily strengthen JPY through safe-haven flows. That makes this pair vulnerable to corrective downside despite the broader bullish structure.
I’ll be monitoring price action closely once price reaches the lower boundary of the channel. A clean rejection from that zone will provide a high-probability buy setup to ride the continuation of the long-term trend. But a confirmed breakdown will flip this structure into a bearish reversal, making the 102.00 liquidity pool a prime target. Patience and precision are key — this setup has profit written all over it once confirmation aligns with fundamentals.
CADJPY 4H Reversal — VMS Strategy in ActionEarlier we caught a clean setup on CADJPY — a textbook shooting star reversal followed by a strong engulfing candle. The uptrend leading into it was solid, volume spiked at 94, and momentum was at extreme highs before hooking down. Every trigger aligned, and it played out beautifully. ✅
VMS STRATEGY:
1️⃣ Structure — Shooting star + engulfing candle
2️⃣ Trend — Strong uptrend prior to reversal
3️⃣ Momentum — Extreme highs with a clean hook down
4️⃣ Volume — 94 (huge)
5️⃣ Timing — Morning session 5–11am
CADJPY: Gap Will Be Filled 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY will fill the gap that it formed 2 weeks ago.
A strong bearish momentum indicates that the price
will reach a gap opening level soon.
Goal - 105.86
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CADJPYThis strategy is anchored in the principles of trends and corrections. Trend trading is an engaging approach that seeks to harness gains by tapping into an asset's momentum as it flows in a distinct direction—be it upward, downward, or sideways. Embracing this method allows traders to ride the waves of market movement, capitalizing on opportunities as they arise.
Good Luck To all
CADJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 107.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels
Entry 110%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
CADJPY – Buy SetupPrice is testing a support zone after a healthy pullback within the uptrend. Buyers may step in for a continuation move higher.
Buy Entry: 108.00 – 108.10
Stop Loss: 107.65
Take Profit: 109.35 – 109.50
📈 Bias: Bullish
⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always confirm entries with your own strategy and manage risk accordingly.
#CADJPY #Forex #PriceAction #SellSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 107.52
1st Support: 106.67
1st Resistance: 108.88
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CADJPY: Another Pullback Trade 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY is going to pullback from the underlined intraday support.
A bullish breakout of a neckline of a double bottom pattern is my
confirmation signal.
Goal - 108.39
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CADJPY Bounce Plan – Dual Target SetupPrice is now reacting near the 108.144 entry zone, just above strong support at 107.545.
If this zone holds, I’m expecting a bullish move to trigger toward the upside targets.
🎯 Targets in Focus:
📌 Expect 1: 109.010
📌 Expect 2: 109.721
If price breaks above 109.010 and forms a base, I’ll look for a second leg toward 109.721.
- Entry Level: 108.144
- Support Zone: 107.545 (key invalidation area)
- Confirmation: Bullish candle or structure shift around 108.10 zone
Watching RSI and reaction at current level for early confirmation.






















