end for bullish rally for CADJPYthe pair enjoyed bullish trend for quite some time but now it seems that the signs are reversing now as the price has broken the trendline and also retest that twice successfully and pointing downwards
CADJPY trade ideas
CADJPY continues to unfold a bearish patternCADJPY continues to unfold a bearish pattern
CADJPY had already broken down from a major bullish trend that began on May 25, peaking at 108.95 on August 1.
One week ago, the pair confirmed a clear bearish breakout, dropping nearly 80 pips. According to our previous analysis, CADJPY increased to 107.20 and resumed its bearish movement.
We should not forget that the downward movement is very much related to the Bank of Japan. They need to intervene in the Forex so that the JPY strengthens again.
It is not that simple in general, but the situation indicates a larger decline.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trade idea: CAD JPY short Entry 106.75
I'm classing this as a 'relative fundamental trade' rather than a 'risk off trade'.
Based on slightly soft CAD CPI keeps a September BOC cut on the table, against renewed speculation of a BOJ hike. The subdued trading environment adds weight to the idea.
The risk to the trade is 'positive sentiment' or the fact the stop loss is only behind two 5min swings.
It's a 15pip stop loss, with 23 pip profit target. There is 'plenty of room' down to 4hr support.
CADJPY ideaWe are waiting for our asset to reach our action zone, and based on the reaction, we’ll decide on our next moves.ALWAYS WAIT FOR A CONFIRMATION TO SEE IF THE PRICE VALIDATES THE ZONE.and you what is your vision of the EURUSD its interests me! i wait you in the commentar
Bearish reversal?CAD/JPY has rejected the pivot, which is a pullback resistance, and could drop to the qst support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 107.14
1st Support: 105.86
1st Resistance: 107.73
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CAD/JPY in focus ahead of Canadian inflation data
Canada publishes its July inflation numbers shortly. The market’s looking for 0.3% MoM on the headline CPI. Median measure of CPI is expected to hold around 3.1% y/y with trimmed CPI seen steady at 3.0%.
Numbers lower than those would likely support the idea that the Bank of Canada will resume cutting before long, especially because growth risks are piling up. Only 15bp of easing is priced for October, with a full cut not seen until January. Weakening activity and labour markets at home, coupled with Fed potentially easing in September, could well force the BoC’s hand. A move in October would become more likely if data rolls over.
The CAD/JPY is an interesting CAD pair to watch given that it has recently broken a bullish trend line. Key resistance that now needs to hold is between 107.20 to 107.50 (shaded on the chart). However, it would be a bullish scenario if rates were to climb above this zone and reclaim the broken trend line.
By Fawad Razaqzadam market analyst with FOREX.com
CAD/JPY SHORTEntered short as there is continuous resistance. Expecting a good fall with small TP and SL.
SL: 106.7
TP: 106.2
CAD/JPY Bearish PictureHi Traders.
Look in the chart for more detail and the confirmation for the setup.
CAD/JPY Entry Uncapped – Loonie Robbery in Motion🔐CAD/JPY Heist Activated: Thief Breaks Into the Bullish Vault📈💰💥
📌 Asset: CAD/JPY "Loonie-Yen" Forex Bank
📌 Plan: Bullish
📌 Entry: Any price level
📌 Stop Loss: 106.600
📌 Target: 109.200
📌 Method: Multi-limit orders using Layering / DCA Strategy
👋🏼 Hello Money Movers & Market Robbers!
Welcome back to the battlefield — this time we’re breaching the vault of the CAD/JPY Loonie-Yen Forex Bank with a bullish masterplan. This isn't just a trade, it’s a planned heist using Thief Trader Strategy. Precision entries, layered orders, and sharp exits — that’s how we roll! 🏦💣
🔓 ENTRY — The Vault Is Open!
💸 Swipe the loot at any price — but the real pros place Buy Limits near recent swing lows (15min/30min TF) to catch price pullbacks.
⚠️ Only Long — Short is off-limits unless you’re surrendering your loot.
🛑 STOP LOSS — Lock Before They Catch You!
📍 Place SL at 106.600, or below your last entry layer if you stack orders.
Let your lot size, risk %, and DCA levels guide the SL placement. Safety first, profit always.
🎯 TARGET — The Exit Door: 109.200
📈 That’s where the loot gets stashed! Trail it smart if the price gets hot. Escape early if market mood shifts.
🧠 STRATEGY BREAKDOWN:
☑️ Style: Layered Grid / DCA Method
☑️ Trade Type: Scalping 🔹 Day Trade 🔹 Swing
☑️ Market Condition: Bullish momentum pushing through resistance — fundamental & sentiment align.
📚 MARKET INTEL:
📰 Stay ahead — read the COT reports, scan the macros, dive into quant flows & sentiment indexes.
Want the full picture? Click the 🔗 in proo file for the research vault.
⚠️ Avoid entries during high-volatility news. Set trailing SLs to protect your robbery bag. 🎒
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Potential Sell Opportunity on CADJPYReasons I think this pair will fall:
- Price broke through confirmed trend line.
- Bearish RSI Divergence on H4
- Price made a lower high before the trendline break suggesting a loss in momentum.
What do you think?
Did you see the previous post?In the previous post, we shared an educational note about this pair, saying the trend wasn’t valid and would reverse—and as you saw, it did reverse. Hope you found it useful.
CADJPY BUYBUY @106.332
SL @106.245
TP @106.767
Only if it makes any inducement enter, otherwise don't trade.....and if it creates BOS close the trade
And always risk 1%
CADJPY NEXT PLAN 15/8CADJPY update — we’re close to having a near-perfect 5R setup. A buy from here is possible; it’s a bit risky, but still a strong 1:5 R:R opportunity.
I’m Mr 1:5, a trader with a fixed risk–reward ratio. Follow me so you won’t miss setups like this. In just a few days, I’ve already had multiple trades hitting 5R.
TradingView limits how often I can post, so I can’t share too frequently — I have to alternate between “mind” and “ideal” setups. I always keep my positions updated, so make sure to watch for them.
Invalid trend?Generally, candles formed by news events, or sudden consecutive green or red candles, are usually unreliable and have a high chance of reversing—unless, after a pause, we get confirmation that the trend isn’t fake.
CAD/JPY Finally Broke C.T.L , Ready For Sell Now To Get 100 PipsHere is my 2H T.F CAD/JPY Chart and we have a very clear breakout and the price confirmed already by amazing bearish candle closed below my C.T.L , So we can sell now and targeting from 50 to 100 pips .
Reasons :
1- Clear Breakout
2- Bearish P.A .
3- Clear Confirmation .
Bullish bounce off Fibonacci support?CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 106.19
1st Support: 105.25
1st Resistance: 106.99
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
CADJPY Sell-Off Triggered by U.S.–Japan Currency TensionsCADJPY Sell-Off Triggered by U.S.–Japan Currency Tensions
During the early hours of the European session, CADJPY experienced a swift sell-off.
This week’s economic calendar has been notably quiet, and as I’ve emphasized several times, trading volume was expected to remain low—barring any major geopolitical surprises.
Ironically, it wasn’t Trump this time, but rather U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent whose remarks triggered the move, aiming to pressure Japan into strengthening the yen.
CADJPY had already broken down from a major bullish trend that began on May 25, peaking at 108.95 on August 1. Last night, the pair confirmed a clear bearish breakout, dropping nearly 80 pips. While I expect a brief pause before further downside, the bearish momentum appears to be firmly underway.
Now, the market simply needs time to digest the news.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short CADJPY and USDJPY, Swing Trade Trading Idea: Short CADJPY & USDJPY
Date: August 14, 2025
Strategy Type: Short-term bearish play on JPY crosses
📰 Key News Drivers
- Japan GDP Data (Q2 Preliminary):
- QoQ: 0.0% (flat growth)
- YoY: -0.2% (mild contraction)
- GDP Deflator YoY: 3.3% (strong inflation signal)
- USDJPY Technical Outlook:
- Current price: ~146.60
- Bearish momentum confirmed by moving averages
- Key support: 146.386
- Break below 146.500 could trigger further downside
- JPY Strength Factors:
- Modest improvement in Japan’s M2 Money Stock
- Lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data weakening USD
- Risk-off sentiment favoring safe-haven JPY
📊 Trade Rationale
| Pair | Bearish Catalyst | Technical Setup | Target Zone |
| USDJPY | Weak U.S. inflation + strong JPY deflator | Testing support at 146.386 | 146.00 or lower |
| CADJPY | CAD vulnerable to oil price volatility + JPY strength | Likely to follow USDJPY breakdown | 106.50–107.00 |
- JPY Strength Thesis: Despite flat GDP growth, the strong deflator suggests inflationary pressure, which may prompt the BoJ to maintain or tighten policy. This supports JPY appreciation.
- USD Weakness: Lower inflation expectations in the U.S. reduce the likelihood of further Fed hikes, weakening USD.
- CAD Vulnerability: CADJPY often correlates with risk sentiment and oil prices. With JPY gaining and global risk tone cautious, CADJPY is exposed.
📌 Execution Plan
- USDJPY:
- Entry: Short below 146.50
- Stop: 147.10
- Target: 146.00 / 145.50
- CADJPY:
- Entry: Short below 107.50
- Stop: 108.20
- Target: 106.50 / 106.00
CADJPY 4H bearish continuation??Price broke the bearish channel yesterday(13/08) with a strong bearish candle and re-tested it with a "pseudo" Pin bar. The opening today at 7:00 am (AEST) shows a possible downward continuation. This idea is in agreement with linofx1 post. I will wait for the 11:00 am candle to confirm the downward move and for some PA signs to jump short. Also I will keep one eye on the Fundamentals tomorrow for the JPY GDP.
CADJPY Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for CADJPY is below:
The market is trading on 107.09 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 107.30
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
CADJPY: Classic Trend-Following PatternI spotted a favorable bearish pattern on 📉CADJPY on a 4-hour chart,
the price has created a bearish flag.
Currently in a slight bearish trend, breaking below the flag's support would signal a strong continuation of the trend.
We can anticipate a decline to 106.68.
